Presentation. My name is Caroline, and I'll be your operator for today's event. Please note this call is being recorded, and for the duration of the call, your lines will be on listen-only mode. However, you'll have an opportunity to ask questions at the end of the call. This can be done by pressing star one on your telephone keypad to register your question. If you require assistance at any point, please press star zero, and you'll be connected to an operator. I will now hand over the call to your host, Mitra Hagen Negård, to begin today's conference. Thank you.
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the fourth quarter presentation for Gjensidige. This is Mitra Negård, and I am head of investor relations. As always, we will start with our CEO, Geir Holmgren, who will start with the highlights of the quarter, followed by our CFO, Jostein Amdal, who will run through the numbers in further detail. And we have plenty of time for a Q&A after that. Geir, please.
Thank you, Mitra, and good morning, everyone. Let us turn over to page two for comments on our fourth quarter results. The profit before tax was NOK 1,605 million. I'm very pleased to see that our strong efforts to improve results are gradually coming through. The general insurance service result was NOK 1,670 million, significantly up year on year thanks to continued strong growth, comprehensive measures, and improved profitability. Insurance revenue increased by almost 12%. The combined ratio declined to 83.3%, reflecting improvements in both the loss and cost ratios. Our investments generated returns of NOK 208 million, contributing to delivering a return on equity of 22.7%. Jostein will revert with more detailed comments on our results for the quarter. Turning to page three, and looking at the year as a whole, we delivered a pre-tax profit of NOK 6,823 million. We generated strong revenue growth of 11% last year.
Our combined ratio improved by 1.1 percentage points, 26%. This reflects robust operations and good progress in our cross-border measures to further enhance efficiency in distribution and claims handling processes. I'm very pleased that we have brought our cost ratios further down to 12.3% for the year. However, the elevated motor claims frequency and severity in Norway continued to put pressure on profitability, preventing us from delivering on our combined ratio target for the year. I am confident that our ongoing strong pricing measures will continue to improve profitability. We have a strong capital base. Our solvency ratio at year-end 2024 was 185%, at a higher end of our target range. Investment returns for the year were good, which, together with the results from our pension business, contributed to a return on equity of 22.7%. Let's turn to the next page for a few comments on the proposed dividend.
Our board has proposed total dividends of NOK 5 billion for the year, consisting of NOK 4.5 billion as regular dividend and NOK 500 million as a special dividend. The regular dividend is equivalent to NOK 9 per share, up almost 3% from 2023. The special dividend is equivalent to NOK 1 per share. From a Norwegian general insurance customer, this once again allows for distribution of a solid customer dividend from the foundation, Gjensidiges tiftelsen. The regular dividend corresponds to a payout ratio of 88% for the group. The proposal requires approval from the FSA since the total amount, including the special dividend, exceeds 100% of the net profit in Gjensidige Forsikring ASA. Based on the strong capital position for the group, we expect the application to be approved.
Our solvency ratio is at a good level, enabling us to maintain our S&P A rating, as well as providing us with sufficient financial flexibility. Our solid capital position also enables us to maintain a high and stable stream of regular dividends. Our dividend policy remains unchanged. We aim to pay high and stable nominal dividends with a payout ratio of at least 80% over time, and over time, we will also pay out excess capital. A few words about property insurance on page five. Claims frequency was lower in the quarter, reflecting more favorable weather conditions and fewer fires. As we have mentioned earlier, claims frequency for property insurance is highly prone to quarterly volatility. Claims inflation has developed in line with our forecast, and we expect it to stay at the current level for the next 12-18 months.
We monitor the situation closely and are prepared for changes, especially from currency movements and energy prices. We continue to increase prices and promote relevant initiatives regarding damage prevention to reflect the long-term impact of more frequent weather incidents. Average prices increased by 11% last year, and we are currently increasing prices with more than 16% going forward. Having this in mind, it is particularly encouraging to see that our customers remain loyal to us, and we continue to attract more customers. So, over to page six and a few words on motor insurance in Norway. Claims frequency was unchanged this quarter, reflecting more favorable driving conditions. If you try to adjust for these different driving conditions due to weather, we believe the underlying development was some 3% higher. Claims inflation has developed, as expected, up 6% this quarter.
Together with the shift towards more expensive type of losses, this resulted in lower underlying profitability for private motor in Norway. We expect claims frequency to remain high going forward. We forecast the increase in the repair cost to remain between 4%-7% over the next 12-18 months, starting at the higher end of range and gradually declining towards 4%. The claims mix varies depending on weather, driving behavior, and the mix of types of car in our portfolio. We have put through significant price increases, growing average premiums by more than 50% last year. We will increase prices further, currently with an average rate of 90%. I'm very encouraged to see that we are able to put through these significant and necessary price increases and that these measures are gradually improving profitability. Moving on to page seven.
The strong growth momentum in private continued in the fourth quarter. It is very encouraging to see continued high retention in Norway and a further improvement in Denmark. We have put strong efforts into the transfer of best practice across borders. We have improved digital customer solutions, announced implementation of the new core IT system in Denmark, and increased the use of advanced technology. These efforts, together with the pricing measures, resulted in 13% higher distribution efficiency in 2024. We will continue implementing measures to further improve this important parameter, aiming for a 25% increase in 2026. I'm very pleased to see high profitability for private Norway compared with the fourth quarter in 2023. Private Denmark showed lower profitability. We will continue to implement targeted measures to further improve profitability. Our commercial segment continued to grow strongly.
Retention remained high in Norway, while in Denmark, retention declined due to pricing measures. We are very satisfied with the general renewals and portfolio development in Denmark and in Norway. Price increases are the main drivers for growth in Norway. In Denmark, the renewals reflect pricing measures and good access to new business. Profitability for commercial in Norway improved in the quarter, while in Denmark, it declined. We see the need to continue raising prices and have a strong focus on efficient operations. Our Swedish operations are progressing well with improved profitability, thanks to better risk selection and price increases, as well as efficiency measures. The top line remained broadly unchanged, reflecting lower volumes due to price increases. As mentioned before, we are prepared to sacrifice volume to achieve good profitability. We have recently concluded renewals of the largest part of our reinsurance programs.
We are pleased with having renewed the capacity we required with unchanged retention levels. Reinsurance premiums constitute only around 2% of our premium income, and in the renewal, we saw premium increases in general, reflecting our own increase in exposure without any increase in margin. Over to page eight, and we're happy to see our strong sustainability efforts through 2024 and the strong recognition of our progress in this field, as you can see on the slide. We are deeply engaged in damage prevention by supporting and promoting relevant initiatives and holding a close dialogue with key stakeholders. It is rewarding to see that our efforts are both creating customer satisfaction and business value, while also supporting our strong sustainability ambitions. We are convinced that we can make a difference, being the largest insurance player in Norway.
We are particularly encouraged by the result from applying sensor technology in homes and buildings, and we see great value in partnerships that can support us in sharing knowledge on climate risk with customers. The purpose is to motivate them to take appropriate measures to reduce the risk and extent of damage. With that, I will leave the word to Jostein to present the fourth quarter results in more detail.
Thank you, Geir, and good morning, everybody. I will start on page 10. As Geir mentioned, we delivered a profit before tax of NOK 1,605 million in the fourth quarter. The insurance service result increased significantly to NOK 1,670 million, driven by continued strong top line growth and a lower loss ratio. A further decrease in the cost ratio also contributed to higher results. Private and commercial in Norway, as well as Sweden, showed high results in the quarter. I'm very pleased to see the improvement for property insurance in Norway, although we bear in mind the inherent volatility in claims for this product. Motor insurance in Norway showed higher profitability due to more benign weather conditions and reserve adjustments. The positive impact from the ongoing pricing measures is higher than the expected increase in claims, and this will gradually improve profitability as premiums are earned.
The results in private Denmark were negatively impacted by strengthened reserves from claims earlier in the year, but the results are not satisfactory even if we adjust for this. We'll continue with targeted measures to enhance the results, addressing both cost and loss ratios. Commercial Denmark also showed a lower insurance result. The January renewals are encouraging, and we expect our ongoing pricing and efficiency measures to gradually improve results. The pension segment showed good performance, although the reported pre-tax result was a loss of NOK 58 million as a result of higher interest rates during the quarter. The net result from our investment portfolios amounted to NOK 138 million in the quarter. We see good progress in our mobility services, driving the improvement in the other items line in this quarter. The result from our Baltic business is recorded as discontinued operations, pending regulatory approval for the sale.
The result reflects a significant improvement in the insurance result, but lower net investment income. We expect to close the transaction at the latest by the beginning of 2026. Turning over to page 11. Our strong growth continued in the fourth quarter, with the insurance revenues increasing by more than 11%. Growth in private was driven by both Norway and Denmark. The increase in Norway reflects mainly price increases in all main product lines, while the Danish private portfolio also had some volume growth, both organically and from the acquisition of PenSam in 2023. Revenues for commercial continued to rise significantly, driven by both our Norwegian and Danish portfolios. Growth in Norway was primarily driven by price increases for all products, solid renewals, and some volume growth. Premium accruals in the quarter also contributed to the increase.
Growth in Denmark was driven by price increases for all main products and higher volumes for some products. Revenues in Sweden increased, however, when adjusting for a premium correction. Insurance revenue was broadly unchanged, reflecting lower volumes as a result of ongoing pricing measures. As mentioned before, we are repricing to achieve satisfactory profitability and will accept negative volume development if necessary. Now turning over to page 12. The group's loss ratio improved by 8.2 percentage points this quarter, mainly reflecting improvement in the underlying frequency loss ratio. Adjusted for weather-related claims in Norway in the fourth quarter of 2023, the loss ratio improved by 7 percentage points, driven by private and commercial in Norway and Sweden. Similarly, the underlying frequency loss ratio improved by 4.8 percentage points. The ongoing pricing measures will continue to improve profitability over time.
However, bear in mind that the implemented pricing measures take time to get fully reflected in the accounts and that quarterly volatility in claim frequency and severity will impact results also in the future. Let's turn to page 13. We have managed to bring our cost ratio further down to a very competitive level of 12.2%. The improvement of 0.4 percentage points was driven by commercial in Norway, private in Denmark, and our Swedish operations. We have a cost level both in Q4 and for the year as a whole well below our targets, leaving us room to continue to invest further, both to improve operational efficiency and solutions for our customers. Over to slide 14 for comments on our pension operations. The results were good, although based on IFRS 17, the pre-tax result was a loss.
Adjusting for the change in the contractual service margin, the pension business generated a pre-tax profit of NOK 37 million. The insurance result was positive and increased significantly, reflecting the strengthening of provisions in 2023 and higher reinsurance income for occupational pension last year. The negative pre-tax result was driven by net finance income, which was negative due to higher interest rates in the quarter. Results for our unit-linked business continued to increase due to a larger customer base and higher assets under management. During the year, the number of occupational pension members rose by around 4%, and assets under management grew by 26% to NOK 87 billion. Moving on to the investment portfolio on page 15. Our investment portfolio generated positive returns for all asset classes in the quarter.
The matched portfolio, net of unwinding and the impact of changes in financial assumptions returned around 10 basis points, mainly reflecting lower credit spreads and the fact that the investments did not fully match the accounting-based technical provisions. Our current fixed income exposure in the matched portfolio has a credit spread of 40 basis points, equivalent to an annual return of NOK 150 million given the current size of the portfolio. The risk in our free portfolio was broadly unchanged compared with the end of the third quarter. We have a balanced portfolio and solid fixed income investments, with the large majority having an investment-grade rating. The portfolio returned 40 basis points, reflecting positive returns from high running yields, lower credit spreads, and positive equity markets. Higher interest rates had a negative impact on the results. We invested NOK 1.1 billion in two commercial properties in Oslo during the quarter.
These are modern and energy-efficient office buildings classified as BREEAM Excellent, with high-quality tenants. These commercial properties are long-term investments and fit well in our investment portfolio. A few words on the latest development for operational targets on slide 16. Customer satisfaction is at a very high level, although it came slightly down this quarter, mainly in Private Norway. We will continue to identify measures and take steps to maintain a strong customer offering and achieve a customer satisfaction index above 78 for the group. Retention in Norway remained high and stable. Retention outside Norway declined slightly, driven by Commercial in Denmark, Private in Denmark, and Sweden showed an improved retention. The improvement in the digital distribution index reflects an increase in all components of the index, with digital sales showing the highest increase. As Geir mentioned, distribution efficiency in Private is progressing well.
Digital claims increased during the quarter, driven by Norway and Sweden. Automated claims also improved in the quarter. Over to page 17. We had a Solvency Ratio of 185% at the end of the quarter, up 21 percentage points from Q3. Solvency II operating earnings and returns from the Free Portfolio contributed positively to eligible own funds. The proposed dividend, less deductions earlier in the year, reduced own funds. The Tier 2 loan we issued in October increased eligible funds by around NOK 250 million. The total issue amount was NOK 900 million. Eligibility of Tier 2 loans is restricted by the total capital requirement. We expect the remaining part of the loan to be fully eligible over time as growth drives the capital requirement. The capital requirement decreased by approximately NOK 1.2 billion, mainly reflecting the approval of the storm risk modeling, which we obtained from the FSA in November last year.
I'll hand the word back to Geir.
Thank you, Jostein. To sum up on page 18, our strong growth momentum is very encouraging, and we are very pleased to see that our strong efforts have resulted in improved profitability in the fourth quarter for Norway in particular. 2024 was challenging in terms of elevated claims costs for motor and property insurance in Norway. We continue to implement targeted measures to further improve profitability for the group. We are confident to deliver on our targets for the next two years. We will continue to focus on profitable growth and further improve operational efficiency, which together with our strong product offering should bode well for continued solid results and attractive returns. Finally, on page 19, as mentioned, we have good progress with our cross-border initiatives.
We announced a cost savings program for our claims processes back at our capital markets day in 2023. We will be hosting a webinar on the 11th of March, where we will provide you with an update on the measures and results so far. We will send out a release with further details shortly, but in the meantime, save this date, and with that, we will now open the Q&A sessions of this presentation. Thank you.
Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. We kindly request you to limit one question per person. We will take the first question from line Johan Ström from Carnegie. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Good morning, and thanks for taking my question. So the Norwegian results are obviously very strong and probably caught most of us by surprise. I guess it's only natural to assume some improvements going forward, given that this is a winter quarter. But how should we think about the near-term margins here? I mean, the combined ratio in private and commercial Norway was as low as 70%-78% in Q4. And the profitability charts that you continue to show on motor and property on page, is it five and six? Clearly shows that margin could, maybe should continue to expand. And so, I guess my question is really, was Q4 a very benign period, or should we expect the combined ratio to improve also from here? Thank you.
Hi, all. It's, I think we'll refer to the financial targets where we for the whole year of 2024 delivered 86%, and we have a target of below 84% in 2025 and below 82% in 2026, which is as far as we go in terms of speaking about the future results. As I mentioned in my comments, the pricing increases we have talked about repeatedly in several quarters, especially motor and property, are starting to get solid traction, and we have raised the bar somewhat with the pricing measures we are implementing now. These are, of course, not fully earned in the accounts, and the really good thing for us is that we see that these pricing measures are implemented in the portfolio without any significant increase in churn. And that's a good visibility around that.
And then, of course, there is volatility in the claims picture, which we just have to monitor going forward.
Thank you. We will take the next question from line Jan Erik from ABG. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Thank you for taking my question. How many of your clients have still, do you receive the sort of updated pricing for motor and property? Because I got about 20% now from my insurance company, which was not you this time around, and I'm now looking for a new provider and see if there are any more better prices there. So how many clients are still not seeing the sort of super high levels, which could sort of come to your retention level, which could then be a little bit softer than usual today?
I think the main answer here, Jan Erik, is that all the price increases are distributed throughout the whole year, and especially in the private segment, of course. We do have renewals on an ongoing basis, not any period, which is particular. So it's more equally distributed throughout the whole year, and as you know, we started with price hikes 18 months ago, but the average premium increase for motor last year was above 10% and started with more significant price increases. I think it was back in second, third quarter last year, and the general answer is that it's equally distributed, and over a two-year period, you will have price hikes on average, probably about 30%.
Thank you. We will take the next question from the line of Thomas Svendsen from SEB. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Yes, good morning. So if you look at the weather in Q4, there seemed to be low precipitation in the quarter, which seems to have continued into Q1 as well, which gives very little snow in the mountains. So could this be sort of a leading indicator for the risk of flooding later in the year, this low amount of snow?
We are still early in the year. It's still January. It could be still more snow and later on rain. It's too early to give that kind of indication, I would say. If you look at the last two years, we haven't actually had a problem when it comes to floods in springtime, but it can vary over years.
No, it's far too early.
Thank you. We will take the next question from line David Taranto from Bank of America. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Hello. Thanks for taking my question. Can I just come back on the guidance, please? So you're delivering close to 83, and whichever way we got it on an underlying basis, undiscounted or not, you're around that level in Q4. And what you suggested at the front of the slide deck is your pricing kind of double digits ahead of claims inflation, and frequency seems to be heading the right way. So what makes you, I guess, more cautious on being able to beat your 25 guidance, which seems pretty clear at this stage based on all the data you've published today? Thank you.
I think, as I said on the first question, that we are confident about reaching the whole year 2025 and 2026 targets on the combined ratio, but we're starting at 86% for the whole year of 2024, so we still need to be wary that there is quarterly volatility in the claims picture, both weather-related otherwise in Scandinavia and the rest of the world, I guess.
Thank you. We will take the next question from line Håkon Astrup from DNB. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Good morning. Thank you for taking the question. My question will also be on the motor in private, motor in Norway. So you mentioned you are increasing prices there by 19% from January 1st. Is your impression that you are, say, increasing pricing in line with peers, or are you more aggressive on pricing?
We don't have exact numbers when it comes to what our peers are doing, but we are pleased that we started early with all the repricing 18 months ago, repricing above the inflation. I think that was at the right time, and it could probably be one quarter earlier, but probably starting with the price hikes in Norway when it comes to motor. As a market leader, we are also responsible for doing that. That's my opinion. We are following this development closely. We see that our retention rates are still high, but that's more due to the total value proposition and customer dividend and high customer loyalty and brand recognition.
So we see that the price hikes come through, and I don't have the impression that we are somewhat below all the price hikes you are seeing in the market, but it's difficult to give an exact answer on that.
Thank you. We will take the next question from line Emmanuel Mounier from Citi. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Hello, hi. Thanks for taking my question. I have a couple of questions. The first one is on inflation, and I was wondering whether you would be able to give an indication of the direction of travel of inflation in the quarter, and the second one is on solvency. It appears from your slides that you had an 18 percentage point benefit from other changes. You already flagged a NOK 1.3 billion reduction in SER driven by the introduction of the partial internal model for wind. I mean, it looks like 18 percentage points is higher than what I was expecting. If you can help me reconcile that, please.
Okay, thank you. Can I start with the inflation? Last quarter, property in Norway, 5% actual inflation. We expect inflation going forward, 4%-6%. And as you know, when it comes to property, it's like 25% material cost and 75% labor cost. And the labor costs are more fixed, to put it that way, and more stable. And we have more exact numbers, which we also can give more precise forecasts on longer terms. When it comes to motor, actual inflation last quarter, 6%, and we expect for the next 12 to 18 months, 4%-7%, but closer to 7% in the short term. Yes, on solvency, you stand?
Yes. The storm model as such is NOK 1.3 billion. Then, of course, after the end of Q3, we also took up a Tier 2 loan. So it's plus, of course, that results have been good in the fourth quarter. So it's a combination of all those things. If you look just at kind of what's generated through the business, through operating solvency earnings and Free Portfolio, it's close to NOK 2 billion there. I think that together with the storm model is the main drivers.
Thank you. We will take the next question from line Alex McKenzie from BNP Paribas. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Thanks for taking my question. It's really just on the price increases in motor and private Norway and in home as well. I guess I was quite surprised at the level. Do you think these are what are required to return yourself to where profitability sort of typically is, or just wondering if there's a chance that they overshoot? Thank you.
If you look at our financial targets, we are aiming for below 82% when it comes to combined ratio in 2026. I think, and what we have seen in the last quarter, we have a very good revenue growth, which also is necessary to improve profitability and to meet the financial targets. Seeing that revenue growth, we are confident to meet targets the next two years. But it also leads to improving profitability from the situation we have seen last year.
Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please sign up by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. We will take the next question from line Hans Rettedal from Danske Bank. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Hello, and thank you for taking my question. I was wondering if we could look at the private Danish segment. I have a question regarding the private Danish segment, specifically regarding the sort of over the past three-to-four quarters now, it's been progressively becoming worse when it comes to the combined ratio. How do you sort of plan to fix that trend, especially when we also take into account the fact that your price increases there are quite high, but it doesn't seem to sort of be improving the combined ratio in the same manner as we see in the Norwegian operations?
Yeah. I can start with your question, and then Jostein, we'll continue. We are not satisfied with the results in the Danish business. We have to improve the profitability. We see that both on risk selection and when it comes to cost efficiency. We have measures to improve the profitability. In the last quarter, we have some reserve strengthening and some other topics which had an impact on the combined ratio for the Danish private business. But I have to be clear on that we are not satisfied, and we are having measures to improve the profitability both on the risk selection and on the cost side. Jostein.
Right. If you look at the combined ratio excluding runoff for the quarter versus the whole year, I mean, I agree with the start of the question that there is some negative development during the year. The fourth quarter is slightly worse than the whole year. But there is also in the fourth quarter some reserve strengthening. So I would describe it more as a flat development. Nevertheless, it should have been a positive development, of course, because we saw these problems coming into the quarter. So we need to step up on the pricing side, and we need to also look at the whole business in terms of operational efficiency.
Thank you. We will take the next question from line Rene Fløystøl from Mediobanca. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Yes, good morning. Thank you. So just one quick follow-up, and then I'll come to my question. We noticed the corporate center has a pretty large negative charge in the runoff slide. In fact, the same thing that you just mentioned for Denmark, that's just my clarification point, really. The question is really around private motor again. Really just two quick ones there. One is the 4.8 points of weather-adjusted underlying loss ratio or frequency loss ratio. Does that include adjustments for the good driving conditions when you say the weather? So that's my first question. And second thing is, in the claims inflation outlook for motor, are you not worried about spare parts and salaries of labor? Because that's what's being flagged as issues by one of your peers yesterday morning. Thank you.
Yeah. If you look at the corporate center first, what we in general do is take, as we move large losses, about NOK 10 million, sorry, about NOK 30 million, to the corporate center. Negative development on these specific cases will end up in the corporate center. So if you have large claims from earlier periods, earlier years that are developing negatively, that will hit the corporate center. I think that is kind of the main explanation for that on the run-off in the corporate center. I think that was your specific question, Rene. Weather? We do see Q4 as normal winter weather. It's hard to be very precise on that. It's definitely much better than Q4 last year in terms of driving conditions. And as I see it, kind of fairly normal driving conditions.
And your last question is about fear of claims inflation on spare parts and so on. Of course, these are 50% of the claims in motor are kind of related to materials. And of that 50%, a significant part is imported. So the Norwegian kroner development is absolutely relevant for that risk analysis. And of course, everything you can add to that of geopolitical risk in terms of supply chain and so on. But we don't have a specific risk on that right now. We have a fairly stable claims inflation picture as we see it. But I mean, of course, this could change.
Thank you. We will take the next question from line Ulrik Zürcher from Nordea. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Clearly, our retention ratio is super solid, but I was just wondering if you're seeing any trends of consumers starting to trade down on coverage, given price hikes also not only you, but in the market, or are you observing any other behavioral changes when it comes to insurance coverage?
No. We see that the top line growth is stable and as expected and high. We don't see any impacts coming from customers changing their insurance plan, reducing insurance terms, or terminating contracts. What we've seen before and what we see in the market, especially in the Nordics, is that people tend to keep their contracts and keep their insurance terms. So we also see that the top line growth is as expected and correlated to all the price increases we are doing at the moment. When it comes to retention, I can add we see somewhat higher, more frequent bid processes, especially in the commercial market and the broker segment during the last quarter.
That's usually something you see every year, but probably as we and together with other peers are increasing prices at significant levels at the moment, there have been an increase in the number of tender processes during the last few months, but as you see, the retention rates are still at a very high level, both in private segment and commercial segment for Nordea.
Thank you. We will take the next question from line Faizan Lakhani from HSBC. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning. Thank you for taking my call. I have two questions, if that's okay. The first one is on Private Norway. There's a comment in your pack suggesting that motor profitability would have deteriorated if you adjust the reserve strengthening you did last year. Could you maybe elaborate on what that would mean for the full Private Norway segment, not just motor? I assume it's fairly significant given the fact that motor is 40% of your book there. The second question is on your solvency and capital generation. So you said it's NOK 2 billion of operating capital generation when you adjust for Free Portfolio. Your net income under IFRS 17 is about 1.6. I know they're not on the same basis, but maybe if you could explain or bridge between the two of them. Thank you.
It's correct, as we said, that since kind of the premium increases in motor has been gradually stepped up, there is some time before everything is earned in the profit and loss account. So there are premium increases that are in the portfolio but not earned in accounts yet. And we are still not there where the loss ratio adjusted for everything kind of is improving. And that's why we are saying that we are increasing prices at 19%, higher than what we said at Q3. But private Norway as a whole, due to beneficial development within property, is positive even if you adjust for everything in quotation marks. So there is an underlying improvement, underlying everything. Solvency capital generation, as we state on the slide, in those NOK 2 billion approximately.
There is also, due to the Solvency II regulation, some seasonal effects because your premium provisions are including future profit in a way. And also it's discounted at a higher interest rate at the end of the fourth quarter than the third quarter. So there are some positive effects there, which is more of a technical nature as related to how Solvency II capital works.
Thank you. We will take the next question from line Arnon Solt from Pareto Securities. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Hi. Thank you. I just wondered if you could give us some more colors on the first January renewal in the commercial portfolio of Norway? I understand that exact figures are difficult, but in terms of what you saw of competition and retention levels compared to previous years, and please also confirm that these renewals are approximately 40% of the commercial portfolio. Thank you.
Yeah. Yeah. As I mentioned, the renewables in general for the commercial segment in Norway, approximately 40%, somewhat a little bit higher in Denmark. As I mentioned earlier, we have seen during the last quarter more tender processes in the commercial segment, especially on the broker side. And that's due to price increases we are doing and that we see all our peers are doing at the moment. But we are very pleased to see that our price increases are coming through, that the retention rates are high, and that we are having successful renewals also in January this year. And the retention numbers are more or less the same as we have seen in the first quarter last year and the last years.
Thank you. We have a follow-up question from line Thomas Svendsen from SEB. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Yes. Hello again. So you mentioned mobility services as an improvement result driver. So could you give us an update on where we are today and where we are heading in terms of results here?
It's an improvement. I mean, in the overall picture, we are still talking a fairly small part of the overall profits from this, but we are very pleased to see how we managed to slightly kind of turn around the old Falck roadside assistance, now RedGo from an operational perspective, and that is actually working very well, so it's a real good old-fashioned operational improvements that we are seeing, so that's there. Going forward, this will continue. We've invested in kind of better administrative systems and so on, so that is both in length of ground for further improvements and results as we move toward the next two years. We have said that.
Do you have another follow-up?
Yes, to complete Thomas. We said that we have a target of NOK 100 million in 2026. I think we are well on the way to reach that.
Yeah. And in addition, you have the synergy effects having a positive impact on the private segment when it comes to roadside assistance and so on, and how we are doing the claims handling processes, which are not shown in the results in the mobility business, but part of our claims expenses and costs in private segment Norway. And in addition, the toll road and the leads generated from the toll road company is working very well. And it's a high-quality lead generation for the private business in Norway.
Thank you. We have another follow-up question from line Alex McKenzie from BNP Paribas. The line is open now. Please go ahead.
Hi again. Yeah. I was just wondering if we could have a bit more detail on the competitive environment in Denmark, I guess, just given the M&A in the sector last year and the opportunity you see there. Just noting that, I guess, as mentioned earlier, we've seen sort of deteriorating profitability and increasing retention. Just are you confident in your ability to grow there and hit your NOK 750 million ISR target? Thank you.
I can probably start, and you can continue, Jostein. If you look at retention rates, we have improved retention rates for private business and weaker retention rates for the commercial segment, and that's also due to more tender processes also in the commercial segment through the broker channel in Denmark. The growth we have seen in Denmark is a combination of price increases and volume growth, and we see that competitiveness in the landscape are stable, I would say, compared to the last quarters, but of course, when it comes to year-end, you tend to have more processes, tender processes in the commercial segment.
In terms of reaching the 750, that's still a target which we are confident about reaching in line with the other financial targets we have set for 2026. Although results in Private Denmark were not satisfactory in 2024, we believe the trajectory is good, and with the measures we are also taking, this should lead to the 750 in 2026.
Thank you. It appears no further questions at this time. I'll hand it back over to your host for closing remarks.
Thank you. Thank you, everyone, for good questions. We will be participating in roadshow meetings during the next few weeks, starting with Oslo today. Please see our financial calendar on our website for more details. And with that, thank you for your attention and have a nice day.