Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)

ARI Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

The 3 analysts that cover ARI stock have a consensus rating of "Hold" and an average price target of $10.08, which forecasts a -8.03% decrease in the stock price over the next year. The lowest target is $9.00 and the highest is $10.75.

Price Target: $10.08 (-8.03%)

Analyst Consensus: Hold

Target	Low	Average	Median	High
Price	$9.00	$10.08	$10.5	$10.75
Change	-17.88%	-8.03%	-4.20%	-1.92%

* Price targets were last updated on Jul 15, 2025.

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for ARI stock is "Hold". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to perform similarly to the overall market.

Recommendation Trends

Rating	Apr '25	May '25	Jun '25	Jul '25	Aug '25	Sep '25
Strong Buy	0	0	0	0	0	0
Buy	1	1	1	1	1	1
Hold	4	4	4	4	4	3
Sell	0	0	0	0	0	0
Strong Sell	0	0	0	0	0	0
Total	5	5	5	5	5	4

Latest Forecasts

Analyst	Firm	Rating	Rating	Action	Price Target	Upside	Date
Douglas Harter UBS	UBS	Hold Maintains $10 → $11	Hold	Maintains	$10 → $11	-4.20%	Jul 15, 2025
Jade Rahmani Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	Buy Maintains $11 → $11	Buy	Maintains	$11 → $11	-1.92%	Jul 10, 2025
Douglas Harter UBS	UBS	Hold Maintains $9 → $10	Hold	Maintains	$9 → $10	-8.76%	May 21, 2025
Steven DeLaney JMP Securities	JMP Securities	Hold Reiterates n/a	Hold	Reiterates	n/a	n/a	Apr 29, 2025
Jade Rahmani Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	Buy Maintains $10 → $11	Buy	Maintains	$10 → $11	-4.20%	Apr 29, 2025

More Analyst Ratings

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year

186.45M

Increased by 26.08%

from 147.89M

Revenue Next Year

220.58M

Increased by 18.31%

from 186.45M

EPS This Year

0.91

from -0.97

EPS Next Year

1.00

Increased by 10.52%

from 0.91

Fiscal Year	FY 2020	FY 2021	FY 2022	FY 2023	FY 2024	FY 2025	FY 2026
Period Ending	Dec 31, 2020	Dec 31, 2021	Dec 31, 2022	Dec 31, 2023	Dec 31, 2024	Dec 31, 2025	Dec 31, 2026
Revenue	113.70M	319.28M	321.26M	285.16M	147.89M	186.45M	220.58M
Revenue Growth	-62.10%	180.82%	0.62%	-11.24%	-48.14%	26.08%	18.31%
EPS	0.01	1.46	1.68	0.29	-0.97	0.91	1.00
EPS Growth	-99.32%	15,251.49%	15.33%	-82.76%	-	-	10.52%
Forward PE	-	-	-	-	-	12.08	10.93
No. Analysts	-	-	-	-	-	7	6

Historical EPS numbers are GAAP, while forecasted numbers may be non-GAAP.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue	2025	2026
High	210.4M	262.5M
Avg	186.5M	220.6M
Low	169.5M	178.4M

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth	2025	2026
High	42.3%	40.8%
Avg	26.1%	18.3%
Low	14.6%	-4.3%

EPS Forecast

EPS	2025	2026	2027
High	1.20	1.35
Avg	0.91	1.00
Low	0.51	0.54

EPS Growth

EPS Growth	2025	2026	2027
High	-	49.3%
Avg	-	10.5%
Low	-	-40.6%

Sources: Price targets and analyst ratings provided by Benzinga. Revenue and EPS forecast data provided by Finnhub. The data is sourced from Wall Street analysts. Data disclaimer.