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Earnings Call: Q2 2024

Aug 15, 2024

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Good morning, and welcome to AutoStore's second quarter 2024 presentation. My name is Hiva Flåskjer, and I will be moderating this webcast. As usual, I'm joined by two members of our executive management team, Mats Hovland Vikse, AutoStore's CEO, and Paul Harrison, AutoStore's CFO. We would like to remind you of the disclaimer with regards to forward-looking statements. It can be read here at your own convenience. Moving on to the agenda, Mats and Paul will present the quarter's operational and financial development, and as usual, all financials are stated in U.S. dollars. We will host a Q&A session right after the prepared presentation. As always, you will be able to post written questions in the webcast player, starting now.

Similar to the previous quarter, you're also provided with an opportunity to log on the webcast via the Teams link and ask your questions verbally, directly to the management by using the Raise Hand feature in the Teams. The Teams link is available on our IR website and in the invitation distributed as a stock exchange release a week ago. After the Q&A, Mats will round off with some final remarks, and with that, I will hand over the words to Mats.

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

Thank you, Hiva. So looking at the highlights of this quarter, we report 12% sequential improvement in revenue with $154 million, driven by EMEA and North America, which was as planned and communicated in the previous quarter. Our order intake was $141 million, representing an increase of 3.4% compared to last year and a decrease of 23% compared to the strong first quarter of this year. As we've talked about several times in the past, there will be variations from quarter to quarter. The current challenging market environment also has an effect on the numbers, but more fundamentally, looking at the first half year development and eliminating the quarterly fluctuations, order intake grew by 8% year-over-year to $324 million.

Moving into the profitability of the business, the Q2 gross margin was above 73%, which represents the 8th consecutive quarter of gross margin improvement, and Paul will provide more details to this later in the presentation. We maintained our adjusted EBITDA margin of 49%, which is on par with the same period last year and an increase of 300 basis points versus the first quarter of this year. On our side, we continue to invest into the right areas of the business, such as sales and R&D. Moving then to the operational highlights, we recently announced that we have strengthened our leadership team, and I'm thrilled to say that Parth Joshi has joined our team as the new CPO.

He brings extensive global experience from high tech and high growth companies such as Cisco and Eaton, and I'm very excited to have him as part of the team. In addition to that, we announced the transition of Carlos Fernandez, who's been with AutoStore for over 13 years, to the newly created role of Chief Solutions Officer. This will see him build out the solutions teams that will support our partners and customers more robustly, especially as we see an increasing demand for high throughput solutions, where integration with other technologies is even more important. Now, I also want to spend some time sharing what we're seeing in the market today and share some of my reflections around that. Fundamentally, the potential of warehouse automation market remains huge, with the secular growth drivers remaining intact.

In addition to that, the particular tailwind that drives the need for high-density, rapid retrieval solutions like ours is especially compelling. So what are we observing at present? Warehouse automation penetration continues to grow, albeit at a slower pace compared to two years ago. If you look at market studies such as Interact Analysis, you will see that the annual global automated storage revenues declined in 2023 from the 2022 peak levels, and that those same studies now indicate that this trend continues into 2024. This is also consistent with what we've been experiencing in the market, where the situation has been largely the same as we experienced throughout 2023.

A particular feature we observe are longer evaluation cycles, and to elaborate on that, we see that this slowdown comes from the combination of, one, more opportunities remain open, which means that customers are just spending more time getting to a conclusion, and two, customers defer automation and remain manual for now. In addition to that, our product mix is deliberately shifting more towards the large and attractive high-throughput segment projects, which on average just takes longer time to convert versus the standard projects. The natural effect of this is that the backlog conversion takes longer. What I shared with you now is consistent with the many conversations I have, both with small and large customers across all of our main regions and industries. Without exception, they all emphasize their continued commitment to automation of their warehouse solutions, so that has not changed. Neither has our ability to compete.

Our win rate remains unchanged and at a high level, despite an expected increase in competition. Numbers-wise, the value of the pipeline is at its highest level ever, and the pitched proportion of that pipeline has increased 90% over the past two years. This tells me that we're tracking in the right direction and that we are investing in the right areas. But let's be very clear. While I've explained what is happening in the market, we are not satisfied with the current growth levels. Short term, we are working even more closely with our partners and using our commercial toolbox to speed up conversion times. For example, we're intensifying our engagement with partners, both strategically and on a project-by-project basis. In addition to that, we continue to invest in our market-facing activities, such as business development and marketing, which have demonstrated strong ROI.

At the same time, our strategy is long-term oriented, and we're investing into the business and taking actions to advance our position, both when it comes to our product offering and go-to-market model, and we'll talk much more about that in our upcoming Capital Markets Day. Moving on, this well-known slide very efficiently summarizes our strong position and why the business is so attractive. We've now delivered roughly 1,550 systems with 70,000 robots in 57 countries. We just added the Philippines, Paraguay, and Puerto Rico. We have about 1,100 unique customers, compared to 900 customers a year ago, and within the Cubic storage space, we are the only player with such a significant installed base, providing us with great advantages. Not only is it a real proof of strength of our solutions, but it also represents a big base of satisfied customers to expand our relationship with.

Let me also reiterate that our research shows that only around 20% of the market for warehouse automation is currently penetrated. That's a tremendous opportunity, and we are positioned for strong growth in the future. First of all, the market opportunity is massive, and we have a solution that can address all end markets and all system types with very attractive economics for the end customers. To deliver on this, we have a highly efficient go-to-market model with a strong network of 23 integration partners around the world, which then are complemented by our business development and global account teams. It is this efficient go-to-market model, together with our highly standardized and scalable solution, which is the foundation for the attractive and stable financial profile that you see on these slides.

At the same time, we focus relentlessly on our customer-led product roadmap with around 300 colleagues in R&D, driving continuous improvement, leveraging all data and insights from the large install base that we have. So this is also a slide that you're familiar with. Here you can see a small selection of our over 1,000 customers, and you can see we have a wide customer portfolio. In Q2, more than half of our revenues came from existing customers, which is a very strong reflection of customer satisfaction and our land-and-expand strategy. This area is particularly important when you consider that we've added around 500 new customers over the last two years. Looking at our data, that tells us that typically over a two, three-year period, customers will return and invest further, both in existing and new sites.

As you know, we like to give you a real example of how we help our customers solve problems and improve their operations. This time, we're highlighting a U.S.-based apparel customer, Cutter & Buck, which sells activewear. They particularly look to improve their picking process and delivery time to customers. With the AutoStore system, they're now able to offer same-day delivery to their customers, and you'll hear picking is no longer a bottleneck. So before Paul takes us through the financials of this quarter, please have a look at this.

Speaker 14

We've been part of the Seattle community since 1989. We were founded as a men's sportswear brand. Early on, we found an audience in the golf space, as golf was really booming in the '90s, and then we started branching out, and now we've grown our business in corporate. We have a really awesome licensed products business. We have a specialty retail business, and e-commerce is, is really where we're growing the very most today. Our ability to have the stock on the shelf and then decorate it very quickly and fulfill those orders fast, even down to one unit at a time, is something that makes Cutter & Buck really special. Our customer base wants their orders really to ship same day if they're undecorated, and if they're decorated, they want those orders to ship in just a couple of days.

So we were just running out of daylight. We found an incredible partnership with Kardex, who is the implementer for us here in the United States, and boy, they just went above and beyond to walk us through how the AutoStore system could really change our business. So whereas before picking was a bottleneck for us, and now with AutoStore, that's not a bottleneck at all. So we're free to optimize all of these other processes that we need to do that our customers are demanding of us, and AutoStore just kind of fades into the background as being this really incredible platform that we can build our business around. The incredible win for us at Cutter & Buck was that we did not have any downtime between systems. We really like the flexibility and the speed that AutoStore gets us.

We can move products really same day out of a shipping container. They can be pickable in the AutoStore system in the same day. If your freight's coming in a little late, you can get it turned and ready to be pickable really fast in an AutoStore environment. The AutoStore fulfillment is usually in single minutes, so we can have an order that comes in to one of our websites into a pick ticket. We're picking, packed, and on our way in less than 10 minutes. We have exact knowledge of how many units we have in every single SKU, that's available to ship that day, so we know exactly what we have all the time. That's reduced our need for cycle counting. We don't have to do the inventory cycle counting anymore.

So it's giving us a lot more control and also just easing that, so we trust the system, the system knows exactly where everything is, and then we're able to use that to power our business. AutoStore, just opening August 5th of last year, it helped us to have our largest fourth quarter that we've ever had in the history of Cutter & Buck. And we also had the most profitable fourth quarter we've ever had in the history of Cutter & Buck, and a large part of that is built on the speed and the efficiency that we get through all of our processes, and the cornerstone of that process here at this operation is AutoStore.

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Thank you, Mats, and good morning. Okay, let's move on to the financial highlights on the next slide. As you can see, there are some strong numbers on the slide, but at the same time, there are clearly some areas where we're doubling down to drive improvements, as Mats has discussed. In quarter two, we reported order intake of $141 million, representing an increase of 3% compared to last year, and an increase of 8% for the first half of 2024 versus the same period last year. Looking at our revenues of $154 million, we see an improvement compared to the first quarter of this year, while they contracted 12% year-over-year. Our margins are very strong in the quarter, particularly driven by our high gross margin of 73%.

Our adjusted EBITDA margin remained at 49%, on par with the same period last year. So on the next slide, I'll go into more details on the key financials. Looking at our Q2 revenues, as expected, we saw a sequential improvement this quarter, with a higher level of high-throughput business coming through compared to quarter one. On a year-over-year basis, revenues declined by 12%, reflecting the longer conversion from backlog to revenues that Mats has discussed. As we can see from the right-hand side of the slide, which shows the geographical split, I'm pleased to highlight the strong sequential growth in North America, an important strategic market to us. As you've already seen, order intake was $140 million for quarter two, representing, representing a 3% increase from quarter two 2023, and that sequential decline of 12%.

Mats has talked already about some of the factors driving order intake. One additional observation I would share, to underline Mata's point, is to remind you that AutoStore is often just one part of the overall warehouse automation project. It is often combined with other technologies, including the construction of new warehouse facilities or the repurposing of brownfield sites. So these projects, even for large global names, can be significant. However, an understandable caution to commit in this environment should not be confused with high conviction in our product. We're continuing to see strong demand from high-throughput customers, with these projects more than doubling compared to a year ago. These are larger projects. In addition, we saw a particularly strong performance in the industrial sector this quarter, which talks to the diversified range of end markets we serve.

At 30th of June 2024, our order backlog remains solid, with no cancellations, at $479 million. Looking at gross profit and adjusted EBITDA, on the upper panel of this slide, you see that Q2 gross profit ended at $113 million, which was an increase in absolute terms from the same quarter in 2023. In quarter two 2022, this corresponds to a gross margin of 73%, compared to 68% in quarter one of 2023. So you will note that the gross margin for the quarter is once again at the highest level we've seen for some time. The quarter's margins were supported by product mix and, in particular, favorable raw materials costs.

Our adjusted EBITDA margin was strong at 49%, sequentially up 300 basis points from 46%, driven by improved gross margin that I mentioned and also by strong cost control. Now, we've talked today about the actions we're taking to drive growth in our business. As a reminder, Mats talked about investing in our market-facing activities, such as business development and marketing. We're leveraging this strong and improved gross margin to fund this investment, which enables us to continue to deliver high adjusted EBITDA margins. Okay, now let's spend a couple of minutes highlighting our strong cash position. In the quarter, we had cash flow from operations of $16 million after making settlement payments of $32 million. Operating cash flow was negatively affected by increased receivables, contributing to higher working capital.

Now, this was expected due to shipments late in the quarter, but as a reminder, we have a 30- to 60-day standard payment terms with all of our partners. If I look at simplified cash flow conversion, which is calculated as adjusted EBITDA less CapEx investments, it's somewhat down year-on-year at 77%, with CapEx growing year-on-year and lower adjusted EBITDA, but clearly still strong. To conclude, we end the quarter with a solid cash position of $269 million, while we continue to invest in our future growth. So pulling everything you've heard this morning together, this slide summarizes our priorities and our expectations. We will continue to focus on product and technology development, and during 2024, we plan a strong series of product launches and improved functionalities.

Look out for some interesting announcements this fall, and also those that we'll be sharing with you at our forthcoming Capital Markets Day. And with an eye on short and long-term performance, we will invest in our market-facing activities. We will fund this by utilizing the improvements in gross margin, enabling us to maintain our high Adjusted EBITDA margin. And as we've made clear, we expect these actions to drive growth and continue to gain market share. So with that, I'd like to pass back to Hiva, who's going to lead the Q&A.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Thank you, Paul. Thank you, Mats. Let's move on to the Q&A, and let's start with questions from the Teams audience. As a reminder, please raise your hand to ask questions. The first question comes from Emilie. Emilie, please, can you go ahead and unmute yourself and ask your question?

Speaker 5

Hi, good morning. My first question is about the backlog duration and how we should think about that in Q2 versus year-end 2023. I think the backlog is up around $30 million, and is this representative for what we should expect as an increase in the second half? Or how should we think about growth in the second half of this year?

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Okay. So I'll perhaps start off with the answer there. The backlog duration is extended for the reasons we've talked about. Customers are taking longer to make that final purchase commitment, and indeed, customers entering into multi-year commitments with us. I can think of an example, recently in Asia, where a customer has entered into a multi-year commitment with us, where around about 30% of that revenue will come out in the first year. So we are seeing customers commit for longer to the business, which is, which is clearly, a good thing.

As to the second half of the year, what I would point to is the initiatives that Mats has talked about, that I reiterated in my presentation, that we're taking to drive revenue growth, and we do therefore expect to see sequential improvement in revenues as we go into the second half of the year. Now, we said that back in quarter one. We talked about the revenues being skewed to the second half of the year. The comment that I'll add now, with the benefit of the passage of time, is we do expect to see that most notably in quarter four of this year.

Speaker 5

Okay, thank you. That's helpful. And then, just to follow up on gross margins, I'm just curious whether the step-up you've seen in this quarter as well as last quarter, what you expect for them as the remainder of the year?

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

At the start of the year, I talked about gross margins in the late 60s%. And there was some caution in that statement resulting from the risk around geopolitical factors impacting commodity prices. But you've seen now for two quarters, a strong gross margin in the early 70s%. So I think it is reasonable at this stage in the year to expect the gross margin for the full year to start with a 7, and be in the low 70s% as well. And as I mentioned, it's that increase in gross margin, which we're very pleased with, that is going to fund the initiatives we've talked about to drive revenue growth.

Speaker 5

Thank you.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Moving on, Tore, would you like to ask your question? Please unmute yourself.

Speaker 8

Good morning, Tore here from Bank of America, and thanks for taking my question. Only one from my side. Could you maybe explain to what extent and how you, from your side, can improve the delivery on, on the backlog that you have? Or do you feel like you're, on this part, more like fully in the hand of your, of your customers and their decision of, of when they really want to commit to the project? Thank you.

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

So as we mentioned during the presentation, we have several initiatives in place, not only on the high-level strategic stuff, but also on a project-by-project basis. So we have, to a larger extent now, our people involved hand in hand with the partners on a project level, which gives us more insights and more opportunities to impact. However, as we've talked about in the past as well, this is a market that's gonna be attractive for many, many years to come. So our top priority is to sit together with our customers and support their timing, so that we end up having good customer relationship and end up being partners with them for many, many years to come.

Speaker 8

Okay, thank you. And, maybe then as a follow-up, what gives you the conviction into the more, let's say, H2-weighted and now more like a Q4-weighted pick-up then? Do you already have, like, good commitments from your customers and, like, feedback that they will really commit to the projects in Q4?

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

So as I said, we are close to the projects that we have in our backlog, and with the timings that has been indicated for us and with the visibility we have, we do feel good about the second half, and particularly Q4, as Paul mentioned.

Speaker 8

Okay, perfect. Thank you.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Thank you, Tore. Next one up is Petter. Please go ahead and unmute yourself.

Speaker 9

Yeah. I had a question on the gross margin, but I think that was answered. So, just going back to Q1, actually, my understanding, you know, was that the start of Q2 had been, you know, fairly similar to what you saw in Q1... but, you know, clearly, the order intake weakened then. Did I misunderstand you in basically, you know, your message in Q1, or did orders somewhat softer later in the second quarter? Thank you.

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

So look, as, as we've talked about for a while, we've seen similar dynamics for several quarters now. And you're right, at the end of Q- or in Q1, when we presented that one, we saw similar developments. However, with the dynamics that we are experiencing in the market now, combined with the fact that underlying, we're a project-based business, where you will see these types of fluctuations. And with the market environment we're in, these fluctuations can be quite large. But as we've done quite consistently for several years now, is saying that on a quarter-over-quarter basis, there will be lumpiness. But if you look at the longer lines, for instance, year to date, we're up 8%. So you need to look at this in a larger time series than only individual quarters, because we're impacted by these types of dynamics that we're seeing now.

Speaker 9

Perfect. Thank you. And then just a final question. You mentioned, you know, sequential revenue improvement in H2 with, you know, more effect in Q4. How good visibility do you have on that? You know, could it be a scenario that when you enter Q4, that, you know, suddenly, you know, some of the customers are saying that we need to postpone this until, you know, the first half of 2025? Thank you. That was the final one.

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Yeah, look, I think as Mats has said, we're able to talk to our partners on a project-by-project basis and update on expectations. And that's what informed the comment, the likely dates that customers are going to commit to the delivery of projects. But, you know, as we've tried to say today, this, to your question, is an uncertain market. Is it possible that some of those customers will defer? Yes, it is possible, but we are looking at this on a highly granular basis and taking actions, as Mats has noted, to stimulate that quarter three and four growth.

Speaker 9

Okay, thank you.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Thank you, Petter. Moving on, Kristian, can you please unmute yourself and ask your question?

Speaker 7

Yes, thank you. So, how should we think about the postponements you cited last year when you took down the revenue guidance in, I think it was the third quarter? In which projects were you cited some delays from H2 2023 to 2024. Are these being delivered on now, or are we still waiting, are these customers still waiting, per se?

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

So the average age within the backlog has obviously increased. However, the projects that we were intended to ship last year has, to a large extent, either been shipped or is in the process of shipping. But there is kind of a shift and a dynamic backlog. But of course, the underlying dynamic remains largely the same this year as we also saw last year. But as I've talked about, as Paul has talked about, we're deeply involved in these projects, so we have a granular view on a project-by-project basis.

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Just to emphasize, if I may, whilst timing, as we have discussed quite a bit this morning, is hard to predict, what we're not seeing are cancellations of orders.

Speaker 7

Okay, thanks. Okay, so I guess that kind of most disappointment now is you said four months ago that you would grow on a full year basis, and that 80% of the order intake is set for delivery for 2024. So I guess that those orders in Q1 are kind of where we see most delays, and maybe from Q4 last year?

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Look, that's fair, and as you've also seen, and we referred to in the presentation, we've also seen sort of external market studies, such as Interact, take downgrade their view on 2024 as well. So the experience we're sharing you, with you is consistent with those studies, with 2024 taking on much more of the characteristics of the tough 2023.

Speaker 7

Okay, I see. And then, you're investing quite heavily with 20% OpEx growth, with revenues down. Will you preserve margins going forward, or are you kind of thinking longer term here?

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Well, we always think longer term, that's quite right. But at the same time, as we've tried to stress today, we are also thinking about taking actions to drive short-term performance as well. Now, what we benefit from here is that strong improvement in our gross margin, and it's that improvement that we're investing into these initiatives to drive growth. Therefore, I expect to continue to report those high adjusted EBITDA margins.

Speaker 7

Okay, thanks.

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

Let me-

Speaker 7

And then last one from me. Yeah, sorry.

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

Sorry, let me just add some color based on your past couple of questions. So look, the investments that we've been doing into, especially the market-facing activities, has been showing good results. And this is a market that's still just in the early innings of disruption. And when you look at the pipeline growth, the customer access that we have, and the proportion of that pipeline that has been pitched, we're seeing very strong underlying demand growth, which is what we can influence within the four walls of the company. What we are seeing, though, is that the conversion of those orders are going down for the reasons that I talked about during the presentation. But in a medium to long-term view, the results that we're getting in being closer to the customer, increasing the pipeline, getting more deals in front of those customers, are showing very, very good signs.

But short term, backlog conversion timing is more challenging to predict than what it's been in the past.

Speaker 6

Thank you for that, clarification. And then last question, a bit unrelated to this, but on the Capital Markets Day in September, should we, should we expect any financial targets to be presented, or would it, will it be mostly product and company centric?

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Well, there'll be a lot of content on that day, but yes, you can expect me to talk about the financial envelope within which we think you should think about and model the business over the medium term.

Speaker 6

Thanks a lot.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Thank you, Kristian. Timothy, I think you're up next. If you could please unmute yourself and ask your question.

Speaker 11

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. So I just want to understand a bit more about the order intake momentum in the second quarter. How's the run rate, or like development, for second quarter, and how's the momentum going into the third quarter?

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Sorry, I missed the very start of your question, Timothy. I beg your pardon.

Speaker 11

Sorry, I'm just trying to understand a bit about the dynamics of the order intake in the second quarter, and how's the run rate when we exit the second quarter, and how's the momentum developments into the third quarter?

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Okay, thank you. Look, I think I'm gonna sort of repeat a comment Mats made a few moments ago. To describe it as a run rate, to characterize it as a run rate at the minute, would be to belie the lumpiness that we have talked about in securing orders. And that's why, whilst we saw that promising start to quarter two, clearly over the balance of the quarter, we didn't see as strong a performance. So I don't think at the moment it would be fair to characterize order intake as having a very clear run rate.

Speaker 11

Understood. Understood. And a small question on my side, it's a very small number, but in terms of the revenue from the rendering of services in the quarter, it's -$0.2 million. So it's small, but just want to understand a bit about why it is a negative number.

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

On the service revenues in the quarter, did you say?

Speaker 11

Yes, correct.

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

I would need to come back to you on that one, actually. It is, as you say, a relatively small number. Let me double-check that and come back to you, please.

Speaker 11

Yeah, yeah, no problem. Yeah, that's all the questions I have. Thank you very much.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Thank you, Timothy. Toby, I think you're up next. So if you could unmute yourself.

Speaker 10

Yeah. Hey, hey, good morning, and thanks for the question. I may have a couple from me, maybe just firstly, just on the CapEx. It looks like that's been trending around 10% of sales year to date. Is this the new sort of run rate we should be thinking about going forward on the CapEx? And where is that CapEx being spent? And then just secondly, just on the competition, what it looks like and how intense it is. Thank you.

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Toby, I'll go first on the CapEx. You're right, it's a little bit higher this quarter at the 10% level. I continue to think that you should consider a more normal number, 8%, against a normal revenue context. It spiked up a little bit this quarter because we've seen the completion in the quarter of the facility in Thailand and indeed a new facility in the U.S. So that's created a little bit of a spike. But actually, when you look at the R&D element of our CapEx, it's actually at a very steady proportion sequentially quarter-over-quarter. So no, I think longer term, continue to think about it as slightly below those levels.

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

On the competition side, we've seen new entrants come in over the past few years. There is nothing now that has changed that situation, but obviously it's more players operating now than what it was a few years ago. However, our competitive strength has remained the same throughout that period and continues to be very, very strong, which is then evidenced again by our high win rates and also through the performance on gross margin. So if you look at it, our largest competitor remains manual handling, with still only around 20% of warehouses being automated. That's the key conversation we're having with customers: How do you move from a manual operation into an automated operation?

Speaker 10

Great, thanks a lot.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Thank you, Toby. Moving on to Luke. Luke, if you could be so kind and unmute yourself. Thank you.

Speaker 12

Would that be me? Lucas.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Sorry, Lucas. Sorry, my bad.

Speaker 8

No worries, no worries. I wasn't fully sure. Thanks for the time. I'm just also wanted to come back on the investments. I'm trying to understand how you can really drive growth with the additional investments. As you said, the value proposition is strong, the customer feedback is good, and so it does seem like it's more of a waiting game for kind of maybe the macro interest rates to improve. And obviously, you're kind of investing a lot more as your top line is more challenged. Obviously, the growth margin is still high, so you're able to do that. But I'm just wondering whether-

Speaker 11

... Do you really going to be able to drive growth if, let's say, the macro interest rate environment doesn't change?

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

It's a good question, Lucas.

Speaker 11

Yeah.

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

But, look, when you look at it, the investments that we've made has enabled us to grow our pipeline and increase the pitch proportion of that pipeline. For us, the growth formula is a lot about seeing more of the market and getting access to more and more customers. As I've talked about several times now, it's an early stage market, and for us, if we're able to gain market access and get access to more and more customers whilst maintaining those high win rates, that will equal growth. Also in an environment where customers are more cautious, but most importantly, it's about gaining market access.

Speaker 11

Perfect, thank you. And just on, again, the, the debate on revenues this year, I mean, is there a change at all in the view you had in Q1 after having seen kind of H1? Does that change a bit what you see for the full year on achievable revenues? Or let's say the, the weight of H2 versus H1 is just as you, you saw before, and, you know, the, the past two years was about 50%. If you look at, 2020, it was closer to 44%. So, you know, that, that could still be, something that, that's coming. But I'm just wondering if, maybe H1 makes you, doubt slightly a, a, a bit more, maybe what you can deliver on the full year now.

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

I think the comment we made at Q1 about a skew to H2 this year, you know, remains true. The update really for you today, having, you know, done the deep dive into our backlog, is that we expect to see that much more biased towards quarter four. But clearly, as we have said, just stepping back, and as external commentators have said as well, this is proving to be, once again, a tough year. Whereas a few months ago there was a stronger sense of optimism about 2024. So it is proving to be a tougher year than I think was expected six months ago.

Speaker 12

Perfect. Thank you.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Thank you, Lucas. Now let's try with Luke from Morgan Stanley. Luke, if you can unmute yourself, if you still have a question. Maybe Luke, we'll take your question later on. Moving on to Eirik.

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

I got it.

Speaker 13

Yes, good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. I've got two, one for Mats and one for Paul. If I can start with the one to Mats. You talked about the win rate that remains roughly the same. Could you share some color on the different win rates between high-throughput and standard warehouses? And it sounds kind of as if you're gaining traction, and you've done over time in high-throughput. Does kind of overall flat win rate imply that you're winning less in standard warehouse, or kind of how should we think about both focus there and relative competitiveness?

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

Yeah. Look, we are seeing growth in the high throughput segment, and I think the install base that we're developing in that market kind of verifies our position to also compete there. Again, the growth formula within high throughput is to gain access to those projects. So to a large extent, we're winning the projects that we're starting to see, but the efforts is more around seeing more and more projects, and that's what we're focusing on. So look, it's still early days for us. We're winning share in that market, and I think as we gain access and apply those win rates there, we will see growth. But for us, it's more about seeing that market, because historically, we've been, you know, mainly viewed as a winner within the standard segment. So we need to create ourselves that access in high throughput as well.

Speaker 12

That's very clear. Thanks, Mats. And one for you as well, Paul. Kind of given where the stock is trading and also your cash position you talked about in the presentation, what are your thoughts on potential buybacks?

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Good question, Eirik. Very fair question. I think firstly, the priorities for use of cash are, one, obviously always start with organic investment into the business. Two, we have talked in the past and continue to consider inorganic opportunities. And then you are quite right to say that none of those are neither of those are necessarily mutually exclusive with considering some form of return of cash. And for those of you who have known me for a while, you'll know that in previous companies, that is something I've actively pursued. So, so no decision has been made by the board at this stage, but, but rest assured, your question is on our agenda, Eirik, and we'll say more in due course.

Speaker 12

Perfect. Thanks, Paul, and thanks once again.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Thank you, Eirik. Moving on to Samir, if you could please unmute yourself.

Speaker 4

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. Just wanted to check on the pipeline, which I think is still growing. Just wanted to understand, at what point you consider it as part of your pipeline, whether it is pre-sales or early discussions? And let's say if discussions have stalled for months, do you take it out of your pipeline or still, is it still there? Thanks.

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

So we include a project within our pipeline when there is a concrete project being talked about, i.e., a concrete warehouse that either is to be retrofitted or is to be built. If the decision of the customer is that they're gonna stay manual for a while, we take it out of the pipeline. So if you look at the longer time horizon, we have many examples of situations where we've taken a customer out of pipeline, and they've come back a couple of years later when they're ready to invest in automation.

Speaker 4

... Yeah, okay, that's clear. Thanks.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Thank you. Let me check if there are any more hands raised. Luke, do you wanna try a third time? See if you can unmute yourself?

Speaker 13

Hello, can you hear me now?

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Yes, Luke, we can.

Speaker 13

Super. Sorry, sorry about that. My question is just on your adjusted EBITDA margin, which remains quite high. I'm just wondering how we should think about the future investment in your engineer base, because it does remain quite lean, particularly against one of your competitors. They're doing things like automating and picking, more automating on the outbound. I'm just wondering how comfortable we should be at, or whether you believe there should be an investment over the medium term in that engineer base? Thank you.

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

So, first of all, through the partner model that we operate, we have a broad engineering team that looks at these adjacencies as, and that enables us to integrate both inbound and outbound processes with the best-of-breed technologies that exist in the market. But of course, we've also said that we have an active look on the adjacencies that exist out there and do continuous make-by-partner evaluations, so it's definitely on our agenda.

Speaker 13

Okay. So just following up from the previous question that talked on share buyback, I'm just wondering how we should think about capital allocation going forwards, where your priorities are in terms of investment in the core technology versus distribution back to shareholders in a share buyback form?

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

Yeah. So our priorities, as I said, do remain first and foremost organic, cash flow supporting the development of the business for the long term. There is an inorganic potential as well. But as I said, not neither of those necessarily sit, and are mutually exclusive to, to returns of cash. We just haven't reached a firm conclusion on, on that as a board that I can share with you at this stage.

Speaker 13

Understood. Thank you very much.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Thank you, Luke. I do believe that that concludes the questions from the Teams audience. Unless Samir, you have another question? If so, please unmute yourself.

Speaker 4

No, no. Yeah, no question, that's just a legacy hand.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Okay.

Speaker 4

Sorry.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Fantastic. Then I think actually that then concludes the team's questions. We have received some written questions. Most of them have been answered already, but I do think there is one from Anil Patel: "Could you talk about the relative strength of the demand between high-throughput systems versus smaller systems, where price may be more of a factor? Have there been any changes in the competitive dynamics there?

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

So, as I mentioned, we have seen a lot of increase in demand on a pipeline basis, on a pitch basis in the high-throughput segment, but of course, standard segment has remained our strength. We've also ourselves released new products that help us compete even more effectively on the smaller systems with the Pio system that we have.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

Thank you. There is a question from Elvir Osighe: "Do you still have orders received in 2022 and 2021 in your backlog? If yes, how much, in percentage?

Paul Harrison
CFO, AutoStore

I'm not aware of any significant orders dating that far back.

Hiva Ghiri
Head of Investor Relations, AutoStore

No. And I think that is actually the questions that we didn't answer previously. So that concludes the Q&A session for Q2 2024. And I'll hand over the word to Mats for some final remarks.

Mats Hovland Vikse
CEO, AutoStore

Thanks a lot, Hiva. So first of all, I want to say thank you for spending time with us today, and there are some key takeaways that I want you to take home. So let me summarize some of those points. First of all, we are the pioneer and global leader in cubic storage, and we operate in a market that's still in its early stages of development. Even though more and more warehouses are automated, still only around 20% of warehouses globally are automated today, leaving plenty of space for growth. Within this market, we have a leading technology and a proven growth strategy with an efficient and scalable go-to-market model. And last, all of this has enabled a long track record of delivering strong revenue and growth at high margins.

So we are very excited and optimistic about our future and remain confident in our ability to continue delivering strong, profitable growth. Before we end, I would like to take this opportunity to warmly welcome you to our 2024 Capital Markets Day, which will take place on 18th September in Manchester in U.K. There, you'll get a chance to get a campus tour of the largest multi-tenant AutoStore facility, which picks more than 65 million units per year. You will also be able to hear from THG's COO, John Gallemore, and in addition to THG, you will also have the opportunity to hear from Mark Irvin, who's the Chief Supply Chain Officer at Best Buy, and learn more about how the investments in AutoStore helped revolutionize their supply chain network.

Finally, you'll also, of course, hear from our management team, who will take you through a range of important topics to help you form a medium-term view of our business. We do hope you will join us. Thank you.

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