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Barclays 21st Annual Global Financial Services Conference

Sep 11, 2023

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Hello, good morning, everyone. My name is Anthony Powell, and I'm a US REITs analyst here at Barclays. I'm here today with Doug Linde, President, and Michael LaBelle, CFO of BXP, formerly Boston Properties. Good morning, gentlemen. So, Boston Properties is the largest, owner-developer of, you know, office or what we're now calling premier workspaces or workplaces in the country. So, you know, with markets in New York, Boston, DC, Los Angeles, San Francisco area, and Seattle.

Good morning, everyone, again. So, obviously, office is a big topic in real estate this year, up and down, but actually up recently, as I think people sentiment has improved in the space. There's a lot of talk about companies requiring more people back in the office in recent weeks, especially after Labor Day. We're hearing it from financial firms, law firms, whatnot. Are you seeing more foot traffic in your building, Doug? And, if so, do you think that will lead to more leasing activity in the near term?

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

Hi, Anthony. Thanks for having us. Good morning, everybody. We, as Anthony said, are in the premier workplace business, and we have, I would say, been seeing a very modest, but continual increase in the overall utilization of the workplaces that we have in our buildings, that started way back when during Omicron, and has just sort of continued to sort of percolate up. I can't tell you that there's been much, if any, change, quote, unquote, "since Labor Day weekend." It's, you know, we've had one whole week.

And obviously August is a slower month, particularly in a place like Manhattan. But we see pretty consistent utilization. And the interesting thing is that it's actually across all of our markets now. So, what we're seeing in terms of the use of our spaces in a place like San Francisco is from a trend line perspective very similar to what we're seeing in Boston and in New York City, which is, that's where we have the most clarity because we have turnstiles.

Obviously, if you don't have turnstiles in a building, you know, you don't really have the same visibility. And in general, the occupancy patterns that we're seeing are that on a consistent basis, Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays are, for all intents and purposes, pretty darn close to where they were pre-pandemic in terms of the overall number of people who are coming into our buildings. Fridays and Mondays are a big difference, and Fridays are probably the most distinct change, right?

There's virtually nobody in our portfolio from a user perspective that is really using more than call it 20% of their physical spaces on a Friday. And the question will be, from my perspective, is how if at all, that will change? And I think that's really where we're going to start to see, quote, unquote, "higher utilization." But in general, our clients are coming back, and they're asking their people to come back, and their people are consistently coming back most of the week.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

You've talked about premier workplaces and the overall office market a lot. Last year at your Investor Day, you started to bifurcate these markets. How real is that bifurcation? Can you really kind of have a trophy segment in an office, you know, area that's not impacted by some of the troubles we see elsewhere in kind of lower-quality buildings?

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

Yes. So, so I think that the evidence is pretty clear that there's a huge bifurcation between what we would define as premier. Some people would call it classic, Class A plus, but we've actually allowed CBRE to sort of define which buildings in the markets are premier, and then the rest of the market, and I think the most clear evidence is in absorption, right? There has been dramatic negative absorption in the non-premier spaces across our markets, and there's been a modest amount of positive absorption over the last two or three years. And so I think that's the most clear indication of that.

I think the other thing that you have to appreciate is that in markets where things were very tight in 2019, there were locations that were on the margin, but that were very, quote, unquote, “acceptable,” because there was largely no space available. And as the supply problems that we're seeing in every one of our cities across the nation, not just BXP, but all of the landlords who are in our business, are dealing with, those marginal locations are no longer the kind of places people want to be.

They don't necessarily have the transportation network. They're not of the same quality. And so we think that there's actually going to be an even stronger desire for our clients and our prospective clients to go into these premier buildings.

The most obvious market where you can describe this is San Francisco. There are a tremendous number of buildings in places that were sort of in the South of Market area or in the Civic Center area, or in the other sort of peripheral areas that are effectively not really being viewed in the same way as a core asset in the CBD of San Francisco on Market Street. A building like Embarcadero Center or a building on Mission Street, like Salesforce Tower. It's that differentiation, both in terms of quality of product and location, that we think is going to inure to the benefit of BXP, and the premier office buildings.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Got it. So you talked about seeing some positive absorption in the premier workplace area. Could you maybe go into more detail about just current leasing dynamics in key markets? I know this is generally a down year because of the economy and whatnot with leasing, but maybe go into more detail.

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

Yeah. So, so we are in the midst of what I would refer to as dealing with the economic cycle that that is, I would define as a slowdown in economic activity in corporate America and in job cuts, and therefore in a lack of growth from our clients.... So we're, we're out of the sort of, we're not sure if we need office space anymore. We're not entirely sure how we're using our space. Work from home is a problem. That, that's not what's going on right now.

What's going on right now is companies are dealing with the economic uncertainty associated with what the Federal Reserve has done and the impact of that on their business. And it's absolutely true that we're not seeing the same, quote, unquote, "unemployment issues" that we've typically seen.

But I would argue that there's a bifurcation between corporate America and the service economy, defined as leisure, hospitality, travel, et cetera, entertainment. And so, so what we are dealing with today is just sort of that natural cyclical slowdown. And the challenges that we are seeing is that we've now gone through two or three years of this in terms of the other challenges that were occurring because of work from home, because of the pandemic.

And so things are just gonna take longer to sort of, quote, unquote, "come to a equilibrium," meaning where you have enough demand that the supply challenges that we as an industry are dealing with today will no longer be as critical. And there are certain small submarkets where that's actually happening.

If you're sitting here in Midtown Manhattan, and you go over to Park Avenue, the sort of Midtown East submarket, and you look at the Class A or Premier buildings, you are actually seeing what I would refer to as a constant, consistent, and positive market. Because we're seeing relatively little amounts of available supply. We are seeing consistent demand, largely from asset management, venture capital, hedge fund, private equity, small financial institutions.

And you're seeing an availability rate that's actually getting close to what we would deem as a millennial equilibrium market, someplace, you know, somewhere between 10% to 12%. And so there will be pockets like that, that we're seeing.

However, if you're in a market that is broadly more geared towards technology, which is where the bulk of the layoffs have occurred, and where the bulk of the challenges are from a growth perspective, those markets are gonna be slower to recover, and so you will not see quite the same amount of demand. And so if I look at the BXP portfolio, our Manhattan portfolio, by far, is performing the best right now in terms of overall leasing activity. And I would say that our Manhattan portfolio is sort of a ring above everything else.

Then you would drop down, and you would look at a market like the Boston market. Again, it's got a significant financial services and professional services embedded inventory of clients, and it would be second, and then third would be our Washington, DC marketplace.

For us, BXP, that's largely Northern Virginia, but again, our Northern Virginia portfolio is geared towards non-technology companies for the most part. So for example, we're opening up a building, or we opened up a building with our major tenant moving in, which is Volkswagen or Fannie Mae, or, you know, not a Facebook or a Meta or a Google or an Amazon.

And then the West Coast is still slower, and it's largely slow because it has a much more dominant technology-oriented demand base. And so while we're starting to see significant upturns, and we can talk for a minute if you want about AI, and I can't tell you if AI is gonna be the next great thing relevant to business productivity.

But I can tell you that there's over 1 million sq ft of net positive absorption that's occurring in the Greater San Francisco CBD right now from AI companies. They are all going to plug-and-play sublet space. So you've heard about probably the transaction that was done at the Slack building. You've probably heard about a transaction that's likely to occur in the Uber building. Those two transactions in themselves are almost 450,000 sq ft of positive demand from that industry. So there are some, what I refer to as green shoots, that are occurring in places like that.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Yeah, so I guess anything more on AI? That's super, I guess, encouraging to see AI stepping up. In any other markets where you're seeing AI demand, maybe Seattle? You seeing time from AI yet?

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

Yeah, so in Seattle, we just haven't seen it. In Seattle, I would tell you that the AI's focused a lot is in two organizations, Amazon and in Microsoft. Both of those organizations have, over the past decade, moved towards owning a significant amount of real estate and have been building buildings for their own accounts. And so, you know, they are not net absorbers of space right now, and we have not seen the sort of proliferation of the Open AIs of the world, which are really focused and located in the Greater San Francisco region.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

San Francisco generally has gotten a lot of, you know, negative, you know, press in the past, you know, several months. You know, outside of AI, what are you seeing there in terms of street conditions, people going back to the office and the movements in tenancy? Just give me what's going on.

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

Yeah. So what I would tell you is that professional services, traditional professional services, is leading the charge in San Francisco. I mean, remember that San Francisco was effectively the financial capital of the West Coast, you know, for decades. And while many of the large universal banks have sort of moved away from there, Wells Fargo being the latest, it's, you know, moving its headquarters to New York City, there's still a significant number of small financial institutions and a lot of private capital that is in that market.

And those companies are utilizing their space, and they are coming back to work, and in some cases, they are growing. And that is where the bulk of the demand is. There is very little what I would refer to as tech titan demand.

So, Salesforces, Amazons, Microsoft, Googles, those larger companies, which, by the way, were a very, very important force from a demand perspective, from 2010 to 2019, when that market was exploding on a relative basis. Those companies were taking significant blocks of space, and obviously, that's where much of the sublet space has come from, you know, over the past couple of years.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Got it. Okay, and then I guess in terms of another area, life science, big, big part of your development pipeline, big part of your exposure, particularly in Boston and other markets. Concern there about just capital raising and more difficult there, slowing down demand. You guys have done a lot of, you know, deals there in the past four months. What are you seeing there going forward for this?

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

So, you know, I sort of tongue in cheek say there's more demand for office space than there is for life science space on a relative basis. Obviously, life science being a smaller market, and as we all know, there's not a lot of demand for office, so that says something about life science.

So what I would tell you is that we went through an extraordinary period of time from a capital raising perspective in the life science industry between 2018 and 2021, where the amount of private capital that came into that industry was extraordinary, and it allowed a whole host of small life science companies to form, and those companies were able to then take space. And during that same period of time, there was very little supply.

If you went back to sort of the supply under construction in 2017, 2018, 2019, it was de minimis. So you had very, very little supply, and therefore you had developers like ourselves who were saying, "Aha, you know, there's an opportunity here to build." And so what we saw was a significant number of projects starting to get developed and built in the life science sector, particularly in markets like the greater Boston market and South San Francisco markets, which are two, by far, the most dominant life science markets in the country. And you saw the capital just get starved.

So you know, what happened in the rest of the capital markets happened in spades in the life science market, and so you are now seeing the results of that, which are significant number of life science companies are going out and trying to do new capital raises, and they're getting down valuations. In many cases, those companies are not able to raise capital productively relative to, you know, what their needs are.

Many of them are merging, many of them are being acquired by larger companies that are looking for their effectively, their R&D or their intellectual capital that they've created. And so there's just a lot less demand right now.

We are still seeing private capital being raised by the major venture funds that are in the life science industry, and they are deploying that capital, but they're doing it at a rate that's similar to 2015 and 2016, not 2019, 2020, and 2021. And so we're gonna start to see more demand, but we're also gonna see demand that's significantly less than we saw in 2020 and 2021 and 2022.

And so we're gonna have to deal with the fact that there's a bunch of new product that's being built, and there are a number of, fewer, many fewer companies looking for a significant amount of space. And that's- it's really a supply and demand issue, and it's fundamentally that.

BXP, knock on wood, isn't for the most part, and I'll let Mike talk about our life science exposure, has been doing build-to-suits. So while we do have some available speculative life science under construction, three buildings, two of them are in the greater Boston market. One of them is 45% leased, and the other one is 0% leased, but in total, it's about 250,000 sq ft of space. Then we have one building that we're doing as a joint venture with ARE in South San Francisco, and that's a 300,000 sq ft building, and we've leased about 75,000 sq ft there. That's the extent of our existing inventory exposure.

But our sort of bread-and-butter company developments have been to place people like Biogen and most recently AstraZeneca, and an organization called The Broad Institute, who've taken 100% of our buildings for generally 10 to 15 years, and these are on build-to-suit bases, and they're great credits. So Mike, you may want to sort of talk to our life science on tenant exposure.

Michael LaBelle
CFO, BXP

So, we've been growing our life science portfolio, as Doug said, with the growth and the demand from life science companies. So, it was kind of 4% or 5% of our company for a long time, and then we grew it to 8%, and now we're growing it to 12% or 13% with the development that we're doing, that is, 65% pre-lease. So, we have a portfolio of life science companies generating revenue for the company. About 75% to 80% of that is what I would call larger cap public companies. So, the AstraZenecas, the Biogens, the Sanofis, the Genentech type of companies in the world.

and, the remainder of it, the 15% to 20% is what I would call a, a very diverse array of the smaller biotech companies, some of which are startups, some of which have gone public, that are funded either, you know, by venture capital or private equity, or in some cases, as I said, public. and we've had very good success with those companies over long periods of time because we've been in these markets for a long time. We've only had one company, have a credit problem, and we were able to replace that client immediately, which, kind of goes to the quality of our locations and the quality of the buildings.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

I know cap rates now are pretty hard to figure out, but, is there a cap rate delta between a high-quality biotech building versus a high-quality office building, right now?

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

So, if you had a fully leased life science building that was purpose-built in a market like San Francisco, quote-unquote, you know, the South San Francisco market or in Cambridge, Massachusetts. From what we have seen in terms of capital raises, those assets are trading today at cap rates in the call it 6%-ish range. I would tell you that if you had an office building in one of those locations today, that there would be a premium in terms of the cap rate to that. I don't know what it is, because quite frankly, there has not been a office building sale of any significance with a long-term lease for probably 18 months.

And so it's really hard for me to sort of describe that. We've heard about sales that are, at least in the market for stabilized buildings that are attempting to be done in the 6.5 to 6.75 range, in, you know, brand-new building construction, but we just haven't seen it yet.

Largely, that's due to the fact that the only buyers who are prepared to do a transaction today are buyers who don't need debt, right? So, if you want to raise debt capital for that acquisition of a piece of real estate, if you're doing it on a floating rate basis, you're paying a SOFR of, what's SOFR? 5 to 5.25. You know, so plus a spread of 250 basis points, probably, or more.

Triple-A CMBS is trading in at 300 basis points, which means, you know, a 40% LTV, you're talking about over 7%, so you're the debt dilutive. And so if you're going to ask someone to purchase a real estate asset, it basically has to be 100% equity, and there are very few organizations around the globe who are prepared to write meaningful checks, you know, at 100% equity for, you know, any large asset. So we just haven't seen those yet.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Moving on to, I guess, WeWork. And then recently, they said that they wanted to renegotiate all their leases with all their landlords. They're doing about 1.3% of your rental obligations. Have you had discussions with them yet, if they were to leave any of your spaces, back a little bit? I know one's in Brooklyn, some...

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

Mm-hmm.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Some slow leasing activity there, so maybe you can go into that.

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

Yes, so I got a lovely love letter from WeWork on Friday afternoon, at about 3:00 P.M., after they had their call, Mike, right?

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Mm-hmm.

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

That Mike and, Mike or other associates. It was basically they're telling the world that they're going to have to renegotiate their leases. We actually went through a renegotiating with WeWork and their former management team in March and April, so we may sort of have already done our thing. I honestly don't know, because I don't really don't know what their next sort of, you know, incarnation of this is going to be. We're going to be commercial. We're going to do what we're going to have to do.

WeWork has slowly but surely become less and less of a viable organization from a credit perspective, and therefore it's become less important to the markets. We have some really high-quality properties. Right now, WeWork is in four locations for us.

They're all on the West Coast, and then the Brooklyn Navy Yard, and they've struggled with the Brooklyn Navy Yard since the day they opened. That was supposed to have been their corporate headquarters at one point, and then they changed their mind. So how they originally conceived of that property and what it's become are two different things. And so I am sure that we will not be achieving the same amount of revenue from WeWork that we were achieving, you know, six months ago. We have credit in the form of LCs of a reasonable amount that will get us through 2023, and probably most of 2024.

And then to the extent that they're, you know, unable to survive, or we're not prepared to renegotiate, they're in Salesforce Tower, which is a great building, or in 535 Mission, which is a great building. They're in Embarcadero Center, in the mid-rise and the high-rise of that building, which is a great building. They're in a portion of Madison Centre. They've already given us back two floors, and so they have-- they're, we only have two floors, but we're getting there. And then we have our, you know, project at Dock 72.

They actually defaulted on a project that we had with them in Washington, DC, last quarter, and so we've taken 100% of that space back, and we're actually in a position where we're doing a significant amount of releasing of that space right now. We'll get through it. It's going to be a blip, but it's not going to be a significant, you know, change in our, our revenue side. But on the margin, it matters.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Right. Maybe a more fun question. The View observation deck in Boston, how's that, how's that trending versus, opened up this summer and...

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

So, the challenge we have with describing View Boston and it, and how we're doing, is that we were in this quirky place this summer where we didn't know when we were going to be able to open, not because the property wasn't done, but because we needed to get a liquor license. And getting a liquor license in Massachusetts is not an easy thing to do, and there's a long, drawn-out process, and you actually have to go out and buy a liquor license to procure one.

And so, because of that, we held off on our marketing. And so we are, I'd say, just now starting to market View Boston as a tourist destination, and so we'll, I think over the next, call it year, we'll know. You know, when we get to the summer of 2024, we'll really know how well it's going to be doing. I mean, it's doing fine right now, but it's not near to the kind of capacity that it could have in terms of the amount of, of, you know, people that we can bring through it.

Interestingly, what we're finding is that there, and it's surprising to us, there's actually more corporate and sort of, event desire for it because of where it is and, and what it is. And so we're trying to sort of tread the fine line between making sure it's available to the public and, and also getting the revenue from corporate users who may be interested in, you know, renting out significant portions of it for, you know, for evenings or for days.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Let's move on to development, which you do very well. You talked about the Park Avenue submarket in Grand Central being one of the strongest in the city. You entered into a JV to develop Madison in the area. Maybe talk about why you entered it as a JV. Is that project moved up in your priority list versus maybe a few months ago, and what you see as the opportunity there?

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

Sure. So, we have two developments that are ongoing right now in Manhattan. One of them is 360 Park Avenue South, which is a physical renovation that we're doing. I'll let Mike talk about sort of where we are on that. And then 343 Madison is a project for the future. It's not this cycle.

So, we entered into an agreement with the Port Authority to ground lease that property almost three years ago, and the process they began was actually 1.5 years before that. So, call it five years ago. And obviously, things have changed, and so in two ways. One is there's less demand than there was, and two, costs have gotten significantly higher.

And so in order for that project to pencil, we're going to need rents that are at a significant premium to the rents that you can currently find space at on Park Avenue or on Lexington Avenue or, you know, anywhere in sort of the quote-unquote Lexington slash Park Avenue slash Plaza District market of Manhattan. That doesn't mean to say that we won't be able to find a tenant that wants to pay those rents and is prepared to pay those rents for new construction, but we're going to need that to occur.

And so what we have done is effectively created an option where we are going ahead, and we're rebuilding or building the East Side Access, which is effectively the platform at grade level to get you down to the new Grand Central Long Island Rail Road Station.

We have the next couple of years to sort of figure out whether or not we want to start on that project. And if we choose not to, then we get all our money back, without carry. And if we move forward, we are in a position where we can build an 800,000 to 900,000 sq ft, beautiful, brand-new, sleek tower, in, you know, a location that is literally sitting almost on top of Grand Central Station. But we're going to need a lead tenant to do that. We're not in a position where we're going to go speculatively.

Quite frankly, there's no construction financing to do a speculative development. We have a joint venture partner, for that right now. That joint venture partner has material decision-making rights as well, and we haven't identified who that is, but the two of us will figure out if there's enough interest in the building to get going, you know, at some time in 2024 to 2025.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

What kind of per sq ft rent do you need to make that decision?

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

So I would say that the rents will need to be well in excess of $200 a sq ft for that building. And that's simply a reflection of construction costs because actually we have effectively a leveraged land position, and so we don't have a major basis in our land. We have a land payment that's required to the port, but it's a participating payment. And so it's simply a question of the fact that costs have just gone up significantly.

And it's an interesting sort of conundrum from my perspective for our industry and for the city, which is that we're at a point now where new construction pricing, and if you attribute a land value to it, will require rents well in excess of $200 a sq ft for anybody who wants to build anything.

Obviously, you can rent space in places like Third Avenue, probably for, I don't know, $50 to 60 a sq ft on a gross basis. You can rent space in great buildings in the Plaza District and on Park Avenue for somewhere in the $140 to 180 to 190 a sq ft. There are a lot of buildings, you know, where new construction at the tops of buildings that are generating over $200 a sq ft, but that's for a sort of small piece of the space at the tops of buildings.

There's this really big bridge that you're going to have to cross between new construction rents in order to rationalize new investment and where the market is, which from my perspective, means that there's an opportunity for the market to really improve from a landlord's perspective before we sort of get to the point where people start to put themselves in a position where they're able to build these buildings, which is a good thing from, you know, from a real estate ownership perspective. It may not allow for new construction in Manhattan for quite some time.

Michael LaBelle
CFO, BXP

Doug, that's not just a Manhattan thing, right? I mean, cost inflation and cost of capital have gone up significantly so that the cost of our product has gone up dramatically, so that in all of our markets, if you were going to build something new, you would need rents that are way, way above current market rents in order to get a reasonable return. So, our view is that we're going to go several years without new development starts in our space.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

So maybe to 360, kind of what's going on with the leasing and, and the redevelopment of that building.

Michael LaBelle
CFO, BXP

360 is a building that's really well located in Midtown South, close to Madison Square Park. It's going to be coming to completion next year. We've got our first letter of intent signed for a commercial tenant that'll be about 20% of the space. And, you know, our expectation is that that will be a building that will start to become occupied, rent-paying in, you know, late 2024, 2025. We've got a number of other proposals that we're working on of course, building. And, you know, as it comes to fruition, and you can really start to see what it is, I think that'll accelerate.

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

Yeah. So today we've announced that we've got a restaurant called Crown Shy, which I... I'm not a New Yorker, but I'm told Crown Shy, which is at, on Pen-- has a location on Pine Street, is a sort of a special place, a unique kind of an environment, and that's actually going to be part of our lobby experience at 360 Park Avenue South. And interestingly, the majority of the clients who are looking at that building are actually financial services-oriented clients. So you know, we're negotiating a lease right now with an, actually with an asset manager.

Michael LaBelle
CFO, BXP

Not with a tech company that's looking to sort of be cool and hip in that location, because that's where tech is.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Yeah, and I guess going to the West Coast, you talked about pausing Platform 16 in San Jose.

Michael LaBelle
CFO, BXP

Mm-hmm.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

What led to that decision, and when could that resume? I know you just talked about construction being difficult, but I guess what would you need to do that?

Michael LaBelle
CFO, BXP

Yeah. So, we looked at Platform 16 in the following way: It is a great, brand-new construction building, but at the moment, it is in a position where it has to compete with a significant amount of okay and high-quality suburban office buildings that are on the sublet market or going back to the market, because many of the tech titans down in Silicon Valley have reduced their usable space. So Facebook, and then particularly Google, have announced plans to, you know, obviously either put us on the sublet market or not renew leases.

And so as we looked at the opportunity in that building, we said to ourselves: Do we wanna open this building in the third or fourth quarter of 2024 and be in a position where we're having to compete with higher quality, but older buildings that are gonna be at a significant discount from a rental rate perspective than what we would have expected or what we need to generate an acceptable return at Platform 16?

And the answer was, there's just not enough large-scale demand, and typically large-scale demand is 12 to 24 months out in front of its need for space, for us to sort of put ourselves in a position where that's the right window for us to open up this building.

We have ordered some of the parts, so we have parts of the kit, if you will, to build the building available to us. We're gonna button up effectively all the below-grade work, so the platform, if you will, of Platform 16. So that's the underground, so the subterranean parking. We're gonna mothball it and put ourselves in a position where we can restart it, and we can complete the remainder of the building within about 18 months, which is a significant more quick delivery than new construction would occur, if it were to occur. We're gonna wait for a better market. What's a better market?

A better market is when we see a meaningful number of tenants of 200,000 to 400,000 sq ft actually in the market looking for positive absorption, right? Not just musical chairs, but positive absorption. Cause we want to get the premium rent that this building deserves, and we're not gonna spend the incremental capital unless we can do that. And so, we can start we could start it tomorrow again, or restart it tomorrow, if we wanted to, but we won't do that until we see meaningful amounts of change in the demand picture.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Right. So maybe a couple of balance sheet questions, capital questions. You know, earlier this year, we thought that it would be hard to get any kind of office, you know, deal done in the bond market, but you guys have been able to do a refinancing this year. Maybe talk about what you've been able to do this year and what's left for you to do the next, let's say, 12 to 18 months in terms of refinancing. And maybe touch on the dividend. Do you see the current dividend level as sustainable or desirable, as you go into that?

Michael LaBelle
CFO, BXP

Sure. So, we've been pretty busy this year, last year and this year, in raising capital and refinancing, you know, our, our expirations or preparing to refinance our expirations. So our liquidity, right now, is over $2.5 billion, and that's after paying, off with cash, the $500 million of bonds that came due in September, which we issued bonds in May to refinance that. We've also, refinanced or extended about $500 million worth of mortgages this year. In an environment that's been a little bit challenging for refinancing mortgages, we were successful in getting four or five transactions done.

So we, we feel like we're incredibly well positioned from a liquidity perspective to complete the funding of our development pipeline, which is about $1.6 billion, and fund all of the needs that we have. We don't have anything else expiring in 2023.

We had a couple of mortgages that expire, were expiring in August and September, that we have now refinanced or extended, so those are complete. And then next year, we have a $700 million bond issuance coming due. We have another about $1 billion worth of mortgages, and again, it's not just one mortgage, we're talking about four or five different mortgages, so they're not huge in size.

We are looking at both the secured and the unsecured market to refinance our bonds that are coming due, and I think we will have the opportunity to do either one. Both of those markets are available to us, so we're kind of monitoring and tracking to see what we think has the best execution and the best pricing for us in the market.

So, while it's difficult, and obviously debt is more expensive than it was, that debt is available to us, and we feel like we're really, really well positioned for it. The dividend, you know, we've maintained our dividend for a number of years. Our dividend is very well covered by our cash flows every quarter.

So our anticipation is that we will continue to distinguish ourselves in our market as a company that has strong cash flows, that has a well-covered dividend and maintain that dividend. I think that that's just one of a number of ways that we distinguish our company and our sector. We also have continued, you know, earnings growth over a long period of time.

Yes, there was a blip during COVID. There was a very small blip this year because rates had gone up. But overall, our trend line is still very positive. We've got this development pipeline that's gonna generate growth for us, so that will go to cash flow growth and also taxable income growth over time.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

The other thing, Anthony... [inaudible]

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

So, we've been very defensive, I would say for the last, call it, you know, two and a half years, and particularly this year. I mean, with the dislocation in the capital markets and the inability to raise debt, for most real estate organizations, we've just sort of said, we wanna, we want to look for-- we're looking for liquidity, and we want to just put ourselves in a position where we know we don't have any issues.

One market has been very hospitable to us, and we've been able to do deals, and every time we do a deal, people like, you know, call us and say, "I can't believe you did a deal at, you know, 6.25%." And then suddenly they look at us and say, "Wow, I can't believe you got a deal done at 6.25%," you know, three months later. So, we are thinking that way, but we are also now starting to turn our heads a little bit towards being offensive.

We're actually also looking at potentially doing some asset sales, joint ventures effectively, with some of our development opportunities that are currently well leased, and put ourselves in a position where we actually have additional liquidity to go out and be a little bit more acquisitive and look for opportunities from some of the distress that we think is occurring because of the inability for people to raise capital.

That actually creates... And unfortunately for us, it's a good news, good news, bad news, it creates gains, and gains require additional dividend. So Mike has, I would say, sized our dividend over the last two years, and it's continuing to size it this way, so that we have the ability to sell assets without having special dividend.

We have an expectation that we are going to, on a continual basis, be selling some portion of our existing assets, creating gains on sale, and then distributing that gain out as part of our dividend. So, our dividend is sort of I'd say, sized for both modest amounts of earnings growth, even in the face of higher interest rates and some gains on sales, so that we can create liquidity, so that we have opportunities to invest in what we hopefully will find as really interesting opportunities on an ongoing basis.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Right. We have time for one question, but before that, I, I think there's a standard question that we ask all, all guest panels and all audiences. Over the next year, with respect to your position in BXP, to one, increase, two, maintain, or three, stay the same. There's a keypad, I believe, in front of you, so if you can answer that, that'd be super helpful. And then, beyond that, any questions from the audience on any of the topics that we discussed or anything else?

I guess to sum up, I guess the story is that, you know, leasing is tough because of the economy and the Federal Reserve and whatnot, but once it comes back, you should be in a position to really take advantage, given, you know, your portfolio, given your exposure in key markets, and given your balance sheet and the ability to go out and create value.

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

If you ask me what our message is, our message is we have the most preeminent, highest quality, premier workplace portfolio in the country, certainly as a public company. We are doing leasing. Fortunately, we have a decent amount of diversity between East Coast and West Coast and certain markets on the West Coast. We are doing both leasing on available space as well as forward leasing right now. We will hopefully see leasing demand pick up in 2024, 2025, 2026.

Those would be good things for us. We will unlikely be seeing much in the way of new product creation in our space over the foreseeable period of time, means there's a runway for rents to start to appreciate again.

We do have to deal with the issues associated with large amounts of available supply, even in the premier portion of the sector for a period of time, which is gonna maintain a degree of, you know, I'd say, pressure on the ability to push rental increases or reduce concessions. And then we are, from a balance sheet perspective, about as liquid as you can possibly be. We are a leveraged company, but we're not an overly leveraged company. We intend to maintain our investment grade rating, and that is, you know, paramount to us.

And we are starting to move from being a defensive thought process company to more of an offensive thought process company. We believe that there will be opportunities for us to grow our portfolio in the same ways.

During the, you know, the last few, what I would refer to as dramatic, challenging real estate times, that's when we purchased 200 Clarendon Street, which is the John Hancock Tower, in, you know, in Boston. That's when we purchased the Macklowe portfolio, which included, 767 Fifth Avenue, the General Motors Building. And so interesting things happen when there is this kind of distress, and we hope to take advantage of some of those things.

Anthony Powell
Director of Equity Research, Barclays

Great. So Michael, thank you. Appreciate it.

Douglas Linde
President, BXP

Thank you. Thank you, everyone.

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