Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)
NYSE: ARI · Real-Time Price · USD
10.84
-0.13 (-1.19%)
May 15, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT - Market closed
ARI Stock Forecast
Stock Price Forecast
According to 5 analysts polled by S&P Global, ARI stock has a consensus rating of "Buy" and an average price target of $11.6. The average 1-year stock price forecast is 7.01% higher than the current stock price, while the lowest is $11 (+1.48%) and the highest is $12 (+10.70%).
Price Target: $11.6 (+7.01%)
Analyst Consensus: Buy
* Price targets were last updated on Feb 12, 2026.
Analyst Ratings
The average analyst rating for ARI stock is "Buy". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to outperform the market over the next twelve months.
Recommendation Trends
| Rating | Dec '25 | Jan '26 | Feb '26 | Mar '26 | Apr '26 | May '26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strong Buy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Buy | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Hold | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Strong Sell | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Latest Forecasts
| Analyst | Firm | Rating | Rating | Action | Price Target | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Buy Maintains $11 → $12 | Buy | Maintains | $11 → $12 | +6.09% | Feb 12, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | JP Morgan | Buy Maintains $11 → $11 | Buy | Maintains | $11 → $11 | +1.48% | Nov 3, 2025 |
| JP Morgan | JP Morgan | Hold → Buy Upgrades $10 → $11 | Hold → Buy | Upgrades | $10 → $11 | -3.14% | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Buy Maintains $11 → $11 | Buy | Maintains | $11 → $11 | +1.48% | Oct 9, 2025 |
| UBS | UBS | Hold Maintains $10 → $11 | Hold | Maintains | $10 → $11 | -3.14% | Jul 15, 2025 |
Financial Forecast
Revenue This Year
215.64M
from 268.36M
Decreased by -19.65%
Revenue Next Year
150.39M
from 215.64M
Decreased by -30.26%
EPS This Year
-0.09
from 0.81
EPS Next Year
0.98
from -0.09
Historical EPS numbers are GAAP, while forecasted numbers may be non-GAAP.
Revenue Forecast
| Revenue | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | 256.2M | 190.9M |
| Avg | 215.6M | 150.4M |
| Low | 179.3M | 113.7M |
Revenue Growth
| Revenue Growth | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | -4.5% | -11.5% |
| Avg | -19.6% | -30.3% |
| Low | -33.2% | -47.3% |
EPS Forecast
| EPS | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | 1.08 | 1.24 |
| Avg | -0.09 | 0.98 |
| Low | -1.75 | 0.68 |
EPS Growth
| EPS Growth | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|
| High | 34.2% | - |
| Avg | - | - |
| Low | - | - |
Sources: Price targets and consensus ratings provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. Historical ratings and analyst data provided by Benzinga. Revenue and EPS forecast data provided by Finnhub. The data is sourced from Wall Street analysts. Data sources.