Nokian Renkaat Oyj (HEL:TYRES)
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Apr 28, 2026, 6:29 PM EET
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Earnings Call: Q1 2024

Apr 29, 2024

Päivi Antola
Head of Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres

Good afternoon from Helsinki, and welcome to Nokian Tyres Q1 2024 results conference call. My name is Päivi Antola. I'm heading Investor Relations in Nokian Tyres, and in the call I have the President and CEO Jukka Moisio and Niko Haavisto, the CFO of Nokian Tyres. As usual, we will go through the results and talk about some other topics as well. Romania, for example, of course, will be covered in the presentation and other highlights that will be coming during the year, but let's then, of course, we have a Q&A at the end of the call, but let's start with the prepared notes, and Jukka, would you start?

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

Thank you, Päivi, and welcome on my behalf. I'll go through the prepared notes and presentation, which is heading "Building the New Nokian Tyres: Context in a Challenging Environment." I move to page 2, some of the important milestones we aim to achieve in 2024. Of course, our key innovation, Winter Tire, will celebrate its 90th anniversary this year. Our new and world's first zero CO2 emission tire factory in Romania will start production. I'll talk more about that later. U.S. investment phase in Dayton factory will be completed, and the factory will be fully invested to achieve its targets. We keep on launching new innovative products because the rebuilding of Nokian Tyres and building the company is based on organic growth, so it requires, and we want to introduce and sell innovative, successful, and competitive products, and then build the production capability behind those products.

So therefore, innovation, new products are a key element in achieving the new Nokian Tyres. I move to page 3, and this is a highlight and update of the Romanian factory. On the picture on the left-hand side, you'll see the new mixing building, which is very much in progress, and the equipment installations there will begin in the end of April. In the middle, you'll see the production building, so finishing work is continuing, and equipment installations are progressing as we speak. And on the right-hand side, you see finished goods warehouse where we are paving the loading docks and outdoor area. Very much on track, and the recruitments of the team are progressing, and in fact, we have the launch team in training in Nokia as we speak, and they'll be returning to Romania for the summer and be prepared for the manufacturing start.

First tires will be produced in the second half of 2024, and as mentioned, according to our schedule, the commercial production will start in 2025. We are on time, and we are on budget or maybe even below budget. On page 4, we've taken steps forward in sustainability. Some of the examples of achievement in the first quarter: the first zero CO2 emission tire factory is ongoing. We had an A-minus score from Carbon Disclosure Project for actions aiming at reducing the greenhouse gas emissions. We also made a long-term purchase agreement and commitment for recovered carbon black with the tire recycling joint venture. This is one step on our way to ensure that by 2030, we have at least 50% of recycled and renewable raw materials in our tires, and we also published our sustainability report for 2023.

I move then to page 5, and we start with the financial part. It says an operating profit at previous year level. It says 23.6, and last year also 23.6 million EUR. Segments EBITDA in the first quarter 12.5 and last year 11.2. We, of course, had an impact of the political strikes in Finland as well as the Red Sea crisis, approximately amounting to EUR 20 million at the EBITDA level. More than half of this is in the first quarter. Segments operating profit -15.1 in the quarter and last year -14.

If you look at the top line number without the impact of or neutralizing the impact of the political strikes as well as the Red Sea crisis, we would have been in the range of EUR 260 million in net sales and approximately 9%-10% of EBITDA, which would have been about doubling our EUR 12.5 million EBITDA in the quarter. This impact of political strikes and Red Sea crisis consists of loss of revenue. This is, of course, a timing issue that some of the products that were on the ship on the way to Europe for our offtake did not land on time. However, we believe that we will and we can sell the products in the coming months and quarters. We had a lack of production in Nokia in passenger car tires about 20 days and heavy tires about 5 days.

Heavy Tyres is fully in the Q1. Passenger car production about 9 days of the 20 days or 3 weeks is in the second quarter as the strikes we needed to stop the production due to the fact that we couldn't ship any products from Finland, and we had all our warehouses full, and consequently, we couldn't keep on producing any more. In addition, we had these extra costs, which are related to warehouse logistics and similar things, rerouting, and various other topics. But all in all, as said, the impact for the company in the first half is more than 20 is about EUR 20 million, more than half of that in the quarter in the EBITDA. I move to page 6. Still, we have a strong balance sheet.

Despite the lower than expected profitability in the quarter, we have a strong balance sheet, 58% equity ratio, gearing at 30%, net interest and net debt at EUR 395 million, capital expenditure we kept on investing in Romania as well as finalizing Dayton, about EUR 70 million, and cash flow from operating activities minus EUR 87 million. Then I would hand over to Niko to talk about the segments and other topics. Niko, please go ahead.

Niko Haavisto
CFO, Nokian Tyres

Yeah, thank you, Jukka. I will go through the segment numbers a little bit more in detail, and I'm in page 7. So in the passenger car tire segment, our net sales increased due to the higher volumes, and that, of course, was driven by increased product availability. Our average sales prices compared with the comparable currencies were at the previous year level, and profitability improved driven by higher volumes and lower costs, net sales being EUR 143 million compared to EUR 133.3 million in last year's same quarter. And then on the operating profit level at the segment, we were at the level of minus EUR 2.8 million compared to EUR 4.6 million last year's same quarter. On page 8, there is a bridge on the passenger car tire segment, and there you see on top the kind of the sales breakdown, so the volume up by close to 10%.

At the same time, we were able to keep the price and mix at previous year's level, more or less, and then we had a little bit negative headwind from the currency. All in all, landed at EUR 143 million. In terms of operating profit, there we see especially the material costs were coming down, so we were there gaining some EUR 8 million, but at the same time, the supply chain with the increased logistic costs, warehousing, and freight especially hit us by EUR 11 million in this segment. Final slide on the passenger car tire segment. So there you see the volume changes by quarter, so still coming out from a fairly okay Q4 into Q1, +10% price and mix.

That was kind of flat, but I think that is a good achievement in the market and still getting a little bit headwind from the currencies, but not so material as it was during most of the last year. On page 10 with the heavy tires, their weak market is affecting us in terms of sales and profitability, and there especially we see in the Nordics and also on the road heavy tires products that we are having some difficulties. It will last most likely during H1 this year. Net sales EUR 55 million compared to last year's EUR 68 million, and then on the operating profit level, we were at the level of close to 12% with the actual numbers of EUR 6.3 million compared to EUR 9.6 million last year.

Then on the Vianor side, there we landed pretty much on the level of last year in terms of sales. Operating profit was minus EUR 16 million compared to minus EUR 13.5 million last year, and of course, this is a seasonality thing, but of course, the inflation is hurting us in this business, and we need to understand better going forward how to put that into our earnings as such. Then I have the guidance slide, so slide 13, and we have kept our guidance unchanged, and we say that this year 2024, our net sales with comparable currencies and segments operating profit are expected to grow significantly compared to that of last year. And by significant, we mean at least double-digit growth, and we will be more precise what we mean with that when we go more into that year.

With that, I hand back to Jukka.

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

Thank you, Niko. Just to wrap up the presentation, as we said, that the rebuild of new Nokian Tyres is very much focused on the new products, so we have a very good product portfolio of products, and then all of their factory goes on stream. That will be based on completely new products that are in the pipeline and will be introduced during the course of the remainder of the year, so that when we start operations, we have highly competitive new products. But also the portfolio right now, as you see, keeps on evolving continuously, and the rebuild of the company is based on organic growth, so in the heart of that is the good portfolio of new products. I move to page 15 to wrap up the presentation.

Again, we come back to the Capital Markets Day presentation of 2023, that we have the investment phase, and then we have the growth phase, and you see roughly where we are at this point of time in the investment phase and those activities consist of capacity increase in Finland done, U.S. factory completion, about to be done right now, new factory in Romania. We'll be making the first tires in the second half of this year, and we'll start commercial production in early 2025, and then growing contract manufacturing, which is very much ongoing. So most of the growth in the continental Central Europe is based on contract manufacturing of the products. As we mentioned, unfortunately, some of those were in the ship when they were supposed to be landing in Europe.

However, we believe that this is only temporary based on Q1 dislocation, but we will be able to sell those products later on. Growth phase then starting in 2026, increasing market penetration, which is built on new products, increased capacity, and enhanced operational capabilities. And that way, we would be on our way towards EUR 2 billion from passenger car tires point of view. In heavy tires, we expect that despite the weakness of the heavy tires markets, whether it's Nordics or whether it's a Finnish Nordic OEM, Finnish OEM in this particular quarter, we will continue to at the above market level growth, and in the Vianor, we continue to have the distribution excellence in the Nordics. In combination, that will allow us to move towards EUR 2 billion. And with that, I end the presentation of prepared notes and hand over back to Päivi for Q&A. Päivi, please go ahead.

Päivi Antola
Head of Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres

Thank you, Jukka. Thank you, Niko. And now, as Jukka said, we will be ready for the questions from the audience, please.

Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key 5 on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key 6 on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Michael Jacks from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Michael Jacks
Senior Director, Bank of America

Hi, good afternoon, Jukka and Niko. Thank you for the presentation. A few short questions from me, please. Firstly, what was the volume contribution from contract manufacturing in Q1, and where do you stand now from a run rate perspective? Secondly, can you just give us a little bit more color on the split between price and mix? I understand that the net amount was negligible in Q1, but just wondering if there was a few moving parts to that between price and mix contributions. And maybe attached to that, where to from here on pricing and mix for the coming quarters? Thank you.

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

All right, so the first question is that what's the contribution of the offtake volumes in the first quarter? It's roughly about one-third of the total volume in PCT.

Niko Haavisto
CFO, Nokian Tyres

Yeah. I mean, in terms of price and mix, as I said, we are fairly okay with what we saw in the Q1. Most likely, we will lose a little bit going forward now this summer season, but then gradually picking up towards the H2, so fairly okay situation there.

Michael Jacks
Senior Director, Bank of America

Very clear. Thank you. And if I could just slip in one follow-up, just on heavy tires, are there any signs of improvement in activity levels going into Q2?

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

Of course, the OEM, especially in Finland, the OEM was impacted by the political strikes because, like us, they were not able to ship their products. However, of course, if you think about the forestry equipment segment, for example, which is an important one for us, you've seen that the bulk price, the storm goods prices, and so on are going up. So obviously, there'll be more activity and more interest in that particular segment, and that combined with the expected lower interest rates. So we think that there is clearly a positive opportunity going forward. In the aftermarket, we would expect that that aftermarket will also be stronger this year because the pipeline is relatively empty now compared to prior years, so therefore, there are positive developments expected. So especially in the second half, we can see a much stronger performance.

Michael Jacks
Senior Director, Bank of America

Very clear. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Samu Wilhelmsen from Nordea Markets. Please go ahead.

Samu Wilhelmsen
Credit Research Analyst, Nordea Markets

Hello, and thank you for taking my question. In two parts, I could start, first of all, about the effects of the Red Sea and the Finnish strikes. You stated that it had an effect of EUR 20 million on the EBITDA, but can you disclose how much was it on sales and to what extent these sales could be shifted to another quarter?

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

You said that the sales dislocation was about 25.

Niko Haavisto
CFO, Nokian Tyres

EUR 25 million level.

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

That can be for most part, that can be kicked forward, but obviously, the loss of production where we actually lost the volumes with the downtime, that is difficult to catch back.

Samu Wilhelmsen
Credit Research Analyst, Nordea Markets

All right. Thank you. And then how about your guidance for this year going forward, given that there was some limited growth in Q1? So I would presume that these shifted sales probably aren't a game changer. So will you be projecting most of the growth to be tilted to the second half of this year, or how would you see it?

Niko Haavisto
CFO, Nokian Tyres

Yeah, that's how we see we are. This is the seasonality business in that meaning, so it's more towards the H2 of the year that we see the growth. Just to add that, remember, the political strikes continued until 8th or 9th of April, and we actually did not produce in PCT in the early days of April, and we were not able to ship until the 9th of April. So obviously, if you look at the quarter, unfortunately, there are limited number of days in the quarter, and so 10% of the days were lost in the beginning of the quarter, 90 days, and 9 out of those were lost out of the gate, unfortunately. But we believe that the strong momentum will then start from there.

Samu Wilhelmsen
Credit Research Analyst, Nordea Markets

Okay. Thank you for the clarification.

Operator

The next question comes from Mika Ihamäki from DNB Markets. Please go ahead.

Miika Ihamaki
Equity Analyst, DNB Market

Thanks for taking my question. It's Mika from DNB. In passenger car tires, still on the mix, just slightly down where you reported flat average sales price at comparable currencies. However, at the same time, sales to Europe increased significantly, and then you mentioned that you had quite a bit share of offtake in the mix. So could you still open up on the mix performance, and how do you see this developing forward? What are the drivers?

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

Yeah, the mix was mostly what we were losing were, actually, the summer tires and such. We were able to secure winter tires and early volumes for those, and we were able to secure good volume of all-season tires. And we were also able to secure good availability in the Nordics, so that in combination, that helped us to have a good price mix. And of course, the North American sales were very much with the pre-orders and so on also partially into the winter. But also we start to see already also that the mix in Dayton is improving, so that there is more LT and such that helps the price mix.

Miika Ihamaki
Equity Analyst, DNB Market

Okay, so you see that the mix should hold up fairly well going towards the end of the year?

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

The mix is very much to our liking, so that we actually have been achieving a good mix that what we wanted to deliver. But clearly, more winter tires will come into second half and into the winter season, so we are quite positive about how the mix looks going into the second half.

Miika Ihamaki
Equity Analyst, DNB Market

Okay, then just one, if I may, just on the offtake, so can you please open up in a rough ballpark that what's the margin profile? Is it closer to 10, closer to 5, just to get an idea?

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

We have always said that the offtake for us is an important way to stay relevant in the market and also obviously make money. So one thing is that we have the right kind of a selection of winter, all-season, and summer for the mostly on Central European markets, and we will not shift them so that we lose money. So all of them are expected to make money. Some of the all-season make more money. Summer is relatively modest in terms of profitability, and winter is stronger in profitability. But we haven't opened up the offtake, and we will not do it here either.

Miika Ihamaki
Equity Analyst, DNB Market

Okay. Thanks very much.

Operator

The next question comes from Anne Kauranen from Reuters. Please go ahead.

Speaker 10

Hi. Hello. Can you hear me?

Päivi Antola
Head of Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres

Yes, we can.

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

Yes, we can. Go ahead.

Speaker 10

Okay. Thank you. Thank you for the presentation. I wanted to ask if you could provide any update on the EU cartel investigation. Has Nokian Tyres been involved in any cartel-like activities that would justify the investigation for your part? Thank you.

Päivi Antola
Head of Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres

Thank you. First of all, we are fully cooperating with the authorities in this investigation, but as this is an ongoing investigation, we cannot comment it more than that.

Speaker 10

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Akshat Kakka from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

Akshat Kakka
Equity Research Vice President, J.P Morgan

Thank you for getting my question. Hi, Jukka. Hi, Niko. Three questions from my side, please. The first one on inflation and the different cost pockets. Could you just help us understand the puts and takes in terms of the impact on the P&L on a full year basis? If it's possible to quantify your assumptions for raw material tailwinds and how much of that is offset by labor, trade, or supply chain challenges that you see on the course of the full year 2024. The second question is on pricing. Just in terms of pricing alone, in terms of your different geographies, could you talk about your assumptions for the rest of the year? That would be very helpful. And the last one is on your assumptions for working capital and CapEx.

Could you just confirm you still expect working capital tailwinds in 2024 and the CapEx amount net of the subsidies that you expect in Romania? Thank you so much.

Niko Haavisto
CFO, Nokian Tyres

Yeah. I'll take the first one, and it was about the inflation. And of course, we are getting some help from, as you saw in the presentation, from the raw material prices. So there have been decreasing as such, and we see that now they are more stabilizing on that level. Of course, we have some of our agreements are based so with especially in the heavy tire that the buyer gets part of those savings as well. In terms of labor, I think we disclosed that at some point as well. We are talking about roughly 5% increase all in all within all our geographical sections that we see increase in the labor. And of course, we are trying to have that either through efficiencies or with the pricings embedded into our sales as such. Then Jukka, if you take the second one.

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

So you asked about the pricing. So obviously, the pricing environment is relatively flat because the raw materials are given a little bit tailwind, but the inflation nudging environment is there. So we will follow the market-based pricing so that depending on the product and the innovation and the novelty value of the product, we will follow the market-based. In terms of working capital, obviously, we were in Finland, which is our main factory. We were four weeks without being able to ship any products. We produced as much as we could, and all the inventories and warehouses are full. So new products or, let's say, finished goods, while we exhausted most of our raw material inventory, so we are low on raw material, we are high on the finished goods, and then we stopped the production because there was no ability to put any products anywhere.

This is what happened due to political strikes. This is the situation. In terms of capital, CapEx, we expect in the range of EUR 350 million, and this is across the subsidies and the subsidy decisions when it comes, and when it helps us, we will report that. But obviously, you remember that we are seeking to have up to EUR 99 million of European Commission-approved subsidies paid by the Romanian government for our investment in Romania. If that happens, then we talk about the investment level, which is then clearly below EUR 350 million, but it's too early to report that until we have that decision.

Akshat Kakka
Equity Research Vice President, J.P Morgan

Understood. Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key 5 on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Rowley Juva from Inderes. Please go ahead.

Rowley Juva
Equity Analyst, Inderes

Yeah. Hi, Rowley from Inderes here. One question from me. You mentioned in the report that you are evaluating the ownership of the Spanish test center. I guess that means partial or full divestment of that. So can you elaborate a bit on that? What's the reason for that and a potential timetable for this?

Niko Haavisto
CFO, Nokian Tyres

Yeah. Yeah, you are correct. We had that text there in the report. So we are looking at a possibility to have ownership changes there. And of course, we continue to test our guaranteed spot there to continue our testing at that track, but we are trying to find the owner who could develop that area and have even more potential out of it while guaranteeing our own test capacity at the same time. So it's part of this balance sheet monetization kind of program that we've been discussing during the last half a year.

Rowley Juva
Equity Analyst, Inderes

Okay. Thanks. And any comment on the potential timetable of something actually happening?

Niko Haavisto
CFO, Nokian Tyres

Of course, it's difficult to say, but hopefully, we have something there to tell you during this year still.

Rowley Juva
Equity Analyst, Inderes

Okay. Very good. That's all for me. Thanks.

Operator

There are no more questions at this time, so I hand the conference back to the speakers.

Päivi Antola
Head of Investor Relations, Nokian Tyres

Thank you. If there are no additional questions, then it's time to finish the call. Tomorrow is, of course, an important day. We have the annual general meeting, so it's going to be nice to meet shareholders face to face. But for you on the line, thank you for joining the call and have a good day. Thank you.

Jukka Moisio
CEO, Nokian Tyres

Thank you.

Niko Haavisto
CFO, Nokian Tyres

Thank you.

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