Panasonic Holdings Corporation (TYO:6752)
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Apr 28, 2026, 3:30 PM JST
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Earnings Call: Q1 2025

Jul 31, 2024

Speaker 11

Let me start the presentation on the consolidated financial results for the first quarter of FY 2025, fiscal March 2025, ended June 30, 2024. First, the summary. Overall sales increased on increased sales in Connect and Industry, as well as currency translation, despite decreased sales in Lifestyle, Automotive, and Energy. By business, Industry and Energy had positive factors, with favorable sales of generative AI-related products. Lifestyle had negative factors, with decreased sales of air-to-water heat pumps in Europe and consumer electronics in China. In Automotive and Energy also had negative factors, with demand at the Japan factory continuing to decrease. Adjusted Operating Profit decreased overall due to decreased profit in Lifestyle, Connect, and Energy, despite increased profit in Automotive and Industry. Net profit decreased due mainly to recording of one-time gains in FY 2024, with the liquidation of Panasonic Liquid Crystal Display.

Operating cash flow slightly increased year-on-year, and we aim to generate further operating cash flows. Regarding the U.S. IRA, Inflation Reduction Act, we have decided to elect the transferable monetization method for most of the tax credit applicable to FY 2024. Consequently, the associated cost is recorded in this first quarter. The timing of monetization is scheduled for during or after Q2, which is approximately two years ahead of our initial assumption. This slide describes the impact of the IRA tax credit on our financial results. For the first quarter, we assumed to elect the refundable monetization method, which is the same accounting treatment in items as before. As mentioned earlier, we have decided to elect the transferable method for most of the tax credit applicable to FY 2024. The details of such impact to the first quarter financial results are shown in the middle of this slide.

The impact amounts to adjusted operating profit is JPY 16.2 billion, which includes the associated cost of JPY 5.5 billion. On consolidated basis, sales increased year-on-year by 5% to JPY 2,121.7 billion. Sales on constant currency decreased by 2%. Adjusted operating profit decreased to JPY 84.3 billion, and operating profit decreased to JPY 83.8 billion. Net profit decreased to JPY 70.6 billion, due mainly to the impact of recording in FY 2024 of one-time gains with liquidation of Panasonic Liquid Crystal Display, as explained earlier. This is the results by segment. In the following slides, you will see the year-on-year variance analysis of sales and operating profit. This is the sales analysis by segment.

In Lifestyle, sales decreased due to lower sales of air-to-water in Europe and consumer electronics in China, as well as lower sales for other segment products, despite higher sales of such products as electrical construction materials in India, showcases, and room air conditioners. In Automotive, sales decreased due to discontinued production of certain models, sluggish sales in China, and the impact of reduced production by car manufacturers. In Connect, sales increased in Process Automation, capturing the recovery trend of smartphone demand in China, as well as increased sales in Gemba Solutions and Avionics. In Industry, sales increased with increased sales of products for generative AI servers and ICT terminals, despite decreased sales of industrial use relays in Europe and China. In Energy, sales in in-vehicle decreased.

This is due to the continuing decrease in demand at the Japan factory, as well as price revisions reflecting lower raw material prices and others. Production in North America decreased in the first quarter, adapting to temporary production adjustment, but recovery there is now seen with an increased number of models eligible for IRA tax credit, so favorable sales is expected for Q2 onward. Sales in Industrial/ Consumer increased, with favorable sales of energy storage systems for data centers, driven by the generative AI market. Within other elimination and adjustment, sales decreased for both Entertainment & Communication and Housing. This is the adjusted operating profit analysis by segment. In lifestyle, profit decreased due to decreased sales of air-to-water in Europe, consumer electronics in China, and negative impact of exchange rates, despite increased sales of electrical construction materials in India, showcases, room air conditioners, and others.

In Automotive, profit increased, due mainly to improved product mix and rationalization, despite increased fixed cost and decreased sales. In Connect, profit decreased due to decreased sales of Media Entertainment, upfront investments in Avionics, and increased strategic investments in Blue Yonder, despite increased sales of Process Automation and Gemba Solutions. In Industry, profit increased due to increased sales of products for generative AI servers, fixed cost reduction, and effect of yen depreciation. In Energy, profit in in-vehicle decreased. This is due to the impact of decreased production in Japan, increased ramp-up costs for the Wakayama and Kansas factories, and recording of the cost of transfer monetization of IRA tax credit, despite improved profitability of the North America factory, due mainly to the rationalization of raw materials. Profit in Industrial/ Consumer increased due to increased sales of energy storage system for data centers serving the generative AI market.

This shows the result of the Lifestyle by divisional company. In Living Appliances and Solutions Company, both sales and profit decreased, largely affected by lower sales of consumer electronics in China due to market downturn. In Heating and Ventilation AC Company, profit decreased, largely affected by lower sales of air-to-water in Europe. This shows our year-on-year operating profit analysis by sector. From the left, decreased profit on lower sales in real terms was a decreased factor of JPY 7.5 billion. Higher fixed cost was a decreased factor of JPY 16.9 billion. This is due mainly to the investments in Energy for the business growth, as well as the impact of inflation. Net impact of raw materials and logistics prices was an increased factor of JPY 12.4 billion. The effect of the price revisions, rationalization, was also an increased factor of JPY 6 billion.

Other individual factors, impact of IRA, including the cost of transferable monetization, was negative factor of JPY 6.5 billion. The breakdown of Blue Yonder is shown at the bottom right. Adjusted OP on a standalone basis decreased by JPY 2.3 billion, excluding Forex impact, due to increased strategic and synergy investment. On a consolidated basis, adjusted OP decreased by JPY 2.8 billion. Excluding the impact of strategic and synergy investment, AOP increased by JPY 0.6 billion. Forex impact was an increased factor of JPY 6.8 billion, mainly seen in Industry and Energy. As a result, adjusted OP decreased by JPY 8.5 billion. Operating profit decreased by JPY 6.6 billion. This shows the cash flows and cash positions. On the left of the three areas, the shown in blue are the changes. Excuse me. Excuse me.

So looking at the cash flows and cash positions on the left, operating cash flows amounted to JPY 228 billion, a slight increase year-on-year. Going forward, we will continue to generate further operating cash flows. On the right, net cash was negative of JPY 451.6 billion. So this shows an update of the progress made in initiatives for our three investment areas. Changes from the previous announcement are shown in blue, underlined in blue. There have not been many changes in automotive battery and supply chain management software businesses. In air quality and air conditioning business, as I said earlier, our air-to-water business in Europe is facing persistent market slowdown. The graph at the bottom right shows the air-to-water sales trend since the Q1 of last year in terms of sales amount and year-on-year change. As shown here, sales decreased significantly in Q3 last year.

We have not been able to return to the recovery trend. However, in the long-term perspective, this market is expected to expand. Therefore, in preparation for future market recovery, we will continue our efforts to enhance our competitiveness through collaborations with such companies as INNOVA and tado. Finally, I'd like to explain the strategic capital partnership and establishment of a new company regarding Panasonic Connect's Projector business and related operations announced today. This transaction is to further grow the Projector business. The new company will be established based upon the Media Entertainment Business Division of Panasonic Connect, in which ORIX Corporation will hold 80% of the shares and Panasonic Connect 20%.

Through this partnership, we aim for further growth by leveraging Panasonic Connect's technological expertise and customer base, as well as ORIX investment capability, along with the knowledge and experience cultivated through investments in numerous companies, including manufacturing and large corporations. In addition, this partnership enables continuous R&D investments in hardware technologies, as well as execution of inorganic growth strategies, such as formulating growth strategic ally- global strategic alliances. The transfer price is JPY 118.5 billion, which will be allocated to Panasonic Connect's investment area. Sales recorded in FY 2024 for the business subject to transaction was about JPY 77 billion. That concludes my presentation. Thank you for your attention.

Operator

The first questioner is Naganawa-san from Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Nikkei newspaper.

Yuki Naganawa
Staff Writer, Nihon Keizai Shimbun

Thank you. Naganawa from Nikkei. I hope you can hear me.

Speaker 11

Yes, we can.

Yuki Naganawa
Staff Writer, Nihon Keizai Shimbun

Thank you. My first question, this is related to the news released today or the news item today. The, Bank of Japan decided to increase the interest rate, which would, most probably impact your policies regarding the assumed interest rates as well as the investment environment. So wonder if you can comment on any possible changes to your policies going forward, financing policy? My second question is in relation to the Projector business. I understand a new company will be established, 80% owned by ORIX, 20% by Panasonic Connect. In the case of Automotive transfer, the partnership form was with some of their shares being held by Panasonic.

Are you going to continue with this approach going forward, with possible transfer of business going forward?

Speaker 11

Thank you for your questions. First, the Bank of Japan today announced 0.25% rate increase. Regarding this, it's just a matter of timing. In any areas affected by interest rates, I think this is only natural. We are basically financing through yen, and so the yen financial cost should go up. But in the meantime, our profitability approach will be enhanced so that we can deal solidly with the interest rates context. As for the real-term interest, it's much lower than the official rates, and so interest rates difference between Japan and the U.S. will be carefully looked at.

Japan and U.S. account for a large portion of our business, and therefore, we'll be looking at the interest rate environment in the two countries for financing and capital allocation. That's the answer to your first question. The second question, the Projector business, 20% will be owned by Panasonic. The intent is, as I mentioned earlier in my presentation, Panasonic brand will continue to be used for some time and, to assure our customers, we want to be solidly involved in the business. So there is the similar approach with Automotive. We do have a very good relationship with our customer base as well as in terms of our expertise.

In the meantime, ORIX has its own strength, so both of our strengths will be leveraged so that the Projector business itself can grow going forward. That is the intent of this arrangement. That is all. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We move on to the next question. From Bloomberg, we have Furukawa-san.

Yuki Furukawa
Reporter, Bloomberg

Thank you. This is Furukawa of Bloomberg. Thank you very much. On page two, IRA tax credit and impact on your financial results, and you have chosen to have a transferable monetization. There is additional cost. Why did you use this method? I'd like to know the reason.

It is two years earlier to get this capital, but for example, we are right in front before the presidential election in the United States. So if the Trump becomes the president, there could be some concerns on IRA, or you need some cash or capital urgently.

This JPY 5.5 billion cost of transfer and monetization, is this for the FY 2024 tax credit? This is the point of clarification on that.

Speaker 11

Thank you for your questions. Initially, or last year, we said that we would elect probably the refundable monetization, and we said that it would probably take a little more than two years. But at the same time, it just happens that we have to think about the counterparty and the economic rationale. I think we can find the good foundation or reason from the economic perspective. So based on that, we have chosen or elected to do the transferable monetization. So as for the IRA or our funding situation, they're not related to this decision. So I think it's reasonable economically to do this transferable monetization.

So JPY 5.5 billion additional costs for FY 2024, we booked most of the tax credit, and it's for the most of the tax credit, roughly speaking. So in terms of yen, I think there are some differences, but about JPY 200 billion level, and that would be the account for JPY 5.5 billion, so it's about the 3% per year in terms of cost. And right now, in the United States, well, it's based upon the U.S. dollars, and the interest rate in the United States is like 5.5% in terms of Fed funds interest rate. So when it comes into the company, it's 10% or higher if you manage it or invest it for two years.

So it's economically reasonable. So that's why we elected the transferable monetization. Thank you.

Yuki Furukawa
Reporter, Bloomberg

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. We'll move to the next question from Toyo Keizai, Umegaki-san, please.

Hayato Umegaki
Reporter, Toyo Keizai

Umegaki from Toyo Keizai. Thank you. I have two questions. First, on IRA, a follow-up question, if I may. In terms of cash, I understand that the timing of cash income is going to change. For Q2 onward, maybe no impact on the profit and loss, but on cash flow, what will be the impact? And I understand that this monetization, transferable, is only for the tax credit for FY 2024. Any changes for the ensuing years? And my second question is relative to the overall financial results. I understand that many of the segments were suffering.

Back in May, you made, you shared with us the assumptions, and I suppose that, some of the results were worse than what, what you were assuming. So could you elaborate on that?

Speaker 11

As for the refundable tax credit, for the second quarter, we are expecting the income, although it's not certain. So what the impact is going to be—I'm sorry, not the refundable, but transferable, that is. Now, conventionally, for accounting treatment, we have been accounting for that, but in the operating cash flow, it is not incorporated. Whereas this time, with the monetization in the operating cash flow, we should see an increase. As for the use within our capital allocation policy, of course, we can't make distinctions amongst all the cash flow.

But since this is the tax credits originating from the U.S., and therefore, the Kansas plant as well as the investment for Lawrence, Kansas, this would be the possible use. For FY 2025, the assumption of the guidance is the refundable tax credit as explained during my presentation. As mentioned, our capital allocation is not the reason for that. There is a counterparty, and basically, we are assuming refundable tax credit method for FY 2025. So, we're not electing transferable for the FY 2025 portion. Now, the overall results, the difference from our assumption, well, by segment, there are ups and downs. Some weakness was observed in such areas as LAS, China, appliances, appliances in China.

The divisional company in China posted quite a bit of a decline in profit, impacted by the real estate market situation there. It is having an impact on the durable goods as well, more so than we had anticipated. That is one reason for the softening. As for air- to- water, on a year-on-year basis, you might be misled, but if you look at page 10 in the investment areas on the lower right-hand side, you can see the bar graphs and the dotted line graph, starting from Q1 of last fiscal year. From the second quarter, it declined, and in the Q3 of FY 2024, and in the fourth quarter as well, we saw a flat or decline. Q1 saw the biggest gap year-on-year.

But as of now, this was within our assumption. As for the second half of the fiscal year, we may have to revisit our projection. As for Automotive, reduction in the number of automobiles produced. It's been announced by our customers, OEMs. Still, we were able to secure profit, although sales suffered. So we are on par with our projection as for Connect. For Blue Yonder, as I explained in my presentation, we are making investments, strategic investment for growth going forward. And in Avionics, investment is in the area of, in aircraft, the in-flight connections. And we're making investments there. But overall, it is in line with our projection, because we have been projecting investments to be made anyway.

As for industry, the factory automation and Gemba AI or the generative AI. For generative AI, stronger than we had anticipated is our observation. For factory automation, FA, we had been expecting a difficult year, and that remains unchanged. So in that sense, for Industry, a bit better than our projection. For Energy, number-wise, it's weak, we have to admit that. JPY 5.5 billion, the cost associated with the transfer, that needs to be taken into consideration. But even excluding that, PENA, the plant in North America, saw a decline, slight decline in production volume. As I explained, the customer production line is modifying the line, and on a temporary basis, we are adjusting our production volume to accommodate that change.

But for Q2 onward, we are expecting to go back to the normal level. And the energy storage system for servers are also included in Energy, and that's doing better than we had anticipated. The one-time cost associated with the monetization and transfer that is reflected in the overall figure. But given that the actual performance is stronger, more or less on the net basis, it's neutral. That is all. Hope that was helpful.

Hayato Umegaki
Reporter, Toyo Keizai

Yes, thank you.

Operator

Next, Sugiyama-san from Yomiuri Shimbun Newspaper.

Masaki Sugiyama
Staff Writer, Yomiuri Shimbun

Thank you, Sugiyama of Yomiuri Shimbun. Two questions, please. First of all, about automotive batteries in Nevada plant, you mentioned that. And so Nevada and Suminoe, what are the current status? And in the future, the market trend of the automotive battery, what is your view, and how do you respond to the changes in the market? The second question is about the IRA, the transfer. The third party, maybe you can just mention the region or the sector or industry of the third party, please.

Speaker 11

Well, first of all, about the automotive battery plant, as for the plant in the United States, as I said, there have been some adjustment of the production. So in terms of gigawatt or kilowatt, it's slightly down compared with the last year.

As for Suminoe Model S/X, and the production situation of those models, has been sluggish or plateau. It's trending at that level. So concerning that, the fixed cost reduction is something that we are trying to do, and to find the new customer is also something that we are trying to do. So U.S. and Japan, both, in both countries, we will be trying to develop our businesses. So as for the automotive battery trend, the future trend and our view, or globally, as you know, EV is growing, but compared with the past, the growth rate has slowed down. But if you look, you have, you have to look at the different regions. So we are doing business basically in the United States, PENA plant, and Suminoe, that is in Japan, so that's all.

So mostly it is the plant in the United States. So looking at the U.S. market, the growth, or growth rate has slowed down or is, more moderate than before. But steadily, the customer, the number is, growing compared with the last year. So our capacity is being increased, little by little, and the Kansas startup, for, by 2027 or 2028, with the current capacity, that would not be sufficient, so we need to manufacture more.

... So that is our understanding. So in Q2 and onward, for our automotive battery business, it is mainly for U.S. market, so that's our view. As for the IRA-related tax credit transfer, of course, we have to consider the counterparty, but this is the tax credit in the United States, so naturally, the company is American company. Thank you.

Masaki Sugiyama
Staff Writer, Yomiuri Shimbun

Thank you very much.

Operator

Next, from Nikkan Kogyo Shimbun, Morishita-san.

Speaker 13

Morishita from Nikkan Kogyo. Hope you can hear me. Yes? Two questions, both related to IRA tax credit. First, the transfer for monetization. Investment to Kansas is what you mentioned. Particularly, what will be the areas that you will be investing in? That's my first question. My second question, very detailed question, I'm afraid, with this, transferable. This is for FY 2024. You said most of the tax credit for FY 2024. Most meaning that some would remain in the form of refundable?

Speaker 11

Thank you. As mentioned earlier, first, it will come into or will come in as cash, and since this is the U.S. tax credit, it will be used for the in-vehicle battery business in the U.S. It's hard to say which particular areas, but the state of Kansas is providing us with various subsidies.

But that's not enough to pay for everything needed for our factory, so in line with the intent of IRA, we would like to use in areas that will contribute to the energy saving. And most of the amount tax credit from FY 2024, not all, but the most, the needs, demand, and supply is the reason for this. Now, there are three forms of tax credit. One is the refundable, which we elected for, which would be around two years before the actual payment is made after it's been filed, a tax filed. The second is the deductible, that is, a deductible from the income tax to be paid in the U.S. And the third is transferable.

For monetization, there are three methods. Although the amount is small for the remaining portion, it will be used for deducting the taxes to be paid by our U.S. entities. That is all.

Operator

Thank you. We are out of time for the Q&A session, so we will take just one more question from journalist. So last question from journalist Matsumoto-san from Nikkei Tech Site.

Speaker 12

Matsumoto speaking. Thank you very much. So about the future prospect, I have a question. So in the second half of this year, there will be a presidential election in the United States. So if there's a change of administration, how would that impact your business results, in your view? Thank you.

Speaker 11

Well, U.S. election, we are not in a position to make any comments on that. What Trump is saying and what Democrats or, well, the candidate Harris is saying, they are different from each other, we understand. And this has already passed as a legislation, so the immediate impact would require the revision of the law, and it would take time. And IRA is a wide-ranging legislation, and if you analyze the state that would benefit, I think many of them are Republican states. So when election is over, we would respond accordingly. So Kansas IRA, we made a decision without considering IRA, and PENA GigaFactory is even older in terms of operation. So we are watching very closely, but we would like to take appropriate response or measures.

So there will be no immediate impact, we do not think. So thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. So that concludes the Q&A session for journalists. We'll now move to the Q&A session for institutional investors and analysts. Again, we'll only be accepting questions in the Japanese line. We are not accepting questions on the English line. First is Okazaki-san from Nomura Securities.

Yu Okazaki
Equity Research Analyst, Nomura Securities

Okazaki from Nomura. My first question is on air quality and air conditioning. While Europe was weak, looks like your revenue, sales, were increasing, and yet profit, at least the profit margin was going down. So, could you elaborate on what happened in air conditioning and air quality in Q1? My second question is, on Blue Yonder, 9% growth, year-on-year on, SaaS, S-A-A-S.

Speaker 11

The slide says that the demand from the customers is getting sluggish. Could you elaborate on that and what your expectations are for Q2 onward? For air-to-water, air-to-water, and air-to-air also was mentioned in the business company Investor Day event which is represented by room air conditioning. For the room air conditioners, in China, it's a difficult situation, but in Asia and Japan, given a very hot summer days, we are seeing the strong sales, which is pushing up our sales. For air-to-water profit margin, it is high, and the drop on a year-on-year basis, about 40% drop. So that is having a major impact on profit.

Through increased sales in air-to-air, the decline and loss in air-to-water could not be compensated for fully, and that had a net result for Q1, that is. For Blue Yonder, SaaS and ARR for that business, if you can look at the appendix portion of our presentation deck, slide 25. 9% growth. Yes, here. SaaS ARR, annual recurring revenue, becoming flatter, you said. As for the sales personnel training and enhance the competitiveness, we have had programs for that. Especially starting around the second quarter, we should see the positive effect. The CEO, Duncan, is sharing that information with us, and Higuchi-san, the CEO of Connect, has confirmed that.

So if you can look at SaaS NRR, Net Revenue Retention, which is related to the investments made by the customers. Most of the contracts are three-year contracts. And so, we are now seeing the updating or the replacement of the contracts that were signed before we acquired the company. And we are trying to increase the fraction of SaaS. In other words, the cloud-based, native cloud-based, more transferable, and therefore, the contracts with the existing customers are being revisited on-premise, meaning the customers on-premise or customized products. We want to reduce those as much as possible and increase the SaaS portion. And so if you can look at the upper right graph, you can see that's happening.

That is the reason why a SaaS ARR may appear to be weak, getting weak, but with the sales force enhancement and the product updates being conducted once every six months for sure, and improve the customer satisfaction, those programs will be implemented. Hope that answers your questions?

Yu Okazaki
Equity Research Analyst, Nomura Securities

Thank you.

Operator

Next, BofA Securities, Hirakawa-san, please.

Mikio Hirakawa
Senior Analyst, BofA Securities

Thank you. Hirakawa from BofA. Two questions, please. One point of clarification, EV or automotive batteries at the plant in the United States or in Nevada. So operating utilization rate is down from the beginning of the fiscal year. This was within your expectation, is that right? That was my point of clarification, and it will not happen in the future? Any changes, any changes that you can share with us? The second question is about Connect. In Q1, Q1 numbers appear to be a little weak, and this year's plan, it's going to be a higher profit, significantly higher. So it... I am unable to understand that, for example, in Q2 and onwards, Avionics investment fund being reduced and or Process Automation improving, pushing up your profits.

So in order for Connect to achieve the target, what kind of factors should we consider or background?

Speaker 11

Thank you for your questions. About Energy first, yes, it is within the expectations at the beginning of the fiscal year. Originally, this is something that we deal with, and Q1 is weak, so that was already discounted for. So for the full year, IRA, of course, that we show the number, and toward that, we will be progressing. So well, the lower production, we responded to that. That's why I said that earlier. So that's about Energy. As for Connect, so at the upfront investments in the first half is higher. So because of that, and also in Avionics, it's the in-flight communication. We are making some investments and also some concerning factor, which is expected at or the airplane manufacturers, the policy about the production.

The U.S. authority is looking into the quality issue, so there are some uncertainties in relation to that. So as Panasonic Connect, as of now, the impact or Process Automation, we have ended at a deficit. So I think throughout the year, or the whole, for the full year, we want to make a good progress. So thank you. Hope that answers your question. Thank you very much.

Operator

Next, from SMBC Nikko Securities, Katsura-san, please.

Ryosuke Katsura
Equity Research Senior Analyst, SMBC Nikko Securities

Thank you. Katsura from SMBC Nikko. I have two questions. First, I might have missed it because I was not connected for the first part of your presentation. But you did talk about the actual results compared to your projections by segment. Can you tell us the overall picture? And your full year guidance remains unchanged, so can you explain the reason why you kept it unchanged? That's my first question. Secondly, related to IRA tax credit cash in, you said about JPY 200 billion. And the projector business transfer cash in. In light of this, too, free cash flow, you were assuming a negative. It could possibly turn into positive cash flow, so can you comment on that?

For the projector business, EV-based, 120-something was mentioned, but what about in the amount of cash in to expect?

Speaker 11

By segment, I did give you the picture on overall basis, consolidated basis. IRA transfer costs was not incorporated in our guidance. During Q1, actually, during the month of July, we agreed with our counterparty that we can talk about that. Impact to P&L was not assumed initially. So overall, compared to expected total profit, maybe around JPY 10 billion, including that JPY 5.5 billion short, maybe.... but through communication with the business companies, of course, some are stronger than others, and at current point in time, we don't have anything that is certain.

The business companies say that they are doable, and we don't doubt what they. We have we don't have reasons to doubt their projections, and therefore, the full year guidance remain unchanged. When we announce the second quarter results, with better visibility, we should be able to give you an update for the a consolidated basis as well as by segment. That's our expectation. Your second question regarding IRA tax credit, the amount, cash in amount, well, JPY 100 billion, a little short of JPY 100 billion , which would be a plus to operating cash flow to be recorded during FY 2025, which is not included in the initial guidance. The cash flow for Q1, JPY 800 billion + operating cash flow recorded last year, and a slight increase over that, and that does not include this new element.

As for projector business, as is mentioned in our press release, for, in A- as of April 1st, 2024, that is the case, and therefore, in terms of the cash impact, it will be for FY 2026, the calendar year ending March 2026, not for FY 2025, the, fiscal year ending March 2025. In terms of cash, that will be after April 1st, JPY 80 billion + is being assumed. For profit, although you did not ask about that, but I'm sure you're wondering about it, so the profit impact, around JPY 100 billion profit on sale of business to be recorded in the first quarter of FY 2026, probably. That is our current projection. That is all.

Ryosuke Katsura
Equity Research Senior Analyst, SMBC Nikko Securities

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. Next, from Citigroup Securities, we have Mr. Ezawa.

Kota Ezawa
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Citigroup Global Markets

Thank you. Ezawa speaking from Citigroup Global Markets. I have two questions. First is about batteries. Earlier, you said that because of the customer, the production has been reduced, but it will recover. But in Q2, if there's a recovery as of July, you have confirmed the recovering trend, or is that something that you can say? Also, about the batteries, the price revision, JPY 13.5 billion, lower profit, I think there was an analysis. And what is the impact of the foreign exchange rate? I think that, a price impact here, it shows in yen, so JPY 13.5 billion, what is the impact of the foreign exchange? So that's my first question on battery.

Speaker 11

Well, first of all, from Q2, the recovery, it's not from the beginning of the Q2, but as of now, maybe from August, we will start to see some recovery. So, the orders are being accumulated. So from our side, the production, we want to make sure that we have a good, preparation, and the customer, when the batteries are available, they can sell them. That is the situation in the United States. So in Q2, we think that we can, confirm the recovery, and in Q3 and onwards, I think that, we can, just offset the adjustment.

Kota Ezawa
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Citigroup Global Markets

And JPY 13.5 billion, which number is that, in Q1 results?

Speaker 11

Yes.

Kota Ezawa
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Citigroup Global Markets

So in Q1, the results, I see the price revision, JPY 13.5 billion. So this price revision, this is negative?

Speaker 11

Well, this is, excluding the Forex impact. So Forex impact is shown on the right-hand side, or second from the right. We consolidate that impact. So on the left-hand side, those factors, this is the output or output, so on the constant currency basis.

... we are showing, so the price revision, the Forex impact is not included.

Kota Ezawa
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Citigroup Global Markets

Thank you. So JPY 13.5 billion, out of that, Energy, here it says negative. Oh, how much is that?

Speaker 11

Well, Energy, the price revision and the raw material are included, and so through the price revision, it's more than JPY 20 billion -. Originally, direct, raw material, cost increase or reduction, it has stabilized, and we are seeing that. So lower sales is something that we see, but raw material price, low coming down is also included. So I think that it's comparable.

Kota Ezawa
Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst, Citigroup Global Markets

Sorry to be taking too long, but the projector business, you announced the sale of this.

So as a group, the selection and prioritizing, so projector business, excluding that from the consolidated basis, based upon the background, other businesses, probably, it seems that there are many other businesses which also need to be deconsolidated. So are there any outlook for other businesses also being deconsolidated?

Speaker 11

Well, concerning that question, it has to do with the portfolio management. There are three factors or way of thinking, and we have talked about that, and whether it consistent with what we are trying to do, and whether we are competitive, and whether we are best owner or not.

So concerning those three, this Projector business, Media Entertainment, as we said in the press release, with the help of the ORIX in this industry, how to do the entertainment in the virtual world, and the software, and also the equipment, requires a lot of investments. So because of those, from the perspective of being a best owner, we made this decision. So as we mentioned in the past, it just happens that this partnership, about this partnership that we announced. As for the portfolio management, right now, we are proceeding with the various discussions, and as soon as we are ready to make the announcement, of course, we have to consider the counterparties. So sometimes we are unable to make the announcement right away. So we would like to make steady progress in that direction.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We are getting close to the end time. Maybe one last question. From Mizuho Securities, Nakane-san?

Yasuo Nakane
Global Head of Technology Research, Mizuho Securities

Thank you. This is Nakane. Can you hear me?

Speaker 11

We're hearing noise.

Yasuo Nakane
Global Head of Technology Research, Mizuho Securities

But can you hear me?

Speaker 11

Yes.

Yasuo Nakane
Global Head of Technology Research, Mizuho Securities

Thank you. Two questions. First, FA solutions and office automation, Y-on-Y, increase, sales and profits achieved earlier than expected by looking at the demand situation. Should we expect ups and downs going forward, or can we expect, sales to profit to continue to increase, albeit limited? That's my first question. My second question... My first question is for your business and market overall. The second question, the holdings. How do you expect to make sure that what is borne by different business companies, could be kept low?

Speaker 11

It was hardly audible. As for FA solutions industry segment and Process A utomation is Connect segment.

The situation is slightly different between the two. As for FA solution, especially servo motor in China, it's returning. We saw a recovery in Q1. Can we expect this to continue? Can we say that it has bottomed out?

No, that is not our observation. The labor saving investments in China, we expect will continue to be rather sluggish. So FA Solution in industry-

... Q1 was strong, was good, but we don't expect it to go down, but we don't expect it to recover, grow strongly either. Regarding Process Automation, the backlog, order backlog, has been declining on a continuous basis, although we're not showing that in any of our slides. At the end of last fiscal year, January, February, March, since around that time, we are seeing demand, or orders increasing.

Yasuo Nakane
Global Head of Technology Research, Mizuho Securities

For what applications?

Speaker 11

Smartphones, mainly. Recovery taking place in Process Automation, that is making a contribution. And Process Automation had a very difficult year last year, but looks like it has hit the bottom, or we are seeing signs of hitting the bottom. So that's the difference between the two businesses. And your second question?

Yasuo Nakane
Global Head of Technology Research, Mizuho Securities

For Automotive.

Speaker 11

True, that's a pretty big business, so as you correctly described, it will be a common issue for the group overall, and we will be implementing the programs. We are studying the best way forward. We do consider this to be an issue, and so we will make sure we implement the best methods possible during FY 2025. That's our current position. Hope that was helpful.

Yasuo Nakane
Global Head of Technology Research, Mizuho Securities

Yes, thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. With that, we'd like to end the Q1 financial results, our earnings call for fiscal 2025. Thank you very much for your joining, for your participation.

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