ExlService Holdings, Inc. (EXLS)
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J.P. Morgan 2025 Ultimate Services Investor Conference

Nov 18, 2025

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Good afternoon. My name is Puneet. I'm from J.P. Morgan's Payment Processing and IT Services team. Glad to have here with us Maurizio, CFO of EXL. You all know him well. Last presentation of the day, but saving best for the last. Maurizio, thanks for joining us. Format of this presentation is going to be fireside chat. I'll start with a few questions, and then we'll open up the floor for questions from the audience. Thank you again, Maurizio. Maybe for the benefit of investors who may be new to the story, could you talk about EXL's positioning to value proposition and how you are unique relative to your peers?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

Sure. Thank you for having me, Puneet. Why don't we talk a little bit about EXL's value proposition? When we think of the value that we propose to our clients, it's really in three different areas that are core to the overall business. The first is domain expertise in that we understand the segments of our clients' workflows significantly because we've been at operations since essentially the early 2000s. We manage many, many workflows for many different of our clients within different industries, whether it's insurance, healthcare, banking, many different areas. We've built that domain expertise over many, many years. Secondly, data management. Back in 2006, we made the acquisition of a small Indian company called Inductus, and we got into data analytics. Since then, we have built up our data management business. Now that's becoming very significant for us, especially in this AI world.

Everything starts when you start to build AI, it's on client data. In many cases, we need to work on the client's data in order to make it ready and structured in order to build AI on top of. If you notice, about a month, month and a half ago, we had a press release that we came out with EXLd ata.ai. What is that? That is 65 agentic AI agents that we use. It's an accelerator to be able to use that functionality to structure and manage the client's data to get it AI ready at the end of the day. That data management piece is really core overall to our proposition. Lastly, it's us building AI solutions for our clients.

Now, those can be AI solutions that we sell in a proprietary mode, or it's AI solutions that we embed into existing or new client operations that we bring on board into our overall workflow. Between domain expertise, data management, and AI capabilities, when you put all three of those together, that is an extremely valuable proposition to our clients because many clients or many competitors will have one, but not the other two. They may have domain expertise because they run operations, but they may lack the level of capability in data management or AI. It could be the other way around. It could be an AI-specific business that builds AI solutions, but does not do much in data management and does not have domain expertise in certain industries.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

No, very good. It clearly reflects in the growth rates. You are clearly outperforming your peers, IT services companies. Let's disaggregate data and AI revenue that you talk about. How much of that data and AI-led business is data-driven? Like you said, helping clients improve quality of data, helping them access data. Is there a way to think about how much of that's data versus, let's say, legacy analytics work that you've been doing for decades now? Also, maybe if you can talk about marketing analytics, which has been an anchor to that segment's growth in the past, is that still a headwind?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

Sure, sure. Our data and AI segment is the piece of our business that is really growing significantly now. We are embedding data and/or AI in so many of our clients' workflows. Every new opportunity is starting to have some form of data or AI embedded in that new opportunity. We're also cannibalizing and going after our existing digital operations business and embedding data and AI into that business overall. When you look at the total, when we released our third quarter results, we now have 56% of our revenue is data and AI. What's the makeup of that piece? The big piece of that is our historical data and analytics business. When we ended the year last year, about 44% of our business was data and analytics. That is buried in that 56%.

The other 12%-ish of that total is the remaining us selling our AI solutions into the marketplace. As we move forward, you should see data and AI continue to grow between 15%-20% going forward. As Rohit talked about on the call, digital operations is starting—we're starting to really embed more and more data and AI into that revenue. You're going to see some of that revenue actually move to data and AI. That growth rate will probably be somewhere in the mid-single digits going forward. When you aggregate it all together, you still get to low double-digit growth overall. Like this year, our organic growth rate will be right around 13% overall as a total consolidated growth rate, with data and AI being in the high double digits or high teens and digital operations being in the single digits.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Let's double-click on digital operations, like mid-single digit growth that you expect there. Obviously, that segment also suffers from AI cannibalization. That revenue moves into the other segment when you automate a process using AI. The segment was down 2% sequentially in the last quarter. That drove a lot of concerns among investors about the long-term growth of that segment, that if AI cannibalization could keep that segment from growing at mid-single digits. Talk to us about your confidence in that mid-single digit growth in that segment and what will drive that incremental revenue to offset cannibalization.

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

Yeah, so there's still plenty of opportunities in digital operations. Even though the majority of our digital operations business will have an element of data and/or AI in it. You are starting to see that in our results, whereby we are actively going into our digital operations business. We used the example of our British energy client in the call in that we went into one of their workflows and we got a 30% efficiency from that overall workflow from embedding agentic AI into that process. Essentially, the client got a 30% efficiency benefit. If you think about it in terms of revenue, the revenue comes slightly down because of that. What ends up happening is because we've embedded AI into that business, we're getting more of the work from that client because we have to handle the workflow from end to end.

Because of that, we did not see any material change in revenue. What we did see was profitability increased materially for that client because now a big portion of that is technology-driven. We also become a stronger strategic partner for the client because they've seen us embed AI into their workflow. Our success rate in embedding AI, particularly in operations, is 90% plus because we run the operation. We are able to embed AI successfully because we are already running that operation. What you end up having is an extremely positive effect overall with the client. It is much better revenue for us because it becomes technology IP-driven at the end of the day, and it gives us the opportunity to expand within that client.

If you look at kind of the growth of our company over the last four or five years, and we have it in our investor deck, we continue to expand within existing clients, more workflows, and increase in total average dollar amount that we're billing the clients because we're taking on more and more workflows. That's been the way we have grown the company essentially since the beginning of time. It's really a land and expand approach.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Yeah. The new contracts that you're signing in digital ops, like I'm assuming almost in almost all of them, there is some level of AI benefit that's baked in that. Contract comes up for renewal. When you renew, the client would expect some level of AI benefit if they're locking themselves in for five years, let's say. Are you seeing in those cases some level of over-promising by your peers, like over-promising AI benefits? Because AI is still evolving, right? Do you promise benefits of what AI can do today or what you think AI will be five years from now? Could that create a scenario where some of your peers who are hungrier for growth, who are finding it difficult to grow, over-promising what AI-based benefits?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

I think clients are pretty astute. I think with the evolution of GenAI and now agentic AI, you have many, many more competitors out there in the market. We traditionally have competed against the traditional BPOs. We've traditionally competed against someone like Accenture and a few others. Now you're seeing consulting firms with their own AI practices. You're seeing some of the Big Four accounting firms with their own analytics AI practices. You're seeing a number of other types of players in the market trying to sell AI solutions. When we start to process and bid for a piece of new business, you're seeing many competitors. That funnel really starts to shrink as we get further into the bidding process.

You end up, and the client really understands what each of the capabilities are, who they're willing to trust, who has the domain expertise, data management, and AI capability for all three to be able to implement. That really narrows the field down to one, two, or three competitors when you get down to it. I think the clients are astute to it. I do think you start with many more competitors now, but the funnel comes down pretty significantly.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Do clients typically wait until a contract renewal to renegotiate or to have their vendor bake in AI gains? If you signed something two years ago, with three more years on that contract, would clients wait three more years, or would they proactively go to the vendor and say, "Hey, let's figure out, let's see how you can include AI and renegotiate the contract"?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

It really depends upon the client. There are going to be clients whereby we implement AI, and we determine to wait until the end of the contract. Some other clients, we will embed AI, and we will repaper it and discuss the new terms on that contract. If we're embedding AI in a contract that is transaction-based, that waits until the end of the contract because the client is just paying on a transaction basis, whether there's AI or not. For us, it's important because embedding AI means we will have a higher profitability because there's less people involved. It really depends on the client and the process and how it's getting built.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Let's talk about agentic AI. Obviously, a lot of hype, a lot of focus energy there. How much of that is real in terms of the actual use cases or actual dollars, like where clients are replacing their current process with an agentic solution? Is it still very, very early stage, more like POCs and pilots, or are you seeing that it is large enough that it's meaningful to move the needle for EXL?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

I think it's getting more implemented. I think in order to move the needle for us, it has to be pretty material, right? We're not there yet. Obviously, we're not there yet. As we create more and more agentic AI agents, you're seeing it have more an effect in different client operations. As we go quarter after quarter, you're going to see kind of this effect going forward. We had our first quarter, the third quarter, where you saw digital operations actually decline in total dollars because we embedded AI, and a lot of that is agentic AI. You're seeing it start to move into client operations. Some clients are willing to implement it more quickly than others, and some are taking a little bit of a wait-and-see approach.

For us, we're using that technology not only to embed it into client operations, but also in other areas like data management. EXLda ta.ai is literally us creating 65 agentic AI agents to use in transforming client data. We're using the technology in many different areas. I think clients' reception is a little bit mixed, but there are clients that are moving forward with it, and we tried to highlight that in the call.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Yeah. AI readiness has been a topic that has come up in almost every meeting today. Talk to us, what are the constraints in a client organization that's keeping them from embracing AI? It could be governance, like the security, privacy, change management issues. It could be the data is not ready, like you talked about, you help clients transform data. Or it could be the use cases, like there is not enough conviction in those AI use cases, the benefits they might get. I can go back to that MIT report that everyone talks about. Talk to us, when you see your clients, what are the bigger constraints that's keeping them from embracing AI, and how can EXLers help those clients overcome those barriers?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

Yeah, I think it's a little bit of all of that. I think, one, it's security clearance overall. I think that's an impediment for a lot of the highly regulated segments that we operate in, whether it's insurance, healthcare, banking. I think that's an impediment, and that delays the process overall. Data management is critical. In most cases, or in a lot of cases, the client's data is not structured in a way to implement agentic AI or an AI solution on top of. You got to keep in mind that some clients still have not moved their data from on-premise to the cloud. The cloud came out 20 years ago. Clients are still moving, doing that work, and then looking to do work such as agentic AI on top of that to be able to become that much more efficient.

I think there's a bit still of a process that clients are going through. There will be clients that will move very quickly to implement this technology. That's why we want to ensure that we have the solutions for them to take advantage of that sooner than later.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

At this time, are there any questions for Martins?

Hi. I was curious if it's kind of like a higher-level macro question. If you think about your clients and how they're engaging with these types of projects, does it feel like there's a holdup around macro uncertainty still, or has this been kind of like because I feel like we've been talking about this concept of macro uncertainty for like three years. Is that behind us now? Does it feel like there's still an unlock that could be kind of achieved if a macro turns one way or the other? Do you get the kind of crux of the question?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

Yeah. Yeah. I think clients are looking to assess the ROI on these solutions. I think the macro has changed a little bit. If the macro gets better, I think they'll be a little bit more aggressive. I think if the macro gets a little bit weaker, maybe they slow it down. If they see the ROI on implementing that solution, I think they will move forward. I would say probably a year and a half ago, in the banking sector, we saw a little bit of a hold on budget spending. We do not see that today. We see our banking business doing very well today, and a lot of our global banks implementing more of our AI solutions and doing more data management work with us.

If they are releasing their budget on the banking side, then I think the macro is actually not in a bad state today. I think it's less macro. It's more about them willing to implement and seeing the ROI so they can move forward and getting over that hurdle that we talked about just in terms of impediments.

Hey, Maurizio. Thank you so much for the talk. My question is about ROI on AI and agentic solutions. Everybody's talking about the MIT report this year, and we've heard a lot that a lot of the preliminary POCs didn't really get off the ground, didn't generate a lot of tangible ROI. I think maybe the way I want to ask this question is, what are people doing wrong if they're not achieving results? What have you seen in the market where people have made misplaced investments on AI that didn't really pan out versus what y'all are up to? Thank you.

I think we've been a little bit more successful with POCs because we're doing POCs in segments we operate in. And we understand the process a bit better. It also points towards the success rate that we have in implementing AI. We have had a higher success rate with POCs, and a lot of those POCs have made it into production now going forward. I think we've had that benefit. If you're an AI firm building AI solutions, but you don't have that domain expertise or you don't have that data management capability, your success rate, from everything that I've read, is around 50% overall. That's a dramatic difference from our success rate. I think that gives us a very big leg up.

I think that contributes to the difference on the success rate on POCs between us and maybe the rest of the market that has a little bit less of the three capabilities that we have.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

There's one more.

You mentioned that you like to implement AI in your projects because from a standpoint, it's creative to you guys. What is the pushback you get from clients in implementing AI in those projects? Is there a specific sector where you're seeing more pushback than others?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

I would say there are clients that want us to take over an operation. They first want us to take over the operation and then subsequently, at some point, embed AI into that process. They do not want to do it right away. I have seen that in a number of international clients that we have brought on board, whereby we take over the operation. The discussion with the client is we are going to embed AI transformation in years two or three later on. That still occurs. That also means it is good for us because we want that digital operations revenue also, right? We know at some point that is going to get converted. Once we have our tentacles into that operation, then we can embed that AI, but they are not doing it right away. They are not doing it for multiple different reasons.

It's kind of the stuff we talked about, security. They're worried about their data being unstructured or not structured well to build AI on, or just a reluctance internally to do everything, to start everything all at once.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Let's take a step back and focus on the entire industry, BPO industry rather than EXLers. Let's say AI adoption picks up. What that does is it reduces the price, or let's call prices price per unit transaction, not the bill rates, but the price goes down because you're doing services, providing services using AI. On the other hand, the bullish view would be the quantity, the volume of work that will also increase to offset that reduction in price. Where will that increased volume come from? Because in BPO, whatever the new volume, the new work that you will get, someone else is doing that work right now. For the overall industry, I can clearly see EXLers gaining share, taking share in that. For the overall industry, where will that increased volume come from? Who's providing that?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

I think when you look at just the overall landscape, so think about our contracts historically. We're always guaranteeing a 3%-5% efficiency every year to our clients in our contracts. That still remains even in this new era. As we move forward, and we have grown off that, right? When the contract comes up, there's a level of discount we'll give to the client, but then we get new work. Historically, that new work comes from client-run operations. When we look at kind of where we continue to grow, there's still a huge opportunity in terms of managing more and more of our client-run operations. I don't think we've gotten to the point where any one segment is completely penetrated.

Even if you look at insurance in terms of what can be outsourced, I think only about 30% of what can be outsourced has been outsourced. That is our most significant segment. I think the opportunity still exists materially in the marketplace, in the different segments that we can take on more and more of client-run operations. Rohit talked about it on the call, that the opportunity just in healthcare alone is enormous for us. We are extremely small in that area, particularly in operations. That is just an example of many different areas within our client set that we can grow into, just gaining client-run operations or competing for operations that are run by our peers.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Are you seeing, like you talked about earlier, that you're seeing not just companies like Accenture, but also Big Four consulting companies trying to compete for the same opportunity? Are you seeing how should we think about BPO companies' competitiveness? Obviously, you have the domain knowledge. You have the process expertise versus some of the IT services companies, which can bring the technology capabilities. They can help clients move to cloud, improve data, and all that. How do we assess these two priorities or focus that BPO versus IT services companies bring to address this opportunity?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

Look, I think all of our peers are trying to poke into different directions into each of our businesses or our business models. I think for us, we are very well positioned in terms of many different areas. One, I think we're well positioned in digital operations with our domain expertise. I think that is core to us really continuing to build out the business. You're going to see some of the peers or the IT companies look to get into that space. Some of them have made comments to try and do that organically. Again, it also comes down to who's the client going to be most comfortable with at the end of the day. A lot of these companies do not have the other capabilities that we have, particularly in data management. I think everyone's trying to build their AI services or capability.

I think the domain expertise and the data management capability are a bit unique. You can't just build that over a 12-month period. That is years of knowledge. To a certain extent, that's almost like an IP to us.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Given all those changes that are happening in your delivery structure model, how should we think about margins? Can slight margin expansion at a bit margin level is still the right goal?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

When we look at the trajectory of the business, and you look at 2026, we should be continually driving data and AI, the percentage overall. That should continue to drive higher the percentage of the overall business in data and AI. As we do that, that should drive overall gross margin. We talk about driving gross margin so that we can invest more below gross margin. The net of all that should be an increase overall to adjusted margins. We do that every year. Now, some years in the past, we've done a lot of increase in adjusted margins. Now you're going to see us invest a bit more in R&D. We're going to continue to grow EPS, stash, and revenues. If you look at just 2025, EPS growth is between 14%-16% in our guidance, and revenue growth is 13%.

We have a mandate internally to drive EPS, stash, and revenues. In order to do so, we have to drive margin. You are going to continue to see margins increase on an annual basis. They may not be as high as you saw in 2021 or 2022, whereby in some years, we have increased it more than 100 basis points. That is still going to be a goal of ours on an annual basis and a target.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

Can you also quickly talk about use of cash priorities? You haven't done an acquisition in almost a year, I think. Talk to us, how do you see with valuation, especially with valuation for IT services or for some of those technology capabilities, public valuation at least coming down so much, how do you see use of cash in terms of acquiring a strategic asset, a tech deal versus other uses?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, EXL

We're still very inquisitive on M&A. We still look at a lot of assets. I think the assets we look at are particularly in data and AI capabilities and data management and also digital AI capabilities also that we can build out horizontally in all our segments. It's very attractive to us. Still very inquisitive. For us, it's more talking in acquisitions or medium-sized acquisitions that we're most interested in. If we're not allocating capital to M&A, then we're buying back shares, particularly in this environment. When you look at the stock price today, that's very attractive to us in terms of our buyback. We were authorized for $500 million in buybacks back in March of 2024. That will expire in March of 2026. I think we did over $200 million last year. We'll do over $200 million this year.

We will continue to buy back shares at this price because when you look at the intrinsic value of the company, looking at the future profitability and cash flows, it is an attractive price today on where it is. For us, the buyback shares today is a good use of, and we believe it is a good use of our cash.

Puneet Jain
Associate Equity Research, J.P. Morgan

That's amazing. All right. Thank you so.

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