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Earnings Call: Q2 2021

Jul 29, 2021

Speaker 1

Good morning, and welcome to Brunswick Corporation's Second Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen only mode until the question and answer period.

Speaker 2

Today's meeting will be recorded.

Speaker 1

If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time. I would now like to introduce Brent Dahl, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Speaker 3

Good morning and thank you for joining us. With me on the call this morning are Dave Foulkes, Brunswick's CEO and Ryan Gloom, CFO. Before we begin with our prepared remarks, I would like to remind everyone that during this call, For details on the factors to consider, please refer to our recent SEC filings and today's press release. All of these documents are available on our website at brunswick .com. During our presentation, we will be referring to certain non GAAP financial information.

Reconciliations of GAAP to non GAAP financial measures are provided in the appendix to this presentation and the reconciliation sections of the consolidated financial statements accompanying today's results. I will now turn the call over to Dave.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Brent, and good morning, everyone. Our businesses had another outstanding quarter. We closed the first half of twenty twenty one by delivering record results As a result of continuing strong retail demand, outstanding operational performance and success in mitigating material supply and labor challenges, All of our businesses delivered exceptional growth during the quarter. Our propulsion business continued to realize Strong outboard market share gains, leveraging the strongest product lineup in the industry. Our parts and accessories businesses Continued to benefit from robust aftermarket demand driven by elevated boating participation.

And our boat business posted its 2nd consecutive quarter of double digit adjusted operating margins despite significant supply chain, transportation and labor challenges. Robust retail demand for our products in the first half of the year has driven field inventory levels to the lowest level in decades at approximately 9 weeks on hand. And we are progressing our efforts to efficiently increase capacity across several of our facilities to satisfy orders from our global customer base and begin to replenish the pipeline. As many of you know, we've also had a busy few months on the M and A front. At the end of the quarter, our Advanced Systems Group Significantly expanded its product and brand portfolio by announcing the signing of a definitive agreement to purchase Navico, an industry leader in marine electronics.

In addition, we announced in early July that Freedom has expanded into Spain through the acquisition of Fanatec Club. I'll touch on both these exciting transactions later in our discussion. Given the unique demand and inventory environment, together with continued strong boat usage through the prime season, which drives P and A sales, We have improved visibility on our ability to deliver against an extremely favorable outlook for the remainder of 2021. And consequently, we have increased our 2021 guidance. Before we discuss the results for the quarter, I wanted to share with you some updated demographic insights through the first half of twenty twenty one and comparisons with the favorable trends we experienced in 2020 versus 2019 in the industry.

I'm happy to report that we are not seeing any change in the significant metrics we shared with you during our Q1 earnings call in April. Brunswick's average boat by age continues to be 2 years younger than the industry average. Additionally, Brunswick's first time boat buyers continue to be younger than our overall boat buyer demographic and 3 years younger than the industry. First time boat buyers are trending more female than they did in 2020, and Brunswick over indexes to the industry by approximately 800 basis points. In Freedom Boat Club, the average Freedom member continues to be almost 3 years younger than our typical boat buying customer.

And female Freedom members make up approximately 35% of our member base. We continue to outperform the industry These trends are an extremely important validation of our strategy to secure a healthy future for Brunswick and are also favorable for the entire marine industry. I also wanted to share with you some awards that Brunswick received during the Q2 that provide more strategic proof points. Brunswick received 6 2021 Boating Industry Top Product Awards, including for the Mercury Marine V12 600 horsepower Verado and the Sea Ray 370 Sundancer outboard we highlighted recently, But also for our Bayliner Element M15 entry level boat, BEP's smart battery hub, Atwood Sahara Mark II automatic bilge pump and MotorGuide's Xi3 Kayak Trolley motor. Brunswick has also been recognized by Forbes for the 2nd year in a row as one of the best employers for women and ranked 2nd overall in the engineering and manufacturing category.

The winners were chosen based on a survey of 50,000 U. S. Employees working for companies employing at least 1,000 people in their U. S. Operations, and only 300 companies made the final list from the thousands of companies that were considered for the honor.

Finally, Brunswick recently had 3 employees And the Freedom Boat Club franchisee, Bev Rosella, honored with a Women Making Waves Award from Boating Industry Magazine. We are very proud of these women leaders. As you know, equal opportunity, inclusion and diversity are cornerstones of our culture. I'll now provide some Q2 highlights on our segments and the overall marine market. Our propulsion business continues to gain For the first half of the year, Mercury has gained share in each horsepower category over 75 horsepower with outsized gains in nodes in excess of 200 horsepower.

I'm also pleased to announce that we began shipping the new 600 horsepower V12 Verado engine in late June. And as anticipated, demand has been extremely strong. We are essentially sold out of the V12 production slots for the remainder of 2021. And we estimate that just during the back half of twenty twenty one, we will sell more outboard engines in this above 500 horsepower class that was sold in the entire prior history of the outboard industry. Given the surging demand in the current environment and new product launches planned in the coming years, Mercury is accelerating additional capacity investments at its primary manufacturing center in Fond du Lac, Wisconsin, in order to maximize its ability to serve the market and capture further share.

Our parts and accessories businesses experienced significant top line and earnings growth and significantly over drove expectations in the quarter due to outstanding execution, robust aftermarket demand driven by elevated voting participation and favorable weather conditions in many areas. The Advanced Systems Group, which has a larger OEM component to its business and also serves certain non marine segments, benefited from prior year comparisons as a result of Q2 2020 customer COVID related plant shutdowns. As a result, ASG realized significant growth across all product categories and delivered strong operating margins that were accretive to the overall segment. Finally, as I mentioned earlier, in late June, our Advanced Systems Group This action will further accelerate our ASUS strategy and will enhance our ability to provide complete innovative digital solutions to our consumers and comprehensive integrated systems offerings to our OEM customers. We believe this transaction will close in the second half of twenty twenty one.

Our boat segment had another outstanding quarter, posting its 2nd consecutive quarter of double digit adjusted operating margins despite significant supply chain uncertainty, while delivering output consistent with our production plans for the year. We ended the 2nd quarter with historically low pipeline inventory levels due to consistent strong retail demand for our products. Given the continued robust retail demand And our dealers' continued desire to take all available product, our 2021 production slots are now sold out for the calendar year with 5 brands We sold out through the 2022 model year. In fact, the sum of our wholesale orders for 2022 model year product is already roughly equal to our projected 2021 full year wholesale boat group revenue. We continue to hire additional new production employees at most facilities to maintain production consistent with our stated plan.

We remain on track with our plans to ramp up and staff the Palm Coast facility and expand our operations at Reynosa in Portugal. Additionally, we've identified capital efficient investment options to further raise capacity to approximately 50,000 annual production units by 2023, should this volume of product be required. Freedom Boat Club also continues to exceed our expectations, growing both organically and through acquisition with a young and diverse customer base. With the recently announced acquisition of Fanartic Club and expansion into Spain. Freedom now has 314 locations and 44,000 memberships network wide and is closing in on 4,000 boats in the overall Freedom fleet with an increasing percentage of Brunswick product.

The outstanding operational and financial performance I've been discussing has not been without some external challenges that our businesses continue to manage and mitigate sometimes on a daily basis. Our supply chain teams in particular have performed extremely well. Winter storms in late Q1 and resulting power outages in Central and Southern United States disrupted the supply of oil based resin and foam throughout the Q2. While tight semiconductor supply, raw material shortages and transportation disruption and resulting cost increases continued to present challenges, which we are actively managing. As a result, our businesses have implemented The global reach of our supply network and our unique scale in the marine industry, together with our purposeful vertical integration, have so far enabled us to mitigate these challenges and keep our production plans on track for 2021.

I want to thank our supply chain and operations teams as well as our 3rd party supply partners for continuing to work together to ensure the manufacturing continuity necessary to satisfy our robust market demand. Finally, labor conditions remain tight in many locations in which we manufacture product, But our talent acquisition teams have been working hard and successfully to add manufacturing and other talent to our teams as we increase production. Next, I'd like to review the sales performance of our business by region on a constant currency basis, excluding acquisitions. As expected, all regions posted significant sales growth in the quarter versus both 2020 2019. Domestic sales grew 55% with international sales up 49% versus prior year.

We are seeing strong performance across all international regions with Asia Pacific still growing despite an extremely strong comparison in 2020. We continue to experience robust demand around the globe, especially for propulsion products, and we'll be working through backlogs in certain product categories through the remainder of 2021 and into 2022. This table provides more color on the recent performance of the U. S. Marine retail market, comparing the first half of twenty twenty one to same periods in 2020 2019.

As is usual for this time of year, there's significant noise in the month to month SSI data, but the positive market trends continue. All both categories reported retail gains in the first half of twenty twenty one, continuing the momentum from 2020. Despite more difficult year over year comparisons in May June, the main powerboat segments are still up 17% in the first half of twenty twenty one versus 2020 and up 13% versus 2019. Brunswick's year to date unit retail performance It's generally in line with market growth rates with strength in outboard boat categories. Outboard engine unit registrations were up 5% in the first half of twenty twenty one when compared with the same time period in 2020, with Mercury's first half growth more than doubling the market growth rate, resulting in significant market share gains, as I discussed earlier.

As we enter the second half of the year, U. S. Lead generation, dealer sentiment and other leading indicators all remain very positive. Approximately 40% of the boats leaving our manufacturing facilities are retail sold, which is approximately 3 times historical averages. In addition, 5 of our brands, including Whaler, have all model year 2022 production slots already sold.

All these factors give us high confidence in the continuing retail strength as we complete the 2021 selling season and move into 2022. I'll now turn the call over to Ryan for some additional comments on our financial performance.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Dave, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to share with you the results from another fantastic quarter. To provide perspective in the slides that follow, we have included comparisons in certain places to both the 2nd quarters of 2020 and 2019 in order to highlight the outstanding performance in each of our businesses over the past few years. When compared with 2020, 2nd quarter net sales were up 57%, while operating earnings on an as adjusted basis increased by 126%. Adjusted operating margins were 17.1% And adjusted EPS was $2.52 once again setting new all time highs for any quarter for which we have available records.

Sales and earnings in each segment benefited from strong global demand for marine products with earnings also positively impacted by favorable factory absorption from increased production and favorable changes in foreign currency exchange rates, partially offset by higher variable compensation costs and increased spending in sales and marketing and ACES and other growth initiatives. Finally, we had free cash flow of $268,000,000 in the 2nd quarter with a free cash flow conversion of 135%. First half comparisons are equally as favorable. Net sales through the first half of twenty twenty one were up 53% When compared with the first half of twenty twenty, an operating margins of 17% were a 5 20 basis point improvement from 2020. This resulted in first half EPS of $4.76 and a very robust operating leverage of 27%.

Turning to our segments, revenue in the propulsion business increased 64% versus the Q2 of 2020 as each product category experienced strong demand and market share gains. Consistent with the themes from the Q1, Boat manufacturers continue to ramp up production in the Q2 and our increased capacity enabled continued elevated sales to the independent OEM and international channels. Sales growth was also strong across all product categories when compared to the Q2 of 2019. Operating margins and operating earnings were up significantly in the quarter, benefiting from the factors positively affecting all of our businesses. In our parts and accessories segment, revenues increased 42% and adjusted operating earnings were 46% up versus the Q2 of 2020 due to strong sales growth across all product categories.

Adjusted operating margins of 23.2 percent were 60 basis points better than prior year quarter, with significant sales increases driving the robust increase in adjusted operating earnings. Sales growth was also very strong across all product continues to benefit from more boaters on the water, which is being augmented by flexible work schedules allowing for more leisure time. With the OEM component of the business leveraging investments in technology to take advantage of increased demand from boatbuilders as they continue to increase production. As anticipated, our Boat segment results benefit the most when compared with the Q2 of 2020 due to last year's COVID related plant shutdowns and production ramp ups. Sales were up 80% And operating margins were 10.5% for the quarter, the 2nd straight quarter this segment has delivered double digit margins.

Each brand had strong operational performance, executed their aggressive production plan and contributed to the overall segment's success in the quarter. When compared to the Q2 of 2019, sales were up 22% and operating margins were up 160 basis points, further illustrating the foundational improvements that have been made in this business. Operating earnings were also positively impacted by the increased And the lower retail discount levels versus 2020. Freedom Boat Club, which is included in business acceleration, contributed approximately 3% of the segment's revenue at a margin profile that continues to be accretive to the segment. Turning to pipelines.

Our boat production continues to ramp consistent with our plans to produce approximately 38,000 units during the year. Despite producing almost 10,000 units in the quarter, which is up 5% from the Q1, retail We outsold wholesale replenishment by more than 7,000 units, bringing dealer inventories to an all time low of approximately 7,400 units. Our boat brands ended June with under 10 weeks of boats on hand measured on a trailing 12 month basis with units in the field lower by 50% versus same time last year. Given our view that the industry retail market will be High single digit percent for the year, we believe that retail will outpace our production targets, resulting in our year end weeks on hand to be lower than year end 2020 by several weeks. We continue to work with our brands to unlock additional near term capacity through automation, labor and select capital initiatives, including the capacity actions announced earlier in the year related to our Palm Coast, Reynosa and Portugal facilities, which will begin providing benefits by the end of the year.

2021 is shaping up to be another year of robust earnings and shareholder returns with pronounced margin increases and substantial free cash flow generation resulting from our outstanding operating Given the enhanced clarity on our ability to drive growth in upcoming periods, We are providing the following updated guidance for full year 2021. Without including the potential benefits from the Navigo acquisition, We anticipate the U. S. Marine Industry retail unit demand to grow high single digit percent versus 2020, Net sales of between $5,650,000,000 $5,750,000,000 Adjusted operating margin growth between 150 and 180 basis points, operating expenses as a percent of sales to remain lower than 2020, Free cash flow in excess of $450,000,000 and adjusted diluted EPS of approximately $8 We're also providing directional guidance regarding the Q3, where we anticipate revenue growth of mid teens percent and EPS growth of high single digit percent. Note that we believe that the Navico transaction, once closed, will be earnings neutral 2021 as we anticipate Navico's post closing earnings to offset the incremental interest incurred as a result of the deal.

Next, I'd like to provide some perspective on our 2021 performance against 2020 2019 by looking at first half and second half results. The revenue cadence for 2021 will look more like 2019 2018 than it did in 2020. The first half of every year has additional production days as the second half includes model changeover and holiday shutdowns. However, first half of twenty twenty was materially impacted by the COVID related plant shutdowns. This resulted in the first half of twenty twenty one Comparing very favorably to 2020 in all of our businesses due to higher production volumes with additional earnings tailwinds from improved absorption, favorable foreign currency comparisons and favorable changes in customer mix in our propulsion business.

These factors FAR outweighed the headwinds from supply chain challenges, inflationary pressures and higher variable compensation expenses experienced during the 1st 6 months of this year. Our first half performance this year also exceeded 2019 in every metric. As we head into the second half of twenty twenty one, we will face more difficult comps to 2020 as the company recorded record high EPS over the same period last year, And we will continue to be challenged with supply chain constraints and increasing input and freight costs. Although we are taking price increases across our businesses, we also anticipate moderated sales mix with propulsion sales trending more towards core OEM customers, Increased spending on ACES and other growth initiatives, smaller benefits from currency and absorption and a higher tariff impact. However, Despite more challenging second half comparisons, this continues to be a growth story.

We anticipate expanding top line in the second half by double digit percent versus the second half of twenty twenty, on certain items that will impact our P and L and cash flow for the remainder of the year. The only meaningful update relates to our effective tax rate for the year. Due to some fantastic branch restructuring work by our tax team and business units, we now believe our effective tax rate for 2021 will be approximately 22%, which is slightly lower than our estimate from our April call. Similarly, and putting aside the financing related to the Navigo transaction, Our capital strategy assumptions have not materially changed. In the past few weeks, however, we have taken several steps to Our overall liquidity and shareholder return profile.

We extended and expanded our revolving credit agreement, which is now in effect through July of 2026, which now provides for $500,000,000 of borrowing capacity, an increase of $100,000,000 In addition, our Board of Directors increased our share repurchase authorization earlier this month and we now have over $400,000,000 approved for repurchases, which we plan to systematically deploy consistent with our capital strategy. These moves follow 24% dividend increase approved in April as we continue to balance desired increases in shareholder return and investment in growth initiatives. We now anticipate spending $270,000,000 to $300,000,000 on capital expenditures in the year to support and in some cases accelerate Growth initiatives throughout our organization. This slightly increased planned spending is primarily related to the mercury capacity expansion that Dave discussed earlier. I will now turn the call back over to Dave to continue our outlook comments.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Ryan. At our April call, we felt that 2021 was setting up to be an outstanding year for all of our businesses. And the combination of continued robust retail demand during the first half of the year and solid operational execution by our businesses Has us squarely on track to deliver against our operating and strategic priorities. Our top priority for the propulsion segment continues saltwater, repower and international channels. We are continuing to invest heavily in new product introductions an industry leading propulsion solutions that we project will enable top line and earnings growth far into the future.

And we've also recently taken the decision to accelerate the introduction of incremental capacity. Our parts and accessories segment remains focused on optimizing its global operating model to leverage its distribution and position of strength in areas of battery technology, digital systems and connected products in support of our ASUS strategy. We look forward to closing the Navico deal and beginning thoughtful integration into the ASG business. We will continue to focus M and A activity in parts and accessories as we look for opportunities to further build out our technology and systems portfolio. The Boat segment will build on its first half successes by continuing to focus on operational excellence, improving operating margins, launching new products, executing capacity expansion plans and refilling pipelines in the very robust retail environment.

I wanted to leave you today with an update on the progress we've made towards the next wave of the company's strategy highlighted during our Virtual Investor Day in May and our recent press releases. In addition to the Navico and Freedom Boat Club transactions and the start of shipment of the V12 600 horsepower outboard, which I've already discussed. Proof points in the quarter included The launch of the My Whaler and Sea Ray Plus apps for Apple and Android users, which advances the ASUS connectivity strategy by improving the boat ownership experience, reducing friction across the entire ownership journey. The initial reception of these products is extremely promising with more than 2,000 accounts created in the 1st few weeks and a star rating of 4.9 out of 5. And the launch of the Heyday H-twenty two Wigboat, a new leading edge WigSOF model, signaling a doubling down on this fast growing brand appealing to a younger demographic.

This model is already sold out through mid-twenty 22. We're tracking well against all our Next Wave strategic goals, including the electrification initiatives outlined in May. Finally, I want to once again offer heartfelt thanks to our global employee population for all their dedication, effort and sacrifices during what is still a challenging time for our families and communities. Your hard work has enabled us to seamlessly execute our strategic plan and significantly outpaced our initial growth and profit expectations. We'll now open the line for questions.

Speaker 1

Our first question comes from James Hardiman with Wedbush Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 2

Hey, good morning.

Speaker 5

Thanks for taking my call. First, just 2 Very brief clarifications.

Speaker 6

The slide, I think it's 22, the first half versus second half. I'm trying to take out my ruler here, but it looks like operating income is about flat second half of this year versus second half of last year. But then, Ryan, I thought You may have said that earnings are higher year over year there. So maybe just a clarification there. And then is production up Versus how you had previously guided it for 2021?

Speaker 4

Yes, second half operating earnings are indeed up Over 2020. EPS is up a little greater than operating earnings. The operating earnings themselves are indeed up in the second half. And then production, I would tell you, is right on track to what we had guided to earlier in the year. And despite A lot of late nights and hard work with our supply chain and other folks, where we're producing exactly as we anticipated.

Speaker 6

Okay, perfect. And so that leads me to my broader question as I think about supply chain and what the bottlenecks are, which is I It's already been, but I think will continue to be the theme of this Q2 earnings season. Obviously, we've heard from some of your power It's clear that in a lot of cases, their plants are not necessarily at full utilization because their supply chain is limiting the flow of parts and components into those plants. Given that your production assumptions seem to be Pretty consistent. It doesn't seem like that's necessarily the issue for you guys.

I guess is that an accurate characterization of the current situation, and that it's more of a cost issue rather than a part and Supply availability issue.

Speaker 2

Hi, James, it's Dave. Yes, I would say that's a pretty good characterization. I would say that We deal with the kind of new challenges every day and every week and so far we've been able to Mitigate them very successfully. I would say the impacts to us really are certainly cost, but we are pricing To cover that, and I did note that we believe our price increases are at the lower end Industry, but certainly enough to cover the increased cost. I would say that there is productivity impacts though.

We are maintaining our production, but I would say that not always in the we have some Boats and other things that we have to take off the line, wait for parts, bring back on the line, those kinds of Production disruptions just mean that there is some productivity impact. But so far, we're able to continue production schedules with some of those kind of manageable impacts.

Speaker 6

Got it. And then just lastly for me, I don't know if this is even possible just given all the moving parts. How big of a cost or a margin impact do you think that is for you guys this year? Again, obviously, there are some top line impacts, although those seem to be smaller for you guys than all of the expenses associated with expediting and inflation and all those sorts of things?

Speaker 2

Yes, Ryan, I don't know if you have a good idea. Clearly, we are on an annual basis Pricing to cover inflation as we understand it right now. Obviously, we're halfway through the year, so we don't necessarily understand everything. But our plan is to continue to do that. I would really measure this in kind of points of productivity, but I don't have a ready Kind of translates her into dollars right now, don't you?

Speaker 4

No, the only thing I would mention, James, is obviously the boat business continues to deliver on margins. You've seen the guidance creep up. I think the number 10 has made an appearance in the official guidance for the rest of the for the full year at 10%. So Like Dave said, we're covering over with price, but it certainly is a bit of a headwind.

Speaker 5

Really encouraging. Thanks guys.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Thank you, James.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question comes from Hian Siew with Exane BNP Paralysis. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 7

Hi, guys. It's Ian here. Thanks for taking the question. Just on the pipeline, so it's down a bit quarter on quarter And it seems like availability is still maybe not fully there. Do you think if the industry has enough availability, Retail could have been like, I guess, how much higher could retail have been if there was enough supply?

Is there any way to quantify that?

Speaker 2

Well, I think in the thanks for your question. In the last Call, we did indicate that we believe that on an annual basis, retail would likely be up. I would add several more points. Without retail constraints, it is very clear that People are buying what we can produce at this point in the year. Now we are as we begin to Get through the prime selling season over the next couple of months.

We will be planning to build inventory again assuming that the market develops as we So from 9 weeks now, we'd expect to be kind of low to Teams by the end of the year. But right now and probably through most of the year, It certainly is a constrained marketplace. I don't know if I could identify exactly what the points are, but I would say there's several Under the free demand. Under the free supply.

Speaker 7

Okay, thanks. And then on Freedom, congrats on the acquisition in Europe. Just wondering how big the opportunity could be internationally and how those kind of boat clubs are received, those concept received in Europe and any Differences between those models in Europe versus the U. S, any kind of initial learnings there?

Speaker 2

Yes. I would say that the appeal is equal in the right marketplaces. So for example, Spain, France, some parts Certainly, the UK, Portugal, Southern Portugal. Those are all areas where you have Very strong interest in voting, enough people with financial capability to Join a boat club. The concept is a little earlier in Europe than it is in the But really when you think about it, Freedom Boat Club was around a long time before we bought it and really had reached An inflection point just probably a couple of years earlier.

So as knowledge of the model becomes wider. And as we professionalize that space with the same toolkit that we're using in the U. S, we think that The potential is really substantial. Obviously, Europe is our 2nd biggest market For Brunswick as a whole, very, very long history of recreational boating, both in the Mediterranean and kind of nearshore Atlantic. So we'll be working quickly to begin to establish some of the tools and Techniques, marketing, kind of professionalize the space, we think the

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question comes from Scott Stember with CL King and Associates. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 8

Good morning and thanks for taking my questions.

Speaker 2

Hey, Scott.

Speaker 8

Yes. I think I probably know

Speaker 2

the answer to this just

Speaker 8

I just wanted to make sure, have you guys with the lead times continuing to get extended ahead of any Relief from on the supply side, have you seen any accelerated rates of customer cancellations On folks?

Speaker 2

No, we haven't seen anything at all. We know that Some of our channel partners have kind of potential second and even third customers Signed up for both in case the lead customer had a change of mind. So we're not seeing anything in terms of increased cancellations.

Speaker 8

All right. And I know this is a little bit further out and probably more than you guys want to You have guidance on, but just your initial thoughts on what 2022 could look like, whether from a retail perspective for both, so do you think could be an up year? And if so, how much?

Speaker 4

Hey, Scott. Yes, well, it's probably a bit premature to do a market call on next year, But we do think retail will grow next year. That's our belief still. We talked about that on Investor Day as well as the Q1 call. In terms of guidance, we're not going to update the guidance that we gave on the Nabaco call.

Obviously, $8.25 to $8.75 was our Investor Day outlook for 'twenty two and then we said that Navico, We anticipate it would add a net $0.50 or so to that figure and that's Navico's earnings less The anticipated additional financing costs. So that none of that has changed. I wouldn't tell you, though, that obviously, the jumping off point for 'twenty two Looks like it's going to continue to be a little higher because 'twenty one is coming in nice and strong. So no real changes at all on our view to 'twenty two.

Speaker 8

All right. Just last question. On last quarter, you talked about within ASG, you talked about your plans to install about 15,000 Of the FATHEM e POWER systems for internal combustion generators, I guess, by 2023. Can you talk about The timing of that and how significant that could be?

Speaker 2

Yes. So we're on track with that plan. The 15,000 represented 2 things really. It Represented the fathom and fathom type generator replacements for marine applications, plus the replacement of generators in recreational vehicle applications, and we're actively Doing that, we have a number of ASG team members located on-site RB Manufacturers Installing Our Advanced Battery Systems. And they've become so popular That some of the RMB manufacturers are changing their standard content to include this Battery system instead of a generator.

And as soon as you move from being an auction to being standard that somebody has to deliberately Change. The volumes go up, yes. So we're very much on track. Our Advanced Systems Group Connect business, ASG Connect, which you might remember is the Part of the AST business that works with both Boatbuilders and RV Manufacturers and Specialty Vehicle Manufacturers to integrate our systems, was up 133% in the first half of the year. So it's a very in demand service And people are taking advantage of this great portfolio of technologies that we have and our ability to integrate it on their behalf.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question comes from Fred Wightman with Wolfe Research. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 9

Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I was wondering if you could dig into the mercury capacity a little bit more that you outlined. Is that incremental to sort of what you had hinted at last Quarter, what type of capacity uptick are you sort of planning for?

Where is it targeted sort of that mid horsepower, high horsepower? Anything that you could provide there would

Speaker 2

Yes, sure. Thank you for the question. So, yes, it is all incremental to what we'd originally talked about And it's being driven by very strong demand for our products. It is roughly the same Additional incremental capacity as the prior incremental capacity that we put in during 2018 2019. And I would say, yes, it is over weighted to mid to high horsepower engines and it's mainly in our Fond du Lac Which is where we produce most of our high horsepower engines and also in the supply base that supports it.

We have to make sure that our supply base is scaled Just the same as our internal facilities are, but just kind of connecting a few things. We remain in very active discussions with potential new customers for Mercury, but our priority obviously is to our existing OEM and other customers. And what that means right now is All of our existing or the vast majority of our existing customers are ramping up their production And they need more engines from us. That means we have to be careful about how we add new customers. It also means, and I'm kind of connecting with something that Ryan said earlier about the second half of the year that We don't have as many engines right now as we would like to provide to dealers for repower, for Which is a very profitable channel for us.

So top priority is serve our existing customers whose demands are going up and up and up. And so it's the right time for us now to add more capacity so that we can continue to bring onboard new OEM customers And also have enough engines so that we can satisfy those high margin dealer repower and international channels, commercial channels, of the big OEM customers as we satisfy both their demand.

Speaker 9

Okay. That makes sense. And just another capacity question on the boat Sai, I think that you mentioned you'd be at 50,000 units in terms of capacity by 23 now. I think that number in the past was Something in the low 40s that you were targeting. So sort of a 2 part question.

Are those numbers apples to apples? And then secondly, when could those start to hit? Is that something that could show up later in 'twenty two or is it really a 'twenty three story?

Speaker 2

Yes. So this This is Niu again. So we have detailed plans that we're executing. And in fact, we're Along the way now to implement that capacity around 43000 to 44000 units, which is up from the kind of high 30s that we Had earlier last year, if you like. So that is reopening the plant that we call at the Flagler of Palm Coast sometimes and then expanding Our Reynosa and the Lenovo facility in Portugal.

That drives up to 44,000, but it is very clear that With the pipelines where they are and with retail demand where it is and with things like Freedom Boat Club Expanding really, really quickly and demanding more and more boats that that might the 44,000 might not be enough. And so we have begun a series of steps to increment that 44,000 up to around 50,000 That will require modest additional investment, but is in most cases not a significant Footprint increases. In a couple of cases, there is footprint inside mostly our existing Kind of land, but yes, this is the 44 to 50 is incremental, And we'll be working on making sure that we can introduce it as quickly as we can, but 2023 is currently the target. I would say that what we I don't know if we'll need 50,000 units, but I know that the signs are that we might. And I would not want to lose market share, Certainly don't want to show up freedom, which is growing like crazy.

So we think it's prudent at this time to Cost effectively build out that additional optionality. Perfect. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question comes from Ana Glashan with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 10

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. First, on the VARADO with production sold out Could you maybe contextualize this versus what your preliminary expectations were for the performance of that engine?

Speaker 2

Yes. Thank you for the question. Yes. The demand for the V12 is going it's very high. I think it's attracting a lot of interest.

It's causing a number A lot of interest. It's causing a number of boat builders to rethink that portfolio and put in outboards where they might have put in inboard engines on Bigger boats. So yes, the demand is certainly higher than our original expectations. So we'll kind of work our way through this second half of the year. I think the comment that we made earlier was Without being very explicit about numbers to indicate, earlier there were some other higher horse Power engines in the marketplace, but this is different.

As I mentioned earlier, we expect in the back half of this year, we'll produce More outboard engines above 500 horsepower than were produced in the entire prior history of the industry. So the scale of this engine at this horsepower level is substantially higher than anything else. And yes, we're seeing very robust demand and a lot of And it is certainly higher than we originally anticipated.

Speaker 10

Great. Thanks. And then turning back to the Capacity investments to reach that 50,000 boat unit number. So I think in the deck, it was kind of presented as you've identified The ability to ramp to that, I guess, are you committing to kind of those investments or when would that decision have to be made in order to ramp up to that by 'twenty three?

Speaker 2

So the investments are phased over time and we can continue to monitor the marketplace and any other developments that are relevant. There are some early pieces of investment that we'll be funding even as early as this year, but it will be spread over the next couple of years.

Speaker 10

Okay, great. Thanks.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Our next question comes from Matthew Boss with JPMorgan.

Speaker 5

This is Kevin Heenan on for Matt. Congrats on a strong quarter.

Speaker 2

Thanks, Scott. Thank you.

Speaker 5

I just wanted to ask about the Boat segment margins, Strong again this quarter in the double digits. I was wondering if you could maybe rank order the drivers of the Both segment EBIT margin strength and how you're thinking about the sustainability of those drivers as we move out of the pandemic environment?

Speaker 4

Thanks. Hey, Kevin, thanks for the question. It's pretty straightforward, to be honest. It is volume, Improved volume, which allows for better absorption. It is operating more efficiently throughout the facilities.

And at least in the last couple of quarters, it is a bit of lower discounting environment given that We do not need to provide support or much support to the dealer network in order to sell product. But in general, It is certainly those factors. The other thing I would mention is the new products that are coming out that we talked about on the Investor Day, 122 new or refreshed products. All of those are being designed for manufacturer At a higher margin than the products that they are replacing. And that's something you've heard from us for years on the Mercury side as we roll out new engines.

But that same philosophy has now moved to the BOE business, and the new products coming out are really going to be margin drivers for us.

Speaker 5

Great. And if I could ask one follow-up just on the P and A side. Could you talk about the long term opportunity for this business now that you're adding NAVICO? I think you've cited a $6,000,000,000 market in the U. S.

Speaker 2

Thank you. Great question. Yes, so I think Navico was an important With addition to our portfolio and our brands, it enables us to do a lot of things, but there are plenty of other opportunities In that marketplace for us to build out our portfolio, I would say that as we have noted, Our Advanced Systems Group currently sells about 25% of its products into recreational vehicle and And the $6,000,000,000 is only the marine portion of P and A. So as we become more and more successful in, for example, installing those advanced battery Systems into recreational and specialty vehicle. We feel there's a right to win some other areas of RV and Specialty Vehicle leveraging the same or modified systems and technology that we use in marine.

So I would say that there's room to run-in marine, certainly plenty of room to run-in marine, but also room to run-in adjacent spaces

Speaker 4

And Kevin, one thing, just to put a bow on this. One thing that we're proving out Is the growth of our P and A business and the strength then of the aftermarket annuity revenue and earnings that that business provides. This is going to be approximately $2,000,000,000 and still growing organically starting in 'twenty two, Which is obviously 4 or 5 times larger than it was coming out of the downturn in 2,008, 2,009. So just a reminder that the mix of our businesses continues to trend positive and towards the aftermarket and Counter cyclical portions of our business.

Speaker 5

Great. Thanks very much, guys.

Speaker 2

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Mike Schwartz with Truist. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 11

Hey, guys. Good morning.

Speaker 12

Just maybe a broader question about how you think about product development And launch strategy, maybe portfolio strategy within the boat business, just given some of the dynamics we have in the market today with Capacity constraints and supply chain issues and just elevated demand and backlogs out until 'twenty two, I mean, How does that play into your strategy in the near term and maybe longer term?

Speaker 2

I think, good question, Mike. We always believe that over the long run, new product wins. So We are not pausing new product introductions, Not pausing up our product development activities, but because of this somewhat unique situation, Except in some really exceptional situations where we just we can't get parts or something. 1 of our suppliers says you can either have a production part Or development part. But in terms of what our intention is, is we know In this marketplace, new product wins over the long term and we will continue to invest and not intentionally at least Pause any of our key programs.

We you know that one of the ways that we are attracting into Attracting new people people into new boats is by providing new technology, by providing new models with content they can get in the Pre owned marketplace, new form factors, new holes, new connectivity, new solutions. So I think we have to continue to differentiate new product from pre owned product, both from a design and aesthetic And from a technology content perspective, and we will continue to do that. I'm particularly excited About some of the stuff that's coming out very soon. The H22 from Heyday has been I mean, the reception has been great. It's really as you look at the wake sports market, it's really the value portion of that market that's been really growing.

And so the ability to put a new product into that marketplace already sold out through 2022 has been Excellent. And we will selectively evaluate expanding our portfolio into areas that we think Well, we can really make a difference. So that's essentially our philosophy. New product wins over the long term. We need to differentiate new product from pre owned product.

And we'll get into more and more white spaces where we think the customer base is moving.

Speaker 12

Okay, wonderful. And maybe a question for Ryan, just on some of the commentary around product mix, I guess being less favorable in the back half of the year, you've talked about some of your premium boat brands with extended backlogs. You've talked about the launch of the V12 engine that will Pickup pace here in the back half of the year. So I guess what exactly is weighing on product mix? Is it just The OEM mix within the engine business?

Speaker 4

Yes. It's really two things, Mike. It's the way the Forecast looks for the rest of the year, our kind of core OEM customers look to be getting more And then just as a company overall, the boat business continues to be a Kind of a consistent chunk of the revenue and earnings. And as P and A exhibits a little bit more normal seasonality really in the Q4, That's just kind of a mix headwind. But again, these are this is a growth story even in the second half.

We're comping against the best second half that the company ever had last year, and we're still growing top line and earnings. So we wanted to give a little bit more detail around it, But it's still a very positive story, trending into 'twenty two, which again we feel is going to be another fantastic year.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from Joe Altobello with Raymond James. Please proceed with your question.

Speaker 11

Thanks. Hey, guys. Good morning. So First question, I want to kind of delve into your industry outlook, which you revised today to up high singles for the year. And I think based on the first half, it implies Roughly flattish industry retail in the second half.

Is that a little bit aggressive given the tougher compares that we'll be facing As well as the inventory situation, since it seems like supply is the bigger issue rather than demand right now.

Speaker 4

Yes. I mean, Joe, that's how the numbers are shaking out. I mean, a very strong first half. Your math is right, kind of a flattish back half, Which is flat to a very strong back half, obviously, last year post COVID. But again, our retail sales are up Just from boats leaving the facility.

So 40% of our boats leaving our facilities are retail sold, Which is continuing to buoy that number and keep it where we think it's going to land. But yes, that's exactly the thought process.

Speaker 2

Joey, we also do we would expect to build some weeks on hand from now through So I mentioned we're at 9 right now and hope to be in the kind of lowtomidteens. So we are Building inventory through a part of the season that obviously where the demand naturally seasonally drops a bit. So, trying to get the right balance is a bit tricky. We think it's going to end up in the high singles.

Speaker 11

Okay, great. And just shifting over to outboards, your market share gains there You have been obviously very impressive for years now. It does sound like we could see additional capacity or additional supply, Say, from your largest competitor coming in the next few weeks, might that impact or have an impact on the pace of your share gains in the second half?

Speaker 2

Well, I think that if you look at our what we just described, when we talk about Share gains, we're really talking about OEM share gains mostly. And we're continuing to drive those Forward and make sure that we prioritize our OEMs. A lot of the The share gains that we're seeing are from OEMs that we already signed up. So we have commitments from OEMs. I would say that In contrast to some of our competitors who have come out and said they are not adding more capacity, We have come out and said we are adding more capacity.

And I think if you are an OEM looking to The future of your business in a growth environment, you would want to go with a person who says they're going to add capacity. And it's demonstrated that indeed they do. So I think we have a very strong momentum. And I think that our story around capacity and product is very compelling and will lead to continued share gains.

Speaker 11

Okay, great. Thank you, guys.

Speaker 4

Thanks, Joe.

Speaker 1

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that is all the time we have today for questions. At this time, we would like to turn the call back to Dave for some concluding remarks.

Speaker 2

Thank you all very much for joining us. I really appreciate it. We're very excited about the continuing very strong operational and financial performance of the business. Obviously, we'll continue to work hard with our supply chain partners to make sure that we continue to mitigate issues, including Things like COVID and the Delta variant. We're also very excited about the significant early proof points that we've been able to establish on our Next Wave and ASUS Strategies.

It's going to be a busy second half. We'll be welcoming probably 2,000 employees Of Navico to the Brunswick team when we close the deal later this year and look forward very much to delivering on the synergies and opportunities between our two businesses. So look out for more strong performance, look out for some more exciting developments as we work our way through the next quarter. Thank you all very, very much.

Speaker 1

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's webcast.

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