Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP)
NYSE: AAP · Real-Time Price · USD
44.10
+0.79 (1.82%)
At close: Sep 11, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
44.15
+0.05 (0.11%)
After-hours: Sep 11, 2026, 4:12 PM EDT

Advance Auto Parts Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

According to 25 analysts polled by S&P Global, Advance Auto Parts stock has a consensus rating of "Hold" and an average price target of $50.21. The average 1-year stock price forecast is 13.85% higher than the current stock price, while the lowest is $33 (-25.17%) and the highest is $70 (+58.73%).

Price Target: $50.21 (+13.85%)
Analyst Consensus: Hold

Price Target

Chart
TargetLowAverageMedianHigh
Price$33$50.21$50$70
Change-25.17%+13.85%+13.38%+58.73%

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for Advance Auto Parts stock is "Hold". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to perform similarly to the overall market.

Recommendation Trends

Chart
RatingMar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26
Strong Buy222222
Buy000000
Hold212020202020
Sell222222
Strong Sell111111
Total262525252525

Latest Forecasts

AnalystFirmRatingRatingActionPrice TargetUpsideDate
Truist Financial
Truist Financial
Hold
Maintains
n/a
HoldMaintainsn/an/aSep 9, 2026
Unknown Analyst
Jefferies
No rating
Jefferies
Buy
Maintains
$70
BuyMaintains$70+58.73%Aug 21, 2026
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley
Hold
Reiterates
$65$52
HoldReiterates$65$52+17.91%Aug 21, 2026
J.P. Morgan
J.P. Morgan
Hold
Maintains
$65$55
HoldMaintains$65$55+24.72%Aug 21, 2026
BMO Capital
BMO Capital
Hold
Maintains
$65$50
HoldMaintains$65$50+13.38%Aug 21, 2026
More Analyst Ratings

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year
8.53B
from 8.60B
Decreased by -0.87%
Revenue Next Year
8.72B
from 8.53B
Increased by 2.28%
EPS This Year
2.99
from 2.26
Increased by 32.40%
EPS Next Year
3.89
from 2.99
Increased by 30.10%
Fiscal YearFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Period EndingJan 1, 2022Dec 31, 2022Dec 30, 2023Dec 28, 2024Jan 3, 2026Dec 31, 2026
Revenue
11.00B9.15B9.21B9.09B8.60B8.53B
Revenue Growth
8.82%-16.81%0.66%-1.25%-5.42%-0.87%
Gross Profit
4.92B4.23B3.86B3.84B3.77B3.85B
Gross Margin
44.77%46.27%41.92%42.23%43.87%45.12%
Operating Income
822.37M524.62M55.00M27.00M201.00M354.59M
Net Income
596.62M464.40M30.00M-336.00M44.00M164.98M
EPS
----2.262.99
EPS Growth
-----32.40%
Forward PE
18.9711.3219.24184.2015.1214.74
Dividend / Share
3.256.002.251.001.001.00
Dividend Growth
225.00%84.62%-62.50%-55.56%-0.32%
Free Cash Flow
718.54M192.44M21.24M1.01B-260.25M118.53M
No. Analysts
-----23
EPS and Forward PE are based on non-GAAP adjusted numbers.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue202620272028
High8.7B
Avg8.5B
Low8.5B

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth202620272028
High
0.6%
Avg
-0.9%
Low
-1.5%

EPS Forecast

EPS202620272028
High3.41
Avg2.99
Low2.69

EPS Growth

EPS Growth202620272028
High
50.9%
Avg
32.4%
Low
19.0%