Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (ARI)
NYSE: ARI · Real-Time Price · USD
10.74
-0.04 (-0.37%)
At close: Jun 12, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
10.82
+0.08 (0.74%)
After-hours: Jun 12, 2026, 7:59 PM EDT

ARI Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

According to 5 analysts polled by S&P Global, ARI stock has a consensus rating of "Buy" and an average price target of $11.6. The average 1-year stock price forecast is 8.01% higher than the current stock price, while the lowest is $11 (+2.42%) and the highest is $12 (+11.73%).

Price Target: $11.6 (+8.01%)
Analyst Consensus: Buy
TargetLowAverageMedianHigh
Price$11$11.6$11.5$12
Change+2.42%+8.01%+7.08%+11.73%
* Price targets were last updated on May 5, 2026.

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for ARI stock is "Buy". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to outperform the market over the next twelve months.

Recommendation Trends

RatingNov '25Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Apr '26May '26
Strong Buy122222
Buy222222
Hold221001
Sell110000
Strong Sell000000
Total675445

Latest Forecasts

AnalystFirmRatingRatingActionPrice TargetUpsideDate
Bank of America Securities
Bank of America Securities
Hold
Initiates
$12
HoldInitiates$12+7.08%May 5, 2026
KBW
KBW
Buy
Maintains
$12
BuyMaintains$12+7.08%Apr 30, 2026
J.P. Morgan
J.P. Morgan
Buy
Maintains
$12
BuyMaintains$12+11.73%Apr 16, 2026

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year
86.30M
from 268.36M
Decreased by -67.84%
Revenue Next Year
173.20M
from 86.30M
Increased by 100.70%
EPS This Year
0.51
from 1.05
Decreased by -51.55%
EPS Next Year
0.73
from 0.51
Increased by 44.22%
Fiscal YearFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Period EndingDec 31, 2021Dec 31, 2022Dec 31, 2023Dec 31, 2024Dec 31, 2025Dec 31, 2026
Revenue
319.28M321.26M285.16M147.89M268.36M86.30M
Revenue Growth
180.82%0.62%-11.24%-48.14%81.46%-67.84%
Operating Income
229.16M200.11M136.66M-11.23M110.40M-5.00M
Net Income
223.52M265.23M58.13M-119.64M126.72M54.20M
EPS
----1.050.51
EPS Growth
----144.19%-51.55%
Forward PE
9.537.179.849.979.2021.11
Dividend / Share
1.401.401.401.201.000.99
Dividend Growth
----14.29%-16.67%-1.00%
No. Analysts
-----1
EPS and Forward PE are based on non-GAAP adjusted numbers.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue20262027
High86.3M
Avg86.3M
Low86.3M

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth20262027
High
-67.8%
Avg
-67.8%
Low
-67.8%

EPS Forecast

EPS20262027
High-
Avg0.51
Low-

EPS Growth

EPS Growth20262027
High-
Avg
-51.6%
Low-