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Earnings Call: Q4 2026

May 21, 2026

Operator

I would like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Ms. Erinn Kohler, Vice President, Investor Relations and Corporate Planning. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Erinn Kohler
VP of Investor Relations and Corporate Planning, Deckers Outdoor

Hello, thank you everyone for joining us today. On the call is Stefano Caroti, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Steven Fasching, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone of the company's safe harbor policy. Please note that certain statements made on this call are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws, which are subject to considerable risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements are intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

All statements made on this call today, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements and include statements regarding our ability to drive long-term value, respond to the dynamic macroeconomic environment and the impacts on our business and operating results, including as a result of changes to global trade policy, tariffs, pricing actions, and mitigation strategies, and fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates, geopolitical conflicts, including the ongoing Middle East conflict and related supply chain logistics and cost impacts.

Our current and long-term strategic objectives, the performance of our brands and demand for our products, anticipated impacts from our brand, product, marketing, marketplace, and distribution strategies, product development plans, and the timing of product launches, changes in consumer behavior, including in response to price increases, our ability to acquire new consumers and gain share, our ability to achieve our financial outlook and multi-year framework, including anticipated revenues, product mix, margins, expenses, inventory levels, promotional activity, anticipated rate of full price selling, and EPS, and our capital allocation strategy, including potential share repurchases.

Forward-looking statements made on this call represent management's current expectations and are based on information available at the time such statements are made. Forward-looking statements involve numerous known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors such as foreign exchange rate fluctuation and changes to trade policies that may cause our actual results to differ materially from any results predicted, assumed, or implied by the forward-looking statements. The company has explained some of these risks and uncertainties in its SEC filings, including in the Risk Factor section of its annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. Except as required by law or the listing rules of the New York Stock Exchange, the company expressly disclaims any intent or obligation to update any forward-looking statements.

On this call, management may refer to financial measures that were not prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States, including constant currency as well as free cash flow. For example, the company reports comparable direct-to-consumer sales on a constant currency basis for operations that were open throughout the current and prior reporting periods. The company believes that these non-GAAP financial measures are useful supplemental indicators of its operating performance because they exclude items that are unrelated to and may not be indicative of its core operating results. Additionally, free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating activities for a particular period, less capital expenditures made during that same period. The company believes free cash flow is a useful supplemental measure of liquidity as it reflects the cash generated from its operations after investments required to support the strategic growth of the business.

Please review our earnings release published today for additional information regarding our non-GAAP financial measures. With that, I'll now turn it over to Stefano.

Stefano Caroti
President and CEO, Deckers Outdoor

Thank you, Erinn. Good afternoon, and thank you all for joining today's call. We're closing fiscal 2026 with exceptional results, strong momentum, and deep conviction in the durability of our model and the demand for our consumer love products. Over the past year, our teams executed with discipline by innovating our product pipelines, building brand heat, and evolving the marketplace. Collectively, these actions once again translated into outstanding financial results in a dynamic environment. We have influential, globally relevant brands led by UGG and HOKA, each with distinctive product propositions, deep consumer connections, and meaningful runways for growth and expansion across head-to-toe categories, channels, and regions. Built on disruptive category-defining innovation, HOKA has a unique opportunity to attract an even broader global consumer base through cutting-edge performance technologies while extending into a growing lifestyle audience, creating a compelling pathway for continued growth.

UGG has inspired generations of consumers through the evolution of iconic designs that transcend silhouettes and seasons, positioning the brand for meaningful long-term growth. Our growth strategy remains clear and consistent. Build and sustain category leadership for UGG and HOKA, excite consumers, and captivate a growing global audience, prioritize high-quality, full price sell-through, and scale market share over the long term. In addition, we have proven our ability to create shareholder value driven by authentic, innovative product that fuels the continued growth of our brands and is further supported by industry-leading profitability that enables us to keep investing in the opportunities ahead. With that, I'll start with highlights from the quarter and full fiscal year, recap brand performance, and provide further perspective around our longer-term growth vision.

In the fourth quarter, HOKA delivered its largest quarter ever, driven by new products in road and trail and robust global DTC growth, including continued healthy gains in the U.S. Complemented by ongoing wholesale momentum worldwide. The UGG brand's strong performance was fueled by seasonal extensions across both iconic and emerging franchises, primarily driven by strength in global DTC. Both brands contributed to expanded gross margins despite tariff headwinds, as high levels of full price sell-through underscored our continued focus on quality sales. This outstanding fourth quarter performance contributed to another record year for Deckers across both revenue and earnings. For the full fiscal year, total Deckers revenue increased 10% versus last year to nearly $5.5 billion. HOKA and UGG together added more than half a billion dollars of revenue over the prior year record highs, increasing 16% and 8% respectively.

We maintained high gross margins and investment discipline, delivering best-in-class operating margins above 23%. We drove record earnings per share to $7.02, reflecting an 11% increase versus last year. These results further demonstrate the momentum of our brands and the continued effectiveness of our marketplace execution. Fiscal 2026 strengthened our organization and fortified our foundation for future growth. Let's dive into brand highlights. Starting with HOKA, our fastest growing brand. Global revenue in the full fiscal year 2026 increased 16% over last year to nearly $2.6 billion. HOKA growth was fueled by greater consumer adoption of its leading performance products, with more people choosing the brand for various wearing occasions. HOKA continues to attract a wider audience through advancing product offerings that enhance the on-foot experience, offering unparalleled combination of performance and comfort.

Building awareness across the globe by investing in high impact brand marketing, fostering consumer loyalty by developing direct-to-consumer membership programs and exclusive experiences that build the HOKA community, and expanding in-store visibility through collaboration with strategic wholesale partners. In addition, the HOKA brand's fiscal 2026 product upgrade significantly boosted our global reach and appeal. For the year, growth primarily came from consumer-led upgrades to our most popular road running franchises, Bondi and Clifton, newly developed H-Frame technology, and updated design aesthetic in our key stability models, Arahi and Gaviota, advancements in foam, midsole geometry, and Meta-Rocker technology in our fastest shoes, Cielo, Rocket, and Mach, and expanded dimensions in the Mafate franchise across performance and lifestyle. Our franchises function as scalable platforms representing families of products rather than single styles, allowing us to extend across performance and lifestyle tiers to deepen consumer engagement.

There is significant equity in our most popular franchises, which is why we've placed greater emphasis on developing product families that can include multiple styles tiered across categories. The Mafate and Bondi franchises are two great examples of this successful strategy. The Mafate franchise saw a great response from Mafate X, which drove a halo of demand to both the trail workhorse, Mafate 5, and their more lifestyle-focused Mafate Speed 2. The Bondi franchise also demonstrated notable success, with the Bondi 9 excelling in performance channels, while the Bondi 7, reintroduced this February and positioned in key prominent lifestyle destinations, has achieved robust sell-through following its release. The ongoing development of franchise families supports the HOKA brand's premium positioning and creates additional opportunities for segmentation and differentiation throughout the global marketplace.

By the end of fiscal 2026, 6 HOKA franchise families had generated over $100 million of annual revenue, and 3 more are close to reaching that milestone. Since January of 2025, all 9 of these top franchises have now been updated, and we also have launched new complementary products. In the seasons ahead, we intend to build on this momentum, enhancing and elevating how we communicate HOKA product innovation to consumers through refined design principles, standardized technology branding, and sharper franchise positioning that leverages brand equity across category and experiences. With this polished approach to product creation, we believe HOKA is well-positioned to accelerate the pace of performance to establish new standards, capture the imagination and loyalty of the next generation of athletes, and maintain deep, meaningful connections with our consumers, ensuring their needs and aspirations remain at the heart of everything we create across footwear, apparel, and accessories.

You will see this evolution begin to take shape this fall when we augment the Clifton franchise through the introductions of Clifton 11, which introduces a premium engineered mesh upper with a streamlined aesthetic crafted to extend the reach of our most beloved franchise, and the all-new Clifton Pro, our pinnacle offering in the franchise with enhanced technology, adding resilience and efficiency to the signature Clifton ride. This represents the first of several HOKA launches in the product pipeline, each designed to segment our most beloved franchises by capitalizing on existing franchise equity. HOKA performs best with consumers who understand its differentiated value proposition, which is why we continue to invest in brand marketing. These efforts are making an impact as HOKA brand recognition experienced notable growth over the past year.

According to our proprietary brand awareness survey, in the U.S., HOKA awareness is now approximately 60%, reflecting an increase from 50% during the same period last year. In international markets, HOKA brand awareness now averaged approximately 40%, up from roughly 30% in the previous year. This increased awareness represents important progress in growing the HOKA brand's audience, which we expect to continue acquiring through our focus to build great product and expand the brand's in-store presence. The HOKA brand's channel performance in FY 2026 reflected our strategic evolution of the global marketplace, with wholesale increasing 18%, driven by strong full price sell-through and healthy reorders, and DTC growing 12%, reflecting second half acceleration. International regions delivered robust DTC growth across the fiscal year.

While improved second half performance of the U.S. DTC business was driven by increased consumer awareness and adoption of key franchise updates, momentum for our enhanced HOKA membership program, including new benefits such as early exclusive product access, driving strong sign-ups since the August 25 update, strong product storytelling around Gaviota, Speedgoat, and Mach, highlighting full price newness, and lower marketplace inventory related to better management of outgoing models. Some regional highlights from the year include maintaining top brand share in U.S. performance road and trail footwear above $140 and becoming a top three performance running brand in France, Italy, and the U.K., both according to Circana. Furthermore, we also grew our premium brand presence in China with strong full price performance across existing and new retail and partner locations, contributing to market share gains.

These highlights reflect the power of our brand and the strong partnerships HOKA has established throughout the global marketplace. We remain committed to the strategic positioning of the HOKA brand with our trusted wholesale and distribution partners. Regardless of whether we're expanding or maintaining doors with individual retailers, sustaining HOKA performance and fostering mutually beneficial partnerships are essential to our ongoing collective success. Based on the growing global demand we're seeing for HOKA, we plan to continue selectively expanding wholesale distribution in both the U.S. and international regions in fiscal 2027, including a few thoughtfully chosen tests with new partners this fall. Door increases for HOKA will be primarily focused on high-quality sporting goods and athletic specialty retailers, as the brand's presence remains relatively under-penetrated in these segments.

As always, our planned door growth will be controlled with a focus on maintaining a pull model of demand to build market share through healthy full price sell-through. As part of our effort to achieve a balanced channel mix over time, we will also continue selectively expanding the HOKA brand's retail store presence with a focus on key cities that traditionally amplify the brand's DTC performance online as well. I want to congratulate the entire HOKA team on delivering another great year. Together, we are well-poised to further elevate the HOKA brand and shape its bright future as a leading performance brand. Moving to UGG now, which once again drove growth above expectations, delivering another record-breaking year. Global UGG revenue in fiscal year 2026 increased 8% versus last year to $2.7 billion.

UGG's performance was primarily driven by a more diversified product mix and broader consumer engagement with continued global market share gains. As our iconic franchise families anchored the brand's leadership in quality and craftsmanship, our 365 strategy continued to gain traction with year-round products. Consumers increasingly engage in new models that resonate with authentic brand codes, the brand continues to attract new consumer cohorts, including higher engagement from a male audience. Cementing the UGG brand's expanded relevance and versatility starts with the right product. Our iconic UGG franchise families continue to deliver foundational growth for the brand through incremental diversification, our product teams have done a fantastic job continuing to evolve the brand's category appeal through new collections deeply rooted in the brand codes. The Tasman remains our most popular franchise, boosted by complementary styles like the Tazz and seasonal newness such as the Love Pack.

Our iconic classic boot franchise was refreshed through the addition of the new Classic Micro, and Heritage slippers remain bestsellers as UGG remains the go-to brand in this category. We're experiencing deeper consumer engagement with core franchise families like these, including with our top-selling apparel item, the Tasman Hoodie, as well as with our newer footwear styles, proving the demand of UGG as a multi-category and multi-seasonal brand. This is increasingly evident with our sneakers and sandals offering. Success with sneakers and sandals has come primarily through the development of the Lowmel franchise and the Golden Collection, which accounted for more than half of the brand's growth in fiscal year 2026. We continue to augment these collections through seasonal newness, most recently with the Minimel and GoldenGaze styles.

These fresh silhouettes added new dimensions to each franchise, and both have resonated well across the global marketplace since launching during the fourth quarter. In addition to modernized styles within multi-year collections, UGG has driven demand with all-new silhouettes that leverage the brand's distinctive product DNA. Earlier this year, we highlighted the success of ballet-inspired newness with Zora and Quill. Most recently, the Otzo clog showcased our momentum in both innovation and in strengthening the UGG brand's appeal to men. Supported by focused product storytelling and locally relevant influencer seeding, the Otzo, a sleek all-gender clog crafted with premium materials, debuted in February and delivered strong sell-throughs across global regions, particularly among new male consumers. The UGG brand is gaining meaningful traction with male consumers.

Men's styles accounted for more than 20% of the brand's global growth in fiscal 2026, with progress across all regions, as North America's exclusive collaboration with menswear brand Hidden sold out very rapidly, attracting a predominantly new and younger consumer base of the brand, with over half of the buyers new to the brand between the ages of 18 and 34. EMEA delivered the highest incremental revenue growth among all markets, reflecting exciting momentum and significant opportunity given its relatively lower penetration. China showed broad adoption across various categories through full-price sales of new products like weather hybrids, the Otzo clog, and the Minimel sneaker. From a channel perspective, UGG revenue growth versus the prior year was primarily driven by wholesale, which increased 13% for the full fiscal year.

The brand benefited from strong early demand in the year that led to higher wholesale channel replenishment, increased allocations of key styles, and compelling new product driving higher holiday demand. For fiscal 2026, DTC grew 4% over last year, with growth weighted towards the second half of the year. The channel experienced temporary pressure early on in the year from improved wholesale in-stock positions, reflecting our strategic increase of product allocations. Overall, channel growth was much more balanced in the second half. Looking ahead to fiscal 2027, we expect UGG to maintain a balanced business across channels, enhance its presence across the global marketplace, and continue making progress to develop the 365 and men's opportunities. A big congratulations to the global UGG team on another outstanding year, maintaining leadership in the premium lifestyle space and increasing relevance across various product categories.

As I reflect on the past couple of years, we've made significant progress to strengthen our platform for future growth. Our brands are generating increasing levels of consumer interest through distinct and innovative products and operating in growing segments of the global marketplace with expanding category and distribution opportunities. Looking ahead, our long-term strategy provides clear visibility to sustain growth over the coming years. While Steve will provide specific guidance for fiscal year 2027 later in the call, I would like to provide further insight into Deckers' multi-year growth framework, highlighting our continued strategic focus and belief in our distinctive brands, including our vision to further elevate the HOKA brand's positioning as a leading performance brand through disruptive innovation, enhanced lifestyle appeal, and drive UGG momentum forward as we evolve iconic franchises to expand category adoption while cementing the brand's position as a leading premium lifestyle brand.

Given the significant opportunity ahead across categories, channels, and geographies, all supported by our strong marketplace execution, we remain highly confident in our brand portfolio's ability to deliver high single-digit revenue growth on a consolidated company basis through our fiscal year 2030, with HOKA expected to increase low double digits annually and UGG anticipated to grow mid-single digits annually. Over this period of time, we anticipate the composition of our revenue growth to be consistent with what we've been communicating, with DTC growing faster than the wholesale channel and international growing faster than the U.S. region. To support our longer-term growth outlook, we'll focus our investments on category-defining product innovation, brand marketing, including greater localization of regional content, DTC capabilities that drive lifetime value, and technology advancements, including the responsible use of AI designed to support gains in productivity, efficiency, and consumer acquisition and connectivity.

Taken altogether, these investments are designed to further build brand heat, deepen consumer engagement, and enhance our industry-leading operations, positioning Deckers to deliver operating expense leverage beyond this fiscal year. As such, our fiscal 2028 to 2030 framework incorporates maintaining strong operating margins through industry-leading full-price selling, disciplined marketplace execution, and realizes the benefits of our multi-year investments. With today's announcements of our board's approval of an additional share repurchase authorization, this demonstrates the board's confidence in our multi-year framework. Deckers' disciplined operational execution, paired with this increased authorization for sustained shareholder capital returns through share repurchases, reinforced by superior balance sheet and robust expected free cash flow generation, is expected to drive low double-digit annual earnings per share growth for fiscal year 2028 to 2030.

Building on our proven track record, this framework embodies our durable multi-year, multi-brand growth algorithm, positioning Deckers to deliver sustained long-term value for shareholders. With that, I'll hand it over to Steve to provide further details on our fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2026 results, as well as our outlook for fiscal year 2027.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Thanks, Stefano, and good afternoon, everyone. Deckers' fiscal year 2026 performance was exceptional. HOKA and UGG delivered another year of sequential revenue growth, underscoring growing global demand across both of these amazing brands and their premium products. Our focused execution in the global marketplace yielded high levels of full price selling to deliver strong gross margins, which, combined with our investment discipline and commitment to share repurchase, resulted in best-in-class operating margins and another record earnings per share. HOKA continues to build upon its strong foundation by growing global awareness and continuing to gain market share with performance runners, while also expanding demand with consumers who are looking for a more technical and comfortable footwear for a variety of use cases.

UGG continues to build share across genders, generations, and geographies through the expansion of iconic franchises, product newness infused with unique brand codes, and our 365 strategy, which all combine to drive high levels of demand and consumer adoption across a variety of distinctive product franchises. Let's get into the details of our fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2026 results, and then I will provide our initial outlook on fiscal year 2027. For the fourth quarter, revenue came in at $1.12 billion, representing an increase of 10% versus the prior year. Growth in the quarter was driven by HOKA and UGG, which increased 15% and 9%, respectively. HOKA delivered revenue of $671 million, representing the largest quarter in the brand's history. DTC was the fastest-growing channel in the quarter, increasing 18% versus last year, with wholesale increasing 13%.

Across both channels, revenue growth reflected continued strong momentum from international regions and positive contributions in the U.S. UGG delivered revenue of $409 million, which was above our expectation as the brand benefited from extended selling of fall products, primarily in the DTC channel. Gross margin in the fourth quarter was 57.6%, up 90 basis points versus the prior year period, primarily due to higher levels of full price selling across UGG and HOKA, favorable foreign currency exchange rates, reduced freight costs, and a slight benefit from favorable product and channel mix with partial offsets from a net headwind of tariffs. Gross margin was well above our implied fourth quarter expectations, primarily due to higher full price selling, greater freight savings, and a slightly larger benefit from product mix favorability.

SG&A for the quarter was $488 million, representing 43.6% of revenue, aligned with our expectation and taking advantage of our stronger FY 2026 performance. This included shifting certain expenses earlier to provide a stronger setup as we begin fiscal year 2027. This earlier and higher spend primarily related to accelerating top-of-the-funnel marketing to build brand awareness, advanced technology, and also reflected unfavorable impacts from foreign currency exchange rate remeasurement. These results drove diluted earnings per share of $0.96, which compares to $1 in the prior year period. Our fourth quarter performance marked a strong close to the year. For the full fiscal year 2026, we delivered record revenue of $5.47 billion, which increased 10% versus last year.

As compared to last year, revenue growth was driven by HOKA adding an incremental $354 million, totaling $2.59 billion in annual revenue, with double-digit % gains across both DTC and wholesale, and UGG increasing $207 million, totaling $2.74 billion of annual revenue, led by the global strength of wholesale as well as an increase in DTC. Gross margin for the year was 57.7%, down 20 basis points versus last year. The net headwind of tariff in the fiscal year accounted for approximately 80 basis points of decline year-over-year, with underlying margin expansion offsetting approximately 60 basis points, largely related to favorable product mix and lower freight costs. Product mix favorability continues to be driven by successful scaling of our highest-margin products across UGG and HOKA. SG&A dollar spend for the year was $1.89 billion, up 11% versus the prior year, $1.71 billion.

SG&A represented 34.6% of revenue, which is slightly above last year's rate of 34.2%. Key areas of increased investment in fiscal year 2026 included higher marketing spend across HOKA and UGG to fuel brand initiatives, increased rent primarily from international HOKA store openings, hiring additional talent primarily to support future HOKA growth opportunities, and strategic technology investments. We held our unallocated enterprise and shared brand expenses roughly flat versus the prior year, which created leverage to allow for strategic investments that support the long-term growth of our brands. Our exceptional levels of profitability reflect Deckers' unique ability to play offense, invest behind our brands while remaining disciplined across other areas of the organization. Our full fiscal year 2026 operating margin was 23.1%, inclusive of our targeted investments to support long-term growth opportunities across our brands.

This result came in above our expectation, primarily due to gross margin favorability in the fourth quarter as our brands delivered high levels of full price selling. For the full year, our effective tax rate was 22.8%, which compares to last year's rate of 22.3%. During the fourth quarter, we repurchased approximately $262 million worth of shares at a weighted average price per share of $105.61. For the entire fiscal year 2026, we repurchased $1.075 billion worth of shares at a weighted average price per share of $102.43. Our record performance, coupled with a lower share count that resulted from our highest-ever annual share repurchase, culminated in a record diluted earnings per share of $7.02, representing an 11% increase over last year's $6.33.

Turning to our balance sheet, at March 31st, 2026, we ended the year with $1.9 billion of cash and equivalents, inclusive of repurchasing nearly $1.1 billion worth of shares in the year, driven by three consecutive years of delivering $1 million. Inventory, inclusive of tariffs paid on inventory received this year, was $487 million, down 2% versus the same point in time last year. During the period, we had no outstanding borrowings. For the third consecutive year, our results returned invested capital above 35%. Moving to our outlook. For the full fiscal year 2027, we expect revenue in the range of $5.86 billion-$5.91 billion, reflecting high single-digit growth versus the prior year, with HOKA increasing low double digits versus the prior year, reflecting a higher DTC growth rate relative to wholesale, and UGG increasing mid-single digits with balanced growth across channels.

Gross margin is expected to be approximately 56.5%, which is down versus last year, primarily due to higher freight costs from rising transportation costs and shipping disruption related to the ongoing Middle East conflict, and increased input costs related to material upgrades and inflationary pressures. Our guidance assumes the current tariff rate of 10% remaining in effect for the duration of the fiscal year, with inventory expected to be sold in the first half at higher IEPA tariff rates already paid. While we are pursuing government refunds, our guidance does not include an assumed refund amount. SG&A is expected to be approximately 35% of revenue as we reinforce our foundation and support key growth initiatives.

Increased investments are primarily focused on marketing to fuel the long-term success of our leading brands, people, as we anniversary new hires supporting critical long-term growth opportunities, technology to facilitate effective and efficient data utilization, and DTC, including the strategic expansion of the HOKA brand's global retail presence. We believe these investments will position Deckers to begin delivering operating expense leverage in fiscal year 2028 and beyond, as reflected in the framework Stefano provided earlier in the call. We expect an operating margin of approximately 21.5%, reflecting our commitment to deliver top-tier levels of profitability while continuing to invest in the long-term growth of our brands. We are projecting an effective tax rate of approximately 23%.

This all results in an expected diluted earnings per share in the range of $7.30-$7.45, which includes an expectation to repurchase an amount equivalent to at least 80% of our free cash flow. Capital expenditures are expected to be in the range of $145 million-$155 million, which is above last year, primarily due to bolstering our technology infrastructure, adding select global HOKA stores and refreshing some UGG stores. Our outlook reflects a deliberate strategy to prioritize long-term growth and brand strength. We have a high degree of confidence in our outlook, but we also recognize the challenges in the current macroeconomic environment. While difficult to determine what these impacts may be, we remain focused on executing our objectives, including the full-year guidance I just walked through and the newly introduced multi-year framework that Stefano outlined earlier in the call.

While we want to maintain focus on our long-term opportunities, and given we are halfway through our first quarter, there are a few certain unique timing dynamics to consider for the current quarter. Our anticipated performance for the quarter ending June 30th includes consolidated revenue up approximately 5% to deliver our first-ever billion-dollar quarter ending June 30th, with HOKA up high single digits, primarily from DTC growth. Wholesale timing dynamics to consider include last year's earlier shipments related to the EMEA warehouse transition, delayed distributor shipments in APAC moving out of this quarter, and preparation of the marketplace for the Clifton launch in July as we reduce shipments of the outgoing model leading up to the release. UGG is expected to grow mid-single digits, aligned with our full-year guide.

Gross margin is expected to be down versus last year, primarily due to the wraparound net impact of higher tariffs on U.S. goods, with slight positive offsets from favorable channel mix and currency. SG&A is expected to grow about double the rate of revenue in the quarter, reflecting marketing investments to support brand initiatives, lapping favorable timing elements in the prior year, including FX remeasurement and annualization of new hires in the prior year. With EPS expected to be in the range of $0.82-$0.87.

With this first quarter context in mind, we want to reiterate that growth may not be linear across quarters, but our conviction in the broader outlook reflects our belief in our long-term strategy, powerful portfolio and operating model, and proven ability to deliver results over many years. Specific to the last three fiscal years, Deckers has grown revenue at a compound annual rate of 15%, and earnings per share has more than doubled. With the framework Stefano shared, we anticipate earnings per share growing low double digits on a compounded annual basis for our fiscal years 2027-2030, above the expected high single-digit revenue CAGR over the same time period. This is among the best in our industry. It's on top of nine consecutive fiscal years of revenue and earnings growth.

Deckers has a very bright future ahead, and we look forward to executing on our plans to deliver outstanding results for years to come. We will continue to prioritize the long-term health of our amazing brands, execute a pull model of demand and high full price sell-through, maintain investment discipline without sacrificing the long-term opportunities for our brands, and preserve the strength and optionality of our pristine balance sheet. With that, I'll hand the call back to Stefano for his closing remarks. Thanks, everyone.

Stefano Caroti
President and CEO, Deckers Outdoor

Thank you, Steve. Fiscal year 2026 marked another record-setting performance for Deckers. Importantly, we achieved this primarily through full-price business and disciplined inventory management. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2027, our outlook remains strong with steady and profitable revenue growth anticipated as we continue to invest in and strengthen our brands. In addition, we've outlined a multi-year framework through our fiscal year 2030, which includes annual total company revenue growth in the high single-digit range, with HOKA expected to achieve low double-digit growth and UGG targeting mid-single-digit increases. We'll continue to operate the global marketplace with full-price execution and invest with discipline to maintain top-tier levels of operating margins. With continued capital returns through our increased share repurchase authorization, earnings per share are expected to grow low double digits annually in fiscal year 2028 to fiscal year 2030. We've established a very solid foundation for continued growth.

Our long-term strategy is clear and well-defined, and our highly skilled team is already executing on our priorities. I want to express my gratitude to all Deckers employees for their dedication and hard work in building our company into what it is today. I look forward to collaborating with all of you as we shape the future together. Thank you all for joining today's call, and thank you to all of our stakeholders for your continued support. I'll now turn the call over to the operator for your questions.

Operator

Thank you, Mr. Caroti. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, if you do have any questions, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. If at any point your question is answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star 2. In the interest of time and to get to as many questions as possible, we ask that you please limit yourself to 1 question and 1 follow-up. We'll go first this afternoon to Laurent Vasilescu at BNP Paribas.

Laurent Vasilescu
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Good afternoon. Thank you very much for taking my question. I wanted to ask first a near-term question and then a longer-term question about the multi-year framework. Near term, Steve, Stefano, you usually don't comment about the quarter out. I appreciate you giving us some color around HOKA up high single digits. It sounds like there were earlier timing shipments moves around the launches. Maybe can you help us for the audience, the confidence around low double-digit growth for HOKA for the full year? How do we think about that 1H versus 2H, in terms of that framework?

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Yeah, sure, Laurent. I'll take the first one. Clearly we are confident on the year with high single digits total company, low double digits HOKA. As I said, kind of in our commentary on Q1, there are dynamics in Q1 this year that we also have to look at what happened last year. That's not indicative of a normal trend of business. That's just some of the dynamics that happened last year, compared to what we're having this year with differences in timing of launches, differences in closeout of products. It's not an indication of a change in business. We are as confident as ever in terms of the growth that we can achieve. Recall last year, we did have a timing difference related to moving more inventory in Q1 with our 3PL conversion in Europe.

We were shipping more in Europe in that first quarter to accommodate a transition with our 3PL move. Short answer to your question, extremely confident, good trends, we're seeing positive trends across the globe and confident in delivering the year.

Stefano Caroti
President and CEO, Deckers Outdoor

Yeah. Let me add something to that, Laurent. Our wholesale shipment timing in Q1 also reflects setting up a clear marketplace for the launch of Clifton later.

Laurent Vasilescu
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Super helpful, nice to see the multi-year framework provided today. As we think about long-term HOKA growth of low double digits, maybe can you help us frame it in terms of U.S. international? Should we assume mid-single digits for U.S., mid-teens international? Maybe can you provide a little bit more color around how you think about gross margins versus SG&A margins overall for the year, for the full multi-year? Sorry, Steve, I got to ask you this question. You tend to set conservative guidance. Does that apply to this multi-year framework? Thank you so much.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Sure. Laurent, let me kind of get through some of those questions. In terms of how you're thinking about the breakout between domestic and international in terms of growth, I think you're in line with how we're looking at it. As we've said, international will continue to grow at a faster pace than the U.S. The U.S. will continue to grow, just international will continue to grow at a faster pace. The second question was. Oh, gross margin. Where we're seeing some of the pressure on the gross margin in the year really has to do with inflation and higher material costs. Other than that, we're not assuming a significant change in the movement of the gross margin on the year. Just some pressures that we're seeing currently with input costs going higher, as well as you using upgraded material costs.

That is contributing to a little bit of a hit on the gross margins. Then the last bit on the multi-year. I think to your point, we have been viewed as conservative guiders. As we're looking out over the next few years, we are leaning into it, right? I would not call this a conservative guide as we look out to FY 2030. Given the strength and the confidence that we've seen and the performance of our brands over the last 2 years, it's giving us confidence in our ability to do this. Our brands are in an incredible position. To your point, we are leaning into it more than we have in the past.

Laurent Vasilescu
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Wonderful. Thank you very much, and best of luck.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Sure. Thanks, Laurent.

Operator

Thank you. We'll go next now to Paul Lejuez with Citi.

Paul Lejuez
Analyst, Citi

Hey, Vince, guys. Curious if you could talk about your HOKA order books and your visibility for the brand to grow significantly in wholesale this year. Also specifically how you think about U.S. versus international within that HOKA wholesale business. If you could, maybe just touch on performance of lifestyle, that offering, what you've got planned in terms of the lifestyle initiatives this year, and how important is that to achieving not only this year's plan, but your multi-year goals for that HOKA business to grow low double digits. Thanks.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

On the framework, as Steven said, we anticipate mid-single digit growth in the U.S. for HOKA and double-digit growth internationally. In terms of order book, we have a strong, healthy order book. Our innovation stories across road and trail have been very well received by retail partners. We now have a very clear design distinction between our max silo glide and our speed silo fly. This pro concept that we're introducing with Clifton Pro is going to expand our reach, and attract new audiences. All this on the back of strong spring sell-throughs across new models. Gaviota, Mach, Speedgoat 7 are all performing well in the marketplace. Regarding lifestyle, we're starting to see green shoots in our lifestyle business, with Mafate Speed 2, Bondi 7 leading the charge. This is very encouraging for us given the potential we see in this category.

I think, Paul, just a little bit back onto the order book. Strong performance always drives a strong order book. Coming off of a few years now where we've had success, our wholesale partners have had success, it really does help form the order book. We see strong earlier signals. Again, some of our signals around the confidence that we're seeing around the business, with the success that we're having with our wholesale partners and the success that they're seeing with the sell-through of our product at full price selling. Those are all things that give us confidence and help us drive that order book.

Paul Lejuez
Analyst, Citi

Is there any way to quantify the order book that you're seeing or maybe sell-throughs at retail that might be an indication of future orders?

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Yeah. We don't break that out in terms of numbers other than what we have it clearly, we just aren't providing it in terms of numbers. What I can say is that clearly with the gross margin that you've seen us deliver, it's an indication of the strong sell-through of our product. Our product is selling through very well. Our wholesale partners are having success with it. The other indicator of how strong that is is inventory levels. Even with the growth in the business, we're delivering lower inventory levels on our balance sheet as well as what our wholesale partners have in their storerooms. Those are really strong indicators of the health of our brand, the strong sell-through that we're seeing, and again, then another strong setup for our order book.

Paul Lejuez
Analyst, Citi

Thank you. Good luck.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

All right. Thank you.

Operator

We'll go next now to Jay Sole with UBS.

Jay Sole
Analyst, UBS

Super. Thank you so much. Stefano, two questions for me. One on UGG. We think about the multi-year framework you just gave, how much of the growth do you think will come from, say, the winter business, the classic business versus some of the newer stuff, spring, summer, fall, as you've made the brand more of a 12-month brand? How do you see the mix of business evolving in those two segments? That's the first part of the question. The other part on the multi-year framework relative to HOKA. Given that you're talking about six franchises now with over $100 million in revenue and three that are close to $100 million, lifestyle starting to see some green shoots, maybe some innovation coming next year. Do you see opportunity to open more HOKA stores? Is that part of the plan as you look out through 2030?

What kind of growth driver could more HOKA stores be given the expanding assortment looking out over a multi-year period? Thank you. Those are the two questions.

Stefano Caroti
President and CEO, Deckers Outdoor

Let me start with that one, then I'll tackle UGG. Yes, we plan to expand our HOKA retail footprint in proportion with the growth of the brand. We're focusing on major cities. We've recently opened stores in Berlin, Milan, Chamonix, the birthplace of the brand. We continue to build and open stores in Asia, especially in China. We anticipate 20 to 25 store openings per annum, which is what we have been doing over the past couple of years. Regarding UGG, yes. UGG, to your point, has become a year-round premium lifestyle brand, and it's now competing across multiple categories, not just boots. We intend to grow faster in spring/summer than in fall/winter. Our sneakers are performing super well. Our number 3 product in the marketplace was the Lowmel sneaker this past year. Our sandals are performing super well. Clogs, slippers.

Our pair and accessories also give us reason to hope that we'll continue to drive growth in textiles. The team has really done an incredible job in keeping this brand relevant, de-seasonalizing the business, and really increasing wear occasions. Newness has been working. The Otzo clog, the Minimel sneaker, the Zora ballet flat, the Quill Nikolina, all performing well across the global marketplace. This gives us reason to hope that we'll be able to continue to grow our 360 approach, and continue to grow spring/summer at a faster pace than fall/winter.

Jay Sole
Analyst, UBS

Got it. Okay. Thank you so much.

Operator

We'll go next now to Blake Anderson with Jefferies.

Blake Anderson
Analyst, Jefferies

Hi. Thanks for taking our question. I wanted to first ask about the medium-term financial frameworks and appreciate all the color there. Steve, on the operating margin in the low 20%, seemed like if we take the midpoint of that, it's flat versus what you expect this year at 21.5%. Maybe I missed it earlier, but would be curious, any commentary on how you're thinking about gross margin there versus SG&A, especially given the commentary previously on how strong your levels of full-price selling are that you've seen, and then some of the freight impacts you're seeing this year. Curious how you see up versus down areas for gross margin versus SG&A over the next few years.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Thanks, Blake. Good question. In terms of how we're looking at the framework, very similar to your point to how we're seeing the setup of this year, so a continued driving along those lines. I did comment in the prepared remarks about an opportunity to achieve some level of operating expense leverage, and we have the ability to do that. At the same time, we'll continue to look at how we're investing in brands. The operating margin will be, again, a bit of a function around our gross margin, but we expect to maintain strong gross margins. The way we look at gross margins is really how we price our product based on the value that we're delivering. We're delivering great product with high value. We'll continue to maintain that going forward, and then we'll continue to look at it.

I think in terms of how you've set up the question and the framework, that is how we're looking at the multi-year view.

Blake Anderson
Analyst, Jefferies

Great. Thank you. Then if I could ask one more. You mentioned freight, shipping, I think some input costs due to upgraded materials as well. There's a lot going on with higher oil prices in the supply chain. Would love any more color you can provide on how much impact you're seeing from oil prices versus freight. Then are you raising pricing along with some of those upgraded materials as well?

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

I would say it's still early in that sense. We have to see how things play out, and where pricing begins to normalize. Clearly, we're seeing some pressure in terms of your point, freight and fuel costs and some of the input costs raising. Again, largely a lot of the product that we have is bought for FY 2027. As we move into next calendar year and price for that, we'll be very careful about what we're seeing in terms of those input costs. Again, with strong brands, we have pricing power. Those are things that we can always take a look at.

Blake Anderson
Analyst, Jefferies

Great. Thanks so much.

Operator

We'll go next now to Sam Poser with Williams Trading.

Sam Poser
Analyst, Williams Trading

Thank you for taking my questions. Over the last two years, the UGG business has flowed, I guess, from a DTC or from a consumer demand perspective, it's flowed two different ways. In 2024, it looks like it started really early, and then this past year it started much later. How are you looking at the flow of the business this year? In the growth, you didn't mention it, but are you once again guiding to a more normalized promotional environment than normalized doesn't seem to happen that often?

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Yeah, I'll start. Maybe, then Stefan, if you want to jump in. In terms of the UGG business, Sam, we've talked about this a little bit on prior calls in terms of how we're seeing consumer respond in the market. When you look at that dynamic there, we are seeing trends where purchasing is more event-driven currently than it has been in years past. I think that's created some of the volatility. We've talked about peaks and valleys before in terms of seeing that. I think what we've seen in the last two years is that the consumer is still showing up for our brand. I think our Q3 and our Q4 performance is a further indication of that. While consumer purchasing patterns are changing, and if they are shifting to event-driven purchasing, they're showing up and buying our brands.

That's really what our performance has been driven. In terms of the context of how you've answered the question, as Stefano said earlier, we're also driving a bigger spring-summer business. We are seeing increases in the spring-summer seasons because we're bringing more relevant product to the consumer who's looking for that product in that timeframe. We are seeing kind of multiple dynamics that are impacting sales patterns. In both cases, we're capturing the consumer in increased purchases.

Sam Poser
Analyst, Williams Trading

There's definitely a buy now, wear now mindset.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Yeah.

Sam Poser
Analyst, Williams Trading

Thank you. Oh, sorry.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

You had a question kind of on the gross margin.

Sam Poser
Analyst, Williams Trading

Yeah

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

How we laid out this year, we are assuming a more promotional environment, not in this turn back. In terms of what the previous questions that I've received in terms of how we're thinking about the gross margin pressure that we're seeing in FY 2027, it really more is about inflation and higher input costs and material upgrades.

Sam Poser
Analyst, Williams Trading

Thank you. Secondly, you mentioned the tariffs, how they're not in your numbers. How much did you pay in tariffs under IEPA? I assume you filed for the refunds. How do you intend to account for it once you get it?

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Yeah. As we said earlier, the gross amount that we paid was around $120 million. We will look once we receive the money back. Clearly, we have partners who were cost sharing in that, so we'll make sure that we're taking care of them in terms of any return amounts. That's still to be determined. For the accounting of it, we'll address that kind of when we see it come back into the bank account.

Sam Poser
Analyst, Williams Trading

Okay. Thank you very much.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Thanks, Sam.

Operator

We'll go next now to Adrienne Yih with Barclays.

Adrienne Yih
Analyst, Barclays

Great. Thank you very much, and congratulations. Great to see the early momentum. Stefano, I wanted to talk about HOKA and sort of the wholesale channel. I guess wholesale and international. In the past, you talked about kind of not really penetrating all of the places that you can be. You're kind of in the top spaces and the premium doors. Can you talk about over this kind of the structural 3-year horizon, how you think about potentially penetrating doors that are kind of in maybe that second tier? If so, what would be the trigger for that, and when might we see that happen? On the international side of things, can you talk a little bit more about the international strategy, both in Europe and in Asia, and when we might see that accelerate? Thank you very much.

Stefano Caroti
President and CEO, Deckers Outdoor

Starting with international. International has been accelerating. As we said before, we applied the U.S. playbook to our international business. International for HOKA is between 2 and 4 years behind based on awareness. We are at 40% awareness in Europe, 60% in the U.S. We are 30% in China. Our approach is still very consistent. We are monitoring signals in the marketplace: consumer demand, turns, margins, door productivity, to determine when the right time to expand is. As our offer expands, this gives us more differentiation and segmentation opportunities. We're slowly and thoughtfully expanding where it makes sense. As I mentioned on the last call, sporting goods in the U.S. is still only 60% penetrated. Athletic specialty, only 25% penetrated. In EMEA, it's 40% for sporting goods and less than 20% for athletic specialty.

Plenty of upside for us within the framework that I shared to enter some of these destinations. We are doing some tests with some new upcoming retailers in the fall, both in the U.S. and Europe. If those tests go well, we'll slowly and thoughtfully and systematically expand. The approach that we've taken until now doesn't really change. Now we have a broader product offer that allows us to systematically differentiate the marketplace and offer consumers a differentiated proposition wherever they shop and allowing us to segment the marketplace more thoughtfully, including DTC.

Adrienne Yih
Analyst, Barclays

Great. Steve, my follow-up is on the inventory. The dollars are down, I guess, low single digits, which means the units are probably down more so than that.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Right.

Adrienne Yih
Analyst, Barclays

As we go into sort of the back half of the year, you typically don't restock people, right? Whatever's out there is out there. You're not really chasing inventory. How do you think about the positioning of that inventory? What macro backdrop are you assuming for the rest of FY 2027? Thank you very much.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Yeah, it's a good question. Clearly, having lower inventory helps. To your point, we have historically, when we run out of product, we're out of product. That helps drive full price selling and also helps drive increased orders for future seasons. Again, that's what you're seeing play out in the playbook, and that works very well for us. I think as we look at the environment, consumers, even with everything going on, are still operating from a healthy position. I think what we've seen, especially in what played out in Q3 and Q4, was the consumers showed up for the brands that they want, and they purchased the brands that they want.

That's our outlook for the rest of this year, is that we see the demand for our brands, we see the growing awareness, we see the interest, we see the interest in the new products that we've been bringing to market. That's what's giving us confidence. I think from a macroeconomic standpoint, I think I made the comment, we'll see how things evolve and develop, but we're confident with how the brands are resonating with consumers and consumers' interest to purchase our product.

Adrienne Yih
Analyst, Barclays

Fantastic. Best of luck. Thank you.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

All right. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We'll go next now to Rick Patel with Raymond James.

Rick Patel
Analyst, Raymond James

Thank you. Good afternoon. I was hoping you can unpack your domestic performance in Q4. I believe it was flattish. What were the puts and takes by brand, and what are your expectations for the domestic market as you think about fiscal 2017?

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Yeah, sure, Rick. I think you're still there. I don't know if we got cut off. Just to answer your question in terms of performance in the U.S., the performance in the U.S. was positive, as we made in the remarks. What you're seeing from a top-line perspective is being impacted from some of our discontinued brands. Of those brands, this year versus last year, that's muted. When we look at both UGG and HOKA, both have grown in the U.S. and across the globe. Positive trends in that respect. We made the comment that we're seeing kind of positive trends. I think still looking forward, we continue to see those positive trends continuing.

Rick Patel
Analyst, Raymond James

Got it. For HOKA, just zooming out to your plan to grow low double digits between FY 2028 and FY 2030, what needs to occur to drive that growth that you're not doing today? You touched on testing out some new wholesale accounts, does it also embed entering new sports that HOKA doesn't participate in today or new categories like apparel? Just some color on the building blocks would be great.

Stefano Caroti
President and CEO, Deckers Outdoor

There are plenty of upside for us in the categories we're competing in. The categories, the channels, and the geographies. The categories we're competing are $100 billion. Plenty of upside for us across road, trail, fitness, recovery, lifestyle, and apparel. We continue to explore new categories, but the framework doesn't incorporate any new categories at this point.

Rick Patel
Analyst, Raymond James

Great. Thanks very much.

Steven Fasching
CFO, Deckers Outdoor

Thank you, Rick.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that is all the time we have for question on today's call. This will conclude today's Deckers Brands's 4th quarter fiscal 2026 earnings conference call. Please disconnect your line at this time, and have a wonderful day. Goodbye.

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