Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and a warm welcome to today's earnings call of the Carl Zeiss Meditec Group following the publication of the six-month figures of 2025/2026. With this, I hand over to the Head of Group Finance and Investor Relations, Sebastian Frericks.
Hello, good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining our six months 2025/2026 earnings call. As usual, our management will guide you through our financials, and then we'll talk quite a bit today about our Profit Up Program, including the cost restructuring and portfolio measures that we are planning, as well as give you a new outlook for the current fiscal year 2025/2026 and an update on our midterm targets. With that, I'll hand it over to Andreas Pecher, our CEO, and then afterwards, Justus, our CFO, will take the financial questions.
Great. Thank you, Sebastian. Good morning, the analysts and investors. Welcome to the 6 months 2025/2026 of Carl Zeiss Meditec AG. Justus and I will walk you through the quarterly overview and financial results. After that, we'll dive deeper and share more details about our Profit Up Program, and at the end, we'll present our guidance for fiscal year 2025/2026 and our midterm outlook. Of course, following the presentation, we'll be happy to take your questions. Let me start with an overview of our 6-month performance. While Carl Zeiss Meditec's top line and earnings in the second quarter still remained weak. This weakness was primarily driven by currency headwinds and an unfavorable product mix with weaker sales of intraocular lenses in China.
Order entry in six months amounted to EUR 1.038 million or billion, representing a 5.2% decline. Adjusted for currency, it declined by 2.3%. We achieved solid order growth in the EMEA region, while demand in the Americas and APAC remained weak. Our order backlog saw a slight sequential rise with EUR 435 million at the end of Q2, compared to EUR 405 million at the end of Q1. Revenue for the six months amounted to EUR 991 million, representing a decline of 5.7% year-over-year. On a constant currency basis, revenue declined by 2.8% year-over-year, driven primarily by movements in the US dollar. If we factor in all currency pressures, FX effects amounted to EUR 46 million. FX-adjusted revenue was down 1%.
Beyond the U.S. dollars, the currency impacts were mainly related to the Chinese yuan. In this adjustment, we're also eliminating all currency effects related to the exports into the ZEISS Group's global distribution network. Revenue declined across both equipment, in particular diagnostic devices and consumables, in particular IOLs in China. Looking at the revenue mix, equipment accounted for 50%, consumables for 40%, and services for 10% of total EUR 6 million revenue. Profitability significantly declined in the six months. Adjusted EBITDA came in at EUR 60.5 million, with the adjusted EBITDA margin at 6.1%, down from 10.7% in the prior year. Reported EBITDA amounted to EUR 39 million, with a margin of 3.9%, down from 10.8% in the prior year.
We'll walk you through the detailed adjustments later in this presentation. The significant drop in profitability was mainly driven by negative FX effects, an unfavorable product mix, and negative operating leverage. While core operating expenses remained stable, we recorded an extraordinary impairment on capitalized R&D related to IVO, Infinite Vision Optics, which pushed up our overall R&D ratio. Now, I would like to hand over to Justus. He will provide you with more background and discuss the SBU figures in more depth.
Thank you, Andreas, and good morning and welcome from my side. Let me briefly walk you through Ophthalmology performance for the first six months. The Ophthalmology SBU delivered weak revenue and a notable decline in EBITA margin. Let's start with the revenue. Reported revenue came in at EUR 754 million, down 6.7% year-over-year. On a currency-adjusted basis, revenue declined by 4.2%. Revenue decline was visible across both equipment and consumables. The performance was impacted by several factors. Of course, the exchange rates, as already mentioned. The loss of the bifocal IOL sales in China associated with the revocation of the license for one product that we have commented in an earlier call.
Scrapping of the recalled bifocal IOL, resulting in a one-off EUR 6 million impact on both revenue and cost of goods sold. This scrapping was fully completed during Q2. Equipment sales remained sluggish in Q2, in particular in the Americas region. Our successor bifocal intraocular lens has now obtained registration approval. Once the new round of China's VBP tender launches, we expect a clear opportunity to relist this product in the tender catalog and resume. Of course, future pricing and volume allocation will depend on the final bidding outcome. At this point, I would also like to address the timeline for the new VBP round, which many of you have asked about. According to our current estimates, it will most likely start in June to July of this year. In China, refractive procedure volumes delivered reasonable growth in Q2 despite a strong prior year comparison base.
Let's move to the EBITA margin. EBITA margin of Ophthalmology dropped to 1.5%, which is a 7.6 percentage point decrease year-on-year. Lower EBITA margin was attributed to gross margin decline by 2.5 percentage points, pressured by the exchange rate headwinds, bifocal IOL scrapping, and an unfavorable product mix. The OpEx ratio increased sharply by 5.1 percentage points, largely due to a EUR 13 million extraordinary write-off related to our IVO business. We have deprioritized this project, resulting in the impairment of capitalized R&D assets. Excluding the extraordinary IVO write-off, our core operating expenses remained broadly stable. Looking at the revenue split, Ophthalmology accounts for 76% of total OPT revenue. Within Ophthalmology, consumables represent 50%, equipment accounts for 41%, and service contributes 9%. Turning to Microsurgery, overall, we saw both revenue and EBITA margin decline, mainly pressured by currency headwinds.
Revenue in the first six months reached EUR 237 million, down 2.1% year-over-year. On a currency adjusted basis, however, revenue grew by 1.8% in the first six months. In Q2 alone, currency adjusted revenue rose by 4.2%, showing clear sequential momentum and an incremental ramp up. Q3 started with strong orders and top line. We expect the currency impact to neutralize and deliveries to continue to improve in the second half. EBITA margin decreased to 11.5%, a 4.8 percentage point decline year-on-year. This was mainly driven by a 5.5 percentage point decline in gross margin, reflecting currency effects. OpEx remained roughly flat. Looking at the revenue split, Microsurgery accounts for 24% of total revenue. Within Microsurgery, equipment represents the largest share at 78%, service contributes 14%, consumables account for 8%. Let me walk you through our regional development.
Overall, EMEA remained solid, while Americas and Asia Pacific posted softer development. Starting with the Americas, the region accounts for 25% of group revenue. Revenue came in at EUR 247 million, down 11% year-over-year, while currency adjusted revenue declined by 3.5%. This reflects a weaker investment environment, driven largely by heightened geopolitical volatility and broader market softness across the region, including the U.S. Moving to EMEA represents 35% of group revenue and delivered a solid performance. Revenue reached EUR 346 million. Currency adjusted revenue grew by 5.6%. Growth was supported by most core European markets, while Middle East and Spain remained sideways. Finally, on Asia Pacific, Asia Pacific represents 40% of revenue, with China contributing 21%. Revenue amounted to EUR 398 million, down 10% year-over-year and an 8.6% decline on currency adjusted basis.
India delivered solid growth, while important markets, however, including China, South Korea, and Japan, and Southeast Asia showed some weakness, which weighed on the overall regional result. Turning to the P&L, margins came under pressure in the first six months, while core operating expenses remained stable. Gross profit declined to EUR 491 million, with the gross margin decreasing to 49.5% from 52.7% last year. This decrease was mainly driven by the currency headwinds and unfavorable product mix, including loss of the bifocal IOL sales and scrapping of this product in China. Looking at operating expenses, total OpEx increased by around EUR 13 million, mainly attributed to the extraordinary impairment of IVO and legal expenses included in G&A. Excluding these, underlying OpEx numbers remain broadly flat. OpEx ratio increased to 47.2%, reflecting negative operating leverage. As a result, profitability was significantly impacted.
Both EBIT and EBITDA declined significantly. Earnings per share decreased to EUR 0.17, driven by the lower EBIT and negative financial results, primarily due to higher interest expenses. On an adjusted basis, adjusted earnings per share was EUR 0.48, excluding non-cash valuation effects on contingent purchase price liabilities, while currencies and hedging results were not adjusted. Let's have a brief look at the bridge from EBIT to EBITDA and to adjusted EBITDA. Regular amortization of purchase price allocations amounted to EUR 14 million in the first six months, including effects from DORC and Kogent Surgical. In terms of special items, the current period includes legal expenses in connection with a lawsuit related to former IanTech in the U.S., the scrapping of bifocal IOLs, extraordinary impairment of R&D we've already discussed.
The prior year benefited from a one-off gain from public grants received in China for our IOL production. Adjusted for these special items, EBITDA amounted to EUR 60.5 million with a margin of 6.1%, a notable decline compared to previous year. A quick overview on the cash flow statement. We delivered strong operating cash generation. This improvement was mainly driven by a significant reduction in receivables, as well as lower income tax payments aligned with our operating performance for the period. Higher investing cash outflow was mainly driven by an increase in receivables against the ZEISS Group treasury, while CapEx ratio was at 2.7% lower than the prior year level. Financing cash flow declined, mainly impacted by the redemption of liabilities in ZEISS Group treasury.
By end of Q2, net financial debt decreased to EUR 274 million at a lower level compared to a year ago. With that, I'll hand the floor back to you, Andreas.
Thank you, Justus. Let's move to the Profit Up measures before I then hand back to Justus for the outlook. Before I now talk about specific measures that we're launching to stabilize and turn around Carl Zeiss Meditec financially, let me reiterate why we need to act. You've seen the slide in our publication in December already. I talked through it. Over the recent few years, our market environment has changed a lot, and this requires us to rethink how we operate as an organization. The curve outlines the path we're taking from scaling through transition and ultimately back to profitable growth. Up to 2023, our focus has been on scaling for growth. Following very rapid growth in our consumables business in the 2010s, and coming out of COVID, we needed to adapt our structures to counter-increasing complexity.
During this period, we implemented new organizational structures to support expansion beyond our established anchor products. We made significant investments. For instance, expanding our manufacturing capacity, enhancing R&D to diversify our portfolio, and strengthening our digital capabilities to enable workflow solutions. We also invested heavily in our workforce and talent base. We have been open about the fact that not all of these investments have translated into the returns we wanted to see. This foundational work was essential to prepare us for broader opportunities and to ensure we have the capabilities needed for the next stage. Since 2023, we began to see a rapid and initially unexpected market weakness. This year and the next few years, we're in a necessary transition phase. This is where we must adapt to rapidly evolving market dynamics and increasing regulatory complexity.
Our priority here is to revise our existing structures, portfolios, and footprint. These adjustments allow us to respond effectively to developments that are challenging our profitability. After that, we expect to see the benefits of our efforts. This is the phase where we expect to return to healthier growth rates and renew our profitability ambitions, and also will reap additional benefits from our innovation pipeline. With our Profit Up initiative, we've launched a comprehensive bundle of measures to counter the recent margin erosion induced by market weakness and cost layers that in many cases were not well-balanced anymore to the weaker market environment. We want to restore an adequate earnings power and thereby give us again the financial flexibility to invest in future growth. To achieve that, we need to realign our global structures and our organizational setup to achieve all three, efficiency, profitability, and customer value.
We need to take clear prioritization decisions. This will lead to some products that are not mission-critical to our workflow strategy to be divested or phased out. Other products will be added from our innovation pipeline as well as from partnerships to regain market share. As I talked about during our December earnings call, our innovation arm is strong. However, our commercial arm remains underdeveloped in many markets. We'll strengthen investment into market developments and enhance our commercial offerings. We want to achieve a clearly visible acceleration of top line growth. We will localize products to China as we have been talking about, as well as to other Asian markets. We will also optimize our supply chains and look for savings in procurement as we qualify additional suppliers. The transfers do not stop with manufacturing.
Selected R&D activities are under assessment to be relocated to best cost locations to ensure our cost structures remain competitive. Last but not least, we also have to keep an eye on G&A cost. We have to deal with additional inflation in our infrastructure expenses and need to offset this via efficiency measures in G&A. Summing up, we want to achieve both growth above the market with continuous innovation, as well as show financial strength comparable to the sector. All business segments, functions and sites are in scope for this exercise. What does this mean in financial terms? We're looking at a list of measures that, taken together, will bring about more than EUR 200 million in profit improvements every year by year, by the financial year 2028, 2029, 3 years from now. The measures stretch across all areas.
To name some key figure measures, the commercial organization will work on cost reductions, particularly in headquarter organization and back office functions, as well as higher productivity in working with the global sales entities. Operations will work on optimizing supply chains, renegotiating key procurement contracts, and qualifying additional suppliers. We're targeting significant savings from this area. R&D costs will be reduced sustainably by portfolio measures affecting some structurally lower margin products, which are not mission-critical for our workflows strategy. We will also work on making the footprint more efficient by moving resources into best cost countries. We will also refocus our digital health portfolio. In G&A, we will run efficiency programs across our group functions and business support functions, with all contributing their fair share. All in all, based on current assessments, up to 1,000 current positions across the global organization may be affected.
There will also be a build-up of new positions, mainly in lower cost countries, so the net reduction in jobs will be less. As I said initially, we are not focusing solely on cost and portfolio measures. To improve our market offering and gain share, we have launched targeted initiatives to grow the top line. Partly, this will come out of our innovation pipeline and will also be supported by increased investments in market development, alongside the newly established commercial organization's prioritization of key strategic growth projects. Our goal is to deliver a clear and visible acceleration in top line growth. In operations, we have already launched a program to localize manufacturing with China as a main focus, as we have discussed before. We are also going to build capacities in a best cost country outside of China over the next years.
These efforts will lead to faster growth at more competitive cost of goods sold, leading to better gross profit margins over time. The growth contribution and additional savings from the long-term footprint project come on top of the previously mentioned greater than EUR 200 million in savings until 2028, 2029. Some of it will take longer to materialize in our P&L. With that, I hand back to Justus for more details and our financial outlook.
Yeah. Thank you, Andreas. Where does this leave our financial outlook? As we have discussed in our press release today, we also have to deal with higher infrastructure costs. These include the already present expenses for the new SAP implementation, as well as a new ZEISS Group-wide customer relations management system. In addition, on Friday last week, our supervisory board agreed to the rent contract for the new headquarter in Jena, as well as to a gradual price increase in shared services procured from the ZEISS Group over the next three years. The cost of these business services has been rising for several years with significant payroll inflation. There is no profit margin for any of these activities at the ZEISS Group level.
Exclusively actually incurred expenses are being passed on, and the phasing over the next years will be stepwise to mitigate the impact until the efficiency measures are contributing. All in all, we expect to have to reinvest around EUR 40 million out of the EUR 200 million into additional infrastructure expenses by 2028, 2029, leaving a net improvement of EUR 160 million. On top of that, we will see acceleration of top line leading to further positive operating leverage, as well as the longer term benefits of the footprint project. Lastly, as you would certainly expect, given a program of these sizes affecting payroll expenses, there will be substantial one-offs nonrec-Investment. Cumulatively, this could reach up to EUR 150 million over the three years period.
Please understand there's still a lot of uncertainty in these estimates, and we will report on them in detail as we move forward. We will adjust out the non-recurring items related to these initiatives from our guidance achievement. To wrap up, and before turning to the outlook, let me once again reiterate what our target view is for Carl Zeiss Meditec. We are investing into the future and say of our company. We want to get back to above market growth. We want to get back to significant investment in innovation. We want to build long-term financially healthy structures. We want to restore adequate and sector-like profitability, giving us enough financial freedom to seize strategic opportunities. We want to be a fast-acting customer-centric company and a high-performance environment with our employees.
Turning now to the outlook, the current year 2025/2026 has started on a weak note, as we have discussed at length, with significant headwinds, in particular from the Chinese IOL business, but also from the negative exchange rates. We expect the impact of these factors to be much reduced in the second half. Typically, our equipment business is back-end loaded, and the main seasonality in our consumables business coming from the Chinese refractive laser summer peak are still ahead. This is why we think the current year will be a tale of two half years. The first half year saw a significant drop in top line and adjusted EBITDA. The second half will see more stable results, not far from last year, or in the best case, even slightly higher. Under these assumptions, we will likely get to EUR 2.15 billion-EUR 2.2 billion in revenue.
Adjusted EBITDA margin will turn higher and reach between 8%-10%. Special effects, such as the ones we have shown you in the first half, and possibly the first effects from the Profit Up measures, will continue to happen, and we will report on them when we incur them. We currently expect a mid-double-digit million EUR amount. There are additional IP topics amounting to at least between EUR 10 million-EUR 20 million in potential impairment on capitalized R&D that might take place in the second half year based on today's assessment of our pipeline and planned measures. Let me also mention another risk that is not yet included in this outlook.
Due to the re-erosion of our profit margin in ophthalmology and the disappointing contribution, in particular from the acquisition of IanTech in 2018, the goodwill on our balance sheet being carried by the ophthalmology division is not as well underlined anymore by the cash flows of the cash-generating unit. We are currently still analyzing the impact of our Profit Up measures, as well as the midterm view on recovery of our profit margins, as well as having discussions with our auditors on the viability of the current ophthalmology. A write-down on some of these intangible assets that, based on early estimates, may somewhat exceed EUR 100 million in the second half year can, as of today, be expected. We will let you know as soon as we have clarity because discussions with our auditors are still ongoing.
We would treat it as a non-recurring item regarding our guidance, as it is a non-cash accounting charge mainly related to acquisitions of the past not working as planned and profit margin having declined. Economically, the risk to goodwill is most closely linked to the acquisition of IanTech in 2018 and underperformance versus our expectations. Importantly, potential impairment would not change anything we do in the Ophthalmology business and has no other impact on our Profit Up decisions. Turning to the midterm outlook, organic revenue growth should rise again and reach at least a mid-single-digit percentage over the medium term. Supported by our Profit Up measures, we are targeting an adjusted EBITDA margin greater than 15% by the fiscal year 28/29.
We continue to see the previous targets levels of 16%-20% EBITDA margin as viable for our business and our sector and generally achievable in the long term. With this, I'd like to conclude our presentation for today, now we look forward to your questions.
Thank you very much for the presentation. We now move on to the Q&A session. For a dynamic conversation, we are happy to take your question in person via the audio line. To do so, click on the Raise Your Hand button. If you have dialed in by phone, please use the key combination star 9 to raise your hand. We already have the first participants. Mr. Reinberg, you should be able to unmute yourself and state your question. Yes.
Perfect. Thanks so much. Oliver Reinberg from Kepler Cheuvreux. 3 questions from my side, if I may. Firstly, can you provide some kind of color on the phasing of your new 15% margin target? You still call out that 2027 maybe kind of transition year. Any kind of color what the
Let's take another one, and we check what's going on.
Hello?
Yes. We can hear you. I can hear you.
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We can't, unfortunately.
Okay. Hello?
In the room we can't hear the questions.
Hello?
We might get a feedback from Carl Zeiss. If you can hear, Mr.
Hello.
Now?
Hello. Good morning.
We can just hear you, the moderator.
Hello. Hello.
I can hear you, Mr. Reinberg. Just mute yourself and go to the next participant. Please try again as the next one. Mr. Unwin, you should be able to unmute yourself and place your question.
Hello, can you hear me?
We are not hearing anything, so sorry.
Hello?
Yes, I can hear you. In the meeting room of Carl Zeiss Meditec, there seems to be an audio difficulty. Please stand by for a second.
Yeah, please just let's fix this, and we'll get back to the Q&A in couple of minutes.
Yeah.
Sorry about that.
Mr. Reinberg, are you still on the microphone?
Yeah, I'm still here.
Perfect. Thank you very much. Just check if the audio line is ready to go. To all the participants, please stay tuned, and sorry for the delay.
Moderator, could we go into a separate call, please, for a moment to fix the connectivity issue or the technical issue?
Yes. We now can hear you. We can try to get back to Mr. Reinberg. Mr. Reinberg, your microphone is still open. Can you just try to say something? We check if Carl Zeiss in the meeting room can help you.
Of course. Good morning. Can you hear me?
Superb.
Now we hear you. All is good.
Very, very good to hear you.
Apologies for the problems.
Please, Mr. Reinberg, feel free and be welcome to place your question.
Brilliant. We made it. Thanks so much. Three questions from my side. First one would be on phasing. Can you just provide some kind of color if you expect a kind of linear approach towards a 15% margin target, in particular, as I know that you call 2027 still a kind of transition year. Any kind of color here would be great. Secondly, on the midterm outlook, can you provide any kind of color what is assumed in this for Chinese refractive franchise and competition, and whether you incorporated any kind of revenues from the U.S. cataract franchise and ICLs in China? Lastly, just on refractive, I think you talked about reasonable growth. Can you provide a bit of more color into what your assumption is here for the full year? Thank you.
Hi, Oliver. It's Justus. Once again, sorry for the delay, but I'm happy that now the line seems to work perfectly. On the phasing, I mean, you're, I think almost had the underlying assumption that it is not linear, of course, as you can imagine. Yes, we are in a transformation program that starts now. I would clearly see that we have a back-end loaded curve for that program, especially once we consider the composition of, you know, general costs, but also personnel costs. Therefore, I don't wanna go into too much details, but be rather soft in your assumptions on impacts out of the program in the next fiscal year.
I think you will see a more accentuated acceleration in the second half of the 3-year time horizon that we have given to you. I think we keep you posted on it as we continue. On the midterm outlook, I think we have clearly baked in some caution on the refractive margin development into that perspective. We obviously anticipate local competition in the Chinese market entering meaningfully or more meaningfully in the next 12 to 24 months, and that is clearly included. I think on cataract business, we are assuming that we can at least grow with market growth.
I'd say you I think you were pointing to potential enhancements in the offering towards ICL, but that I think is not of any meaningful impact on the guidance that we just shared. On refractive, what did I mean with reasonable growth? What I meant to say is that we seeing growth over last year, which I think is generally a positive signal because the first six months of last year, as you remember, were actually also somewhat stronger than we had expected. For the remainder of the year, without having any indication on, you know, consumer confidence being significantly changing, we remain somewhat cautious.
I think I would also share with you at this point that we are actually quite happy with the SMILE pro share increasing in the total number of SMILE treatments. We also see that the overall number of SMILE treatments, so both SMILE and SMILE pro as a percentage of the total treatments, is actually solid at 70% and slightly above, which means the down trading towards LASIK we do not see continuing. I hope that answers your questions. Thank you, Oliver.
Perfect. Thanks so much.
Okay. We move to the next participant, Mr. Felton. You should be able to unmute yourself now and then place your question. Mr. Felton, you must unmute your microphone, and then we can hear you. We get back to Mr. Unwin. Mr. Unwin, yes.
Hi. Can you hear me?
We can hear you, yes.
Yeah, we hear you.
Morning, everyone. I was wondering if you could provide a little more color on the portfolio optimization opportunities which you see, which specific business lines do you expect to discontinue or to sell, and are you able to quantify the revenue and EBITDA contribution from these businesses today, just so we can get a sense of any potential drag on the top line in earnings growth as you go through that process? Then on the mid-single-digit constant currency growth by FY 2029, how should we think about the building blocks to get to that? Do you need to see some sort of market improvement to get there, or by removing the lagging businesses and improving the sales force, does that get you to the target? Those are my questions. Thank you.
First one I understood. I can talk a little bit. The second one, did you understand?
We didn't fully, and that was not because of the technical problems we had at the beginning, but we didn't fully get the second question.
Yeah.
Can you repeat it, please, once again?
Just on the midterm growth target of mid-single digit constant currency. Do you need to see a market improvement in the businesses to get-
No
to this level? can you get there by removing-
No
lagging businesses and improving the sales force?
Yeah, yeah. Maybe I start and then, Justus, you chime in. Well, first on, you wanted more color on the phasing out of certain products. Well, I mean, there we're evaluating currently alternatives to maximize the value. Of course, we have ideas, you know. In parts we're gonna divest certain areas and, you know, do some sunsetting, phasing out. Please stay with us. We'll update you once we have taken the final decisions on that. On the second question, now we are expecting a reasonable revenue growth in that. Our current ambition and our current plans are to achieve what we talked about with, I would say reasonable growth in our top line.
Yeah. Which is basically at least market growth as we would expect it. As you know, that has been somewhat fluctuating with the currencies, depending on whether you apply US dollar or euro. You know, I think anything between 3%-4%, maybe a little bit higher, is reasonable from our perspective.
Yeah. Good. Did that answer your question?
Yes. I would have liked a little bit more color on the divestments, but I'll just have to wait.
Okay. Thank you.
Sorry about that. We'll keep you updated once we're there.
We try to get back to Mr. Felton. Mr. Felton, you should be able to unmute your microphone and place your question. We try again, Mr. Felton. We move on to the next participant. Mr. David Adlington, you should be able to speak now. Unmute yourself and place your question.
Hello, can you hear me good?
Yes, we can hear you.
Okay.
Now we can.
Good. First question regarding China refractive business.
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I can hear you pretty clear.
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No.
Yeah.
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Nothing changed on our side.
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No.
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maybe you.
I can hear you, Mr. Adlington. Try to reconnect to the audio of Carl Zeiss Meditec. Just stay tuned for a second. We try to get back. Mr. Adlington, can you.
Can you hear me? Hello?
Yes, I can hear you.
Can you hear me?
We can't.
Mr. Adlington, I'm sorry. Just mute yourself once again, and we try another participant.
Apologies. One second please. For those who might not be able to ask the questions, we really sincerely apologize for these technical hiccups and this has not happened before, and we will fix it later. I would ask you to please email the questions to us.
We will read it in the room.
Yeah.
We can try for you to read the questions out loud if you can. This is also for Richard Felton from Goldman Sachs, please, and Davide Scannapieco from EQUITA, please. Why don't you send the questions by email to me, sebastian.frericks@zeiss.com, and I will read them out in the room and we answer them this way. I apologize for the somewhat complicated proceeding, but to not lose any more time and to not make it too tedious, let's do it like this in case the audio doesn't work. Thank you for your understanding.
To other participants, we try to get to the next one. Mr. Oliver Metzger, you should be able to unmute yourself. I can see that you are dialed in by phone.
We don't hear him.
Yes. We now just could hear you.
Now we have audio, yeah. We have audio.
Yeah. Hello. Do you hear me? Good morning.
Yes.
Hello, Mr. Metzger. Yes, we can hear you.
Great. Well, at least this works. 1 bigger comprehensive question please. Regarding your midterm guidance, can you a little bit more about the moving parts? Because on one hand there's some underlying market assumptions versus the Profit Up Program. Also some, from a regional perspective, some views. Also to what extent, for example, the VISUMAX 800 launch in U.S. was assumed. Would be really great to get a little bit more background regarding the assumptions. 2nd question is more a quick one. Can you make comment about rollout VISUMAX 800? Momentum over last quarters or particular last year was better. Where do we stand, where do you stand right now? Thank you.
Thank you, Oliver. Let me try to give you a bit more color. As we have said, the entire program that we are embarking upon should by the year 2028, 2029 contribute an EBIT improvement of roughly EUR 200 million plus. That does not include any impacts out of the bigger footprint measures that we have mentioned because there we clearly would estimate that their contributions will only be of more meaningful character probably in a four or five year timeframe. We do have to discount from these EUR 200 million some of the headwinds that we were talking about, which is mainly rising infrastructural costs.
We have some peaking G&A expenses out of the SAP roll-in, the global roll-in that is basically happening over the next 2 to 3 years and being concluded. Likewise, a global project to set up a next generation customer relationship management system. We have the move into the new premises in Jena, which was decided 10 years ago. The move into this building is now coinciding basically with the transformation program. There's some counter effects out of this, then ultimately also some headwinds out of the services that are more expensive getting out of the ZEISS Group.
That is roughly a 40 million effect, counter effect against the 200 million, which leaves us with a net contribution out of this program of some assumed 160 EUR million. We on top of it are obviously focusing on top line measures, meaning growth beyond the assumed growth rates in some pockets of our business. I think Andreas alluded to the fact already in our December earnings call, but also in this presentation, that we wanna strengthen the commercial muscle that we feel that we have in our existing portfolio already today. Still opportunities in some underserved markets and the new setup with a commercial, a Chief Commercial Officer is something where we clearly would expect that this will drive some additional growth momentum.
Out of this, we also would anticipate some bottom line improvements. With that, we would think cumulatively that we should achieve by the year 2028, 2029 an EBITA margin, an adjusted EBITA margin in that range of 15% or better. The guidance for the outlook in the long term, where we have reconfirmed the 16%-20%, is basically an expression of the fact that we then would expect in cumulation to the just described effects, then additional support from the footprint program. I think that pretty much comprises the bridge to the guidance that we just shared. The second part was on the VISUMAX 800.
Yeah, there I mean, without going too much into detail, I would say that goes as planned.
The uptick is there. Of course, the 800 has also an advantage of more customer value, so we can achieve higher pricing. I would say so far we're quite happy with the rollout of that.
Okay.
Okay.
Yeah. Is there a follow-up, Oliver? Please.
Yeah. Yes, please, one follow-up regarding my first question. If you set up a guidance and normally if a guidance number, let's say the midpoint of some assumptions, would you say that this guidance consists some safety caution or is the guidance, okay, it's taken here the midpoint of our assumptions? It could be one, two standard deviations to a top or to a bottom. Would be really great to get your, let's say, your own assumptions, how aggressive you model it. Thank you.
Well, Oliver, I think as you can imagine, we are talking here about a massive program where we have a list of measures that is identified. However, you know, the precision in terms of when can be what, become fully effective and fold out its total impact versus, you know, what other headwinds we may face out of the market is, you know, not a precise science.
I think, as I said, as answer in one of the previous questions, we clearly have baked in some caution in terms of headwinds on our underlying business. On competitive impacts that may hit us, we're referring to the second VBP, and I think we also made it clear in our explanations on the presentation that we also expect there a further headwind on price and volume that we can expect. Therefore, yeah, I think there's a reasonable portion of caution in this guidance. I think beyond that, you hopefully understand that, you know, it's rather difficult to give you here a total precision on this prediction.
Maybe just to add into the Program, I mean, I hope that came across. This is quite a serious Program. I mean, there's a lot of effort into that of the whole organization, and it covers and encompasses the whole organization. A lot of work has gone into detailing the measures already. Of course, there's still some work ahead. Quite some work ahead, of course, we still have to then implement many of those measures. Rest assured there that this is a very strong focus of the organization. I would also say, you know, as things happen, typically not everything comes through. That's normal in programs like that. It's clear here that, you know, we want to achieve those targets.
If we don't, if we have to add further measures, we will identify further measures and work on that. That should be very clear. Our target is very firm. We want to achieve that. We believe that we have the means to do that.
Okay, great. Thank you very much.
Okay. I will now add some questions that were sent to me by email. I will start with Goldman Sachs and then move on to Equita and then to J.P. Morgan in that order.
Yeah. Thank you. Thank you.
Thank you for sending. If anybody still has sound issues, please keep sending me them, and we will treat them in the order they arrive here. First, to Richard from Goldman Sachs. First question, please, can you talk a bit more about your initiatives to reinvigorate top line growth? What will the organization do differently moving forward? What elements of your R&D and innovation pipeline are you most excited about? Is there anything to give more confidence or more conviction to the revenue growth guidance in particular? Last one, China IOL VBP, what's your assumption on the impact embedded in your current year guidance?
Maybe I start with the R&D pipeline.
Yep
we have here.
Yep.
Well, if I look at, you know, you can imagine. We do have quite a strong innovation arm at least, you know, that's clear here. If you look in both business, we do have a couple items there. One instance on OPT, Ophthalmology, is the trifocal toric hydrophobic lens that's actually being released as we speak. We have an additional development on the presbyopia treatment based essentially on technologies that we have. On the MCS side, I would expect, you know, instruments. We're working, you know, getting into the workflow strategy and making and realizing it. I would say there's gonna be a number of instruments not far away.
If I look further, essentially, we have a pipeline for the coming years of regularly releasing products that we will announce. Last but not least, don't forget DORC, where we acquired quite a nice product pipeline that we're now moving into the market. I would say I'm fairly excited about that, what we have there. There's more to come in the next quarters, I would say.
I mean, you were, if I recall that correctly, asking about what are further measures on the commercial side. I think we explained it before that we take more direct leadership in the portfolio management in the countries than we have had in the past. We are training more comprehensively the sales forces to enable them to better pitch the entire workflow offerings. I think, as we said in earlier calls, we feel that some of what worked perfectly in markets like China could also work in other regions in the world, and I think this is one of the key elements.
And that is then also added and completed with, for example, new business model opportunities, you know, bundlings, or other attractive offerings, equipment as a service, and so on and so forth. I think there are some elements that we can clearly play stronger in the future than as we have done it. On the revenue growth targets, I think you were asking, and I just want to reiterate what we said before, that the underlying assumption is that with the portfolio that we have and with the strategy and the completion of the portfolio, just again referring to among others, the completion of the hydrophobic IOL portfolio, we will be able to certainly grow at a market growth level.
I think on the VBP-I mean, it's really early to tell here. We have baked in, as I said before, the expectation that there will be a stronger pressure, especially in the premium segment, on the pricing. I remind everybody that we didn't discount as aggressively in the first tender for the premium lenses. It's obviously very hard to predict at this point in time what this could end up with. As I said before, we have in our model taken some preparation for lower margins in the premium segment in China going forward.
Okay. I hope these were all answered and Richard Felton, please send any follow-ups just in case. One second, please. I'll continue with Davide Scannapieco from EQUITA with your questions that you emailed in. The first one, I think some were already answered, so we can keep it short. The first one was how sales of VISUMAX 800 are progressing in China, and how many devices we are expecting all in all in 2025, 2026, of VISUMAX 800. What's the utilization rate between the 500 and the 800, so between the old SMILE and the SMILE pro? And are some local players already able to sell SMILE technology or will be anytime soon? That's the question on China Refractive. Second question, China IOL, if we have already restarted selling the bifocal IOL.
Third question, is there an improvement in the U.S. in equipment demand? Final question, I think we may have answered this one already, regarding the EUR 40 million additional infrastructure expenses in the ZEISS Group context. Does it include the lease agreement on the property as well as the repricing for services?
Okay. Sales VISUMAX 800, what we would expect is actually a fairly normal run rate, which typically means that we have a sales going out of probably somewhere around 200 units in this year. Of this, most likely anywhere between two-thirds to three-quarters going into China. I think, after the first six months, we can say that we are on track for that, as Andreas said before. The utilization rate, I think, was the second question. We clearly see an uptake in the SMILE Pro utilization rate over the last month.
I personally have been visiting clinics where they actually have already passed the point where actually there's more SMILE Pro treatments than SMILE treatments, but that may still be some anecdotal data. Overall, the utilization rate of SMILE Pro is trending clearly upwards and obviously giving us in terms of pricing and associated transfer price for the, or sales price for the treatment packs, also a little bit of a tailwind. On the competition, I think I said it earlier, we would expect in the next 12 to 24 months, more visible presence of competition. At this point in time, we are aware of some clinical testing that is being conducted on 1 device by a Chinese company.
From our expectation until that is really then being a launched product ready to be served in the market, we would anticipate that this is rather something for the next fiscal year than for this fiscal year. Bifocal sales with the new product, whether they restarted, no, they have not yet restarted and that's also a bit of a headwind for this fiscal year because, as you remember, our expectation was for this tender to take place already in March, April. Now it's pushed out to June, July. That means until the new tender starts, we will not see sales of this lens. And then we have the question on the U.S. demand on equipment. Let's be specific here.
We clearly see more headwind in the diagnostical product portfolio, where we also have had to increase prices following the tariff implementation last year. We all know that this is the most price-sensitive market segment, and we clearly could see that there were some projects being pushed out. On the other side, if we look at the microsurgical portfolio in the U.S., I think we overall see that it is trending per our expectations and providing some good opportunities when we look at the order book for continued growth throughout the second half of the year.
40 million
Can you help me. There were two more things.
On the infrastructure, did you comment on this one?
On the infrastructure.
Okay. Sales VISUMAX 800,
We had.
I think we did answer it all.
Okay, fine.
in the case there was anything missing, David, please let me know. Please let me know again.
Thank you.
I would move on to the JPMorgan questions. First of all, do you have an update on the new CEO? I'm sorry, these are from David Allington from JPMorgan. Thank you David for submitting them. Do you have an update on the new CEO? Second one, do you expect any revenue impact from letting up to 1,000 employees go? Third one, 21% of sales are in China, how much did they contract in H1? What's your midterm expectation for China? Final one, H1 margin was only 6%, the guidance of 8%-10% for the adjusted EBITA margin implies a meaningful recovery in the second half, and what's that based on, what key drivers?
Yeah. I would start with the CEO, maybe talk a little bit about the revenue impact, then you chime in on the.
China, and maybe I can comment a little bit on the second half. On the CEO, well, the search is, I would say, going accordingly to the timeline that we set before. I can pretty much stick to what I said before. We hope to be able to announce my successor by the end of this fiscal year, the latest. I would say, nothing more I can say here in detail. On the revenue impact of the colleagues we will have to let go, of course we're gonna try to minimize that. If it's related to some product lines that we might discontinue, there could be an impact, but that's revenue is one side, EBIT is the other one.
Of course that is there to improve the EBIT. There's not much more we can say right now because that would go too much into detail of what products we plan to discontinue. But overall, also when it comes to the sales organization, we will certainly not cut areas where we will then have unnecessary reductions in revenue. Actually the opposite, we want to strengthen our revenue growth by implementing more stringent sales and commercial organization. That would be my comment on the first two questions. Maybe you wanna say something on China.
Midterm expectation China, I'd say again, let's go by segment. For our refractive business, I'd say that we volume-wise, would clearly see further growth. As I said before, we have baked in some caution in our guidance in terms of margin develop. There's some, if you wanna say so, some counter impact that we are forecasting there. Overall, we would still think that there is growth opportunity for our portfolio. In the intraocular lens sector, that of course remains more difficult at this point in time. Again, in terms of volume, I would be somewhat, especially in the monofocal area, might well be that we can actually gain there in terms of volume.
The price impact, of course, is most likely going to have, again, some offsetting impact here. Bit more difficult to predict, but as I also said before, we have made here some caution reservation in our model. On the recovery in the second half of the year, what are the drivers for that? I think number 1, as everybody knows, we definitely see that we have the summer peak for our refractive business in China ahead of us. And with a higher portion of SMILE pro capable lasers, we would, even if procedure numbers may not grow as strong, but we would think that we should benefit from the higher margin of the treatment packs post SMILE pro.
We would also see as a contributor in the second half of the year, of course, the MCS order book that we are now turning into revenues. Last but not least, again, let's remind everybody that one of the key headwinds was the currency in the first 6 months, and that from our current predictions will not play a role in the second half of the year. That will obviously be another contribution to the recovery.
We balance that essentially with the risks that still remain.
Yeah.
Geopolitical risks, essentially consumer climate remains weak, et cetera. IOLs we talked about. Essentially we balance the upsides with downsides.
I think there was 1 data point missing, maybe I didn't read the full question. This was basically the H1 trend in China. This was down single digits in the Chinese market. I will now call up, we will do the following. I have question from Bernstein, from Deutsche Bank, and from RBC. We'll try to get your audio in. If not, I have the written questions emailed back up.
Yeah.
Susannah from Bernstein, we'll start with you. We can try to unmute you, and in case it doesn't work, I have your questions here to read them out.
Yes. We try to get to Susannah Ludwig. You should be able to unmute yourself.
Great. good morning. Can you guys hear me?
I can hear you pretty well.
No, we can't. Okay, good. Okay, sorry about that.
Okay. We get the questions via email from Sebastian.
I will read them. These are from Susanne Klatten and Richard Schwam from Bernstein. First question, your restructuring program is targeting savings roughly equivalent to what you expect to deliver in adjusted EBITDA, EBITA at the midpoint of your guidance this year. Basically, the restructuring program is as big as the current EBIT. What gives you confidence in the delivery? This is obviously a sharp change for the organization. How will it impact morale in the organization? Given the complexity of the program, is it fair to assume that in the new CEO search, experience with transformation of this nature is a criterion?
Yeah. Yeah. Maybe, the first question about Well, the confidence comes from a couple areas, right? You know, in my previous life, I've done a couple of those programs, and I'm sure you have seen or done some of those as well. First of all, it comes with the confidence in the measures, right? How well are they analyzed? You know, how much do you believe the numbers that you see in those, and how much detail is put in there? My impression there is a lot of diligence was put in there. We also had some external support that made sure that we got challenged there. To do that, the organization that was involved, my impression, is was quite diligent in doing that.
The most important thing is saw the reason for doing that. Because looking at the numbers in the last quarters and actually even few years, people understood why this is there. That's a, that's a good basis for the second part, the confidence, because you're gonna have to make sure that, you know, the people are coming along. When it comes to the leadership, we had some conversations already. My impression is the leadership understands it, wants to continue or contribute and help on that.
The questions that we got typically are, "How can we help?" Now the next step, and that will happen actually right after this call, when Justus and I will address the whole group and the whole team, is that together with this extended leadership, we will guide our group, our team through that. For that, we also have support, implemented support for our leaders in terms of change management, and making sure that they can guide essentially their employees through that. With that, I would say that's as professional as I know you can set up a program like that. My confidence level that we will go through that is fairly high, of course.
To be very open there, we have to make sure that this time of uncertainty, we will keep short. Because of course, we want to focus on what really matters, and that's our customers. The second question was about complexity of the program, right?
Yeah, basically, is that in looking for the new CEO?
Yes, of course
looking for that set experience?
Yeah, well, yes. Exactly. That's one important aspect of the new CEO, clearly. Because the program is not over yet by announcing it, right? It actually starts. As you can imagine, there will be a lot of work. Here and there, some measures might not happen, then we're gonna have to find other measures or regroup and do that. Of course, we're looking for a person that, you know, is not gonna give up on that. That's very clear. That's part of the selection process and was tested. Of course, we're also looking for a program that for a person that looks beyond that. You know, because, you know, this program is in parts also growth. Of course, we have other ambitions for ZEISS Meditec.
We're looking for a person that can do both of that. The people I've seen that we look at, they can achieve that. Thank you for the question. Very good question. Thanks.
Okay. Thank you, Andreas. I come to Falko from Deutsche Bank. Falko, we can try to unmute you on audio. If not, I read the cues here.
Yes, I just asked Mr. Friedrich to unmute. He's dialed in by phone. Mr. Friedrich, you should be able to unmute yourself via the phone.
Can you hear me?
Yes.
Yes.
Can you hear you?
Okay, excellent. Thank you for taking my questions. Firstly, to what extent are you impacted by the Middle Eastern conflict? Are you able to mitigate or pass through higher costs? Secondly, what was the refractive procedure growth in China in the second quarter? How good is your visibility on this summer peak season at this point? Could it be a better one again? Lastly, more over the near term, with regards to the start of Q3, are you optimistic that the ophthalmology business can grow positively again on organic sales growth in Q3? Thank you.
I can start with Hi, Falko. It's Justus. The Middle East conflict is in terms of, you know, energy costs and associated impacts, is not really of that much relevance because as we know, we are mainly an assembly company and energy costs in our total bill of material is not such a decisive factor. It is fair to say that the Middle East region is a very good market for us and typically in the last years has
Grow with high single digits, partially double digit rates. There we clearly right now suffer with a slowdown in order entry and the headwind, as everybody can imagine, from the uncertainty in that region when it comes to the war. Therefore, not as much in our total cost of goods sold and impact, but more right now on the top line in terms of headwinds for our growth in that region. The refractive growth, I think, you wanted to understand for the second quarter.
What I can say in terms of procedure growth for the first six months, we do see a up to mid-single digit growth rates in procedures, which is as I said before, quite encouraging. You know, there is this associated uncertainty, and that leads to your question about the summer peak confidence. I don't, as I say before, I don't wanna be here, you know, too optimistic on everything. Because the in the bigger picture, not so much things have fundamentally changed in China. Therefore, yeah, we clearly would expect a reasonable summer peak, but I don't wanna generate here too much expectations for any miraculous, you know, enormous growth potential.
I think the last portion of your question was organic growth for OPT, but I was not quite sure, Falko, did you refer specifically to Q3 or generally going forward?
yes, I was referring to the third quarter now.
Organic growth in third quarter, we Yeah, as I said before, with our expectation that currency will not play a major role and therefore the headwinds on the top line, should remove by and large, and our typical seasonal pattern of a stronger second half of the year. Yeah, I would say that it is probably a fair assumption that we should be returning to organic growth in Q3, and if not in Q3, then certainly into Q4.
Okay. Thank you. As a quick follow-up, can you share how much the Middle East is in terms of your sales exposure for the group?
Let me quickly see. I have some backup notes on this but I don't have it. Here it is. Here it is. It's a low single digit portion of the group revenue and right now we are seeing a decline anywhere, you know, in the mid-single digit numbers versus last year.
Okay. Thank you.
Welcome.
Okay. The next one emailed questions are from RBC, from Charles Weston. Charles is asking, "Please, can you split out what you're seeing in Ophthalmology as like-for-like pricing, mix and volume?" The second one is: "Are you flagging major CapEx investments as part of the infrastructure, announcements?" The third one is: "Is the KINEVO 900 S cycle now inflecting? Can you give some visibility specifically on the neurosurgery order trends?" The last one is on DORC. "How is DORC performing on a standalone basis? Are these synergies on track with the initial business case?
Split of entire OPT in terms of pricing, mix and volume, I mean, that's a rather complex question for three-quarters of our revenue. With the factors that we mentioned before, you know, in VBP, where I currently, you know, as I said before, we are assuming some pressures there, with the refractive business, where at least going into the next years, we would probably see some pressure on margins based on competition arising. I'm not sure whether I can give you any, you know, sensible answer for the, you know, entirety of that business here. I think overall I try to, you know, take the key industry factors.
I think we clearly would see continued demand growth for the business, you know, simply driven by demography, I think as everybody is aware. Against that, we clearly see some pricing pressures. In terms of mix and our portfolio, as you know, where we are, increasingly having the consumables in the portfolio, and then now also in our instrument business, I would say that by and large, we would still end up, even with pricing pressure, on a different mix, with top line growth. I think I can only leave it on that level here. Otherwise we really have to go a business sector by business sector. CapEx investments associated with the Profit Up Program, yes, indeed, there are some.
I think at this point in time, it's probably fair to assume that it is somewhere a mid double-digit EUR million amount associated with it. Mainly, of course, relocations into China, but also beyond that, as we had said, some investments in so-called best cost country location outside of China. KINEVO inflection point was the third question. Yes, we do clearly, if you mean inflection to the positive, then I'd say yes. Clearly, we see that materializing and in the neurosurgery area that you were specifically asking for, we do see a good, as I said before, a good project pipeline.
The order book has been growing and we are actually preparing for a strong second half of the year for MCS and with KINEVO being a major component of that. DORC overall, I think we are still very happy with the integration is continuing. We do see synergy effects. We do, however, still see that the ramp up of operations to basically catch up with the enhanced demand respectively the requirements to basically develop the new territories that are now covered by the ZEISS organization that is still providing partially challenges.
I think overall, we are confident that we also, in this second half of the year, will have likewise, as we had in the last year, a strong development for DORC. Yeah. I think that's it.
Okay. As we are almost up on time, just checking if there's any last question on the phone. By email, I don't have anything currently anymore.
This is the moderator speaking. There are no questions in the telephone line or on the audio line in this call. Therefore, I hand over to Mr. Frericks.
Okay then. Thank you very much. Again, apologies that we had some difficulties. I hope we still did get to answer every question. Of course, the IR team is available next days and weeks, and we'll also be at a number of events in May and June. We'll be facing your questions and look forward to the discussions with you. It's an exciting time for us, and we hope to remain in dialogue with as many of you as we possibly can over the next weeks. Thank you for sticking with us. Thank you for the good discussion and questions, and we look forward to keeping in touch and the next regular call is in early August then. Look forward to that. Thank you very much.
Thank you.
Thank you.