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Earnings Call: Q3 2021

Nov 2, 2021

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to Q3 2021 ExlService Holdings, Inc. Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session, and instructions will follow at that time. If anyone should require assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your touchtone telephone. I would like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Steven Barlow. Please go ahead, sir.

Steven Barlow
VP of Investor Relations, EXL

Thank you, Grace. Good morning, and thanks to everyone for joining EXL's third quarter 2021 financial results conference call. I'm Steven Barlow, EXL Vice President of Investor Relations. With me today in our offices in New York are Rohit Kapoor, our Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Maurizio Nicolelli, our Chief Financial Officer. We hope you've had an opportunity to review our Q3 2021 earnings release we issued this morning, as well as the press release announcing a new $300 million share repurchase authorization.

We have also updated our investor fact sheet in the investor relations section of EXL's website. As you know, some of the matters we'll discuss in this call are forward-looking. Please keep in mind that these forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements.

Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to general economic conditions. Those factors set forth in today's press release, discussed in the company's periodic reports and other documents filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission from time to time. EXL assumes no obligation to update the information presented on this conference call. During our call today, we may reference certain non-GAAP financial measures which we believe provide useful information for investors. Reconciliation of these measures to GAAP can be found in our press release as well as on the investor fact sheet. I'll now turn the call over to Rohit Kapoor, EXL Chief Executive Officer. Rohit.

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService Holdings

Thank you, Steve. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to our third quarter 2021 earnings call. I hope you and your families are safe and healthy. I'm delighted to report another outstanding quarter. EXL achieved better than expected results in the third quarter on revenue and adjusted EPS. Our Q3 revenue was $290.3 million, which represents a 5.8% sequential increase and a 20.1% year-over-year increase, both on a constant currency basis. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.30 per share. Our analytics business reported revenue of $120.5 million, growing 8.3% sequentially and 32.7% year-over-year. Consistent with the first half of the year, demand for analytics has increased significantly in the post-pandemic environment.

We foresee continued healthy growth in analytics driven by consistent demand for our expertise in data-driven solutions. Our operations management business also achieved growth this quarter, generating $169.9 million in revenue, which is up 4.1% quarter-over-quarter and 12.6% year-over-year, driven primarily by higher revenues from our suite of insurance solutions and new wins in our emerging business.

Our revenue growth this quarter has been broad-based. We have continued to win across all industry verticals, with analytics and digital being our core differentiators. We see this trend continuing with a strong pipeline of large deals and surging demand for our digital solutions and analytics capabilities. We feel confident that we will maintain our strong position in the market by continuing to secure strategic wins.

To illustrate what we are seeing in the market, I would like to share some insights on a few of our recent engagements that showcase our unique strengths. Starting with our analytics business. Point-of-sale financing through buy now, pay later solutions have become a rapidly growing segment in the banking and retail industries. The popularity of the format is due to how seamless and easy it is from the customer perspective. Real-time credit approvals at the point of purchase allows for a much smoother customer experience. This creates significant value for the customer, the bank or lending institution, and the merchant. On the merchant side, by integrating a financing solution directly into the purchase journey, we are able to drive higher conversions and higher order value.

On the financing side, we are enabling banks to expand their share of wallet with existing customers, attract new customers, and create an efficient merchant services workflow. We've developed and implemented a buy now, pay later solution for First National Bank of Omaha, the largest privately held bank subsidiary in the United States. It is unique for two reasons. First, it allows merchants to provide information about a customer in real time, enabling an instantaneous credit decision with comprehensive credit analytics, pre-approval support built directly into the process. Second, it is highly scalable. Working together with our partners, the solution was developed as an in-the-box capability that can be deployed rapidly across modules. In the case of First National Bank of Omaha, we built and launched the solution in a live retail environment in just four months.

Given our deep client base in retail banking, we see good traction for this solution going forward. Similarly, our innovative digital solutions built on our proprietary AI OS architecture are helping clients reimagine traditional business functions. EXL partnered with a leading Australian insurer to proactively identify claims payment leakages and prevent regulatory breaches.

Our AI-powered Smart Audit solution has helped the insurer automate 100% of the claims reviews, which has streamlined workflows and improved the accuracy of claims processing. Additionally, our powerful algorithms are now tracking data across the claims life cycle to identify over 10 times more leakage than previous benchmarks. The Smart Audit solution is highly scalable. By making simple changes to our algorithms, we have been able to pivot the solution to also address audit and compliance issues within other industries. This expands our addressable market.

For example, a major healthcare payer is using the solution to improve accuracy and compliance across 200 different outbound member communications in multiple languages. Additionally, a leading manufacturer of electrical components leveraged Smart Audit to identify 20% leakages within their vendor payments. We are also seeing strong demand for our payment integrity solutions. This is evident in our recent contract win with a top ten national health plan.

The engagement initially focuses on complex hospital audit services and deploys several components of our payment integrity solutions. With a strong alignment to our growth strategy, this multi-year win represents a significant step forward for our payment services business. The common theme across all these examples is the extensive use of data, analytics, AI, and cloud.

As our clients' needs have grown and evolved, we've doubled down on our analytics and digital focus to create solutions that address their biggest challenges, unlock opportunities for growth, and drive efficiency. This trajectory has been central to our growth. In order to better communicate our focus on analytics and digital solutions, we launched our bold new brand platform in September. Anchored in the client value proposition, we make sense of data to drive your business forward. The new brand more accurately reflects the critical role we play in our clients' strategic growth agendas. It also emphasizes the critical role data plays in driving better decision-making and more intelligent operations, enabling companies to predict trends, deliver hyper-personalized customer experiences, and streamline workflows. With greater volumes of data and more focus on delivering real-time insights and solutions, making sense of data has become the most important baseline capability for businesses today.

This is a noteworthy evolution of our business and positions us well in the marketplace. To realize our brand promise, we are making significant investments in advanced analytics, AI-based content extraction, conversational AI, and cloud-based operations analytics. As we look to the future, we will continue to keep the health and safety of our employees and their families as our top priority. We have conducted vaccination drives for our employees across our geographies and have seen progress over the last quarter. Currently, 70% of our employees globally have received at least one dose of the vaccine. As vaccines become more readily available in geographies such as the Philippines and South Africa, we will continue to push ahead for greater vaccination rates amongst our workforce and enable a safer work environment.

We have also built a future of work operating model which focuses on maintaining a distributed workforce to maximize our resilience and deliver an optimal working environment for our employees. As we've seen over the past several months, the flexibility of a hybrid work from home model has been great for our employees. Evolved as a company, we have made a very conscious effort to cultivate a strong bench of leaders who will help drive our business forward. I'm pleased to share that we have elevated two of our senior leaders to our executive committee. Ankur Rai, our Chief Digital Officer, and Narasimha Kini, leader of our emerging business, are both now part of the leadership executive committee. Ankur joined EXL in 2006 as part of our acquisition of Inductis and was co-head of analytics for several years.

Kini is a 21-year veteran of EXL and has held numerous leadership roles since joining in 2001. I am confident that Ankur and Kini will play pivotal roles in achieving the promise of our new brand and meeting our growth aspirations. Going forward, our pipeline remains strong, and our capabilities in the analytics and digital space are resonating well in the market. Similarly, within operations management, we continue to see a healthy pipeline of large deals with digital transformation agendas as more of our clients make strategic pivots to becoming truly digital. In conclusion, 2021 is shaping up to be a great year for EXL. We have been able to grow our business across our verticals and form stronger partnerships with our clients. We have created unique solutions using data and analytics, AI, and the cloud that solve their most pressing problems.

I am confident in the resilience of our business model and extremely proud of the commitment and ingenuity of our people to support one another and our clients in a fast-changing and complex business environment. I will now invite Maurizio to highlight our Q3 financial performance and 2021 guidance.

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService Holdings, Inc.

Thank you, Rohit, and thanks everyone for joining us this morning. I will provide insight into our financial performance for the third quarter of 2021, followed by our updated outlook for 2021. As Rohit mentioned, we had an outstanding quarter with revenue of $290.3 million, up 20.5% year-over-year, while adjusted earnings per share was $1.30. All revenue growth numbers mentioned hereafter are on a constant currency basis. Revenue from our operations management business, as defined by three reportable segments excluding analytics, was $169.9 million, up 12.6% year-over-year. Sequentially from the second quarter, revenue was up 4.1%. Our insurance segment generated revenue of $98 million, up 11.3% year-over-year, driven by expansion in existing client relationships and higher volumes.

Compared to the second quarter of 2021, revenue was up 3.9%. The insurance vertical, consisting of insurance operations management and analytics businesses, grew 17% year-over-year. Healthcare reported revenue of $27.3 million, up 8.9% year-over-year, driven by new clients signed in 2020, offset by lower volumes in clinical services due to a transitioning client. The healthcare vertical, consisting of healthcare operations management and analytics businesses, grew 12.9% year-over-year. Emerging reported revenue of $44.5 million, up 18.2% year-over-year. This growth was driven by new client wins in 2021 and expansion in existing client relationships in banking and financial services, travel and transportation, and utilities. Sequentially, Emerging revenue grew 9.7%.

The emerging vertical, consisting of emerging operations management and analytics businesses, grew 30.7% year-over-year. Analytics revenue totaled $120.5 million, up 32.7% year-over-year. Analytics was 41.5% of total revenue in the third quarter of 2021, compared to 37.5% in the third quarter of 2020. This growth was driven by higher volumes across all industry verticals, with expansion in existing client relationships, particularly in banking and financial services, and new wins in 2021 as clients embrace our data-led advanced analytics, AI, and cloud solutions. Compared to the second quarter of 2021, revenue was up 8.3%.

Moving down the income statement, our SG&A expenses were 19.9% of total revenue, up 240 basis points year-over-year, driven by investments in front-end sales, marketing, capability development, higher compensation, and COVID-related expenses for health and safety of our employees. Our adjusted operating margin for the quarter was 19.4%. Up 20 basis points year-over-year, driven by operating leverage from higher revenue and partially offset by higher SG&A expenses. Our adjusted operating margin was up 150 basis points from the second quarter of 2021. Our adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.30, up 25% year-over-year on a reported basis. Now, moving to our nine-month performance. Our revenue was $826.8 million, up 15.7% year-over-year.

This growth was broad-based across all our segments, with operations management up 9.9% and analytics up 25.5%. Our year-to-date adjusted operating margin is 19.2%, an increase of 460 basis points over the prior year. Adjusted EPS for the first nine months of 2021 is $3.62, up 51.5% year-over-year on a reported basis. In the first three quarters of the year, we generated cash flow from operations of $113.8 million compared to $126.3 million in the same period last year, driven by higher receivables and incremental income and withholding tax payments. EXL's balance sheet continues to remain strong with a focus on liquidity, flexibility, and strong cash flow from operations.

Our cash and short-term investments as of September thirtieth was $284 million, while our bank debt was $185 million, for a net cash position of $99 million. During the third quarter, we settled our 3.5% convertible senior notes with an aggregate value of $150 million due in 2024 for $200 million in cash and approximately 310,000 shares of common stock. We are generating significant cash flow to invest in new digital and cloud solutions and have sufficient capital for acquisitions and our share repurchase program. During the first three quarters of 2021, we repurchased 845,000 shares at an average price of $99 per share, totaling $83.6 million.

In addition, today, we announced a new repurchase authorization for $300 million, effective January 1, 2022. Now, turning to guidance. We have increased both our top and bottom-line guidance for 2021 based on our strong year-to-date performance and visibility into the fourth quarter. Our guidance is based on our current flexible work model, with more than 90% of our employees working remotely for the remainder of the year. We are increasing our revenue guidance for 2021 to be in the range of $1.11 billion-$1.12 billion, up $25 million at the midpoint. This represents a year-over-year growth rate of 16%-17% on a reported basis and 15%-16% on a constant currency basis. In 2021, we expect analytics to grow in the mid-20% range and operations management to grow approximately 10%.

For the fourth quarter, we expect the revenue to be comparable to Q3 due to lower volumes in ops management, including healthcare, as mentioned earlier. We expect our adjusted EPS to be in the range of $4.70-$4.80, up 33%-36%, driven by increased revenue in 2021. Adjusted EPS is expected to decline in Q4 from Q3 due to advanced hiring for future growth, higher sales and marketing expenses, increased investments in technology, and higher compensation in select areas. We expect a foreign exchange gain between $3 million-$4 million, net interest expense of $0.5 million-$1 million, and our effective tax rate to be in the range of 23%-24%. In terms of capital allocation, we continue to invest in analytics, AI, digital solutions, and tech, and technology.

We expect capital expenditures to be in the range of $35 million-$40 million. In conclusion, the first three quarters have been strong, with a double-digit revenue growth of 16.5% and adjusted EPS increasing by 51% over 2020. Our success is attributable to strong demand for our services, outstanding delivery despite challenges faced by the pandemic, and a keen focus on fixed and variable costs, which has driven margins higher. We expect a strong finish to the year. Looking at 2022, we have solid revenue momentum across all our business segments, and we expect much of our margin gains to be sustainable with a hybrid working model. Now Rohit and I will be happy to take your questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question at this time, please press star then the 1 key on your touchtone telephone. If your question has been answered or you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press the pound key. We also ask that you limit yourself to 1 question and 1 follow-up. Your first question comes from the line of Maggie Nolan from William Blair. Your line is open.

Maggie Nolan
Analyst, William Blair

Hi. Thank you. Congrats on the results. I wanted to ask a little bit more about the healthcare segment within ops management. Could you go into maybe what your expectations are for kind of the medium-term performance of that segment?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService Holdings

Yeah. Thanks, Maggie. You know, there's nothing unusual going on in the healthcare segment. You know, from time to time, we do have you know, a transition of a client that might take place where they might be insourcing of work. We have you know, particular situation out there. The healthcare business in ops management is fundamentally sound. It is growing very nicely. We are seeing strong traction among the payers, but also among the providers, where we've started to now serve the provider group in a fairly active way. The other part is, as healthcare embraces data-driven solutions, digital interventions, and adopts a much more end-to-end comprehensive digital transformation of their operating business model, we think we'll be able to serve clients in that industry model really, really well.

Keep in mind that the healthcare industry is a little bit behind in terms of the adoption of new technologies, as compared to some of the other industry verticals, and therefore, the headroom for us to be able to continue to serve clients in that vertical are huge. The industry itself is very large and, therefore, you know, of course, it is pretty much recession-proof. It's something which we think is a large market space where our capabilities and our solutions can be really helpful, and we are excited about, you know, the potential for us to serve and grow clients in that vertical.

Maggie Nolan
Analyst, William Blair

Okay. Thank you. Then, thinking about the margin profile of the company, obviously you've seen some, you know, structural pickup in the margins. Do you think you can kind of continue to operate at or above that kind of 38% gross margin? If you do, is even, you know, like a 17% adjusted operating margin, you know, an easy target or kind of a low target at this point?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService Holdings, Inc.

Thanks, Maggie, for the question. When we look at margins, look, when we went through Investor Day back in November of 2020, we talked about, you know, building margins to between 16% and 17% in 2022. You know, this year we have done very well with margins in this remote hybrid model that we're all working in.

We have made some significant improvement that is permanent really going forward. If you look at our headcount growth over the last 12 months, it is lower on a year-over-year basis than our revenue growth pretty significantly. And that's us just becoming much more efficient. There is embedded benefit in our margins going forward. You know, with that guidance that we gave back in at Investor Day, we're trending towards the higher end of that guidance really going forward.

Maggie Nolan
Analyst, William Blair

Makes sense. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next, we have Bryan Bergin from Cowen. Your line is open.

Bryan Bergin
Analyst, Cowen

Hi. Good morning. Thank you. Maurizio Nicolelli, I just wanted to follow up on that net gross margin question. You just said there are some lasting changes here. I mean, it seems like you've got good tailwind for this to continue easily into the early part of next year. Is there any reason you're gonna have significant travel costs coming back in the short term? Just trying to frame, 'cause it seems like you could outperform even the high end of this 17% right now.

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService Holdings, Inc.

Hi, Bryan. When you think about some of the costs going back into our P&L, you know, we'll start to travel a little bit more, most likely in 2022. You know, we all think that it won't be at the level that we were pre-pandemic. But we will have some additional costs coming in from the return to office in this new environment that we work in. We'll still have a portion of our employees working from home, but we will start to go back to the office in 2022. We're also gonna start hiring also to really drive growth in 2022 and 2023.

You know, having said all that, you know, right now we've given guidance from Investor Day, you know, going forward, and we're trending towards the higher end of that, of those margins going forward. We'll update that, most likely, in February of 2022, really for the upcoming calendar year. Right now, you are correct in that there's very solid momentum on margins, and we are trending towards the higher end of that guidance and also above that.

Bryan Bergin
Analyst, Cowen

Okay. I appreciate that. Just on the emerging segment within ops management, can you dig in a bit more there? You know, is that a travel recovery or is it more broad-based across all the varying subsegments within that? Can you just comment, is it expansions of existing clients or is it also new logo additions there?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService Holdings

Sure, Brian. Our emerging segment has actually seen, you know, broad-based growth across industry verticals. The travel segment for us is a very small portion of our revenue within the emerging business, and that has certainly increased, but it has a very little impact because the size is much smaller. A tremendous amount of improvement in verticals like banking and financial services, in transportation and logistics, and travel certainly has improved and across utilities as well. In terms of existing clients expansion and new clients, we're really pleased with our existing clients expanding their scope of work with us. At the same time, we're signing up a number of new clients in the emerging business.

Frankly, it's a very healthy, broad-based growth that we're seeing in the emerging business, and that provides us great confidence as we step into 2022.

Bryan Bergin
Analyst, Cowen

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next up we have David Koning from Baird. Your line is open, sir.

David Koning
Analyst, Baird

Great job. I guess first of all, just when I look at Q4 sequential guidance, kind of flattish kind of up, I think +$5 million to -$5 million sequentially, give or take. Normally, that's up a lot sequentially. You kinda talked a little bit. Was there something a little inflated in Q3 that falls off a bit in Q4?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService Holdings

Dave, thanks for your comments. You know, as Maurizio kind of shared in his prepared remarks, we expect Q4 to be flattish to Q3, you know, because of the client that we spoke about in the healthcare segment. That's something which we are anticipating. There's nothing unusual in Q3 in terms of our revenues. We think, you know, we've got strong growth momentum both in operations management and in analytics, and that, you know, likely continues going forward. However, because of this client transition that is taking place, there will be an offset, and that's what we are factoring in our guidance.

David Koning
Analyst, Baird

Gotcha. Okay. That's helpful. Then in the analytics segment, I mean, you talked kind of about how, you know, some of this post-pandemic work or it's just coming on, and I mean you're growing way faster than normal. Like, is there any non-recurring business in there, or is this really something that it's just at a higher level, and can it continue to grow at this kinda elevated pace, or does it come back to mid-teens?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService Holdings

Sure. You're absolutely right. You know, the focus on data, the focus on data analytics has certainly shifted into high gear with the pandemic. The demand environment has become very, very rich and very, very attractive for us. I think our capability sets are really resonating very well in the marketplace. We don't think that the emphasis on data is going to drop down. We think it's gonna continue to be there. We know that data ends up being the differentiator between success and mediocrity. We think our clients are gonna continue to embrace data-led strategies going forward, and we should be in a great position to be able to help them as we step forward. At the same time, you also know that our analytics business always has about a third of its business which is project-based.

Two-thirds of our analytics business is annuity-based, and therefore, those revenue streams continue to develop nicely. We always will carry about a third of that business, which is project-based. That project-based revenue is subject to discretionary, you know, decisions on behalf of our clients, and therefore there'll always be some level of volatility associated with that. We feel confident about the growth of the analytics business, which we shared in our Investor Day, you know, in November 2020, as Maurizio said. That is something which, you know, we are very confident about.

David Koning
Analyst, Baird

Gotcha. Yeah. It seems like it. Great job. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next up, we have Vincent Colicchio from Barrington Research. Your line is open.

Vincent Colicchio
Analyst, Barrington Research

Yes, Rohit. I'm curious, has wage inflation gotten significantly worse since last quarter? I think last quarter you talked about using some equity to retain people. I'm curious if you're doing any of that.

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService Holdings

Yes, Vincent. Certainly, you know, wage inflation is a risk out there that we need to manage and to be able to navigate. What we are seeing is that wage inflation is particularly strong in a few areas of our business but not across the entire business altogether. In areas around data analytics and digital, certainly there is higher level of wage inflation, and we are trying to manage that. As we discussed last quarter, our focus really is to be able to retain and grow our top talent. We do that through a combination of providing them with a very rich environment where they can learn, grow their professional capabilities, be able to advance their careers and manage, you know, a greater and a bigger piece of business, get the right compensation.

Then as you get more senior in the organization, be able to participate more actively in the equity component, which is a strong retention tool for us. As our stock continues to remain a retentive value to our employees. I think it's really a continuation of our strategy of focusing in on those areas where we need to be competitive from a compensation perspective and making sure that we provide a holistic experience for our employees that is focused in on the work environment, the work itself, compensation, benefits, and the team that is there. That's something which seems to be playing out nicely.

Vincent Colicchio
Analyst, Barrington Research

Mauricio, could you remind us what you've done on the real estate footprint and if that's a significant opportunity going forward in terms of reduction?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService Holdings, Inc.

Thanks, Vince, for the question. On the real estate side, we have been reviewing all of our real estate footprint around the world. We've started to become more efficient on real estate in the last 12 months, and we have plans to optimize real estate going forward in our 2022 budget. You know, we'll continue to look at real estate. It is an opportunity for us going forward. We're starting to get finalization just on our work from home or hybrid model for the future working environment, you know, going forward. It does remain a potential opportunity, you know, going forward. You know, again, we will start to incur costs going forward as we start to open up offices.

That'll be a little bit of an offset for us to take a little bit of benefit in 2022. You're correct. You know, we continue to look at real estate and areas that we can optimize, and we'll do so over the next 12-24 months as leases come up.

Vincent Colicchio
Analyst, Barrington Research

Thank you for answering my questions.

Operator

Thank you once again. In order to ask a question, please press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. Again, that will be star then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Puneet Jain from JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Puneet Jain
Analyst, JPMorgan

Hey, thanks for taking my question, and good quarter. Rohit, can you talk about supply environment for analytics? EXL has always had premium talent in that practice, but as demand in data and digital picks up and your needs also increase in analytics, are you able to hire enough people to service demand, or are you also resorting to training internally to service analytics demand?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService Holdings

Thanks, Puneet. For our analytics business, you know, investing in talent has been a strategy that we have been investing in for at least the last decade. We have a two-part strategy in terms of managing the talent in analytics. One is we have a very strong campus recruitment program where we hire from the premier engineering and management institutes in India, in the U.S., and these programs are now sufficiently mature, well-developed, where our brand as well as name recognition are right on the top. We are able to attract sufficient volumes of people as well as the right quality of talent, you know, from these you know, programs.

The second part of our talent development program is really about grooming talent internally within EXL and providing them the inputs necessary to take on more complex work and more advanced analytics, capabilities. That program continues to run very well, and it's a combination both of, you know, training input that we provide as well as use case experience, which our employees get when they work on client, engagements.

Again, given the size and scale of our team in analytics, that is something which we believe we have one of the strongest capabilities of developing internal talent, and therefore that continues to work very well. The supply side of talent for data analytics is definitely a challenge. At this point of time, we are able to attract, retain, and develop adequate numbers of people to be able to support that business. We feel good about where we are from a talent perspective.

Puneet Jain
Analyst, JPMorgan

Got you. The healthcare client you talked about, can you size the impact you expect? Will all of that hit in Q4, or could there be a subsequent impact in next year as well on sequential basis? Also, I know you mentioned that it happens, it's not unusual for clients to in-source. Was there any specific reason that they chose to go that path this time?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService Holdings

No, Puneet. There's nothing there that's, you know, like we discussed, that sometimes clients will, you know, shift work from a partner to their captive operation, and that's what's happening here. It's not significant for us to be able to call out, you know, really separately and provide detail on the quantitative aspect of it. It's something which, you know, will just settle down, and we don't really expect anything further to go beyond 2021, as far as that transition is concerned.

Puneet Jain
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next up, we have David Grossman from Stifel. Your line is open, sir.

David Grossman
Managing Director, Stifel

Thank you. Good morning. I guess the first thing I just wanted to ask is about the bookings. I know you don't disclose bookings or, you know, ever quantify them, but perhaps you could provide some qualitative color on net new bookings year to date on a year-over-year basis or even comment on the backlog and how that's been trending as well.

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService Holdings

Sure, David. Look, I think the demand pipeline for us is very, very strong, and it's strong both in operations management and in analytics. Looking at the numbers, you know, the operations management pipeline has gone up very meaningfully. It's gone up close to about 50% over the last two years or so. The analytics pipeline has actually more than doubled in terms of size. That's something which is very, very strong as well. I think the other part that seems to be happening is that the sales cycle is shortening, and that's something which you know is helpful for us to be able to grow our business much more rapidly.

The deal sizes are medium to large size deals, so that's again very chunky and very significant. From a bookings perspective, we don't really you know share any data pertaining to the bookings, so it's difficult to kind of talk about it, particularly when it comes to transaction-based pricing and outcome-based pricing. All of these are, of course, driven by you know delivering the output to the customer. It's very difficult to measure that or to provide you know any kind of color on that. The other part is the pipeline is strong across all the verticals. Across insurance, healthcare, emerging analytics, it's very broad-based and it's strong across. We're very pleased with you know the quality of the pipeline as well.

David Grossman
Managing Director, Stifel

I see. Just the follow-up question is really, and I think I'm probably gonna ask a question that was asked earlier but in a slightly different way, and it's about the margins. I'm just curious whether, you know, how you view the structural impact of the hybrid work model. You know, this industry historically has pretty quickly priced in efficiencies that get passed through, and I'm just wondering, you know, how you feel about the hybrid work model and the benefits and how enduring, if you will, those benefits may be.

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService Holdings, Inc.

Dave, when we look at the benefits from the hybrid working model, we think of it a little bit as there's benefits, but there's also related cost to it. When you look at the benefits, obviously, you know, if you've got a significant portion of your workforce working from home, you're gonna be able to optimize a number of different costs, you know, going forward. We've talked about that, meaning you can optimize to a certain extent real estate, you can optimize some of your transportation costs, and a few other kind of costs that are more office related.

On the flip side, you know, we are spending a good amount of money on technology costs to really protect, to create that work from home environment that's well protected in terms of data security, and just overall, you know, ensuring that that work environment is very similar in terms of security to being in the office. When you look at the benefit versus the cost really going forward, there's a little bit of trade-off there that we're factoring in really going forward. We have been investing in technology, and we'll continue to do so going into 2022. That's a bit of an offset, you know, to those benefits from the new environment that we're working in.

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService Holdings

Yeah. Dave, I'll just add a little bit to what Maurizio just said. You know, when you think about margins, from our perspective, there are three broad categories where we would see a significant movement on margins. One is operational efficiency. On operational efficiency, we had signaled, you know, a couple of years back that is something that we would tighten up, and we would start to manage our business in a much more disciplined manner, and that is something that we have consciously and deliberately done, and that is something which we believe will be sustainable going forward. The second is really pertaining to COVID and work from home. That, like Maurizio articulated, there are puts and takes to it, and that does, you know, shift around.

There are some costs that will come back in 2022, particularly around travel, around working from the office in a much more significant manner, and those costs will offset, you know, some of the other changes, you know, that are there. The third part is probably more fundamental, and that's the business mix .

From a business mix perspective, as we continue to do more work around digital, more work around data analytics where we are delivering greater value to the customer, we think we should be able to, you know, improve our margins on the basis of the value that we are delivering to our customer. That's, you know, probably a longer-term secular trend that we would need to make sure that we can execute upon. I hope that provides you with some perspective on the three broad buckets of margin contribution.

David Grossman
Managing Director, Stifel

No, it does. Just on that third point about mix, should we use the data analytics business as a proxy for that mix, or is it really blended both through OM and analytics?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService Holdings

Yeah. The analytics business is certainly one part of the proxy, but most of the digital work that we are doing is all being embedded and infused into operations management. As that business becomes a lot more outcome-driven business as well as a digitally infused business, I think you're gonna see, you know, changes take place in that margin structure.

David Grossman
Managing Director, Stifel

Got it. Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. That's our last question for today. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

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