Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)
NYSE: ARI · Real-Time Price · USD
10.43
-0.21 (-1.97%)
At close: Mar 27, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
10.42
-0.01 (-0.10%)
After-hours: Mar 27, 2026, 7:57 PM EDT
ARI Stock Forecast
Stock Price Forecast
The 3 analysts that cover ARI stock have a consensus rating of "Buy" and an average price target of $11, which forecasts a 5.47% increase in the stock price over the next year. The lowest target is $10.5 and the highest is $11.5.
Price Target: $11 (+5.47%)
Analyst Consensus: Buy
* Price targets were last updated on Feb 12, 2026.
Analyst Ratings
The average analyst rating for ARI stock is "Buy". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to outperform the market over the next twelve months.
Recommendation Trends
| Rating | Oct '25 | Nov '25 | Dec '25 | Jan '26 | Feb '26 | Mar '26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Buy | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Hold | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Sell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Latest Forecasts
| Analyst | Firm | Rating | Rating | Action | Price Target | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Buy Maintains $11 → $12 | Buy | Maintains | $11 → $12 | +10.26% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | JP Morgan | Buy Maintains $11 → $11 | Buy | Maintains | $11 → $11 | +5.47% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | JP Morgan | Hold → Buy Upgrades $10 → $11 | Hold → Buy | Upgrades | $10 → $11 | +0.67% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Buy Maintains $11 → $11 | Buy | Maintains | $11 → $11 | +5.47% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| UBS | UBS | Hold Maintains $10 → $11 | Hold | Maintains | $10 → $11 | +0.67% | Jul 15, 2025 |
Financial Forecast
Revenue This Year
215.13M
from 268.36M
Decreased by -19.84%
Revenue Next Year
183.62M
from 215.13M
Decreased by -14.65%
EPS This Year
0.77
from 0.81
Decreased by -3.92%
EPS Next Year
1.13
from 0.77
Increased by 45.43%
Historical EPS numbers are GAAP, while forecasted numbers may be non-GAAP.
Revenue Forecast
| Revenue | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | 255.2M | 190.9M |
| Avg | 215.1M | 183.6M |
| Low | 179.3M | 178.2M |
Revenue Growth
| Revenue Growth | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | -4.9% | -11.3% |
| Avg | -19.8% | -14.6% |
| Low | -33.2% | -17.2% |
EPS Forecast
| EPS | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | 1.08 | 1.24 |
| Avg | 0.77 | 1.13 |
| Low | 0.57 | 1.03 |
EPS Growth
| EPS Growth | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | 34.2% | 60.0% |
| Avg | -3.9% | 45.4% |
| Low | -29.5% | 32.9% |
Sources: Price targets and analyst ratings provided by Benzinga. Revenue and EPS forecast data provided by Finnhub. The data is sourced from Wall Street analysts. Data disclaimer.