PT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk (IDX:BBNI)
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Sep 11, 2026, 4:14 PM WIB
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Earnings Call: Q1 2021

Apr 26, 2021

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Good morning and good evening for those in Europe, U.K., and U.S. Welcome and thank you for your attendance at BNI Virtual Analyst Meeting for financial results first quarter 2021. I hope you are well, staying healthy, and staying safe. in today's session, we have here our board of directors to give explanation of first quarter financial result. First, we have Mr. Royke Tumilaar, President Director. Mrs. Adi Sulistyowati, Vice President Director. Mrs. Novita Widya Anggraini, Managing Director of Finance. Mr. David Pirzada, Managing Director of Risk Management. Mr. Silvano Rumantir, Managing Director of Corporate Banking. Mr. Y.B. Hariantono, Managing Director of IT and Operation. Mr. Henry Panjaitan, Managing Director of Treasury and International Banking. Mr. Muhammad Iqbal, Managing Director of MSME. Mrs. Corina Leyla Karnalies, Managing Director of Consumer Banking. Mr. Sis Apik Wijayanto, Managing Director of Institutional Relations.

Mr. Bob Tyasika Ananta, Managing Director of Human Capital and Compliance. Mr. Ronny Venir, Managing Director of Service and Network. Mr. Royke Tumilaar, our CEO, will begin the presentation and followed by our Vice CEO, Mrs. Adi Sulistyowati, by delivering management highlight. Our Director of IT and Operation, Mr. Y.B. Hariantono, will later on follow with digital initiatives and strategies. Our CFO, Mrs. Novita Widya Anggraini, will continue with highlighted result and financial performance in first quarter 2021. After that, presentation on loan quality and risk management strategy by MD Risk Management, Mr. David Pirzada. Lastly, our MD of Corporate Banking, Mr. Silvano Rumantir, will deliver some updates on corporate and consumer business highlight. Before we head to presentation, we would like to inform that our latest corporate presentation can be downloaded through the link we provide in the chat room.

If you face any difficulty in accessing the link, please contact IR team at email ir@bni.co.id. Ladies and gentlemen, should you have any question during presentation, you may send it to IR email address so we can accommodate it later in the Q&A session. Our board will run through the presentation for about 30 minutes and then followed by Q&A session. Now, our CEO, Mr. Royke, will open the presentation. Pak Royke, please.

Royke Tumilaar
President Director, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Thank you, moderator. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Allow me to spend the opening section of today's earning call to highlight first quarter 2021 results and provide our direction in entering the recovery year of 2021. I will then turn the call over my fellow board member. The pandemic has been going on for a year, and as the financial numbers show, we are quickly adapting to the normal. Compared to the previous quarter result, most of our financial indicators are showing improvement. Firstly, the net interest margin at 4.9% is slightly ahead our full year guidance at 4.6%-4.8%, thanks to agile management of liquidity and funding, where our cost of fund declined to only 1.7%, the lowest level we have ever had.

Note the slight NIM contraction quarter-on-quarter in already expected, as we have abnormally high loan yield in the previous quarter due to back-end loading of government's subsidy of KUR loan. As a result of healthy margin, we managed to book IDR 7.8 trillion PPOP in quarter one, even higher than the pre-pandemic number a year ago. Loan at risk gradually declined as some clients which were affected by pandemic now start to resume the normal operation that we remove their restructuring flag. Cost of credit improved significantly quarter-on-quarter in line with the gradual construction in loan at risk. The management team tries our best to front-load credit costs. We book 7.5% cost of credit in line with our full-year guidance. Further detail regarding our loan quality will be shared by our chief risk officer later in the presentation.

Taking into account all situations until the first quarter, management has underlined seven priorities going forward. First, we want to foster the risk culture in every layer of the organization. Fundamental improvement will be delivered through end-to-end transformation of underwriting process. Second, we see opportunity to leverage our global network, which is already quite comprehensive, facilitating Indonesian companies to go global and be a doorstep for foreign investment coming to Indonesia. Third, we all know that pandemic has accelerated the growth of digital banking. To ensure we adapt quickly to our customer needs, we are enhancing our digital capabilities to serve our customers better and to improve productivity and efficiency in our operation. Four, we want to optimize our subsidiaries performance by sharpening their business model. One of the closest example in upgrading our investment banking capabilities through BNI Sekuritas Indonesia and Singapore.

Fifth, we see significant opportunity to grow our future business with selected top corporate names in Indonesia. This is in line with our effort to improve our asset quality in the long term. Our corporate banking team focuses on deepening client share of wallet through cross-selling to optimize fee income and low-cost funding, and tapping opportunities with value chain of the top corporate groups that we expect to boost sustainable business growth going forward. Six, we believe that human capital is our greatest asset. We need to boost investment in employee soft and hard skills from now in order to ensure strong talent pool in the long term. Lastly, in line with the previously mentioned priority regarding sustainable business growth, we remain focused on building a strong CASA franchise in Indonesia and optimizing fee-based income through increased transaction.

With these seven priorities, BNI will become more resilient and be able to deliver consistent results to our shareholders in the future. We believe building a strong balance sheet is crucial for systemic bank like us, especially during pandemic situation, and also because our strategic direction to be more active in lending to key industry players. We need a bigger capital base to support bigger legal lending limit. We decide to use a current positive market momentum to issue the tier two securities. Last month, we successfully priced in $500 million sub-debt with five-year tenor priced at 3.7%, and the bond investor appetite was quite good with almost five times oversubscribed. This corporate action boosted our tier two capital by around 120 basis points. In terms of business expansion, our corporate banking team are quickly winning business from new-to-bank customers who are also top players in their respective industry.

For example, in Q4 last year, we strengthened relationship with Indofood Group and Rajawali Group by providing non-plain vanilla financing to support their business expansion. Early this year, we also managed to provide financing for several large business groups such as Ciputra Group, Astra Group, and other top private sector company in the chemical manufacturing, energy, and telecommunication business. All of them previously either have no relationship or immaterial business with us. In order to provide better service to clients, just recently, we reorganized corporate banking team into three subgroups with different industry sector specialization. Within the subgroups, we are deliberately create two new industry focus, digital economy and sustainable finance. We believe these two sectors will growing rapidly, and we want to be preferred banker for them in the future. The reorganization also involves some improvement in their KPI.

The KPI now focusing more on sustainable profitability as measured by PPOP and credit cost number. We keep encouraging our RM that they are a banker, not a lender, so they should cross-sell with other products to generate fee income and low-cost funding. In addition, we try to improve our capabilities in investment banking through our subsidiary, BNI Sekuritas, that will provide holistic solution to corporate clients. BNI Sekuritas representative will be established in Singapore to offer more solution alternative to the client. Ladies and gentlemen, in today's world, we have to always review which investment is the most wise to make in order to get ahead in this highlight competitive business environment. The pandemic also reiterated the importance of investing in a company's largest asset, people. Therefore, our intention in this area is clear. A continued investment in human capital, which focus on productivity and engagement.

First of all, in term of talent acquisition, temporarily, we are getting more active in bringing pro hire, especially in areas where specific skill set is necessary. This is important to help executing our transformation program quickly. Parallel, we have investing in our employees' competency and productivity improvement to equip them with global and digital mindset. Human capital investment is our priority right now, as it will take several years from now for BNI to enjoy the result. We understand the importance of upgrading our business to be more ESG oriented. Thanks to continued feedback from our shareholders to do this. We want to develop ESG culture among our employees in order to drive sustainable performance in the long term. Also, still within ESG, BNI encourage diversity of increasing the proportion of female leader. At the board of director level, we have three female members.

That the most among big banks in Indonesia. For senior level, EVP and above, the percentage of female leader has reached 21%, while in total, the number of female employees has reached 52% of the total employees. I would now like to turn the presentation over to Ibu Susi, our Vice CEO, to run through our digital highlight. Bu Susi, please.

Adi Sulistyowati
Vice President Director, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Thank you, Pak Royke. Ladies and gentlemen, to survive and remain at the forefront of the competition, we keep improving our digital capabilities to service our client better. In digital banking, we are speeding up our digital transformation. Firstly, from the organizational structure, we are recruiting a senior EVP to lead our digital initiative execution. We expand the number of division under IT and digital banking from three to five divisions. Secondly, we are also improving feature in our mobile banking application. Some of the key highlights we launched recently are biometric login, digital account opening with facial recognition feature, pre-approved personal loan offer as a pop-up in mobile banking apps, credit card billing integration, investment in bond and mutual funds, as well as QR payment, which is accepted in all retail merchants. They already adopt a standardized special QR system.

The series of innovation has received appreciation from user, as reflected in the rating improvement of BNI Mobile Banking on Android Play Store from 3.6 in August 2020 to 4.9 in March 2021. Our apps now is enjoying the highest customer rating among all BUKU IV banks. Not only in retail, we also a strong capability in wholesale digital journey. For our business banking client, we have developed cash management total solution in one portal where our client are able to do various transaction. As of March 2021, total transaction value via BNIdirect reached IDR 968 trillion, or growing by 23% year-on-year. BNIdirect plays a crucial role to us as it contribute half of total CASA in BNI. We do expect the salt continue to grow as the penetration rate this cash management platform is still low at only 11% of overseas banking clients.

In today's digital economy, we need to connect seamlessly with other ecosystem. Therefore, we develop API as an open banking platform that facilitates collaboration with third parties. Statistically, BNI is a market leader with 238 number of API, the most compared to the other domestic bank. Our API also recognized globally and won the Best Overall Developer Portal Community Prize in 2021. Ladies and gentlemen, globally, e-commerce industry is growing exponentially. To maintain our CASA franchise, we need to grow along the fast-growing commerce transaction. Right now, of the commerce payment Indonesia is still conducted via ATM transfer or cash payment on delivery. We understand the pain point of customer journey, where they are reluctant to submit their debit card or credit card details to the commerce platform.

Learning from this, we come up with innovative solution in our mobile apps, where customer could create a virtual account with a preset limit for one of e-commerce transaction. During first quarter 2021, we processed 160,000 e-commerce transaction per day through BNI mobile apps, growing by 69% year-on-year. The majority of this transaction are using the virtual account feature we explained just now. Furthermore, to support the government program to develop a standard desk QR payment, we add QR payment feature in BNI mobile apps. This feature will be potentially used in 1.5 million merchants spread across Indonesia. Detail on our digital initiative will be explained by Managing Director of IT and Operation, Bapak Y.B. Hariantono. Please proceed, Pak Y.B.

Y.B. Hariantono
Managing Director of IT and Operation, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Thank you, Ibu Susi. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. In anticipation of changing business landscape, BNI continues to innovate to provide digital banking solutions. But unlike FinTech, which only have digital platforms to offer to the customers, as a bank, we have both platform and our own products. We keep upgrading our platforms. In addition to our existing brick and mortar, we develop also branchless agent banking in suburban and rural areas as an economical way to distribute our products and services. BNI is a universal bank with a majority of our business comes from wholesale banking. Hence, our digital initiative has to cover both retail banking or consumer banking, mainly through our mobile apps, and wholesale banking as well, mainly through our cash management system, which we call it as BNIdirect. We will discuss about them in more detail in the next pages.

To collaborate with other ecosystems, digital ecosystems in the country, we develop API services since 2018. As for the enablers, we strengthen the technology and operational capabilities by developing cloud-based infrastructures, big data and analytics, improving our cybersecurity systems, and supported by human resources with a digital mindset. BNI is a leading bank in terms of open banking or open API world, which we have developed since 2018, and now we already have 238+ services, which is the most in the country compared with our peers. Through BNI open API, we make it possible for businesses owner to connect with their business with various services we provide, especially on the payment and banking services. Now, our collaboration is quite widespread across various ecosystems, such as e-commerce, like Tokopedia, Bukalapak, Shopee, to name a few.

Ride-hailing services with Gojek and Grab, traveling with Agoda or Traveloka, and many other ecosystems, digital company, FinTechs, that is available in Indonesia. Our goal is to enlarge the customer base on the platform itself by increasing attractiveness and building excellence through quality and service differentiation, and also by reaching out and collaborating with other digital ecosystem to enlarge the market share of our banking products. The number of BNI Mobile Banking customers continues to grow by 85% year-on-year, reaching 8.6 million users. Completeness of the features is our competitive advantage over our peers. The number of transactions made through BNI Mobile Banking was 95 million in first quarter of 2021, an increase of 50.4% compared to first quarter 2020.

BNI Mobile Banking users are getting more engaged with our apps, thanks to a series of new features launched recently, such as a biometric login, digital account opening with face recognition features, p re-approved personal loans, credit card bills management, and QR payment for retail merchant transactions. For the next improvement, our mobile banking users will be able to have omnichannel experience, personal finance management, and SME solutions integration. Besides retail or consumers, customers, we keep improving our product and services for business banking clients through our digital platform as well. For business banking clients, BNI offers its cash management flagship product called BNIdirect, available both in mobile apps and our web-based solutions. One example of our key features, often getting compliment by our clients, is integrated taxation management platform within the BNIdirect itself.

Ladies and gentlemen, to facilitate transactions of our wholesale clients, we also develop an integrated portal called bnidbs.id, where customers can do various type of transactions as payment management, collections management, value chains management, and open banking solutions. Number wise, we still see strong momentum of our wholesale cash management platform with 24 year-on-year growth in the number of users. More importantly, the room for growth is still ample, as the penetration rate of our clients is still only 11%. We already explained in details regarding our effort to upgrade digital offerings to our client. Ultimately, the question is, what's the impact to us in this area? In this slide, we show that other than fee income, better customer experience in doing transactions ultimately brings sticky CASA, which enables us to maintain or even expand our margin. Nowadays, 47% of our savings balance comes from mobile banking app users.

This percentage, it's much improved as compared to only 35% a year ago. For current accounts, 90% of it comes from the cash management users. These current accounts stay with us because of the convenience to do transactions and not sensitive to the interest rate we are offering. As a result, cost of fund for current account is only 1.4% in first quarter 2021 as compared to 2.2% a year ago. Overall, more than 70% of our CASA are either from mobile apps or cash management users, and the proportion is still growing. This should help our bank to maintain leadership in low-cost funding. The next presentation is about our financial highlight by our CFO, Ibu Novita Widya Anggraini. Ibu Novi, please go ahead. Thank you.

Novita Widya Anggraini
Managing Director of Finance, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Thank you, Pak Y.B. Ladies and gentlemen, allow me to explain about our financial highlight. During this pandemic time, we carefully managed risk as reflected by loan growth at only 2.2% year-on-year, mainly contributed by a lower risk segment, namely top-tier corporate client, subsidized micro loan, and payroll-based loan. On the funding side, third-party fund grew by 8.1%, predominantly from CASA, which rose 13%. This is another evidence of our strong CASA franchise. Our net interest income managed to increase by 7.6% year-on-year, thanks to a 120 basis points reduction in third-party fund funding cost that was more than enough to cover the impact of pandemic to loan yield. Net interest income grew by 41% year-on-year, mainly from the trade finance transaction, realized gain from marketable securities, and syndication fee, as well as fee from ATM and e-channel.

We maintain OpEx growth at single digit by 8% year-on-year with strong cost control on non-personnel expense. As a result, our PPOP grew by 5.9% year-on-year. Based on asset quality review in February, we saw an improving trend of asset quality. However, in light with management frontloading strategy in provisioning policy, we still book provision charges in line with our initial guidance. Our strategy to focus on low cost of fund was reflected in CASA ratio at 67.9%, almost a 300 basis points increase compared to last year. As a result, cost of fund could be reduced to the level of 1.7% and contributed to 4.9% NIM, or stable as compared to pre-pandemic level in quarter one last year. ROE and ROA are at 9.7% and 1.5% respectively, keep improving on quarterly basis. Loan at risk stood at 26.9%, improved by 180 basis points as compared to December 2020 position.

This was contributed by a reduction in both NPL and collectability, one restructured loan as some clients start to resume normal business operation and no longer need restructuring support from us. NPL ratio and credit costs are at 4.1% and 3.5% respectively, better than in the previous quarter. Our liquidity position was quite good with LCR at 2.2 times and NSFR at 1.4 times, way higher than regulatory requirements. Loan-to-deposit ratio was maintained at healthy level of 87.2%. As a result of tier two issuance last month and recovery in profitability, our total CAR increased to 18.1%. On the previous slide, we have conveyed a highlight of our balance sheet. I would like to add information related to our effort in optimizing earning asset mix in first quarter 2021.

One of our strategies was being more active in purchasing government bond, which grew 11.5% Q-on-Q and 29.2% year-on-year, in order to gain higher return of earning asset. Ladies and gentlemen, during the pandemic time, we are fine-tuning loan mix composition toward low-risk portfolio. Hence, you could see that lower loan growth was dominated by corporate segment, subsidized micro loan, our core part of small business loan, as well as secure consumer loan. Loan to private sector corporation grew by 2.1% year-on-year and 4.3% Q-on-Q, driven by key industry player in FMCG, gold mining, infrastructure, and manufacturing sector. Meanwhile, loan to state-owned enterprise was contracting by 4% year-on-year due to business cycle repayment from SOE align with their subsidy payment from government. In line with our strategy to improve asset quality, we selectively let go some client in medium segment and build new good portfolio.

During the process, it resulted in 6.1% portfolio contraction year-on-year. As anticipated, blended loan yield decreased slightly from 8% in fourth quarter 2020 to 7.8% in first quarter 2021. Note that yield pick up in corporate banking was because several clients are no longer in restructuring flag, and their yield back to normal level. As of first quarter of 2021, third-party fund grew by 8.1% year-on-year. With strong CASA growth at 13% year-on-year, we had an opportunity to keep improving CASA ratio and cost of fund by reducing time deposit portion. In first quarter 2021, our cost of fund was only 1.74%, the lowest level we ever had. We are still seeing room to improve it further as we cut our TD rate again starting on April. We will always focus on sustainable growth of low costs of funding.

In wholesale, it will be driven by our effort to cross-sell cash management solution to client. In retail, we are going to keep investing in mobile banking feature and reliability. We continue to see PPOP recovery with first quarter PPOP grew by 5.9% year-on-year to IDR 7.8 trillion. PPOP growth was driven mainly by lower cost of fund, resulting in net interest income to grow by 7.6% year-on-year. Cash recovery is also showing a strong trend, 53% higher year-on-year, as we did a lot of write-off last year. As we guided in the previous earning call, the management has had intention to build higher provision when we have good PPOP in order to minimize profit volatility in the future. As a result, our provision charges increased by 128% year-on-year. Looking from the quarterly trend, provisioning charges start to become smaller in line with general trend of asset quality improvement.

We continue to manage our operational expenses in an efficient way without disrupting business activity. OpEx grew by 8% year-on-year with personnel expense as growth driver, while G&A expense was still contracting by 5% year-on-year. The increase in personnel expense was mainly due to accrual variable remuneration to reward our employee for their collective effort delivering strong business recovery. In the past five years, we have been lowering our cost to asset from 2.9% to 2.5%. Our next presentation on asset quality, risk management, and loan restructuring update will be delivered by our MD of Risk Management, Bapak David Pirzada. Please, Pak David.

David Pirzada
Managing Director of Risk Management, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Okay, thank you, Bu Novita. Ladies and gentlemen, as of March, the outstanding COVID restructured portfolio was IDR 84.3 trillion or 15.1% of total loans. This amount was 17.7% smaller than that in December 2020, mostly contributed by the reduction in restructuring COVID in corporate segment. Some corporate clients started to do repayment in first quarter 2021, and their flagging for COVID restru have been lifted. Despite regulatory relaxation where banks are allowed to classify all COVID restructured loan under collectability 1, we choose to assign classification as much as possible to reflect the client's underlying situation. By doing this, we also could assign higher loan loss reserve accordingly. Out of all COVID restructured portfolio, 2.1% is already NPL, 6.4% is collectability 2, and the remaining 91.5% is collectability 1. Overall, asset quality data showed a gradual improvement trend.

Loan at risk was at 26.9% of total portfolio, which is 180 basis points lower than December position. Now looking into the component of loan at risk one by one, I may explain that the restructured loan collectability 1 has improved to 17.2% of total loan from 19.4% in December 2020 or 220 basis points decrease. Collectability 2 ratio increased by 50 basis points year-on-year, triggered mainly by an exposure in textile manufacturing company. For this one, we already built more than 20% provisioning book in first quarter 2021. NPL improved by 20 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 4.1%. All of these movements have been in line with our expectation. Despite the general improvement in loan at risk ratio, we still consistently build provision coverage. NPL coverage was at 201%, and LAR coverage at 31% higher than the December position.

Overall loan loss reserve ratio to total loan has been gradually increasing from 7.8% in December 2020 to 8.3% on March 2021. We assign a conservative provision coverage of 75% on average for those in NPL category, which we deem sufficient considering that LGD rate of around 60%. For those in collectability 2, the provision coverage was 44%, much more conservative than the regulatory suggestion. Provision coverage for current restructured loan was 7.5%, as we believe only a small portion of this bucket, or around 16%, is having high risk of downgrade to collectability 2. We have carried out assessment of our portfolio twice. First in October 2020, and the second review was conducted in February 2021. Overall, we see an improvement in the customer risk profile with high-risk classification decline from 14% to 9.6%, while low-risk classification increased from 53.3% to 59% of the portfolio being assessed.

We believe this is due to the ongoing economic recovery, where vaccination program has been running, people started to adapt better to the pandemic situation and started resuming their activity in a responsible manner. Based on this assessment, we identify around IDR 39 trillion of our book as a shadow NPL, comprising of loan book currently in collectability 2 and current restru non-COVID with medium to high risk of collectability downgrade. From this IDR 39 trillion, IDR 23 trillion is considered as higher risk shadow NPL, which have higher probability to fall into stage three, and the remaining IDR 16 trillion is considered as lower risk shadow NPL that might survive in stage two with some remedial steps. This survey is very useful in helping management to decide on the key action plan for each debtors, including its provisioning strategy.

Table on the bottom right shows the percentage of loan loss reserve assigned to each risk bucket. Two scenarios is prepared. If we book only IDR 9.2 trillion ECL this year, the specific cumulative provisioning assigned to shadow NPL bucket will be IDR 20 trillion or around 50% coverage of the IDR 39 trillion shadow NPL. Looking from the bank-wide basis, it will translate to NPL coverage of 1.8 times or 180%. While if we stay with our plan to book IDR 20 trillion ECL this year, in line with our 2021 guidance of 3.3%-3.6% cost of credit, the specific cumulative provisioning assigned to shadow NPL bucket will be IDR 31 trillion or around 75% coverage of the IDR 39 trillion shadow NPL. Looking from the bank-wide basis, it will translate to NPL coverage of 240%. This is more than enough to cover risky part of our book.

With stringent underwriting standards being applied from now on, our provisioning charges in subsequent years should be materially lower than this year, as is in our scenario. Next, Managing Director of Corporate Banking, Mr. Silvano Rumantir, will present about our corporate and consumer segment highlight. Please, Pak Silvano.

Silvano Rumantir
Managing Director of Corporate Banking, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Thank you, Pak David. Ladies and gentlemen, as Pak Royke shared earlier, in wholesale segment, we want to improve our portfolio mix to top industry players, especially within the preferred industry sectors. The result is reflected in our Q1 sectoral expansion and contraction, as you can see on the slide. Within the corporate segment, the top three sectors in terms of loan exposure expansion during Q1 were manufacturing, business services, and to be more specific, it refers to real estate and telcos. On the other hand, we gradually reduced our exposure in agriculture, trading, restaurants and hotels, and construction. The changes in industry sector mix was aligned with our midterm strategy to have a more diversified and resilient industry exposures.

Next, to add to what Pak Royke shared earlier about shifting our relationship manager's mindset as a banker, not lender, we execute the strategy by modifying their KPI to encourage cross-sell with other products to generate fee income, healthy fee income, and low-cost funding. We see this as a low-hanging fruit, where our cross-sell rate is still considered suboptimal. Since we have fine-tuned the KPI, we are starting to see favorable result. Early days, but favorable results. For example, CASA to loan ratio in medium segment increased to 10.6% in March of 2021, as compared to 7.3% a year ago. Our goal is to double this ratio within the next one to two years. In our consumer business, in Q1, despite lingering impact from pandemic to purchasing power and consumer confidence, we managed to grow our consumer loan by 6.7% year-on-year, mainly from secured consumer loan.

Payroll loans grew by 16.4% year-on-year, and currently represents about 35% of our total consumer portfolio. Mortgages also grew by 4.3% year-on-year, dominated by small ticket size loans. Our mortgages business has the biggest portion in consumer portfolio, about 51%. On the other hand, unsecured book, such as credit card, showed a contraction of - 6.2% year-on-year. We remain ahead of the competition. Currently, we are within the top three players in mortgages, credit cards, and payroll-based loans. We envision that consumer market in the future will still grow nicely, as the middle class continue to rise. Within the consumer book, we see a very promising positive prospect in payroll loans, which has an attractive risk-reward profile. I will end our presentation here and give it back to the moderator for Q&A session. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, Bapak, Ibu, for the presentation. Ladies and gentlemen, we are now entering Q&A session. I would like to start with pre-collected questions. Thank you for all participants who have sent the questions through online registration form. We have three first questions from Cheryl Chau , CICC Hong Kong Asset Management. Let us discuss it one by one. The first question is about the capitalization pipeline. For example, is there any plan of corporate action to increase AT1 or conduct rights issue? Bu Novita, would you please answer this question, Bu?

Novita Widya Anggraini
Managing Director of Finance, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Thank you, moderator. Thank you, Cheryl Chau . Our tier one capital level right now is 15.8% with total CAR at 18.1%, compared to 16.8% as December 2020. During the previous analyst meeting, we mentioned that we aimed for a couple percentage point of higher capital to support our business growth. As for the execution, we did the issuance of sub-debt qualified as tier two capital on last March, amounted to $500 million . It has impacted to increase our tier two capital by 120 basis point. There is no confirmed further capital rise from this point. Some media already reported that government is planning to inject capital to several SOEs, including BNI. If it materialize, it will be great to support our strategy to tap into top-tier corporate in Indonesia. Right now, there is no fixed detail on this in term of amount and timing. Thank you, moderator.

Operator

Thank you, Bu Novita. The second question from Cheryl Chau, related to asset quality. What is the size of the restructured loans and how many percent of high-risk loans that might turn into NPL? Could you please explain the expected NPL peak and when? Pak David, could you please give us some insight on this? Thank you.

David Pirzada
Managing Director of Risk Management, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Okay. Thank you, Cheryl. I assume your question refers to the COVID restructured book. As of March 2021, total restructured loan due to COVID reached IDR 84.3 trillion, or equivalent to 15.1% of total loans. This amount was actually 18% smaller than that in December 2020. As some clients, mostly in corporate segment, started to do repayment in first quarter 2021, and their flagging for COVID restru have been lifted. Based on our assessment early this year, 10% of the COVID restru book belongs to high-risk category. What we did was we tried to assign collectibility classification as accurate as possible to reflect the clients' underlying situation. For your information, this is a conservative approach as regulator actually allows bank to classify all COVID restructured loan under collectibility 1.

As a result of our conservative stance, out of the COVID restructured portfolio, 2.1% is already NPL, 6.4% is collectibility 2, and the remaining 91.5% is collectibility 1. In other words, 8.5% of the COVID restructured book is either SML, special mention, or NPL. Very close to our initial assessment that 10% of COVID restru book is high risk and prone to downgrade. On your second question regarding the NPL peak, as explained earlier in the presentation, to get a holistic view of our loan portfolio, we have carried out asset quality assessment twice, first in October 2020 and the second review was conducted in February 2021. Overall, we see an improvement in the customer risk profile, with high-risk classification decline from previously 14% to 9.6%, while low-risk classification increased from 53.3% to 59% of the total portfolio being assessed.

We believe this is due to the ongoing economic recovery, where vaccination program has been running, people started to adapt better to the pandemic situation and started resuming their activity in a responsible manner. From the survey, we also identify IDR 23 trillion loan book is considered as high risk shadow NPL and might be downgraded over two years. If we net off with write-off budget with this IDR 23 trillion NPL formation estimate over two years, we expect NPL ratio will continue to trend lower. This year, it should be below 4%, which means the peak of NPL ratio is already behind us on December last year. Equally important as cleaning up the legacy bad book is the management team commitment to implement stronger underwriting process to replace our portfolio with good quality new loan booking going forward. Thank you, Cheryl.

Operator

Thank you, Pak David. The third question regarding cost of risk target of this year. I think Bu Novita would answer this question, Bu, please.

Novita Widya Anggraini
Managing Director of Finance, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Yeah. Our cost of credit guidance, between 3.3%-3.6%. This is lower as compared to previous year cost of credit of 4.1%. The cost of credit guidance, we believe it is conservative and already factor in sufficient room for management overlay and margin of error, considering that the world is still fighting against the pandemic. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, Bu Novita and Pak David, for the comprehensive explanation. I will continue with the question from Lim Rui Wen, DBS Bank Ltd. How many percent of restructured loans have been extended post 31st of March 2021? Pak David, would you like to explain?

David Pirzada
Managing Director of Risk Management, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Okay, thank you, Rui. From the IDR 84.3 trillion COVID-19 restructured loans as of March 2021, IDR 64 trillion or 75.4% have been extended with the following breakdown. For medium, small, and consumer segment, 90% has been extended. The remaining 10% is still under review. For corporate segment, 75% has been extended with various restructuring scheme, and the remaining 25%, or around IDR 8.5 trillion, will be unflagged from restru book as the clients no longer need relaxation. The extension of this loan restructuring program is conducted prudently in compliance with OJK Regulation Number 48/2020. Okay. Thank you, Rui.

Operator

Thank you, Pak David. The next question from Felicia Budiman, Eastspring. Following February 2021 asset quality review, will there be any revision to full year 2021 guidance, especially on cost of credit and NPL? Bu Novita, would you please give us some color?

Novita Widya Anggraini
Managing Director of Finance, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Thank you, Felicia. We guided between 3.3% until 3.6% CoC in 2021, or translated to around IDR 20 trillion provisioning. From the second asset quality survey on February 2021, we found a gradual improvement in client risk profile. Based on this, the required provisioning is only around IDR 9 until IDR 10 trillion. On top of this, there will be management overlay to build more loan reserve for COVID restructure loan, just to be conservative. Right now, as you could see from our quarter one 2021 result, we still book provision in line with full year CoC guidance of 3.3% until 3.6%. We believe this is the right thing to do during this highly uncertain environment. While we are confident not to miss our full year guidance, we think it is more prudent to wait for a couple of months before we decide on the new direction. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, Bu Novita. The following questions came from Robertus Hardy, Henan Putihrai Sekuritas. What is the guidance for gross loan growth this year? Bu Novita, please.

Novita Widya Anggraini
Managing Director of Finance, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Okay. We guide between 6% until 9% loan growth. Our corporate segment should drive the loan growth with high single-digit growth rate as we want to tap into top-tier corporates. Payroll-based loans should grow by more than 10% due to low penetration to existing customer base. We conservatively assume low single-digit growth for middle and SME, as we want to focus on asset quality, as well as optimizing fee income and low-cost funding potential. The management team will always focus on long-term sustainable profit. We are going to keep monitoring the progress of economic recovery. We are not limiting ourselves to deliver one target at the expense of other financial indicators. We will be flexible in fine-tuning between growth and margin and asset quality. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, Bu Novita. The next question, still from Robertus Hardy. What is loan impairment value this year? Pak David, could you please explain? Thank you.

David Pirzada
Managing Director of Risk Management, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Thank you, Robert. This year, we estimate new NPL formation ranging around IDR 13 trillion-IDR 15 trillion, significantly lower than last year of IDR 22 trillion. Combined with write-off, upgrade, and downsizing, we are seeing NPL ratio of below 4% this year. So far, three months entering 2021, the progress of asset quality are on general in line, and in some areas are better than our expectation. Thank you, Robert.

Operator

Thank you, Pak David. The third question from Robert. What is the outlook of third-party fund? Maybe Bu Susi would explain. Thank you.

Adi Sulistyowati
Vice President Director, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Thank you, Robertus. I would like to respond the question about third-party funds outlook. As of first quarter 2021, our CASA grew by 13% year-on-year. We still enjoy the benefit of being one of the strongest funding franchises in the country. Strong CASA growth allowed us to be less spending on time deposit, which was slightly contracted year-on-year. Judging from current liquidity environment, we believe the momentum to improve CASA ratio and cost of fund is still there. On April, we just cut our time deposit rate again by 30-40 basis point. Our focus is on sustainable growth of low-cost funding. In wholesale, it will be driven by our effort to cross-sell cash management solution to clients. In retail, we are going to keep investing in mobile banking feature and reliability. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, Bu Susi. The last question from Robert. What is your digital initiatives to tap the mass market? Pak Y.B., would you please answer this question?

Y.B. Hariantono
Managing Director of IT and Operation, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Thank you, Robertus Hardy. First of all, I think BNI is a universal bank with the majority of our business come from the wholesale banking. Hence, our digital initiative has to cover both consumer banking and wholesale banking as well, as shared in the previous presentation. For retail or consumer banking, we focus on strengthening our mobile banking applications or platforms. Some of the key highlights we launched recently were biometric login, digital account opening with a face recognition feature.

Pre-approved personal loan offered as a pop-up in the mobile banking apps, credit card billing integration, investment in bonds and mutual funds, as well as QR payments, which is accepted in all retail merchants that already adopt a standardized national QR system. This series of innovation has received appreciation from users as well, as it is being reflected in the rating improvement of BNI Mobile Banking application on our Android Play Store from 3.6 in August 2020 to 4.9 in March 2021. Our apps now is enjoying the highest customer rating among all BUKU IV banks. For the next improvement, our mobile banking users will be able to have an omni-channel experience, personal finance management, and SME solutions integration. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, Bapak, Ibu, for the explanation. Next we have a question from Jovent, Indo Premier. What is your provision strategy and coverage target for debtors such as Waskita, Garuda, and Sritex? Pak David, would you please share the answer? Thank you.

David Pirzada
Managing Director of Risk Management, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Okay. Thank you, Jovent. Although the second asset quality survey in February 2021 indicated a gradual improvement in client risk profile and the required provisioning is only around IDR 9 trillion, still, there will be a management overlay to build more loan loss reserve, particularly for COVID-restructured loan, just for being conservative. We see that some sectors tend to be laggard to recover from the pandemic, such as construction, airline, and some manufacturing companies. Hence, we also conservatively add the provisioning to certain debtors in these sectors. Right now, as you could see from our first quarter 2021 result, we still book provision in line with full year CoC guidance at 3.3%-3.6%, and we believe this is the right thing to do during this highly uncertain environment. For Waskita, Garuda, and Sritex, we will indeed add their loan loss reserve.

Garuda has been increased to 41%, the CKPN, compared to 8% in December 2020. Sritex Group was increased to 23%, compared to 10% in previous December 2020, and Waskita Group also increased to 16.4%, compared to just below 10% in December 2020. In the specific to Waskita parent company, the loan loss reserve is actually already 25%. Okay. Thank you, Jovent.

Operator

Thank you, Pak David. The next question came from Ferry Wong. Recently, we heard some noise regarding deterioration on loan quality of textile company. I think this question would be answered by Pak Silvano. Could you please explain, Pak, the latest update on exposure for Sritex Group?

Silvano Rumantir
Managing Director of Corporate Banking, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Okay. Thank you. Thanks for the question, Ferry. Our exposure to Sritex Group is not to SRIL. It's mainly to the rayon manufacturing business, around IDR 1.8 trillion of exposure. We understand that due to the prolonged pandemic, textile industry is hugely under pressure. In the case of our debtor, due to pandemic and a few other reasons, there has been a delay in the construction of the rayon manufacturing facility. However, the good news is that it's now already running with two lines. They do need to have the waste treatment facility up and running, so it's not fully optimum yet, but it's already running with two lines. But yes, because of the ongoing development in terms of issues with SRIL, there is a cash flow mismatch at the moment.

Because of this, we've already downgraded our exposure to the company to special mention, and we've also increased its loan loss reserves to 23% as of March of this year.

Operator

Thanks, Pak Silvano. Last but not least, still questions from Pak Ferry. Is there any update on the impact of KUR increase to IDR 100 million and MSME exposure to 30%? Pak Iqbal, would you answer the question?

Muhammad Iqbal
Managing Director of MSME, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Yeah.

Operator

Thank you.

Muhammad Iqbal
Managing Director of MSME, PT Bank Negara Indonesia

Thank you, Ferry Wong, for your question. This year, we are getting more involved with KUR, targeting to channel more than IDR 32 trillion or about 50% higher compared to last year. A bigger portion of our KUR currently falls under retail KUR, and the average ticket size is below IDR 100 million. Hence, if micro KUR limit is increased to IDR 100 million, the impact will be positive for us as micro KUR has higher interest subsidy. MSME segment is quite potential as it is the backbone of Indonesia economy. Currently, all state-owned banks or Himbara contributes to more than 50% of total MSME loan in the system. For BNI, this segment will be one of our future growth engine with focus on MSME with export orientation and MSME which are part of our corporate customer value chain.

To do this, from now we intend to expand the number of top corporate clients we have relationship with, so that in the next one year or two, we will have better MSME customer base. Hope this answers your question, Ferry. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you, Pak Iqbal. Ladies and gentlemen, I think we have covered everything on this meeting. If anyone still has any questions about anything we discussed today, please feel free to contact investor relations team. You may now sign out from webinar room. Really appreciate your participation in today's session. Stay safe. Stay healthy.

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