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Earnings Call: Q2 2025

Aug 6, 2025

Heli Jämsä
IR Lead, Qt Group Plc

Welcome to Qt Group's Second Quarter 2025 Results Presentation. My name is Heli Jämsä, IR Lead, and with me today are our CEO, Juha Varelius , and CFO, Jouni Lintunen , to present the results. After the presentations, we will have Q&A, and considering the number of analysts here with us in the studio, we might not have time for questions from the lines. Without further ado, please, Juha, the floor is yours.

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

Thank you. Thank you. Good day, everyone. My name is Juha Varelius. I'm the CEO of Qt Company and let's get to the agenda, which is the pretty usual business highlights. Then Jouni will talk financials, and I will finish up on the outlook and guidance for 2025. If we go into our Q2, it was not good. You may call it soft or not good. I call it not good. We were, of course, expecting a bit better quarterly sales, although we must say that the comparable quarter was very difficult. Last year, we had a very big one-off deal, and so the comparable revenue this year was tough to beat, but yet we were expecting a bit better result. Our revenue decreased 3.9% and on comparable currency 0.5%.

Of course, that is a fairly big difference, and we all know that that comes from the dollar exchange rate. A large part of our sales is in dollars, so that's affecting. Our EBITDA margin was also 22.7%, which is a bit less than we usually get, and that comes together with the sales. What all affected on this? We said already on Q1 that the global economic situation and these trade tensions, they are affecting our customers in a way that if we think Qt, it always goes into a project which is an investment. This uncertainty in the market has caused that many of our customers are considering their investments not on a way that should they do it or not, but maybe more on a size and on a timing perspective.

We can see this particularly in automotive, pretty much everywhere else apart from China, where automotive is doing fine. On the Western markets, we see that the automotive industry has been slow. Basically, in our terms, it means that there are a lot of budget freezes and hiring freezes and such. The decisions are being delayed. We see on the defense and medical sectors that we don't see that much of that kind of hesitation. Defense specifically is investing pretty strongly at the moment. The purchasing behavior of our customers is currently somewhat cautious. We saw this particularly in America and Europe, and it was affecting both the new customer acquisition and customer expansion, whereas the distribution license revenue went as planned and grew pretty much as we were expecting.

That's kind of the theme of today that the new projects customers are thinking and maybe delaying the decision making and are very cautious. We see that on developer license sales, whereas the distribution obviously is something that the decision has been made long before this date, and the products are rolling into the market. We have personnel now 915 as of June 30th, year, an increase of 78. This is of course for future outlook, but we don't, we're not changing our long-term investments plan in any particular way. We see that this softness is more or less what is happening at this point. This was already announced in the World Summit that we have started developing a new bridging technology. Not going into more detail into it, it basically means that we are expanding the Qt user ecosystem.

When this ecosystem is growing, obviously it gives us potential opportunities to sell the commercial licenses as well. When you think of this, the financial impacts will start coming in slowly and then they gradually grow. I'm already taking the first question away, which is probably one of the questions that probably is going to be coming, that what is the financial impact? I would say that next year I wouldn't put a whole lot of financial impact on this at all. World Summit once again was a big, big success in Europe. We had 800 participants and the customer presentations, industry leaders, Metso, Harman, Siemens, Rohde, Watts, Volvo, and so on. Just to demonstrate that the community is very healthy, we get a, there is a lot of excitement and there are a lot of big companies using Qt, but that of course has always been the case.

Feedback from the customers on the product is very positive, actually on all of our product portfolio, not only Qt, but also the QA products. We don't see any changes on the competitive environment in that sense that the only headwind we are experiencing at the moment comes from the market. We also announced a few weeks ago that we're going to make a public cash offer on IAR Systems Group, which is a Swedish company based in Uppsala. This goes into our growth strategy that we've been communicating, that we're looking for products that will add into our current portfolio. If you think IAR's products, if I simplify quite substantially, they go into, when people are starting a project, they are choosing the hardware. That's when IAR products are coming into play.

Once that happens, then the next phase is that, what kind of software are we going to be building with what tools? Then comes a Qt offering. The obvious cross-sell right in the beginning is particularly Axivion in that hardware selection. QA products go there right away. This means that our customers can buy more from one shop. Our offering expands in that sense. It also means that this is earlier on in the project decision making, kind of gives a lead generation to Qt, if you like, and also gives the cross-sell opportunity and enlarges our addressable market. This is a conditional offer, among other things, 90% of the IAR shares. We'll see, I think that in the October timeframe, we'll be wiser to see what is our current situation and where this deal is going, but not before that.

The offer is still out there, and let's see how it goes. The Board of Directors of IAR are supporting it. We have some major shareholders that are supporting it. We're hopeful that we'll be able to conclude this deal during this fall. At this point of time, it's a public offer. We see that this combined company would benefit. We would be stronger together, and this would add to our portfolio. One particular thing, if you've looked from the IAR websites, one point on their strategy has been that they are now on a perpetual license, and their target is to go into subscription licenses. They've started it, but it's in a very early phase. That's, of course, something that Qt has already done. We think that with our know-how and IAR's management execution, we can combine this and accelerate maybe even the shift from perpetual to subscription licenses.

That, of course, would then affect the top line of IAR. That's very briefly what happened on Q2. Jouni is going to talk about the financials a bit, and then I'll talk about how the rest of the year is looking like.

Jouni Lintunen
CFO, Qt Group Plc

All right. Thank you, Juha. Welcome from my behalf as well to the earnings call of Qt Group. Juha quite well described already the environment and the net sales development as discussed. We were suffering negatively from the development of USD and also, to some extent, Japanese yen, not only in the second quarter, but also the whole H1. We reported net sales development of negative 3.9%. It was flat on constant currencies, - 0.5% revenue growth. For the full first half year, we are reporting flat revenue. There in constant currencies, we were growing 1.4% over last year. You see there are EUR 0.5 million other operating income buckets. I mean, this is coming namely from the tickets sold to World Summit that we had in May in Germany. This is kind of an income from that event.

You see as well that the materials and services bucket is higher now for two consecutive quarters. This is because we are having some single projects where we are using more external services for our customer consulting projects than the run rate is. However, that would not make any difference on the project profitability point of view for consulting projects. It is just another bucket of expenses. Our personnel expenses are up by 7% in Q2, 8.4% for the first half year. This is aligned with the personnel headcount development. We are up by 78 employees for the last 12 months' time. We are up by 27 in Q2 isolated. We are continuing the investments into growth areas. We are having more employees into R&D, namely in the quality assurance side and also to the customer-facing organizations.

Other operating expenses you see as well are an increase by roughly EUR 4 million for the first half year. This is driven by not only the Qt World Summit in the marketing side. It is a big event and adds costs. The last time that event was held was back in 2023, in Q4. That is kind of up. There is a different comparison period then. On top of that, we are having more professional services expenses for our R&D projects and also business development. We are having some increase in the recruiting costs in the HR side. There are project costs relating to the IAR acquisition proposal that we had booked already for the second quarter. This all adds up to the EBITDA margin of 22.7% or EUR 11.6 million for the second quarter.

For the first half year, EBITDA margin is 20.4%, down by 10 points from last year's, driven by not good revenue development. Amortization remains unchanged. This is coming from the amortization from the acquisitions of Axivion and Froglogic back in 2021 and 2022. No change in that. This leads to EBIT margin over 19% for the second quarter and EUR 9.6 million. The negative or unfavorable development of exchange rates does not show up only in the revenue line, but also shows in the financial items where we have intercompany balances. The impact now, the negative kind of impact of that, is roughly EUR 1.5 million now for the second quarter. Our effective tax rate is at a level of 19%, which has been the run rate during the past few quarters already and is not expected to change significantly going forward. Net profit for the period is EUR 6.7 million or 13.2%.

EPS is EUR 0.27, down from EUR 0.53 last year. We have increased our cash position from 12 months ago and from six months ago, quite significantly. The ending cash balance is EUR 91.5 million. We have been able to reduce the accounts receivable somewhat, and that's EUR 41.4 million. That's pretty much aligned on the revenue and invoicing development for the quarter. There's also a reduction of the contract assets by EUR 4.1 million from the end of 2024. This all leads to positive operating cash flow, which is EUR 29 million this year, somewhat up from last year, despite the softness in the revenue top line and also specifically the profitability side. There are not too many changes in the equity and liabilities. Interest-bearing liabilities are somewhat up from the end of last year, and that's coming primarily from the lease agreement bookings that we have now in the balance sheet.

The other short-term liabilities are down by EUR 4 million from the end of last year, driven primarily by a reduction in tax liabilities. This is, in short, what I wanted to talk about regarding the financials. Now I hand over back to Juha to go through the outlook and guidance for the year.

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

Yes. Q2 obviously was a disappointment. The first half of the year, we've been having this uncertainty. I think that what it looks now, we see that the development at the moment, that the second half will not be as gloomy as the first half. There are the questions around tariffs and the deal-making and whatnot. We do expect that the environment will be getting better. On the long term, we don't see any changes. Actually, pretty much everything that we use and see will have some sort of a graphical user interface and a touchscreen and whatnot. The amount of software is increasing. The demand for our product is still there, and our products are best in the market. I don't think that that will change. We don't see any development over there. Some of the, like in the early days, we were talking HTML5s and Flutters and whatnot.

They kind of come and they go, but they never come to challenge us in very big real terms in that sense. The economic situation, like we already said in the early of the year, we think that it's slowly getting better. It's definitely going to be a challenge so far, specifically in automotive and a couple of other industries. There's really been a slowdown. Automotive will probably continue its recovery even to the next year, but it is getting better. We keep our guidance same. The growth between 10% and 20% year-on-year on comparable exchange rates. Of course, comes the next question that how can we do that when the first half has been so slow? Basically, like you all know, our sales cycle, meeting a new customer and closing a deal, that's like a six-month period of time.

If we give a guidance like this, we pretty much have to have the pipeline already in place for the second half of the year because if we wouldn't, we wouldn't have time to do the sale and close the deals on time. This guidance that we see now is roughly the pipeline we already have in place. If we close the pipeline in the same ratios we've been historically doing, that should be the end game over there. The same applies that the busiest quarter is, of course, going to be the fourth quarter. That's what it always is. If we hit those numbers on the revenue, then the profit margin is going to be between 30 and 40%, probably more on the lower end, of course, now given the first half of the year. That's where we see it going.

Our EBITDA always is, well, it's very heavily driven by the revenue, of course, because we are in a licensing business. That's basically the guidance we have or the basis for the guidance we have. In general, if we take away the big deals in some period of time and we look at how the business has been performing, that's also a bit over 10% growth. In that sense, we do believe that we can reach those numbers. On top of that, like I said, I think that the uncertainty in our customer base is slowly decreasing. It's not more increasing as it has been when the tariffs have been going from 0 to 50 and whatnot. Now that uncertainty is going away.

The biggest challenges we have had, like I said, in Europe and in the Americas, whereas the APAC has been more stable, and that's largely because China has actually been performing pretty well on the markets where we are concentrating, for example, the automotive in that sense. That's been more stable and more investments over there, apart from what we've been seeing in Europe. That's overall the big scheme of things. We, of course, do always continue looking for increasing our operational efficiency. I believe that we can become even better on that as well. At the moment, we feel that we can meet those target numbers, although a very challenging year so far, and I think it's going to continue a very challenging year. This definitely has not been an easy year in any respect.

On the IAR side, we'll hope that we're going to be able to close the deal during this year. Like I said, it's still a public offer. If we can do that, we think that we can add value quite substantially when it adds to our product portfolio. We can do cross-selling and we can do the subscription chains. We think that going forward for the next couple of years together with IAR would be a very good addition. Let's see how it goes and hope that it closes this year. There you can see the old slide, but a lot of nice brands we have as customers. I bet Matti Riikonen is going to have his first question.

Matti Riikonen
Senior Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Good morning. It's Matti Riikonen, DNB Carnegie. A couple of questions. What kind of changes are you seeing in your customer behavior right now? You said that Asia customers have been doing relatively okay, Western customers far from okay. What are the changes that the customers, what do they say to you? Has it been that they are just postponing things until we get some clarity of the tariffs? Have they said that, no, we will not start any new projects this year or next, so we won't be needing any software in the near future? Everything between those. What kind of feedback are you getting from your customers? What makes you so confident that the actual pipeline would be closed by the end of the year, even though the first half has been so particularly weak?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

I think that in APAC, as we slow down, they're putting more gas. They're clearly investing, and it's not only there is a lot of activity over there. Whereas we've seen in the Western market customers hesitating, there's been a budget freeze that, hey, let's not hire anybody for a moment, let's postpone these projects, and let's see where it goes. I would say that will there be cancellations of projects? Not likely because our software goes into new products, and if our customers stop launching new products, then that's kind of the end of the story. What our customers are, of course, thinking is what might be the production volume they need to be doing. Are they going to have a market in North America or not? Are they going to be having a market in China, and on what volumes?

While there is a lot of uncertainty, the projects are postponed and pushed forward. That's possible in our business because Qt is usually going into new projects that have not yet been started, right? Delaying an investment on new product development is always possible. Delaying a production that is already going is very, very difficult and very seldom happens. Will these projects go on and will the world go on and will there be a software development in the Western world? Yes, they will. Of course, they will. It can't be stopped, basically, because that would mean that there would not be new product releases, facelifts, and whatnot. In that sense, I'm pretty confident on that, on what volume it will go forward.

In many ways, it's been like the second quarter has been a bit like a COVID type of a thing, that things are kind of halted for a while. I'm certain it will go forward because life goes on, and these companies, our customers, they are building products. They can't stop that, basically, but they can delay projects and they can make them smaller and whatnot. That's kind of the situation. Our companies, our customers, as you can see over there, there is LG, Bosch, Hyundai, ABB, Ford, and so on and so what, huge companies. They will exist also next year and five years from now, at least most of them, and so they need to be developing things further. That's a very good question that it's one thing to have the pipeline, then it's another thing to close it, as you're saying. We do have the pipeline now.

We need to close it, basically. That's what it takes to make the rest of the year. I think we can. Of course, we go through each and every deal, and it's distributed on each and every, at the end of the day, to each and every sales guy who are making their own predictions. It's built from bottom to up, and they make their own estimations. Then we have the historical data that we looked at on how do we close the pipeline. If all that points to the fact that this is going to be the end game, I mean, you know I don't have any very good reason or compelling justification to say otherwise than that. That's what it's based on. Of course, that's the risk, basically, that it moves forward.

Matti Riikonen
Senior Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Regarding the European customers who were facing quite harsh tariffs, or that was the initial plan. Now we seem to be getting some kind of truth with the U.S. What are your European customers telling you about their incentives to start investing again? Is that now more positive or is it the same as before?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

It's more positive, but when uncertainty happens, usually how companies behave is that they start delaying decisions that they can delay, and they start reserving cash. They start saving cash for the rainy day. That's what we see, that people are very cautious on their spending. That's what we've been seeing. They calculate very carefully when they do renewals. They calculate very carefully how many licenses they need. They are cautious on that, how can they be most effective in every way. They are cash cautious at the moment. By the way, the same thing happened during COVID, that the decision, everything that was possible to delay, started delaying, and the company started saving cash. At the end of the day, the companies that want to be successful in the long term do have a strategy. Based on that strategy, they make investments because that's the only way to grow.

If you preserve cash and you don't make investments, you're out of business. The question is, is that going to be a year or 10 years or whatnot? All the companies that want to be successful in the long term need to have a strategy, and they need to make investments because otherwise, saving cash is not a sustainable strategy. All our customers are actually in a business where they do make investment decisions and they do make investments. On the long term, that's where they're going to get. Now, in the first half, that's been slow. They've been delaying. They've been very cash cautious, but that's not a sustainable long-term strategy for them, and they know it, of course. It's very natural.

Matti Riikonen
Senior Analyst, DNB Carnegie

All right. Finally, what will you do with your costs if you see that the top line growth that you are now expecting doesn't materialize in Q3, Q4? You have earlier been fairly skilled with keeping costs down when your top line doesn't increase by that much. Do you see that that is still possible? At which part of the second half would you start considering to kind of radically taking costs down?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

I don't even think about it because the top line will go up. Of course, I mean, you know, I run a business, right? If my top line doesn't grow, you know, then I'm going to secure the bottom line. On the longer term, I have no doubts that we will be growing. If I look at the years down the line, are we going to double our revenue? We're going to double our revenue, no doubt on that. On the book, that makes sense that on a weak first half, I kind of start changing and saving. That would be like, you know, going up and down. We're on an embedded business where development processes are long. The development cycles are long.

It doesn't make any sense in our type of a business to start acting based on a quarterly or first half weaker than expected performance in that sense. Having said that, rest assured that if we would hit a situation that we would not grow at all, right? We would see that the revenue is going to be flat or growing 5%. Of course, we would adjust our costs in a way that we would still have a very good profitability. With very good, I mean where we are as of today. If we take like a few-year view from now, we're going to be increasing our revenue substantially, no doubt about that. In that sense, I'm not, and we're definitely going to be adjusting our costs on a quarterly basis because that would be kind of making decisions, delaying, making decisions, delaying.

In our type of a business, it doesn't make any sense at all. Our own product development cycles are fairly long. Our customer product development cycles are very long. On these kind of small hiccups, we need to look beyond. Having said that, this is no medical business, where on medical business, they look beyond a few-year recessions because their development cycles are like 10 years, right? We're somewhere in between. We're not definitely a web type of a business where on a monthly basis, we adjust costs. I know I didn't quite answer your question, but I don't think that I need to start slashing costs on the second half. Let's put it that way.

Matti Riikonen
Senior Analyst, DNB Carnegie

All right. Fair enough. Thank you.

Waltteri Rossi
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

Hi, Waltteri Rossi from Danske Bank. Why do you think that your business has been so heavily impacted by the short-term macro environment, even though the development projects should be more immune to that? Do you think that it's more related to the tariff uncertainty or actually longer-term uncertainty in the automotive industry?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

Yeah, I guess we got most slammed. The worst slam we got was from the automotive, obviously. I think that the biggest over there is tariffs, that's for sure. On some manufacturers, it, of course, affects the fact that for some Western companies, at the same time, there are tariffs. They've been facing the fact that there is fierce competition in China. Many Western companies had a big, big market share in China, and now they've been losing that quite heavily. I think I said a few years back that if development continues like this, we're all going to be driving Chinese cars. That's what it definitely looks like. It's both. Can I quantify that what is what? Hard to say. Of course, you know that there have been Western car manufacturers that they've done write-offs worth of billions of dollars only on their Chinese operations.

Clearly, they are affected on both. Now we're in a situation that there is overproduction in. China is producing more cars than they can consume domestically. Now the question is that where are those cars going to be landing, right? At the same time, there is an oversupply of the product, and then there are tariffs in the U.S. The tariffs are kind of two-fold, that they are also affecting the U.S. manufacturers because they manufacture so much subcontracting in Mexico and Canada. It's kind of hitting the whole industry pretty hard. It comes down to tier ones. Tier ones are also our customers, right? We have customers, tier one customers that are suppliers to the automotive industry. That's probably the worst industry we have. On consumer electronics, being a bit of a headwind as well.

Some other industries like the defense have been doing fine, but it can't overcome the whole portfolio. If you want to have a silver lining on all this, one of the silver linings is that thank God we are in 70 different industries because if we would be automotive only, I mean, you know, then this would look really bad.

Waltteri Rossi
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

How much do you think that automotive is going to be of your sales this year, roughly? How much is China from that figure?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

I think that the automotive has always been between 15% and 20%. Now probably going to be on the lower end, obviously. China figures we haven't released publicly, but they are growing fast. Started small, but now growing fast. There comes, you know, the next obvious thing that is that good or bad on the long term.

Waltteri Rossi
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

Long term, you think that you can compensate the declining Western automotive sales?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

Yes, of course. The Western automotive sales are now delaying things because they don't know that, you know, I can understand that if you're in that kind of a situation and you're thinking, what would be my production volume, right? What's my volume for Europe? What's my volume for USA? What's my volume for China in this particular situation? It's very hard to decide. Once you've decided that, then that's the volume you're going to produce, right? It's a very difficult environment to make decisions because they need to estimate what's going to be the end-user volumes. In this current situation, it's tough. The worst case for the European car manufacturers, of course, is that instead of being global, they are manufacturing cars only for the European market. That would be a pretty big change.

I don't think it goes into that, but the decision-making environment for them has been very, very difficult during the first half. So much uncertainty. Yet you have to make decisions that you have to live with, like five years going forward. If I could delay, if I would be in that position, I could delay, I would delay my decision-making for sure.

Waltteri Rossi
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

Still, a few follow-ups on the automotive. Have you, have you seen there any changes in the competitive situation? or have you lost any customers? or are there some large customers specifically that are leaking right now?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

Yes, of course, I'm not going to say that. No, we haven't lost any, you know, no losses or whatnot. I think that if you study the industry more in depth, you'll know who are in trouble and in what kind of trouble. They are our customers, so I'm not going to start this discussion on that front.

Waltteri Rossi
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

What about the competitive situation?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

That hasn't.

Waltteri Rossi
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

Sorry, against Android or Chinese competitors?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

No, that hasn't changed. I mean, we're doing very well in China. Qt is not only on automotive, but Qt is being used more and more in China, also on desktop, as a matter of fact. Our product is competitive, and we see these newcomers kind of are coming. In the early days, HTML5, then there were like [Writeware], [Gunsi], then there was Flutter. Flutter, I haven't heard of. The last I heard from Flutter is that they are actually not developing it anymore. They've slashed all the development personnel. They are only upkeeping it as of now. Unity made a big announcement that they're going to do big inroads into automotive. Yes, they are somewhere, but I don't see them making any inroads whatsoever. It's a complicated environment. The requirements for the products are very, very high. It takes a lot to be competitive in, for example, into automotive.

We haven't seen any changes on that front, nor have we seen any that there'd be a new product, that there is price competition or any of that. That's not the case at all.

Waltteri Rossi
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

All right, thanks. One last question regarding the developer license maturity. The three-year licenses, how much of those developer license sales do you think three-year licenses will be this year? How much were they last year? Has there been actually a significant decline in that, also partly explaining the decline in sales?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

That's a very detailed question. I don't have those numbers out of my head, unfortunately. On a general level, I haven't seen a substantial change over there.

Waltteri Rossi
Equity Research Analyst, Danske Bank

That's not one main reason?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

No, I wouldn't call that a main reason, not at all. I don't have exact figures to give you.

Matti Riikonen
Senior Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Fair enough. Thank you.

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

Thank you.

Antti Luiro
Analyst, Inderes

Hey, Antti Luiro from Inderes. Quick question about the guidance. I assume that's fully organic, not assuming any revenue from IAR.

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

Yeah, for sure.

Antti Luiro
Analyst, Inderes

Yeah, good.

Yeah.

Good to hear. On the IAR , maybe just contrasting a little bit how they do sales versus how Qt Group does sales. I know you both have global sales networks.

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

Yeah.

Antti Luiro
Analyst, Inderes

Is there any difference in terms of who you sell to, like tier one, two suppliers versus the OEM? If so, are there any opportunities to build sort of deeper relationships by combining your networks of sales, assuming the deal goes through, yeah. Assuming the deal goes through?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

Yeah, they do have their, it was actually funny enough, their offices are pretty much in the same locations where we have offices. That seems to be the case. What is exactly that? How do they, what's their sales process? I don't have enough visibility on that. Looking at how they're organized, how they operate, it seems to me that it's pretty much direct sales, like Qt does. It's direct sales to end-user customers. They do have very strong partnerships with the chip vendors, NXPs, and whatnot. They work very closely with the hardware manufacturers. I think that their relationship is stronger than Qt has. In that sense, I think the sales model is pretty much alike as Qt, whereas the expertise that they have for that particular sales to sell directly to the customers, of course, it's unique that we don't have.

In that sense, I don't see benefit on that. Of course, I do see that we can sell our QA products over there so they can start using their sales guys, can start their sales force, can start selling our QA products. Pretty much also Qt to all of their customers. That cross-sell is there right imminent.

Antti Luiro
Analyst, Inderes

In terms of the market slowdown and that easing up in the future, obviously EU and U.S.A. trade deal is one of the factors there. I guess the U.S.A. and China deal is another one. Are you looking at any other sort of factors that could be the stepping stones towards a more sort of calmer market?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

In Europe, obviously, there are two crises in Europe that are close by. The Gaza conflict will end and the Ukraine war will end. That will, of course, boost the economy in Europe. I think that the tariff uncertainty, the uncertainty from my point of view in this manufacturing industry, is even worse than the tariff itself. Of course, the 15% tariff will have impact on the end-user demand, but it's going to be a lot less than this uncertainty. Two things will have an effect. You guys know more on the overall economy than I do, but you know one would think that maybe someday there would be even a small growth in Europe. I don't know if it's possible anymore in my lifetime, but I would think that at someday there is this possibility. The U.S.

will definitely find a way to grow and APAC will definitely find a way to grow. I mean, in a worst-case scenario, we will have two regions where the economy is growing fast and that is inevitable. Then we have Europe, which might turn into zero growth retirement home for all, or it might find a way to grow a little. Let's hope for the latter.

Antti Luiro
Analyst, Inderes

Thanks for your help.

That's all for me.

Felix Henriksson
Associate Director of Equity Research, Nordea

Hi, Felix Henriksson Nordea, a few questions left from me. Quality assurance, we haven't discussed that yet. How are the quality assurance sales in Q2 compared to your own expectations? I think you mentioned in the report that you expect a pickup in the quality assurance sales also in the second half of the year. What's driving that?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

On quality assurance, one of the, when I've said it's like Qt 2.0. When we started early on selling Qt, many of our customers had developed software development tools of their own. Then we showed them Qt and told them that you can be so much more effective if you put your engineers developing something and let us take care of the software development tools and frameworks and whatnot. That was the case. On QA, it's a bit of the same story that why would you do manual testing when you can automate all that? That's kind of the shift people are doing and they get more efficiencies from there. The other big driver is the AI because if you have humans doing code, there might be mistakes.

If AI is doing code, there might be mistakes because AI decided to be funny or decided to make a, you know, you never know what the AI is going to be doing. If you have code done with AI, you basically have to test it all, right? Those are the two factors that are driving the testing market. Your first question was did we do as we expected? No, we did not. It was slow as well. Of course, on our QA sales, it's usually the kind of a rip and replace type of situation that you already have a competitive product and you need to replace it with our product. Or you're doing manual testing and you decide to continue doing the manual testing. Or you're not testing at all and you continue not testing at all. Not all software is always tested.

You probably have your own experiences that you've bought something and it doesn't work. Not everything is tested all the time. Companies may decide that, well, we need to save money. Let's go as we've been doing before. That's kind of a decision-making criteria over there. On the longer term, will this trend continue that more and more software needs to be tested? All AI software needs to be tested. There is more software. It doesn't make any sense to do manually. Customers will need to automate their testing and get these types of tools. It's the competitive environment that is our tool good or not. If you take Squish, it's far out the best tool to test Qt software, right? If you've developed something with Qt, either commercial or open source, it doesn't make any sense to take the Squish, basically.

If you think on Axivion on static code testing, you have different possibilities. If you go into architecture verification and static code, that's pretty much the only product on the market, right? There is no alternative to that. If you're looking only at static code testing, is Axivion better than something else? Then, debatable. Do you want to change it or whatnot? That's kind of the situation on that. Architecture verification, we're getting kind of in the detail. Do I have to do it now? No, you can always postpone it. The downside is that your platform and your software get so complicated that when you want to do a change on your software, it takes forever because your architecture is so twisted, which in many cases might be possible.

It could be that you don't want to take the architecture verification because you've been building your software 10 years and you know that it's not good, but you don't want to know how bad it is. It has happened. It's kind of a decision that you can postpone. Higher up you go in the organization, it's very evident that, hey, this is something that we really need. On that architecture verification and the static code combination, Axivion is far out the best product in the market. If you look at our customers over here, they are pretty much hardware manufacturers who are getting into software development. Some are more advanced and some are less advanced. On many of our customers, the hardware manufacturing has been the core DNA. Of course, I'm biased, but I would recommend architecture verification for them all, just in case.

That's kind of the long-term view. They're all going to get it. It's just a matter of timing, right? We know that there are all kinds of combinations. That's kind of the QA. If I look then on a QA, you can, in this, our business, what is the addressable market? Difficult to say because, you know, Qt is on 70 industries and whatnot. Roughly, we can say that our QA products have double the size of addressable market than Qt. Over time, QA should become bigger than Qt.

Felix Henriksson
Associate Director of Equity Research, Nordea

Sure. Just a couple of questions on IAR. You've talked about the sources of synergies, but are you planning to quantify these to us at any point upon the closing of the transaction?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

No.

Felix Henriksson
Associate Director of Equity Research, Nordea

Why not?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

It's too early. I mean, you know, we have a public offer. Obviously, it's a public company, the amount of due diligence we've done. Let's see that, first of all, we get to close this deal. Let's see how we can work together. We've not looked at this from the synergy saving points at all. That's not been the driver for us thinking about this acquisition. We see that their product, their R&D is definitely very specific to what IAR is doing. We can see synergies over there working together, but rather probably accelerating the investment on that front. If we look on the sales side, we think that their sales has been, it's very specific sales to that matter. They have great expertise on that. I think that we'd probably be looking at how to accelerate their growth through further investments than looking at synergies.

The synergies would probably come somehow. Of course, there are going to be savings when there is only one public company instead of two public companies in this. I think that they are the minor thing in all of this at the end of the day. If you look at what's been behind the success of Qt, we have a great product and then we did an investment on building our own global footprint on sales. We've been investing on sales, investing on commercializing Qt product. That's what we've been very good at. I think that we can together accelerate that development in IAR case. I think that together with our know-how and investing even more on that, we can accelerate the IAR's growth and expansion in global markets more than they would have been able to do it alone. That's the main driver.

Have we calculated that we're going to be doing some cost savings? No. I don't think they're going to be any major impacting force. I think that where the profitability on IARs will come, we're going to be able to increase the top line with their existing personnel. If we can increase the top line like 30% with existing personnel, the profitability will follow. That's more our scenario that we've been doing.

Felix Henriksson
Associate Director of Equity Research, Nordea

Got it. Thank you. One more question.

Jaakko Tyrväinen
Equity Analyst, SEB

One more.

Jaakko Tyrväinen from SEB. This should be a rather quick one. Regarding the expected deals for the second half, how much of the expected growth that you are now seeing there is based on kind of foreseeable license renewals, and how much you are relying on new license sales growth, meaning growth in volumes in the second half?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

About half and half.

Jaakko Tyrväinen
Equity Analyst, SEB

Fair enough. Thank you.

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

You're welcome. You can ask another one if it's as quick.

Jaakko Tyrväinen
Equity Analyst, SEB

Let's continue. On your visibility regarding the distribution license revenue, you've seen growth in this line in the first half. Regarding the existing trade tensions, are you seeing headwinds in distribution license revenue, especially in the Western world? Are you able to compensate that with the Chinese production?

Juha Varelius
CEO, Qt Group Plc

That wasn't a short one or a quick one. Yes, we can partly, we can, of course, compensate. I think that the headwind on distribution license, because of this turbulence now this year, you're going to see it more next year, right? This year, production was already decided last year. When it's done and dusted, it's going to happen. This year, hesitations, you're going to see some slowdown next year on the growth pattern. That would be kind of expectations because now the decision's being delayed, right? The manufacturing's being delayed. It's probably cautious and smaller. We're going to see that in the coming months. That's going to be more a next year issue than this year issue. This year, runtime, distribution license decisions have been made already before. That's why it's not affected. That's kind of the time sequence, how it goes. Thank you very much. Thank you.

We're one minute over. I think that was definitely the last question. Thank you all.

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