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Earnings Call: Q4 2022

Feb 23, 2023

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q4 2022 ExlService Holdings, Inc. conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone, and then you will hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, press star one one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to our speaker today, John Kristoff, Vice President of Investor Relations. The floor is yours, John.

John Kristoff
VP of Investor Relations, ExlService

Thank you, Gerald. Hello, and thank you for joining EXL's 2022 fourth quarter and year-end financial results conference call. On the call with me today are Rohit Kapoor, Vice Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Maurizio Nicolelli, Chief Financial Officer. We hope that you've had an opportunity to review the fourth quarter earnings release we issued this morning. We have also posted an earnings fly deck and investor fact sheet in the investor section of EXL's website. As a reminder, some of the information we'll discuss this morning is forward-looking. Please keep in mind that these forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements.

Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, general economic conditions, those factors set forth in today's press release, discussed in the company's periodic reports or other documents filed with the SEC from time to time. EXL assumes no obligation to update the information presented on this conference call today. During our call, we may reference certain non-GAAP financial measures which we believe provide useful information for investors. Reconciliation of those measures to GAAP can be found in our press release, slide deck, and investor fact sheet. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Rohit.

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Thanks, John. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the EXL fourth quarter and 2022 year-end earnings call. I'm pleased to be with you this morning, reporting another great quarter. We finished the year strong with great momentum as we enter 2023. Our fourth quarter revenue was $375 million, an increase of 27% year-over-year and 29% on a constant currency basis. We grew fourth quarter adjusted EPS 29% to $1.56 per share. We generated strong growth across both analytics and Digital Operations and Solutions . In analytics, we delivered revenue of $171 million for the quarter, up 3% sequentially and 35% year-over-year. For the full year, our Analytics business grew 41% and now represents 46% of our total revenue.

Our Digital Operations and Solutions business generated revenue of $204 million with year-over-year growth accelerating to 21% in the quarter and nearly 5% sequentially from the third quarter. This growth was driven by 23% year-over-year growth in our Insurance business and 31% year-over-year growth in our emerging business. Our growth was fueled by an expansion of existing client relationships and new client wins in 2022. These impressive results demonstrate that EXL has created two strong growth engines by leveraging data across both our analytics and Digital Operations and Solutions businesses. This focus on data-led digital transformation, coupled with our strong domain expertise in key industries, is positioning us well for the future.

Our data-led strategy is helping our clients use data to improve their operations through digital transformation, enable better decisions through advanced analytics, and embed intelligence in their workflows to increase speed to insights and outcomes. EXL is using data to connect back-office operations with front-end customer platforms to remove friction points and latencies. We generate value for our clients by enabling savings through operational efficiency and business insights to offer a faster, more engaged customer experience. Our mastery of data, combined with our technical expertise and deep domain knowledge, enables us to develop industry-specific AI use cases and sets us apart from our competitors. These capabilities and skills have been built over a long period of time and are difficult to replicate, providing us with a sustainable competitive advantage. Our data-led strategy has also significantly expanded our total addressable market across four dimensions.

First, we are going deeper into our core industry verticals. For example, in insurance, we historically focused on property and casualty and life and annuity clients. Today, we are winning new logos in reinsurance, brokerage, third-party administrators, and retirement and group benefits, and we continue to expand our geographic reach. Second, we are also finding success beyond our traditional markets of insurance, banking, and healthcare into adjacent industries. While we have been quite successful in doing this, we are just scratching the surface with an enormous amount of runway for growth in the coming years. An illustration of the growth potential is the 35% full-year revenue growth we delivered in our emerging business on an organic constant currency basis in 2022. Third, we are pursuing new opportunities across buying centers within our existing client base.

In the past, our primary focus was on the Chief Operating Officer and Chief Financial Officer. Today, we work with the chief information officer, chief data officer, chief analytics officer, chief marketing officer, chief risk officer, and others across the C-suite. Finally, we have expanded our scope of solutions and moved upstream with our competencies. We are now operating end-to-end and taking on the entire process as opposed to just a portion of work within the process. In other words, we have the ability to do larger deals across an enterprise, work with larger clients, and grow our business. This also allows us to deliver better business outcomes to our clients. I'd like to share a few examples that exemplify how our data-led strategy and digital capabilities uniquely position EXL to win in the marketplace.

We began our multi-year digital transformation journey with one of the largest multinational brokerage firms in the world with a presence in over 100 countries. We are helping them achieve their goals of driving efficiency, while at the same time redesigning and improving their processes to enhance the customer experience. We are doing this by using AI-powered data extraction and analytics solutions to better understand the customer journey and identify friction points where internal workflows and end customer experience can be improved. This work is being rolled out enterprise-wide and will be the foundation for digital centers of excellence to accelerate quantum improvements to their business model. Another example is with one of the top five disability insurers in the U.S. They operate a large disability intake contact center and wanted to improve efficiency and elevate customer experience.

We deployed a conversational AI solution on top of their existing technology stack with 100% of integrated disability claims intake going through our system as the first touchpoint. This enabled instant extraction and analysis of unstructured claims data for straight-through processing of fast and routine claims. Through this large-scale deployment, we were able to improve intake efficiency by 20%. Based on the results of this initiative, the client awarded us downstream processes to transform the end-to-end claims experience for the customer. This is a good illustration of the tangible value we deliver to our clients and how that often leads to expansion of scope. These are just two examples of how our data-led strategy are helping us win in the marketplace. EXL has emerged as a strategic partner to drive large-scale end-to-end digital transformation, which are increasing in frequency and complexity across our client base.

In addition to having a successful strategy, we continue to deliver on execution as well. I want to recognize our people who have brought our data-led vision to life. We recruit and develop the best talent in the industry, and this continues to help fuel our growth. The combination of interesting work and attractive growth opportunities has led to EXL becoming an employer of choice. I want to thank our global team of more than 45,000 employees for their hard work and relentless pursuit of delivering value to our clients. I am incredibly proud of our employees and feel fortunate to be part of this team. As we look to 2023, we have solid momentum with the new wins and large deals, as well as a robust pipeline of opportunities.

Maurizio will review the specifics of our 2023 guidance, but I wanted to provide some color on the general demand environment. Our clients view their analytics function as a significant driver of growth, profitability, and differentiation, and continue to invest in analytics in leveraging these capabilities. In Digital Operations and Solutions , we are seeing steady demand as more clients focus on digital transformation and cost reduction. Deal sizes in our pipeline have been increasing. One of the macro demand trends we are beginning to see is clients shifting towards integrating analytics and digital operations to gain greater value and drive more accountability with their partners. This plays extremely well to our strengths and in the adoption of our unique business model. In summary, our data-led strategy is working.

We delivered exceptional financial results in 2022, and we are well positioned for 2023 and beyond. We have sustainable growth fundamentals with a large and growing total addressable market, and we operate in a very resilient industry. We remain confident in our ability to deliver double-digit revenue and EPS growth in 2023. Our confidence is rooted in EXL's winning strategy, unique data capabilities, competitive positioning, and our exceptionally talented and dedicated team. With that, I'll turn it over to Maurizio to cover our financial performance in detail.

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService

Thank you, Rohit. Thanks everyone for joining us this morning. I will provide insights into our financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year 2022, followed by our outlook for 2023. We delivered a strong fourth quarter with revenue of $374.7 million, up 26.8% year-over-year on a reported basis. On a constant currency basis, we grew revenue 28.6% year-over-year and 3.7% sequentially. Adjusted EPS was $1.56, an increase of 28.9% year-over-year. All revenue growth numbers mentioned hereafter are on an organic constant currency basis. Revenue from our Digital Operations and Solutions businesses, as defined by three reportable segments excluding analytics, was $204 million, which represents year-over-year growth of 23%.

Sequentially from the third quarter, we grew revenue 4.6%. In the Insurance segment, we generated revenue of $120.7 million, an increase of 24.6% year-over-year, driven by expansion in existing client relationships and new client wins in 2022. The insurance vertical, consisting of both our Digital Operations and Solutions and Analytics businesses, grew 23.5% year-over-year, with revenue of $155.9 million. Emerging reported revenue of $58 million, up 35.8% year-over-year. This growth was driven by new client wins earlier in the year, higher volumes in travel and transportation, and expansion in other existing client relationships.

The emerging vertical, consisting of both our Digital Operations and Solutions and Analytics businesses, grew 35.5% year-over-year on an organic constant currency basis, with revenue of $142 million. Healthcare reported revenue of $25.3 million, down 4.4% year-over-year, driven by lower volume in the clinical services business. The Healthcare segment grew 11% sequentially from the third quarter. The Healthcare vertical, consisting of our Digital Operations and Solutions and Analytics businesses, grew 13.6% year-over-year, with revenue of $76.8 million. In the Analytics segment, we generated revenue of $170.7 million, up 25.6% year-over-year on an organic constant currency basis. Growth in the fourth quarter was driven by expansion in existing client relationships in Banking and Financial Services, Healthcare, and Retail.

Clairvoyant contributed $15.1 million of revenue in the fourth quarter. Including Clairvoyant, we grew analytics 36.2% year-over-year. Sequentially from the third quarter of 2022, analytics revenue grew 22.6%. We reduced SG&A expenses by 220 basis points year-over-year to 19.2%, driven by operating leverage and continued cost discipline. Our adjusted operating margin for the quarter was 18.0%, up 100 basis points year-over-year, driven by operating leverage and partially offset by investments to support the ramp-up of new client wins. Our adjusted EPS for the quarter was $1.56, a 28.9% increase year-over-year on a reported basis.

Now, turning to our full year 2022 performance. We grew full year revenue to $1.41 billion, an increase of 27.3% year-over-year on a constant currency basis and 23.1% on an organic constant currency basis. This growth was driven by all our verticals in our Digital Operations and Solutions and Analytics businesses. Revenue from our Digital Operations and Solutions businesses was $764.7 million, growing 17.4% year-over-year on a constant currency basis. Our Analytics business generated $647.4 million of revenue, an increase of 41.6% year-over-year on a constant currency basis. Analytics represented 46% of total revenue, up 5 percentage points year-over-year. Clairvoyant contributed $48.9 billion in 2022.

Our adjusted operating margin for the year was 18.3%, down 30 basis points year-over-year, driven by investments to support the ramp-up of new business and higher operating expenses associated with a return to the office. Our effective tax rate for the year was 23.2%, up 10 basis points year-over-year. We grew full year adjusted EPS 24.6% year-over-year to $6.02 on a reported basis. Our balance sheet remained strong. Our cash, including short-term and long-term investments on December 31st, was $329 million, and our revolver debt was $250 million for a net cash position of $79 million. We generated cash flow from operations in 2022 of $166 million, compared with $184 million in 2021 due to increased accounts receivables driven by higher revenues.

During the year, we spent $45 million on CapEx and repurchased $68.5 million of our shares on an average cost of $136 per share. Moving on to our outlook for 2023. We are entering the year with strong momentum across both our Digital Operations and Solutions and Analytics businesses. While we have good visibility into the first half of 2023, we are conscious of the macroeconomic uncertainty that remains further into the future. Despite this uncertainty, we are confident in our ability to once again deliver double-digit growth in both revenue and adjusted EPS in 2023, and the outlook ranges we are providing today are consistent with the medium-term targets we presented at our recent Investor Day.

We anticipate revenue in the range of $1.56 billion-$1.6 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 11%-13% on a reported basis, and 11%-14% on a constant currency basis. We expect Digital Operations and Solutions to grow 8%-10% and analytics to grow in the range of 15%-18% on a constant currency basis. We expect a foreign exchange gain between $4 million and $6 million, net interest expense between $1 million and $2 million, and our effective tax rate to be in the range of 22%-23%. We anticipate adjusted EPS to be in the range of $6.60-$6.80, representing growth of 10%-13%.

We expect capital expenditures to be in the range of $47 million-$52 million. We believe these guidance ranges are achievable even considering the possibility of macroeconomic headwinds in 2023. Given the successful execution of our data-led growth strategy, the continued expansion of our total addressable market and our talent advantage, we are well positioned to grow our double-digit growth momentum. With that, Rohit and I would be happy to take your questions.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please ask one question and one follow-up. Please stand by while we compile our Q&A roster. One moment, please. Our first question comes from Maggie Nolan of William Blair. Your line is now open.

Maggie Nolan
Research Analyst, William Blair

Hi. Thank you. Nice quarter. Can you talk a little bit about the level of investment in new client ramp-ups in the quarter and how that compares to recent quarters past in 2022, maybe what that would look like over the next several quarters?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService

Sure, Maggie. You know, we won a substantial amount of business in 2022 from new clients, and that's reflected in the number of new clients that we signed up, which was particularly strong. With the new client ramp-ups, there is certainly an increase in investment in people as well as in terms of our infrastructure. We continue to make sure that we can execute and deliver to our customer expectations and requirements. Some of this, you know, implementation and execution of the new client wins will spill over into 2023 and, you know, we expect that we will continue to execute that particularly strongly in the first half of the year.

The investment that we make in new client revenue ramp-up generally does have a margin eroding impact because the margin of that new business is at a lower gross margin while we are ramping up. We expect that to, you know, to continue to normalize as the ramp-ups stabilize for us.

Maggie Nolan
Research Analyst, William Blair

Thank you. Then could you discuss the balance of kind of more project-based versus annuity-type analytics work that you saw in 2022 and whether you expect that mix to change from here?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService

Right. When we had provided guidance for Q4 2022, we weren't very sure about the project-based revenue and some of the discretionary spend that our clients might have had in Q4, particularly as they looked towards tightening some of the spend that they had. Actually, the work that we do for our clients, you know, came in pretty much as we had seen in the previous three quarters. We haven't really seen any shift in change, you know, in terms of the work that we're getting. The balance between annuity-based work and project-based work continues to remain pretty steady.

For us, you know, the fourth quarter ended up being, you know, a slightly stronger quarter than as compared to our expectations, and we haven't really seen any shifts in that trend right now.

Operator

Thank you. Please stand by while I prepare our next question. Our next question comes from Bryan Bergin of Cowen. Your line is now open.

Bryan Bergin
Managing Director, Cowen

Hi. Good morning. Thank you. Wanted to start on margin here. Can you talk a bit about what you're embedding in the 23 outlook as it relates to adjusted operating margin? Also give us a sense of how you see the underlying digital ops and analytics gross margin trending. I'm curious. I hear you on the large deal ramps, and I'm also curious if you have fully lapped headwinds related to travel and then RTO or not.

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService

Sure. Why don't I tackle the your margin question there. You know, when you look at margins for 2022, we ended the year at 18.3%, right in line with where we thought we would end up for the year. If you look at it by quarterly, there's always gonna be, you know, a little bit of ups and downs on a quarterly basis. For the full year, we ended right around at 18.3%. Going into next year, you know, we had a couple of headwinds that we did have in 2022 that will give us a little bit of uplift going into 2023.

We did have the transitioning clients within healthcare that hurt our gross margin within healthcare, and you see that with the numbers during the year that pushed down our APM during the year. We also, particularly in Q3 and then in Q4, we have a number of ramp-ups that we are getting ready for in terms of that revenue being more fully realized in 2023. We're taking on additional cost to ramp up clients beginning in 2023, in 2022. Going into 2023, you know, we do expect a certain level of leverage as we continue to grow. When you put that all together, you know, we do see margins within our guidance growing modestly another 10-20 basis points from where we ended 2022.

We're pretty confident with those margins, even giving a potential macro uncertainty going into the back end of the year in H2, and also assuming a certain level of wage inflation remains constant from 2022.

Bryan Bergin
Managing Director, Cowen

Okay, that's helpful. I guess just on the growth outlook for the year, can you dig in a little bit more on the underlying macro assumptions you're making? I hear you on calling out the uncertainty. I'm curious kinda what level of visibility you've built this guide to versus years past, particularly on that second half, and how you thought about potential prudence here in building that growth forecast.

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService

I'll address that, Bryan. You know, when you look at our guidance for revenue, you know, it's 11%-14% on a constant currency basis. We are assuming a certain level of uncertainty in the second half of the year. That assumes a slowdown in the second half of the year. As Rohit mentioned in his opening remarks, we are seeing, you know, very good momentum going into 2023, and that continues. You know, if we do not see that uncertainty or that, you know, potential slowdown in the second half of the year, yes, that does give us a little bit of upside from our guidance from where we are today.

Uh, but we've taken a little bit of a prudence approach, uh, and, and, and, uh, assumed a, a bit of a, a slowdown towards the, uh, within the second half of the year.

Bryan Bergin
Managing Director, Cowen

Okay. Very good. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment while I prepare the next question. Our next question comes from Moshe Katri of Wedbush. Your line is now open.

Moshe Katri
Managing Director, Wedbush

Hey, thanks. Nice quarter. Just a couple of model related kind of assumptions for calendar 2023. How should we think about the quarterly progression in terms of revenues Q1, Q2, and then the second half? That's my first question.

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService

Sure. When you think about revenue for 2023, I think it's fairly when we look at it's fairly consistent what we've seen in 2022 and prior. It's a gradual increase throughout the year. We don't see any one quarter being significantly higher in terms of percentage growth than at any other quarter. You know, for modeling purposes, I would assume a fairly gradual increase throughout the year.

Moshe Katri
Managing Director, Wedbush

Like, I think last quarter you had about 10% sequential growth from Q4 to Q1. I think that was the number. Is that still what we should be looking for now?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService

That seems a little bit high, to be quite honest, Moshe. I think certainly we can help you with your modeling.

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Yeah. Moshe, I think the best way to think about it is, we've provided our revenue guidance to you. You can take a look at the annual revenue guidance for 2023 over 2022 and model out a steady gradual increase in quarterly revenues.

Moshe Katri
Managing Director, Wedbush

Understood. stock-based comp assumptions for the year?

Maurizio Nicolelli
CFO, ExlService

They're gonna be very similar to 2022 with a model, modest increase in the single digits.

Moshe Katri
Managing Director, Wedbush

Okay, great. A big picture question. You spoke about visibility and demand. You know, one of your peers is talking about sales cycles kind of shrinking, given the fact that it seems that some of the clients are looking for cost optimization solutions in this environment. Maybe you could talk a bit about sales cycles and what you're seeing out there. You know, maybe the nature of the pipeline is shifting in terms of the pivot towards more cost optimization. Are you seeing that as well? Thanks.

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Sure. I'm happy to take that and address that. This is something which we've spoken about in the past. First of all, the overall demand environment for our services and solutions continues to remain strong, and there's really been no change over the last quarter or two quarters that we are seeing. To your point, we do see, you know, shifts within that demand environment. There are some elements where we are seeing a softness of demand, and there are other elements where we are seeing a much stronger, you know, growth and much stronger demand elements coming in. There certainly seems to be a shift towards cost reduction and getting a lot more efficiency and productivity, clients are certainly trending in that direction.

The places where we're seeing softness is around marketing analytics, and there it tends to be discretionary expenses that can be pushed out, so we're seeing some of that. At the same time, we are also seeing, you know, increased strength in risk analytics and in, you know, managing, you know, fraud and managing abuse of, you know, risk. Therefore, we're seeing a greater amount of momentum out there. In terms of deal sizes, we're seeing, you know, pretty large deals in the pipeline. As such, the demand environment for us on an overall basis continues to be quite healthy and strong. We haven't really seen any conversations with our clients where things are slowing down.

The urgency on cost reduction tends to be, you know, much more immediate and much quicker. That certainly is a trend that we would also be seeing in terms of our, you know, pipeline and our activity with clients. Also keep in mind that we've signed up a fair amount of client wins in 2022 that we are implementing and executing and so we're gonna continue to focus on that.

Moshe Katri
Managing Director, Wedbush

Thanks for the color.

Operator

Thank you. One minute while we prepare our next question. Our next question comes from Ashwin Shirvaikar of Citi. Your line is now open.

Ashwin Shirvaikar
US IT Services Research Analyst, Citi

Thank you. Yep. Thanks. I want to follow up on kind of demand related questions. You may kind of looking at it based on your comments. There is obviously some activity that you've taken into account as we head into the back half of the year from an economic standpoint. I guess I wanted to differentiate between kind of the comp part of it, given the strength of digital ops that you saw in the second half 2022. I guess the more pointed question is the caution you're expressing something that you're actually seeing from clients in terms of decision pushouts, in terms of lower volumes, so on and so forth?

Is it something that you kind of feel obligated to put in your outlook because it feels like in the current environment the right thing to do?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Sure, Ashwin. You know, I think, your voice is coming in a little bit muffled, so, you know, I hope, we've got your question clearly. First off, from a demand environment standpoint and the client activity that we are seeing at this point of time, we're seeing no discernible difference as compared to previous quarters or, you know, let's say, previous six months, of 2022. That remains very active, very healthy, and we feel very good about the conversations that we're having with our clients and prospects, both on Digital Operations and Solutions as well as on analytics.

In terms of the guidance and factoring in the economic, you know, headwind that might be there, yes, there is a cautionary stance that we've taken in terms of, you know, our guidance because this is the beginning of the year. Certainly, you know, this has to play out over the next four quarters. There is a fair amount of uncertainty in the economic environment. There is definitely, you know, a much heightened discussion about a slowdown, as well as interest rates remaining high and wage inflation continuing to be at the same level as what it was in 2022. While we have not seen anything in the conversations with our set of clients, we want to be a bit careful and prudent about how that might shape up in the second half of the year.

Therefore, we have factored that in terms of the guidance that we have provided. It may turn out to be better or worse than expected, and we don't know. As we go through the quarters, we'll continue to provide updated guidance, you know, in terms of what we'll be able to deliver. I hope that addresses the question that you were seeking, because we couldn't hear you quite well in your question.

Ashwin Shirvaikar
US IT Services Research Analyst, Citi

Yeah, sorry about that. No, that's perfect. I think the follow-up I wanna kind of pick up on what you just said, Rohit, with regards to the comment on wage inflation. 'Cause that is a bit counter to what we've heard from most others who have seen sort of the supply side pressures, you know, whether it's attrition, whether it's wage inflation, whether it's availability of talent, has eased for pretty much everyone else that I've kind of spoken with. Could you go into the supply side challenges that you're kind of potentially alluding to? Maybe challenges is too strong a word, but could you talk about that?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Sure. Sure. Absolutely. I think on the attrition side, as we've, you know, shared with you, our fourth quarter attrition has dropped down very significantly, and we are certainly seeing a reduction in attrition rates take place. We would expect that there will be much more stability in the workforce going forward in 2023. In terms of wage inflation, I think the difference in the commentary between us and other players might be, one, 46% of our revenue comes from analytics. Two, we have a much higher proportion of digital in our revenue, even in operations management. The places where we are seeing very rapid growth is a place where there is highly skilled talent that we need to bring on and retain so that we can continue to provide them with attractive career opportunities within EXL.

I think it's around the analytics, digital and high complexity subject matter expert positions and roles where we would anticipate that the wage inflation would be similar to what we saw in 2022. That might be a big difference between us and other players.

Ashwin Shirvaikar
US IT Services Research Analyst, Citi

Got it. Thank you for that.

Operator

Thank you. One minute while I prepare our next question. Our next question comes from Puneet Jain of JP Morgan. Your mic is on.

Puneet Jain
Executive Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Hi, thanks for taking my question and nice quarters. A question on long term. I understand like near term, you are seeing clients willing to outsource more to be able to cut costs. Do you expect this upside or this trend to continue when macro improves, when that need to cut costs may not be as significant as it is now?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Thanks, Puneet. You know, I want to reiterate that our business model is a very resilient business model. It's based on a data-led strategy. It's based on helping our clients modernize their existing technology platforms, and continue to deliver much more efficiency, but at the same time, also enhance the end customer experience. Our sense is when there is an economic slowdown, there is a focus that shifts towards cost reduction, and we can help our clients very significantly with that. When things normalize and there is strong growth, we can actually help our clients in terms of the fulfillment of those growth strategies and the focus shifts towards customer acquisition and the ability to grow and differentiate and create a much better customer experience.

Frankly, being able to play on both sides of the spectrum, helping our clients increase their revenue and at the same time reduce their costs is a very, very resilient business model that we have with our clients. We think that's what makes, you know, this business model very, very attractive.

Puneet Jain
Executive Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Got it. Excuse me if you already commented on this. Can you talk about pricing trends you expect given wage inflation might remain high? How should we think about analytics growth in the first half of this year versus in the second half?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Sure. On pricing, Puneet, you know, we started to, you know, talk to our clients last year about, you know, changes to the pricing, you know, environment. Certainly as wage inflation went up and as the value that we were delivering to our clients had significantly been enhanced, our clients were very comfortable, talking to us and making appropriate changes to the pricing and the commercial arrangements that we have with them. That process, you know, was instituted for the first time literally, you know, in 2021, 2022. We think, that that trend will continue in 2023 and beyond, and we're having very good conversations with our clients, regarding pricing.

We think, you know, as long as we continue to deliver great value to our clients, our clients think of us as strategic partners, and the sensitivity to pricing is much lower on higher complexity work and higher value work that we deliver to our clients. Maybe we end up differentiating ourselves from competitors on that basis. On analytics, we see continued investment by our clients. Every single customer is trying to leverage data and get insights from that data and translate those insights into outcomes. Our Analytics business helps them manage their data, helps them generate insights from that data, and convert those insights into outcomes. Frankly, we are seeing very, very good traction on our Analytics business. We don't really see any differentiation between the first half and the second half of the year.

As we provided commentary earlier, we would expect a steady growth to take place for our business in 2023.

Puneet Jain
Executive Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan

Excellent. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One minute while we prepare the next question. Our next question comes from Mayank Tandon of Needham and Co. Your line is now open.

Mayank Tandon
Senior Analyst, Needham & Company

Thank you. Sorry I didn't catch the first part there. Rohit and Maurizio, congrats on the quarter. Most of my questions have been answered, but I did wanna just delve into the outsized growth, Rohit, on the operations piece in the fourth quarter. That's certainly well above trend. Was there something one-off there? If not, if the macro remains healthy or doesn't turn out to be worse than where we are today, is there the potential for that to be growing above your medium-term targets, given that we saw this acceleration in the fourth quarter?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Sure, Mayank. Our Operations Management and Solutions business grew at a pretty healthy pace in all of 2022. There was certainly an acceleration of that growth rate in the third quarter and the fourth quarter. Our Operations Management and Solutions business in the fourth quarter grew at 21%, which is very, very high, you know, we're very pleased with that. There are two fundamental reasons why we think there is strength in our Operations Management and Solutions business. Number one is we are seeing more and more clients come to us and say that they'd like to see an integration of analytics and our Digital Operations and Digital S olutions business, because that provides them with much greater value, much higher certainty of that value, and much easier accountability of us as their partner to deliver that value.

This is a great trend that we are seeing. We are uniquely positioned to take advantage of this. Combining analytics and our Digital Operations and Solutions is resonating very, very well in the marketplace. The second reason for that strength is our capabilities around digital and digital transformation have become very well accepted, and they are delivering terrific outcomes to our clients at speed and at scale. Our clients are giving us much larger mandates after they've seen the initial proof of concepts play out for them, and that's resulting in larger deals and a much faster growth rate. We're very pleased with both of these two fundamental reasons which are very strategic, much more long term, and we'd expect this to continue to play out.

How this kind of shapes up in 23 and how it evolves is something which we'll have to wait and watch. There is definitely a cautionary stance that, you know, might be taken by some clients and prospects. We'll see how this thing progresses and we'll provide you with updated commentary and guidance on that.

Mayank Tandon
Senior Analyst, Needham & Company

That's very helpful. Thank you for that. Just a quick follow-up on the capital allocation side. Obviously you bought back stock. How are you thinking in terms of further share repurchases versus potential for M&A? Any thoughts around that?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Yeah, sure, Mayak. When we think about capital allocation for 2023, I think you would see it fairly similar to our thinking in 2022. You know, in terms of buying back shares, you know, we would look to buy back shares very comparably to what we did in 2022, and that's primarily offsetting the dilution from our stock grants that we issue throughout the year. You know, we would look also to a certain extent to pay down a little bit of debt as interest rates rise to really contain that interest expense. The remainder we would look to use for internal investments and potential M&A that would arise throughout the year if those opportunities, you know, come about.

Operator

Great. Thank you so much. Thank you. One minute as we prepare our next question. Our next question comes from Vincent Colicchio of Barrington Research. Your line is now open.

Vincent Colicchio
Managing Director, Barrington Research Associates

Yeah, hello, Rohit. Question on the healthcare vertical. Had very nice sequential growth overall in digital and operation solutions. Just curious if what you would call out there. I know it's been fairly weak sequentially throughout the year. I know you lost that client. Is this one big client or a number of clients? What's driving that, and do you expect the momentum to continue?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Right. Vincent, you're absolutely right. The decline in the healthcare clinical part of our business was because of the one client transitioning. That is now pretty much done and complete, the Healthcare business has stabilized. As we embed more digital into the healthcare operations, we would expect our Digital Operations and Solution business to continue to grow and gain traction. The sharp trend that you saw in Q4 over Q3 with a 11% sequential growth is one-off. You know, that's not something which we would extrapolate to the full year. I do think we're gonna see steady, you know, growth from here on, you know, associated with our Healthcare Digital Operations and Solutions business.

Vincent Colicchio
Managing Director, Barrington Research Associates

Just one more from me. Is there any difference in client sentiment among your geographies that you would point out?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

None that we are seeing, Vincent. We're seeing actually the same level of demand, you know, in U.K. and Europe as well as in Australia and New Zealand. It seems like clients all across the globe are focused in on how do they manage their data, how do they get insights from data and drive greater outcomes. Everybody's trying to be a data-led business. So for us, that fits in very well with our strategy. We are seeing, you know, strength across the board, across geographies.

Vincent Colicchio
Managing Director, Barrington Research Associates

Thank you. Congrats on the quarter.

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One minute while we prepare our next question. Our next question comes from David Koning of Baird. Your line is now open.

David Koning
Senior Research Analyst and Associate Director of Research, Baird

Oh, hey guys, was this for Dave Koning?

Operator

It is.

David Koning
Senior Research Analyst and Associate Director of Research, Baird

Oh, gotcha. Yeah, it cuts out, so it's hard to hear. Yeah, I guess on attrition, you talked a little bit about, you know, You recently were at a pretty high level, higher than usual attrition. You're now down to around the lowest in 10 years, so kind of generationally low attrition. Is that gonna help wage inflation? Like, are you actually at a point where, you know, pricing might actually go up at the same time as, you know, wages could be pretty stable for a while? Is this like a nice little margin lever coming up?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Right. For us, in 2022, the attrition rate was high in the first half of the year, primarily because the attrition in the Philippines was pretty high, and that impacted us. We are very happy with the attrition rate coming down in the fourth quarter. Sequentially for us, we think the first quarter tends to be a much lower attrition rate cycle from a seasonality standpoint. Things should be stable out here. As far as wage inflation is concerned, the way in which we'd like to think about it is not so much linking it to the attrition rate, but rather looking at it from a market competitiveness standpoint and a skill set and an ability to be competitive.

For us, you know, we do see skills in digital, in analytics, in consulting, in subject matter experts as being value-added skills. Therefore, we want to make sure that we can compensate our employees appropriately, and be very competitive out there. We would de-link the attrition rate from the wage inflation rate, and we would much rather have the wage inflation tied to market competitiveness rather than the attrition.

David Koning
Senior Research Analyst and Associate Director of Research, Baird

Yep. Okay. No, that's all good. I guess on the Analytics business, just like a higher level question. You know, I would say three, four, five years ago, we thought of that as being a little less recurring, and I think you've convinced us over the years that, hey, this is pretty steady and maybe even more so than you expected it to be. Is this now as recurring as the digital ops business? Do you kinda see it going forward, you know, at very high levels of recurring revenue?

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Yes, David. You know, there are a couple of things why we think this is very stable, very recurring, and very high growth, right? One, everybody is trying to invest more and more in analytics and in data. That's become a pretty large and substantial piece of any client business. If you take a look at the total number of employees that any client has and see the number of them that might be dedicated to analytics, those numbers in the past used to be, you know, a few in 100. Now they're in the thousands and tens of thousands.

It's become pretty much, you know, a shift that's taken place where this marketplace has become very sizable, very meaningful, and it's likely to continue to grow, particularly as there is a greater use of AI, there's a greater use of technology and automation, there's a greater use and linkage between data process and outcome. Frankly, we think, this analytics, you know, spend is gonna continue to increase going forward. There continues to be a huge scarcity of talent in this space, and leveraging a global delivery model for analytics is absolutely critical for our clients because they just cannot deal with this, with only onshore resources. We end up being very well positioned for, you know, helping our clients on this. Frankly, this is certainly playing to our advantage.

It's an investment that we made several years ago, and it's folding out to be a really great story for us.

David Koning
Senior Research Analyst and Associate Director of Research, Baird

Yeah. All good. Good job. Thanks.

Rohit Kapoor
Vice Chairman and CEO, ExlService

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I'd like to turn it back to John Kristoff , Vice President of Marketing Relations, for closing comments.

John Kristoff
VP of Investor Relations, ExlService

Thanks, Gerald. Thank you all for joining us on our call this morning. As always, if you have additional questions regarding the quarter or our financials, please don't hesitate to reach out to me directly. Thank you again. Goodbye.

Operator

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.

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