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Earnings Call: Q3 2014

Nov 5, 2014

Operator

Good day. Welcome to the Federal Signal Corporation third quarter conference call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Brian Cooper, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. You may begin.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

Thank you. Good morning. Welcome to Federal Signal's third quarter 2014 conference call. I'm Brian Cooper, the company's Chief Financial Officer. Also with me on this call are Dennis Martin, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Jennifer Sherman, our Chief Operating Officer. We'll refer to some presentation slides today, as well as to the news release, which we issued this morning. The slides can be followed online by going to our website, federalsignal.com, clicking on the investor call icon, and signing in to the webcast. We've also posted the slide presentation and the news release under the investor tab on our website. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that some of our comments made today may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to the safe harbor language found in today's news release and in Federal Signal's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

These documents are available on our website. Our presentation also contains some measures that are not in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. In our news release and filings, we reconcile these non-GAAP measures to GAAP measures. In addition, we will file our Form 10-Q later today. I'm going to start by addressing our financial results. Dennis will provide his perspective, and Jennifer will comment on our goals and outlook. Our consolidated financial results for the third quarter show a continuation of the positive trends of recent quarters with solid growth in revenue, expanding margins, and robust orders and backlog. Consolidated operating income was $24.9 million, which represents a 32% improvement versus Q3 last year. Sales were 5% higher, with exceptional growth in our Environmental Solutions Group being offset by deferrals in our Fire Rescue Group, which resulted in low sales there during the quarter.

Consolidated operating margin rose to 11.4% versus 9.0% a year ago. It was also up sequentially versus the 10.2% operating margin that we reported in Q2 this year. Interest expense was $0.9 million, down from $1.5 million last year. Adjusted net income from continuing operations for Q3 was $15.3 million, or $0.24 per share. As most of you know, last year, we released valuation allowance against deferred income taxes. Excluding the effects of that change, our adjusted EPS last year was $0.18 per share. This year's $0.24 per share represents a 33% improvement. We also continue to see strong order growth with consolidated orders of $225 million in the quarter, up 14% versus last year. Demand was strong from municipal and government markets, as well as from industrial markets.

With the strength in municipal, our revenue mix remains approximately 60% from municipal and government markets and 40% from industrial markets. Within that industrial piece, about 9% of our orders now relate to the oil and gas industry. Strong company-wide order flow contributed to a very healthy backlog level of $353 million, which is 23% higher versus a year ago. From a group perspective, ESG continued its run of excellent results. Orders were 25% ahead of last year, and backlog rose to a very healthy $212 million. Sales in the third quarter increased by 19% compared to last year to $134 million. The increase reflects strong demand in both municipal and industrial markets for our street sweepers, sewer cleaners, and hydro excavators, as well as increased production throughput in our manufacturing facilities.

Leveraging those sales, operating income was up 78% to $21.5 million, and operating margin increased to 16%, up 530 basis points versus last year. SSG also produced an excellent quarter. Orders were up 10% and sales rose by 4%. Operating income in the quarter increased by 34% versus the prior year to $9.4 million, and operating margin improved to 15.7%. That is a huge step up from Q3 of last year and sequentially from last quarter, which were both at 12.2%. Sales at the Fire Rescue Group during the quarter were low at $25.5 million, down 34% on lower unit volumes, and FRG again reported a nominal operating loss. Orders were down 21%, reflecting differences in timing versus last year. Year to date, orders are up 14% over 2013, and backlog remains excellent at $101 million. We are confident that demand remains strong for our aerial lift products.

In addition, we believe that we have successfully executed on the recovery plan at FRG, setting up FRG for a very strong fourth quarter and for steadier profitability into the future. Corporate operating expenses were $5.8 million, up compared to $3.6 million last year. The increase primarily reflects higher incentive and stock compensation expense, which has resulted from the company's strong performance. Income from continuing operations reflects the operating income which I just reviewed, plus the effects of interest expense, some nominal foreign exchange effects, and income taxes. Interest expense remains low, reflecting low interest rates and our declining debt balances. Income tax expense for the quarter was $8.5 million compared with $500,000 a year ago. Tax expense last year was low as a result of benefits from valuation allowance on deferred tax assets. For Q3 this year, the effective tax rate is almost 36%.

We expect our effective tax rate for the full year, excluding discrete items, to be between 32%-33%. This is slightly higher than we had been anticipating as a result of our continuing profit momentum in higher tax rate jurisdictions. The rate for Q3 reflects some catch up to the expected annual tax rate. Please note that from a cash perspective, we pay little income tax in the U.S., where our income continues to be offset by use of deferred tax assets consisting of net operating loss carryforwards and tax credit carryforwards. On this GAAP basis, we therefore earned $0.24 per share from continuing operations in Q3, compared with $0.26 per share in Q3 last year. We've had no significant unusual adjustment items this year.

To facilitate earnings comparisons, we've been adjusting for unusual items recorded last year, including restructuring activity, debt settlement charges, and income taxes. Income tax expense included in our adjusted earnings per share for 2013, therefore reflects a normalized effective tax rate of about 32%, which excludes the effects of unusual tax items, most notably valuation allowance effects. On this basis, our adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.24, compared to $0.18 per share in Q3 a year ago. Looking at the balance sheet and cash flow, the cash generated by continuing operations was $20.9 million during Q3, compared to $26.4 million in the third quarter a year ago. Year to date, we have generated $44.6 million compared to $37.3 million last year. With this cash flow, the company was able to pay down debt and add to cash balances during the quarter.

The company's total debt balance was $69 million compared to $92 million at the end of 2013, and our net debt dropped to only $40 million. Our leverage ratio of debt to adjusted EBITDA continued to improve as well, dropping to 0.7 times. That compares to 1.1 times at December 31st and 1.7 times a year ago. The company funded dividends of $1.9 million and share repurchases of $3.4 million during the third quarter. Last night, we also announced a new board authorization of up to $75 million for the repurchase of Federal Signal shares. Combined with availability under the authorization announced earlier in the year, we now have total availability of $83 million under our share repurchase plans, which is just under 10% of our current market cap.

We put this new plan in place to help manage our capital structure, given our very strong cash flow and already low debt levels. We believe there may be opportunities to return some value to shareholders via repurchases, while at the same time investing in our growth opportunities and funding dividends. Dennis will talk more about our growth opportunities in his remarks. This next slide provides a breakout of our global sales, which we feel may be helpful in assessing impacts from changes in foreign exchange rates. This is approximate and can vary from quarter to quarter. We also included some related commentary in our earnings news release. What this shows you is that about 35% of our total sales, the blue slices, are delivered outside the U.S. 15% of our sales, shown in light blue, are made from the U.S. to other parts of the world.

Those sales are pretty much exclusively denominated in U.S. dollars. Their dollar value does not change directly when exchange rates change. We also believe that those sales generally remain competitive at similar margins when the dollar strengthens. Almost all of our sales that are produced outside the U.S. are denominated in the currency where the product is made, as represented by the 20% in darker blue. The margin percentage earned on such sales does not change when exchange rates change. Therefore, foreign exchange movements can directly affect the U.S. dollar value of about 20% of our sales, the dark blue slice, and the translation of profits from that 20%. There's been about an 8% strengthening of the dollar, which probably approximates what we've seen recently. We estimate there should be a very small reduction in our operating income of about 1%.

That concludes my overview of the numbers. I'd like to turn the call over to Dennis.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Thanks, Brian. I think that covers our results pretty thoroughly. Our consolidated results have been strong all year. We have excellent momentum building in our businesses, supported by growing orders and healthy backlogs. We are also proud of the steady improvement in our operating margins. While we have not seen good results in the last few quarters from FRG, our Bronto Skylift business, its future prospects also look very good. I'm looking forward to a solid fourth quarter from all three business groups. Looking a little further ahead, I would like to talk about some of our growth opportunities and how we are moving to capitalize on them. I've said before that we are fortunate to have many internal opportunities.

Some are as straightforward as adding production lines at Vactor and Elgin. Along with the same lines, we're exploring opportunities to expand our facility in Alabama. We have expanded our Jetstream facility. These expansions allow us to address areas where rapidly growing demand has taxed our capacity and to enter some markets that are newer to us with better products. At the same time, we've been aggressively investing in our sales forces to support our industrial growth strategy and to drive demand at both SSG and ESG. We have added salespeople with good experience and expertise in the industrial markets where we really want to grow. We've also added a new global sales manager at Bronto.

We have supported these other investments with hands-on research. One example this year, sending a cross-functional team with engineering and marketing expertise to visit about 60 end users in a variety of utility markets, which are still relatively new to us. We did this to learn how to use our equipment and what they need in order to do their jobs effectively. These efforts are leading us to design new products for their requirements, innovate new tools, and expand offerings of accessory products. Another way that we're attacking our growth opportunity is to move more quickly and decisively. We've challenged our teams to respond more quickly to new market opportunity. In this area, I think about how we spent an additional $1 million on engineering work across our businesses this year in order to expedite new product development.

We have also added a new FS Solutions Center in North Dakota, which has kicked off extremely well. The new center provides service to oil industry users of our hydro excavation and our vacuum truck products, where we already have a leading market share. This helps us to develop our repeat business and our service offerings. It also helps us to better anticipate new trends, needs, and improvements for our existing products. Similarly, we have enhanced our Bronto distribution network in North America, which we expect to help us capture industrial growth opportunities for Bronto. We are fast-tracking new global product offerings for Jetstream and SSG. We'll capitalize on channels that we already have. They're also helping us to expand more effectively in the global markets.

We also have added new engineers and refocused our talent, again, with the intent to be more timely, nimble, and responsive to customer needs. There are accelerated new product development activities underway in all of our businesses. These internal growth investments also help us focus our efforts on potential acquisitions. We have defined our goals for M&A to be primarily tuck-in acquisitions that build on or complement our core competencies. Specific areas of interest would include the ability to leverage distribution and channels with additional products, assess adjacent markets, or expand our geographic reach. Just as important, we are committed to disciplined acquisition and integration process. We are working with our business teams to help identify targets that may be attractive to us so that we can proactively approach them. Of course, we also respond to opportunities that are proposed to us.

Over the last five quarters or so, we have filtered something over 100 ideas that have advanced through a variety of stages. About half have gotten some close scrutiny. A handful have proceeded fairly far in the process. From our work to this point, we believe that there are relevant and profitable opportunities for acquisition. We are working to find the right ones. These growth opportunities are the main focus for the use of our capital. Organic opportunities are our highest priority, and we believe that acquisitions can provide a strong complement to them. Of course, we also remain committed to a healthy dividend policy. After those priorities, we believe that we will still be able to repurchase shares as a way to return value to shareholders and to manage our capital structure.

Our robust cash flow should allow us to execute share repurchases without impacting our ability to invest in internal and external growth opportunities. Now I'm pleased to turn the call over to Jennifer.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

Thank you, Dennis. Like many companies, Federal Signal, at this time of year, reassesses its strategies and sets operating plans for our next fiscal year. We are in the middle of that process, so it is still too early for us to comment on our 2015 expectations. However, it is not too early to revisit our longer-term strategies and goals, including our four main initiatives. Dennis just talked about creating disciplined growth with organic investments and focused acquisitions. We feel that our opportunities translate to revenue growth above U.S. GDP. We also focus efforts to leverage our invested capital. This leverage is evident in our results over the last two years, and we continue to pursue it with our internal growth initiatives and our flexible manufacturing model.

Innovation of new products and services focuses on expanding opportunities in end markets like utilities and oil and gas, expansion of targeted global opportunities should help us to grow faster in industrial markets and continue to diversify our customer base. Of course, we have a relentless focus on improving our efficiencies and cost structure and continuing to optimize our municipal and governmental-oriented businesses. As we consider these initiatives, our progress and momentum, and the opportunities we face, we have reset our longer-term financial goals. Over our planning horizon, we are aiming to, one, grow consolidated revenue faster than GDP while increasing share from industrial markets. Second, continually improve return on invested capital. Third, improve consolidated operating margin to 12%. Fourth, consistently grow earnings per share at a percentage rate in the low to mid-teens. With these goals in mind, we are optimistic about 2015.

On our last call, I spoke at length about the recovery plan that we put in place at Bronto, including a significant investment in capital equipment, which should increase productivity over the longer term. I'm pleased to report that we have successfully executed against the plan, and we believe FRG Bronto's fourth quarter will be the best quarter it has had in recent years. In the near term, our continuing momentum, our strong backlog, and the recovery of Bronto give us better visibility into the fourth quarter. We therefore raised our outlook for 2014 adjusted EPS from a range of $0.83-$0.87 per share to a new range of $0.87-$0.91 per share. This compares to $0.67 per share in 2013.

Since we are at $0.62 per share year to date, this updated outlook translates to a range of $0.25-$0.29 per share for the fourth quarter. With that, I think we're ready to open the line for questions. Operator?

Operator

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. If using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Again, that is star one if you'd like to ask a question. We'll go to our first question from Steve Barger with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

Good morning, Steve.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hey, good morning.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Good morning, Steve.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hey, good morning. It's actually Ken Newman on for Steve this morning.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Hey, Ken.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hi. Congrats on the quarter.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

Thank you.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

You talked about solid market demand. Just curious, can you give more color on muni budgets? Is this pent-up demand driven by under-investment, or is it actual fleet growth due to stronger tax base and a changing view on budget risk?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Yeah, I think what we've seen primarily is some release of a little bit of the pent-up demand that existed, but it seems to be steady demand because of the better health of the municipals. Primarily on the sweepers and the vacuum truck side. We've seen good activity on the police side, but it's not accelerated dramatically, as we get fairly good documentation from the Polk association, produces police cars registered in the year. Police activity is about the same, but we're seeing more on the environmental side.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Got it. Your focus on operational efficiencies are clearly working. What are you looking to next to drive incremental margin expansion? Is there anything in the distribution model you can optimize or further supply chain initiatives you can talk about?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Well, on the distribution side, the thing that's going to drive beyond the operational excellence activities are the increases in the sales forces we've made. We've significantly increased the sales force in our SSG safety side and on our ESG direct side, serving the industrial contractors, also on our Bronto side. Our investments in the operating side continue, and we still have some good leverage there. We also have gone on the front end of the business now and begun to add new products. I mean, salespeople. In the longer term, mid-term to longer term, we have a good number of brand-new products that will hit the market mid-year next year, by mid-year. Along with the additional sales folks, the new products we think will also stimulate activity.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Those new products, just as a follow-up, are those across all the segments, or is that primarily on the Bronto side or for ESG?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Really all the segments are working on new product development. Primarily, Bronto has been introducing new models this year and will continue into next year. The SSG team on the industrial safety side, we've had police, new fire products this year. It's pretty well spread across the business, and our efforts on adding engineering development time and resources is really across the company.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Got it. Just one more, if I could. ESG margin was really good this quarter, and it's the second quarter at 16% or better. Has mix been a big factor in the last couple of quarters, or is this a sustainable margin for the near term?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

I think it's been sustained for two quarters, mix is clearly a big part of it. I think if we have another quarter of this, obviously, we're seeing better impact of all the efficiencies. I would say it's still an exceptional quarter for us.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Great. I'll jump back in line. Thanks.

Operator

We'll go to our next question from Walter Liptak with Global Hunter.

Walt Liptak
Analyst, Global Hunter

Hi. Thanks. Good morning, guys. Yeah, congratulations on a nice quarter.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Morning, Walt.

Thank you.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

Thank you.

Walt Liptak
Analyst, Global Hunter

Yeah, especially the margins in ESG look terrific. Wanted to ask about what's embedded, Jennifer, in the guidance for fourth quarter on the FRG business, realizing that it's probably a little bit tough to model for us, just because we don't know how much extra cost was in this quarter and how much is coming out next quarter or what the fourth quarter production or sales levels are. I wonder if you can give us some more color on that.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

I talked at length on the July call about the recovery plan that we put in place. We've been monitoring our progress versus that plan. We believe that we talked about some low-margin units. We believe most of those units have been produced. In addition, we talked about some production inefficiencies as a result of investment in some capital improvements. Those capital improvements are completed. We expect to see improved productivity over the longer term. In light of all that and our success against the recovery plan, we expect to have a strong fourth quarter at Bronto, and we believe it'll be the strongest quarter that they've had in years. That was an important part of the guidance moving forward. In addition, we have, as we mentioned, good visibility, not only into Bronto's backlog but into ESG's backlog.

Walt Liptak
Analyst, Global Hunter

Okay. Can you quantify the third quarter inefficiencies that were going through Bronto?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Well, I think if you look at Bronto, it was a net loss, minor. The inefficiency is really, Walt, we just didn't get product out the door along with some of the conversion things that we did. Look, last year and the year before, we were running at a more normal run rate of 6% operating income, and we would expect that we should be able to get back to that level. Once we are past some of the production hangups, which we think we're past or close, we should see a more normal run rate.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

That said, we expect the fourth quarter to be a bit of a catch-up period also. It'll be a very good quarter.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

For Bronto.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

For Bronto.

Walt Liptak
Analyst, Global Hunter

Okay. Right, got it. That sounds great. On the production side of it, are there trucks that were waiting to ship, or what does the production level look like?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Yeah, we have a typical fourth quarter run rate plan for Bronto in terms of production. We had some machines slip over from the third quarter into the fourth quarter. Like Brian said, it'll be a strong quarter for us because we've got a lot of machines that have already been shipped in the quarter. It's progressing the way we would expect. There's always one or two on the bubble.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

Probably more completions in the fourth quarter than we would typically have, because they've been in process.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

Yeah. It'll be a heavier quarter than normal.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

Yeah.

Walt Liptak
Analyst, Global Hunter

Okay, great. If I can switch gears to SSG. It's nice to hear that municipal is picking up in the U.S. I think that's kind of what we've all been waiting for. I wondered about the international orders, it sounds like you got some, and you shipped some, just recently. What does the pipeline look like? Does the drop in energy prices have an impact on any of the business in the Middle East or in North America?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Yeah, Jennifer will talk a little bit about SSG. In terms of the international orders that we're getting, they come and go sporadically over a year. We don't think that the drop in oil price will affect the orders that we get internationally.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

On the municipal side of SSG, we're starting to see modest recovery, our police orders are up. On the industrial system side, we have a very strong pipeline with respect to our international orders, we expect that to continue through the fourth quarter and into next year.

Walt Liptak
Analyst, Global Hunter

Okay. That sounds great. I wonder if you could just help us with this last one. You've got some international sales because just kind of generally, I think most of those are Bronto. With Europe slowing down, what percentage of sales or other products outside of Bronto, do you have to take any steps to maintain margins if Europe goes into a recession?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Yeah. Walt, if you look at our business in the U.S., shipments to export, we don't ship to Europe primarily. Our shipments from ESG as an example, are primarily sweepers, they primarily go to the Middle East. The Bronto business, you might see a drop over next year in orders in Europe by choice from us for not taking the low-margin orders, which we took this year. The revenue line might be impacted some, I think the operating income line will be impacted positively in that regard. We don't think that the current slowdown. The Vama police business is steady, it hasn't been robust, and we think it's running at a fair pace that'll continue. Beyond that, we don't ship a lot into Europe. We don't believe that's going to be a major impact on it.

The Bronto machines that are shipped globally to Europe, to Asia Pacific, are not related at all to energy. They're related to more safety and industrial safety, both municipal and industrial, we think those will continue because of the demand.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

We've also made a number of investments on the Bronto side in North America in terms of appointing a new partner on the fire side. We talked about our new dealer we have on the industrial side, we continue to see growth for Bronto in North America.

Walt Liptak
Analyst, Global Hunter

Okay. Okay, that sounds great. Thanks, guys.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Thanks.

Operator

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, that is star one. We'll go to our next question from Robert Kosowsky with Sidoti.

Robert Kosowsky
Analyst, Sidoti

Good morning, everyone. How you doing?

Walt Liptak
Analyst, Global Hunter

Hey, Rob.

Morning.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

Good morning.

Robert Kosowsky
Analyst, Sidoti

I was wondering on ESG, it was obviously really good margin expansion versus last year. I wonder if you could bucket increased production throughput versus mix, versus just some other efficiencies you might have gotten from better vacuum truck production rates.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Yeah. We introduced a brand-new production line in April. We advised you last year, we launched that new line plan in October of last year. That new line has really come through in terms of adding additional production. The production capacity at Vactor has increased. We also have produced more product out of the Elgin plant. Really, the mix is good, and also the production, the capability to get product out the door has helped us quite a bit.

Robert Kosowsky
Analyst, Sidoti

Okay. Do you see the need to add more production lines now given where your backlog is?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

We constantly assess that. We've made some decisions to introduce a flexible manufacturing model, which we talked to you about before. In order to do that, we've utilized some of our other locations, including our Alabama location, and we are actually adding a facility there, small facility, relatively speaking, but it allows us to have additional capacity. Fully utilizing the existing new line that we did at Vactor, the new line at Elgin and that other location. We don't anticipate in the next year adding major plant expansion in order to meet the capacity demands. We're still working on the 80/20 stuff, and we still think we'll be able to push the envelope.

That doesn't mean that a few years down the road, we may not choose to expand Vactor, but I think we still have plenty of capacity at both Elgin and our Leeds, Alabama location, our FS Solutions Centers in the Vactor to do what we need to do there.

Robert Kosowsky
Analyst, Sidoti

Okay, that sounds good. Finally with ESG, you had pretty tremendous growth in orders, and I'm wondering if you could say what the market was up, whether or not you picked up market share, and dimensionalize what was expansion into new markets or new geographies, just so we can get a better sense of how well Federal Signal is performing relative to the market and on some of the initiatives.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Yeah. Talking about market share is extremely tricky because there's no reporting mechanism for us in the markets that we're dealing with. We do know that the areas that we're expanding in were broadly based through sweepers as well as our hydro excavating product and even the vacuum truck product. It's really just robust activity. Oil and gas is driving some of it. The heavy industrial contractor is driving some of it, the municipals on the sweepers. It's a healthy market situation right now, Rob. It's pretty broad based.

Robert Kosowsky
Analyst, Sidoti

Okay. Just kind of uniformly across the board. I'm wondering also just what the impact is of oil coming in as much as it is. If we do see the rig count start to go down, is that going to be a major headwind against growth or orders in the next few quarters?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Yeah, I think our activity, I know our activity is not related as much to installing brand new wells as much as it is in the maintenance and the operations that go on the facilities. It's yet to be seen. Nobody expected oil to drop as low as it did, and I think our overall relationship with the oil and gas industry, Brian's what? 10%-12%?

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

9% really.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

9%.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

Probably half to two-thirds of that is the exploration production activity. As you say, even there, we are supplying the maintenance that's going on after they're in place.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Right. Rob, it's good for us, but if it shifts up or down in a quarter, it's not going to have a major impact.

Robert Kosowsky
Analyst, Sidoti

Okay. Was that 10% of the segment or 10% of the company?

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

It's about 9% of our overall revenues are related in one way or another to oil and gas, but that also includes SSG.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Right, the industrial safety products.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

Which is selling for oil rigs and-

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Refineries

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

refineries and so on.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

A large percentage of that's maintenance, which is critical.

Robert Kosowsky
Analyst, Sidoti

Okay, cool. Thank you very much and good luck.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Yeah, thank you.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

Thank you.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, that is star one to ask a question. We'll go to another question from Steve Barger with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Robert Kosowsky
Analyst, Sidoti

That's for you, Steve.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Yeah, it is. Thanks. Thanks for getting back. With the business on better footing, can you talk about what the key metrics you're managing or incentivizing people on? Is it margin expansion, EPS growth, return on capital?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Well, the company has long and short term incentive programs for all the leadership, and a major portion of our compensation as executives is based on performance of the company.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

Yeah. We're very focused on operating income, across the company and on working capital efficiency. We put measures in around that and around return on invested capital. I think, with a lot of the growth in many of our businesses, a lot of the focus really is on delivering the bottom line, and that's pretty clear for people.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

We don't talk about revenue, as you know, in the calls much. We do care about revenue, but it's really driven in profitable growth strategies. We do want to grow the business, but as I said, we haven't set lofty revenue targets. We're really more important than profitable growth towards the right revenue targets.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

Our longer term incentive plan focuses on earnings per share. This year we introduced return on invested capital.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

We try to align clearly with the investors.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Great. Your net income to free cash flow conversion has been really great. Is that ratio something you target, and is it sustainable at these levels from what you can see?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

We don't target that specifically. The question of sustainability, a lot depends on the economic cycles that we run through. Our businesses are like all other large capital equipment businesses, can be subject to big swings in capital markets. While we expect a good performance to continue through the next near quarters, we just don't know what's going to happen. If the market goes into another 2009 kind of downturn, it would be very difficult to show the same conversion to cash that we have experienced. All things being equal, if the economy stays strong, we think we're doing the right things in terms of expanding our customer contacts, our intimacy with the customers and selling more products, our efficiencies in the plants, and our development of new products. We think we should continue to be a well-respected company.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

Yeah. In the face of strong markets, as Dennis has been describing, most of our internal investment opportunities have really high returns, but we don't need to spend a lot more capital than we have been. Part of the reason we're generating such good cash flow is, the tax position we're in, we're sheltered in the U.S. We expect that cash flow to continue, but it's not part of what we target people on. We're targeting them on delivering on business performance, and it translates for us.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Yeah. We tend to run a very disciplined process of working on value-added activities in the company. Our teams do that, and we're more focused on the process sometimes than the hard number. The result is we get the number.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

With all that being said, we've talked about our strong backlogs and our visibility into the fourth quarter and the beginning of 2015, and we're optimistic about 2015.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Great to hear. Just one last one from me. This was a really impressive increase in the buyback authorization. Just curious, what your thoughts are around the cadence of executing against the new authorization, and how are you thinking about your other capital allocation priorities?

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

That will be the fourth priority, to buy back stock. It's there as a tool. We do believe that we will utilize the first three priorities with a much more stringent focus over the near term. We wanted to have it out there as one of the tools.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

Yeah. It's one of the tools we'll use. We'll probably use it less as we find more acquisition opportunities that we like. We do want to manage our capital structure, so with the cash flow we have, we wanted to have that tool available to us also.

Ken Newman
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Perfect. Thanks, guys.

Brian S. Cooper
SVP and CFO, Federal Signal

Thank you.

Operator

We have no further questions at this time.

Dennis J. Martin
President and CEO, Federal Signal

Thank you all for joining us today. I think you can see in our results, and I hope that you can tell from our comments and discussion that Federal Signal is on a good track. Our people continue to work hard, our dealers continue to deliver for us, and our customers continue to honor us with their business. We hope this call has helped to answer your key questions. We feel optimistic about our future, and we look forward to talking with you again in the next quarter. Thank you very much.

Jennifer L. Sherman
COO, Federal Signal

Thank you.

Operator

That concludes today's conference. We appreciate your participation.