Shurgard Self Storage Ltd (EBR:SHUR)
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Apr 30, 2026, 5:35 PM CET
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Earnings Call: H2 2022

Feb 20, 2023

Operator

Thank you for joining us in person and virtually for the Shurgard year end 2022 results. I'm here with Marc Oursin, CEO, Jean Kreusch, CFO, and Isabel Neumann, Chief Investment Officer. Before we begin, we want to remind you that all statements other than statements of a historical fact included in this management presentation are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected by the statements. This risk and other factors could adversely affect our business and future results that are described in our earnings release and in our publicly reported information. You can find a press release and an audio webcast replay of this management presentation and on our S`hurgard.eu website. With that, I will turn over to Marc.

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

You need the mic? I have a mic. Yeah, it's good. Thank you. Let's start the journey with these great numbers, 2022. You will have this agenda, I will start with a couple of numbers, talking about the key strategies. Isabel will join us, present you everything we have done in terms of increase of size, square meters and` pipeline. Jean will come back on the more detailed numbers, P&L, cash flow and balance sheet, talking also about the outlook and the medium term guidance. I will end with a conclusion, happy to open to any questions that you have. First, yes, Shurgard is a unique platform with a long runway, which is great. Talking about uniqueness, again, another year of outperformance.

Secondly, proven by benefits from our geographic spread, and I will come back to this later. With the results, of course, on an acceleration from our scalable proptech platform. Regarding the runway, we have over-delivered in 22 in terms of square meters, so in terms of development and also M&A. Regarding the pipeline, we've been able to build under the authority and the leadership of Isabel, a very strong development pipeline. Thirdly, the combination of these three levers of growth, optimizing existing buildings, so-called redevelopments, opening new properties, developments, purchasing some competitors, M&A, 7x geographies, clearly in an undersupplied and also highly fragmented markets are feeding our pipeline growth. Last but not least, all of that is framed within a very robust balance sheet and also very disciplined capital allocation and returns.

We are becoming a UK REIT next month. On top of that, we are the sector leader in terms of sustainability and ESG credentials. Talking about the numbers, you have here on the left side the growth on different aggregates for the company. The top line year-on-year at constant exchange rate has grown up almost by 12%, 11.7% precisely. The NOI, so what we call actually kind of operational EBITDA, grew by 13.6%. The earnings after tax grew by 10.1% year-on-year. Combined to this, you have, as I explained to you already, a very significant pipeline for starting from 2022 and onward of almost 150,000 square meter, which is more than 1.5 million sq ft.

Representing, which is I think even more important, 12% of the total existing footage of the company. If you look at the leverage of the company, we have a low leverage, 18% LTV-wise at the end of December 2022, or expressed as a net debt over EBITDA of 4.1. At the same time, the EPRA NTA has grown up by almost 17%. I will not come back on the details of the sustainability leadership that we have, but great numbers here. All of that is also based on the proven model. We believe that we are the best-in-class self-storage platform in Europe, and this is demonstrated by the fact that the occupancy is really high same store.

We have been able to reach 90.5% across the platform, so for the same store, which means roughly 234 properties for the year 2022. At the same time to grow the rental, so average in-place rent by almost 9% on the same geography, which is total Europe over the year 2022. This is also based on what you see on the right side of the graph, of the table, sorry, which is how the customer base is structured and evolving. If you take 100% of our customers, you will find 37 of them that we call short-term customers that are staying on average 5 months. On the other side, you have customers above 1 year with us that on average stay close to 5 years.

What we have been able to do in 2022 is to increase to new customers, what we call street rates or board rates with, by the way, less discounts. Which means that these customers are getting in with a good level of move-in rate. At the same time to increase the existing customers, as we do every year, with a high level of increase, which has fed actually the growth of the total revenue. This mechanism is really, I would say, the heart of the revenue growth. If we go to the also long-term prospect, they are unchanged. Nothing has changed from that perspective in the sense that this business and this industry of self-storage is a B2C industry. This is very different than logistic. Our customers are households.

Secondly, we are, and our customers are, related to where they live, and it's an urban product. We need to be close to residential areas to make our business. The catchment areas are pretty small. Roughly within 10 minutes driving time, you have 50% of your customers. Having said that, this industry has been able to grow by on average 8% the past 10 years, the wave is massive and moving fast, that's good to surf on that kind of wave in, clearly. If you look at then the countries in Europe versus the U.S., this is the gray bars that you have on the graph.

The US, in terms of penetration of the industry, is if you take all the footage of the industry in the US divided by 350 million people living there, you will find a number of sq ft or square meters per capita, which is close to 10, 9.4 sq ft. If you do the same math for Europe, you will find 0.2, which is far less than the US. That's why I was telling you about the wave and the one that we have. Secondly, if you look at on the left side, these red bars, this is exactly the penetration, exactly the same computation.

How many square meters or sq ft of self-storage per city, and here you have the capital city from right to left, by the highest to the lowest, in terms of capita. You see that you have mainly three groups, one above one sq ft, sorry, per capita that are Stockholm, London, and Copenhagen. Then very close to one, you have Brussels and what we call Randstad. For, for Dutch native, it means the conurbation of Amsterdam, Utrecht, Rotterdam, and The Hague. Then you have Paris at only 0.6, and Berlin even far away with 0.3. What is interesting to note also is that in these cities, we are the number one or the number two by the size of the footage that we are operating there.

Clear, great dynamics and in a very good position to continue to capture them. I was mentioning to you our leadership or leading position for ESG. Our goal is to be net zero carbon operationally by 2030, which means mainly Scope one and Scope two . How do we get there in terms of priorities? It's what you have on the left of the slide. The points here is that first to reduce your consumption. By reducing your consumption of electricity, of gas, you are able to reduce, of course, the CO2 emissions. If you can offset them with solar panel, you are becoming a net zero carbon Scope One and Two. This is what we are doing.

This year we are rolling out a complete and massive plan to replace all the lamps with LED lights. It looks pretty basic, but in the end, you save 70% of consumption, so it is a big impact on the, let's say, CO2 emissions. Secondly, in our buildings, you know, we are storing stuff. They don't need light, so we have only lights for humans in the corridors. If someone is there, the light is on, someone is not there, the lights are off. By doing that, we're able to target this objective. Secondly, regarding the ESG governance, we have already a great one, and we continue to, I would say, enhance it. And this year, Isabel will come back to that.

We'll have a board globally with less people, subject to, of course, the AGM. Our chairman will be also independent. Also, the ratio of genders will improve in the coming two years. Last but not least regarding ESG is how do you report all of that? We are based in terms of stock market in Brussels, on Euronext Brussels, you know that. We are following the EU Taxonomy from that point of view. Plus the fact that you have what you call physical climate risk change, that is new to us, and that is also very detailed in the annual report that has been published this morning. Back to the portfolio and the key numbers there.

We have today 266 properties spread over seven countries, representing roughly 1.3 million square meters, so close to probably 14-15 million sq ft, and with 180,082 precisely customers. What is important to note is that this is what you have on the map behind me or on your sides. The red dots are the capital cities of these countries. You know how capital cities in Europe, which is pretty different than the U.S., but are important. Usually, the capital cities in Europe are the largest cities by the population, the one with the highest growth, the one also with the highest level of income per capita. It's very interesting for our business, as I explained to you.

It's an urban product, it's good to be in these capital cities. 2/3 More or less of our portfolio, 180 out of 266, are located there. On the top of that, the remaining vast majority of the properties, the 69 you see, are in what we call tier one cities, just the cities of the size after the capital city, mainly in France, in Germany, in Sweden, and also in the Netherlands and also in Belgium. Another way to look at this portfolio is also proportion freehold/leasehold. 94% of our portfolio is freehold, which brings some benefit that Isabelle will come back with. Secondly, what kind of buildings where our real estate do we have? Again, close to two-thirds of that portfolio, 63% precisely, actually are what we call purpose-built.

They have been designed, constructed for self-storage, which means that the efficiency of the building between what you have built, the gross, and what you are renting, the net, is close and over 70%, which is also very important and good. Quite, still young portfolio. This purpose buildings have an average age of 15 years, that's fine. We are still in the teenage year of this portfolio. An important factor is the average size of the building. We have on average 5,000, bit more, 5,100 square meters per building, lettable, which is by the way versus the industry, much higher. The industry, I think, is close to 3,000 on average in Europe. By having larger building, fixed cost, larger margin in the end.

On the top of that, the bandwidth of this portfolio is very standard. Almost all the markets that we have, the seven countries, have this size of 5,000 square meter, which is again, very efficient in the way you run it. Back to the occupancy of I would say the last years and also the in-place rent and revenue growth. If you look at on that slide, the occupancy, we have been able to grow the occupancy quite distantly from 88 to 90.5 same store. What is a same store for us is a property that we run for at least more than three full years, which means that starting to be stabilized properties.

Which means that we have the highest level of occupancy of that kind of properties in Europe, with 90.5, which is great. Secondly also, if you look at the way this spread of occupancy is with the countries that we're operating, you can see that we go from 89 to 93, which is pretty narrow. You have a gap of only 4% in a way, 4 versus 89 and versus 93. This is clearly due to the fact that we are running and using a lot of data to manage our pricing. Pricing to get prospect into customers, but also pricing to increase existing customers. You understood the, I think, the mechanism. If you look at then the revenue.

We have been able to grow the revenue by almost 9% last year. I mean, the in-place rent between 2022 and 2021. What is interesting to notice on that graph is between the countries. The bars, the gray and the red bars are the absolute value of the in-place rent per geography. You have in the circle the growth. Well, this 9% growth of the in-place rent starts from a bit more than 7% in France, up to 12.3% in London, because we call London the U.K. Sorry for that, we are only in London. That's why you have the British flag at the bottom.

You see again that all the markets have performed very well because it goes from 7% to 12, more or less, with astonishing performance, we believe, in Belgium. You see the absolute value quite low, but the growth is 9.2%. It's a fantastic achievement in Belgium, but also in Germany with 9.5%, and Denmark and Sweden. Globally, a fantastic year when you have all the markets at the same time growing at that speed, with a quite consistent level, it's really good. This, as I said, is related to what we call the optimization of our digital platform. If we look at how customers have, let's say, evolved and also changed since COVID, it's just amazing.

You could have thought that self-storage is a very traditional, slow-moving company from a customer perspective. Not at all. Customers are behaving exactly the same when there's something which is going into their direction, they take it on and they apply it to their behavior. As an example, we have set up a new access control system in all our properties during the year, actually 2022. This is coupled with an app on your phone, Samsung or Apple. You stay in your car, you are Bluetooth recognized, the gate is opening. You arrive, you park your car, you go to the gate, the door of the building, same thing. You are recognized, you just push the door, it's opening. In the lift you go to the level, because our building are elevated.

You go to the lift, recognized, and you go to the floor where you are supposed to go, let's say the third floor, and then you take your unit. This today has been a fantastic change for our customers. That's why, by the way, that the way they rate us on Google is really high. We have the highest score with 4.8 out of 5. This number is based on 300 reviews all time per property across Europe, which is very significant and very massive. Again, the other point to remember is what we call e-rental. During the COVID, it was in 2021, we have rolled out, which is a full experience with your phone. It's very simple.

You are on your couch on a Sunday evening, let's say around Sunday night even, 9:00 P.M. Suddenly you think, and you talk, and you need some space. Well, you take your phone, you go on the website or you talk to your phone, Shurgard appears, you click, and within six minutes you have rented a unit for the day after. Today, in 2022, 30% of all the move-ins that we do are coming from that channel. Two years before, it was zero this way. Just to show you how people are fastly changing their behavior and how we can catch from that as soon as you have the right process, the benefits of it. Again, as a customer satisfaction, 1/3 of all these move-ins have been done outside business hours.

Which means the coach on Sunday at 9:00 P.M., even sometimes we are checking, I saw some people doing some move-ins at midnight. I don't know what they are doing at midnight, but they were suddenly needing something. It's a fantastic experience for our customers. Of course, the benefit of that is that how to drive our revenue, it has helped to support our revenue growth. Secondly, obviously, the fact that 30% of our customers are suddenly having a 100% experience through their mobile phone, you are able to optimize and to run your properties better. Having a good way to manage the potential impact of inflation on labor cost, therefore meaning that the margin has increased significantly in 2022.

On that, I will turn to Isabel and to let her sharing with you the great numbers that we have regarding the pipeline.

Isabel Neumann
CIO and COO, Shurgard Self Storage

Thank you, Marc.

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

You're welcome.

Isabel Neumann
CIO and COO, Shurgard Self Storage

Good morning, everybody. At the Investor Day in September 2021, one week after I arrived, we announced a new growth strategy whereby we committed to doubling the growth of the company. As a recap, we grow using three levers. The first one is we expand the size of our existing buildings, redevelopments. Secondly, new developments. We buy a piece of land, and we build a property, self-storage property on it. Thirdly, market consolidation or M&A, as we call it, whereby we acquire competitors' properties. Overall, we have committed to adding 70,000 square meters in 2023 and 90,000 square meters as of 2024 onwards with a total investment of EUR 170 million. Three key messages here. The first one is we're on track.

We have added 65,000 square meters in 2022 for a total of EUR 142 million, and we've significantly accelerated the pipeline, but I'll come back to that a little bit later. Secondly, we have increased our target yield at maturity from previously a range of 7%-8% to now a range of 8%-9%. This is to reflect the change in cost of capital and in market conditions. Thirdly, we are confident that we can continue this speed of development, and we're confident that we can deliver on the promises that we have made for 2023 and 2024. Now let's go deeper into our first lever, redevelopments.

As Marc said, we own 94% of our properties, which gives us really a unique ability to extract further value from the properties, the platform that we already have. We committed to adding 1,000 square meters in redevelopments per year. We have done that in 2022. More importantly, for 2023 and 2024, we plan to significantly expand via redevelopments with a total of 18,000 planned in the coming two years. Important, these projects, they generate immediate uplift both in revenues and in NOI. On the development side or second lever, we've added seven properties and 33,000 square meters to the portfolio. We had guided towards five properties and 25,000, so we have over-delivered there.

For 2023, we currently have about 51,000 currently in the pipeline. We're on target towards reaching the 70,000 from 2024 onwards. Our third lever, market consolidation or M&A. On the M&A side, we have over-delivered. We had guided towards six properties and 20,000 square meters, and we have delivered seven properties and 31,000 square meters. What's interesting is that these seven properties, they represent five transactions in five different countries. You can really see how we use acquisitions as a tool to add square meters throughout our entire portfolio. We use the acquisitions to both capture new catchment areas or infill there where we see a lot of demand.

Shurgard has been and is the number one market consolidator. We've really built up an expertise to integrate and scale up these acquisitions at speed, giving us a real competitive advantage compared to other self-storage operators. Now let's turn to the pipeline. I think we're very proud to have really been able to significantly accelerate our pipeline. We currently have a short-term pipeline of about 150,000 square meter with an investment of EUR 312 million, and this represents 12% expansion of the current rentable square meters. You can see that a large part of that pipeline is situated in the Netherlands and Germany, and that makes sense. Why is that?

Previously, we were focused on four cities or four regions, Paris, London, Berlin, and NRW. At the last Capital Markets Day, we added four a dditional cities and regions, which were Randstad, Munich, Frankfurt, and Stuttgart. All of these new cities and regions are based in the Netherlands and Germany. It's quite logic that a large part of our new pipeline is situated there. Our strategy, though, for those two countries is quite different. In the Netherlands, we've been there for 25 years, and we are by far the leader. There we are really more surgically microtargeting specific pockets of demand. For Germany, in Stuttgart and Frankfurt, we were not present. In Munich, only very limited presence, so there we're really still building out the presence overall.

Moving to sustainability, we continue to make significant investment in sustainability, as Marc said, with the goal to become net zero operational by 2030. We look at sustainability from a very holistic approach, whereby we look at the entire building life cycle. What have we done in 2022? Three things. We further reduced our gas and electricity consumption by continuing the rollout of the LED and the heating optimization. We've installed smart meters whereby we can better control water consumption. Thirdly, security, an important feature for our customers. As Marc said, we upgraded and standardized our access control system. We installed more and better cameras, and we improved our remote 24/7 monitoring. What's on the docket for 2023? Four things. We will finalize all the LED installations.

That will all be done by the end of 2023. We continue with our heating optimization and the rollout of heat pumps. Thirdly, we are currently investigating solar panel electricity generation, whereby we have a specific pilot running in the Netherlands. Finally, we are trialing a BMS system in Belgium and the Netherlands. From our perspective, we really strongly believe that these investments have significant benefits. We will be better in predictive repair and maintenance. We will optimize the life of our assets, and we will continue to generate operational efficiencies, eventually benefiting not just better customer experience, more sustainable buildings, and then more shareholder value. Finally, we continue to excellence in governance.

As we announced in the report this morning, three changes will take place in the AGM from May onwards that will further reinforce the independent governance. First of all, the proportion of independent versus dependent directors will increase from 55% to 66%, with six out of nine directors being independent. Secondly, Ian Marcus, who has been our lead independent for the past five years, will become our new chairman, which means that we will have an independent chairman. Thirdly, Ron Havner, who has been or is our current chairman, the former CEO of Public Storage and a real authority in the self-storage space, has agreed to remain closely involved with Shurgard as Chairman Emeritus. I'll pause here, on the governance side, and I will hand it over to Jean to talk about financials.

Jean Kreusch
CFO, Shurgard Self Storage

Thank you very much, Isabel. Looking back at our financial results in 2022, we delivered a very strong performance year-on-year with an acceleration in the Q4. Our revenue total company has grown by 13.5% at constant exchange rate for the last quarter of the year, while we grew by 12.3% for the year. Our NOI margin at 68.8% is up 2.1 percentage point for the quarter and at 66.1% for the year, up 1.3 percentage points, demonstrating once more the scalability and continuous digitalization of our operating platform. Finally, our adjusted EPRA earnings at EUR 143.6 million grew by 15% for the year if we exclude a one-off insurance income recorded in 2021.

We can say we delivered a strong quarter in a very solid and good year. On next page, our same-store property operating revenue continues to show a strong and consistent growth with an average occupancy of 90.5% for the year, up 0.2 percentage point versus last year, and an average in-place rent up by 8.9% versus 2021, reflecting our ability to increase rates for existing customers and raise board rates for new customers as de-demand continues to remain very strong. On a country level, Scandinavia results must be seen in the context of a very strong performance in 2021, while the Netherlands, the UK, Germany, and Belgium are showing double-digit growth or close to it.

On the following page, our three levers of growth are contributing to the 12.8% increase in our NOI. Our same-store NOI grew by 10.8% at constant exchange rate and contributed EUR 20.5 million to the growth, while the development and acquisitions added another EUR 5.7 million, reflecting the ramp-up phases in our development activities, and this combined with the leveraging of a standardized and digitalized platform, allowing us to deliver economies of scale and keep the cost basis low. Moving on to the cash flow. On the next page, we see we improved our operating cash flow, and as Isabel explained, we are continuing to expand our pipeline.

This is reflected by a 47% increase in our cash spends on investment, amounting to EUR 184 million in 2022. We ended the year with a cash balance of EUR 87.3 million. We also confirm the payment of a dividend of EUR 1.17 per share for the year. Page 26. We continue to show a very strong balance sheet with a low and stable LTV at 18% and a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.1 times. Our debt has a weighted average interest rate of 2.36%. Our maturities are well spread and 100% of our debt has fixed interest rates.

Our EPRA NTA per share increased by 17.6%, reflecting both the growth of the NOI as well as further contraction of 46 basis points over exit cap rate to 5.19%. Let's now look into our outlook for 2023. We expect our total revenue growth to be above 8% versus 2022. As we reach the 2 percentage point growth of NOI margin over 2020, well ahead of our guidance, we now expect a 0.2 percentage point increase of all store margin going forward. As explained by Isabel, we increased our property yield expectation at maturity by 100 basis points. Now for new development we have a yield expectation of 8%-9%.

Our average effective tax rate, based on adjusted EPRA earnings before tax, is expected to be at 18%. We will pay a dividend per share of EUR 1.17 for the year. The outlooks clearly shows our confidence in our resilient operating model and the opportunities of growth that lie ahead of us. On page 29, we plan to maintain an attractive shareholder return in the medium term. Our guidance remains unchanged with a 6% all store revenue growth per annum and an LTV at 25% and four to five times net debt to EBITDA. I will now hand over to Marc for the conclusion.

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

Thank you. You understood that we have to summarize this presentation. First, strong business model with a unique platform. This is coupled with a large pipeline for future growth, so expanding physically the size of the company and also benefiting for the permanent optimization and leading ESG performance. The sum of the three are delivering to shareholders high and sustainable returns. That's the conclusion. Happy now, I think, Caroline, to go for the Q&A.

Operator

Okay. Thank you, Marc, Isabel, and Jean. We are available to take your question. First, we will take question from the audience, then we will take question from the webcast. If you are following on Zoom and you would like to ask a question, please click on the raise hand icon on Zoom, we'll come to each of you in turn. Alternatively, if you would like to type in your question, please enter it into the Q&A box on Zoom we will take and read it out on your behalf. Thank you. Celine, first... Excuse me.

Céline Soo-Huynh
Real Estate Equity Research, Barclays

Morning. Celine Soo-Hyunh from Barclays. Got two questions. The first one on your dividend policy. Can't help but notice that the wording on your new dividend policy kind of suggests that you could be reviewing the dividend policy going forward. Now that the company's past peak growth, would you be considering behaving more like a mature company, slash established, and increasing the dividend to match earnings growth? That would be our first question. The second one is, you've mentioned that you're now expecting 100 basis points higher yield on the yield at maturity for new investments, which I guess is what all investors will be looking to do as well. Does that mean that property yield should go up 100 basis points in your portfolio? Thank you.

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

Well, I will take it. Regarding the dividend policy, to us it's part of the total shareholder return. The way we approach it is how your earnings are growing plus the dividend yield and the sum of it makes the return for our shareholders. For the time being, since what Isabel mentioned regarding September 21, we think that we are keeping this level of a fixed dividend per share for the coming years. If the growth of the earnings or if there is a way to adjust it will be related to what we are looking for in terms of total shareholder return. That's pretty simple. Jean, you want to elaborate on that?

Jean Kreusch
CFO, Shurgard Self Storage

Our guidance hasn't changed. With the Investor Day, we're very clear as well that, you know, we would keep it stable for a while and then, as Marc explained, adjust it when needed. There is no change in our view from that point of view.

Céline Soo-Huynh
Real Estate Equity Research, Barclays

It's a yes for me, Jean.

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

Yes to your yes maybe.

Céline Soo-Huynh
Real Estate Equity Research, Barclays

Thank you. The second one, sorry.

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

Well, you want to take it, Jean?

Jean Kreusch
CFO, Shurgard Self Storage

The second one, 100 basis points higher. Yes, we are clearly, you know, reflecting, as Isabel mentioned, the fact that the cost of capital is more expensive, that we have seen increase in cost of construction. We also wanna have, as a result of that, higher returns for shareholders. That's reflected in what we'll be looking for in terms of new developments going forward. The one that we're gonna be approving going forward, we're expecting obviously a higher return to compensate for the cost of capital that's gone up.

Céline Soo-Huynh
Real Estate Equity Research, Barclays

The read-across to your portfolio yield?

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

Sorry?

Céline Soo-Huynh
Real Estate Equity Research, Barclays

The read-across to your own portfolio yield at the moment, should it go up 100 basis points as well, as well?

Jean Kreusch
CFO, Shurgard Self Storage

Why would it go up?

Céline Soo-Huynh
Real Estate Equity Research, Barclays

Expecting 100 basis point higher for new investments.

Jean Kreusch
CFO, Shurgard Self Storage

That's new investments that we're looking at. Existing one, obviously they are going up. I mean, if you look at our results, they've been very strong, so that will help the investments compared to what we initially planned. I mean, compared to what we initially planned, everything being constant with the good performance we're having, it's obviously positive.

Speaker 10

Just to follow up, I had a similar question on the yields on your portfolio, because a few months ago, I think at the price, you were also saying that you were starting to see on the transaction market more sellers and possibly slightly higher yield. Have you seen in the transaction market also the yields going up for self-storage in Europe in general, or is your analysis just that due to the rising cost of capital, you're talking about buying at higher yield, but you've not seen a movement in yield in the investment market?

Isabel Neumann
CIO and COO, Shurgard Self Storage

The behavior is a bit different depending on each country, I would say. It's not a kind of linear situation. Oops. I think it's a bit of a voice. What have we seen? The reality is of course still that you don't see that many M&A transactions in the market, and those who are there, they don't really disclose the yields. From the ones that have disclosed, you can see that they've done it at yields at 6%-7%. We are realizing this already at yields which are higher than I think the market does. You are seeing, for bespoke transactions, a slightly increase in yields, absolutely. I would reiterate that this continues to be a growing market with a lot of appetite from also institutional investors.

There continues to be a good level of competition for the self-storage space as a whole.

Speaker 10

By market, do you see, yields going up a bit faster in the UK than in the continent?

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

There's enough transaction to sell. It's not like if you have 10 transaction or five, you know? No. We, it's still very related to the situation of the personal seller. Is it an institution? Is it a physical person? Depending the age of the person and again, the personal situation, some people are eager to sell rather quickly, others not. It's. I don't think that we can really up to now, draw some conclusions. The year 2023 will probably help because this started to be I mean, the cost of capital really massively increased and impacted the level of transaction probably at the end of 2022, but not before. Let's see how 2023 will go.

Speaker 10

Just a question on the change at the board level. obviously very nice to see the, you know, increased percentage of independent board members. Just what is the background or the reason for the change taking place now?

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

It's, I think, I'm sure, you didn't maybe have the time to read the, our chairman's letter in the annual report this morning. You will see that after being a public company for five years, at the beginning when we did the IPO in October 2018, we thought that having a strong presence in the board of our two anchor shareholders, Public Storage and New York Common, was good. I mean, each of them, two directors, which means four, plus the CEO, which is non-independent, five. The need of having six independent directors who have a majority.

We thought that it's the time now to go for a board where for Public Storage, sorry, and New York Common, having one representative is enough, which means that the size of the board is going from 11 to nine. Mechanically, by the fact that there's a rotation on the chairmanship, you have a chairman which is independent, who is independent, sorry, and having an increased majority of independent directors. That's a very simple reason.

Speaker 10

Okay.

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

Thank you.

Speaker 8

Bonjour. Degroof Peterc am. Thank you for your presentation. I just had one question on the medium-term pipeline, because you mentioned that you were focusing on Germany, Netherlands in the next couple of years. Are there any plans for different cities or countries even?

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

You know, the, in the slides there is one word, which is discipline, of money allocation or capital allocation. Up to now, we stick also for the medium term to what we have said, which is the benefit of this industry is the size and where the size is. I mean, you have a lot of synergies and leverage. This is an operational business. You understood that, it's a B2C thing. We stick to the seven countries where we are. By the way, we have the experience for more than 25 years being in seven countries, seven different languages, four different currencies. We know what complexity means when you don't have the size in the cast. We believe that growing the seven countries today is the right thing to do first.

Secondly, in terms of cities, back to your point, by targeting still the capital cities and some tier one cities, that do make sense for us, that's why Germany. Because Germany is such very different demographics than, for example, the UK or France or many other countries where you have the capital city is roughly 20% of the whole population. If you take London versus the UK, Paris versus France, more than 30% or even 40% of the GDP. Berlin is not of that kind. It's 4 million, four and a half million people versus 80, 85 or 87. If you wanna be in Germany, you need to be in the top cities. It means you need to be in Berlin, then you need to be in Munich and Hamburg, 2 million people.

You need to be then in Cologne, in North Rhine-Westphalia, the west side of Germany, in Stuttgart and Frankfurt, and Düsseldorf, potentially. By saying we wanna be in Germany, a key player requires or means that we have to focus on much more cities than saying we want to be a key player in the UK or France or Sweden by simply focusing on Paris, Stockholm or London.

Speaker 8

Thank you.

Speaker 11

Thanks very much. A bit of a more long-term question. just regarding the slide on, the self-storage per sq ft per capita. A lot of people talk about the differences between, you know, the U.S. and Europe. In the office space, for example, people have been saying the reason that people haven't been going back to the office in the U.S. is 'cause people have bigger houses, more work from home capacity. By the same logic, they probably have more storage capacity in the U.S. at home as well, and yet they have a lot more per sq ft space. Does that mean that, you know, in the long, long term, actually, we could see more density in Europe, given we're in smaller houses and, have less capacity?

IE, could we see more than 9.4 sq ft per person?

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

Thank you. That's very ambitious. By the way, it's like comparing Uranus and the Sun. If it's a volume, you see the U.S. is the Sun and Europe would be Uranus, meaning that the Sun continues to expand. It's not a static situation. It means they are by far the largest industry in the world for self-storage, and they continue to expand. Where you are right, it's the behavior is the same of a prospect in Chicago or in London or in Stockholm or in Nice, South France. The only difference would be the average size that the people are renting. In our case, in Europe, resi people will rent on average something close to 5 square meter if you look at the median. While in the U.S., it's the double.

They tend to rent on average the famous 10 by 10, which is in feet, which is roughly 10 square meter. The need is the same, but the way they translate this need into a product is different, the size. Secondly, for us, the industry, you know, the gap is so far that it's 40 times more than us, you know? I think I will not be in this world when we will reach more than 40 where we are today, to be frank. Also the Europe is always slower than the U.S. in regenerating, for example, areas. You know, I live in Asia for a while, and over there it's pretty fast. U.S. are in the middle. Europe is the slowest pace.

If you have to regenerate a block in London or in Paris, I tell you it's gonna take a decade. While in the US, the block could be redeveloped within five years, Asia, tow years. Very, very, very long term. The dynamics of the market are clearly in our favor. As I compare that, you know, surfing on the wave, yes, the wave is very large, very powerful and long, but the US continue to grow, so I think that this gap would be still the same or partially the same.

Speaker 11

Thank you.

Operator

Marius? Marius Darsan.

Great. Thank you for taking my question. I suppose we're coming off the back of a very strong full year 2022. You're also guiding towards revenue growth ahead of your medium-term guidance levels. Really, I suppose two parts to the question is, you know, what trends are you already seeing as we're coming into the new year? We're obviously a couple of months into the new year already, whether it's for your whole portfolio or on a by market basis. Also the assumptions you're making on your existing portfolio into that 8% also revenue growth, from maybe an occupancy or even a total revenue growth you're seeing from markets. Thank you.

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

The trends we see in the near is actually quite good. I mean, when we look at the first almost two months now, we are very much in line with what we've seen in Q4. Demand continues to be strong, as I mentioned earlier, which gives us opportunities to grow our rate. Quite positive from that point of view. We, however, expect that, you know, the year-on-year comparison is gonna be different because 2022 was a very good year. We're expecting that the growth will slightly decelerate Q2 and Q3 to stabilize around 8% in Q4. That's our expectation.

Yeah. The,

Of course, we benchmark our performances with our peers, and we don't see a deceleration in Jan and Feb. If you look at October, November, December, Jan, Feb, same pace for the same-store. Exactly as Jean said, we approached the year 2023 with the idea that we should see a deceleration for the same-store in Q2, Q3, we don't see this in Q1 for the time being. The non-same stores, so all the new stores that we have opened or acquired, continue to ramp up and to deliver the growth. That's why in the end, when you make the sum of two, the same-store deceleration and the continuous growth of the non-same store, you arrive to this growth of 8% total company for the year 2023 versus 2022 with a constant exchange rate.

For the time being, all good.

Speaker 9

Okay.

Speaker 10

Do you have questions from the audience?

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

Anything from Zoom, Caroline?

Speaker 10

Yes, we have a question on Zoom.

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

Yeah.

Speaker 9

Let me try that one. I'm unmuted. It shouldn't happen to me. My apologies. We have three questions queued up on the webcast. The first is from Frederic Renard. Frederick, if you would like to unmute your microphone and go ahead with your question, please.

Frédéric Renard
Co-Head of European Listed Real estate and Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Hello, can you hear me?

Jean Kreusch
CFO, Shurgard Self Storage

Yes, we can, Frederic. Please go ahead.

Frédéric Renard
Co-Head of European Listed Real estate and Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

It's just two question for me. What would be today your marginal cost of funding? You have several on rolls coming. Undrawn committed facilities. I would like to know a bit more on your average cost of funding. The second question I would ask is maybe just to relate on the deal of Public Storage in the U.S. to Life Storage in the U.S. Question would be, what is the read-across for you guys? Do you see the potential of Public Storage to well, limit its exposure to Shurgard due to the need of additional cash to maybe fund the transaction at some point?

Jean Kreusch
CFO, Shurgard Self Storage

Eric, hello, Jean here. Our marginal cost of funding is estimated to be at around 5% right now. That's where we expect to be. Regarding the second point of this potential transaction in the U.S. from PSA. First, we are not supposed to talk publicly or to disclose anything about it. Maybe just two things. I don't think. Well, the starting point of the exposure of Public Storage to Europe, you know, when you have a market cap today, I think they are between $50 billion and $60 billion, and StoreGuard is around four and a half. It's very minor versus the total that they have. It's, I suppose, very opportunistic. We talked about the industry, you know, again, the leverage, the operations and synergies of all of that.

Size, in that case, does matter on the same geography. Talking about the future for StoreGuard, I think, Eric, it was one of your point that did give us some ideas. I don't talk about it.

Frédéric Renard
Co-Head of European Listed Real estate and Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay. no speculation on a potential, additional big player in your...

Speaker 9

Sorry, Frederick, if you could just repeat your whole-

Frédéric Renard
Co-Head of European Listed Real estate and Equity Research Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Oh, sorry. I think this is not a read-across for potential acquisition of another big player in Europe at some point, because the market is still in a much more growth phase than in US, I guess. It's not a mature market.

Speaker 9

Frederick, thank you very much indeed. The next question comes from John Wong. John, if you'd like to unmute your microphone and please go ahead.

Speaker 7

Thanks for the question. Just on one, on the chairman's letter. I think there's a statement made by Ronald Havner, who says that he would expect StoreGuard to obtain an investment grade rating. Could you perhaps comment on this? Would this imply that you could potentially tap the bond market, in addition to USPPs in your current capital structure?

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

Eric, can you repeat the question? Correct. I mean, currently all the debt markets are open to us. I mean, we can go, you know, bank debt, USPPs, Schuldschein. By obtaining an investment grade rating at some point in the future, it will allow us as well to go for public bonds. So we really have the full scope of financing available to us. So that's the idea. Yeah. Just to reinforce that message, I mean, the... It's in a way very logical. You know, we became a public company 5 years ago, having access to the capital markets. Therefore... And having, we believe, pretty good performance since these five years.

It's for us pretty logical to be able to become investment grade and if there is a need, to go to the bond market.

Speaker 9

John, thank you very much. We have one more question from the webinar which has been typed in. I'll read it out. Are you seeing more distressed or motivated sellers currently versus one or two years ago?

Marc Oursin
CEO, Shurgard Self Storage

As I explained, I mean, it's, you know, if we had a lot of transactions in the market, you could maybe draw some conclusions today. This industry is doing very well. We have not seen up to now distressed assets coming from mainly institutions or people with a very high leverage and having some constraints to get some funds quickly. We have not seen that yet. It might happen, who knows? For the time being, no, it's not the case.

Speaker 9

Thank you very much. That is the last question from the webinar.

Operator

Okay, no question from the audience. No additional questions? Okay. Thank you all for joining us today. We look forward to reconnecting with you in this venue soon.

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