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Earnings Call: Q1 2017

Apr 21, 2017

Operator

Please stand by. We're about to begin. Good day, ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Honeywell's first quarter earnings conference call. At this time, all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode, the floor will be open for your questions following the presentation. If you would like to ask a question at that time, please press star one on your touch-tone phone. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star two. Lastly, if you should require operator assistance, please press star zero. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Mr. Mark Macaluso, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Mark Macaluso
VP of Investor Relations, Honeywell

Thank you, Derek. Good morning, welcome to Honeywell's first quarter 2017 earnings conference call. With me here today are President and CEO, Darius Adamczyk, and Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Tom Szlosek. This call and webcast, including any non-GAAP reconciliations, are available on our website at www.honeywell.com/investor. Note that elements of this presentation contain forward-looking statements that are based on our best view of the world and of our businesses as we see them today. Those elements can change, we ask that you interpret them in that light. We identify the principal risks and uncertainties that affect our performance in our annual report on Form 10-K and other SEC filings. This morning, we will review our financial results for the first quarter, highlight some exciting accomplishments across the portfolio, share our guidance for the second quarter of 2017.

As always, we'll leave ample time for your questions at the end. With that, I will turn the call over to President and CEO, Darius Adamczyk.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Thank you, Mark. Good morning, everyone. Today, we reported a very strong start to 2017. We met, or in most cases, exceeded our guidance ranges, I'm pleased with our results in the first quarter. We recorded earnings per share of $1.66, normalized at our expected full-year tax rate. This is $0.02 above the high end of the guidance we provided in January. Excluding divestitures and normalizing for tax, EPS was up 11% versus 2016, or 10% on a reported basis. Organic sales were up more than 2%, we recorded double-digit revenue growth in advanced materials within Performance Materials and Technologies on demand for our Solstice product line, we saw continued strength in UOP as the oil and gas end markets improve. In Home and Building Technologies, our global distribution business continued to outpace the market, while the products business generated strong results at 3% organic growth.

In Aerospace, we had strong performance in the aftermarket, particularly in air transport, on robust repair and overhaul activity. In Safety and Productivity Solutions, we saw growth in most of the businesses, with particularly noteworthy performance exhibited in workflow solutions, sensing and IoT, as well as industrial safety. We expanded segment margins by 70 basis points. We're delivering high-value offerings to our customers, and our execution is improving as the ongoing benefits of our HOS Gold operating systems materialize. We also continue to optimize our cost structure by highlighting our March Investor Day, driven by productivity initiatives and the restructuring actions we took through 2016. Driving segment margin improvement continues to be an ongoing focus for Honeywell. We delivered significant improvement in free cash flow year-over-year, largely driven by improved working capital performance. Free cash flow performance will continue to be a key priority for Honeywell.

We have a renewed level of focus on working capital at all levels across the company. We expect we will drive improved free cash flow conversion in every business. Given the strong performance, we are raising the low end of our full-year EPS guidance by $0.05 to $6.90-$7.10 and reaffirming our 2017 organic sales, segment margin, and free cash flow guidance. We are encouraged by the first quarter growth and execution, but are taking a tempered approach to our forward outlook given the potential volatility in our end markets and limited view of the year at this time. Each of our business had significant commercial achievements in the first quarter. On slide three, I'd like to highlight some of them.

In Aerospace, together with Airbus, we announced that our auxiliary power unit is now standard equipment on the A320 family of aircraft, replacing a competitor's APU as the base option. Airbus selected Honeywell because of our APU's superior reliability and fuel savings capability. In addition, both Japan Airlines and India's Jet Airways announced that they are using our GoDirect fuel efficiency software. Fuel consumption typically accounts for as much as 20%-40% of our airline's operating costs. GoDirect can help customers save more than 2% annually. In Home and Building Technologies, we launched MAXPRO Cloud for connected buildings. MAXPRO provides streamlined video and access management to our customers that manage multiple buildings.

In addition, Honeywell Building Solutions announced contracts to improve energy efficiency at 21 U.S. Federal Aviation Administration facilities and at the U.S. Air Force base in L.A., as well as airport wins in emerging regions, including Turkey and Singapore. In Performance Materials and Technologies, UOP technologies and Honeywell Process Solutions controls were selected in China for one of the largest crude to chemicals complexes in the world. In addition, UOP will provide the process technology for the largest Oleflex units in Europe. UOP's hydrotreating catalyst will be used by Wanhua Petrochemical to produce cleaner-burning, ultra-low sulfur diesel fuel without a costly modification of its existing hydrotreating unit. As you'll hear shortly, the orders thus far for PMT have been very strong. Our customers recognize the value of Honeywell's technologies, and this is allowing us to win the marketplace, especially in China.

In Safety and Productivity Solutions, we introduced R-Cube, a 3D dimensioning system that helps customers instantly capture the volume of parcels to enable space optimization and volume-based pricing. Safety and Productivity Solutions also won four prestigious iF Design Awards, recognizing our product design focus and the Honeywell user experience. As you know, driving organic sales growth is one of my key priorities, and I'm pleased with the results we saw in the first quarter. Investing in development of new products, breakthrough initiatives, and commercial excellence will help us to accelerate our momentum. With that, I'll turn it over to Tom to discuss our financial results in more detail.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Thanks, Darius. I'm on slide four. As Darius mentioned, we delivered more than 2% organic sales growth this quarter. Now, truth be told, we were actually within inches of 3%, but it did come out at 2%. All of our segments were at or above the high end of the sales guidance we provided back in January. A strong start from a growth perspective. Segment profit was up 8%, excluding divestitures, and segment margins expanded 70 basis points from 2016. This accounted for the bulk of the EPS expansion, as you'll see in a minute. The segment profit growth was driven by sales improvement, our ongoing productivity initiatives, the benefits from the significant restructuring programs that were funded in 2016, and overall front-end commercial excellence. Reported earnings per share of $1.71 were up 10%. This $1.71 includes a $0.05 benefit from a lower than anticipated tax rate.

For proper comparability and to remove all tax favorability from our results, we've normalized 2016 to reflect the expected 2017 full-year tax rate and to eliminate the $0.05 from 2016 relating to the divested businesses. On that basis, EPS was up 11% to $1.66, and that's, as Darius said, $0.02 above the high end of the guidance range. Free cash performance was also encouraging in the quarter. As Darius mentioned, the entire organization at all levels is focused on our working capital performance. We're breaking down our order to cash processes into a myriad of subsegments, and we're systematically measuring and improving the cycle time of each of those subsegments. We're adjusting incentives to foster more improvement in working capital, and we have a standard operating cadence that culminates in a monthly review with Darius and me by each business.

There's still much to do in this area, and while it is still early in the year, we're encouraged by our progress so far. Overall, a very strong start to 2017, but still a lot of opportunity for further improvement over the next three quarters. Let's move to slide five and discuss each of the segments. In aerospace, we finished the quarter above the high end of our first quarter sales guidance range, driven primarily by a strong performance in the air transport aftermarket. We saw an uplift in spares demand and strength in repair and overhaul activities with our airline customers, particularly in the sale of repairs, modifications, and upgrades that resulted in high single-digit growth rate in the ATR aftermarket. The aftermarket in business and general aviation was roughly flat, with stronger than anticipated R&O and connectivity revenue, largely offset by a decline in spares.

Our OE performance was as expected, with volumes to our air transport customers up slightly on the strength of A350 shipments, offset by declines in business and general aviation. Defense sales were roughly flat, with strong organic sales growth in our core U.S. and international defense businesses, offset by space and commercial helicopter weakness. There was continued strength in light vehicle gas turbo penetration, particularly driven by new launches in Europe and China. As well, there were some encouraging signs in the on-highway commercial vehicle market globally, and most notably in China and in Europe. Aerospace segment margin expansion for the quarter of 90 basis points also exceeded the high end of our guidance, driven by productivity, commercial excellence, and the favorable impact of the divestiture of the government services business in 2016. Overall, a very strong start to 2017 for Aerospace.

Home and Building Technologies generated organic sales growth of 3%, driven by a strong performance in Energy and Sustainability Solutions, security and fire, and our global distribution businesses. Growth in the China business in HBT was nearly 15% this quarter. That was led by the clean air and water product portfolios in E&S. We continue to see momentum in the residential real estate market in China, anticipate continued infrastructure investment that will help drive future growth. Across HBT, there was gradual sales improvement over the quarter with decent exit momentum. Segment margin, while below our expectation, was still quite strong at 70 basis points improvement, stemming from our ongoing productivity initiatives and the restructuring actions taken in the second half of 2016. The mix dynamics of sales in the quarter were a bit less favorable than we anticipated. Performance Materials and Technologies had a very strong quarter.

Sales up 5% on an organic basis, margins expanded 260 basis points, and orders were up double digits. The performance was led by advanced materials, where Solstice sales growth exceeded 150% on an organic basis, enabled by the capital investments we've made over the past several years. Sales in UOP were up 3% organic, led by gas processing. There continues to be increasing interest in domestic modular units, in particular. In the first quarter alone, we signed 6 new deals in the U.S. for pre-engineered cryogenic plants that separate natural gas liquids. This compares favorably to the 12 units we had for all of 2016, including 2% in the first quarter. Growth in the catalyst business was at low single digits, driven by new Oleflex units. The orders in UOP were up over 15% in the first quarter, setting the stage for continued performance in this business.

Sales in Process Solutions were roughly flat on an organic basis. We had healthy customer adoption of our Assurance 360 service offering and good growth in our lifecycle solutions and services business. This was offset by slower sales in our large projects business. Orders in HPS were up nearly 10% on an organic basis. The margin expansion in PMT was driven by productivity, commercial excellence initiatives, and the impact of the spin-off of the former resins and chemicals business in 2016. All in all, great result for PMT and encouraging forward indicators across all of its business units. Finally, in SPS, organic sales were up 3%, exceeding the high end of our guidance range. Industrial safety, the largest business within SPS, grew 4% on an organic basis, driven by our high risk and gas detection offerings.

There was also significant growth in our workflow solutions business due to strong demand and improved supply chain execution. Growth in our IoT business was also strong, with good performance in a number of regions. Intelligrated grew in excess of 20% this quarter compared to the first quarter of 2016, when it was not owned by Honeywell. This was driven by large projects in a number of key accounts. Excluding the first-year dilutive impacts from M&A, SPS segment margins expanded more than 300 basis points, driven by continued productivity and restructuring benefits and the conversion on the strong sales volume. We're encouraged by the trends that we saw in the first quarter in SPS and in the rest of the portfolio. Slide six contains a walk of our EPS from the first quarter of 2016 to the first quarter of 2017.

In the first quarter of last year, earnings from our 2016 divestitures were $0.05. We exclude those amounts from the 2016 baseline, consistent with the 2017 earnings guidance framework we provided. For comparison purposes, as I said earlier, we've also normalized the tax rate for first quarter of 2016 for the expected 2017 full-year tax rate. This effect was minor, as you can see. In the first quarter of 2017, the segment improvement I highlighted for each business accounted for $0.12 of the year-over-year improvement in earnings per share. Below-the-line items and a slightly lower share count contributed $0.04 this quarter, bringing our 2017 EPS, excluding benefits from the lower tax rate, to $1.66, which is that $0.02 beat to the $1.64 high end of our first quarter guidance.

EPS increased 11% year-over-year on this basis. For the full year, we expect our share count to be consistent with the 772 million shares we projected in January. Regarding tax, our planned tax rate for the quarter was about 25%. The actual rate was 22.7%, with the difference contributing an additional $0.05 of EPS growth, resulting in reported EPS of $1.71. Our expectation is that the effective tax rate in quarters two, three, and four will be at or above 25%. To the extent that changes, we'll provide an update. Let's turn to slide seven to discuss what we're seeing in our end markets heading into the second quarter. Last quarter, we told you about some encouraging trends in our oil and gas businesses. Those have continued this quarter.

The combined UOP and HPS book-to-bill ratio was strong at 1.15. UOP orders, as I said earlier, were up over 15%, driven by our gas processing business. The domestic Russell business has outpaced our expectations as the demand for non-gas liquid separation technology strengthens in the U.S. There are also more orders for licensing, which is typically one of the first indicators that the oil and gas cycle is restarting. The activity in UOP China has been particularly strong. We've won a number of key projects, which will allow us to leverage the capacity investments we've made over the past two years. Within Home and Building Technologies in the second quarter, we anticipate several large smart meter project rollouts in Europe. Better backlog conversion in the Americas. Smart meter business came to Honeywell as part of the Elster acquisition. It continues to perform well.

Overall, the short cycle demand in the commercial and residential segments continues to be robust. The aviation market continues to be resilient with the high-end single-digit growth driven by spares demand and repairs, modifications, and upgrades in the air transport and regional business. This is supported by the outlook for continued flight hour growth of 4%-5% in air transport and regional. In the business and general aviation market, we had strong demand in the repair and overhaul business, but weaker performance in spares, driven by a continued decline in maintenance events. We expect continued aftermarket strength heading into the second quarter, with the airlines business growing faster than BGA. Flight hours in BGA are likely to remain flat to down in 2017. Our connectivity business grew double digits in the first quarter and will continue to be a source of strength for aftermarket revenues.

We were encouraged by the increased activity in our businesses that serve the industrial sector. Our industrial safety business was up mid-single digits, driven by demand for gas detection and high-risk safety equipment. The backlog and pipeline of future orders at Intelligrated continues to be strong, and we are encouraged about the prospects for 2017. As planned, we expect lower shipments and fewer engine maintenance events than 2016 for business jets. We continue to plan conservatively and do not anticipate a recovery until the 2018-2019 timeframe. I'm now on slide nine with a preview of the second quarter. In aerospace, sales are expected to be in the flat to down 2% range on an organic basis, with continued strength from the ATR aftermarket and solid demand in the U.S. Core Defense.

In transportation systems, we anticipate continued recovery from the commercial vehicles business, combined with growth in light vehicle gas applications, especially in China. These benefits will be offset by the ongoing secular softness in the BGA and space markets. We expect reported sales will be down 5%-7% due to the 2016 divestiture of the government service business. Aero margin expansion will be driven primarily by the benefits from our 2016 restructuring projects and a stronger mix of aftermarket growth. Importantly, the second quarter is expected to be the last quarter of the headwind associated with OEM incentives. In the second half, they become an approximate $70 million tailwind to sales and segment margin as compared to an approximate $25 million headwind in the first half.

In home and building technologies, reported sales are expected to be down 1%-1% due to the impacts of foreign currency translation, with organic sales growth of 2%-4%, driven by the large Elster smart meter rollouts I mentioned earlier. In the other products businesses, we expect continued contribution from new product introductions like our T-Series thermostat and do-it-yourself security products, which were on display earlier this month at ISC West. In China, we again expect double-digit growth driven by continued air and water demand and growth in security and fire systems associated with large real estate projects. We also expect continued strength in our global distribution business and stronger growth in building solutions.

HBT segment margins are expected to expand 70- 100 basis points, driven by cost reductions from prior restructuring actions, commercial excellence, and ongoing productivity initiatives, partially offset by product mix headwinds associated with the strength of our distribution sales. In PMT, we anticipate continued strong performance across the group, with 3%-5% organic sales growth. Advanced Materials is expected to be up significantly on continued demand for Solstice low global warming products. In UOP, improving oil and gas markets and the strong backlog will drive continued growth, primarily in licensing and equipment sales. We also expect modest growth in the process solutions business, driven primarily by our short-cycle software and service offerings. On a reported basis, PMT sales are expected to be down year-over-year due to the spin-off of resins and chemicals business in the fourth quarter.

The projected segment margin expansion of 170 to 200 basis points is driven by higher volumes, productivity, and the impact of the spin-off of the former resins and chemicals business. In Safety and Productivity Solutions, sales are expected to be flat to up 2% on an organic basis, with reported sales increasing north of 25% due to the impact of the Intelligrated acquisition. The organic growth will be slightly lower quarter-to-quarter as the significant workflow solutions growth we saw from improved supply chain execution in the first quarter normalizes in the second quarter. In the safety business, growth in the industrial business will be driven by new product introductions and better end market outlooks. In Intelligrated, orders were strong exiting the first quarter, and we anticipate double-digit growth to continue.

SPS margins are expected to expand by more than 250 basis points, excluding the first-year dilutive impacts of M&A, driven primarily by benefits from last year's restructuring projects and by the sales growth and ongoing productivity initiatives. For the company in total, we're expecting EPS of $1.75-$1.80, which will be up 7%-10% year-over-year, excluding 2016 divestitures and normalizing for our expected full-year tax rate. Organic sales growth is anticipated to be flat to 2%, with 50 to 80 basis points of margin expansion. We expect that reported sales will be down 1%-3% due to the 2016 portfolio actions I mentioned. Let me move to slide nine. As Darius mentioned, we're raising the low end of our full-year EPS guide by $0.05 to $6.90-$7.10, up 7%-10%, excluding divestitures.

At a total Honeywell level, we continue to anticipate delivering between 70 and 110 basis points of margin expansion for the full year, driven by slightly better performance in aerospace and PMT, overcoming a slower start in HBT. Let me turn to slide 10 for a brief wrap-up. In summary, we delivered a high-quality first quarter result, with all of our segments contributing to the performance. Our end markets continue to improve across our businesses, and our execution is getting better as well. We expect second quarter earnings to grow 7%-10% year-over-year, excluding divestitures and normalized for tax, and we raised the low end of our full year EPS guide by $0.05. Our business is to continue to win in growing end markets. The investments we've made in 2016, including significant restructuring projects, are also delivering for us.

Our Honeywell operating system is continuing to drive commercial gains and productivity improvements. We're well positioned to continue to outperform for the remainder of 2017. With that, Mark, let's move to Q&A.

Mark Macaluso
VP of Investor Relations, Honeywell

Thanks, Tom. Darius and Tom are both now available to answer your questions. Derek, can we open up the line for Q&A?

Operator

Absolutely, thank you. The floor is now open for your questions. At this time, if you have a question or comment, please press star one on your touch tone phone. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star two. We ask that when you pose your question, please pick up your handset. Thank you. Our first question comes from Mr. Scott Davis with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Scott Davis
Analyst, Barclays

Hi. Good morning, guys, and welcome, Darius. Good luck to you in your new role.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Thank you, Scott.

Scott Davis
Analyst, Barclays

You're welcome. It's tough to replace somebody like Dave Cote, but at least you can pronounce maybe China a little bit more appropriately than China. Anyways, jokes are flowing flat on a Friday morning. If we can talk, can you guys just remind us where we are with the big UOP and Solstice capacity adds and when I know you've been taking orders, when do you really see the lion's share of that revenue ramp from maybe each one of those is a separate question, I'll just leave it at that.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

I would say that the biggest facility that we've been building for the last couple of years comes online at the end of Q2, early Q3, which is really the last portion of the capacity expansion. As we saw starting early this year with the MAC initiative kicking in in Europe, we saw a nice volume ramp up, our Solstice product line is up double digits so far this year. We expect that to continue and even accelerate further as we head into 2017 and further into 2018. I think that the short answer here is that as we get into the second half of 2017, we're going to be exactly where we need to be from a capacity perspective.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

I'd add, Scott, to that the orders are supporting that. We had, as we mentioned, double digit orders growth in PMT overall. It was across all of the businesses, especially in the ones where we're making those capacity investments, the backlog is picking up nicely.

Scott Davis
Analyst, Barclays

help us just understand, what kind of capacity utilization will you be at? Or I mean, are you profitable with those new orders in the first year, or does it take until you get to a certain % capacity utilization, and just help us understand that. That'll be it for me. Thanks.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Yeah. I think, with any new process startup, we're obviously not going to be operating at full capacity, and we had planned for that, and things are going to be ramped up. I would say, we're targeting well north of 80% once we get into 2018 and beyond. Frankly, we can bring even more capacity online as we secure new orders. We think that Solstice, we've done a really nice job securing orders in a lot of that, I would say, our developed markets. But we see a lot of potential in our HGR markets as well, given the acceptance of some of the Paris outcome, and we have some extra capacity that we can bring to bear to generate revenue.

We also have plans for further expansions should some of those regulations be enacted, which we think that there is a very good chance that that will happen.

Scott Davis
Analyst, Barclays

Very helpful. Good luck and off to a good start, Darius. Good luck to you.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Thank you, Scott.

Operator

Our next question comes from Steve Tusa with JPMorgan.

Steve Tusa
Analyst, JPMorgan

Hey, guys. Good morning.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Hey, Steve.

Steve Tusa
Analyst, JPMorgan

You guys did about $0.12 of kind of continuing ops improvement year-over-year in the first quarter. I think you had these OEM incentives. What were the OEM incentives in the first quarter? I know you said $0.25 in the first half. What were they in the first quarter?

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Yeah. They were minor. Year-over-year impact was minor on OEM incentives in the first quarter.

Steve Tusa
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. That'll be in the second quarter. Okay.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Second quarter, you'll see that.

Steve Tusa
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. When we look at kind of the second half of the year versus the first half of the year, you're doing $0.12 year-over-year in these kind of core businesses in the first quarter. Maybe it's a little bit less than that because the OEM incentives in the second quarter, although your guidance wouldn't suggest that. Just remind us, is there anything in the second half other than the OEM incentives that makes the year-over-year comp tougher? Seems to me like the second half kind of dropped off a bit, you have easier year-over-year comps there. Is there anything we should consider, whether it's mix or orders timing or anything like that? Should that kind of $0.12 or whatever you do here in the first half actually be better in the second half of the year?

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Yeah, I think the incentives, clearly, as I said, a drag in the first half. A nice tailwind in the second half, and that will continue into 2018 and 2019. We do get a ramp-up of repositioning in the second half, and then we're continuing to integrate the acquisition. We're still actively integrating nine deals, including Intelligrated, and those tend to get better as the year progresses in terms of operating margin improvement when those synergies kick in. I'd say those are the major impacts, first half, second half.

Steve Tusa
Analyst, JPMorgan

Those are all good guys from a run rate perspective?

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Yeah. They should be helpful.

Steve Tusa
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. I think.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

We can't point to any.

Steve Tusa
Analyst, JPMorgan

Go ahead.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

No, I was just going to say, Steve, that we can't point to any specific headwind other than, frankly, market uncertainty. Although we're excited about, frankly, the kind of long-term orders that performance we had in Q1, most of our businesses is short cycle, and I think the environment is probably fairly volatile. We're being a little bit temperate of our expectations for the second half. Given that it's kind of week three into the new role, we're being a little bit, I would say, tempered around our expectations, but certainly excited about the kind of start we've had here.

Steve Tusa
Analyst, JPMorgan

I think, yeah, I would agree. It looks like your guidance suggests really very minimal kind of run rate improvement. Smart move only being in the seat for a few weeks. Thanks a lot.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Thanks, Steve.

Operator

Next from Morgan Stanley, we'll hear from Nigel Coe. Please go ahead.

Nigel Coe
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thanks. Good morning, guys. Just want to pick up on Steve's last question about how things develop here. Darius, you mentioned the environment is uneven, volatile. Is that a reference to what happened second half of last year, 3Q, very weak, 4Q came back, and then 1Q back to the races. Is that what you're referring to, or are you seeing inter-quarter volatility during 1Q? On top of that, maybe you can just kind of color in what you're seeing today versus what you saw back in December when you put the plan together.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Yeah, no, to answer the first part of your question, no, it actually has nothing to do with Q3 or Q4 last year. I would say overall, and I think consistent with what I said at Investor Day, the environment in 2017 is better than 2016. I think we certainly see that in PMT. We see it in HBT, SPS, and so on. I would also temper that and say it's not dramatically better. It's better, it's certainly not at the kind of a recovery. In terms of comps versus December and how we feel today versus back then, I think maybe the only field that I think that's a little bit different is that I think Dave sort of called it the expectations around what's going to happen around tax reform, they've been tempered a little bit as well.

I know we continue to remain optimistic that things will happen. I would say that there was almost a clear expectation, now I think there's a little more hesitancy. We have the elections in France coming up this weekend. There's still quite a bit of uncertainty in terms of the geopolitical environment at the moment.

Nigel Coe
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Yeah, for sure. Just digging into TS a little bit more detail. You referenced, Tom, the commercial vehicle tails on highway, I'm assuming off-highway, too. Obviously we have a continued growth in penetration in gas. Offsetting that, we've got a little bit of LV production headwinds in the second half, maybe even 2Q, diesel penetration in Europe seems to be ticking down. I'm just wondering how should we sort of stitch that together in thinking about TS growth for the back half of the year?

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Yeah, I think you've got all the factors laid out there, Nigel. The overall global market probably be flattish to up a little bit in terms of total production. When you look at the way we've modeled it out, I would say that the second quarter is not inconsistent with what you can expect for the rest of the year for TS.

Nigel Coe
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Great. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Our next question comes from Andrew Obin with Bank of America.

Andrew Obin
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, guys. Good morning.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Good morning, Andrew.

Andrew Obin
Analyst, Bank of America

Can you hear me? Yeah. Just a question on free cash flow. Very impressive first quarter. Can you just provide us with more insight as to what are the areas that you're looking for improvement, what businesses you're targeting, what accounts, and what should we see throughout the year?

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Yeah, sure. First quarter for us, the biggest driver, as we said, was improved working capital performance. We saw that particularly in PMT and in aerospace. I think we're at the outset there. That's going to be the major area of focus for us in terms of driving improved free cash flow conversion. You've also got the CapEx, as you know, we were at the peaks in 2016 into 2017. That starts to moderate as the investments that Darius was talking about earlier ramp down, and we get into the full run mode, particularly in PMT. With the combination of those two things, we expect to continue to drive that conversion higher.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Just to add, I would just emphasize the point that working capital is, let's say, a renewed level of emphasis in all of Honeywell. Your question around which businesses, I think all of them have an opportunity. We're driving receivables, inventory in all these businesses. I think PMT particularly is noteworthy. They did a really nice job in their receivables. Part of that is due to the recovery in the oil and gas markets, where some of our customers are recovering, and they've made really nice progress in Q1. By the way, there's more to do. I expect progress in all four of the SBGs going forward.

Andrew Obin
Analyst, Bank of America

Just a follow-up question on PMT. Great commentary on UOP, generally, what are you guys seeing on large project discussions, maybe outside of UOP, maybe you could just go around the world just to give us some color as to what you're seeing.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Overall, actually, nice orders performance. High single digit up for HPS. Teens, high teens up for UOP. We're seeing the order activity returning. I would characterize the orders kind of being medium-sized, so we didn't have the mega orders like we did in the last 12-18 months, which HPS has won. These would be kind of the medium-sized orders. We actually didn't see the base business be as strong as we like it to. This would be kind of the mid-size order activity. As we look at it region by region, South America continues to be relatively soft. The Middle East has had a nice comeback. China, very strong performance in the first quarter. Won a lot of work there, that continues to come back.

Also the U.S., especially in our GP&H business in UOP, which is well correlated to the activity in the unconventional segment. As you see the rig count being up by, I think, 80% in the U.S. and much more than that in Canada, we saw very strong order activity in our GP&H business with the cryo plants. Overall, as the oil price stabilizes here at $50 plus, we're encouraged by some of the news we're hearing about the production freezes that OPEC is encouraging its members to do. I think that this is going to continue to be a tailwind for us for the rest of the year.

Andrew Obin
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you very much.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Jeffrey Sprague with Vertical Research Partners. Please go ahead.

Jeffrey Sprague
Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

Thank you. Just a couple things from me. I wonder if you could just elaborate a little bit more on what's going on with Intelligrated. Obviously, I think we're all aware of kind of the e-commerce effect on retail and its knock-on effects to distribution. Really my question is, how much of the strength that you're seeing relates to Intelligrated now being part of Honeywell and you being able to open it up into other areas? Or should we think of this as a kind of truly organic Intelligrated as it stands now? If the answer is it's really kind of just legacy Intelligrated, maybe a little bit more color on the integration of the business and how you see the growth going forward.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Yeah, I think it's both, Jeff, because for example, one of the elements where we're investing in heavily right now is Intelligrated was predominantly a U.S. business, we're globalizing that business, investing and let's say metricizing it. We see the international growth as a big opportunity for us in the future. Now, that hasn't come through in the form of big orders yet, but I can tell you that a lot of the big customers that we currently have in the U.S., they would want us to have a much broader global presence. We've invested in that, and we expect to materialize that. In terms of overall business performance, I think I would describe it in one word: terrific. This business has substantially exceeded any financial metrics we've had for it and continues to impress us with its rate of growth.

We see strong double-digit growth rate both in revenue and bookings for this year. The more I learn about it and the more of the customers of this business I meet, the more excited I get. I think that we have a very exciting growth profile for this business, both in terms of making it more global, expanding our software solutions, expanding our play in robotics. A lot of different directions to go, both organically and potentially inorganically.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

The other thing I'd add in terms of the Honeywell value is those aftermarket kinds of positionings. The install base, we mentioned 20% sales growth this quarter. Backlog is up strongly in the double digits. We're building a big install base there, and developing that aftermarket business model, in addition to what Darius mentioned about Europe, is going to be a nice driver for Intelligrated growth.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Jeff, maybe just one last thing to add is, I highlighted this before, but just to reinforce. The sweet spot of the Intelligrated business is e-commerce. It's high throughput, high-speed package processing, which as you know, is the segment that's growing the fastest right now. This business is exactly in the sweet spot of where the big growth vector is at the moment.

Jeffrey Sprague
Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

Then just a separate unrelated question. On UOP, can you just elaborate a little bit more on the licensing uptick you're seeing, what verticals is that, and any color on what's going on in the refinery turnaround and chemical plant turnaround landscape? Thank you. That's it for me.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Yeah. I would say that the big uptick is in petrochemical, particularly in China, is a place I would point to. We've had a lot of recent successes, much larger integrated complexes, and the combination of HPS and UOP is working very well. We've got a number of wins there in a very strong Q1. As the economy grows, so does the demand for the petrochemicals. I would point to that as one of the highlights of the booking activity here in Q1. Certainly China, India has been good, but really strength across the globe. Even some activity returning in the Middle East, which is really nice to see.

Jeffrey Sprague
Analyst, Vertical Research Partners

Thank you.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from Deane Dray with RBC Capital Markets.

Deane Dray
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hey, thank you. Good morning, everyone. Hey, Darius.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Morning, Deane.

Deane Dray
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

You know what? It's Deane this morning. For your four priorities that you laid out at the outlook, we're not expecting you to touch and check off every box every quarter. We did see the accelerated organic revenues. You got that expanding margins, you got that certainly more excitement and traction around being a software industrial. Maybe not hearing much here this morning about more aggressive capital deployment. Maybe you could just touch on that and what kind of expectations do you want to set over the near term?

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Yeah, I think, on capital deployment, as I promised, that is one of the core initiatives. Frankly, we continue to be very active. The pipeline for M&A deals is very active. Things are a little bit expensive out there, so we're being cautious because as I pointed out on our Investor Day, we do want to be active and secure the right deals. We also want to continue to be prudent buyers, not overspend. That's frankly why maybe we haven't announced any deals yet this year. Rest assured, we're very active. In terms of buybacks, timing, and we're committed to having the flat share count as we said, and potentially do even more later in the year. Timing is everything from that perspective.

Yeah, it's been a little bit quiet. You got to also remember that I'm only about three weeks into the role. Robbie, I'm pleased with some of the levers actually coming through in our results in Q1.

Deane Dray
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Got it. Then just as a follow-up, one of the goals that you've set is on the New Product Vitality Index, expect to track to 20% in 2017, an uptick from last year. How did the first quarter play out?

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

I think it played out well, in full transparency, I would say most of our new product launches are really back-end loaded this year. We have some things coming out in Q3. Q3 will be a very new product launch quarter. I think, in fairness, I'll be in a better position to answer that question as we get deeper into the year. Right now it's really too early to tell, and I don't want to declare a success until we see how some of the bigger, even more exciting new product launches happen in Q2, and especially in Q3, which is going to be a big launch quarter for us.

Deane Dray
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Got it. Thank you.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Thank you. Thanks, Deane.

Operator

Our next question comes from Gautam Khanna with Cowen and Company. Please go ahead.

Gautam Khanna
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Yes, thanks. Good morning.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Good morning.

Gautam Khanna
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Wanted to just ask if you can characterize any of the channels that may have any destocking still going on. Previously, you talked about SPS. Wonder if that's abated. Recently we heard some other aerospace companies talking about destocking on some of the aircraft programs, 787, 777, A380, et cetera. If you're seeing any of that or if you expect to. Thank you.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Yeah. I think let me comment on SPS. I think we kind of see this continuation of destocking, frankly, as some of our distribution partners are operating at lower inventory levels than what we historically have seen. That's certainly true in SPS. In Aero, I'm not sure that we've noticed that as much. I think that's been fairly steady, at least for us, that's exhibited at the fact that, frankly, we performed a little bit better than we projected for Q1, especially in the aftermarket segment of the business, which has been very strong, and we're very pleased with it. I'm not sure that we've seen it in Q1.

Gautam Khanna
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Okay, just a quick follow-up on the M&A question from earlier. Are you seeing any areas that are more promising than others that you could comment on where valuations are perhaps more stretched versus more attractive when looking at your segments?

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Well, I guess, unfortunately, they're pretty stretched everywhere. The market is pretty warm right now. There's a lot of cash sitting around, both on the private equity as well as the strategics. I wouldn't say that anything is particularly cheap at the moment. Having said that, we have a very big pot flying, we have a lot of different options in terms of the segments that we're looking at. I can tell you that we have attractive deals that we're looking for in every one of our SBGs. What actually lands or what happens, we'll see. I would say overall, things are a bit expensive. There's no question about that, I don't think that that's a comment that's end market specific. That's true really across our entire portfolio.

Gautam Khanna
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Thanks a lot.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Thank you.

Operator

Next question, we'll hear from Joe Ritchie with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Joe Ritchie
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks. Good morning, guys.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Good morning, Joe.

Joe Ritchie
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Tom, you mentioned inches this quarter on the organic growth side. It sounds like the order growth across a lot of your segments right now is going in a positive way. You look at the comps for next quarter, looks pretty easy. I am just trying to understand, I guess, the guidance, the flat to 2% organic growth guidance for 2Q. It just kind of seems like a layup based on the commentary and based on the comps. Maybe a little bit more color there would be helpful.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

That is fine, Joe. We sort of had a sense that that would be a question. When you look at our businesses overall, long cycle is about 40%, short cycle is about 60%. We are still in an environment on the short cycle side where the demand patterns are not quite consistent. The word volatility was used before. It is not exactly something that we have good extended sight into on that short cycle side. With that, if you look at it by each business, aerospace is more long cycle oriented, with the exception of the aftermarket, so fairly well-grounded. We did flat in Q1. We are calling -3% to -1% for Q2. That is mostly OE related. You have those incentives coming through. As we mentioned, the bulk of the first half incentives hit us in that second quarter.

You have got regional that is on the OE side that is been fairly weak, and BGA continues to be kind of in that flattish range. From an HBT perspective, short cycle, we are a little bit more cautious. We did 3% in Q1. We are calling 1%-3% in Q2. Let us see how the demand patterns emerge over the quarter. I would say the same thing for SPS, although there are a couple other things going on there. SPS was 3% first quarter. We are calling 0%- 2% in Q2. We have got a change in our go-to-market model on the retail side, and we are going more direct to our customers. As a result, there are some timing patterns in the channels. We also had, as I mentioned, significant improvement in the first quarter on Workflow Solutions supply chain.

There was strong demand, there was some unintended backlog at the end of the fourth quarter that we worked our way through, and that helped Q1 specifically on SPS. That tempers a little bit. Lastly, on PMT, I think it is fairly well-grounded given the backlogs. 5% in Q1, 3%- 5% in Q2. Certainly, Darius and I talk to Rajiv every day about this. We have the sort of the same expectation, and we will do a little bit better there, but we just want to be cautious on demand on some of the advanced materials. It has been going like gangbusters, as I said, 150% improvement on those Solstice sales, and I do not want to just bank on that every single quarter going forward. Joe, maybe just to add a couple of comments.

I think as you look at our long-cycle business and our backlog, we're very encouraged by what we saw in Q1 backlog being up pretty much for every one of those businesses. Certainly, there's a level of confidence in what we're seeing on the long cycle. The short cycle is a slightly different story, we're positive on the short cycle too. If you think about kind of the animal spirits that we saw overall in the markets, particularly in the U.S., in let's say January versus what we see now, I would say that's a slight down arrow versus what it was, I think some of that could be reflected in the short cycle. Frankly, we're being a little bit cautious and measured in terms of our outlook and certainly hope to deliver to the upside of what we stated.

Joe Ritchie
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. No, that's an interesting observation on the bifurcation there. The follow-up question, I guess is maybe even slightly similar, is really on the cash flow side. Seasonally incredibly strong. It didn't sound like you guys called out any one-time items this quarter. What's stopping you from potentially raising the cash flow guidance for the year?

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Yeah. We're calling 5%-7% growth for the full year guide, Joe. As you know, the first quarter was 6x. First quarter is generally our most volatile quarter when it comes to cash. Couple that with these new initiatives that we've put in place around working capital. You did see some significant uptick. I guess we want to see a sustained level of performance. Let's see where we are at the end of Q2, let's see whether we're really sticking with the working capital improvements that we've seen. I have a bias, like you do, that could get better as the year progresses.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Yeah. I think I'd agree with what Tom said. We need to see sustained performance. One quarter doesn't make a year, although we're very encouraged by what we saw in Q1, I need to see it continue in Q2. Frankly, if we see continued sustained performance like that at the end of Q2, we're going to revisit our guidance at the conclusion of the second quarter.

Joe Ritchie
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Perfect. Thank you both.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Thank you.

Operator

Next question comes from Howard Rubel with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Howard Rubel
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. Good morning.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Good morning, Howard.

Howard Rubel
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. Two things. First, maybe you could talk a little bit about the progress with connectivity. How many installs you have and sort of what kind of customer feedback you're now getting with that business. Is it becoming a little more prevalent in the marketplace?

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Yeah, no, I think, Howard, we're building out our organization. We saw a couple of key hires in Darius and Stephen Gold join us in very senior leadership spots. We're building out our offerings, whether it's connected aircraft, where we've had a number of wins that we highlighted in the report today, whether it's connected homes, buildings, connected plant. We've signed up multiple partners. I'm not sure that we really measure it yet in terms of the number of connections we have. We measure it by the number of customer engagements we have, kind of interactions we have. Frankly, some of the connected enterprises are ahead of the others. I would classify connected aircraft, connected plant are a little bit further ahead, and some of the others still a little bit more behind.

I can tell you that for all of them, we're at a stage, we're engaging customers, we're optimizing our solutions, and iterating quickly. The way to grow this business is to have a hypothesis, talk to customers, iterate, and bring the value. Because in many instances, the customers can't define exactly what they're looking for. We have a hypothesis that we optimize and optimize. Very big build-out in this organization. Whether it's our Atlanta software COE or some of the senior people that I pointed out, we're quickly building out our capabilities. At the same time, engaging customers for revenue generation. I can tell you that software business in total was up double digit in Q1.

Howard Rubel
Analyst, Jefferies

No, I understand the challenge of doing that. I appreciate that. As a follow-up in the other area, on HBT you called out the profitability was a little bit below what you might have expected, and me as well. Kind of a two-part question. Is part of it mix, and can you elaborate on that? From a strategic point of view, we've seen a lot of what I'll call retail struggle a bit, and that has in fact been a benefit of the e-commerce world. Can you talk about that structural dynamic and then also the near-term issue?

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Yeah. I think, Howard, you have it exactly right. I think mix has been our biggest issue for Q1 and HBT, both from a mix from a products versus distribution perspective, but also a geographic perspective where we saw tremendous rate of growth in some of the HGR regions which tend to be slightly less accretive versus some of the developed markets. That was issue number one. In terms of the retail versus transitioning to more e-commerce, I'm not sure that was really one of the causes. Frankly, our North America business was a little bit softer than we had expected. HBT, what I pointed out earlier when I answered a question around new product launches, there isn't a business out there that has more exciting product launches coming up in Q2 and Q3.

I expect that we're going to have a really nice, strong second half of the year as well as a nice recovery here in Q2.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

The other point I would add, Howard, is that in some of the businesses that are growing faster than others, for example, as Darius mentioned, the Americas region. When you have an OEM business where we're providing parts and components to OEMs that is growing quite strongly, low to mid-single digits. The margins on the initial sale are not great, but we're building the installed base. That's the business that we're in here. Creating aftermarket opportunities for ourselves, and I think you're seeing a little bit of that in the Americas as well.

Howard Rubel
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you, gentlemen.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Thank you, Howard.

Operator

Our final question for today comes from Christopher Glynn with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead.

Christopher Glynn
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Yeah, thanks. Hey, noticed your comment on the several large smart meter project rollouts. Just wondering how much of that has developed since December, and some complexion on how those came to fruition and should roll.

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Yeah. Some of them, certainly, we secured those since December. Overall, we're very bullish on the smart energy business for really the rest of the year. Those revenues tend to be maybe more lumpy than one expect. We were kind of flattish in the first quarter, but expect double-digit growth in the second quarter and high single-digit growth for the year. We've been very successful in securing some of those larger wins. Really pleased with what we saw in terms of win activity in Q1. Overall, very bullish on the Elster acquisition and what we're seeing in our smart energy business.

Christopher Glynn
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Thanks. The follow-up, just long-term pension income, kind of curious if you could update the thoughts there. It's certainly a little bit arcane. It's a nice income right now. What's the long-term characteristic and sense of variability on how that P&L impact can swing over time?

Tom Szlosek
SVP and CFO, Honeywell

Yeah. I like to simplify the model into two pieces. One is the assets, and the other is the liabilities. The assets, you use the word archaic accounting model. We just apply an assumed return to the assets, and that goes into our income. As long as that assets pool that we have is performing, and it has performed fairly well, you keep applying that same rate of income, and you tend to grow your pension income. On the liability side, it's interest rate related. We're in a low interest rate environment, and we apply that interest rate to the liabilities, and that goes into our expense as well. It's a component of our expense. As that interest rate rises, you would see a decline in the pension income. It overall is flat. The important part for us is that the plans are in very good shape.

They're well-funded. We're in the mid-90s or higher in most of our plans, including the big one in the U.S. We don't foresee any contributions in the foreseeable future. It just becomes kind of a bookkeeping thing for us as we go forward here.

Christopher Glynn
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Helpful. Thanks.

Operator

That concludes today's question- and- answer session. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference back to Mr. Darius Adamczyk for any additional closing remarks.

Darius Adamczyk
President and CEO, Honeywell

Thank you. I am pleased with our performance in the first quarter, especially our sales performance and overall execution. It was a clean quarter all around, with every business either meeting or exceeding the top-line guidance we provided. However, there's more work to do. Everyone in the organization is focused on our key priorities, improving organic growth, maintaining our productivity rigor, and becoming a best-in-class software industrial company. We're going to continue to stay focused on outperforming for our customers, our shareholders, and our employees, and I look forward to sharing our continued success with you on future calls. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. That does conclude today's teleconference. Please disconnect your lines at this time.