Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)

ARI Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

The 3 analysts with 12-month price forecasts for ARI stock have an average target of 9.08, with a low estimate of 8.50 and a high estimate of 10. The average target predicts a decrease of -7.35% from the current stock price of 9.80.

Analyst Consensus: Hold

Target	Low	Average	Median	High
Price	$8.50	$9.08	$8.75	$10
Change	-13.27%	-7.35%	-10.71%	+2.04%

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for ARI stock from 4 stock analysts is "Hold". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to perform similarly to the overall market.

Recommendation Trends

Rating	Oct '24	Nov '24	Dec '24	Jan '25	Feb '25	Mar '25
Strong Buy	0	0	0	0	0	0
Buy	0	0	0	0	0	0
Hold	4	4	4	4	4	4
Sell	1	1	1	1	1	0
Strong Sell	0	0	0	0	0	0
Total	5	5	5	5	5	4

Latest Forecasts

Analyst	Firm	Rating	Rating	Action	Price Target	Upside	Date
Douglas Harter UBS	UBS	Hold Maintains $9 → $10	Hold	Maintains	$9 → $10	+2.04%	Feb 25, 2025
Jade Rahmani Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	Hold Maintains $9 → $8.75	Hold	Maintains	$9 → $8.75	-10.71%	Jan 14, 2025
Douglas Harter UBS	UBS	Hold Maintains $10 → $9.5	Hold	Maintains	$10 → $9.5	-3.06%	Nov 15, 2024
Richard Shane JP Morgan	JP Morgan	Hold Maintains $9.5 → $8.5	Hold	Maintains	$9.5 → $8.5	-13.27%	Oct 17, 2024
Thomas Catherwood BTIG	BTIG	Hold Initiates n/a	Hold	Initiates	n/a	n/a	Jul 19, 2024

More Analyst Ratings

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year

192.03M

Increased by 29.85%

from 147.89M

Revenue Next Year

194.48M

Increased by 1.28%

from 192.03M

EPS This Year

0.84

from -0.97

EPS Next Year

1.17

Increased by 39.09%

from 0.84

Fiscal Year	FY 2020	FY 2021	FY 2022	FY 2023	FY 2024	FY 2025	FY 2026	FY 2027
Period Ending	Dec 31, 2020	Dec 31, 2021	Dec 31, 2022	Dec 31, 2023	Dec 31, 2024	Dec 31, 2025	Dec 31, 2026	Dec 31, 2027
Revenue	113.70M	319.28M	321.26M	285.16M	147.89M	192.03M	194.48M	-
Revenue Growth	-62.10%	180.82%	0.62%	-11.24%	-48.14%	29.85%	1.28%	-
EPS	0.01	1.46	1.68	0.29	-0.97	0.84	1.17	1.69
EPS Growth	-99.32%	15,251.49%	15.33%	-82.76%	-	-	39.09%	44.14%
Forward PE	-	-	-	-	-	11.63	8.36	5.80
No. Analysts	-	-	-	-	-	8	4	2

Historical EPS numbers are GAAP, while forecasted numbers may be non-GAAP.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue	2025	2026
High	218.6M	227.5M
Avg	192.0M	194.5M
Low	158.6M	165.0M

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth	2025	2026
High	47.8%	18.5%
Avg	29.8%	1.3%
Low	7.2%	-14.1%

EPS Forecast

EPS	2025	2026	2027
High	1.13	1.29	1.76
Avg	0.84	1.17	1.69
Low	0.34	1.07	1.64

EPS Growth

EPS Growth	2025	2026	2027
High	-	53.3%	49.8%
Avg	-	39.1%	44.1%
Low	-	26.8%	39.9%

Sources: Price targets and analyst ratings provided by Benzinga. Revenue and EPS forecast data provided by Finnhub. The data is sourced from Wall Street analysts. Data disclaimer.