Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Punjab National Bank Q3 FY26 Earnings C onference Call hosted by Elara Securities Private Limited. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during this conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star, then zero on your touch-tone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Ms. Palak Shah from Elara Securities Private Limited. Thank you, and over to you, ma'am.
Yes, hello everyone, and welcome to Q3 FY26 Earnings Conference Call of Punjab National Bank. Today we have with us the management of the bank, headed by Mr. Ashok Chandra, MD and CEO, Mr. Paramasivam, Executive Director, Mr. Bibhu Prasad Mahapatra, Executive Director, Mr. D. Surendran, Executive Director, and Mr. Amit Kumar Srivastava, Executive Director. With this introduction, I would like to hand over the call to Mr. Ajay Kumar Singh, General Manager, Strategic Management and Economic Advisory Division, to read out the disclaimer statement, post which MD sir will address the conference. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Good afternoon, everyone. At the outset, I will read out the disclaimer statement. This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements apart from historical information. These forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements. Punjab National Bank undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the present date. Now, I request MD sir to make his opening remark.
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Q3 analysts' meet. On behalf of the entire PNB team, we wish you all a very happy and prosperous New Year. During Q3, our bank has demonstrated a steady progress across all key metrics of business growth, asset quality, profitability, and regulatory compliance. Our focus has been on sustained business growth of both liability and asset side. Toward this end, we have focused on growth in retail business through customer-centric initiatives like outreach programs and opening of new outlets. We have opened 82 new branches in this financial year to increase our presence and expecting to open another 100 branches in the next six months. We are also using digital enablers to improve business growth and operational efficiency. Digital journeys for almost all credit card products have been launched. All credit products have been launched.
Our mobile banking app has been revamped for better customer experience. We are mindful of asset quality and have improved asset quality both through reduction of GNPA and net NPA substantially. Controlling slippages has been our focus, and through analytics-based models, we are focusing on delinquent as well as pre-delinquent assets to reduce slippages. The collection efforts are being made on a real-time basis. Our focus on profitability has resulted in sequential growth of both operating profit and net profit, which is highest till date. Now, I will enumerate the segment-wise figures. First, I will touch the business. Global gross business of the bank is stood at INR 28.92 trillion, as on December 25, with a YoY growth rate of 9.5%.
Within this composition of this global business, global deposits stood at INR 16.60 trillion, with a yearly growth rate of 8.5%, and global advances stood at INR 12.31 trillion, with a yearly growth rate of 10.9%. We have sanctioned credit lines of more than INR 3.12 lakh crore during nine months of this financial year, out of which we have pending disbursement to the tune of INR 1.02 lakh crore, which are yet to be disbursed, that will favor the overall credit growth of the bank. CD ratio of the bank has increased to 74.2% as on December 25, from 72.6% as on December 24 and 72.3% as on September 25. We are witnessing sustained growth in our low-cost deposits base, and CASA ratio has remained at 37.1% as on December 25. We are focusing on targeted growth in SB individual portfolio of the bank.
Bank opened 38.03 lakh CASA accounts in the revamped schemes, with CASA balances to the tune of INR 20,650 crore during nine months of this financial year. Our RAM advances portfolio is increasing sustainably and stands at INR 6.62 trillion, which is around 56.7% of the domestic advances. The share of RAM advance was 56.3% as on December 2024. Coming to the profitability numbers, the net interest income is stood at INR 10,533 crore for Q3 of this year, as against INR 10,469 crore of Q2 of financial year 2026. Our domestic NIM percentage is at 2.65% for the Q3 of this year, whereas global NIM percentage is stood at 2.52%. At the beginning of Q3, we expected that our cost of deposits will reduce sharply, whereas yield on advances will roughly remain at the same level as that of Q2.
However, we have not reduced deposit rates much in this quarter, keeping in view the market dynamics and expectations of the customers, whereas yield on advances has reduced on account of rate cut in December and 5.3% QOQ growth in low-cost advances, which has resulted in a dip in NIM for Q3. For Q4, we expect our NIM to remain at the same level as that of Q3, despite the full impact of the December rate cut in Q4. For the full financial year, our domestic NIM will remain at about 2.70%, and global NIM will close at 2.60%, subject to no further rate cuts in the current financial year. Operating profits of the bank is increasing on a sequential basis.
Operating profit for Q3 is INR 7,481 crore, as against INR 6,621 crore for Q3 of last year, witnessing a YoY growth rate of 13%, well above the guidance of 8% to 9%. Net profit of the bank for Q3 for FY26 stands at INR 5,100 crore, as against INR 4,508 crore for Q3 of last year, depicting a healthy YoY growth rate of 13.13%. Efficiency ratios of the bank are improving consistently. Our return on assets is at the level of 1.06% for Q3 of '26, as against 1.03% for Q3 of last year. Return on equity stands at 7.80%. Earnings per share, not annualized, is Rs. 4.44 for Q3 of this year, against 3.92 for Q3 of last year. Our tangible book value per share, as of 31st December, is 101.89, which has significantly improved from the level of 82.75, as of 31st December 2024.
We are mindful of the improving of our cost-to-income ratio, and the same has remained at 51.91% in Q3 of this year, as against 54.16% in Q3 of last year. Asset quality: Our asset quality is improving consistently, and our GNPA has reduced to 3.19%, as of 31st December 2025, from 4.09% in December 2024 and 3.45% in September 2025. Similarly, the net NPA percentage, which was 0.41% in December 2024, has reduced to 0.32% in December 2025. Our PCR stands at 96.99% as of 31st December 2025, which is well above our guidance of more than 96% for the entire financial year. Total fresh slippages during Q3 of this year was INR 1,901 crore, against INR 1,955 crore in Q2 of this year.
Our guidance for slippages ratio was to remain below 1% in FY 2026, and we are well within our guidance levels, as the slippages ratio for the nine months of 2026 is 0.56% on an annualized basis. Total recovery is stood at INR 4,090 crore for Q3 of this year, against INR 3,412 crore for Q3 of last year. Our recovery is 2.2x of the slippages, reflecting our commitment towards improving asset quality. We have made additional floating provisions of INR 955 crore on a prudential basis in Q3, on account of which credit cost is looking elevated at 0.46%. Now, the total floating provision is INR 1,775 crore, which will help us in moving towards ECL transition. This is mindfully we have done to minimize the impact of ECL, which is likely to be implemented from 1st April 2027.
I will provide an analysis on underwriting standards, which will provide confidence regarding the asset quality and underwriting standards of the bank. From 1st July 2020 to 30th December 2025, that is almost five and a half years, we have sanctioned around INR 13.20 trillion loans, out of which we have disbursed INR 11.50 trillion loans. The outstanding in these loans is INR 8.24 trillion as of today, which is close to 67% of our total outstanding loan work. The NPA in this book is hardly INR 4,687 crore, which is only 0.41% of the disbursed amount under face underwriting. I think this speaks about the underwriting standard of the bank for the last six years. Yeah. Capital: Our capital adequacy is 16.77% as on 31st December 2025, compared to 15.41% as on 31st December 2024, which is 136 basis points above December 2024.
Our CET1 capital stands at 12.52% against the regulatory requirement of 8%. Tier one capital stands at 14.13% against the regulatory requirement of 9.5%, and Tier two capital stands at 2.64% as at 31st December 2025. Digital initiatives of our bank: The bank is consistently enhancing its digital foundation with a strong emphasis on developing advanced digital capabilities. Efforts are particularly concentrated in the areas of artificial intelligence, machine learning, and analytics-driven business generation. These initiatives have started to deliver significant results, contributing meaningfully to the bank's overall growth and operational efficiency. Today, we have digital journeys for almost all the credit products in the RAM segment. In Q3 of this year, we launched Digi Saarthi, that is the two-wheeler loan through the digital channel, Tractor Express, Digi MSME, and PM SVANidhi. These all journeys are through the digital channels.
In Q3 of this year, we have sanctioned and disbursed digital loans to the tune of INR 12,672 crore under RAM segment to 3.18 lakh customers. Every third loan is being sanctioned in digital mode in our bank. The share of digital transition is close to 95% for Q3 of this financial year. We have launched our revamped mobile banking application, PNB One 2.0, in Q3 with enhanced UI and latest technology stack. The app is applicable on all apps. It is available in 14 languages with 350 plus features, and there are more than INR 2.50 crore activated users on this app. PNB One now supports complete UPI integration, including UPI Lite, UPI Mandate, and UPI Credit Line. The number of WhatsApp banking users have grown by 81% from 52.7 lakh as of 31st December 2024 to 95.4 lakh as of December 2025.
KYC updation through WhatsApp banking has also been enabled. There is very good traction in our corporate mobile banking app, PNB One Business, which serves to more than 2.42 lakh customers with more than 200 features. We have onboarded more than 5.96 lakh CBDC customers and 98.42 lakh transactions done through CBDC app till 31st December 2025. We are also in the process of CBDC activation through business correspondent channels. Going forward, we are launching UPI in our PNB One Business application, as well as retail and corporate internet banking services will also be revamped. New initiatives: The bank appointed Indian women's cricket captain, Ms. Harmanpreet Kaur, as its first-ever female brand ambassador with the theme "Banking on Champions," and we expect good results from this strategic collaboration.
The bank launched its first metal credit card, PNB Luxura, with a target market of HNIs, high-end professionals, and affluent business owners as of 3rd December 2025. We are witnessing good traction in this credit card, and we have set a target of more than 10,000 credit card issuance by 31st March 2026. HR initiative: Our bank has adopted a new-age HR ecosystem driven by Project Udaan. We are undertaking this project in two parts, namely digital performance management system and capacity building. Under digital performance management system, 16,160 KRAs have been mapped, directly linking individual and team efforts to strategic outcomes and aligning the entire organization with Vision 2030 of the bank. This will increase the accountability and data-driven decision-making in the organization. Under capacity building, we are undertaking numerous steps involving leadership development programs, Gen AI learning chatbot, and comprehensive skill development programs for employees.
In concluding remarks, we are extensively focusing on improving customer service to generate business organically. Average time taken for grievances results has come down to three days in December 2025 from 14 days in April 2025, and performance has been recognized by DFS as well. Customer service has been one of the focus areas for the bank. PNB remains committed to reinforce its core business fundamentals. The bank is focused on increasing the CASA share within its total deposits, as well as enhancing the RAM portfolio in total advances. These strategic priorities are designed to collectively support improvements in overall profitability and efficiency ratios. The bank continues to prioritize containment of slippages and robust recovery efforts to improve the asset quality. Ongoing digital and human resources transformation initiatives are paving the way for long-term growth and operational excellence.
Going forward, the bank aims to further enhance its market share across all the segments. Thank you very much, and I am open for the questions or any clarification or clarity is required related to the performance results of our bank. Along with me, my executive directors and the entire top management team is here with me now. Thank you.
Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles. The first question is from the line of Mahrukh Adajania from Nuvama Wealth. Please go ahead.
Yeah, good afternoon. I have a couple of questions. My first question is on the provisions. So, last quarter, we had discussed that there's going to be a write-back of provisions from an account which other banks like Union had already written back in the second quarter, and we were supposed to take that write-back on provisions in the third quarter, and that was roughly around INR 7 billion-INR 9 billion. So, why wasn't the floating provision offset against that? As in that if we had that much of a write-back and our floating provisions were also around INR 9 billion only, then there shouldn't have been an increase in provisions, right? That was my question. And so that was my first question, and I'll let you know the others.
Yes. Good afternoon, madam. First of all, I will give you the clarity that provision we have not yet released. That account, you are right, that account became a standard in the last quarter, but the provision which we are holding in that standard account is still we are holding it. We have not yet released that amount. This INR 955 crore floating provision which we have made, it is from the other than whatever the profitability was available in our system.
From that, we have made this floating provision, keeping in mind that ECL implementation is going to happen from 1st April 2027. So, the pressure will not be there in our balance sheet going forward. Since we had a good profitability, good operating profit and net profit, we have made this provision. If we would not have made this provision, our profit would have been more than INR 6,000 crore.
Okay, sir. And any specific reason on why the provision was not released? You don't want to release it or any other reason because other banks seem to have released it?
No, no, no. We do not want to release it. It is not like that. We are still looking for that, and maybe we'll take a call at the right time. Maybe in the Q4, we may take the call. But that provision is still we are holding it. It's more than around INR 900 crore that is there in the standard account.
Okay. And sir, my other question was on ECL. So, most PSU banks seem to suggest a 40-50 basis points credit cost run rate under ECL. What would that be for PNB? Because our credit last quarter and last two last quarter were very negligible. I'm talking about second and first quarters now. So, what will be the run rate of provision? Say, once the ECL is implemented, how much of credit cost per quarter or per year do you expect? Would it be 40-50 basis points? Would it be lower? And also, if you could spell out the SMA 1 and SMA 2 below INR 5 crore.
I will give you, yeah. Yes, yes, yes. First of all, I will give you some clarity about the ECL calculation and where we are now. I think last time also we had given because it is a rough calculation. The bank has done it. We are putting the digital framework in place. Then we will have the exact calculation. But rough calculation which we have done, it comes to around INR 9-10 thousand crore. That is the total capital that is required for the full implementation to happen in the five years' time.
Now, if you see out of this INR 1,775 crore, already we have made the provision. Like this quarter, we have made INR 955 crore provision, and last quarter also we had made some provision. So, floating provision against this 9-10 thousand ECL requirement which is going to have, we have already INR 1,775 crore provision now. So, that is already in place. So, the bank is not going to have any impact, major impact on the account of ECL implementation because INR 5,000 crore and above, every quarter profit is going to happen. With that thing in place, I think every quarter we will have something where we will keep the extra for the floating provision, and that when the ECL gets implemented, we will adjust this floating provision against that ECL as per the RBI guidelines.
So, absolutely, I want to clarify to you as well as to all the analysts who are present here that this quarter, once you see that elevated provision of INR 1,341 crore, it is on account of the consensus decision of the bank to make additional provision of INR 955 crore. Otherwise, our actual provision which is required is only INR 386 crore on account of the slippages which have happened and to keep 97% of the PCR. Otherwise, other than that, absolutely there is no pressure in the bank as far as the provisional requirement is concerned.
Yes, sir. Sir, my question was a little different. I know that you are well prepared for the transition impact of ECL. You have stated that perhaps in your last quarter as well. But I'm talking about the run rate impact. Say, ECL were to be implemented this quarter, what would be the actual credit cost? Because under ECL, you have to provide for stage two, you have to provide for stage one, and of course, you have to provide for stage three as well. So, on a run rate basis, say ECL is already implemented, what will be the credit cost every quarter? Will it be 40 basis points? Will it be 50 basis points? What will it be?
No, no, no. It will not be. First of all, I will tell you, stage one, we are already providing 0.40. So, absolutely, there is not going to be impact on the stage one because standards we are already doing that. Stage three also, having 97% provision coverage ratio, we are not going to have any impact on the stage three provision also.
Stage two only because of the elevated provision is there, 5%. There only the impact is going to come, and that calculation roughly as of today is around INR 10,000 crore. Now, if I distribute this INR 10,000 crore for five years, five years multiplied by four quarters, it comes to 20 quarters. So, 20 quarters means every quarter if I am able to do INR 500 crore, I am able to meet that requirement, and that INR 500 crore every quarter hardly it comes to around 10-15 basis points. Like in this quarter, INR 955 crore we have kept, and with that, the credit cost with the INR 386 crore, it comes to only 0.46%. So, with this implementation, every quarter around INR 500 crore will be required. With that, hardly around 15 basis point credit cost will increase.
Okay, sir. So, there'll be an increase of 15, maybe 15-20. And what is with the SMA 1 and SMA 2 below INR 5 crore?
I will give you the entire portfolio, SMA 0, 1, 2, all put together. The ratio in the bank is 4.76%, 4.76 for all entire portfolio.
And 0 and above. Yeah.
All, all. 0, 1 rupees to the higher amount, all put together.
So, 4.8% of loans?
4.61%. 4.61%. That is the total SMA of the bank.
Okay. Okay, sir. Got it. Thank you very much and all the best.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Jai Mundhra from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.
Yeah, hi. Good afternoon, sir. And thanks for the opportunity. Sir, I have a few questions. First is, sir, this floating provision of INR 1,750 crore, have they been netted off to arrive at net NPA, or they are not? They are not part of specific PCR?
No, no, no. They are not part of Net NPA.
Okay. So, that is good. And secondly, sir, if you have, sorry.
That's why you are seeing the absolute number INR 3,800 crore in the Net NPA.
Correct. Correct. Okay. So, that is good. And secondly, sir, if you have the number separate for 0, 1, 2, that will help because maybe you need not provide for SMA 0 as per the draft regulation, but 1, 2 on a continuous basis bank may have to provide. So, if you have that number separately for 0, 1, and 2 for SMA loans of the bank.
No, no. SMA 0, what is the percentage? You can tell, madam. Our CGM in charge, the CRMD risk management is there. She will tell you.
0 is 34,000.
No, no, no. Percentage. What do I have? 1.6%. 1.6%.
Sir, absolute number is also okay.
No, no. I will give you the percentage. Sure. 1.6%. Yeah. Keep that table. The SMA 0 is 34,176. SMA 1, 9,439, and SMA 2, 13,122.
Sure, sir, and sir, would you have also done a calculation that let us say if in this quarter itself you were to apply for ECL norms, what would be the credit cost? I mean, that is what I think Mahrukh was also trying to understand that assuming you are in ECL, what could have been the provision in this quarter, let us say?
See, if five years' implementation period is there as per the RBI guidelines, so it means I have 20 quarters to implement it, and rough calculation which we have done, it comes to around INR 10,000 crore. It means INR 500 crore every quarter we need to provide for ECL implementation for five years.
With INR 500 crore, hardly it comes to around 15 basis point down, 0.15%. Right.
Okay. Sure. No issue, sir.
And since INR 10,000 crore is required, out of that, 1,775 I have already provided, so since we had a cushion in this quarter and we had good profitability, so we took a consensus decision that let us make the provision floating, and as per the RBI guidelines, this floating provision will get adjusted against the ECL when it gets implemented, so it is for strengthening of our balance sheet. This provision has been made this quarter.
Right. No, no. This is all welcome, sir. I understand this is contingent and floating in nature for the contingency only. Okay, and second question is, sir, a few banks have sounded some RBI compliance on Agri Crop Loan PSL requirement that the criteria for maybe PSL tagging has been tightened. Has that exercise been over for our bank, and what is the status here?
No, no, no. We don't have any such challenge. And the bank which you are quoting, their RBI supervisory review had happened. In our bank also, every bank RBI supervisory review happens every year, and we are totally compliant in that. We don't have any such challenge.
Sure. And lastly, sir, this quarter, the interest on—I mean, we have a very good—we had a very good WO, but still the interest income that has gone to NII from WO recovery is more or less similar, right? 400-odd crores. That has not changed. So, that has no material impact, right? I mean, despite having a large WO recovery.
No, no. It's almost around INR 400 to 500 crore WO recovery every quarter happens. That has remained the same because whatever recovery we do in NPA, generally it goes in our operating profit straightaway, not through the interest route.
Sure. And sir, one thing that I observed was interest on investment, right? That has declined. Is there any one-off, or you think that could be the new normal basis of the interest rate environment, or is there any reason for a slightly higher decline in that line item?
No, no, no. It is in line with the market scenario. Nothing else. You should not read anything else other than this.
Sure. Okay. Thank you. Thanks a lot, sir. I'll come back in the queue. Thanks and all the very best. Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Kunal Shah from Citigroup. Please go ahead.
Yeah. Thanks for taking the question. So, firstly, on margins, again, so I think there would have been some impact of repo repricing, and we have like 50% EBLR portfolio. So, that would have taken the knock on margins. But in terms of deposit repricing, when should we actually start to see the deposit repricing benefit? If you look at it, it's hardly like 25 odd basis points which we have got over last three quarters. So, when does that happen? And in fact, we revised our margin guidance also down. So, was it purely that repo rate cut which is leading to the revision in the guidance, or is there any other element in terms of lower benefit on deposits coming through?
No, absolutely. It is only because of the 125 basis point repo cut. The second thing related with this is the deposit rate pricing because 125 basis point rate cut has happened in the credit side. You have very rightly mentioned that more than 50% we have the repo linked rate.
Sorry to interrupt you. Kunal, can you please mute your line? Yes. That's disturbing. Thank you.
Since 50% and above the repo linked rates were there, so that we have passed on immediately. In fact, in our bank, immediately on the next working day, we pass on those benefits. But to that extent, we have not gone for the deposit repricing. In fact, we are very mindful of the deposits, the scenarios, dynamic situation, and keeping the customer's interest also because we have INR 18 crore plus customers, and they have a lot of faith in our system. We thought that let us continue that deposit rate.
That is the reason in the Q3, we have not cut much of the deposit rate. We have kept it intact, and that is the reason that has impacted the overall NIM. Going forward, what we are seeing that we had one special scheme where we had mobilized more than INR 248,000 crore. That deposit was for 440 days, and that scheme was there till March 2025. Now, from September 2025, this scheme was withdrawn. Now, those deposits are getting repriced. 70% repricing has already happened by December, and 21% is going to be repriced in the fourth quarter, this quarter. And 9% still, it will get repriced in the first two months of first quarter of 26-27. Entire deposit repricing will happen by somewhere in the month of May 15.
By that time, this entire thing which is there at 7.25, it will at least 60-70 basis point, the reduction will happen when the repricing happens. And you all know that, see, all these impacts will be visible after six, seven months now. I'm expecting that for 27, at least the impact of these things will be visible in the system.
Sure. Got that. And secondly, with respect to growth, so still in terms of the guidance, we are at 11-12% odd, while maybe year-to-date growth itself is like, say, 10.5, 11. So, would we be seeing some kind of payment increments on the corporate side, or we should be able to come to a point?
Sorry to interrupt.
Credit growth, I am expecting that as of now, nine months' credit growth is 10.9%. I am confident that this 11%-12% guidance which we have given by March also, we will be crossing this guidance. Deposit guidance also, 9%-10% we have given. As of now, we are at 8.5%. 100%, we are going to touch around 9% of the deposit growth. There has been good momentum in the system, and we are encashing those opportunities. At the same time, there are some low-yielding advances out there in the corporate book. That also, we are shedding it, and we are replacing it with high-yielding advances. Otherwise, our corporate loan book would have grown more than 11%-12%. We are also ensuring that all those low-yielding advances, slowly we should replace it with high-yielding advances. That is the reason corporate loan book is still at around 9.5%.
And this would continue even in the next quarter. So, that's the reason even after 11% odd, we are seeing that 11-12% is the only guidance and not revising it to like 13-14% odd or so.
Yeah. In this quarter also, we are going to shed some deposits, corporate loan book. And that is the reason we are still holding that 11-12% growth will be there, overall credit growth.
Got it. Perfect. Yeah. Thank you. Thanks a lot.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Bhavik Shah from InCred Capital. Please go ahead.
Hi sir. Thanks for the opportunity. And congrats on good quarter. Sir, I just wanted to understand, what was your average LCR for this quarter?
125, yeah, 127. Exact number? It was more than 125. 130. 130. It is 130. 130%. Okay.
Sir, there is a change in guidelines of LCR from 1st April 2026. How much of that impact will have?
I think around 5.25% impact will be there. Yes.
Negative impact?
Positive. Positive. Positive impact. Yeah, yeah.
Okay. Okay. Okay. Okay, sir. Sir, this quarter, we had a good treasury gain. Does it include the stake sale of Canara HSBC loan?
Yes. Yes. Yes. That includes that.
How much was it?
Net gain was around 700 crore. Actual? 912. INR 912 crore was there. That is actual impact of that sale.
Oh, wow. And the balance INR 400 crore would be the normal treasury gains for INR 500 crore? Yes. Sir, I just wanted to understand, so this year?
One more point, and more point, there has been a hit of INR 400 crore MTM also. Despite that, INR 300 crore is the thing now.
Understood, sir. So, we have done very good on treasury gains over the past two years, and that has also been because of the yields. Now, incrementally, the yields are kind of steady or rising. So, how should one understand treasury gains in F27? Will it be INR 2,000 crores or no? I think that is not how we think. We have clocked like 4,000 crores over the past few years.
I think you are talking about the next year. Let us wait for another two. It is very, very dynamic situation now. So, one more MTM will come in between, and then we will see how the impact comes. And anyway, I think March, we are also coming out with the strategy paper for 26-27. And definitely, somewhere in the April, we will discuss about the 26-27.
Understood, sir. And, sir, why not increase our loan book guidance to 15% when the opportunity is so good, and LDR is at only 74%-73%?
See, if you see, MSME, we are growing at 19%. Retail, excluding IBPC, we are growing at more than 18%. IBPC, every quarter, we are reducing it. And December 2024 to December 2025, the net reduction in the IBPC book is more than 30,000 crores. So, what is happening? We are growing in the credit scenario, but at the same time, there are some low-yielding advances out there, including this IBPC. We want to come out of those things so that going forward, we will have good quality, high-yielding advances, and that will be sustainable for a longer period. So, that is the reason we are not revising this 11%-12%. Otherwise, sector-wise, if you see, we are growing at more than 17-18%.
Sir, assuming in F27, deposit growth is 9-10%, would you grow at 15% plus?
I will give you the number once the strategy paper comes out, board strategy meet happens.
But I just want your thought process, sir.
I'm giving you the thought process. I am telling you my thought process because one or two quarters more, I will take in the 26-27 also to reduce my low-yielding corporate loan book. And afterwards, definitely, bank will grow at more than 12-13%.
Understood, sir. And sir, just last question. Sir, any guidance on your recovery from written-off for Q4 and next year?
Yeah. For the Q4 also, we are likely to grow more than INR 4,000 crore of total recovery. And around INR 1,500-INR 1,600 crore, PWR recovery we are expecting. And that is the thing which we have targeted.
Okay. Okay. And sir, F27, would it be broadly similar to F26 or lower?
It will be, I think. Let us wait for that 26-27 number. But definitely, I think last year also, if you see, around INR 12,000 to 13,000 crore was there. So, definitely, between INR 13,000 to 15,000 crore, we will be aiming for another two years.
Understood, sir. Okay. Thank you so much, sir. And best of luck.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Vansh Solanki from RSPN Ventures. Please go ahead.
Hello. Good afternoon. Team, all audible?
Yeah. Good afternoon.
Thank you, you're audible.
Yeah. So, my question is on the treasury income that we have around INR 1,300 crores of treasury income, including the INR 900 crore of the Canara HSBC gain. So, normalized treasury income is only INR 400 crore approximately. Is my thinking right?
Yes. Yes. You are absolutely right. See, what has happened, there is an MTM loss was there for one account, INR 400 crore. In the last quarter, there was a gain of MTM was there of around INR 350 crore in the same account. So, there is a fluctuation in that. Sometimes loss happens, sometimes profit happens. But the treasury gain will be in the line of around INR 1,300-INR 1,500 crore.
Okay. And my last question is on the new labor code. So, how much impact we have, like one-time impact we have taken here?
No impact on implementation of labor code. Bank was already implementing all those clauses which the labor code has provided. And absolutely no impact.
Okay. And the fee-based income, I just want to ask that even after good growth, why our fee-based income is almost in a similar line of Q2? Will it increase in Q4 and Q1 like next year or will be in the same range?
Generally, what happens in the fee-based income, there are some components like processing charges, the ATM charges, the locker rent. All these things we collect in the very first quarter of every financial year, so first quarter, there will be very good collection, and afterwards, all the renewals happens for the new proposal which we source. To that extent, only the fee-based income will increase, so it will be muted in the Q2, Q3, Q4, but first quarter of every year, it will be substantially higher, but we have come up with three new streams, and I am very hopeful that going forward, there will be a lot of traction will happen in the fee-based income. One is the supply chain vertical which we have created in this financial year.
And there is a INR 4,500 crore sanction book under the supply chain. There is vendor financing, dealer financing, this new vertical we have created. Second vertical which we have created is the cash management services, which is totally fee-based income only. So, this vertical also, second quarter we had created, and we are expecting good revenue should happen from this stream also in the 2026-27 financial year. And third vertical which we have created headed by a general manager is credit card vertical now. And we have also launched a first-time metal credit card, very high-net-worth individuals, the PNB Luxora. And there also, we are to build up a good number now. We already have a credit card in our bank, and that is owned by our bank itself. And more than 7 lakh credit cards are there in that scheme.
But this is a high-end credit card which we have launched, PNB Luxora. Through all those things, I want to see that on a sustainable basis, on a regular basis, there has to be improvement in the fee-based income in the 26-27 financial year.
Okay. Thank you. Thank you. That's from my side, and all the best for the future. Thank you.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Anand Dama from Emkay Global. Please go ahead.
Sanya, thank you for the opportunity. Sir, what explains sharp fall in your investment yields? And how do you see margins on a quarter-on-quarter basis? I know that for a full year, basically, you have downgraded the margin guidance. But on a quarter-on-quarter basis, how should we look at the margins here? And if you can explain why the investment yields have fallen on a quarter-on-quarter basis?
The yield, you are all knowing that it is totally market-driven now. And we are all seeing that as of today also, yield is quite tough now, very hard now. So, it all depends upon the market scenarios and what opportunities that come in that particular segment. And I'm not seeing that sharp decline is happening. It was 6.87% December 2024, and today it is 6.76% now. So, decline is hardly around 11 to 6 point YOY now.
But sir, if you look at from where it has come down, it was about 6.9% or so. And therefrom, it has been.
September, it was 6.9%. September, it was 6.9%. And see, when the average yield is coming down, so definitely, it will have the impact here also. But there is no concern as far as the revenues are concerned and the total contribution from the treasury book. I think the contribution is intact, INR 1,300-1,700 crore every quarter we are getting it. This quarter also, we got INR 1,300 crore. And going forward also, we have a visibility that we are going to have a good gain. Overall credit, the total contribution from the treasury book.
And sir, is there any labor code impact that you have taken during the quarter, or is it very negligible for the public sector banks because you do not have any contractual labor?
Yeah. Yeah. Correct. We don't have any impact because of the same reason what you have mentioned. So, we are already being guided by the salary revision of IDA. And we are already paying whatever that has been mentioned in the labor code. More than that, we are doing it. So, absolutely, there is no impact.
And sir, during the current quarter, you have had a very strong recovery from written-off. Is there any large specific account that you can talk about which has been recovered? And do you expect similar kind of a trend in fourth quarter as well?
Yeah. Out of this INR 4,100 crore recovery, there is one account where we got more than INR 700 crore. So, other than that, all was below INR 100 crore recovery. All small, small accounts were there. This quarter, we are also expecting around INR 400-500 crore one single account. And all other accounts are below INR 100 crore, and that momentum is there in this particular quarter also. So, we have already set the target for this quarter that more than INR 4,000 crore of recovery overall and INR 1,500 crore written-off recovery should happen in this quarter also.
Sure, sir. That's very helpful. Thanks a lot.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Ashlesh Sonje from Kotak Securities. Please go ahead.
Hi sir, good afternoon. A few clarifications firstly from my side. Can you explain why the tax rate was a bit lower at 19%? That is one. Secondly, this INR 9-10 thousand crores ECL impact which you quoted, is that the provision shortfall or is that the post-tax impact on capital? And thirdly, the progress on PSL compliance seems to be quite good over the past few quarters. Do you expect to purchase any PSL certificates in the next year?
Yeah. First of all, I will touch that part, PSLC. I think this year we have made good progress under that PSLC. And I'm expecting that at least around 50-60 basis point cut should be happening in the next year. More than that, we are already targeting in that direction now. And we are already compliant as per the RBI regulatory guidelines are concerned. We don't have any issues related with the PSLC compliance. Another question was related with tax rate and the ECL impact. ECL. ECL, yeah. ECL, there are three stages out there, all of you know. So, stage 1, 0.40% provisions are required. And already we are doing.
Yeah, sorry to interrupt you, sir. I understand the calculation you have mentioned. I'm just asking if this INR 10,000 crores, is that the pre-tax impact or the post-tax impact? That's all.
Post-tax impact. Post-tax impact.
Understood. Okay. And last, and the tax rate also.
Tax rate of 19%. Yeah. Yeah. You can explain.
Actually, sir, we have made a tax provision of INR 1,230 crores this time. There was a reversal of provisions to the extent of INR 506 crore in the tax provisions because when the actual computations of the tax liability, it came up to be less, which we envisaged during the 31st March 2025. There was a reversal of INR 506 crore. Next comes to about INR 1,230, which may be giving you a percentage of 19%.
Understood. One more question from my side. On the margin front, you had guided last quarter that it would improve by five basis points QQ. I understand a couple of things would have changed. One is the repo rate cut, which I assume would have had an impact of about five, six, seven basis points. The second one which you mentioned was on TD rates that you have not cut in this quarter. I assume that would have a negligible impact because TD rates take time to pass through. What exactly changed as per your earlier expectation?
No. One is that the 25 basis point, the rate cut has happened. Definitely, that has put some impact. The repricing which we were expecting that will happen, and that too with the revised rate, we were expecting that we'll cut some rate in the month of October and November. We have not done that. That exercise we have done on the 1st of January, we have cut some deposit rate in the different bucket now, around 20-30 basis points. If we would have cut that, definitely some impact would have come. INR 100-200 crore still impacts the NIM now. Three to four basis points. That is the impact it brings in the overall calculation.
Overall, if you see, our total NII is greater than the September quarter. But once we get final number, I think it has in the NIM calculation, it has impacted. So, I'm expecting that this repricing is going to be fully complete by end of April, somewhere 15th of May. Entire the 248,000 which we had mobilized at a very high rate last year, the retail term deposits, 7.25% and 7.75%, I think that is going to be repriced with the revised rate. And I think another three, four months it will take to bring down the NIM. I'm expecting that from the Q1 and Q2 onwards, definitely the NIM will improve and we will be back to the original scenario.
Understood, sir. Thank you very much.
Thank you.
Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Ankit Bansal from AB Investment. Please go ahead.
Hello. I'm audio.
Yes, please.
Yes, sir. Yes, sir.
Sir, my question first will be, sir, what will be your net guidance, net for net NPAs and net GNPAs now for quarter four and for whole FY26?
Gross NPA, it will be below 3%, which we have already given the guidance in the beginning of this financial year. We will be below 3%. Net NPA, below 0.35%. We are already at 0.32%. So, definitely, these guidance which you have given, we are going to do and we are going to achieve that.
Any revision in net NPAs guidance?
No. I think we are trying to bring it below 0.30. We'll try to do it. But guidance which you have given, we have done that. Somehow, we'll try that. We'll try to bring it below 0.30.
Okay, sir. The bigger question, bigger picture is that, sir, PNB delivers numbers like you say, one quarter good, other quarter. Sir, the momentum is not keeping like this quarter you have done a provision, like last quarter slippage is elevated happened. Sir, how an investor which is invested in PNB for years, how it could feel safe after one or two quarters? He feels, "Okay, bank is delivering good numbers like this." Another quarter slippage happens of any reason. I'm not saying you will happening of any reason. This quarter provision happens. Sir, look at other banks like State Bank, Bank of Baroda. They are delivering a constant set of numbers. So, investor feels safe in these banks. Sir, can you please assure your investor that is invested in you and invested a lot of their faith in your bank?
Sir, you should have full confidence. I will tell you, you should have full confidence in the performance. First of all, you see, none of the parameters, the guidance which we have given in the beginning of the financial year, despite the strain in the system, despite 125 basis point cut in the system, we have not revised any of my guidance. You see, the guidance which was given in the month of April, we gave the guidance that gross NPA below 3%, net NPA 0.35%. Credit cost, which you are talking about in this particular quarter, credit cost, our guidance was below 0.5% in the entire year. In this particular quarter, we are at 0.46%. That also, deliberately, we have kept it because of the ECL implementation which is going to happen from 1st April 2027.
Now, we had the profitability in this particular quarter, and it was the right time for us to keep the INR 955 crore set aside, and that we have kept it as a floating provision as per the RBI guidelines. Now, this will help us in adjusting our ECL implementation, which is going to happen from 1st April 2027. So, whatever guidance you see, the guidance on return on assets, we have given the guidance of above 1%. We are at 1.06%. September, we are at 1.05%. So, slippage ratio, we gave the guidance of below 1%. We are at 0.7%. In this particular quarter, we are at 0.67%. And nine months, if you see, we are below 0.56%. Credit growth, we gave a guidance of 11%-12%. We are at 10.9%. So, all the parameters, we are maintaining the guidance.
Operating profit, we gave a guidance of 8%-9%. We are at 13%. That is the growth which we are showing you. I think that you should see the overall guidance which the bank has given and whether we are meeting those guidance or not, and this is always better to see that whatever the future that is going to happen, prepare ourselves for the future situation. When the ECL got the announcement happened, somewhere, I think Q1 or Q2, I think this is the right time. If we have the cushion, why to get a hit when the actual implementation happens, so I think you should see broader things and not one Q1 or Q2. You should see the consistency in our performance.
You tell me in any of the parameter except the NIM, except the NIM, any parameter, there has been a degree reduction or downward reduction anywhere in any of the parameters. We are very mindful that for the investor, there has to be consistency, and each and every quarter, there has been improvement in every ratio. We are committed to that, and we are doing it. This quarter also, you see, except NIM, all parameters, there has been improvement. Every parameter improvement is there.
Thank you. Sorry, Ankit. Please rejoin the queue for a follow-up question. Our last question comes from the line of Mahrukh Adajania from Nuvama Wealth. Please go ahead.
Yeah, thank you, sir. Thank you for giving me a chance to ask a question again. Sir, my question was on investments. So, could it be that the investment yield has declined because of treasury profits booked over the last few quarters? Could that be a reason?
That is also one of the reasons. Second reason is, in the Q2, there was one-time income of INR 60 crore was there from one company that was booked in that particular quarter. So, there was another one, dividend income was there to the extent of INR 130 crore, which was booked in the Q2, which has not been reported.
That is in income on investments?
Yeah. Yes, income on investment. These are all income on investment. Otherwise, there is a consistency there in the treasury income also. And INR 1,300-1,500 crore income will be there from this particular treasury.
Sorry, Anand, how much of HTM would we have sold in the first nine months?
Out of 5% cushion, we have just used 1.5%. We have not sold .
HTM.
HTM, I'm talking. Yes, yes. We have utilized only 1.5%.
Okay. Okay, sir. Thank you so much. Thank you.
Thank you, madam.
Thank you. I would now like to hand the conference over to management for closing comments.
So, thank you very much for all the analysts who are reporting in our performance. We are committed to the consistent performance and quarter-to-quarter improvement in all the parameters. In this quarter also, if you see in all the parameters, including the operating profit, net profit, all the efficiency ratios, I think we have shown the consistency, and we are committed to do that. We value your relationship with our bank, and you being one of the stakeholders in our organization, definitely, I think we are committed to provide good value to you in the long run, and we will do whatever best is possible to do that. Thank you very much.
Thank you. On behalf of Elara Securities Private Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.