Fairfax India Holdings Corporation (TSX:FIH.U)
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AGM 2023

Apr 20, 2023

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon. Welcome to our Eighth Anual Meeting for Fairfax India. Prem Watsa, Chairman of Fairfax. A real warm welcome to all our shareholders, presidents of our investing companies, employees in India, Mauritius, Toronto. It's a pleasure to see all of you here in attendance today. This year we are also live streaming the AGM for those who are not able to travel to Toronto. As at the prior shareholders meeting, today we will quickly go through the formal meeting, give a short presentation with slides, and then have a Q&A. The slides will be myself and Chandran will do it together, and then we'll have a Q&A. A lot of our presidents are here, who run our companies in India. Great opportunity for you all to ask any questions, and we'll bring them up to the mic.

Now we have microphones like Fairfax set up there so that any question that comes to your mind. Once a year we do this, so we're very happy to answer any and every question you have. On the online platform, Jeff Stacey will be moderating the questions received electronically. With that as background, we'll go to the formal part of the meeting. Ladies and gentlemen, welcome again to Fairfax India's annual shareholders meeting. Prem Watsa, Chairman of Fairfax. I shall ask Jennifer Pankratz, the Corporate Secretary of Fairfax India, to act as Secretary of the meeting. She'll also appoint Shirley Tom and Louise Waltenbury of Computershare Trust Company of Canada to act as scrutinizers and to complete the votes of any polls taken at the meeting, and then report it to me as Chairman.

I can tell you that as a result of the affidavits that I got reviewing the mailing and preliminary report of the scrutinizers satisfied that notice of this meeting has been duly given, that a quorum is present, and that this meeting is properly constituted. I propose to move quickly through this formal business. Announce that the minutes of the previous meetings held on April 21st a year ago are zavailable for inspection. As well, I can formally place before you our annual report with Chandran's CEO report here, as well as the auditor's statements from PwC for 2022 and 2021.

In addition, I declare that the total number of votes attached to shares represented at this meeting by proxy, which have been directed to be voted in favor of each matter, is, in each case, not less than 95% of all votes that may be cast on such matters. Voting today will be conducted by electronic- ballot for those attending virtually, and by a show of hands for those attending in person. I'll ask that the balloting be opened to registered holders and appointed proxy holders. The polls are now open on the platform. This point, all registered holders and proxy holders attending virtually who have properly logged in will be able to see the screen and all motions to be brought forth at this meeting.

Following the presentation of the motions, Jennifer Pankratz will confirm for us when the polls are closed, and once the electronic balloting closes, your votes will be submitted. With your consent, I will now move directly to the election of directors. I now invite nominations for directors.

Amy Sherk
Vice President & Chief Financial Officer, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I am Amy Sherk, I nominate as directors of the corporation for the ensuing year, Christopher Hodgson, Sharmila Karve, Sumit Maheshwari, Bill McFarland, Deepak Parekh, Satish Rai, Chandran Ratnaswami, Gopalakrishnan Soundararajan, Lauren Templeton, Benjamin Watsa, and Prem Watsa.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you very much, Amy. Fairfax India's by-laws require that nomination of directors by shareholders be received by the co-company at least 30 days in advance of the meeting in order to be valid. As no nomination for directors other than those set- forth in the management circular were received prior to the deadline, the nominations are now closed. Number of directors nominated is exactly the number to be elected. I confirm that those 11 nominees are proposed for election as directors of the company. Given the hybrid meeting and the fact that we will also conduct a virtual vote, we will have a vote on this together with the next resolution. I now invite a resolution regarding the appointment of an auditor.

Jennifer Pankratz
General Counsel and Corporate Secretary, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I move that PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP be appointed as auditor of the corporation to hold office until the next annual meeting.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you, Jen.

Amy Sherk
Vice President & Chief Financial Officer, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I second the motion.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you, Amy. For those attending in person, I would ask that you please show vote by a show of hands. All in favor? Thank you. Any contrary? We will now take a brief pause for 60 seconds to allow registered holders and proxy holders to complete their electronic voting on the motion brought forth. Jen Pankratz will tell us when that is over.

Jennifer Pankratz
General Counsel and Corporate Secretary, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Mr. Chairman, the voting is now complete, and the polls are closed.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you, Jen. I've been advised by the scrutineers that the proxies deposited for the meeting have now been voted. I can confirm that the nominated directors have been appointed as directors of the company to hold office until the next annual meeting next year. In addition, I confirm that PricewaterhouseCoopers have been appointed as auditors of the company to hold office until the next annual meeting. We will file a report on SEDAR, setting out the voting results following the meeting. I propose now to terminate this meeting, and then Chandan and I would like to talk to you about our operations. I invite a motion for termination.

Jennifer Pankratz
General Counsel and Corporate Secretary, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I move that this meeting be terminated.

Amy Sherk
Vice President & Chief Financial Officer, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I second the motion.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you, Amy and Jen. I declare the meeting terminated. That's the formal part of our meeting, and that is over. We just go right into the presentation. I'll do some of the slides and then pass it on to Chandan for all the details. I wanted to take a minute to recognize Chandan. He's the CEO, built this company in last eight years with a whole bunch of people that you'll see here, who are running our companies. Sumit, who's in Fairbridge in Mumbai. I wanted to recognize Chandan. Let's give him a nice round of applause. We'll go right into the presentation. You can see this is Fairfax India's book value.

We focus on book value, net asset value, and it's compounded at 8.5% compared to the U.S. dollars for the Sensex, which is 5.8%. From inception, we've outperformed it, though the 8.5% is not a huge number. It's better than what you could have got by buying the Sensex. This is the one year and the eight years since the IPO. In the one year, book value per share just come down a little. The Sensex has come down about 5.9%. You'll notice that the Indian rupee is depreciated for the year 2022 by 10%. Very significant. Over the eight years, 25%. Very significant deterioration in the Indian rupee.

All of us here, because it's in U.S. dollars, we suffer that depreciation. You might ask, given that depreciation, how do you expect to do well over time? We think, I'd love to hear a question on that front, we think the investments that we have will have a return in excess of that depreciation, significantly in excess of the depreciation. We're just showing you what happened in Asian equity markets, pretty significant declines in Sri Lanka, Vietnam, China, Hong Kong. You can understand why people feel that in the years to come, money will shift from North America to some of these markets which are not expensive. Performance for shareholders, we show you.

We started with about nine and a half After all the commissions, we started at nine and a half dollars a share for book value, then now it's about $19 and change. Investments per share is a little more because we've had, we've had $500 million of a bond issue that we did. So common shareholders' equity is $2.6 billion, and cash and investments is about $3.4 billion. Shares outstanding, you'll see, and we make the point here. In 2019, 153 million shares. Over the years, we've dropped it, particularly in 2022, to 138 million. Significant drop. We can't control...

Some of you will ask the question, "Why is the stock selling at a low price?" Can't control it, but if we see the advantage, we can buy the shares. We've bought significant amounts of the shares, and we'll continue to do that, not at the expense of the financial position of the company. Always, after making sure the financial position of the company is fine. We bought 3 million shares in 2022 for $36 million at $12 a share. Over the last 5 years, we bought 17.5 million shares at $13 a share. Fairfax also, after Fairfax India bought the shares and couldn't buy any more shares, there was more shares available, Fairfax bought 5.4 million shares in 2022 at $12 a share.

We just think it's a very good price. We're showing it by our actions. We're not just saying it, we're buying back stock. Financial strength is always very important in a company, and here we show you cash and public securities. Total borrowings, the $500 million, half a billion. Common shareholders' equity. The borrowings to common, we looked at borrowings to common shareholders' equity, not a lot, 18%, 19%. Cash and public securities to borrowings covered very nicely by cash and public securities, which we could sell if we like. Borrowings of $500 million, 5% unsecured senior notes due 2028. Pay your interest, pay your principal, no covenants to speak of. That's what we like.

$175 million unsecured revolving, that's just for, you know, if there's a problem, you don't go looking for a bank line, you're not gonna get it. We always get it, pay the, pay the standby fee, and we've got $175 million there, unlikely to be used. Fees developed with. You know, some questions on the high investment fees. What's your fee? Why is it, why is it what it is? We just highlight it again. There's an investment advisory fee, because Fairfax provides all the investment advice. That's 1.5% of deployed capital and 0.5% on undeployed. Capital is pretty well all deployed now, so it's 1.5%. The performance fee is calculated on a cumulative basis every three years.

20% of any increase in the book value per share above a 5% increase, less any performance fees already paid. Performance fees are applicable, as I said, at the end of three years. I think the next one comes at the end of this year. End of 2023, we look at the results for the last three years and figure out a performance fee. Sufficient to say when I showed you the results, it's better than the Bombay Stock Exchange, but it's, you know, we're thinking that to be in India, we gotta get 15%-20%. Over time, that's what we're looking to do. Hasn't done it yet, though. That just shows you the book value. We talked about that. See the fees.

Now you can see $215 million cash fees you paid to Fairfax. Basically, total fees, per year that works out to about $27 million. Fairfax does all of the trading, the investing, all of that. It's $27 million each year. That works out to about 1% of the average cash and investments. The shares you can see, we got $120 million to the performance fee, $120 million. It works out about $15 million each year. The sum of those two numbers each year is $42 million. The cash component is only 1%. The remaining everything else is performance directed. We're the largest shareholder.

We got 42.3% because we have 10 votes, we got a multiple voting share, a voting interest of 95%. These are all the investments that we have. Chandran's gonna go through them. It just shows you very quickly, the Bangalore International Airport. You can see the rates of return from Bangalore, IIFL, Sanmar, all of them. The one that hasn't worked out for us yet is NCML, we're spending a lot of time on it. All the others have done, you know, some really well, some really good and some to come. They're all there. You can see that. Total Indian investments, $1.65 billion and a fair value of about $3 billion.

The big one being, of course, the Bangalore International Airport, which is valued at $1.2 billion compared to the $653 million that we invested in it. Cash and government bonds you can see, that's the total. Developments in India, we've talked about it. I mentioned it in our Fairfax annual report. Chandran talks about it in the Fairfax India report. A fantastic leader in India. He says, you know, "Just think big," he says, "and execute at scale." Look at the scale, what he's done. Medical insurance for the poorest 500 million. Not 10 million, 5 million, 20 million. 500 million people in India. 18,000 villages electrified in India. Now everyone has electricity. 120 million toilets.

100 million gas cylinders. The scale is unbelievable. 400 million bank accounts, primarily to rural India. By the end of next year, he has an election next year, 100% of Indians will have drinkable tap water. Then he also has said last year that he says large scale privatization program. One of the largest scales in the world, privatization is taking place. Because he's saying the government is not a business and wealth creator, business is. Just a phenomenal. So I wanted to introduce you to this book called Modi@20. It's a fabulous book. You all should get it if you're interested in India. It's talking to 21 people.

21, you know, some ordinary people, some business people, some bank executives. What makes Why is this guy successful? Mr. Modi comes from very humble beginnings. He's a tea seller's son, and he's never gone to university. And he's been phenomenal in terms of what he's done for India, and it's quite extraordinary. And you're watching it live. It's happening as we speak. That book is worth interesting and worth reading, and I bring it to your attention. Chandran sort of highlighted here that in 2010, India was the ninth largest economy. Now it's the fifth. And in the next 5 years or so, could well be the third. The United States, China, and India.

In terms of population, India is very close to, if not already, become the most populous country in the world. About 1.4 billion plus, whereas China's population is going down. People are recognizing it, the business-friendly nature of the Indian economy, foreign direct investment is coming in. You've heard of Apple now building, I think, 10% of their phones in India and opening a store in Mumbai. Today they're opening a store in Delhi. India is well on its way to being a $7 trillion economy and then a $10 trillion economy. Those are big numbers. When you invest in that, there's a ton of opportunity that is available. This just shows you per capita GDP.

When it hits $2,000 per person in China, it really took off. This is saying that's what's happened. This was in 2005 for China. For India, it's right now $2,400 currently, is where China was in 2005. Tremendous momentum to move up. Infrastructure transformation underway. Roads are being built all over the place. Airports are being new airports, 74 to 148. Road networks from 380, you know, double, 380,000 to 729,000 kilometers. Air India, big deal, they privatized it. They had to the 1950s, 1960s, they nationalized it.

The guys who owned it then were the Tata Group, and they privatized it, and they bought it again, and it'll be a... You can rest assured that it'll be a terrific airline soon. Broadband connections have risen. I mean, unbelievable. You can see that from 61 million to 816 million. The world's largest connected nation. Vibrant startup system. I'm always really encouraged by this because what it means is India used to have a caste system. Caste system doesn't make a difference. You've got a good idea, and you can raise money. People are, will support you. You have access to all sorts of money, whatever your education, wherever you've come from. It's fantastic to see. 63% rise in digital payments. A massive adoption of technology platforms.

Fairly all the bases are for that country have been laid out nicely on its way. These are all the investments that we have. Chandran is going to very quickly our big investments, he's gonna talk to you about, and then we'll open it up for Q&A. Chandran.

Do you want this? Okay.

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you, Prem.

Good afternoon to all of you. I'll give you a brief summary of the 2022 performance of Fairfax India's five largest investments. The leaders of all our investee companies are here today, and so I will be very brief, so you have an opportunity to hear directly from them. Our largest investment is the Bangalore International Airport Limited, or for short, we'll call it BIAL. We own 54% of the airport, acquired for $653 million, implying a cost of $1.2 billion for 100% of the airport. BIAL is India's third largest airport and the largest in South India. Bangalore is the third-largest and fastest-growing city in India.

As most of you know, phase one of terminal two was inaugurated in November 2022, and we believe it is one of the best airports in the world. A truly magnificent terminal in the garden. BIAL's capacity will increase to 50 million passengers when the refurbishment of terminal one is completed in 2024. Let me play a short video of the terminal.

Nirmal Jain
Founder and Chairman, IIFL Group

Welcome to the best airport in the world.

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Under the exceptional leadership of Managing Director and CEO, Hari Marar, and his executive team, BIAL had a tremendous post-pandemic recovery year. Part of the year was affected by the pandemic, they handled 27.5 million passengers in fiscal 2023, just 5 million below its pre-pandemic high. Revenue doubled over the previous year to $192 million and was about 5% higher than the pre-pandemic levels. Despite the difficult years in 2020 and 2021, BIAL has generated an ROE of 17% for the first two control periods ending 2021. BIAL's valuation is driven by its three sources of revenue: aeronautical revenue, non-aeronautical revenue, and monetization of 460 acres of land for real estate development.

Aero- revenue is determined by regulated aero tariffs that BIAL can charge and are set by the regulator for 5-year control periods, and are computed to provide BIAL around a 16% return on equity deployed in the regulated asset base. We see BIAL's growth investment plans, taking its capacity from 50 million to a planned capacity of 70 million by 2029 and to over 90 million passengers by 2033, has a significant impact on its valuation. This will be achieved by adding a phase II expansion to a second terminal and building a new third terminal. The investment required to build the additions is about $1.8 billion and will be funded through internally generated funds and debt.

Non-aeronautical revenue has resumed its strong trajectory of growth to increase by 5x over the next decade, driven by the extra space, the attractive surroundings, and excellent initiatives launched by BIAL. Also, significant progress has been made in the plans to monetize the 460 acres of land that can be developed. The valuation of Fairfax India's interest in BIAL dropped to $1.2 billion in 2022, mainly due to the depreciation of the Indian rupee, implying an equity valuation of approximately $2.3 billion for the whole company. Anchorage is Fairfax India's flagship vehicle for holding infrastructure assets in India.

In 2021, we transferred 43.6% of BIAL to it and sold 11.5% of Anchorage to OMERS for $129 million, which valued BIAL at $2.6 billion at the exchange rates prevalent at that time, which was like INR 70, and now it's INR 82. We intend to complete an IPO of Anchorage when we obtain regulatory approvals. Once Anchorage is listed, the proportion of the publicly listed investments in Fairfax India will increase from 39% to 80%. Moving on to IIFL Finance. IIFL Finance, which is non-deposit taking, is one of the larger non-bank financial companies or NBFCs in India. The funding environment for NBFCs has improved considerably in India.

IIFL took advantage of the changing sentiment and obtained a capital injection of $275 million into its subsidiary, IIFL Home Finance from ADIA, the Middle East sovereign fund. IIFL Finance's rating was recently upgraded by Moody's, which cited IIFL's strong growth momentum from its asset-light model that improved its profitability, capital, and funding among the reasons for the upgrade. 37% of IIFL Finance assets and 34% of its income are derived from co-lending with or assigning assets to other lenders. Under the able leadership of its CEO, Nirmal Jain, who's also the founder and significant shareholder of all the IIFL group companies, IIFL Finance had an excellent year in 2022. Revenue increased 29% to $631 million, and net profit grew 32% to $187 million, generating an ROE of 15%.

Assets under management, which have grown at a compounded rate of 16% over the last 5 years, grew 24% to $7 billion. Asset quality is among the best in the peer group, with net NPAs of 1.1% and a provision coverage ratio of 164%. Loan-to-value is very conservative at 70% for home and gold loans and 49% for business loans. With a well-diversified asset portfolio, of which 95% is retail in nature, a total capital adequacy of 22%, net interest margins at an all-time high of 8.3%, and cost-to-income ratio of 42%, IIFL Finance is well-positioned to take advantage of the economic growth expected in 2023 and beyond. Moving to Sanmar Chemicals, led by Vijay Sankar.

It is a private company and one of the largest manufacturers of PVC and caustic soda in India and Egypt. Sanmar had an excellent year in 2022. Revenues grew 11% to $1.4 billion. While EBITDA dropped by 14% to $224 million, pre-tax profit grew 5% to $91 million. All the three divisions, the specialty and commodity PVC businesses in India and the Egyptian businesses, were all profitable. The performance was the result of high capacity utilization, driven by strong demand, prices, and margins for PVC in the first quarter of the year, partly offset by steep price declines and muted global demand during the rest of the year. The Egyptian business, TCI Sanmar, after their best-ever performance in 2021, did even better in 2022.

Revenues increased 22% to $647 million. EBITDA increased 41% to $147 million, and net profit increased 146% to $45 million. Altogether, the future is very promising for Sanmar. CSB Bank. Under the strong leadership of CEO Pralay Mondal, who took over from Mr. C.V.R. Rajendran, CSB had its best year ever in 2022. Revenue increased 12% to $196 million, and net profit increased 41% to $66 million. CSB made excellent progress in its performance measures in 2022, with loan advances growth of 26%, deposits growth of 19%, and net interest income grew by 15% with an industry-leading net interest margin of 5%.

Asset quality is excellent with net NPAs of 0.4% and a provision coverage ratio of 92%. Capital adequacy ratio improved to 21% From 21% to 26%. Compared to all banks or peer group banks, CSB's performance is right at the very top. We are very excited about the long-term prospects for CSB. National Stock Exchange. Though it started as a small investment of $27 million for a 1% interest in NSE, it has become Fairfax India's fifth largest dollar value investment with a valuation of $160 million in December 2022. NSE is the dominant stock exchange in India with a market share of 93% in cash equity trading and 100% in equity derivatives trading. It operates over 2,000 centers with over 200,000 terminals.

It had another excellent year in 2022. Revenue grew 49% to $1.6 billion and net income grew 72% to $875 million, generating an ROE of 37%. It's awaiting regulatory approvals to get listed on the Indian stock exchanges, but it is difficult to predict when that might happen. In the meanwhile, we value it based on private transactions by foreign investors. The manufacturing sector in India. With global supply chains diversifying from overdependence on China, India has emerged as a source for a wide array of manufactured goods and parts. In the last two years, Fairfax India completed two acquisitions in the manufacturing sector. First, Fairfax acquired 67% of Maxop Engineering from its founder, Shailesh Arora, for $51 million.

Maxop is a precision aluminum die casting and machining solutions provider for components used by the automotive and industrial sectors with customers around the world. Fairfax India acquired 70% of Jaynix Engineering for $33 million. Jaynix is a manufacturer of aluminum electrical neutral bars, lugs and connectors, and assemblies, and is a tier 1 supplier to major electrical equipment manufacturers in North America and Europe. Jaynix was founded and is operated by 2 brothers and engineering graduates, Nikhil Diwakar and Ninad Diwakar. During the global movement to diversify supply sources, Fairfax India believes that Maxop and Jaynix have significant growth opportunities with existing and new customers, and that with Fairfax India's support, each of them can be built into a world-class leader in the engineered goods manufacturing industry. Fairfax India has investments in several other companies. Fairchem Organics, an oleochemicals company.

IIFL Securities, a financial security services company. NCML, an agricultural warehousing company. Seven Islands Shipping, a tanker shipping company. Saurashtra Freight, a container freight station, and 5paisa Capital, a technology-based financial services company. All of them are excellent businesses that continue to make progress. Our annual report has a lot more information about each of them. With that, we'll get into the question and answers, and I'll hand the mic back to Prem. Thank you.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you very much. Now we're ready for your questions, and we have a lot of our presidents here. They'll be happy to answer. We start with number thee.

Sumit Maheshwari
Managing Director and CEO, Fairbridge Capital, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Hi, Prem. Ashish Sawhney from Toronto. As you highlighted, we've compounded the book value at 8.5%, but the shares have only compounded at 3.5% since inception. I think the performance fee, the way it's set up, was designed to incentivize to close the discount every 3 years, as the performance fee is paid out in shares. With the size of the discount right now, we're at risk of issuing a third more shares than we otherwise would, if the stock was trading at book value. Would you consider taking the performance fee in cash and doing a tender for the shares so that we are not diluted and we can allow shareholders who wish to exit a chance to do so?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

That's a very good question. First of all, we bought shares. The incentive shares, 2 payments were priced at about $15 a share. The shares that we retired were at, on average, about $13 a share. We've retired the shares. We bought the share at a higher price. When we set up this incentive structure, when we went public, we went to 1 or 2 of our biggest shareholders and said, "What do you think is fair?" That's how the performance fee was. They wanted us to not take cash from the company. They wanted us to take shares. We said, "Fine." Up to 2 times book value, we said we were forced to take shares. We didn't have a choice. Couldn't take cash or shares.

So one of the problems in being listed in the stock market is stock prices go up sometimes, and they go up, go down. When they go down, you're not happy, we are not happy. What we can do, though, is to buy back the stock. That's what we've done. We've bought, I forget now, like a bundle of shares back in the last four, five years. We'll continue to do that. As time goes by. I think our performance fee and all of that, if you look at it and compare it to other entities, it's not unreasonable.

Our return, book value 8.5%, you say the stock is selling below book value, so you said 2.5%, whatever. That's, unfortunately, you're in a market, you know, that's what happens. What we do, as I said at the Fairfax meeting, is just buy back the stock. Just keep buying it back. Eventually it'll go up. You don't know what will take it up, but you just continue to buy it back and perform. We've got a lot of assets there in Fairfax India that we haven't really, you know, the Anchorage one hasn't happened yet. You know, that's. You got a airport that has the potential of 90 million passengers, and it's being valued at about, you know, I think about $2.8 billion-$3 billion.

Not even. The, the, an Australian airport, was it Sydney, Chandan? Sydney Airport went for like $20 billion or something, right? $20 billion. Ours is in a growing country. tons of people are gonna be traveling. Airports are being created. But there's nothing you can do. That's the valuation today. We're very excited about the long term, but we understand your frustration, ours, with the stock price.

Dough Hiscox
Shareholder, Fairfax India

I just think there's an opportunity to instead of paying out the shares, paying out the performance fee in shares that we pay it out in cash and you can buy back stock in the market and it solves, you know, two problems. It reduces our. We don't have to dilute as much effectively, because we're not issuing an extra, you know, million shares or whatever it ends up being by the end of the year.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

That's an idea. We'll certainly take that into consideration.

Dough Hiscox
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Thank you.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you for the, for that question. Number 4.

Trevor Scott
Portfolio Manager and President, Tidefall Capital Management

Hi, Prem. Trevor Scott, Tidefall Capital Given your success with BIAL, I was curious what you thought the probability of another government deregulation deal, if there's something along those lines in the future?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

In the airport sector?

Trevor Scott
Portfolio Manager and President, Tidefall Capital Management

any sector.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Any sector.

Trevor Scott
Portfolio Manager and President, Tidefall Capital Management

Maybe banking, it doesn't-

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah, I mean, you know, the Indian government, as I said, is privatization on a large scale and could happen. It's, you know, we'd, of course, look at it. It's worth for you to get a sense for Hari Marar and how we. That's the big thing that we've done, right? In four years, two with COVID, Hari built the, with his team, built the T2, the second terminal. Why don't we get Hari to give us a quick summary, Hari, as to how y'all did it and how it all worked out. It's quite. If you ever go to India, any of you have to go to Bangalore and you have to see this airport.

It is spectacular. I'd like to think it's the best in the world, and many people have... You know, we are biased, of course. If you go to someone who hasn't, not biased, they say the same thing. I think, Jamie, you might have said the same thing. After you, Hari.

Hari Marar
Managing Director and CEO, Bangalore International Airport Limited

Thank you, Prem. Thank you, Chandran, for having me here. It's terrific being back here after 4 years this time. Prem certainly is biased. I think it's a very nicely designed airport, but we have a long way to become, way to go before we become the best airport in the world, and we have some work to do. We're certainly on our way, and I'm pretty sure we'll be able to get there. I'll give you a short overview of what's happened in Bangalore in the last 1 year and then probably talk to you about, you know, the disinvestment in other airports and such public assets, state-owned enterprises, and what the possibilities there might be.

To start with, I think the headlines for the last year, as far as Bangalore Airport was concerned, were two things: traffic and Terminal 2, the two big things that happened. Traffic recovery was just phenomenal in the last one year. The 1st three months of the last year were actually a washout. When I say last year, I talk about financial year, April 1st to March 31st. April, May, June were actually a washout because we had the 2nd wave of COVID. It wasn't really doing well. In the 9 months that have that we've seen sort of the recovery that we've seen, in nine months, we've done more than what we did in a full pre-COVID year. That is 2019. Fantastic growth, which clearly goes to show domestic travel, there's huge latent demand.

The reason why the demand is not growing faster than it is right now, it's because there isn't enough capacity. In India, one of the sort of features of air travel has been that you provide capacity and demand will follow. I think there is still plenty of room for such capacity to be introduced into the Indian market so that demand will pick up and really cater so that India can really achieve its true potential in terms of the trip rate per capita as far as air travel is concerned. On the international traffic side, till October 2020, we really had no international travel. International travel was restricted because of various restrictions that countries were imposing. As soon as these restrictions were removed, I think traffic again went zooming up.

Again, restricted by the number of aircrafts that are in play. Lots of fleets were sort of retired. As we see right now, international traffic has come back to pre-COVID levels. If you just look at what happened between January and December, it's back at pre-COVID levels. Based on this, we're excited because there is also Air India, which has got privatized now under the Tata leadership. It has just placed an order for 470 planes, the largest commercial order for aircrafts ever in the history of aviation. 470 planes coming in. If you add that up along with the other aircrafts that are coming in for the other airlines, in the next few years, we've got 700 to 1,000 aircrafts coming in.

Again, the capacity that I always told you was a constraining factor is not a constraining factor anymore. The demand will play itself out. That's excellent opportunity for growth there, and we are working very hard with Air India to try and establish themselves as a hub at Bangalore Airport. Cargo has also been a good story, but the growth last year was slightly dampened because the shipping lanes opened up. Supply chains around the world sort of stabilized, and the cost of shipping by via sea came down considerably as a result of which air travel or air cargo sort of growth was dampened a little bit. Still, I think we have achieved record numbers, and that is really good. The other headline, Terminal 2, as it was mentioned by Chandan, opened in...

Sorry, inaugurated in November. We did a little bit of trials. We opened in January. Three airlines have transitioned. The question that I heard most often from most of you was, what's gonna be the split between the terminals. Terminal 2, all the international flights will, you know, ultimately move to Terminal 2 sometime by August, September. On the domestic side, only five airlines are expected to move there, which is, Star Air Asia, Air Vistara, Air India, and GoAir, out of which three have already moved. The remaining two will move in the next one month, which will complete the domestic transfer. Remember that bulk of domestic travel will continue in Terminal 1.

Terminal 1 will be refurbished after this, will cater to 40 million passengers. You know, IndiGo will continue to operate there, which is 55% of all travel out of Bangalore Airport. Apart from this, I think, we've made a couple of other strategic moves. We bring all the traffic to Bangalore Airport, but the money is made by all the partners who come and do business at the airport. We decided that we need to have a, you know, stake in that as well, and some of the upsides that come with servicing all the passengers that come there, all the planes that come there, we need to get some of that too. This time, starting this year, we've got into joint ventures to manage the cargo business at the airport with...

We've formed two joint ventures with the number one and number two player in the world in the space of air cargo, which is WFS, headquartered in Paris, and Menzies, headquartered in London. We've got two JVs there where we're 26% stakeholders. We will manage the cargo at the airport going forward. On duty free, we've got a joint venture with the number one duty free player in the world, Dufry. It's a 50-50% joint venture. We'll be running duty free at Bangalore Airport going forward.

We also expect to set up, or we've just set up a fully owned hospitality company, just one level below BIAL, which will take care of things like lounge, hospitality services, meet and assist services, the airport hotel, parking and things like that, which is again a significant revenue source, which again will help us to grow further. That's a couple of strategic moves there, and I'll end with a little update on what's happening on the airport city. As far as the airport city is concerned, obviously COVID had a dampening impact on the development of the airport city. I think we're seeing sort of some of the demand coming back.

Most recently, we just awarded a contract with the largest real estate developer in the city to build a 2 million sq ft business park at the airport. We've got the 3D printing facility already up and running. There is a cloud kitchen that SATS has established that's coming along, will be inaugurated this year. We've got one hotel that's already operational, which we're expanding by 216 rooms, which will be operational by August this year. We're building another hotel, 775 room hotel. We're launching the RFP for the retail dining entertainment village. The concert arena construction will start in the next couple of months, and so on and so forth. A lot of interesting stuff happening there, too.

But before I close, I must open that up, open that invitation up that Prem said, please come and visit Bangalore Airport. We'd love to show you around, I think you'll enjoy the visit too. Coming back to your question on privatization, the government was supposed to privatize 13 airports during this financial year. They had also drawn up all the contours for that privatization to take place. Surprisingly, it's a move that caught us by surprise. Last week or two weeks ago, the government announced that they've canceled the privatization of those 13 airports. We would have been bidders for those airports. We were looking forward to it quite eagerly. The other interesting opportunity was railway stations, we've explored that.

I think the sort of structure that the government has put in place is not something that is exciting us. They want EPC contractors to build it and not operations management contract, which is not something that we're interested in. For the moment, nothing immediately coming up on the anvil, but we're keeping our eyes very closely to track any of these developments.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you, Vijay, very much. Hari, next. It's a public-private partnership. As Chandran was saying, two five-year periods have gone. First five-year period, average return on equity, 17%. Second five-year period with another 17%. The third one is in progress now, it's a great opportunity, especially with the non-regulated businesses that Hari was talking about. We come to number one.

Let's just go to the net for a second. Jeff.

Jeff McKay
Chairman, Fairfax CountyBoard of Supervisors

A follow-on question about Anchorage. When do you expect to take Anchorage public, and how does the ratchet mechanism work?

Hari Marar
Managing Director and CEO, Bangalore International Airport Limited

Yeah.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

We're expecting to tell. You have to go, like the SEC or the Ontario Securities Commission here, we have to get their permission. That's in progress. In the case of airports, it's a bit more complicated. We have to get regulatory approval. That's taken some time. The ratchet mechanism is basically.

What we'll do, Prem, is Sumit works with approvals every day of the week.

Sumit is working.

Sumit Maheshwari
Managing Director and CEO, Fairbridge Capital, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Sumit, can you just talk about...

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah.

Little bit about what you're doing with the Department of Economic Affairs, and also explain the ratchet mechanism in view of the rupee change.

Sumit is President of Fairbridge. He runs all our, all of our investment ideas come through Fairbridge. Sumit is the President, CEO. It comes to Chandran. Sumit.

Sumit Maheshwari
Managing Director and CEO, Fairbridge Capital, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you, Prem Watsa, Chandran Ratnaswami. Thank you very much. Anchorage, as it's set up in India, is a foreign-owned holding company. Under the regulations, we require Government of India's approval to do anything in Anchorage. We got one round of approvals to move 43% from Fairfax into Anchorage of Bangalore Airport. We could sell 11% of Anchorage to OMERS. That was the stage one of the deal. Stage two of the deal is an IPO. Government is aware about it. The process that's going on right now is Ministry of Finance Ministry, there is a particular Department of Economic Affairs. They are kind of working on this particular file for us. They need to approve this particular IPO request.

Because it is a sensitive sector for India airports, the approval will go to a committee which is called CCEA, Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs, and that is headed by Prime Minister himself. This entire approval will go to all the way to Prime Minister and all his cabinet ministers. Once everybody approves, that's when it will come back to Finance Ministry and will get a formal approval. We are in the process. India is a little complicated country from a bureaucracy perspective. We have the benefit of Nadir Patel to kind of help us through, you know, going through this particular bureaucracy. We are on it. We talk to them on a weekly basis. Things are in progress. It may take a little time. So far, we haven't heard anything which is negative.

We've been told this approval should be forthcoming anytime. Now we are keeping our fingers crossed, and I would request all of you shareholders, please start praying for us. It should come faster.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Sumit, how about the ratchet mechanism?

Sumit Maheshwari
Managing Director and CEO, Fairbridge Capital, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yes. Now, on the ratchet mechanism, we had an interesting construct with OMERS, wherein we started with 88.5% for Fairfax India and 11.5% for OMERS in Anchorage. We agreed that within a four-year period, which is ending in 2025, within a four-year period, we'll take Anchorage public at an agreed minimum valuation. In INR terms, the valuation is about INR 90 billion. At INR 90 billion or better valuation for Anchorage, it basically translates into, you know, now I'm talking 2021, INR 90 billion at that time meant, for Bangalore Airport, a valuation of $3 billion. At that particular value, OMERS will have 11.5%. Fairfax will have 88.5%. Now, that was the default deal.

If we are not able to take Anchorage public in $90 billion, it goes, you know, it goes public at a below level, up to $70 billion, which translates into an equivalent of $2.6 billion in 2011. The resultant shareholding, the ratchet mechanism would have worked at 15.5% for OMERS and 84.5% for Fairfax India. Between 2011 and now, rupee has moved from INR 70 a dollar to INR 82 a dollar. Because of that, the $3 billion valuation for 11%, 11.5% has come down to, if my memory serves me right, $2.6 billion. Two point six billion, at which OMERS will get for 15.5%, that number has come down to about $2.2 billion.

Realistically, the dollar number is only for reference purposes. All our interaction with OMERS and the formal agreement is in rupees. Realistically, INR 90 billion for 43% of Bangalore Airport is the base for us. If we are not able to achieve that, and IPO happens at a lower number, the floor for, or the cap for OMERS is INR 70 billion for 43% of Bangalore Airport. That's when OMERS will get 15.5%. Let's say, for example, if the IPO happens at INR 60 billion, OMERS will get still 15.5% and not more. That's the ratchet mechanism for us.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you very much, Sumit. Thank you. Yes, number one.

Dough Hiscox
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Okay again. My name is Paul Durden from Burlington. Unless I misunderstood your overhead, the rupee has fallen against the US dollar quite a bit in the last couple of years. Do you have a reason for that? I also have another question. I'm an Infosys shareholder in Bangalore, and I was quite happy with the fact that they did not fall sharply with the rest of the tech correction, which made me happy. However, much more recently than that, Infosys has said there is a slowdown in the demand for the cloud. Do you own Infosys? Do you have any comment on their comment?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

On the second question, Infosys is a very good company. We don't own it, but it's an excellent company. We know quite about it. Knew all the founders from the main founder to Nandan Nilekani and on. He's still the chairman, I think, Nandan, right? But, you know, we don't own the shares, so no comment to make on that. What was the, sorry, your first question again?

Dough Hiscox
Shareholder, Fairfax India

The first question is the rupee has fallen against the U.S. dollar-

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah.

Dough Hiscox
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Unless I misunderstood the overhead.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

No, it's-

Dough Hiscox
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Over the last couple of years. What's the reason for that?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I mean, you know, if you can figure that out, you'll have to take this seat. Foreign exchange, it goes up and down just like the stock market. The U.S. dollar is very, very strong. Every currency in the world has fallen against the U.S. dollar, right? All of them have fallen. Now, interest rates have gone up in the United States. If it starts coming down, may perhaps the rupee will strengthen some. The Indian economy is so strong that you would think over time that the rupee will strengthen. Chandran, any comment on that?

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Just what I'd like to add is that the Indian rupee bucked the trend when other emerging market currencies were going down, we were still holding. About two years ago, 18 months ago, that kind of broke. Indian currency, among other things, also responds to oil price. Maybe sometimes there's a lag, sometimes not. It's, you know, it's hard to predict exactly when it'll change. What it has done with the latest fall is that it's kind of caught up with other emerging market currencies.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

That's true. It's like I said, the U.S. dollar is strong against all currencies. Thank you for your question. That's the best answer we've got. It might, as Chandan says, reverse itself over. When it becomes strong, when the economy goes, you know, to $7 trillion and higher, the currency will become very strong, we think. Follow-up question. Did you have one?

Dough Hiscox
Shareholder, Fairfax India

No, that's fine. Thank you.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you very much. Number two.

Jeff McKay
Chairman, Fairfax CountyBoard of Supervisors

Thanks, Prem. My question is, can you please share some more details of Fairfax India's interest in the upcoming privatization of IDBI Bank? If you would have interest, can you share whether CSB Bank could be one of the vehicles for investing into IDBI?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

The one thing we don't do is talk about potential investments. We talk about investments that we've already made, but not potential investments. I'm sorry, we can't say anything about that IDBI Bank. What we can say is just that we're in India, and we're looking at opportunity and long-term opportunity. We continue to look at possibilities.

Jeff McKay
Chairman, Fairfax CountyBoard of Supervisors

Thank you.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Number three.

Dough Hiscox
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Doug Hiscox, Vancouver, portfolio manager and holder of the stock. Could you please talk about opportunities in India going forward post-pandemic? You talked about electrification, computers, sanitation. Is it more of the same? How is it different now? What are you looking at? Second thing, over the next five, 10 years for Fairfax India, do you see ways you wanna the pool to be diversified? We wanna limit concentration in certain areas. We wanna take this down. We wanna move here. Whatever you can comment about the long-term diversification approach that applies to that pool, please.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you. Chandran, do you want to take a crack? We're very opportunistic. You know, the Bangalore International Airport, the owners were looking to sell and perhaps had to sell, and so we had the opportunity to buy it. We got a very good price on it. The first thing we did was put Hari Marar, who was, like, 45 years old, and as CEO, and you can see a fabulous decision. He was number two then and done really, really well. What would you say to that, Chandran?

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

This is a bit of a cliché, I guess, but we are sector agnostic. I'm sure you heard this before. We really practice it. We, as Prem said, we are looking for people that have built the company, have integrity, and don't have all kinds of problems hidden. We want to see a track record of performance 5, 10 years, and we want to see opportunity for growth. We want owners and managers who will stay, not sell and leave. So that's how we kind of choose our investments. As it turns out, we are concentrated in infrastructure through the airport. We are concentrated in financial services through IIFL and CSB. You know that in any emerging market is a great place to be. We are. We didn't start out looking to do it, but that's how it's turned out.

The only thing that we are looking at a little bit more nowadays is because of this movement to diversify out of China, and because the government has given all kinds of incentives for the manufacturing industry, we are looking there a little bit more than we normally might have. You know, those are our basic, kind of sectors, and I don't see any deliberate change.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

What you're saying, Chandan, is we've never been sector-oriented. We are looking at people, like he says, who have had a track record. First honesty and integrity in everything they do. No bribing, none of that stuff. Then, a good track record and that wanna build something as opposed to, you know, sort of, if I, the private equity format, build something and then sell it. We don't wanna do that. We wanna build something and something that lasts. So, you know, just Chandan, I think, summarized it very well. Follow on?

Dough Hiscox
Shareholder, Fairfax India

I think, and I think I heard that it's the same opportunistic and a little bit more in manufacturing now. You're taking advantage of the move out of China. That would be the material change I heard out of what you said.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah. No, I think that's right. We've got two companies that Chandan talked about in the manufacturing. They're small, but over time, we expect them to become much, much bigger. Thank you. Number four.

James Pan
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Hi, my name is James Pan, we own about a couple hundred thousand shares for a family office called CP&E Partners. I wanna thank you for letting allow us to invest with you. Looks like the future of India is very bright. And I think your compensation system is fair. I have no complaints about that. Like you, we have a frustration with the discount to NAV, and we know that there's limited amount of control you can do. Can we review how much of the directors' compensation and your the CEO's compensation come from narrowing the discount specifically, maybe putting that incentive into their compensation system so they can come up with some creative ways to somehow narrow it over time?

We understand that you're gonna get paid with NAV, you're gonna get paid with increase with NAV with shares. That's perfectly fine. Somehow tweak the compensation a little bit for the people who do have some influence on how corporate actions are executed to somehow narrow that discount.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah, no, that's very well said. Chandran and Sumit and the people at the holding company are, you know, have Fairfax India shares. I don't know in the proxy circular what we disclose. Amy or Jen, the disclosure on the pro-proxy circular for Fairfax India.

Jennifer Pankratz
General Counsel and Corporate Secretary, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Hi. Thanks.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you.

Jennifer Pankratz
General Counsel and Corporate Secretary, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yes. We do disclose all of our directors' compensation in the proxy circular as well as all senior management, including Chandran and myself and Gopal and Sumit.

James Pan
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Is there anything about the discount to NAV?

Jennifer Pankratz
General Counsel and Corporate Secretary, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

There is nothing about the discount to NAV currently.

James Pan
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Can we consider that in the future?

Jennifer Pankratz
General Counsel and Corporate Secretary, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

We can consider it. We are all also Fairfax employees, so oftentimes our compensation is linked to Fairfax. Of course, as our largest shareholder, Fairfax has a lot of incentive to want to see our share price go up as well.

James Pan
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Well, I would say that there's very little downsides of tweaking the compensation system. If the market knows about it, maybe they'll give it a proper weighting.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

We'll certainly take that under advisement. That's a good idea. Interesting idea. You know, because you are looking at the discount to NAV and you're saying, "What could we do?" We think about that also being a large shareholder. What we have done is buy back the stock and whatever opportunity we see, we're not gonna issue shares at these prices. Rest assured about that. We're not gonna issue shares at these prices. We will buy back the stock, and there'll be ways of, if we have a big acquisition, there'll be ways of financing it that doesn't entail issuing.

James Pan
Shareholder, Fairfax India

I'm just spitballing here. I'm sure there's some downside to this proposal. Maybe just send a signal to the market in your next shareholder's letter saying, "Instead of the increase in the NAV," let's say it's 15% next year, which is approximately $3, "we'll take that $3 and pay a special dividend." We'll keep the NAV at $19 and give $3 bucks to guys who are paying $13 now. Do that a couple of years, maybe the discount closes too. I'm just putting it out there. Not sure if that's a solution.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

No. Thank you. Thank you very much for your suggestion. We'll review that. Thank you.

James Pan
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Thank you.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

We go to Jeff here now. Jeff.

Jeff D. Stacey
Chairman and CEO, Stacey Muirhead Capital Management

A question about the PVC industry and Sanmar's role in it. Please comment on the demand supply environment in the global PVC industry and Sanmar's role within the PVC industry.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

We've got Vijay here. Vijay, why don't you come right over? He is, you know, basically the founding family. His dad founded the company, Vijay has done a fantastic job building it. Vijay, your answer to the question.

Vijay Sankar
Chairman, The Sanmar Group

Thanks, Prem. Thanks, Chandan. It's been four years, as Hari said, since I was here, and it's been a tremendous four years for our company. Our sales has more than doubled in this period, since I was last here. The PVC industry has also shown a strong resilience in that period. We're now heading into I would say a short-term difficult timeframe for the PVC industry due to a couple of factors, mainly revolving around China and the fact that the Chinese economy, which is the world's largest PVC producer and consumer, has had challenges post their zero COVID policy loosening up and their opening up. We still haven't seen the demand pull that you normally would should have seen.

I think it's still a little slow coming. We're still very, very optimistic. Just to rewind back and go back to the PVC industry and the question around PVC. I think Prem had a slide on the PVC on India and where we are. To give you a sense, we are the world's largest population, as he just explained. We've just overtaken China, I think last week, at 1.4 billion. China at 1.4 billion consumes 20 million tons of PVC and produces approximately the same amount. India, to give you a sense, for the same population and 10 years younger in demographics, we consume 3.5 million tons of PVC and produce 1.5 million tons of PVC. In our view, the opportunity is just enormous.

PVC, I mean, like planes or airports or cement or steel, I think the opportunity for PVC to grow is just, you know, mind-boggling. Unfortunately, the capacity side has been fairly restricted for a number of reasons, primarily centered around China and the way they produce PVC. Just for the benefit of this audience, China produces PVC from the coal route or the carbide route, and they use a mercury catalyst as well, and it consumes a lot of water. In today's ESG-focused world, I don't think that's a sustainable model long term. We see a approach over the next 10, 15 years where PVC, which is the cheapest plastic and most sustainable plastic, because half of PVC comes from the non-oil route. 55% comes from sort of renewable resource, which is chlorine.

It's also the cheapest and most durable and most adaptable polymer. We see a tremendous possibility for PVC over the next 10 years. As I said, the current environment is a little tough, but we are thinking long term, and we think this is a great environment to be manufacturing PVC. We spoke about, I think, Fairfax being one of the top 12 insurance companies. I think we're sort of around the top 12 PVC companies globally, but the only one with a presence in 2 of the fastest growth and deficit markets globally, South Asia and the Middle East, North Africa regions. These are the only two large markets globally in PVC, which are deficient in PVC, and all the PVC comes from China and other parts at very expensive rates.

We think we're very well positioned in PVC globally to do a, I think, to take advantage over the next 10 years. There are some challenges in the short run. How do we source feedstock competitively? How do we put up plants competitively? We have a lot of strengths in those areas. Sanmar has a history of working with partners over the last 55 years of its existence, and I think we're working hard to find solutions to expand PVC. If I could just take a minute, Prem, just to give you a sense, Sanmar is, we've got three businesses. I think Chandran explained we're in commodity PVC in India, and in Egypt. We're also in specialty PVC in India, where we are the market leaders with 50% market share.

We're also a increasingly large player in the custom manufacturing segment. We're the third or fourth company in India to take advantage of what was described earlier as a China plus one strategy. Prem, you forgot us. Apart from those other two companies, we're also gonna be taking advantage of the China plus one manufacturing strategy. There's a lot of interest in manufacturing in India. We serve the agrochemical innovator segment. We're putting up, we're investing this year, after a long time, we're investing capacity. We're putting up close to $150 million in our specialty PVC and our custom manufacturing business, which should come to fruition over the next year or so.

While this year may be a little tepid, once this capacity comes on stream, our focus will be far more on the specialty side of things, where margins are far more attractive, till we crack the code on getting low feedstock, high return on capital way to expand PVC. I think that's just a little bit about Sanmar. Before I leave, I just wanna thank Prem for one thing. During the last four years, difficult years of COVID, as many businesses suffered, he really pushed us hard in spite of his various time challenges to do an IPO for one of our subsidiaries. I remember him calling, whether it was Chandan or Sumit or everybody, and he pushed us to do the IPO.

The deleveraging that happened around the IPO, we deleveraged from almost $1.6 billion of debt to $600 million of debt. That has really put the company in very good financial position to take advantage of the tremendous expansion opportunities in India over the next few years. Thank you.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you very much, Vijay. Their family is one of the highest integrity families in India, and it really is a pleasure to do business with them. Chandan and I have got to know the whole family and we have no question that We've already done well, there's no question that over time we'll do exceedingly well for Fairfax India. Jeff, I'll move on to number three.

Michael Chiang
Shareholder, Ten Coco Investment Management

Michael Chiang from Ten Coco Investment Management. My first question regarding the sources of funding for future expansion in India. Now given your buyback in shares and lots of opportunity in India, I just wondering that if we have significant opportunities, you know, how you finance those acquisitions. Another thought is that Fairfax India does not have an insurance operation. You certainly cannot take advantage of the insurance float like what you have done in with Fairfax Financial. Would it be a good idea for Fairfax India to have a significant insurance operation in India, so you can replicate, you know, Fairfax Financial business model in India?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yes. We already have that, right, with Digit.

Michael Chiang
Shareholder, Ten Coco Investment Management

Does Digit belong to Fairfax India?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Sorry, not Fairfax India, Fairfax Financial. Fairfax India cannot get into insurance. That's the one area that we've said in the prospectus that belongs to Fairfax Financial, because it's our business. When we set it up, we said Fairfax India won't get into the insurance business. Fairfax India, Fairfax Financial is already in the insurance business. Your good question is, first question is, how are you gonna expand? Where are you gonna get the money from to look to buy these opportunities? Chandan, why don't you just highlight what we have or ask Sumit-

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah. No, I'll start it out.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah. Okay. Chandan will start it out and pass it on to Sumit.

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

We have about $330 million-$350 million of liquidity right now. That will give us the resources to make investments as we need them. Beyond that, there are two sources. One is there might be investments that we exit because we think they reached their full potential. The other thing is, if we find an investment that is much larger than what we have, as Fairfax has done in the past, we'll bring in partners to do that.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I think that's well summarized. You want to add to that, Sumit, in terms of possibilities that Chandran is saying? You've got $350 million and potentially some more, if you can give some sense for what that is.

Sumit Maheshwari
Managing Director and CEO, Fairbridge Capital, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah. I'll answer this question slightly differently. India as a market is not very deep, so there are not too many transactions in a year that happen which are above $200 million as a transaction value. In that particular range as it is, there's a lot of competition. There's just too much of money, you know, chasing very little number of deals. We are seeing opportunities in the mid-market range between $50 million and $200 million, if you will. To take advantage of that particular segment, I think we have got sufficient resources. I just wanna give one example, Fairchem. We first invested in 2015. Between 2015 and 2020, we accumulated 67% of Fairchem for $35 million.

In 2020 November, we sold 12% of Fairchem for $45 million. Right now, we have 52% of Fairchem at the market price of $120 million. It's corrected a little bit. At its peak, it was 150, over $150 million. I just wanna give you as an example that, you know, this mid-market segment within India is growing. There are opportunities we are seeing. We need to find the right ones that we get at the right price, and for that, we have available resources. As Chandan said, if we find more number of opportunities, we'll bring in more partners. There are enough and more people within India who would want to partner with us in the businesses that we do on the ground.

That's my answer.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you, Sumit. That's well said. What we'll do is one thing we won't do, whatever the opportunity is, issue shares of Fairfax India at low prices. Like he says and Sumit said, we get partners, you know, Fairfax Financial could be a partner too. We look at the possibilities like that, but we won't issue shares of Fairfax India at these prices. It's just very dilutive. We wouldn't do that.

Michael Chiang
Shareholder, Ten Coco Investment Management

Can I ask another question?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Go right ahead.

Michael Chiang
Shareholder, Ten Coco Investment Management

Okay. As a new shareholder, I find that the relationship between the Fairfax Financial and Fairfax India is very complicated. You are a majority shareholder of the company. You control the voting rights. Same time, you charge a management fee, you charge a performance fee. Same time, you have a separation of insurance and non-insurance business in India. As minority shareholder, you know, how should I interpret all the relationships?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Nothing, nothing new. Right from day one, eight years ago, if you read the prospectus, we laid it all out. It was vetted with some of the big institutional shareholders who backed us at the time. They saw it all, and they said, "Yep, we like it. Bang." That's how we did it. We went to them and said, "Does it..." The biggest investor at the time was $100 million when we raised money, and he put $100 million. We went to him, "You're putting $100 million. We're gonna be big investors ourselves. What do you think?" Insurance, of course, we are in the insurance business. Does it make sense to compete with Fairfax Financial? No. So we said that. We laid it all out so that no... It's not complicated.

The business is not complicated. The investments are not complicated. When stock prices are down, it seems like it's complicated. It's not that complicated.

Michael Chiang
Shareholder, Ten Coco Investment Management

No, I'm okay. I'm a new shareholder, so.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you.

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you very much. Thank you. Hey, Jeff, any question from you?

Jeff D. Stacey
Chairman and CEO, Stacey Muirhead Capital Management

A question about the discount, but coming at it from a slightly different angle. With cash and government bonds on the balance sheet of close to $300 million, and with the IPOs of Anchorage and the National Stock Exchange pending, why have the pace of share buybacks slowed? Would you consider a substantial issuer bid?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah, we did. We've done a substantial issuer bid. It hasn't slowed. We're just, you know, working with our resources and continue to buy as it comes up. In one case, I think last year, Fairfax India bought as much as it could. Then, as I said in the presentation, Fairfax Financial bought the shares only after Fairfax India bought as much as they could. Then, we stepped in. You wanna add to that, Chandran?

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

No. Just Jeff, we bought almost, Jamie, correct me if I'm wrong, 20 million shares over the life of Fairfax India. SIVs, I mean, we can't talk about it. I mean, you know, if it's appropriate, we'll do one. They must know is that we have increased the amount of NCIBs from 5% to 10% this time. We can buy quite a bit more in the current NCIB.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I think we're, we understand that, and we'll continue to look at doing more within always the financial soundness and, but we like the stock price, and we've bought a lot of shares. We go to number one.

Jeffrey Steven
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Hello, my name is Jeffrey Steven. I'm a stockholder. My question is there a timeline for Fairfax India to pay a dividend?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

You know, that's a very good question. We've been asked that before. There is no timeline for that because we're trying to build capital appreciation really as opposed to dividend. You know, it could change depending on what we buy in the future and get some, you know, stable cash flows that justifies a dividend. At the moment, it's more capital appreciation and building net asset value. Chandan, you wanna add to that?

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

No.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

He says the same. That's how we began. We began by thinking that if we went to India, we had the opportunity of going 15%-20% growth. Haven't done it. Someone said the stock prices have gone up only 2.5%. But the book value has gone up at about 8.5%. We think the book value as shown is perhaps not representative of what the intrinsic value is. The stock price, of course, goes up and down depending on the day. You get a, you know, pretty lousy return. If it's at $20, it's a different return, right? But we think India has got the opportunity. Our investments have been, with one exception, NCML, all the others have done well. We're not concerned about any of them.

The rates of return have been good. We haven't sold, I mean, we haven't sold many of them. We like what we see. The possibilities are pretty significant.

Jeffrey Steven
Shareholder, Fairfax India

One more question. I'm not an expert on stock exchanges, but would it be beneficial for Fairfax India to trade on the stock exchange in India alongside?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Any question, anything on that, Chanan?

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Uh.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

You think that'll take the stock price up?

Jeffrey Steven
Shareholder, Fairfax India

I'm no expert. I just thought I'd throw that question in there.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I don't know. Sumit, you got anything to add to that? I mean, I don't know if that'll have any impact, but.

Sumit Maheshwari
Managing Director and CEO, Fairbridge Capital, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

In Indian stock markets and security laws are fairly complicated. This is a good idea. We'll explore this. In case if there's a logic and, you know, to do this, I think we will consider.

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I just add to that and say that, you know, it's kind of trying to game the system because it's not trading that good. This was an opportunity for people outside India to invest in India. Then to go and stick it in the Indian market, it doesn't make sense to me.

Jeffrey Steven
Shareholder, Fairfax India

They have billions of people, that's all.

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you.

Jeffrey Steven
Shareholder, Fairfax India

That's the revenue.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah. No, thank you.

Jeffrey Steven
Shareholder, Fairfax India

Thank you.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you. Thank you very much. Jeff.

Jeff D. Stacey
Chairman and CEO, Stacey Muirhead Capital Management

A question or a two-part question actually on CSB Bank. What is the planned growth for CSB Bank in the next 10 years, and what is being done right now to achieve that growth?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

CSB Bank is, has had, you know, when you're talking about very good performance, Mr. Rajendran, I don't know if he's here, but he did a terrific job. Passed it on to Pralay. Pralay's done a fabulous job, taking it over from Mr. Rajendran. Pralay happens to be right here, so why don't we get him to give us a little update on CSB Bank? Thank you, Pralay. Pralay Mondal.

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

Thank you, Prem. Thank you, Chandran. I'll just tell you what. We had a conference a few days back in India, with the CSB management team, and I said that we are at the right place at the right time in the right industry and in the right bank. I'll tell you why. Right place, because as we saw in the presentation, India is looking at in 76 years, we are at $3.5 trillion. Next, seven years, another $3.5 trillion, and maybe by $10 trillion by 2035. The whole opportunity which is there and look at the consumption side of the story with 50% to 60% consumption to GDP.

Overall, I think the way the whole country is growing in terms of trade growth, the opportunities is absolutely phenomenal. The savings on the savings side because there's the consumption side, the consumer growth is happening. All of that is happening, and even in this this year budget, when you looked at things, the CapEx cycle is coming back. The government has committed CapEx growth, which will get crowded in within private investment. From all perspective, the Indian banking system has never been so good as it is today. When you look back at the GFC crisis way back from there, in the public sector banks, the private sector banks, the way they have come out, and right now we are way at the lowest end of the credit cycling.

I think the industry is absolutely poised to support the growth on the GDP side, which I just talked about. With that background, I said we are in the right place at the right time. There is never a right time. I keep telling my team that we are small as a bank, but it's never too late to start, especially in 76 years, if you're 3.5, and in another seven years, we have 3.5. If we make a beginning now, we can be a large bank at some stage. Of course, we have to cross the mid-sector bank journey as well along the way. We, within the bank, we have set a vision, and then I'll talk about the execution side.

We have set a vision of SBS 2030, which also matches with the 7 trillion economy in 2030 in a way. SBS is nothing but sustain, build, scale. We said that FY 23-25, we'll work on the sustain and build. We'll completely revamp the bank in terms of technology, processes, building blocks. I'll talk about it a little bit. Then 27 onwards, the building will be done and the scale will happen. This is the way we want to build the bank. What we're doing in terms of building blocks, the first of course is, I mean, a lot of people say, "Can we really become a mid-sector bank?" I said, "Why mid-sector? We should be in the top end of the mid-sector by 2030.

2030, when we set the vision for the next decade, we should look at a large bank. That's the vision that the management we are creating in the bank, and it's built on five pillars. One is of course with a promoter investor like Fairfax, you cannot get a better kind of a support. Second of course is governance, the board. Some of them are sitting here. We get absolutely amazing support. At the same time, they make us work very hard, which is good for us at this stage because building blocks is something which has to be very, very strong. We're creating the machine, and creating the machine is more difficult than running a machine. I mean, I have done it in HDFC Axis. Running a machine is easier. Building a machine is much tougher.

That's what I tell my team. Third is building a very strong management team, which we have done. I think 70%-80% done. Another 20%-30% still to go. We are working on in the next six months, we'll complete that. Fourth of course is creating the technology. It's fourth, but it's probably the highest in terms of execution priority for us right now. What we're doing is, easier way to say that is whatever is in the technology today in the bank, nothing will be almost visible two years from now. I think that's the easier way to say than saying that what all we are doing, including the core system, the entire banking, because future of banking is about technology.

We are adding 15% branches every year, around 100 branches, as the size grows by 2030 we'll have around 1,500 branches. India is a market which will always have... I mean, when you look at the largest private sector bank, HDFC is adding 600 branches this year. Given that perspective, branches are not going away anywhere, but the form factor and what we do in those branches are changing, and that will in the back of the technology. We are completely changing this technology stack. More than a year's profit we are putting into the technology next year. Lastly, I think what is most important is the culture. Without the right culture, governance and the support, and the technology and the leadership, these are the 5 pillars on which we are building the bank.

The culture is very, very clear. Highest ethics integrity in the organization, respect for people, customer centricity, and most importantly, working as a team. What we have said to people is that the priority number 1, no hierarchy in the organization. I'm the gatekeeper, I'm the CEO, and everybody has to work like that. Because that's, in the building phase, that's very important. The second part is the right kind of a risk management culture in the organization, because we are dealing in public money. When you deal in public money, we have to understand risk and we have to manage risk very well. In cycles, certain things look very good, but in cycles, the real story comes out, and we have seen in various organizations what happens.

The third part of the culture which we're talking about is, how do we work as a team? I have seen in large organization, I've worked in some of the largest private sector banks in the past, I have seen that as the bank grows with time, a lot of people waste a lot of time in meetings and, you know, in conflicts and a lot of other stuff. What you're saying is we should build a culture in a way that everybody works together, lesser meetings, more decision-making, one-on-one, working with each other, and then building it. Now, last part which I want to talk about is the execution part, what we are doing quickly. We are saying we have a universal banking license.

If you have a universal banking license, we'd better use that license, because a lot of other banks who are small finance banks are trying for universal banking license. We have it. We must leverage that. What you're saying is, banking is about putting all of it together, because whether it is savings account, whether it is current account, whether it's transaction banking, everything is afloat at the end of the day. We have to have a full relationship with the customer. To do that, we need all the products, we need all the services, we need distribution, we need sales, we need customers. When you go to a customer, you go with a single product, you will get a customer who needs only a single product. When we need to have that kind of...

Gradually we'll grow going to change the pyramid of the customer, you know, structure. If you are starting with a smaller pyramid, we'll gradually move towards a bigger pyramid. By 2030, we'll have everything including wealth management fees, everything which is the highest level, then we get the scale, then the whole takeoff will happen. '27 onwards, we'll see a big scale happening. The question on growth, we said we are growing. I mean, the numbers are out for the 4th quarter. From a top-line perspective, we grew against a 5% deposit growth last year. We have grown by 21%. This is in public domain. In assets, we have grown by 30% against 9% last year. The market also grew by 15% and 10% respectively.

To that extent, we have beat the market by double. When we started the year, we went ahead and said that we will do 50% faster than the market. We did 100%. That's the way we are driving management, saying that, "Get the commitment in, and then execute and work backwards." That's broadly what is happening in CSB, a very, very exciting story. I must thank the management and the support of the board. More importantly, I must say that most of the people who have joined the bank, including me, we have a vision of creating a legacy. The people who have joined has not really joined because they're joining another job. They want to retire from here.

The long term, which you're talking about, Prem, also the morning and in the main body AGM, I think the entire management team is looking at what we create in the next decade and create a legacy behind, and that's exactly what we're working on. Thank you very much.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you, Pralay. You can see that's the kind of person, we like. You know, he's looking at building the bank with all the services that it has. He was at HDFC. This is a very lovely bank and, has worked there for a long time. Paresh, who's like a terrific advisor, consultant, was like the number 3, number 4 employee at the HDFC Bank. Paresh, are you there? Where are you? Yeah, Paresh is right there, and it's Pralay and Paresh. Give them a nice round of applause. We were the only... Fairfax was the only company, domestic, I think, or or international, who have the RBI, Reserve Bank of India, like Bank of Canada, allowed us to have 51% of the bank.

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

We own 51% of the bank. In time, we have to divest it and come down. We own 51% of the bank. Like Pralay just said, we're building a tremendous bank over the long term. And it's listed, of course, and in the market. We've come to number three.

Jeffrey Steven
Shareholder, Fairfax India

I'm Eng Chion Ong, a private investor, long-term shareholder of Fairfax Financial and Fairfax India. I'd like to offer some contrary opinion to... We've heard a lot about discount to NAV and the concerns. I have contrary opinion like that I'd like to express. I think the one proposal was to incentivize management to try and narrow the discount.

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

Yeah.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

First of all, I think incentivizing management to engage in financial engineering as opposed to focusing on building value in the underlying business, I think it's a bad idea.

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

Agree.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Second, the second reason why I think it's a bad idea is if you looked at the history of closed-end funds, most closed-end funds trade at big discounts to NAV, and many strategies that have been tried by closed-end fund management companies to narrow discounts never work. You may do something to narrow the discount for a while, but eventually the discounts will come back. I think it's the reasons for the discount is because people in general don't like closed-end funds that charge fees. I think if the closed-end funds operated as operating companies without the fee structure, you would remove a lot of the discounts immediately. That's a different story to talk about. The other reason I'm against the idea of focusing too much on

The discount to book value is, I think the very idea of, Fairfax, I mean, the philosophy of Fairfax has always been to be patient value investors.

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

Right.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Anybody who's been a long-term shareholder of Fairfax will understand that you need patience. Sometimes the market is just against you, and that's how it works. Eventually, if the company, if management is good at building up underlying value, the stock price will catch up. I mean Buffett says this all the time, so-

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

Well said. You're a great shareholder. Well said.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you. Can I get an extra dividend next year?

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

I'll get you some food outside.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I have a few other questions, which that question, that point I didn't plan on talking about, but I had a few other questions.

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

No, go right ahead.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

I think one of the first things you learn as a value investor is don't do envy. Having said that, I can't help the. A previous speaker mentioned the performance of Digit Insurance. I can't help looking at Digit Insurance's performance and asking why can't we get some of that performance. I understand the reason for splitting the insurance business to Fairfax, and I think that was clear from the start, so I have no problem with that. What I'm curious about is why is the insurance business. You did the same thing with ICICI Lombard as well. Why is it possible for you to achieve such phenomenal growth with the insurance companies, but not, say, with a CSB or IIFL? IIFL, the growth.

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

Not very well.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

... has been quite phenomenal. I think still nothing like the crazy-

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

As a CSB Bank, the economy might grow at, say, 10%. I used to be on the ICICI Bank board, and the guy who ran it was a guy by the name of KV Kamath. He used to say, "If the economy grows at 10%, the banking services and the insurance, but banking would grow at 2 times, maybe 2.5 times." That's the industry. If you're really smart like Pralay and Paresh, you might be able to grow even more than that. You know, it grows at 2.5 times the growth of the economy in nominal terms. India's nominal.

You know, India's real growth might be 8%, 9%, and then you add to it inflation, and then you add the multiplier effect, and it's a hell of a way of compounding, which they're going to do on the banking side. You're gonna see that. That's why it works as well.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Can I ask another question?

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

Sure.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Sorry. The question is on India in general. One of the paradoxes, to me at least, is like India, the economy seems to be doing very well, growing very fast, but it can't seem to solve the twin deficits problem, the budget deficits and, the trade deficits. Like is there a point where this, the situation will improve or...

Pralay Mondal
Managing Director and CEO, CSB Bank

That will change. The trade deficit will definitely change because they're just getting manufacturing and Make in India, all of that, and then export it. The budget deficit is, you know, building infrastructure, building roads and all of that. That's why. He was saying that privatizing, Mr. Modi was saying that he's gonna privatize these companies, a lot of companies that the government owns, and then use that money for infrastructure development as opposed to, you know, using other government resources. India's in the throes of exactly that change. You know, they're going through that change. You have 1.4 billion people, and he's... It's a democracy. He has to go to the voters.

I showed you what he did for the poor people, $500 million medical and drinking water and all. He's done all that. You think there's any chance he won't get elected next year? No chance. I mean, he's the number one. What he's done for India is unbelievable. Sort of like Lee Kuan Yew, in a smaller sense, did in Singapore. Just got elected one after the other. Mr. Modi is in a similar position, but he has to get into that... You have to give him the ability, give him some time. I mean, India was a socialist economy for 67 years. Socialism, bureaucracy, all of that. That is being changed. He's only been doing it for like, you know, seven and a half years, maybe something, eight years.

you know, there's a ton of stuff to do, and it's now moving. I think all that you say will come to place, and that might well be a good thing for the exchange rate, which we were talking about before. Thank you for your question. Jeff, any more from your standpoint?

Jeff D. Stacey
Chairman and CEO, Stacey Muirhead Capital Management

One last one here. Moody's just upgraded IIFL. Can you please comment on the NBFC and lending environment in India?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

We've Nirmal has been the founder of this company and done an outstanding job. They've been a great partner of ours for a long time, and let's welcome Nirmal to the podium.

Nirmal Jain
Founder and Chairman, IIFL Group

Thanks, Prem, and thanks, everybody. Moody's have upgraded our rating, and I think that's a very good vote of confidence, particularly in this environment where there's concern globally about our banks and the financial sector. Also about the outlook for NBFC sector, I'll just take couple of minutes. Last six, seven years, in India, NBFC sector has witnessed all kind of turmoil and, you know, the sort of trial by fire possible. It started with demonetization, then GST, then IL&FS crisis, then DHFL went bust, and then there are a few more, and then there was COVID. I think in all these crises, always men are separated from boys. The companies that survive become stronger.

I think the NBFC sector now looks a lot more consolidated and orderly. As Pralay highlighted that India and also what Prem mentioned, that when the economy grows at whatever rate in nominal terms, 10%, 12%, the demand for credit can grow at a multiple of it. Part of that is serviced by banks, and there's a significant part which is not easily accessible to banks is serviced by NBFCs like ours. I think there's a tremendous potential for this business to grow. In last 5 years we have seen the difficult times and done the hard work, and I think, now things look good for the next five years. Anything else? Yes.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

No, that's terrific. How many branches do you have?

Nirmal Jain
Founder and Chairman, IIFL Group

How many branches?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah. NBFC.

Nirmal Jain
Founder and Chairman, IIFL Group

We have almost 3,900 branches and 35,000-36,000 people. In fact, at least in terms of number of people, probably we are bigger than Fairfax also. Maybe twice. We generate a lot of employment, do a lot of social work, and we have 8 million customers. All our loans are small ticket loans, so we specialize in retail loans. Gold loan is about INR 60,000-70,000, which is sort of, you know, maybe less than $1,000. Our home loan ticket size is INR 13 lakh-14 lakh, less than maybe around $15,000-$16,000 US dollars. Business loan that we do is about $5,000-$6,000, and microfinance is $500-$800.

We really have, you know, what is our core is 95% of our book, retail, small ticket loan, and that we do through our own people and our own branches. That is why we are able to partner with banks also for co-lending and selling them our retail assets. This is something where typically large banks will find it difficult because the cost of sourcing the loan and servicing is something which requires really high level of efficiency and local connect and a small low-cost branches near the customer. I think as the economy grows, this segment of the business will be lifted very, very significantly. Just to give you a little perspective about how the credit market in India will grow, I...

Maybe these numbers may be a little off, but the top 12% households of India in terms of income today consume 70% of credit. What is happening is that obviously credit eligibility is based on your income. You know, there's another 30% of household below that which is consuming just about 15% of credit. Their real income in 10 years' time will be what it is of the top 12%. Even if all the lenders have the same criteria for lending in terms of the income eligibility, then also you can imagine that it can be 3 to 5-fold increase in the credit eligibility itself. With technology which, you know, I think, what is happening in India is revolutionary. You know that the payment can happen for almost no cost.

Even developed countries like U.S., there are PayPal and others who make a lot of money. Credit now, even for a small customer for $500, the entire bank statement or turnover data can be digitally accessed through what they call Account Aggregator, can be digitally analyzed, which reduces operating costs to almost zero. That is what will revolutionize the small business and the small credit over the next 5-10 years.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you, Nirmal.

Nirmal Jain
Founder and Chairman, IIFL Group

Thank you.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

The scope of the operation, you can get a sense. Thank you very much. We'll make that the last question. Thank you very much. Is there one person? One more? Okay, that'll be the last one. Go right ahead.

Nirmal Jain
Founder and Chairman, IIFL Group

Hi. Hi, Chandran. Good to see you again, and hello again, Prem. Our sincere gratitude to all the CEOs and directors for traveling all the way from India to answer our questions. We really appreciate as shareholders. I have two question. First question is regarding BIAL. BIAL is set up as a build trans, lease, and then transfer operation. You compared it to Sydney Airport, which I believe is owned in perpetuity by whichever private group owns it. I was wondering as an, if when you IPO, does that model have an effect on the valuation that we might get for, Bangalore Airport?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

We, we don't have ownership forever, but the ownership is long. Like, how much is it, 45?

Nirmal Jain
Founder and Chairman, IIFL Group

Yeah, 45 years left.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

45. It's a long time period.

Nirmal Jain
Founder and Chairman, IIFL Group

Prem, 45

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Doesn't, you and I will be, I will be long gone, but you'll still be there. 45 is a long time. Your next question.

Nirmal Jain
Founder and Chairman, IIFL Group

Yeah. The second question is regarding IIFL and CSB. A lot of growth in both of those companies has come from the gold loan segment. Since CSB is looking for scale, I was wondering if you have ever thought about merging these two entities and are there any synergies that can be realized over there?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

No, no. We don't believe in merging companies. There's a lot of hassles when we. You know, in Fairfax, we got 23 different companies, some of them doing relatively the same, but we don't merge them and it's worked for us. Here also we would. There's too many conflicts, too many potential conflicts. It's highly unlikely we would look at that.

Nirmal Jain
Founder and Chairman, IIFL Group

Okay. Thank you.

Chandran Ratnaswami
CEO and Director, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Siddharth Sharma, as you know, NBFCs have different rules and they have the opportunity to exploit those, and the banks have different rules that they have opportunity to exploit those. You put them together, then you get a big mishmash. I know HDFC and HDFC Bank are doing it, but I think at our stage, we're better off the way we are.

Nirmal Jain
Founder and Chairman, IIFL Group

Okay. Thank you.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Keep it focused and, Thank you very much. Last question from number one.

Jeff D. Stacey
Chairman and CEO, Stacey Muirhead Capital Management

Hello. I'm Jignasa Gohil from Toronto. I have two broad questions. I spent some time in Mumbai and Bangalore recently, and everyone looks like they have some success doing anything. My question is, in an environment where everyone's thriving, how do you filter out the mediocre players?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah, just repeat that last question. How do you?

Jeff D. Stacey
Chairman and CEO, Stacey Muirhead Capital Management

How do you filter out the mediocre companies?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah.

Jeff D. Stacey
Chairman and CEO, Stacey Muirhead Capital Management

when everyone's doing so well?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Yeah. We have high standards. First of all, as Chandan was saying, integrity. We wanna deal with people who are good people, treat their people well, but have honesty and integrity. If you could do really well, but if you don't have honesty and integrity, we don't wanna do business with you. That applies to everything in Fairfax. Secondly is results that we understand, comfortable with. Everything is not doing well in India. It's growing significantly. You might have a subsect that you ran into which seems like everyone's doing well. When an economy grows like at 7, 8, 9%, that's what happens. You're exactly right. Business grows at 20, 30, 40%. You know, you know, all of these companies are growing at significant...

I mean, look at the airport going from $25 million, $50 million. The second airport is going from $25 million-$50 million, then the third terminal if when they do it'll be $90 million. You know, like, you don't get that growth in many parts of the world. You saw it in China, by the way. You're seeing it now in India. China perhaps has already seen it. It'd be tough to replicate that, whereas in India. As that chart that Chandan showed, you know, we're past the $2,000 per capita. Lots of cities in India have $10,000 per capita so the possibilities are quite significant. You had another question?

Jeff D. Stacey
Chairman and CEO, Stacey Muirhead Capital Management

Yes. If India was a stock, would you put it in the value bucket or the growth bucket?

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

We'd have fantastic growth and we'd buy it at a value price.

Jeff D. Stacey
Chairman and CEO, Stacey Muirhead Capital Management

Thank you.

Prem Watsa
Founder, Chairman, and CEO, Fairfax India Holdings Corporation

Thank you very much all of you. We have a wonderful company in Fairfax India, and over the next five years, we think we'll do very well for you. Thanks for coming here. Thanks for taking part in our conference. Thank you.

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