Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)
NYSE: ARI · Real-Time Price · USD
10.74
-0.04 (-0.37%)
At close: Jun 12, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
10.82
+0.08 (0.74%)
After-hours: Jun 12, 2026, 7:59 PM EDT
ARI Stock Forecast
Stock Price Forecast
According to 5 analysts polled by S&P Global, ARI stock has a consensus rating of "Buy" and an average price target of $11.6. The average 1-year stock price forecast is 8.01% higher than the current stock price, while the lowest is $11 (+2.42%) and the highest is $12 (+11.73%).
Price Target: $11.6 (+8.01%)
Analyst Consensus: Buy
* Price targets were last updated on May 5, 2026.
Analyst Ratings
The average analyst rating for ARI stock is "Buy". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to outperform the market over the next twelve months.
Recommendation Trends
| Rating | Nov '25 | Dec '25 | Jan '26 | Feb '26 | Apr '26 | May '26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Buy | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Hold | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sell | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 6 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Latest Forecasts
| Analyst | Firm | Rating | Rating | Action | Price Target | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of America Securities | Bank of America Securities | Hold Initiates $12 | Hold | Initiates | $12 | +7.08% | May 5, 2026 |
| KBW | KBW | Buy Maintains $12 | Buy | Maintains | $12 | +7.08% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| J.P. Morgan | J.P. Morgan | Buy Maintains $12 | Buy | Maintains | $12 | +11.73% | Apr 16, 2026 |
Financial Forecast
Revenue This Year
86.30M
from 268.36M
Decreased by -67.84%
Revenue Next Year
173.20M
from 86.30M
Increased by 100.70%
EPS This Year
0.51
from 1.05
Decreased by -51.55%
EPS Next Year
0.73
from 0.51
Increased by 44.22%
EPS and Forward PE are based on non-GAAP adjusted numbers.
Revenue Forecast
| Revenue | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | 86.3M | |
| Avg | 86.3M | |
| Low | 86.3M |
Revenue Growth
| Revenue Growth | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | -67.8% | |
| Avg | -67.8% | |
| Low | -67.8% |
EPS Forecast
| EPS | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | - | |
| Avg | 0.51 | |
| Low | - |
EPS Growth
| EPS Growth | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | - | |
| Avg | -51.6% | |
| Low | - |