Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane S.p.A. (BIT:INW)
Italy flag Italy · Delayed Price · Currency is EUR
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May 8, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: H1 2022

Jul 28, 2022

Operator

Good afternoon. This is the Chorus Call conference operator. Welcome, and thank you for joining the Inwit First Half 2022 Results Conference Call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Should anyone need assistance during the conference call, they may signal an operator by pressing star and zero on their telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Fabio Ruffini, Head of Investor Relations of Inwit. Please go ahead, sir.

Fabio Ruffini
Head of Investor Relations, INWIT

Good evening, everyone. Thank you for taking the time to join us for Inwit Second Quarter 2022 Results Conference Call. With me today are Giovanni Ferigo, our Chief Executive Officer, and Diego Galli, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, please allow me to draw your attention to the safe harbor statement on page two. Following our presentation, we'll be happy to take your questions. Over to you, Giovanni.

Giovanni Ferigo
CEO, INWIT

Thank you, Fabio, and welcome everyone. Today's presentation is focused on a few messages. Rebound of KPIs, more than doubling new sites versus Q1, step up in all of. Continued execution of financial targets with high single-digit organic revenue growth, margin expansion and confirming 2022 guidance. A stronger infrastructure with two new commercial agreements for hundreds of new sites, adding value for the long term. The net positive impact of inflation on financials and on business plan targets. The confirmation of the structural positive trend in the wireless infrastructure industry and Inwit assets, macro and microgrid, well-positioned to capture this growth. A quarter of solid progress, which confirms our role as the main wireless infrastructure company in Italian market. The key results of the quarter are displayed on page four. Beginning with industrial KPIs, we delivered the rebound we discussed last time we spoke.

New sites and all POPs more than doubled versus Q1. We have an improved internal site delivery process and there is a positive demand for fixed wireless access and Optimo. This trend will continue in the coming quarters. Demand for new sites in Italian market is very strong. Regarding financials, we started the year strongly in Q1 and Q2 confirmed this trend. Consistency across quarters is an important feature of our business model. On the best organic revenue growth trend in the industry at +9% with 30% EBITDA growth, margin expansion and solid cash flow generation. This is supported by lease cost efficiency with more than 650 renegotiations and buyouts. The next three pages focus on the main components of our revenues, beginning with anchor on page five. Anchor POPs are up 7% year-on-year.

This is driven by NSA commitments and the industrial need to improve governance and roll out 5G in the most efficient way. That is through the partnership with Inwit. We added 2,500 new POPs over the past year and are satisfied about the pickup in new sites. We delivered 120 new sites, a sign that the changes we made internally are working. We expect higher site delivery in the coming quarters and 500 sites in 2022. POP growth was lower, mainly due to lower new sites build activity in Q1. NSA commitment continuing driving our P&L, and we expect an improvement in anchor POPs in the second half of the year based on the current pipeline. Turning to our clients on page six.

PoPs by other clients were up strongly year-on-year, plus 15%, confirming the quality of our assets and Inwit's role as neutral host. One of the best results in the industry and a record quarter for Inwit. 540 new tenants, nearly double versus Q1. Fixed wireless access and Optimo clients supported the results with MNOs still focused on towns below 35,000 population, where their remedies don't apply. This is a diversified client base placing equipment and sensors on our towers for a limited incremental cost and low electromagnetic field spectrum. The commercial effort on the Optimo category is being effective. We address the strong demand from mobility and security companies, adding services to the tower, which is becoming more and more a digital asset.

Having delivered a solid Q2, our focus now shifts to making sure we keep a high run rate in the coming quarters. Moving to new services on page seven. This is a very dynamic part of our business, where DAS and repeaters work in synergy with tower macro sites. Market demand is driven by coverage needs of transportation infrastructure and indoor location, with a variety of different customer and application verticals. Corporate headquarters, entertainment venues, hospitals, industrial sites, and public administration buildings. So far in 2022, the healthcare verticals have been the most interesting. There are more than 3,000 locations in Italy which will need to be covered by 2026, and we target about one-third of the market. Going forward, we expect a further pickup in new services, which will grow at rates above Inwit average in the coming years, also supported by Next Generation EU.

Two important new commercial agreements on page eight. With the quarterly results, we are also proud to share two important agreements which will reinforce our asset base and long-term potential. First, Open Fiber, an important client to Inwit, where the partnership is reinforced by a new contract for the building of sites in remote areas. This adds visibility to our overall growth targets. The 5G Next Generation EU tender, where we led a consortium with TIM and Vodafone to win all six available lots. The aim of the tender is to support 5G adoption in white areas through new sites where the investments are subsidized for 90%. This goes in the direction of confirming our expectation for Next Generation EU, positive for the industry, but mostly with an indirect long-term impact rather than transformational in the short term.

The two new commercial agreements with large customers affirming Inwit as a key digital infrastructure player in Italy and supporting the reduction of digital divide. Let's now turn to the financials. Diego, over to you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Thank you, Giovanni, and good evening, everybody. The financial performance of the second quarter built on the progress made in Q1 to confirm the growth trend for the full year. While in 2021 we were focused on stepping up the pace of growth, now we expect to maintain this cruising speed. In terms of growth drivers, anchor revenues were driven by MSA commitments and new pops on existing and new sites. All those and other revenues are up because of new pops in services like design, installation, and maintenance. New services more than doubled, also due to the highway tunnel investment made in 2021. As a reminder, the current positive inflation impact on the P&L is related to the 1.9% average Italian CPI of 2021.

EBITDA margin is in line with the plan at 91%, and most of our efforts on cost efficiency revolve around ground leases, where, with about 650 sites renegotiation and buyout in the quarter, we continue to make tangible progress. EBITDA growth continues to outpace revenue growth +13% year-on-year, with margins up from 66% - 68%. Now cash flow on slide 10. Recurring cash flow generation in the second quarter was robust at more than EUR 101 million, up 11% year-on-year. We convert margins into cash at a structurally high level due to double-digit EBITDA growth, limited recurring CapEx, and a neutral net working capital cycle. In the quarter, we note the presence of cash taxes about EUR 24 million.

This is a large proportion of the total tax cash out for the year, which is confirmed at about EUR 30 million. Slightly negative working capital, neutralizing the positive move in Q1, and growth CapEx mainly for new sites and acquisition, including the impact of inflation. EUR 14 million cash out for the second tax scheme approved in 2021, and the normalization of one-off cash movement in Q1 as expected. Considering the phasing of tax cash out and working capital, we confirm the cash flow target for 2022. Net debt stood at EUR 4.3 billion, up quarter-on-quarter, essentially to allow for dividend payment of EUR 305 million. Leverage stood at 5.6 times, and we will deliver materially by year-end, when we will be at approximately 5.2 times.

We progressively create balance sheet flexibility as a leverage target here, optionality to push on growth or to increase shareholder remuneration. After the merger, Inwit debt profile has been optimized with no maturities before 2025 and fixed component at 80%. In summary, we delivered a positive set of group results with growing margins and profitability, and expect this growth to accelerate further in the next year also thanks to a positive external environment. Giovanni, over to you.

Giovanni Ferigo
CEO, INWIT

The strength of Inwit MSA is evident in the current environment of elevated inflation, and it implies an upside to guidance. Inwit revenues are all inflation-linked, with the MSAs having a zero floor and no cap. Despite OpEx and ground lease also being impacted, 1% inflation means more than EUR 5 million EBITDA. The market operational and industrial drivers of our business plan are confirmed. Assuming 2022 inflation from 2% - 6.5% means going above the top end of guidance for 2023 revenues and EBITDA. Due to the interest cost of variable debt at the recurring free cash flow level, we will achieve the top end of the range or EUR 600 million in 2023. The benefits of 2022 inflation will not be temporary. They will add to the run rate.

The 2026 business plan will also benefit from it. Recurring free cash flow, higher inflation means a 2026 target of more than EUR 700 million. Let's turn now to ESG, an integral part of the way we do business. Inwit assets connect more and more people to high-speed network and allow for infrastructure to be shared by operators, reducing the use of resources and creating efficiency in the industry. We are therefore structurally sustainable. We set ambitious targets in our sustainability plan, the key one being carbon neutrality by 2024, and have been making constant progress. In the first six months of the year, we added ESG KPI to our revolving credit facility extension. We were included in Bloomberg Gender-Equality Index.

Our emission reduction targets were approved by Science Based Targets initiative, continued covering hospitals, remote and underdeveloped areas, also with the agreement with Open Fiber and 5G Next Generation EU tender. More essentially, we joined the FTSE4Good Index after a material improvement of our rating. Going forward, we will continue to update you on our progress on a semi-annual basis as we optimize the use of energy and develop innovative technology. A few final remarks on page 13. The results of the first six months demonstrate that there is a material growth opportunity for wireless infrastructure operators, and that we are on track to deliver on our targets. Based on the superior quality of our assets and long-term partnership with the key operators in Italy, we expect to continue growing at top level in the industry in organic terms, progressively generating balance sheet flexibility, which is an added optionality.

Towers are among the few user proximate, connected and equipped assets, and there are new opportunities to provide value-added infrastructural services in a context of strong demand and growing investment in digitalization. Thank you, everyone. Now, we are ready for the Q&A session.

Operator

This is the Chorus Call conference operator. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. To remove yourself from the question queue, please press star and two. Please pick up the receiver when asking questions. In the interest of time, please limit your questions to a maximum of one question each. Anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time. The first question is from Fabio Pavan of Mediobanca. Please go ahead.

Fabio Pavan
Executive Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Mediobanca

Yes. Hi, good evening, and thank you for taking my question. Since we have to limit to one, looking at the update you provided on Open Fiber and the National Recovery Plan, my question is, for sure this is an accelerator for your business. This would allow you to meet the targets which you have raised tonight. I was wondering if it's fair to argue that in the midterm, both the angle on 5G National Recovery Plan and in particular the business you are making with Open Fiber could allow you to capture more-

Business that so far is not visible in these two agreements. Thank you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Thank you, Fabio. Okay. This very, very important agreement for us is a pillar for the long term of our business, let me say growth. Because, let me say, we will collaborate with, let me say, Open Fiber to build and to cover the unserved, let me say, tenders of the white areas in Italy. In the midterm, okay, we are working in the designing and the location of the sites.

Let me say, jointly to the PNRR is an important role that the company is playing for the digitalization of the country, not only for the quality of the asset, but of the quality of our engineers to design, and to let me say, to locate the new sites for the customer needs. Okay. This is the scenario, no Diego? Yeah. Let me integrate, as you said, Fabio, this, the project, the fiber project, this part is embedded in our plan. But overall, we are expanding the perimeter of our infrastructure. Both projects allow us to have a better and a stronger and bigger infrastructure.

We are building on top of the current one that, as we know, is already the best in the country, and we keep on expanding. For the long term, considering also that the recovery funds investment timing is about 10 years, for the long term, this puts Inwit in a stronger position and in a position of strength in areas where the demand for digitalization is getting higher and higher, also supported by the government initiatives. Overall, yes, we would say that for the long term, this adds strength and opportunities for Inwit. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Simon Coles of Barclays. Please go ahead.

Simon Coles
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Hi all. Thanks for taking the question. Clearly we can see inflation is gonna be a benefit in 2023. I was just wondering, and I think you get asked this quite a lot on the lease side, is this making negotiations tougher or easier? I'm just wondering maybe with the cost of living crisis, if that's actually making it easier to buy out land leases in your discussions. Just any comment on how that's progressing, given how successful you've been so far. Thank you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Okay. Hi, Simon. Yeah, it is an interesting point. Let me say that so far we have not seen any significant change on the ground leases coming from the changed inflation scenario. On one side, clearly assets such as land are becoming more interesting. On the other side, there are the small landowners which are more under pressure from a financial point of view. In both cases, these are not, I can say, significant trends at the moment. What I think is important to highlight is the strength of our operational program, as proven by Q2, where we made more than 600 successful actions to reduce the ground lease cost. Overall, the program keeps on running and delivering benefits for the company, optimizing.

Until last year, we reduced in absolute terms the ground lease cost. We will keep on reducing despite the higher volume, and that somehow we will absorb part of the inflation increase.

Simon Coles
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Okay, cool. Thank you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Welcome.

Operator

The next question is from Roshan Ranjit of Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Roshan Ranjit
TMT Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Good evening, everyone. Thanks for the question. Good to see that CPI assumption has stepped up for FY 2023. I guess my question is, if I look at the midpoint of your EBITDA guidance range prior to this, so the EUR 650 million-EUR 690 million. If I take the midpoint EUR 670 million, and I think you previously said you reiterated today 1 percentage point has a greater than EUR 5 million EBITDA impact. That would mean at the midpoint, that would suggest EUR 693 million for FY 2023 EBITDA under this new assumption. Firstly, I guess, is that still in your eyes a conservative view? I mean, we've still got six months left or five months left of the year.

Can I just confirm that there isn't any change in the kind of volume assumptions that you have embedded into that guidance? Thank you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Thanks, Roshan. Yeah, let me say the business plan has not changed in real terms. Today's update is about the overlay, the impact, technical impact coming from the inflation assumption updates. The mechanics, the logic you have gone through is the right one. As is absolutely in line with the mechanism we share with you also in the previous quarter. The 1 percentage point of inflation basically leads to EUR 5 million additional EBITDA run rate. Clearly, honestly, the inflation estimate is constantly changing, is not yet stable.

You know, in Italy it's been 6% as actual so far, broadly 7% the estimate for the full year, but there are still some uncertainties mainly related to the energy prices. I guess I think the mechanism is very transparent, very clear. Your reasoning is absolutely correct. That's the reason why actually we have given an indication that is really linked to the fact that the business plan is confirmed, the basic range that we disclose is confirmed. Then there is the overlay that today has been quantified at about 6.5%. I guess it'll keep on changing. Again, the mechanism and the calculation can be updated basically by everyone based on the mechanism we share.

Roshan Ranjit
TMT Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay, thank you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Welcome.

Operator

The next question is from Jakob Bluestone of Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Jakob Bluestone
Head of European Telecoms Equity Research, Credit Suisse

Hi. I had one probably very quick question, which is there an update on the Iliad process that you can provide or any indication when we might hear something next? Thank you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Okay. As you know, there is no news on the table. We are waiting for the final decision of the European Commission in Brussels and the Court of Brussels. Okay. We are, as let me say, in the. We are working with Iliad in the municipalities under 55,000 inhabitants, waiting something happen. Let me say, I want to only underline and remind you that, in October, this procedure will have two years. I think that is something really to understand, but not easy to understand, and we hope that this will be solved quickly.

Jakob Bluestone
Head of European Telecoms Equity Research, Credit Suisse

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Jerry Dellis of Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Jerry Dellis
European Telecom Analyst, Jefferies

Yes, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. Question is related to Anchor tenancy growth, please. I understand that the slowdown in Anchor tenancy adds in second quarter was related to the lower level of site build in the first quarter. The consensus is looking for Anchor POP net adds of about 3,300 for the full year. Are you okay with that? And then what flexibility would an Anchor tenant have to perhaps change its commitments to you? Has an Anchor tenant asked that question? If you were to be faced with an Anchor tenant that had balance sheet constraints seeking to renegotiate its commitments, how would you respond? Thank you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Thanks, Jerry. Let me start from the second part of your question, which is related to the MSAs. The MSAs, we've got the MSAs with these two tier one anchor tenants, which are very strong MSAs. You may remember they are built on basically three components, the fixed fee, which is updated with inflation, with no CapEx or a zero. There are the committed revenues. Then on top, we have the role of preferred supplier for additional opportunities. The committed revenues, I guess, is the core of your question. When we say committed is committed, and the commitment is related to the total value generated over a specific period of time, as well as the revenue profile over the years.

There is flexibility in terms of service mix. There is a little bit of flexibility over quarters, but the commitment is very clear and strong. The operational plans we have with the anchor tenants are fully supporting the committed revenues. Having said that, coming to the first part of your question, in terms of new sites, we discuss this in different quarters, and last quarter is an example. On the development of new sites, we have not been. We've not really been at a steady state. There have been some blips. What is now the focus is to have a steady delivery of new sites. We are happy with this quarter, and we've got strong visibility on the next quarter.

We will see a more steady and accelerated progress on new sites that will support the acceleration of new tenants with the Anchor tenants.

Jerry Dellis
European Telecom Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. Could I just clarify that 3,300 anchor POP adds for the full year then is an achievable target? I think that would require about between 800 and 900 a quarter. No, sorry. It would require, let's see, about 1,000 a quarter in the second half.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

That's fair. We don't have in the run rate, and as well as in the operational plan for the next quarter, this number. We will accelerate further, and we are confirming overall, you know, the revenues for the year and the breakdown actually from different customers anyway, as we did basically in the last few quarters. Overall in terms of KPIs, we have been a little bit behind. Despite that, we have delivered on revenue and cash flow generation. Actually we will benefit in the future from the acceleration of the KPIs. This is related to the anchor as you underlined, but also honestly to all.

We are very pleased by the current quarter. That is also a quarter which shows the results of the changes that in the company have been implemented. Is for us really a quarter where we delivered exactly in line as expected, and we have a very strong visibility for the strong quarters as well. It's a quarter which marks for us a change, a positive change for the future.

Jerry Dellis
European Telecom Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from David Guarino of Green Street. Please go ahead.

David Guarino
Managing Director, Green Street

Thanks. Just a quick one and then I'll follow up if that's permissible. The first one is, can you talk about any changes to your IRR expectations when you're underwriting investments today? I'm asking that especially just in light of your current cost of capital and the general economic uncertainty.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Hi, David. Overall, in terms of returns on the investments, we don't see any significant change. We have a policy of double-digit unlevered IRR, which is basically all projects are above. Let me say the key point about double-digit IRRs is to have two tenants on the site or two tenants on the DAS for the indoor coverage. That brings the returns comfortably higher than the 10%. That's one of the strength we with having two anchor tenants as key customers, which secure us a double-digit IRR and allow then for further upside, if we decide the business situation.

David Guarino
Managing Director, Green Street

That's helpful. As a kind of a follow up to that, on slide seven, your new services slide. Can you maybe talk a little bit about the process of how you win new projects? Is that purely based on bidding, or does Inwit have any sort of strategic advantage when they win these deals? Maybe just comment on the level of competition you're seeing when you go after more of like the hospitals and the entertainment and industrial type projects.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Actually, in terms of process, for new, let me say DAS or indoor coverage, we have a process whereby either we drive selecting some specific locations and proposing them to the customers, or we follow and we address the request from the anchor tenant. What is clearly for us a competitive advantage is that we have, as we said, two anchor tenants, and we have a preferred supplier role with the anchor tenants. Clearly this gives us a competitive advantage. The development of the microgrid is what we are working on. To complement the macro with-

Giovanni Ferigo
CEO, INWIT

We did a very detailed study. There are 11,000 locations that need a dedicated coverage in Italy in the next in the plan. We choose 3,000 of these, and we are sure to upgrade 1,000 of these locations. Okay. We continue to cover hospitals as you have probably read. We gained the target of to have covered 40 hospitals in Italy. Okay. That is very, very important. We are working in the public administration because the digital divide incredibly is in the public administration's offices too, that need to improve the capacity.

As I said many times, we target the infrastructure monitoring transport, where, through the, let me say, dedicated coverage, as tunnels, train stations and monitoring the quality of the infrastructure. We can play a very important role.

Let me say the agreement with Open Fiber underlines, proves our credibility and reputation in this context, in this environment, and we will be able to surprise everyone in the market in the next year.

David Guarino
Managing Director, Green Street

Matteo, thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Stefano Gamberini of Equita SIM. Please go ahead.

Stefano Gamberini
Financial Analyst, EQUITA

Good afternoon, everybody. One question regarding the deal between Ardian and TIM, if you have some information on that. We read in the press that the government decided to exercise its Golden Power in terms of provision for the acquisition of this stake. The timing seems to be quite long. I don't know if you have some comments on that, or do you see at risk this deal, considering that on the other side there was already a similar deal two years ago between Hutchison and Cellnex. Thanks.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Thank you, Stefano. We read probably as you that the government released the Golden Power, let me say, regulation to the operation. We are waiting for the conclusion of the agreement between Ardian and TIM. In this sense, we will let me say, do all the necessary steps to manage this change of control finally. Okay?

Giovanni Ferigo
CEO, INWIT

Just to clarify the meaning of release perhaps. We read as you did that the green light was given, so it's just a matter of time for the next steps to happen. First thing, the closing, and then obviously the next steps after that.

Stefano Gamberini
Financial Analyst, EQUITA

Okay, thanks.

Operator

The next question is from Fernando Cordero of Banco Santander. Please go ahead.

Fernando Cordero
Head of European TMT Equity Research, Banco Santander

Hello. Hello, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. It's a follow-up on the, let's say, potential organic investments. In that sense, sorry, I would like to hear your more fresher, or your fresher thoughts regarding the EUR 1 billion balance sheet leeway that you have by 2023. In that sense, even the potential upgrade given by the inflation scenario is even giving more aggressivity on this potential, let's say, balance sheet leeway. I would like to understand how do you see the potential opportunities in Italian market? I understand that Open Fiber could be one of these. I don't know how we stand to increment your activity in buying land, considering the current inflation scenario would make sense.

Just to understand, on top of the news or the deals that you have already announced, how your thoughts on potential incremental organic CapEx opportunities on the market are giving you a balance sheet leeway, particularly on 2023. Thank you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Thanks, Fernando. Yeah, actually, as we discussed, we are very pleased that we are building quarter after quarter the financial flexibility and we are step-by-step now getting to a level of leverage which will create this financial headroom. As the priorities from our side are on keep on somehow replicating the successful model implemented so far to an extended perimeter, to a bigger footprint. For sure, we are focused on doing more organic growth CapEx, which returns are particularly high. As we can more land, buyout or more investment in more portfolio sites or investments such as the one we did last year on the highway tunnel.

Also, we are interested in potential, let me say M&A, in Italy or Europe, but we focus on opportunities which create industrial synergies, the chance to have industrial synergies. Again, M&A opportunities which allow us to extend the perimeter, focusing on the core of our business and leveraging on what we are good to do. Meaning, increasing the value per tower, increasing the revenue per tower, increasing the margin in profits per tower. That's the strategic and the approach. Clearly it's not easy to find targets in the sense that in Italy there are not obvious targets.

In Europe, we see clearly prices particularly high as well as cases where the NSA and MNOs are not supporting the possibility to create tangible and meaningful industrial synergies. Strategy and approach is confirmed. Very happy to have the financial headroom coming closer. Let me also say that as always, if no tangible opportunity will be identified, clearly we will consider also the additional shareholder remuneration.

Fernando Cordero
Head of European TMT Equity Research, Banco Santander

Makes sense. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Georgios Ierodiaconou of Citi. Please go ahead.

Georgios Ierodiaconou
Director, Citi

Yes. Hi, thank you for taking my question. And apologies if it's been asked, but I had a moment where I dropped off accidentally. I just wanted to follow up on what has just been asked around your decision on capital allocation. I just wanted to maybe get an update as to your thinking in terms of the timing, when you would look at this. I think you mentioned during the presentation, the 5.2 times net debt to EBITDA expectation by the end of the year. When do you expect to make a decision on the use of this headroom? Is it a full year kind of decision, or could it be made during the course of next year? Just to clarify, just a quick one around the guidance.

I'm just curious as to why you're guiding for EBITDA above the top end of the range, yet your return on equity cash flow at the high end of the previous range. Is there some working capital or something else that is causing this difference between EBITDA and return on equity cash flow? Thank you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Yes, in terms of timing, we will get to 5.2 by year end. We are happy and we think that our corridor of leverage between five to six is still meaningful. We think we shouldn't be out of this corridor for a prolonged period of time, so for multiple quarters. We think it's clearly, let me say, it's a reasonable prospect that in 2023, in the initial part of 2023, a decision will be taken. But also, it depends on how and when which opportunities will come out. But overall, yes, 2023 is clearly an important, let me say, checkpoint of the implementation of our strategy.

With regard to your second question, it's the result of the fact that the interest rates are moving. We have 20% of our debt which is floating, which is variable. The number on recurring free cash flow assumes an increase of interest rates. That's why the recurring free cash flow is impacted by that. That is at the top of the range, not above it.

Georgios Ierodiaconou
Director, Citi

Very clear. Thank you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Welcome.

Operator

The next question is from Giorgio Tavolini of Intermonte. Please go ahead.

Giorgio Tavolini
Equity Research Analyst, Intermonte

Hi. Good evening. Thanks for taking my questions. I was wondering if you can clarify just one aspect on the business model of behind the Open Fiber deal. You talked about double digit IRR, which is technically possible, at least with two tenants, generally speaking. I was wondering if you will be able to host other fixed wireless operators' equipment on this site or only Open Fiber will be, so this site will be mono tenant since Open Fiber is the only operator allowed to invest in these white areas having awarded the Infratel tenders. Thank you.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Ciao, Giorgio. Yes. Let me start on this. Clearly, the deal is commercially sensitive, but let me say that the deal and therefore the economics of the deal have been tailored to the specifics of the deal. So far with Open Fiber, basically we did new tenants on existing sites and pricing have reflected that. This is a different approach where our new tenants on new sites, therefore pricing reflects the different arrangements. Also, the sites are tailored in the sense that will be segmented and dedicated according to the specific operational plan. The CapEx per site will be, let me say, different from the averages we usually talk about. Having said that.

Giovanni Ferigo
CEO, INWIT

I want to add something, Diego. Okay, these are tailored new sites that will permit to Open Fiber to be compliant with the previous, let me say tenders, but that need to cover buildings. These sites are totally open to the other fixed wireless access operators. This is the interesting, let me say, story that we will, let me say, manage in the next years.

Giorgio Tavolini
Equity Research Analyst, Intermonte

Okay. Thank you. Very clear.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Welcome.

Operator

The last question is a follow-up from Stefano Gamberini of Equita SIM. Please go ahead.

Stefano Gamberini
Financial Analyst, EQUITA

Thanks a lot. Just a clarification regarding the trend of new POPs during the second part of the year. At the beginning, you said that the speed you expect to reach is in the region of 1,500 POPs per quarter, sooner or later. This level could be reached, according to you, during the second part of the year or the risk is to postpone to 2023. Just to understand what are the commitment from the anchor tenants and considering that this commitment are related to the revenues, are these revenues adjusted for inflation or not in the contract with the anchor tenants? Many thanks. I have two questions actually. Thank you, Stefano.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

See, Stefano, yes. Let me absolutely. The run rate of KPIs is clearly main driver. The run rate of new tenants is main driver of growth of the company, and it's coming from the new tenants on existing sites as well as new sites from anchor and others. We have basically more than 25,000 new pops targeted by 2026, which overall means slightly less than 1,000 sites per quarter. Clearly the first three years of the plan by 2023 has a much faster rate than actually being extremely precise, is 1,350 rather than 1,500, though is clearly higher than the run rate we had so far.

That's the run rate that we still target. We will be gradually getting there, so probably will not be the average of the R2, but we will see higher and interesting number in the next few quarters. We will get closer, if not to that level. Let me take also the opportunity to say that, in the last, now I guess eight quarters, you know, somehow we have been catching up on KPIs from an operational point of view. Despite the blips or some delays, we have been able to generate revenues thanks to actually managing pricing, I would say, very well.

Thanks to additional services that are sort of upsell to our customers, thanks to the growth of new businesses. I think that overall the KPIs will keep on improving and somehow that will make the next quarters and the next years even more solid or robust than what we have achieved so far. The blips we have seen so far actually can be recovered in a couple of quarters, based on the run rate, the future run rate we spoke.

Operator

Gentlemen, there are no more questions registered at this time.

Diego Galli
CFO, INWIT

Thank you everybody for connecting. Have a good evening.

Stefano Gamberini
Financial Analyst, EQUITA

Thank you. Bye.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining. The conference is now over. You may disconnect your telephones. Thank you.

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