Bank Leumi le-Israel B.M. (TLV:LUMI)
Israel flag Israel · Delayed Price · Currency is ILS · Price in ILA
7,786.00
-104.00 (-1.32%)
May 8, 2026, 1:48 PM IDT
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Earnings Call: Q4 2025

Mar 4, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Leumi's fourth quarter 2025 results conference call. All participants are at present in a listen-only mode. Following management's presentation, instructions will be given for the question and answer session. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded March fourth, 2026. I would like to remind everyone that forward-looking statements for the respective company's business, financial conditions and results of its operations are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated.

Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to product demand, pricing, market acceptance, changing economic conditions, risk in product and technology development, and the effect of the company's accounting policies, as well as certain other risk factors which are detailed from time to time in the company's filings with the various securities authorities. I would now like to turn over the call to Mr. Michael Klahr, Head of Investor Relations. Mr. Klahr, please go ahead.

Irit Avissar
VP, Head of Investor Relations, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining Bank Leumi's fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results webcast. Joining me today are Leumi's CEO, Mr. Hanan Friedman, and Leumi's CFO, Miss Hagit Argov. Following their remarks, we will open the session for a Q&A. Hanan, please go ahead. The floor is yours.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Thank you, Irit. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining Leumi's annual results conference call. Before turning to our strategy and reviewing our 2025 financial results, let me briefly address the current situation in our region. Five days ago, the United States and Israel initiated a coordinated military operation against Iran. Bank Leumi entered this war from a position of strength with a solid capital buffers and high liquidity.

The bank continues to operate almost as usual, supported by robust business continuity plans and disciplined risk management. At this stage, we do not see any material impact on the bank's financial position. We continue to closely monitor developments and ready to deal with any request of our customers. Now allow me to turn to our strategy and the key drivers of our 2025 performance and our plans for 2026 and ahead.

For many years, the prevailing belief in the banking sector was that growth strategy requires a continuous expansion of the workforce, great risk-taking, and inevitable credit losses. We at Leumi fundamentally challenge this paradigm. Over the past few years, we have redefined what disciplined growth means. Leveraging technology enabled us to execute sustainable and healthy growth.

We did this while keeping strict risk management and did much more with even much fewer resources. We also got much better results in all aspects: credit portfolio quality, efficiency, and customer satisfaction. We are accelerating our strategy by leveraging innovative AI tools that have the potential to reshape our cost structure and our business and technology capabilities. We view AI not as a temporary efficiency tool, but as a long-term strategic asset.

We have benefited from the rapid journey we held over the last years to the cloud and from the transformation of many of our technology platforms. To ensure execution and faster execution, we established a dedicated AI center last year. Looking ahead, we are focused on the transition towards Agentic AI systems that are capable to ensure proactive real-time execution rather than just data analysis. This shift is aimed at providing hyper-personalized products and a proactive real-time service model. It will accelerate the service shift the bank has led in recent years. Furthermore, we'll integrate AI tools into high-impact core functions, including underwriting, credit portfolio management, product management, and customer journeys, and probably with even more powerful impact to rapid and effective software development with much less resources and much shorter time to market and with, of course, much greater product innovation.

Leumi holds several structural advantage in this field. First, our AI leadership report directly to me, ensuring that development is a top-down strategic priority. Second, our advanced cloud and data architecture provide the necessary foundation for scaling these tools efficiently. Finally, our access to Israeli premier technology talent is a critical advantage in our ability to execute and to execute fast. We intend to lead this transformation and not to follow, just as we have led the digital revolution of the Israeli banking system in recent years. Our financial results for 2025 validate this approach once again. Despite the significant challenges Israel has faced over the past year, we delivered record profits, the highest in our history. This performance reflects the strengths of a strategy built on structural efficiency, technological transformation, and effective risk management.

I am proud to share that we met, and in several areas even exceeded, the ambitious strategic targets we set and published a year ago. Our net profit reached to ILS 10.3 billion within the ILS 9 billion-ILS 11 billion range we defined. ROE was 15.8%, fully aligned with our 15%-16% target that we published a year ago. In addition, we achieved a responsible credit growth of 14% above our 8%-10% target, leveraging opportunities we picked during the year. More importantly, this accelerated growth was achieved while further strengthening our credit quality. Our NPL, the Non-Performing Loans ratio, declined to 0.44%, positioning us at a strong level by international standards. In other words, we are expanding above market pace while becoming structurally more resilient.

Today, we also announced a ILS 1.7 billion payout, mostly cash and partially buyback in respect of fourth quarter earnings. The total payout for 2025 summed to ILS 5.9 billion, almost ILS 6 billion. This brings a full-year capital return of 58% of net income, fully consist with our strategic capital framework that was above 15% payout. Dividend yield reached to 6.5% in 2025. Our efficiency ratio improved further to 29.3%, placing us among the most efficient banks globally. This is the direct results of our multi-year technological transformation and our clear strategy to do much more with fewer resources. As I mentioned, even with much fewer resources. Our AI center will enable us to accelerate this transformation over the coming years and to do even better.

The consistent execution of our strategy and the strengths of our results are reflected in continued investor confidence. Several months ago, we became the first Israeli company traded on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange to surpass a market cap of 100 billion ILS. Earlier this year, we also became the first Israeli bank to issue covered bonds in the European market, raising 750 million EUR. These bonds were rated above Israel's sovereign credit rating and were priced at a lower interest rate, reflecting sustained confidence in the bank among international investors, many of them are first time investing in Bank Leumi and in Israel. This transaction further diversified our funding base and strengthened our access to global capital markets. Looking forward to 2026, Bank of Israel recently revised its growth forecast to the Israeli economy upward to 5.2%.

As Israel's leading bank, we expect to play a meaningful role in supporting this economic expansion and to be benefited from that. Today, alongside our financial results, we also released our updated financial targets for 2026 and now for 2027 as well, including raising of our net profit forecast to ILS 10 billion-ILS 12 billion per year. Accordingly, we have adjusted our ROE targets for 2026 and for 2027 to 14.5%-16% in line with our capital surplus. Despite the expectation of declining interest rates and diminishing inflation, we are confident in our ability to maintain high profitability. The positive macro environment combined with our ongoing integration of advanced AI and technology provides a strong foundation for continued acceleration growth and value creation for our shareholders.

Our targets are to a capital return of 50%-65% on an annual basis and annual credit growth of 8%-10%. A meaningful portion of credit expansion will come from infrastructure financing, project finance, an important segment supported by a visible and growing multi-year pipeline. At Bank Leumi, we have identified this sector as a strategic growth engine. Accordingly, we have allocated the necessary resources and intend to continue leading the financing in this field. In addition, we'll continue to focus our growth on strategic segments such as real estate, retail mortgages, and retail banking.

I want to comment, as we have proved in the past, growth will not come at the expense of returns or credit quality. We'll do both of them. Discipline remains the foundation of our business model. I would like to take this opportunity and thank our board members, my colleagues in the management team of Bank Leumi, our dedicated employees, our customers, and of course you, our investors, for your continued trust and support. I will now ask Mrs. Hagit Argov, our CFO, to walk us through the financial results in more details. Please, Hagit.

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Thank you, Hanan. As you mentioned, we are living in very challenging and dynamic times. Good day, everyone. I'm very pleased to be here with you today and to present our strong results for the first quarter and an excellent full year, 2025. Before we dive into the numbers, I'd like to share a few words on the macroeconomic environment, which relates mainly to 2025 and our last forecast for 2026, which was made before the outbreak of the present conflict. As Hanan mentioned, we are continuing to monitor the situation closely. Let's move to the next slide, which highlights the very positive key macro indicators. Economic activity continued to expand in Q4 2025. Throughout 2025, Israel's market-based risk indicators improved all across the board.

This includes a decline of Israel's CDS spread, Israel's id, yield differentials, the strengthening of the shekel, and strong performance of the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange. The labor market remains tight, with the 2025 unemployment rate at 2.9%, a historically low level. Inflation stabilized in 2025 at 2.6% year-over-year and declined to 1.8% in January 2026 in annual terms. It is expected to remain within the Bank of Israel price stability target range of 1%-3% throughout 2026. In January this year, the Bank of Israel updated its estimation on the real GDP growth to 5.2% for 2026 in light of the continued economic recovery in the last 2 quarters of 2025.

Regarding the latest events with Iran in the macro environment, as Hanan mentioned, this event will have both short-term and long-term economic impacts. We are monitoring them closely and remain optimistic. Moving on to the next slide, which provides our financial highlights for the especially strong full year and first quarter results. First, as mentioned earlier by Hanan, we successfully achieved the targets we set at the beginning of the year and exceeded our annual net loan growth target. Net income for 2025 was ILS 10.3 billion, an all-time high performance for the bank. ROE was 15.8%. Our excess capital remains high, amounting to ILS 10 billion. I must point out that if the excess capital were reduced to the bank's internal CET1 target, the ROE for 2025 would have been 17.9%.

Driven by effective cost management and our advanced digital technology and AI, our cost-to-income ratio was 29.3%. It continues to lead the Israeli banking sector and is among the best globally. Net loans grew nicely and were up 14.1% in 2025, exceeding the annual target as mentioned earlier. This was supported by continued demand, mainly from the corporate sector, including infrastructure and real estate, as well as mortgages, commercial, and capital market segment. At the same time, it is important to note that we continued to improve our credit quality metrics, and they have been consistently among the best in the sector for several years. Credit loss expenses ratio was 0.09%, reflecting the positive development in the geopolitical and macro environment and the improvement of our credit quality metrics.

The book value per share increased impressively by 12% year-over-year to almost ILS 46. Looking at the first quarter on the right, net income was ILS 2.55 billion. ROE was 15.1%, and when normalized to our CET1 internal target, the ROE would stand at 16.8%. The credit portfolio increased by 5% over the previous quarter, mainly driven by continued demand from the corporate real estate and capital market segment. Let me elaborate on breakdown of income and expenses for the full year. Net interest income increased by 2.1% year-over-year, supported by higher volumes. This was partly offset by lower CPI effects. Non-interest income was down mainly due to lower income from derivatives that hedge our securities portfolio.

As a reminder, for accounting reasons, the cost of the derivatives is recorded in the P&L while the gains in the bank securities portfolio are recorded directly in the equity account. Overall, finance income was up 0.9% year-over-year. Fees grew strongly by 6.8%. Excluding customer benefits provided under the Bank of Israel program launched in April 2025, fee income increased 10.7% year-over-year. Expenses declined mainly due to a decrease in salary cost of 7.4%. This was partly offset by higher expenses related to capital market activity due to higher volumes. As a result of the above, profit after tax, bottom right, increased year-over-year by 5%. A brief view of the next slide that summarizes our results for the quarter. Net interest income in the first quarter was similar to the same period last year.

The impact of lower CPI was offset by strong growth in both loans and deposits. Non-interest income decreased due to a lower income from derivative year-over-year, while the gains of the portfolio were recorded directly to equity, as I mentioned before. Fees increased by 7.8% year-over-year and excluding benefit to customer by 9.7%, mainly driven by financial transactions and securities fees. Salary costs were down 5.7% and overall expenses decreased by 0.8% compared with Q4, 2024. Profit after tax increased by 5.5% year-over-year. Moving to the quarterly development of net interest income and NIM. In the first quarter, net interest income and NIM were affected by a negative CPI, as well as by reductions in the Bank of Israel and the Fed interest rates. Excluding CPI impact, NIM improved over the previous quarter.

This was driven by lower costs of deposits due to their favorable mix. Let's turn to another key metric, highlighting our fee and commission income. Fee were up 6.8% for the full year in 2025, excluding benefits to customers were up 10.7%. In the first quarter, fees were up 7.8% compared with Q4 2024, excluding benefits to customers were up 9.7%. This was mainly due to higher financial and securities transactions. Turning to the next slide, where we clearly see the bank's continuing improvement in our excellent multi-year cost-to-income ratio. In 2025, once again, we proudly delivered among the strongest cost-to-income ratios in the sector of 29.3%. It was driven by an ongoing cost control, reflecting the impact of our sustained multi-year investment in technology.

Turning to the development of credit loss provisions. For the past eight quarters, we have recorded an income from specific provisions, which reflects our high-quality credit portfolio. Collective provisions reflect an improvement in the macro environment and in our credit quality indicators. Overall, on an annual basis, total loan loss expenses were 0.09% of gross loans compared with 0.16% in the previous year, while maintaining our strong coverage ratio. The slide presents the high quality of our credit portfolio. Despite strong credit growth, asset quality improved further. Non-Performing Loans declined to 0.4%, and troubled debts decreased to 1.24% of gross loans. We maintain a strong coverage ratio while the bank's provisions for bad debts covers NPLs by 3.2 x. These parameters remain the strongest in the banking sector.

Now we turn to our strong credit growth. In 2025, net loans increased by 14.1%, outperforming our strategic annual target. Main growth engines this year were the corporate sector, consisting mainly of infrastructure, real estate, and commercial credit, along with capital market and mortgages. In Q4, the credit grew by 5%, with growth coming from corporate, including real estate and capital markets. The next slide shows the bank's diversified deposit base. Total deposits were up 11.1% in 2025, while deposits from private individuals grew by 0.5%. Liquidity ratios remained robust, with the Liquidity Coverage Ratio at 127%, well above the regulatory requirement of 100%. We also maintain a healthy loan-to-deposit ratio of 75.7%. Let's now move on to our strong capital and leverage ratios.

The Core Tier 1 ratio was 12.05% compared with 12.33% in the previous quarter, mainly due to higher activity. The bank's capital buffer now stand at ILS 10 billion. The total capital ratio was at 14.08% above the bank minimum requirement of 13.5% after making an early redemption of Tier two subordinated notes in the US dollar. Turning to the next slide, we see the bank's capital return. For the first quarter, Leumi declared a total payout of ILS 1.7 billion, of which ILS 1.3 billion is a cash dividend and the rest in buyback. This represents 65% of the quarterly net profit.

The total capital return for the full year of 2025 was ILS 5.9 billion, reflecting 58% of the annual net profit and the dividend yield of 6.5% based on the average share price. The board approved an updated dividend policy of the bank, according to which the total payout ratio would be between 50%-65% of the quarterly net profit. Up to 50% of the profit is a cash dividend. Let me just summarize our presentation. The bank continues to present consistent and strong financial performance with high ROE. We are very proud to state that our digital transformation, powered by advanced AI capabilities, continues to drive structural efficiency gains. Above 90% of all our customer transactions are carried out through digital platforms.

Our best cost-to-income ratio is a direct outcome of our advanced technology and AI, along with our strict discipline on costs, and is the leading cost-to-income ratio among Israeli banks and probably among the most efficiency globally. The bank's strong profitability and LC capital buffer enable us to continue growing in our target segment and also allow us to share higher returns with shareholders through dividends and our buyback program. Let me conclude with one final point. We are more than sure that going forward, we will continue achieving our targets and leading the AI transformation in the banking sector. With that, I will now open the call for questions. Operator?

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we'll begin the question and answer session. In order to ask a question, use the Raise Hand button located at the bottom of your screen. Please state your full name and your company's name before asking the question. The first question is from Chris Riner. Please go ahead.

Chris Riner
Analyst, Barclays

From Barclays.

Operator

Chris, can you hear us?

Chris Riner
Analyst, Barclays

Yes. Can you hear me?

Operator

Yes.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Hard to hear you.

Chris Riner
Analyst, Barclays

Thanks for taking my questions. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about what's driving your confidence around the strong loan growth targets?

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

All right. Thank you, Chris, for the question. The main factor is, of course, our ability to continue our growth strategy and our growth with keeping the right margins, the right ROE, and of course, the right limited risk appetite that we have. In the coming years, as I mentioned in my notes, in our pipeline, we have many infrastructure projects that we are financing large and maybe an even huge project finance, so we know well what we have in our pipeline for the coming years.

On top of it, as we know, and we have deep knowledge of the Israeli economy, in the coming years, there will be huge investments in the infrastructure in Israel, power stations, data centers, destination centers, and of course, the largest is a huge transportation projects and the largest ever is the metro of the Tel Aviv area. We have the confidence that we will be able to increase our loan book even greater and then the growth of the Israeli GDP.

It's also worth to mention that the 5.2% focus of Bank of Israel is in real terms. If you add to that the expected inflation, it's at least 2% above it. We are aiming to grow even greater, mainly from the segments that I mentioned. You know, the infrastructure is maybe the largest opportunity, but we have many others like real estate for residential projects and the mortgages.

Chris Riner
Analyst, Barclays

Thanks. That's great color. On expenses, you touched on the benefits from AI. Given the potential advantages, could we then potentially see year-on-year declines in expenses?

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Firstly, we declined our expenses this year despite all the challenges that we have and, you know, to run the bank with all the challenges that we experienced cost money. Even though we decrease our expenses, I want also to mention that in our long-term plans, we aim to close our operational division by mid 2027. Since we already implemented some AI projects and we finished it on time, we decided to close this division. Well, it was a quite large division of the bank at the end of 2025. The impact of that will be mainly in the coming years. The AI for us, as Hagit and I mentioned, is not just for cost saving.

It's mostly on top of the cost saving for having better business advantage among the competition, and on top of it, to be much more efficient in our technology investments. We already experienced in a few cases, not yet many, but enough to get the confidence that with AI tools, we could launch new technology projects and renovate our platforms much faster than in the past. In the past, you know, two projects that were planned for over a year, we finished within a matter of a month. This is just the beginning. I strongly believe that we could do much better in our technology investments, to reduce the expenses in one end and to have much more outcome in the other end.

Chris Riner
Analyst, Barclays

Thanks very much. That's great color. That's it for me.

Operator

The next question is from David Taranto. Please go ahead.

David Taranto
Analyst, Bank of America

Good afternoon. This is David Taranto with Bank of America. Thanks very much for the opportunity. I have four questions, please. The first one is on net interest margin. Core NIM, excluding the CPI, improved in this quarter. Could you please elaborate a bit on the key drivers here? During the presentation, you mentioned the positive dynamics on the deposit side, but what exactly drove the better loan spreads in this quarter? Was it the mix or repricing or any other thing? What I'm trying to understand is which of the drivers were structural rather than timing related.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

All right, Hagit.

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Regarding the NIM, in the first quarter, as I mentioned in my presentation, it was the mix of the deposits. As Hanan mentioned, we issued a covered bond, and we improved our deposits. It's also the interest rate that decreased in the first quarter and the additional driver is our growth in credit that give us a higher margin than other assets in the balance sheet.

David Taranto
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Thank you. That's clear. Second question is also on NIM. For 2026, should we assume relatively stronger NIM in the first half and somewhat softer in the second half as rates fall? How deposit competition and loan repricing shape the quarterly path for this year?

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Okay. Going forward, we believe that, at least we can maintain our NIM in the same level and even improve them, thanks to the decrease in the deposit cost. Also we believe that as Bank of Israel is the limits of the dividend, payout, the capital excess will be lower. I think that we can even improve the margins in the market.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Maybe one additional comment. In the last year, we onboard much more new customers than we onboarded in previous years. Now, it's a matter of timing till we receive their deposits and their current account, which is also, you know, is the best passive tool that we could receive from them. We are aiming to continue with this process. We invested a lot in order to become the bank with the highest customer satisfaction. According to Bank of Israel survey that was published three weeks ago, we became the number one in customer satisfactions among the large banks in Israel. We are aiming to collect the fruits of these investments.

We already collect some of the fruits, but we are aiming to collect much more fruits, and I mean mostly to have much more deposits and balances in the current account from these customers. This is an additional component. It's a matter of timing. Alongside with the topics that Hagit mentioned and alongside other initiatives that we are going to launch in order to win the competition in the deposit segments.

David Taranto
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you. The third question is on the macro expectations. Your 2026-2027 guidance assumes an average policy rate of 3.2%-3.7% according to presentation. Does that imply a trough around 3% end of this year and move back towards mid-3%-4% levels by the end of next year? If not, what year-end rates are you assuming in your guidance, please?

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

We include all these assumptions in our targets, and we think that we took into account all the, all the assumptions that you just mentioned. We monitor it closely in 2026 and 2027. It include those parameters.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

We detailed in the notes to the presentation and in our financials all the assumptions that we took in our calculation. It's there, so you could review it easily. If you have any further questions regarding that, of course, we could elaborate.

David Taranto
Analyst, Bank of America

All right. Thank you. Last question is on asset quality. With coverage ratios still well above historical norms and credit quality holding firm, is there a realistic scope for provision reversals over the coming quarters? Would such reversals require explicit regulator approval, or is it up to the management decision?

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

About the provisions, we still have large buffers in our collective provision due to the war that we had during the last two years. It really depends what happened going forward. Now we don't see any significant impacts that we need to increase these provisions, but we will monitor it. The regulator, I believe will not intervene if it will not be something significant. It really depends what happened.

David Taranto
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Thank you very much.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Thank you.

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from David Kaplan. Please go ahead.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

David, we cannot hear you.

Operator

David, can you press the unmute button? The next question is from Canberk Bening . Please go ahead.

Canberk Bening
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Hello. Can you hear me okay?

Operator

Yes.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yeah.

Canberk Bening
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Hello. This is Canberk Bening from Citi. Just a couple of questions, so thank you for taking them. First one is on the large excess capital amount. I'm just wondering. Obviously it's ILS 10 billion, and I know you have a normalized ROE ratio on your presentation, but I'm just wondering what are you going to do with this large excess capital amount? Is that included in the 50%-65% distribution target that you've given or is there gonna be an extraordinary dividend, perhaps in the next year?

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Thank you for the question. It's important question. First of all, when we announced the new dividend policy of 50%- 65%, it was also partially based on the fact that we have the ILS 10 billion surplus. Assuming, we will continue to produce around 15 and above percentage ROE and distribute, let's say a bit above half of it support a growth of greater than 10%. Because, you know, 30% of our loan book is mortgages with a much lower RWA.

Therefore, we expect that the ILS 10 billion will still be a large buffer that will have in one end adverse effect on our ROE, but in the other way give us the confidence that we will be able to pick opportunities along the way. Of course, we will have to deal with that, but we have to pick the right time and approach Bank of Israel with the relevant request to release this large amount. In the meantime, I think in the meantime and in the current macro environment that could create very nice opportunities for us, I think it's a bit too early.

Maybe, along the year, we will find the right time to deal with that with Bank of Israel and get, and receive their, approval to distribute at least the majority of it.

Canberk Bening
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

That's brilliant. Thank you. The second question is on credit growth. You've obviously got similar targets to the previous year. I'm just wondering, is there any specific areas of credit growth you're looking at in particular? For instance, in the last year, you've had strong credit growth in the corporate segment. I'm wondering if that's an area you're targeting again, or you're looking at mortgages or retail loans.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

I think that the largest opportunity and the largest credit growth potential will come from project finance. As I mentioned in my notes earlier, we established dedicated, very experienced team that deal with this very complicated, deals. The fact that the deals are a bit complicated with a need to have a deep understanding of the Israeli regulation and the mechanism of the market and the governmental requirements, it give us a advantage, because as you see in the...

All of the large project finance deals that were launched in the last I would say five years, I think, none of the international banks act as a, as the leader of the syndication. In the last year, in the vast majority of the cases, we were the leader of the syndication. Of course, it's give us a quite large opportunity to continue with our rapid growth. The risk here is quite remote because at the end of the day, most of the projects are based by a governmental guarantee or governmental minimum request, minimum demand on the day that the project will be launched. Therefore, the risk is quite remote.

We have the experience and the capabilities how to underwrite it well and how to run the portfolio well. This is one major segment. The other, I believe will continue to be the retail mortgages, the residential projects, the real estate residential projects, that continue to be a quite a nice component of our loan book. I remind you that our credit portfolio in this segment is very, very good. The observation. We have no project with observation rate.

Operator

Right.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

-rate of less than 25%, and the majority, 56% of the projects are above 50%, which give you some very strong color regarding how we manage the risk. I think that the results speaks for the self. The NPL in the real estate is very low. Far lower than the competition. This will be the main focus growing segments for us for the coming years.

Canberk Bening
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Brilliant. My final question is actually on fees. I noticed that you had sort of a fee growth year-on-year of around 6.8%-7%. I think in a, in a lower rate environment with lower CPI, that actually could be quite beneficial. I'm just wondering what sort of you think the run rate of fees is going forward. Is it gonna be around the same number, 7% year-on-year or higher or lower than that?

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yeah. maybe I will start, and Hagit will elaborate. You know, the main driver for the fees increase derive from the capital markets activity, mainly with institutional investors and the foreign banks that become more and more active in the Israeli capital market. of course we all benefited from that. the Israeli institutional investors AUM is increasing dramatically every year, about ILS 70 billion. it's. the majority of the increase in these fees are not from the retail. but we also do quite good job in the retail segment. the other main component of the fees increase is from our credit business.

When we are leading syndication and other stuff, of course we collect fees. Since the transactions that we are leading are becoming greater and greater, we all benefited from that in the bottom line of our fees collection.

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yes. This is the main drivers for the fees, and we believe that it will be at least in the same level and even greater in the next years.

Canberk Bening
VP and Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Perfect. Thank you so much, guys.

Operator

Next, David Kaplan. Please go ahead.

David Kaplan
Financial Analyst, Barclays

Hi. Can you hear me this time around?

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yes.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yes.

Yeah. Hi, David.

David Kaplan
Financial Analyst, Barclays

Good. Quick question on NIM. In the fourth quarter, you know, as you show on slide 13, interestingly enough, the excluding CPI was higher than the reported NIM as opposed to how it is over most quarters. Can you explain exactly what happened there, I guess, on the liability side or maybe on the asset side that made that happen?

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yes. As I mentioned in my presentation, thank you for the question, the NIM affected excluding the CPI from the mix of our deposit that were better in the fourth quarter, thanks to the mix of the deposits and also the decrease in the interest rate, and also from the significant growth in our credit portfolio.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

it's both.

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yes

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

liability side and from the asset side.

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yes. From the both side.

David Kaplan
Financial Analyst, Barclays

Okay. If we're talking about deposits for a second. On that side of the balance sheet, I see that the non-interest bearing deposits are currently at around 28% of your total deposit base. Given that the interest rates have been relatively high over the last year and a half, as opposed to where we were at zero interest rates a couple of years ago, I would have expected that number to be lower as a percentage of your base. I think as we're heading now into potentially another lower interest rate environment, how do you see that playing out? Do you see people moving deposits out of the bank, looking for other areas of investing other than deposit base? Because again, it doesn't seem that either the growth of deposits or the percentage of deposits that are being put in interest-bearing is actually quite that high.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Thank you for that question. It's a good. It's a very important point. From past experience and also from the experience of the last period, and also from what we see from other banks in the state that already published figures regarding that, when the interest rates decrease, the balances in the current accounts increase. The non-bearing interest deposits become a greater percentage of our total deposit portfolio. You're right. When the interest rate was quite high, it shrank to about 20%. The expectation from a past experience is that now it will increase step by step.

David Kaplan
Financial Analyst, Barclays

Okay. Then if we're talking about, non-interest bearing, let's move over to the asset side for a second. I see you all also had about 9% growth in non-interest bearing assets, year-on-year. Where's that growth coming from?

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

What? Which growth?

David Kaplan
Financial Analyst, Barclays

Non-interest bearing assets. We can talk. We can take it offline if. It should be in the appendix 1 in the back. Anyway, we can get back to it.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Right.

David Kaplan
Financial Analyst, Barclays

We can discuss it offline. My other question, just really more housekeeping question, has to do with your normalized ROE of 17.9%, which in the notes you write here is based on the bank's internal CET1 target, is that a target that you published or discussed so that we can kind of think more broadly about generally, what I like to call capital inefficiency that we see in Israeli banks?

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yeah. It's internal targets which it's consist of the regulatory requirements plus, say, the internal buffers that we decided to add to the regulatory requirements. You know, we are we have a conservative approach. In this matter, we also prefer to be conservative and to have a quite large buffer.

David Kaplan
Financial Analyst, Barclays

Okay. Just if I'm understanding correctly though, you talk about a normalized ROE which takes into account the bank's internal CET1 target.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yes.

David Kaplan
Financial Analyst, Barclays

That ROE is higher than the reported ROE.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yes.

Hagit Argov
CFO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Yes.

David Kaplan
Financial Analyst, Barclays

I'm missing where that delta is coming from. In other words, are you at your internal target or are you even above your internal target because you're being conservative, I guess is the question?

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

No, it's The ILS 10 billion, it's above our internal buffers. The fact that it's still there, you know, it's because we are not allowed to distribute it as a one-time large dividend. We are, you know, during the war, we were capped to 40% of the quarterly net income. Now we got the permission last quarter to 75%. Now we got the permission to 65%. We are aiming to continue with this journey. As I mentioned, the surplus above our capital requirements plus the internal buffer is expected to remain as long as we will not make a one-time large dividend.

David Kaplan
Financial Analyst, Barclays

Okay, great. Thanks very much.

Operator

The next question is from Mike Mayo. Please go ahead.

Mike Mayo
Managing Director, Head of U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, Wells Fargo Securities

Hi. It's Mike Mayo with Wells Fargo Securities. Can you give an update on your thinking about AI and the impact on headcount? There's certainly a big debate about the ability of AI to, you know, free up the no-joy jobs or the no-joy part of jobs. Thank you.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Thank you. Thank you, thank you for that question. You know, we already have a very, very good experience in AI that replace people mainly in the back office, but now also in the front office. As I mentioned, we closed our operational division. We took the decision about a year and a half before the initial plan because we realized that with the power of AI, that we already implemented part of the initiatives and it replaced many people. We will be able to continue with this journey even in a more effective way. As I said, we have quite good examples. We have subdivisions or departments that we entirely closed.

We kept it just one or two people just to run controls. AI replaced dozens of people that run this back office job for many years. From our experience and in our perspective looking forward, we will be able to leverage AI for cost saving and for doing much better in our business segments.

Mike Mayo
Managing Director, Head of U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, Wells Fargo Securities

You and the country are going through very trying times. How is your cybersecurity performing relative to your expectations?

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

The cybersecurity, the CISO and his team are involved in each and every project, from beginning. The way that we build the platforms and we build the capabilities is totally monitored and designed together with our cybersecurity people.

Mike Mayo
Managing Director, Head of U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, Wells Fargo Securities

All right. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Valentina. Please go ahead.

Hanan Friedman
President and CEO, Bank Leumi Le-Israel B.M.

Valentina, we cannot hear you.

Operator

Valentina, can you press the unmute button? There are no further questions at this time. This concludes Leumi's fourth quarter 2025 results conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may go ahead and disconnect.

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