Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane S.p.A. (BIT:INW)
Italy flag Italy · Delayed Price · Currency is EUR
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May 8, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: H1 2024

Jul 31, 2024

Operator

Good morning. This is the Chorus Call Conference operator. Welcome, and thank you for joining the Second Quarter 2024 INWIT Financial Results conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Should anyone need assistance during the conference call, they may signal an operator by pressing star and zero on their telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Fabio Ruffini, Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Development of INWIT. Please go ahead, sir.

Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations, INWIT

Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. With me today are Diego Galli, INWIT General Manager, and Emilia Trudu, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, please allow me to draw your attention to the safe harbor statement on page two. Following a brief presentation of the quarterly results, as usual, we will open the floor to questions. Over to you, Diego.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Looking at Q2 results, I would highlight a continued solid execution of industrial operation with a high volume of new sites and real estate transactions, growing financials with MSA commitments on track, strong revenue growth in indoor coverage solutions, and a double-digit expansion in EBITDA after lease. In the quarter, we also delivered a compelling shareholder remuneration in the form of additional dividends and buybacks. More broadly, INWIT business model, based on shared and digital infrastructure investments, continues to be resilient in a context of transformative year for the Italian telcos. We view the ongoing transition as positive. We can count on a strong and positive MSA, and there is potential to improve market fundamentals and unleash additional investments. Investment needed to meet the need for digital infrastructure in Italy, which today is lagging behind European standards.

This is a structural growth trend, and INWIT is well positioned to capture it. Moving to main trends on the quarter on page four. A few key numbers: 8% revenue growth on the back of inflation link, new PoPs, and new services. 11% growth in EBITDA after lease, with margin up by two percentage points. Recurring cash flow at EUR 150 million, up 6% quarter-on-quarter. Net debt to EBITDA at 4.9 times, reflecting the increased shareholder remuneration. We reduced leverage by half a turn since a year ago, when excluding only the additional portion of dividends just paid and the buyback. Strong industrial delivery with more than 200 new sites across three programs. Nearly 1,000 new PoPs on track for the full year target for a tenancy ratio of 2.3 times.

Almost 400 real estate transactions, our main source of efficiency. In summary, Q2 and first half results show resilient execution with growth trends in line with targets. We keep on investing at accretive returns to expand our infrastructure assets. More sites, more indoor coverage locations, more land ownership. The industry context is one of transformation for many clients, which will be in a structurally different position from 2025 onwards. Now, I will turn it over to Emilia for a more detailed review of the results. Thank you.

Emilia Trudu
CFO, INWIT

Thank you, Diego, and good morning, everyone. On page five, new sites. Consolidating the leadership in the Italian market, INWIT built 240 sites in Q2, and about 1,000 over the past year, in line with expectations. A steady delivery pace at high levels. Demand for new sites continues to come primarily from MSA commitments and the Italy 5G Next Generation EU program, which we are pleased to say is progressing on track. The sites address coverage, capacity, and densification needs. With standalone 5G in Italy still being very limited, we anticipate a sustained demand for new sites in the long term. Moving to anchor PoPs on page six. 400 additional PoPs with TIM and Vodafone in the second quarter, for a total H1 figure of just above 1,000.

This is in line with commitments and coherent with full year expectations of approximately 2,000 new PoPs. Quarter on quarter, we discount the phasing effect of new PoPs activations on new sites, which we expect will normalize in H2. As mentioned in the past, in terms of mix, there is a growing proportion of new PoPs from new sites, while the common grid optimization program reaches maturity. Let's all on page seven. PoPs with clients other than TIM and Vodafone are up 13% year-on-year, further diversifying our client base. INWIT microsites serve multiple client categories and technologies, in particular, mobile, fixed wireless access, and IoT. In mobile, we added new PoPs with every major MNO. The FWA market seems to be stable at low levels of growth, with no further deterioration, and IoT clients continue to be resilient, expanding smart grid applications.

We added 520 new POPs in Q2, an improvement quarter-on-quarter and consistent with full-year expectations. Next, on page 8, we review new services. Quarter two revenues increased by approximately 40% year-on-year, reaching more than EUR 16 million. Notably, this is nearly EUR 2 million higher quarter-on-quarter. Growth was driven by the addition of 50 new locations served by indoor coverage solutions with DAS and repeater technologies, and tenancy ratio growth on the 520 locations we serve. The indoor coverage market continues to be dynamic, with greater market acceptance and appreciation of that technology. Location owners in a variety of different verticals, they did improved indoor connectivity, which enables advanced services that have a direct impact on their business. Indoor coverage projects are becoming larger and more complex, smart city-like opportunities, integrating multiple layers of managed infrastructure.

We are actively pursuing this market, and the Fiera Milano and Rome 5G projects we recently announced go in this direction. Next, we review the P&L. Revenue growth stood at 8.2%. The drivers were the inflation link, with the average figure of 2023 applied to INWIT MSAs, new tenants on new and existing sites, with tenancy ratio up to 2.28, and a 40% growth in new services, as discussed. OpEx were only marginally higher year-on-year. While we continue to invest to support growth in indoor coverage solutions, OpEx in Q2 2023 were seasonally high, thereby providing an easier comparison base. As a result, EBITDA margins went up to 91.6%. EBIT after lease improved by 11%, with margins up by nearly two percentage points to 72.4%, one of the highest in the sector.

This was supported by efficiency actions on these costs, with 400 real estate transactions in the quarter, the majority of which were land acquisitions. We're adding new sites and indoor locations to the cost base, along with inflation. However, real estate efficiency actions are effectively mitigating most of these cost effects. G&As, interest, and taxes were fairly stable quarter-on-quarter, leading to a 10.5% growth in net income. Moving to the cash flow on page 10. Recurring free cash flow was EUR 159 million in the second quarter, for a 68% cash conversion and in line with the full year guidance. This is a 6% improvement quarter-on-quarter, mostly based on better lease costs, net working capital, and financial charges, more than offsetting cash taxes, which were not present in Q1.

Recurring free cash flow is down year-on-year, only because 2023 seasonality net working capital, which was particularly positive in Q2 last year. Below the recurring line, we recorded EUR 67 million in gross CapEx and other items, EUR 451 million of dividend payments, and the continuation of the share buyback. Reported leverage stood at 4.9 times, slightly down year-on-year. When excluding the additional dividends paid in 2024, EUR 100 million, and the share buyback program, we reduced leverage by half a turn in a year. Quite a material result. With this, I hand it back to Diego. Thank you.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Thank you, Emilia. A few more words on my side, starting from a comment on the current evolution in the Italian telco market. Discretionary investments in mobile infrastructure have been limited to the minimum over the past few years. This is due not to the lack of demand, rather to the absence of appropriate returns for the operators in a very competitive market. The structural investments, however, cannot be postponed forever. As we can see here, Italy lags materially behind European peers. In 2024, we have seen transformational transactions being announced and executed in the Italian telco industry, with the potential to unleash higher investments.... These transactions, and maybe others to come, are expected to have a neutral to positive effect on INWIT, both directly and indirectly.

This is because the MSA is strong and protective, with all or nothing clause, and allows for extra fees in case of use of additional frequencies, as it is often the case when two MNOs combine. In summary, INWIT delivered a resilient Q2, and can count on the best infrastructure assets and unique industrial capabilities, features that allow us to be well-positioned to capture the structural growth trends in the digital infrastructure in Italy. With this, I thank you, and we are now ready for the Q&A session.

Operator

Thank you. This is the Chorus Call conference operator. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. To remove yourself from the question queue, please press star and two. Please pick up the receiver when asking questions. Anyone who has a question may press star and one now. In interest of time, we kindly ask you to limit yourself to one question at a time only. The first question is from Roshan Ranjit with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Roshan Ranjit
Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Great. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for the question. My question is on the OLO progression, and I think as you alluded to last quarter, we did see a pickup in the net adds. I guess my question is, that didn't necessarily translate to a big boost in the revenue number in the quarter. I guess that's down to the IoT mix. So how should we think about that mix going into H2? Should we expect a further pickup in the net adds? Will that be driven by IoT? And anything you could say around the price and differential between an FWA pop and an IoT pop, that will be very helpful. Thank you.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Yeah. Thank you, Roshan. Yeah, I think that the quarter shows an encouraging sign with the 500 adds. This, as we shared, reflects the component of IoT, and overall, does not reflect yet the acceleration in fixed wireless access tenants. So overall, in terms of mix, we need to discount the fact that the IoT revenue per unit is at a lower price. Also interesting to mention that the other MNOs are overall progressing, and we continue to do a decent, good level of tenants also with those. So in short, good progress, acceleration with fixed wireless access still to happen.

Roshan Ranjit
Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Thank you. And if I could just follow up, do you still expect that FWA access, sorry, FWA acceleration to come in the second half of the year, or is that now kind of pushed out to 25?

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Yeah, I think it's rational to expect a trend which is slightly above to the current level.

Roshan Ranjit
Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay, thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Andrew Lee with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Andrew Lee
Stock Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Good morning, everyone. I had a question just on shareholder returns. So you obviously haven't quite completed your buyback yet, but your Net Debt to EBITDA is running quite low and obviously goes well below the low end of your targeted range by the end of this year. I wonder if you could just comment on how you're thinking about capital allocation. My understanding is that kind of inorganic or M&A investment opportunities are scarce. And if shareholder returns are the obvious way to allocate capital, how quickly will you make a decision on this, given that it looks like the balance sheet is a bit underutilized as things stand? Thank you.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Thank you, Andrew. Yeah, let me take the opportunity to recap our, our approach and framework. We think, starting from the leverage, we think that we may support the structural leverage up to 6x, considering the business profile. In the, in the current context, and given also the cost of funding, we have been having a more prudent approach, defining the corridor, the upside between 5x and 5.5x. And overall, we believe that, a leverage below 5x will be, will mean to have an inefficient capital structure. And this means that, by 2026, considering our leverage trajectory, we have a financial flexibility, which is, about EUR 1.5 billion.

Then in terms of terms of allocation, I think our priorities are clear. We clearly are focused on growth as well as shareholder remuneration. In terms of growth, the opportunities are related to large special coverage projects, manage the service, active equipment, as well as small regional edge data center. These are the adjacent businesses where we may see opportunities clearly on top to the more sites, more land, more dots as part of the organic investments. The market is fluid, clearly, is in a transformation period, so opportunities may arise. Let me also say that at this stage, we don't have in the pipeline projects or opportunity which have a particular material level.

So having said that, and consistency with the past, we will continue to assess the opportunities in the market, as well as assessing the opportunity to increase shareholder remuneration in the framework of, as I said, the market dynamics, in the framework of the cost of funding, and consistent also with the finalization and execution of the current buyback. So I think that, within the next couple of quarters, we will continue to monitor the situation, and by no later than early next year, early 2025, we will have another round of capital allocation.

Andrew Lee
Stock Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Welcome.

Operator

The next question is from Stefano Gamberini with Equita. Please go ahead.

Stefano Gamberini
Senior Analyst in Research Team, Equita

Hey, good afternoon, everybody, and many thanks for taking my question. As regarded the full year guidance, could we expect that the revenues could be in the low part of the range of EUR 1.03 billion-EUR 1.16 billion, considering this trend of OLOs that remains, if understood correctly, at low, mid, low single digits in forthcoming quarters? And if you can elaborate a little bit also on 2025 expectations, considering that CPI probably will be close to 1%, and what we can say, the upside for anchor tenants contract commitment versus the CPI level. Could you elaborate a little bit about this? Thanks a lot.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Got you, Stefano. Yeah, we so far we have been growing revenues high single digits, with Q1 stronger than Q2. Overall, in the H1, growth has been 8.6%, and we expect a similar trend for H2, which is consistent with the guidance range. Then, clearly there are opportunities to work on the discretionary spend, and to expect a little bit of further acceleration. With regards to the inflation, our base assumption is 2% per year up to 2026. Current year in Italy is slightly below. It's about, I think the consensus is higher than 1%, it's between 1% and 1.5%.

We may remember that the impact of inflation is 1 percentage point of inflation means EUR 5 million EBITDA. So in the framework of, let me say, 2026 targets, I think this is an element that clearly is well within our guidance range. Again, the consensus for 2025 expects a coming back, an increase of inflation at about to two and two plus 2. So let me say, let's see how things will evolve. The impact is relatively small, and again, probably this range of the 2024 inflation in Italy is lower than the general and than the medium-term trend.

Let me also say that clearly CPI has also to be a lower, lower CPI and inflation under control overall in the macroeconomic environment means lower interest costs, and also for INWIT in general, a lower cost of capital.

Stefano Gamberini
Senior Analyst in Research Team, Equita

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Usman Ghazi with Berenberg. Please go ahead.

Usman Ghazi
Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Hello. Thank you for the opportunity. I just wanted to touch base on the anchor PoPs, which you know, as you mentioned in the presentation, was a little bit below the 600 per quarter run rate. It was around 400, I think, in Q2. You mentioned there's some phasing elements there. So just wanted to confirm that you know, you would expect this to get back up to kind of the 600 range through the second half. And then just related to this, so you've mentioned that you know, you would expect H...

So, you know, H1 growth, 8.6%, that's a better proxy for how you expect to be doing in the second half than the Q2 run rate, which is, you know, in the low eights. Could you perhaps bridge the main kind of, you know, moving parts as to how you go from the Q2 kind of low eights to H2, which you're implying is going to be closer to the 9% in terms of revenue growth? Thank you.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Thanks, Usman. With regards to the anchor tenants PoPs, yeah, one is lower than the recent trend on the back of a very strong... Of course, sorry, Q2 is lower, and on the back of a very strong Q1. Overall, the half year is well on track. It's 1,000 PoPs, anchor PoPs, and this is fully consistent with the full year target of 2,000, which is confirmed and well within sights, considering the pipeline and the work in progress. So 1,000 half one, 1,000 in half two, and 2,000 in the full year, consistent with the target. With regards to the half year revenue growth, yeah, there are clearly levers, commercial levers we work on.

Clearly, we have, you know, the big bulk, which is moving on track, and the committed growth underpinned by new sites and new tenants. We have new businesses which have been growing quite well, and it's confirming the opportunity in the market and the INWIT ability to capture this opportunity. And this is where we may see some further acceleration in the second half of the year. Although, as well, as we said, FWA has not yet shown the acceleration expected. That can be, can go a little bit better in the second half of the year. So it's about the discretionary investments from anchors and a little bit of all those may support the second half of the year.

Steady, resilient, strong trend already embedded in half one, with a little bit of potential acceleration in half two.

Usman Ghazi
Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Got it. Thank you.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Welcome.

Operator

The next question is from Fabio Pavan with Mediobanca. Please go ahead.

Fabio Pavan
Executive Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Mediobanca

Yes. Hi, thank you for taking my question. I found the slide on the Italian digital inframarket quite interesting. I personally share your view on needs for Italy to invest more on 5G infrastructure. My question is, in your conversation with TLC player, do you have the sense that this point is well taken, and we may have an acceleration eventually, if not in the second half of this year, in the first part of next year? Thank you.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

I think that the market and all as well as, as reflected in all the different comparison statistics, show the need for better infrastructure for and better connectivity and more investment to support the digitalization of the country. The demand is clear and there. The opportunity is to have a market structure which is more sustainable, and therefore more able to support what has been postponed so far. So an acceleration of investments to catch up and to bring the digitalization in the economic and social life at least closer to European and international levels. So if we talk about...

And there are some programs which have been, you know, supported by the state, such as the 5G in rural areas, which are progressing. And I think that this will be also the trigger to accelerate in other areas, in market areas, where, again, talking about the opportunities in the economy, in the economic life, in the businesses, to leverage more on digitalization, to save money, as well as to provide a better service to customers, as well as in the social life, when whatever we do now, a good smartphone connection is needed, both indoor and outdoor or in the underground or on a train. I think that the structural secular trend, I think there is no need to discuss about that. And I think that it is very clear that Italy is lagging behind.

And yes, I'm convinced that this gap will be closed in the next year, and a stronger market structure will support this trend.

Fabio Pavan
Executive Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Mediobanca

Thank you.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Welcome.

Operator

The next question is from Giorgio Tavolini with Intermonte. Please go ahead.

Giorgio Tavolini
Research Analyst, Intermonte

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. The first one is on the exercising of the 51% option in Boldyn Networks. I understand this is a very, let's say, not a material project, but could be very significant in for future cooperation with Boldyn in other for other opportunities. And I was wondering if you had further comment on this. The second question is on the Iliad remedies, if you got any update on the current situation. And the third one, very quickly, is on the electromagnetic limits. I was wondering if you see any change so far from your anchor tenant in the redesignation of, or optimization of their network architectures. Thank you.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Thank you, Giorgio. On the first one, yes, it's an interesting project, not particularly material, but it's interesting and fully consistent with our strategy on investing in key verticals such as transportation. So it's yeah, it's an interesting opportunity to... We are building the 5G metro in Milan. We will build the one in Rome. So it's again a next, a further development on the micro grid, on the indoor solution, on top of to the towers with an integrated approach supporting our customers. On the second point, Iliad, now good to see that we continue to do a decent level of business.

No significant change compared to the past, but good, good progress also extended to, to DAS and to indoor, coverage, solutions. On the EMF, no, no significant change yet. We are, I think all the operators and regulators and are in the, in the, let me say, still in the, assessment study and, approach. No, no impact, no change yet visible in, in the, in the market.

Giorgio Tavolini
Research Analyst, Intermonte

Many thanks.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Thank you.

Operator

Mr. Ruffini, gentlemen, there are no more questions registered at this time.

Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations, INWIT

Thank you, everyone, for connecting. Have a great day.

Diego Galli
General Manager, INWIT

Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining. The conference is now over.[Foreign language]

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