CreditAccess Grameen Limited (NSE:CREDITACC)
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1,403.30
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Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 PM IST
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Q1 26/27

Jul 24, 2026

Summary

Q1 FY 2027 delivered record portfolio growth, strong asset quality, and a 720% year-over-year PAT increase, with ROA at 5.9% and ROE at 24.4%. Retail finance expansion, robust liquidity, and prudent risk management support a positive outlook, with no capital raise needed for future growth.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to the Q1 FY 2027 earnings conference call of CreditAccess Grameen hosted by Equirus Securities. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen only mode, there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touch-tone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Shreepal Doshi from Equirus Securities. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Shreepal Doshi
Analyst, Equirus Securities

Thank you, Shruti. Good evening, everyone. We welcome you to the earnings conference call of CreditAccess Grameen to discuss the Q1 FY 2027 performance of the company. Today, we have the management of the company represented by Mr. Ganesh Narayanan, MD and CEO, Mr. Gururaj Rao, COO, Mr. Nilesh Dalvi, CFO, and Mr. Sahib Sharma, Head, Investor Relations. Thank you to the Credit management for giving us the opportunity to host this call. I would now like to hand over the call to Mr. Ganesh Narayanan for his opening remarks, post which we can open the forum for question- and-a nswer. Over to you, sir.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Thank you, Shreepal. A very good evening, and welcome to the conference call to discuss our Q1 FY 2027 business performance. I'm pleased to share that Q1 FY 2027 has been one of our strongest Q1s in the history of the company, marked by robust portfolio growth, normalized asset quality, and profitability levels that reflect the underlying strength and resilience of our franchise. Let me begin with the operational highlights. Our AUM grew 16.4% year-over-year and 2.5% quarter-over-quarter to INR 30,319 crore, despite 6.3% TTM write-offs and typical seasonal softness that Q1 brings. Disbursement for the quarter stood at INR 6,107 crore, up 11.9% year-over-year. We added 2.5 lakh new borrowers during the quarter, of which 35% were new to credit, and we expect this run rate to improve further, adding close to an average of 1 lakh borrowers per month going forward.

This should be the primary driver of our MFI growth trajectory through the remainder of the year. At the same time, digital collections, including other modes, have risen to 24.2% of total collections in Q1 FY 2027, up from 16.3% in the last financial year. We continue to see the scale-up of our retail finance book, which now constitutes 20.6% of the AUM, up 250 basis points sequentially from 18.1% in Q4 FY 2026. The growth reflects the deliberate graduation of high-quality vintage customers into the retail finance pool. Our distinct retail customer model, built on long vintage, credit tested, and strong underwriting foundations, is central to this direction, and we will be speaking to this in more detail shortly. On the operational front, we opened 42 new branches during the quarter, taking our total network to 2,276 branches, a growth of 7.7% year-over-year, spread across 457 districts.

Our employee base grew 3% year-on-year to 21,981. Importantly, employee attrition continued to moderate meaningfully, standing at 20.6% as of Q1 FY 2027, against 25.8% in Q1 FY 2026. The quality of our portfolio remains one of the best in the industry, with the AUM share of unique Group Lending borrowers where portfolio quality has historically been relatively better at 45.7%, and the AUM share of borrowers with over three lenders at 2.6% as of June 26th [inaudible], reflecting the continued success of our deleveraging efforts and adherence to MFIN guidelines. Our customer app, Grameen MAHI, continues to see strong traction. We onboarded 4 lakh customers on the app during Q1 FY 2027 alone, taking our overall active base to 15.4 lakh customers and 34.5% of our total borrower base.

Over time, as the customer adoption of MAHI increases, we expect Grameen MAHI to evolve into an anchor for instant loan eligibility checks, small ticket loan availment, lead generation for new customers and retail products, and a unified cashless collection ecosystem. We see this as a structural shift in how our customers choose to engage with us. Our net interest margin was robust at 14.4% at the end of Q1 FY 2027, driven by a combination of improving yields, lower interest reversals, and stable cost of borrowings. Our cost to income ratio stood at 29.3%. PPOP grew 33.6% year-on-year to INR 873 crore. Turning to the asset quality, our PAR accretion trends remain well within the normalized range, contributing to a continued reduction in delinquency across all buckets. X-bucket collection efficiency for June 2026 stood at 99.68%.

The average PAR 15 accretion rate for Q1 FY 2027 stood at 15 basis points per month, whereas the credit cost for the quarter stood at INR 212 crore or 0.72% on a non-annualized basis, comfortably within our guided range. Gross NPA stood at 2.18%, net NPA at 0.76%, and PAR 90 at 1.46%, each showing sequential improvement. As a result, our Q1 FY 2027 PAT grew 720% year-on-year to INR 493 crore, resulting in an ROA of 5.9% and ROE of 24.4%. On profitability, I want to spend a moment contextualizing our numbers appropriately. Our ability to demonstrate quick recovery helped us report strong improvement in our return ratios in Q4 FY 2026 and further in Q1 FY 2027, thus helping us to improve our trailing 12-month ROA to 4% and ROE to 16%, both aligned with our guided cross-cycle profitability metrics.

In view of this, as an encouraging start where credit cost behavior over the coming months will be the key determinant, we shall continue to monitor this closely and accordingly take a call on passing the pricing benefit to the customers in H2 FY 2027, in line with the board-approved pricing policy. On the balance sheet side, we continue to maintain ample liquidity with cash and cash equivalents of INR 3,536 crore, amounting to 10.4% of the total assets. This is particularly important given the ongoing West Asia crisis. I want to clarify that to date, we've seen no discernible impact on our business from this development. Our liquidity buffer, along with undrawn funding lines of INR 2,993 crore and INR 9,440 crore of funding pipeline, positions us well to navigate any external volatility should it arise.

Separately, on El Niño and its potential impact on rural cash flows, we've not witnessed any visible impact currently. We will closely watch the underlying trends over the next two to three months before drawing any conclusions on how the situation may unfold. During the quarter, we also completed a private NCD issuance of INR 425 crore, which further diversifies our liability base and reduces our reliance on any single funding source. Our overall funding profile remains healthy, and foreign borrowings at 24% of our liability mix and capital position remaining strong, where CRAR stood at 24.9%. I would also like to draw your attention to one metric that best captures our long-term performance.

Over the past six-plus years, involving four years of stress events, that is two years of COVID and two years of MFI credit cycle, the company's net worth increased from INR 2,734 crore in FY 2020 to INR 8,347 crore in Q1 FY 2027, compounding at 20% CAGR, of which 86% increase came just through internal accruals. Very few NBFCs in the country have delivered this pace of balance sheet compounding. It is the outcome of our consistently strong profitability, prudent capital allocation, and our ability to navigate changing business cycles while preserving financial strength. We've been witnessing structural shifts in our customer profile, a trend discussed in greater detail on slide 26 of the Investor Presentation. Today, our customers exhibit a significantly more diverse credit and income profile than in the past.

A meaningful proportion of our borrower households already have retail credit exposure alongside their microfinance relationship, whether through business loans, gold loans, or through other secure products, and this diversification tends to increase with customer vintage. The customers moving into this retail finance fold exhibit strong underlying characteristics. Just for understanding, our Unnati Loan customers carry an average vintage of 7.7 years and an average credit score of 732, while customers availing mortgage loans show an average vintage of 6.2 years and an average credit score of 740. These metrics reflect the depth of quality of relationships we've built over time and validate the opportunity we see in graduating our microfinance customers into higher ticket secure retail products. Unlocking this potential is a core pillar of our retail model and our lifecycle finance strategy.

This vision lays the foundation for our transformation journey called Project Shakti that embodies the strength, resilience, and aspirations of communities we proudly serve. We remain fully committed to our medium-term guidance of INR 50,000 crore AUM by calendar year 2028. Confidence reinforced by the strength of the start we have made this quarter across borrower additions, asset quality, and margins. As we move through the rest of the year and into the years beyond, we do so with confidence in our ability to compound this franchise responsibly and deliver sustained value to all our stakeholders. We will now open the floor for questions. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question- and- answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The first question is on the line of Dinesh from ICICI. Please proceed.

Speaker 4

Yeah. Hi, sir. Congrats on extremely good set of numbers.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Hi, Dinesh.

Speaker 4

Just two, three things. First, on the guidance part, do you foresee any risk to our current strong momentum, maybe due to El Niño, second order impact of war, et cetera, hence we are not changing guidance or we might revisit in Q2?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Right now we think everything looks positive, we don't see a reason why we should be taking into account some things that could develop at this point of time.

Speaker 4

Okay.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

However, we remain with the guidance today as it is so that we watch one more quarter before we take any further step on the guidance.

Speaker 4

Okay. Got it. Secondly, again on this progress towards building a non-MFI book. When we are reporting a 24% ROE in Q1, essentially which means our core MFI business is doing extremely well because most of your non-MFI businesses either will be incurring losses or maybe at very marginal profit at this point in time. Internally, what are the metrics you track to get a sense how long all these new products will drag down your P&L? Is there any timeline in management's mind, for example, let's say mortgage, you guys are in the business for more than two years. What could be the timeframe wherein the new businesses should start generating steady-state ROEs or ROAs?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Right. Most of the products are already profitable, including mortgage. If you don't consider our HO cost allocation, it's still profitable.

Speaker 4

Okay.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

All products, like we discussed earlier, none of them are diluting our ROEs. As a product line also, they have become profitable except for two-wheeler, which is a small book at this point of time. Other than that, everything else is already in order.

Speaker 4

Okay.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Mortgage, we may need something like INR 1,000 crore to reach a full level breakeven, including HO allocation costs.

Speaker 4

Okay. I'm sure the ROEs will be much lower, right, in this product?

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Dinesh, Nilesh here. Largely, all our lending rates are being published on our website, product-wise. You can see that the lending rates in all retail finance products, they're very much similar. In the individual business loans, it is maybe 50 basis points higher than MFI because there we don't have the group mechanism. Even in the business loans backed by property, the average lending rate is around 20.5%. It's around maybe 1% below MFI. The OpEx is much, much lower. The credit cost is much, much lower.

Speaker 4

Okay.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

That's where today, if you keep aside the housing book, which is maybe only 1% of the total AUM, the balance 99% AUM is all at 20%+ [inaudible].

Speaker 4

Oh, okay.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

From that perspective, yeah, that's why you see that despite the MFI share dropping, the ROEs are not affected. Otherwise, if the MFI share is at 79%, if it has come down from, say, 100%- 79%, it still can't maintain the ROEs if the retail finance is not contributing.

Speaker 4

Got it.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

It is very much apparent that retail finance is equally profitable, and that's where overall, while the AUM mix is evolving, we still see the ROEs and ROAs intact.

Speaker 4

Got it.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

You see, 91% of our book today is the graduated unsecured business loan book. That is already significantly profitable like the group loans. Like Nilesh said, ASL, while the yields are lower here, the credit costs are also much lower.

Speaker 4

Got it.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

It is even much lower than your secured business loans.

Speaker 4

Got it.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

None of them would result in any overhang here.

Speaker 4

Got it. Basically, you are saying that at the risk-adjusted level, most of these products are either at par with ideal profitability or maybe.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yes.

Speaker 4

slightly better.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yes.

Speaker 4

Okay. Just a last clarification on this Unnati and mortgage loan. What percentage of the customer pool is existing to company? Incrementally, what is the sourcing mix between new-to-company and existing-to-company?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Unnati is 100% internal.

Speaker 4

Okay.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Your mortgage is today 60/40.

Speaker 4

Okay.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

50/55. Yeah.

Speaker 4

60/40-

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

55 is internal, 45 is external.

Speaker 4

Okay. Incrementally also this would be the trend?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yes. In our assumptions, we've assumed 60/40. It should be range-bound anywhere between 55- 60 internal customers.

Speaker 4

Got it. The credit score which you publish on the mortgage piece, which is 700+ -

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Right

Speaker 4

This is at the book level?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yes.

Speaker 4

Okay. That's it from my side, sir. Thank you and best of luck on your journey.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Abhijit from Motilal Oswal. Please proceed.

Abhijit Tibrewal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

Yeah, good evening, sir. Thank you for taking my questions.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Hello, Abhijit.

Abhijit Tibrewal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

Congratulations. Sorry, sir. Congratulations on a strong quarter. Sir, just firstly, clarification on the previous answers that you gave. You said that maybe you want to wait for one more quarter before maybe relooking at the FY 2027 performance guidance. We can safely conclude that you're not seeing anything on the ground today with regards to either some weakness in macro or micro-

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yeah. There's absolutely nothing on the ground. There's also no leading indicators to indicate any build-up of additional stress at this point.

Abhijit Tibrewal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

Got it. Sir, again, a clarification in the previous question where you were just trying to explain that maybe the profitability metrics in retail finance maybe just works out too similar to maybe what a GL offers on a risk-adjusted basis. Even through a full credit cycle, do you think the credit costs and the operating economics in retail finance will compare with the traditional group loan business that we have?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yeah. If I look at the previous credit cycle that went through, the retail products actually held much stronger ground, right? The PAR 30 in the Unnati book never crossed around 3%. That was the max it touched even at the peak of the credit cycle.

Abhijit Tibrewal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

Got you.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

It's held ground through a credit cycle. I'm saying even going forward, because the profile of customers is associated both with vintage and our own knowledge of this customer base, and we are carefully choosing customers to graduate. That should hold better than microfinance portfolio at all points of time, is what we think.

Abhijit Tibrewal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

Got it, sir. Then, sir, maybe the last question that I had is, now that maybe we are in an up cycle again in microfinance, so all of us are just trying to understand maybe whether this up cycle can be structurally better than the previous one. We can clearly see that industry growth has started picking up again. Just trying to understand, are there any specific underwriting guardrails that we have put in place to ensure that maybe this up cycle is better than the past up cycles? Any structural changes that you've done in customer selection?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

See, you know that we have a BRE, right? Because of the technology that we have, we on a continuous basis fine-tune our policy. I could have different parameters for different states, different districts, different profile of customers, et cetera. That's something that we fine-tune on a continuous basis. It may not be uniform across different geographies. That goes through revision probably on a quarterly basis, depending on how you see a certain cohort of borrowers behave.

Abhijit Tibrewal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

Got it.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

I think it's a continuous improvement that we do all. Do you want to add?

Gururaj Rao
COO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yeah.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

All right.

Gururaj Rao
COO, CreditAccess Grameen

Abhijit, just want to add here that two things are playing here. One is the MFIN guardrail, which is in place. That is continuing. That is ensuring that our customers are not overleveraged and they are within the guardrail. Similarly, as Ganesh was telling, with the BRE in place now, we are able to control our credit policy at product level, at customer level and at geography level. It can be tuned very fast and applied. We do see this up cycle very structurally strong and it should continue that way.

Abhijit Tibrewal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

Got it. That answers my question. Maybe just one last question for Nilesh. I think this quarter when we look at credit costs somewhere around 2.8, 2.9-ish on an annualized basis, should we now view this as a new normalized run rate or would we expect that credit costs, except for this El Niño and monsoons, credit costs to settle at these levels or somewhat higher level over the medium term as maybe growth accelerates, portfolio starts seasoning the book that we are originating today?

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

I think, Abhijit, see, largely, the way we are shaping up the AUM profile. Directionally, we believe that microfinance, the credit cost should hold better because now the industry has rationalized to a good extent and today the customer base is in a good shape. The leverage levels have come down. The guardrails will ensure that this disciplining kind of is maintained going forward. In addition to that, as we are kind of graduating our customers to individual loans or mortgage loans, there we see that our ability to control the customer behavior is better. Like if you see over last 12- 15 months, the share of our unique customers has gone up. Today it's around 45%, and in our retail finance it is higher.

That is where overall we believe that the quality of the book will keep getting better as we are able to retain our high vintage customers. Like historically, we were losing our relatively higher vintage customers but now if you see in retail finance, the average customer vintage is almost seven years. That is something which will keep building up and it will help us to manage our overall credit cost going forward. The current trend is still holding well, maybe around 15, 20 basis points off PAR 15 is what we have been seeing in the first four months. Obviously there may be few hiccups here and there basis weather conditions, but largely we believe that the behavioral trend is holding up well on ground.

Abhijit Tibrewal
Analyst, Motilal Oswal

Got it. That answers all my questions. Thank you very much and I wish your team the very best.

Operator

Thank you. Before we take the next question, we would like to remind participants that you may press star and one to ask a question. The next question is from the line of Rajiv Mehta from YES Securities. Please proceed.

Rajiv Mehta
Analyst, YES Securities

Yeah, hi, good evening. Congratulations on very strong numbers. I think there is a big disconnect between the ROE you've delivered in first quarter and for the whole year guidance you've retained it. What kind of pricing reduction will have to happen? Broad calculations suggest that you may have to reduce pricing by 200 basis points, 250 basis points from October onwards, because then even that will have a partial impact on the whole year ROE because it's going to be only in the second half. Maybe even that pricing reduction would only happen in the MFI book and not in the retail book. Would this be the correct understanding?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Pricing depends on a few components that we track on a 12-monthly basis. Any pricing movement will follow the pricing policy of the company. In our thought process currently by end of Q2, probably we look at a 50 basis points price cut if we are able to hold the asset quality as it is in Q2.

Rajiv Mehta
Analyst, YES Securities

Ganesh, what will then drag the ROE towards the full year average? If you are starting with such a high ROE number and if only 50 basis points of pricing reduction has to happen only from October. That too may not happen on the retail finance book. It will only happen on the MFI book. How should we look at your NIM guidance and the ROE guidance?

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

See, Rajiv, Nilesh here. Maybe I'll give you some perspective on how this will work. Largely today on our borrowing cost, there is a decent visibility we have. Obviously, in this year, we'll be also focusing more on increasing our ECB loans, NCD loans, which come with longer tenures, and they do help us on our ALM. Obviously, the pricing is slightly higher, but overall this transition may still have maybe 10 basis points, 15 basis points of borrowing cost impact. That is something we had already briefed at start of the year that maybe we are starting the borrowing cost at 9.2%. It may end somewhere at 9.4% average. We may still hold around 9.3%. Largely borrowing cost is very much stable.

Now the NIMs, what we are generating, typically the NIMs will have a correlation to the credit cost trend what we are witnessing because the operating cost is largely stable when you look at our performance. Today the 14% NIMs are kind of reflective of the credit cost, what we had over last 12 months. Even today, if you see our trailing 12-month credit cost is still more than 4%. It's around 4.5%. That's where today the NIMs are higher. Now, if the current credit cost, in first quarter, let's say our annualized credit cost is around 2.8%, 2.9%. If this trend continues for maybe second quarter or third quarter, then the trailing 12-month credit cost will also drop below 4%. It may start trending closer to 3%.

If our credit cost settles around 3%, then 14% NIMs may not be required. Maybe we may even do a 4.5-ish ROA with a 13.5% NIMs. The NIMs, what we are generating, it has to be seen along with the credit cost what we are incurring to ensure that the final ROEs what we generate are in line with what we have guided for. Obviously, maybe currently what we are envisaging is if the current credit cost trend holds, then maybe in third quarter, we may have to pass on some benefit to the customers. Otherwise, we will keep making 6%+ ROE. That is something which we would not want to obviously achieve on a continuous basis.

For couple of quarters, we may deliver a higher ROE because on a trailing 12-month basis, we have to recoup the profitability and ensure that our cross-cycle returns are in the range of 4.5%, and ROEs are around 18%, 20%. That is something which will be in back of our mind. Obviously, we don't need a 200 basis points pricing cut. As of now, maybe we may have to take 50 basis points pricing cut in third quarter, maybe another 50 basis points in fourth quarter. It will happen gradually. It will not happen at one shot. It will be purely linked to the credit cost trend. If because of any reasons the credit cost stays elevated or if it again goes up, then we need not pass on the benefit as well.

Purely, it is linked to how the credit cost trend is shaping up, and that leaves us with significant cushion to protect our ROAs and ROEs in the coming years. Currently, we are much, much comfortable on the guidance front. Obviously, if we are able to repeat this performance over coming quarters, then obviously there will be a outperformance on the guidance. We will observe one more quarter and then we will take a call. We do not see so much of pricing reduction to be undertaken. Even if we cut, say, 50 basis points in Q3, 50 basis points in Q4, for example, obviously the impact will be gradually felt. Typically, it takes around 15-18 months for the assets to reprice. That leaves us with significant time to manage the overall profitability and be within the guided range.

Rajiv Mehta
Analyst, YES Securities

Nilesh, even in the credit cost, I mean, this quarter it annualized 2.8%, you still have write-off related credit cost. When you go ahead,

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Now we don't have.

Rajiv Mehta
Analyst, YES Securities

No, you had, no. In this quarter, you had, no. I'm just saying.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yeah.

Rajiv Mehta
Analyst, YES Securities

If you look at the NPA level, it's going to recede further, and hence the write-off related credit costs will also come down. You still, you're guiding for 3%-4%, you know, credit cost. How cushioned are we? I mean, I think there seems to be a good amount of cushion, and if you can measure or specify that cushion from a PAR accretion rate point of view, what have you budgeted in this 3%-4%? Are you already assuming 25 basis points, 30 basis points of monthly PAR accretion versus the current trend of 14 basis points, 15 basis points, that if there is any event, it can be absorbed?

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yes. See, largely the write-off related component will come down because the write-off what you have seen in the first quarter, this is primarily linked to the stress which came out in the previous-

Rajiv Mehta
Analyst, YES Securities

Correct

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

year second quarter. The improvement was very much visible from November last year. That's where the second quarter, whatever elevated stress levels they have come for write-off now. From second quarter onwards, we will have a normative write-off, and that's where you will see the write-off impact on credit cost will come down. When we gave a 3%-4% credit cost guidance, obviously, we had two factors in front of us. One is the West Asia crisis, and secondly, obviously, we had to see how the monsoon is shaping up because there was a lot of news flow on how the monsoon is going to pan out in this year. That's why we had kept this range. We have that as a cushion. I mean, if everything goes well, we may continue to do what we have done in the first quarter.

We have kept that cushion, which as we said, we will see one more quarter. If we believe that we are not seeing any upside risks to the credit cost, then we may end towards the lower end of the credit cost guidance, what we have given for the year.

Rajiv Mehta
Analyst, YES Securities

Got it. Thank you. Best of luck.

Operator

Thank you. Before we take the next question, we would like to remind participants that you may press star and one to ask a question. The next question is from the line of Nidhesh from Investec. Please proceed.

Nidhesh Jain
Analyst, Investec

Thanks for the opportunity. On the PCR, our Stage 1 PCR is around 1.6%. How should we see the direction going forward on the Stage 1, Stage 2, Stage 3 PCR? I think earlier we have guided that Stage 1 PCR can go up to as high as 2%.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Right now we think the Stage 1 PCR remains. As you know, we have an ECL committee now that sits every quarter to discuss all certain variables that are included in the model, including external events, including certain variables that we think needs to be evaluated on a quarterly basis. For this quarter it remains like this. By end of next quarter, for example, if the West Asia crisis results in some additional fuel shortage, et cetera, then we can increase the weightage to that, and that is when it can go up. Otherwise, it's expected to be range-bound at this point in time. Do I answer your question? I think Stage 1 will be 1.63.

It is the same this quarter. Probably if nothing materially happens, next quarter also it could remain here till we get clarity on certain variables that are currently available.

Nidhesh Jain
Analyst, Investec

Sure. ROA, right now we are around 6%. We have guided for 4%-5%. What is our comfortable ROA that we expect to deliver? Specifically during the upcycle, because the ROA should be higher because when downcycle happens, the ROA is much lower. If we cap our ROA to, let's say, 4%-5% in the upcycle, then our through-cycle ROAs may be lower than what we have seen in the past.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yeah. Nidhesh, as I said, we will not be capping our ROA. We do consider through-the-cycle ROAs, and that's where even we said earlier that once we are out of a cycle for maybe couple of quarters, fortwo to three quarters, we will have a relatively higher ROAs, which helps us to kind of regain the cross-cycle profitability. Obviously, the benefits get passed on to the customer. This year, like what we saw in FY 2024, we should see strong profitability, and then if the performance sustains for a relatively longer period of time, then obviously we have to realign and pass on the benefits to the customer.

Nidhesh Jain
Analyst, Investec

Sure. I think it is reasonable to expect that this year the ROE will be much higher than 4%-5% bracket.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yeah.

Nidhesh Jain
Analyst, Investec

If nothing happens with the West Asia war.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yes.

Nidhesh Jain
Analyst, Investec

Right.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yes. Correct.

Nidhesh Jain
Analyst, Investec

Sure.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

If it plays out like what has happened in first quarter, then yes.

We should be relatively doing much, much better.

Nidhesh Jain
Analyst, Investec

Yeah. Sure. Thank you.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Thank you.

Nidhesh Jain
Analyst, Investec

That's it from my side.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Abhishek from HSBC. Please go ahead.

Abhishek Murarka
Analyst, HSBC

Yeah, hello. Thanks for taking my question.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Hi, Abhishek.

Abhishek Murarka
Analyst, HSBC

Hi. Congratulations for the quarter. All this extra profitability that you're getting right now, basically, you can use it in three ways, right? One is by reducing yields and passing it on to the customer, which you have spoken about. The other two ways are probably to make some overlay provisions or maybe spend it on some kind of upgrade or adding branches or employees and all. What about that part? Because you've got a lot of capacity, so you haven't yet added branches and employees in the last few quarters. Do you need to spend more, and what are the plans there? Any thoughts about making overlay provisions right now, so that it can be used later on?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Right. With respect to branches and people and expansion, all of that as per the plan is budgeted, right? You don't need additional budgeting for that. We've already considered that in the plan. With respect to overlay, we already have given an overlay of INR 41 crore for the West Asia crisis. Say, for example, if at all something plays out in Q2 with respect to your weather, then probably there is some more overlay that is possible. Like I said, because there is a committee now, there is a laid-down process for even any variable that needs to go up. There needs to be backup data, there needs to be logic to build it, and you know we follow IND AS.

Abhishek Murarka
Analyst, HSBC

Yeah.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

That is the model we work on. We'll see how it goes.

Abhishek Murarka
Analyst, HSBC

Got it.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Typically, today, Abhishek, there is a significant inbuilt overlay because as you see, our Stage 1 provisioning is highest in the industry.

Abhishek Murarka
Analyst, HSBC

Correct.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

It has been significantly raised over last three to four quarters. One year back, our Stage 1 was one percent. Today, it is sitting at 1.63%. Plus, the asset classification, what we do, after 15 days, we book it as Stage 2. After 60 days, we book it as Stage 3. That allows us to kind of absorb the risk early and realign. This is the prevalent risk trend. From that perspective, we are well covered. Yeah.

Abhishek Murarka
Analyst, HSBC

Got it.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

That is how it is.

Abhishek Murarka
Analyst, HSBC

This yield increase of, I think, 60 basis points quarter-over-quarter, this is all due to interest reversals?

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Interest reversal does have a component in it, at the same time, obviously, the overall delinquency has reduced, your percentage of earning book has gone up.

Abhishek Murarka
Analyst, HSBC

Yeah.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

That also adds to the overall yield. Now, I think the yield will settle at this level. As and when in future, whenever we pass on any benefit to the customers, it may trend lower. As of now, I think it should settle at this level for some time.

Abhishek Murarka
Analyst, HSBC

Got it. Thank you. Those were my questions. All the best.

Nilesh Dalvi
CFO, CreditAccess Grameen

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Before we take the next question, we would like to remind participants that you may press star and one to ask a question. Participants who wishes to ask a question may press star and one at this time. The next question is from the line of Sonal from Prescient Capital. Please proceed.

Sonal Minhas
Analyst, Prescient Capital

Hi. This is Sonal Minhas. I hope I'm audible.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yes, Sonal. Please go ahead.

Sonal Minhas
Analyst, Prescient Capital

Yes. Thanks for taking my question on good set of numbers, sir. Just wanted to understand some bit of subjective data that you can share on your individual loans. Is there anything to read on the PAR 30, PAR 60, PAR 90 numbers there, which look kind of secure? It's too early to comment on them, basically, as you see right now.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

No. We have published this data in our investor presentation.

Sonal Minhas
Analyst, Prescient Capital

Yes, they're being constant between last quarter and this quarter.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yeah. Even here it has been better compared to last quarter.

Sonal Minhas
Analyst, Prescient Capital

Okay. Nothing to read basically in terms of quality.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Nothing to read on asset quality. It is quite stable and strong.

Sonal Minhas
Analyst, Prescient Capital

Okay. The similar thing on slide eight on mortgage loans. Is the book stable now, given that we see-

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

The book is-

Sonal Minhas
Analyst, Prescient Capital

PAR 30, PAR 60 and PAR 90 in the same range?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yeah. The book is stable now, but this is a very small base, right? As you start building, then you will start getting slightly range-bound credit cost increases. If mortgage, say, each of them are around INR 270 crore as we speak. As we scale book, I'm just saying it is indicative at this point of time, but it should be range-bound. We don't see any significant jump here, but we should do in similar ranges that we've kind of published at this point in time.

Sonal Minhas
Analyst, Prescient Capital

Got it, sir. Just second question is a clarification. You said that there is a guidance of reaching roughly INR 50,000 crore of only AUM by the end of FY 2028.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Right.

Sonal Minhas
Analyst, Prescient Capital

Is there a fundraise required for this or this is largely going to be based on whatever we

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Right. The INR 50,000 crore per AUM is something that we're talking about as of calendar year, not financial year.

Sonal Minhas
Analyst, Prescient Capital

Right.-

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

That is one. Second, for this growth, we don't need capital. The rate at which we're growing is something that we can augment using internal equity.

Sonal Minhas
Analyst, Prescient Capital

Got it, sir. All right. Thank you. Thanks for answering the questions.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Before we take the next question, we would like to remind participants that you may press star and one to ask a question. The next question is from the line of Shreepal Doshi from Equirus Securities. Please proceed.

Shreepal Doshi
Analyst, Equirus Securities

Hi, sir. Congrats on a good set of numbers. I just had a question, which is on the new product or let's say relatively new product that we've ventured into, which is SBL, AHL, and two-wheeler. In that, apart from transitioning customers, our vintage customers from MFI, what are the other sourcing strategy that we have for acquiring new customers?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Right. This is completely sourced by our own employees. We don't use DSA or connectors or any channel for sourcing. Right now it is directly sourced by our employees. It is also referred by our customers through our MAHI app.

Shreepal Doshi
Analyst, Equirus Securities

Okay. For all the three or for two-wheeler, we would be having any dealership network, or even that product is more

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yes. Two-wheeler, we do have a dealership network, but that is more for fulfilling and not for sourcing. The sourcing happens through our branches, our own customers, right? This is not offered to open market customers. We handpick customers who need a two-wheeler and are eligible as per internal criteria, and we take them to the dealer.

Shreepal Doshi
Analyst, Equirus Securities

Mm-hmm. Got it.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

We don't have any presence on dealer locations.

Shreepal Doshi
Analyst, Equirus Securities

Got it. Sir, as a strategy, how do we want to keep the book in the sense that would we want to have like 60%-70% of the book being built through new sourcing and then have the remaining coming in from the MFI customer transitioning or MFI customers' credit needs. Is there a thought process there or are we open to looking at it differently?

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

No. See, broadly, like we said, all our products barring mortgage today are offered only to internal customers. All of it will come through internal customers there. Mortgage and loan, we do both internal as well as open market. In our assumption, it should be around 60/40. Right now we are around 55/45.

Shreepal Doshi
Analyst, Equirus Securities

Okay. 60/40 meaning 60 internal and 40 external.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yeah, 60% of the customers should be internal, that is group loan graduated customers, and probably 40% will be open market. When we do open market, we don't do low-ticket mortgages there. We do less than INR 5 lakh only for our bike finance customers.

For open market, we source with a minimum ticket size of INR 5 lakh and above.

Shreepal Doshi
Analyst, Equirus Securities

Got it. This is just the last question, which is on industry side. The last cycle wherein we had issues pertaining to customer leverage levels, which has broadly been resolved with the help of guardrails and also MFIs strictly following it right now. The other two issues were attrition at employee levels or RM levels, and the third one was customer KYC related issues. Just wanted to get some sense on the latter two, which is on attrition as well as KYC related issues. What have we done at a company level or at industry level to overcome these two problems? Because these two were also instrumental in terms of the cycle that we just experienced.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Right. Attrition, I think, has to be managed at company level. As an industry, we can impart training. That is also something that MFIN does today. They offer certification courses to Kendra Managers to either upskill them or to ensure code of conduct is implemented. At a company level, we've managed attrition better than most players. As you know, we closed the last year also with good numbers. In fact, in Q1 we closed with attrition of 20.6%, probably one of the lowest. I think because we follow this policy of hire first and graduate them internally, we've been successful in managing this attrition-related issues with us. I think that's something that kind of protects us. You know that even the last two years, we had a lot of employees rejoining us. Roughly 2,500 employees expressed interest to join us.

We took around 700 employees back into CreditAccess Grameen. Typically, during crisis periods, we are able to retain them with us also. In stress periods, we ensure that the employees' variables don't get significantly impacted. Because that is one reason why employees leave. Unless it is not a scenario created by the employee, say something like an industry-level stress, we ensure that their incentives are protected at a certain level so that there is continuous interest and effort going into the parameters that you want them to focus on. With a combination of our people hiring strategy, internal promotion strategy with a differentiated culture and differentiated incentive structure, we've been able to retain. That even the kind of incentives we pay, it is not too high on the variable side. Variable side is quite low, and we do both monthly incentives as well as annual bonus.

There is focus for both short-term objectives and long-term objectives. Far our people strategy has worked very well in our favor and I think we're ready to sharpen it as well.

Shreepal Doshi
Analyst, Equirus Securities

Got it. Just a bit on the KYC front, because I think that was also-

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Yeah. KYC-related issue will continue to be there, but it is not so significant to speak of. Voter ID is the common thing that is used for microfinance because we are not allowed to do Aadhaar. A lot of us are working towards a combination of voter ID and PAN today. We're also working on eKYC. Somewhere between a combination of more than one ID, we should be able to protect ourselves from any significant impact. Even historically, while there is some amount but I can't quantify it to say it's a large problem to manage.

Shreepal Doshi
Analyst, Equirus Securities

Got it, sir. Thank you so much for answering all my questions and good luck for the next one.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Participants who wishes to ask a question may press star and one at this time. To ask a question, please press star and one now. There are no further questions, I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for the closing comments. Over to you, sir.

Ganesh Narayanan
Managing Director and CEO, CreditAccess Grameen

Okay. Thank you. Thank you, Shreepal. Thank you everybody for your interest and support in the company. We know we did a very good Q1 and we are hopefully continuing the same performance for the next few quarters, and we are looking at a very strong year in this financial year. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. On behalf of Equirus Securities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us and you may now disconnect your lines.