Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)
NYSE: ARI · Real-Time Price · USD
6.77
0.00 (0.07%)
Jul 24, 2026, 12:49 PM EDT - Market open

ARI Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

According to 4 analysts polled by S&P Global, ARI stock has a consensus rating of "Buy" and an average price target of $9.88. The average 1-year stock price forecast is 46.05% higher than the current stock price, while the lowest is $7.75 (+14.56%) and the highest is $12 (+77.38%).

Price Target: $9.88 (+46.05%)
Analyst Consensus: Buy

Price Target

Chart
TargetLowAverageMedianHigh
Price$7.75$9.88$9.88$12
Change+14.56%+46.05%+46.05%+77.38%

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for ARI stock is "Buy". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to outperform the market over the next twelve months.

Recommendation Trends

Chart
RatingDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26
Strong Buy222221
Buy222222
Hold210011
Sell100000
Strong Sell000000
Total754454

Latest Forecasts

AnalystFirmRatingRatingActionPrice TargetUpsideDate
J.P. Morgan
J.P. Morgan
Buy
Maintains
n/a
BuyMaintainsn/an/aJul 17, 2026
KBW
KBW
Buy
Reiterates
$12$7.75
BuyReiterates$12$7.75+14.56%Jul 16, 2026
BTIG
BTIG
Hold
Downgrades
$11
HoldDowngrades$11+62.60%Jun 25, 2026
Bank of America Securities
Bank of America Securities
Hold
Initiates
$12
HoldInitiates$12+69.99%May 5, 2026

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year
64.15M
from 268.36M
Decreased by -76.10%
Revenue Next Year
86.60M
from 64.15M
Increased by 35.00%
EPS This Year
0.46
from 1.05
Decreased by -56.18%
EPS Next Year
0.76
from 0.46
Increased by 65.16%
Fiscal YearFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Period EndingDec 31, 2021Dec 31, 2022Dec 31, 2023Dec 31, 2024Dec 31, 2025Dec 31, 2026
Revenue
319.28M321.26M285.16M147.89M268.36M64.15M
Revenue Growth
180.82%0.62%-11.24%-48.14%81.46%-76.10%
Operating Income
229.16M200.11M136.66M-11.23M110.40M-7.00M
Net Income
223.52M265.23M58.13M-119.64M126.72M43.60M
EPS
----1.050.46
EPS Growth
----144.19%-56.18%
Forward PE
9.537.179.849.979.2014.70
Dividend / Share
1.401.401.401.201.003.01
Dividend Growth
----14.29%-16.67%200.80%
No. Analysts
-----2
EPS and Forward PE are based on non-GAAP adjusted numbers.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue20262027
High86.3M
Avg64.2M
Low42.0M

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth20262027
High
-67.8%
Avg
-76.1%
Low
-84.3%

EPS Forecast

EPS20262027
High0.49
Avg0.46
Low0.42

EPS Growth

EPS Growth20262027
High
-53.3%
Avg
-56.2%
Low
-60.0%