Franco-Nevada Corporation (TSX:FNV)
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Sep 10, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
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Earnings Call: Q3 2020

Nov 5, 2020

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Franco-Nevada Corporation Q3 2020 results conference call. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question and answer session. If at any time during this call you require immediate assistance, please press star zero for the operator. This call is being recorded on November 5th, 2020. I would now like to turn the conference over to Candida Hayden. Please go ahead.

Candida Hayden
Corporate Affairs, Franco-Nevada

Thank you, Veronica. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss Franco-Nevada's third quarter 2020 results. Accompanying this call is a presentation which is available on our website at franco-nevada.com, where you will also find our full financial results. Sandip Rana, CFO of Franco-Nevada, will provide a brief review of our results. Eaun Gray, VP of Business Development, will provide a business development update, and Paul Brink, President and CEO of Franco-Nevada, will comment on our growth outlook. This will be followed by a Q&A period. Our full executive team is available to answer any questions. We would like to remind participants that some of today's commentary may contain forward-looking information, and we refer you to our detailed cautionary note on slide two of this presentation. I will now turn over the call to Sandip Rana, CFO of Franco-Nevada.

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

Thanks, Candida. Good morning, everyone. Third quarter 2020 was a return to some form of normalcy for Franco-Nevada, as we saw most of our royalty and stream interests resume normal operations by the end of the quarter, other than the Golden Highway assets, which are still on care and maintenance and are expected to remain so for the remainder of the year. Our partners at our royalty and stream assets have done a great job managing the COVID-19 pandemic and implementing the necessary safety protocols and procedures while still delivering excellent operating performance. With the increase in precious metal prices and the return to normal operations, Franco-Nevada delivered a very strong financial quarter, achieving a number of financial records. On slide three, we have highlighted the gold and gold equivalent ounces for the three months and nine months ended September 30th, 2020 and 2019.

Overall, despite the impact of the pandemic, GEOs sold were fairly stable for both periods shown, with 134,817 in third quarter 2020 compared to 133,219 a year ago. Gold ounces represent 80.6% of GEO sold for the quarter, compared to 76.4% a year ago. For the quarter, we had strong performance from a number of key assets. Four key contributors were Cobre Panama, Candelaria, Antapaccay, and Guadalupe. Cobre Panama resumed production in early August and reached full production ahead of schedule. The ramp-up has gone well, and we look forward to the growth Cobre Panama will deliver for the company in the coming years. Candelaria was a strong contributor, resulting in just over 20,000 GEOs sold, compared to 16,573 a year ago. It was the largest revenue generator for Franco-Nevada during the quarter, being 14% of total revenue.

Subsequent to quarter end, Lundin Mining temporarily suspended operations due to labor union issues. This suspension will impact a portion of the gold and silver deliveries in the fourth quarter for the company. Our stream on Guadalupe in Mexico with Coeur Mining had a strong quarter, delivering 23% more gold ounces than a year ago due to mining of higher grade, while Antapaccay GEOs sold were relatively flat year-over-year, but significantly higher than second quarter 2020. One of the strengths of Franco-Nevada is the depth of the portfolio. During a rising commodity price environment, our net profit interest royalties typically do well. Percent NPI on the Interlake underground deposit within Hemlo. The company earned approximately 13,000 GEOs or CAD 23.9 million in revenue from Hemlo during the quarter. The increase was due to the rising gold price, along with higher production on the Interlake claims.

It can be difficult to predict what the NPI amount will be each quarter due to the nature of the calculation and timing of incurring development costs. Franco-Nevada did record approximately CAD 13 million in revenue for the NPI that was related to prior periods. With respect to silver and PGMs, the company did recognize less GEOs sold during the quarter compared to the prior year. This was in line with expectations. With respect to silver, please note that the Antamina deliveries during the third quarter were based on production from the second quarter, which had been impacted by the pandemic. Slide four highlights our total revenue and adjusted EBITDA for three quarters shown. You can see from the bar charts, revenue has increased significantly compared to the comparable quarter shown.

The $279.8 million in revenue in the third quarter is a record for the company, as is the adjusted EBITDA of $235.1 million for the quarter. A margin of 84% was achieved. The average gold price for the quarter was $1,911 per ounce, compared to $1,474 per ounce a year ago, a 29.6% increase. This increase in gold price, combined with the increase in gold ounces sold in the quarter, resulted in gold revenue increasing from $151.1 million in Q3 2019 to $206.1 million, a 36% increase. Third quarter also saw a rebound in energy revenue as it increased from $14.6 million in Q2 2020 to $22.8 million this quarter as we saw a rebound in oil and gas prices. For the quarter, gold was 74% of revenue, silver 9%, PGMs 8%, other 1%, and energy 8%.

As you turn to slide five, you will see the key financial results for the company. I won't get into the detailed numbers, but the company delivered strong financial results, with it achieving records for a number of the key financial metrics during the quarter. As mentioned, the increase in revenue and adjusted EBITDA was predominantly due to the increase in precious metal prices. Adjusted net income and adjusted net income per share also increased significantly in the third quarter. Adjusted net income of CAD 152.3 million or CAD 0.80 per share were increases of 50% and 48%, respectively, over the prior year. This increase was a combination of the higher revenue, but also to the lower depletion being recorded. Depletion is dependent on the source of Gold Equivalent Ounces sold during a period.

For example, Hemlo, which was a significant contributor during the quarter, has a nominal book value, and thus, there is no depletion associated with the GEOs sold from this asset. With respect to depletion, the company is now guiding depletion expense of between CAD 225 million to CAD 245 million for 2020. Franco-Nevada has always been a royalty company, although it did add streaming to the business model a few years ago. Slide six breaks down the mix between streams and royalty revenue for the quarter. The streams that Franco-Nevada has added have been very successful for the company, adding significant top-line growth. They have become the largest component of our revenue, generating CAD 170.4 million in revenue during the quarter. It is royalties, whether mining or energy, which generate higher margin and thus cash flow.

As you can see, the costs related to royalties are minimal, with a combined cost of CAD 2 million related to the CAD 109.4 million in revenue generated by royalties. We believe our business model of both stream and royalty assets will allow us to continue to achieve peer-leading EBITDA margins. With respect to margins, the chart on slide seven illustrates how the margin for the company increases as gold prices increase. Our mining cost structure, which we reflect in our cash cost per ounce, includes our cost of sales less costs associated with the energy business, which are minimal. As you can see, it does fluctuate, but approximates CAD 275-CAD 300 per ounce. The average gold price increased approximately 30% year-over-year, but our cash cost per ounce increased 5%. In a rising gold price environment, we expect to benefit fully as the cost per ounce should not increase significantly.

The other cost component for the company, besides the cost of sales, is our corporate administration cost. Our board and management are very proud of our focus on cost management. We like to stress the strength of our business model and the scalability. The chart on slide eight clearly illustrates our focus on being as cost-efficient as possible in managing this business. Here, we have highlighted our quarterly revenues and our quarterly general and administrative expenses since our IPO. Since 2008, our revenues have grown from approximately CAD 25 million to CAD 280 million this quarter. That is more than a tenfold increase. This, while our G&A has remained fairly stable over this period. G&A costs have averaged CAD 5 million-CAD 8 million per quarter for the last 12 years. For Q3 2020, G&A was less than 2.5% of revenue at CAD 6.3 million.

Management believes we can continue to add to our portfolio and grow our business without adding significant overhead to the company. Before I turn it over to Eaun, I wanted to provide an update on the CRA audits. With respect to the various audits ongoing, both international and domestic, there are no material changes. The only additional item to note is that the CRA has now added 2016 to the list of years being audited. Now I'll pass it over to Eaun, who will provide an update on the recent royalty acquisitions.

Eaun Gray
VP of Business Development, Franco-Nevada

Thank you, Sandip, and good morning to those on the line. I'm pleased to be able to provide an update on some of our recent royalty purchases this morning. First off, we were very happy to add a 2% NSR on the Rio Baker claims at Salares Norte. This doubles the area that we cover on the project and extends the royalty along strike. We acquired this royalty for up to CAD 5 million upfront and up to CAD 8 million in contingent payments. We see good upside of this project, and it's really one of the few high-quality gold projects currently under construction. Moving to the next slide. We're also pleased to announce the acquisition of a portfolio of 24 royalties from Freeport-McMoRan for CAD 30.6 million. This portfolio provides good gold exposure, including a royalty on Wallbridge's flagship Fenelon project in Quebec.

We also acquired a cash flowing royalty on the Neal Hot Springs geothermal operation in Oregon and a royalty on Peñoles' Milpillas mine in Mexico. The portfolio altogether covers over 60,000 hectares, largely in North America, providing good, broad-based geological opportunity in regions that we like. Now, moving on in terms of pipeline for new deals, we see the pipeline is quite healthy at the moment. It's also quite diverse, both in terms of deal size and commodity. We're seeing a tendency, however, towards there being slightly more precious metal byproducts deals in the pipeline, but we see very good opportunity in other commodities as well over the next several months. With that, I'll hand it over to Paul to discuss some of the exciting organic growth within the portfolio.

Paul Brink
President and CEO, Franco-Nevada

Thank you, Eaun. The first area I'll cover is the upside of the NPIs in our portfolio. While the steady performance of our NSRs and streams is our bread and butter, in a bull market, our NPIs shine, as did the Hemlo NPI this quarter. There are a number of other NPIs in the portfolio. Goldstrike is the most substantial. We haven't seen as much as we'd like from Goldstrike NPI this year, with the Goldstrike material being fed to the mill at a slow rate. That does leave more material for the future. We have a 5% NPI on Musselwhite that hasn't contributed since the fire in early 2019. The mine's now back in operation with a production rate of about 250,000 ounces a year. We estimate the NPI will start paying again in late 2021. 2 other NPIs may come to life.

We have a 20% NPI on certain claims at Macassa, and the recent exploration success is expanding the ore body towards those claims. Our 5% NPI on the Pandora PGM operations in South Africa may turn profitable if these high PGM prices continue. The next item is our growth outlook. Slide 11 shows the expected near-term drivers. Expansions at Stillwater, Tasiast, and Macassa, the construction of Salares Norte and Cobre Panama are all expected to complement the growth from Cobre Panama over the next five years. With increased capital available to the sector, the likelihood of development assets moving to production has picked up. Assets like Valentine Lake, Hardrock, and Stibnite Gold are advancing towards construction decisions and currently not included in our five-year guidance. It's exciting to see the level of organic growth across the portfolio. Slide 12 highlights recent portfolio updates.

I won't cover them all, as I'm sure you're following many of the North American assets like Hardrock, Stibnite, and Island Gold. Less familiar are the Australian assets. Last quarter, I mentioned the expansion from open pit to underground at Duketon in Australia. Another interesting Australian development is Wiluna, also known as Matilda, where we have a 3.6% NSR. Wiluna is currently producing 60,000 ounces per annum from oxide ore, but with a total sulfide resource of close to 6 million ounces. They're currently constructing a sulfide concentrator that'll allow production of 100,000-120,000 ounces per annum by late 2021 and have stage 2 plans to expand production to 250,000 ounces per annum. The pace of drilling in the gold sector has picked up.

Last quarter, I highlighted exploration successes at Detour, Malartic, Valentine Lake, and Hemlo, and expect these to contribute to our reserve and resource increases at year-end. Two reserve and resource updates were received through the quarter. The first at Candelaria. Lundin in their annual mid-year update, once again increased M&I resources, in particular reflecting success at the Candelaria Norte underground. The new M&I resource is an 18% year-over-year increase. Lundin have now more than doubled the mine life from the 14-year expected life at the time they acquired the mine in 2014. The second update was from Equinox at the Mesquite Mine in California. M&I resources increased by 94%, and the total mineral inventory at the mine is now greater than 2 million ounces. As an aside, we also received news from Equinox of the first gold pour at Castle Mountain during the quarter.

The portfolio saw three meaningful exploration successes this quarter. Kirkland Lake has been having ongoing success this year, expanding the ore body at Macassa. In October, Kirkland intercepted 254 grams per tonne over 14 and a half meters, extending the south mine complex further to the south, near the contact with the Amalgamated Break. We have a variable rate royalty on Premier Gold's and Nevada Gold Mine's South Arturo mine that we estimate will be 6% on the sulfide material. On the prior reserves, we expected South Arturo to contribute for the next four years, although they have now discovered material extensions to the El Niño underground that will likely extend mine life when they update reserves and resources at year-end. Skeena Resources continues to have success at Eskay Creek, where they're developing a high-grade open pit.

Their 2019 PEA indicated production of 2.6 million ounces of gold equivalent at an average gold equivalent grade of greater than 4 grams per tonne. More recently, they're having success at depth, initially with the Water Tower zone, and this quarter, discovering a new zone, Eskay Deeps, that lies 260 meters below the prior known mineralization. The drilling success bodes well for our longer-term organic growth, always the most profitable type of growth. The final topic to cover is our available capital, shown on slide 13. Our cash balance is building rapidly. We have working capital of CAD 559 million and no debt. Including our available credit facilities of CAD 1.1 billion, we have a total of CAD 1.8 billion of available capital to deploy on new growth opportunities.

Given where the balance sheet now stands, strong cash flow generation, and the stock trading below its highs earlier this year, we're not currently planning to use our ATM facility. With that, I'll hand it to the operator, and we welcome any questions.

Operator

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session. Should you have a question, please press the star followed by one on your touch tone phone. You will hear a three-tone prompt acknowledging your request, and your questions will be polled in the order that they are received. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press the star followed by two. If you're using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. Your first question comes from Fahad Tariq with Credit Suisse. Please go ahead.

Fahad Tariq
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. On slide 10, where you talk about the Freeport royalty portfolio, the land package is quite large. Can you talk a little bit about how additional discoveries would work in terms of Franco's exposure? Secondly, based on your internal numbers, what would be IRR for this portfolio? Thanks.

Eaun Gray
VP of Business Development, Franco-Nevada

Good morning. It's Eaun Gray here. This is a portfolio of 24 royalties, and the land package is broken out over a number of those. A very large chunk, however, is covered by the Wallbridge royalty. Fenelon, their flagship project, but also Martiniere and Northway-Noyen. That comprises a very large component, and the royalty there is 1%-2%. 1% on Fenelon, I believe it's 2% Martiniere and 1% on Northway-Noyen. There's variable rates of royalties across the others that have been acquired. It's specified in each. I think we'll provide more granular disclosure with the asset handbook. These are relatively early-stage royalties in a number of cases. The two cash flowing are Neal Hot Springs, which is a renewable energy royalty, and Milpillas, which is a copper mine in Mexico.

The IRR for this is something we probably won't disclose directly because a lot of it is really in the option value of these assets and is assessed based on what we think the geological prospectivity is. Assessing it based on cash flow, that's a tough thing to do at this stage.

Fahad Tariq
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Okay. Not a problem. Just one other question on the At the Money equity program. I believe you raised CAD 20 million in the quarter, I'm guessing perhaps to fund this deal. Can you just walk us through, philosophically, why tap that program when there's quite a bit of cash on the balance sheet? That's my last question. Thank you.

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

Sure. When we did implement that program in 2019, we did have debt on the balance sheet, and we completed a deal with Range Resources on the Marcellus. At the time, the program was implemented to pay off the debt that we had, and which was done earlier this year. Thereafter, the objective was to build a cash balance on our balance sheet, which, as Paul mentioned, is a decent size right now of just under CAD 500 million. At this stage, as was mentioned, we don't intend to use the ATM at this stage.

Fahad Tariq
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. Your next question comes from Jackie Przybylowski with BMO. Please go ahead.

Jackie Przybylowski
Analyst, BMO

Thanks very much. I want to start with just a modeling question, if you can help me out. I guess, specifically with Cobre Panama, because it's a fairly new mine still. The revenues you reported in the quarter were quite a bit higher than what I was looking for. Anyways, can you give us a bit of a sense or some color in terms of how you expect those deliveries, let's say in the fourth quarter, to play out? Do you expect that to sort of fall back down below the mine's production run rate for the next quarter? Thanks.

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

Sure. For Cobre Panama, it was roughly 16,000 GEOs for the third quarter. Fourth quarter, obviously, it depends on where they are making shipments and timing of payment for Franco-Nevada, but I would expect to see at least the same level of GEOs that we achieved in the third quarter.

Jackie Przybylowski
Analyst, BMO

I guess that would lead me to my next question, which is, you mentioned in the MD&A that you expect to be sort of at the high end of your previous guidance for the full year. Is there a chance or, I guess is there a possibility that you could actually exceed that high end of the guidance by a meaningful amount if production at Cobre Panama is consistent with what we saw this quarter? I know assuming that Candelaria is back up and running near-term obviously as well.

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

Yeah, no, that would be great if we were able to exceed our guidance. Obviously, right now we are looking at the best available information. There is always assets that surprise us in a quarter, for example, the Hemlo NPI. Again, if the Hemlo NPI or some of the other assets deliver more than what is expected, there is the possibility that we do exceed our guidance.

Jackie Przybylowski
Analyst, BMO

Perfect. That'd be a good problem to have, I guess. Maybe I'll just ask one final question. Your revenue from gold and precious metals, you disclosed was 92% this quarter, and energy only making up a small portion. I know you get this question every quarter, so I'll take my turn asking it, I guess. Is that opening up the possibility, or is that making you guys think a little bit harder about adding energy royalties to your portfolio in the near term?

Paul Brink
President and CEO, Franco-Nevada

More so than what the balance is, Jackie, we look to see where the sector is. There's a lot of capital that's been pulled out of the sector. We are seeing some attractive opportunities, moderate in size. We are actively looking, but it's really driven by the quality of the assets rather than the current commodity mix.

Jackie Przybylowski
Analyst, BMO

Okay, perfect. Thanks very much, Paul and Sandip.

Operator

Thank you very much. Your next question comes from Puneet Singh with Industrial Alliance. Please go ahead.

Puneet Singh
Analyst, Industrial Alliance

Great. Thanks. I guess in terms of the opportunities you're seeing out there on the precious metal side, would you say that you're focused more on the lower priced acquisitions that have significant future geological potential, or are there still these larger opportunities out there being shopped by operators that you've been talking about in the previous quarters? Thanks.

Eaun Gray
VP of Business Development, Franco-Nevada

Morning, Puneet, again. I would say both. There are interesting opportunities to look at on the larger end of the spectrum, and we continue to evaluate those. When we see opportunities that are smaller that have the potential to get much bigger, especially in precious metals, we are aggressive in pursuing those as well.

Puneet Singh
Analyst, Industrial Alliance

Just on these smaller ones, do you think on some of these newer assets, is it easier to acquire a royalty that's already existing on the asset versus creating a new one with some of these junior explorers from your perspective?

Eaun Gray
VP of Business Development, Franco-Nevada

Generally, I would say it is easier to buy existing royalties. We'd like to create new royalties. We find there is really good opportunities there from time to time. At the moment, there's probably more deal flow in the existing royalty space, especially around precious metals.

Puneet Singh
Analyst, Industrial Alliance

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. Your next question comes from Cosmos Chiu with CIBC. Please go ahead.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Hi. Thanks, Paul, Sandip, and Eaun, and congrats on a very good Q3 here. Maybe my first question is on the NPIs. As you mentioned at Hemlo, of the CAD 24 million in revenue, CAD 13 million came from previous quarters. Could you remind me how these NPI contracts work? Could we expect another sort of catch up in the future quarters, or is this pretty much it?

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

Sure. Cosmos, obviously NPI.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Hi, Paul.

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

Hey, how you doing? Net profit interest. The way the calculation is, you are able to deduct your operating cost as well as capital and whatever profit. On this specific NPI, it's a 50% share that Franco does have. There's different elements because the NPI doesn't apply to the whole property. From our standpoint, it's difficult to get some visibility on what the number is. We make our best estimate each quarter. It just so happens with the sharp rise in the gold price in second quarter, the NPI was much higher than what we had envisioned, and it was also a component of the spend on development at the time. Could you have catch-up payments? Yes. For example, we'll make an accrual for fourth quarter as well, and it could be that depending upon where commodity prices are, we've underestimated.

We could also possibly overestimate. It is not an exact science. Just so happened that the NPI for the second quarter was much more significant than what we thought it was going to be, and hence the catch-up payment in Q3.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

This could happen at, say, Goldstrike as well. Depending on your accrual that you've made at Goldstrike, there could be one quarter where there could be a catch-up.

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

There could be. The thing with Goldstrike is they do provide us a fair bit of information. Hemlo is a little different. It just depends on what sort of agreement you do have. The likelihood of a catch-up like that at Goldstrike is much less versus a Hemlo and versus, for example, a Musselwhite. There we don't have as much visibility. Our agreement with Goldstrike and information sharing is much better with Barrick at Goldstrike.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

For sure. Maybe switching gears a little bit, good to see that you've made some acquisitions in a quarter with good potential here. At Wallbridge, I don't know Wallbridge as well. Eaun, could you maybe walk me through the asset? I don't know how much you can tell me about Fenelon and the timing here. What are they saying in terms of potential production, how do the other two kind of fit into the whole scheme of things, Martiniere and also Northway-Noyen?

Eaun Gray
VP of Business Development, Franco-Nevada

Hi, Cosmos. It's Eaun.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Hi, Eaun.

Eaun Gray
VP of Business Development, Franco-Nevada

Fenelon is where they're very much focused at Wallbridge. I'd point you to their recent presentations. They've got some excellent presentations outlining the project. Maybe I could just quickly highlight, there are a few zones there that we've called out in the presentation, and they're looking at both open pit potential and high grade underground. There is already a ramp into the deposit, and they have taken a bulk sample. It's one from a geological perspective we find very interesting, and we see there being very good upside, but it is still early. Exactly what it's going to shake out to be in the timeline is tough. It's in an excellent jurisdiction. In terms of building a mine, and I understand that they've already put a bunch of the steps in place so they could permit it relatively rapidly.

The plan right now is for resource, I think, in the second half of next year.

Don't quote me on that, but that's my recollection.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Okay. The other two, Martiniere and Northway, how do they fit in? Are they separate?

Eaun Gray
VP of Business Development, Franco-Nevada

They're separate. They're geographically distant. There's different royalty rates at Martiniere. The company does seem to be spending some time on Martiniere, less so on, let's call it Northway-Noyen. They both have historical resources and are in a great jurisdiction. We're always happy to pick up that kind of an asset for optionality within the portfolio.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Mm-hmm. For sure. Maybe just one last question here. I'm just trying to confirm my mathematics here. You talk about your guidance, 475 to 505 for the year, and it looks like you're trending to the top end for sure. Of course, there's that X factor called Candelaria. Candelaria did about 20,000 GEOs in Q3. Worst case scenario, even if, say it doesn't come back or there's minimal contribution in Q4, based on simple math, you could still potentially hit your guidance. Candelaria just really a factor of, are you going to hit the bottom end or the higher end? Is that a good understanding here?

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

Yeah. I guess the way we look at it is if Candelaria resumes production in the near term, we think we'll be at the higher end of the guidance. If not, more towards the middle. Obviously, the other X factor in this are the NPIs. If gold price continues to rise, they could perform better than they have previously. That would add additional upside to our performance and, as I said, potentially exceed guidance.

Cosmos Chiu
Analyst, CIBC

Great. Thanks a lot. Those are all the questions I have. Thank you.

Eaun Gray
VP of Business Development, Franco-Nevada

Thanks, Cosmos.

Operator

Thank you very much. Your next question comes from Michael Jalonen with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Michael Jalonen
Analyst, Bank of America

Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Just had a question, Paul, Sandip, Eaun, on Golden Highway. What's the quarterly revenue contribution that Franco's forgoing at the moment? I know you'll get it eventually, reserves are in the ground forever, unless they get mined. Secondly, has Kirkland Lake given you any indication what steps or what has to happen for the mines to reopen? They must say something. Thanks.

Paul Brink
President and CEO, Franco-Nevada

Mike, it's Paul. I don't have an exact number in terms of the revenue there. It is one of our smaller assets. It's a smaller producer. I don't have much guidance in terms of the moving pieces there or the timing on Golden Highway. The company has reported they are considering their alternatives with the asset. Whether it is core for them ongoing or not, I am uncertain. I'm sure in due course it will be up in operation, but don't have a lot of guidance on the timeline or what it'll take to get there.

Michael Jalonen
Analyst, Bank of America

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. Your next question comes from Brian MacArthur with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Brian MacArthur
Analyst, Raymond James

Good morning. Sorry, my question goes back to what Cosmos was asking on the Hemlo NPI. Just so I understand this, the CAD 13 million is the true-up from the period before. Is that essentially what you're doing is you're accruing and then you actually get the cash payment in the door and the CAD 13 million is, that cash is coming in this quarter? What I'm trying to figure out is you're accruing, but when the cash is actually coming in from this NPI, because obviously there's ongoing spending that affects what the operator decides to do, when they actually pay that out and how you actually get the cash in on all this.

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

Sure. Hi, Brian. Sandip here. Yes, you're right. What happens is each quarter we will accrue what we believe is the NPI amount. The operator, Barrick, will make payment to us in the middle of the following quarter. For example, the accrual that we would have done for third quarter, we will receive in November. This will pay it in cash, and at that time, then we will do a true-up. It just so happened that we made an accrual in second quarter, and then we were paid subsequent to second quarter, and the amount was significantly higher than what we had accrued. Again, we've made an accrual for third quarter, and there is the possibility that the accrual could be too high or too low.

We will find out in the next few weeks when we receive the statement and the cash associated with the NPI.

Brian MacArthur
Analyst, Raymond James

You're never giving cash back, you just.

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

No, no. We do not. It just carries. The Hemlo NPI has been with us since 2000, when we went public. It just so happens that it was in a deficit position, and then it achieved profitability a few years ago.

Brian MacArthur
Analyst, Raymond James

Right. You're making estimates about capital and all the rest of it, which is flexible. You just accrue, and if you get it wrong, you get less the next quarter or whatever. There's no cash true-up.

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

There's no cash we have to return. Correct.

Brian MacArthur
Analyst, Raymond James

Perfect. Thank you very much. That's what I thought.

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

Okay.

Operator

Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, should you have a question, please press the star followed by one. Your next question comes from Greg Barnes with TD Securities. Please go ahead.

Greg Barnes
Analyst, TD Securities

Thank you. Sandip, is there a way to provide some idea of what the NPI run rate would be at a $1,900 gold price going forward? Maybe not just for Hemlo, but for the group of NPIs that you have.

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

It is something that we will look to do, and potentially as part of our guidance that we issue in the first quarters with our year-end results, something that we could provide.

Greg Barnes
Analyst, TD Securities

Would you do that by asset or just as a lump sum number across all of the NPIs?

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

Likely a lump sum number.

Greg Barnes
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. Any quantum around what that number would be for Q4?

Sandip Rana
CFO, Franco-Nevada

Q4, I'd have to take a look. Let me take a look. I don't want to give a number off the top of my head.

Greg Barnes
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay, fair enough. Thank you.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, should you have a question, please press the star followed by one. Candida Hayden, there are no further questions at this time. Please proceed.

Candida Hayden
Corporate Affairs, Franco-Nevada

Thank you, Veronica. We expect to release our year-end 2020 results after market close on March 10th, with a conference call held the following morning. Thank you for your interest in Franco-Nevada. Goodbye.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines. Thank you.