Janus Henderson Group plc (JHG)
Jul 1, 2026 - JHG was delisted
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Earnings Call: Q3 2019

Oct 30, 2019

Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Janus Henderson Group 3rd quarter 2019 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer period. In the interest of time, questions will be limited to one initial and one follow-up question. In today's conference call, certain matters discussed may constitute forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements due to a number of factors, including, but not limited to, those described in the forward-looking statements and risk factors sections of the company's most recent Form 10-K and other more recent filings made with the SEC. Janus Henderson assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made during the call. Thank you. Now it is my pleasure to introduce Dick Weil, Chief Executive Officer of Janus Henderson.

Mr. Weil, you may begin your conference.

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

Welcome, everyone, to the third quarter 2019 earnings call for Janus Henderson Group. Roger Thompson and I will be taking you through the results for the quarter today, after which we'll be happy to take your questions. As I think you already know, we try and keep a long-term focus on our business, which is slightly different than the view implied by quarterly reporting. To that extent, on the first and third quarter calls, Roger provides you with updates on the business, and we use the second and fourth quarter calls to address these same items, but also include a more robust discussion of the business and the strategy. We believe that setup better aligns our calls with the way we manage our business. I hope that works for you.

With that said, let me turn it over to our CFO, Roger Thompson, to walk you through the third quarter results.

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

Thank you, Dick, and thanks everyone for joining us. The third quarter's results can be characterized by three points. First, investment performance remains very strong, with at least 70% of assets beating their respective benchmarks over the one, three, and five-year time periods. Second, total company net outflows improved to $3.5 billion, resulting in an assets under management decline of 1% compared to the prior quarter. Third, the financial results were better than the prior quarter, with EPS of $0.64 compared to $0.61 a quarter ago. Turning to slide three for a deeper look at investment performance results. Overall, investment performance relative to benchmarks remains strong. We saw continued strength in the performance of our equity, fixed income, and multi-asset capabilities across the one, three, and five-year time periods, and short-term improvements in our alternative and Intech capabilities.

Year-to-date performance at Intech has been encouraging, but the weakness in longer-term performance means we still have business at risk. The other notable movement in the quarter was alternatives. The UK absolute return strategy, which had switched to underperforming at the end of June, returned to outperformance as at the end of September. However, the strategy remains modestly behind its high-water mark. On the right-hand side of the slide, you can see that our relative performance compared to peers is very strong, with more than 70% of AUM represented in the top two Morningstar quartiles on a one, three, and five-year basis. Turning to total company flows. For the quarter, net outflows were GBP 3.5 billion compared to outflows of GBP 9.8 billion last quarter. The improvement was driven by lower gross redemptions, primarily from the four known areas of concern that we've previously highlighted.

While we're pleased with this improvement, and it's a step in the right direction, we're far from satisfied with the result and much work remains in front of us. Similar to last quarter, we wanted to spend a few minutes breaking down the flow result between known areas of concern and the remaining areas of business. Last quarter, we introduced slide five in an effort to help you better understand where we're seeing major headwinds in the business. We did this because the current concentration of outflows is masking some really great work across the major cost sections of our business. Given the improving trends in the areas of concern, next quarter will likely be the final time we break out the flow results in this manner. First, let's take a look at Intech.

Intech had net outflows of $2.4 billion in the quarter, which is an improvement from the prior quarter. Given the weakness in the longer-term investment performance and the low sales pipeline, the business remains a key area of concern. Given these concerns and the lumpy nature of Intech's predominantly institutional business, we wanted to provide an update on the fourth quarter flows to date. In the fourth quarter, Intech has experienced $1.4 billion of outflows, which is a disappointing result. Global Emerging Markets outflows totaled $200 million in the quarter, compared to $2.5 billion in the second quarter. Last quarter, I told you we remained fully committed to the emerging markets asset class, we're very pleased to announce during the third quarter that we'd hired what we believe will be an exceptional GEM team filling a key gap for us.

This will now allow us to compete for assets in this category going forward, and we're very pleased with the new team. The remaining assets in this strategy are still at risk as clients continue to evaluate their positions. We're obviously keen to retain as much as possible. That said, thus far in the fourth quarter, we've seen $400 million of redemptions in the strategy, which leaves $1.9 billion of assets at risk. Outflows in Core Plus Fixed Income, which includes the Flexible Bond Fund, were $300 million in the quarter compared to $1 billion in the second quarter. The result continues the trend of improved outflows as the year has progressed. Performance has also improved in 2019 relative to benchmark and peers, which is also encouraging. Finally, European equity outflows were $500 million in the quarter compared to $800 million in the second quarter.

Whilst negative, this represents continued improvement for this area of the business. While demand across the industry for European equity remains weak, investment performance across our strategies continues to improve and relative to peers, all are in the top two quartiles over the one and three-year time periods. The remaining part of the business continued its upward trend in the third quarter. I'd remind you that the reason why this is so important is because this area of the business accounts for 80% of the firm's total AUM. As you can see in the second bar chart on the right of this slide, this area of our business had $100 million of net outflows in the third quarter, compared to $1.4 billion of net outflows in the second quarter. A much better result, but still one that's below where we aspire and expect to be.

The improvement over the prior quarter really reflects the continuation of the trends we spoke about last quarter. We're seeing inflows into fixed income across a diverse set of strategies, most significantly during the quarter into European Investment Grade Credit, Strategic Income, and Multi-Sector Income. We're seeing market share gains in our intermediary business, with positive net flows during the quarter in the U.S., and Europe, and in Latin America. We're seeing ongoing improvements across a number of U.S. equity funds and continued organic growth globally in the Balanced Fund. While net flows have improved during the quarter and we're winning new business and gaining market share across a number of regions and capabilities, we do continue to see risk across the four areas I highlighted earlier, so we remain cautious about the flow outlook in the near term. Slide six is our standard presentation of the U.S.

GAAP statement of income. Moving to slide seven for a look at our summary financial results. Adjusted third quarter results compare favorably versus last quarter, primarily as a result of lower expenses. Average AUM in the third quarter was flat compared to the prior quarter, as market gains were offset by outflows and a negative FX impact. Total adjusted revenues in the quarter remain unchanged compared to the second quarter. Adjusted operating income in the third quarter of $160 million was up 5% over the prior quarter, driven by lower expenses. Third quarter adjusted operating margin was 37.0% compared to 35.0% in the prior quarter and 38.5% a year ago when we had a higher average AUM. Finishing up the financial results, adjusted diluted EPS was $0.64 in the third quarter compared to $0.61 for the prior quarter and $0.69 a year ago.

On slide eight, we've outlined the revenue drivers for the quarter. Management fees decreased slightly from the prior quarter as higher AUM and one additional calendar day was offset by lower net management fee margin. The margin for the quarter was 41.6 basis points, which was down compared to the second quarter, driven by mix shift in the business primarily from outflows in high fee equity products. Performance fees remained positive at $1 million compared to $4 million in the second quarter. Regarding U.S. mutual fund performance fees, the third quarter improved to a negative $1 million from negative $4 million in the second quarter and negative $11 million a year ago. If we're successful in continuing to outperform benchmarks in the fourth quarter of 2019, we will further improve these performance fees. Under this scenario, we'd see positive performance fees in this area in the fourth quarter.

Turning to operating expenses on slide nine. Adjusted operating expenses in the third quarter were $273 million, which were down 3% from the prior quarter. Adjusted LTI was down 14% from the second quarter, largely due to Social Security taxes on vestings in the U.K. that occurred in the previous quarter. In the appendix, we provided the usual further detail on the expected future amortization of existing grants, which hasn't changed significantly compared to the prior quarter. The third quarter adjusted comp to revenue ratio was 42.7%, which is in line with the guidance which we communicated previously. Adjusted non-comp operating expenses decreased 2% quarter-over-quarter, primarily from the lower seasonal marketing expenses. With nine months of results in the books, the guidance on 2019 non-comp expenses, which is flat to 2018, excluding the $12 million legal outcome in 2018, is still applicable.

The firm's recurring effective tax rate for the third quarter was 23.8%. For the full year, the firm's effective tax rate is still expected to be 23%-25%. Slide 10 is a look at our capital management. As you can see on this slide, our strong balance sheet and our commitment to returning excess cash to shareholders has enabled us to fund $513 million of dividends and buybacks over the last 12 months, which represents approximately 100% of the cash flow from operations that were generated in the period. During the third quarter, we paid $68 million in dividends to shareholders and declared $0.36 per share dividend to be paid on the 25th of November to shareholders of record as at the 11th of November. We purchased 4.2 million shares in the quarter for $81 million.

This takes our year-to-date accretive share repurchase program total to $187 million or 8.9 million shares.

We anticipate the remaining $13 million of the $200 million authorization to be completed in the fourth quarter. After the completion of this program, we would have reduced the total shares outstanding by nearly 7% since we began buying shares in August 2018. Looking forward, any consideration of a new buyback authorization will occur during our annual capital planning process with the board in early 2020. We'll provide an update during the full-year earnings call in February. With that, I would like to turn back to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time we will conduct the question and answer session. In the interest of time, questions will be limited to one initial and one follow-up question. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your phone now, and you will be placed in the queue in the order received. If you are using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Once again, please press star one to ask a question. We'll pause for just a moment to allow everyone an opportunity to signal for questions. We'll take our first question from Simon Fitzgerald with Evans & Partners.

Simon Fitzgerald
Analyst, Evans & Partners

Thank you. Good morning. Thank you very much for taking my call. I'll just refer you to slide 19, where we can see that there's two strategies that are in inflow at the moment being fixed income and equities. Roger, you talked a little bit about some of the strategies in terms of fixed income that have been more popular than others, or at least are seeing some of those inflows. Could you elaborate in terms of which sort of jurisdictions you're seeing that sort of come through in terms of client demand?

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

Yeah. Hi, Simon. I think it's one of the strengths of the franchise, and it's also one of the strengths of the cross-selling we're starting to see. There is a number of areas. I'd look to what's called Strategic Bond in the U.K., Developed World Bond, it's called in the U.S. That's the same London team, which is selling very well in the U.S. Our Absolute Return Income funds, that's the Kapstream team in Australia, which is something we've talked about over the last six to 12 months, I guess, in terms of globalizing that and selling that product globally, getting the right products in the right place. We're starting to see that come through. Some institutional wins in fixed income as well. It's pretty broad. On the multi-asset side, it's the continued strength of the Balanced Fund. We've talked about the performance of that fund.

It is well in the top decile over all time periods. It continues, again, to be a great strength of the combined firm. It's selling in the U.S., it's selling in Europe, it sells a little bit in Asia.

That's what's driving Multi-Asset. There are other things which we're confident about for the future. The flows you're seeing in Multi-Asset are certainly driven by the Balanced Fund at the moment.

Simon Fitzgerald
Analyst, Evans & Partners

Excellent. Thank you. Second question relates to market share. There were some comments in the media statement, and also mentioned on the call just now, that you're seeing some increases in market share. Just wanting to know a little bit, is that sort of something anecdotally that you think about in terms of your flows versus others, or are you seeing some statistics and data that you could share with us in terms of how that market share is unfolding?

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

Certainly. I think the best data for that is the Simfund data.

which comes out monthly. Again, you got to look at that in terms of what we do. I guess the one that we've talked about again consistently, is sales of U.S. equity. We're excited by our U.S. equity franchise. It's a great franchise with some fantastic numbers. If you look at it, those numbers continue to be exceptionally strong. We should be taking market share. The good news is we are. What we've said is, despite that market in active equity not growing, it is a shrinking market. We know that, we understand that. We can take market share. We are taking market share, and we are seeing actual growth in U.S. equity. It's the Simfund data you're looking at.

I think the other thing that's notable over the last couple of months, is that we're back in inflow in intermediary in Europe and Latin America. Obviously, that's been a strong growth area for the firm a few years ago. It's had a tough couple of years, but we're starting to see positive flows consistently. I think that, again, is an important fact. It's not one month. We're starting to see consistent flows on the continent and in LatAm.

Operator

We'll move on to our next question from Andrei Stadnik with Morgan Stanley.

Andrei Stadnik
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Good morning. Can you hear me okay?

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

Yep. Hi, Simon. Hi, Andrei.

Andrei Stadnik
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

All us Australians there. Look, I wanted to ask two questions. One question is around what kind of flows you've seen from Japan and/or from Daiichi. The other question, kind of high level. It seems that the combined organization is clicking together better than ever in terms of some of the cross sales, and also fewer PM departures or turnover from what we can see publicly. Are you getting the sense that you're starting to really move ahead with what you envisioned from the combined entity?

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

Hi, Andrei. It's Dick Weil. I think generally the answer is yes, but it's progress, and we're nowhere close to what we believe we can and will accomplish. There's still, as Roger said earlier in his comments, there's still a lot of work in front of us. Frankly, we still face in the four areas we've called out some continuing real challenges, which is why Roger expressed some shorter-term caution. In the broad sweep of time, yes, we're making a lot of progress. The firm is coming together. We're building the right culture. The talent is applying itself well, and we're starting to produce improved results. That's the positive side. The cautious side is, hey, Intech is still facing some challenges. In EM equity, we still have a bunch of assets that are challenged by the changes there.

European equities is improving, let's face it's still not a healthy external environment, and we haven't finished strengthening the internal record. In Core Plus Fixed Income, we continue to face some challenges. We're on the right track, and we're getting through it. There's still substantially more to go in front of us before we feel like we've approached our potential.

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

I think specifically in terms of Japan, flows were flattish. I think, yeah, basically flat in the quarter. We continue to look at new business with Daiichi and Asset Management One. We talked over the last couple of quarters about the new fund that we'd launched, the adaptive asset allocation product that we'd launched in Japan. That's continuing to see some small inflows. Again that's doing exactly what it's supposed to do. The relationship with Daiichi remains incredibly strong. Dick, the other part of the question was around fewer departures. We're in a good place, I think.

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

Yes. Yeah, I feel like every day is a challenge, of course. You don't want to take it for granted. We have really wonderful people, and we feel quite good about the stability of our team.

Andrei Stadnik
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Ed Henning with CLSA.

Ed Henning
Equity Analyst, CLSA

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. Just firstly on Intech, there's been a bit of talk about that on the call today, and last quarter you kind of touched on some potential structural headwinds the quant funds are kind of facing. Are you still seeing those industry headwinds continue to play out for Intech as a headwind for them beyond performance?

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

Hi, Ed, this is Dick. Intech continues to face difficult market conditions. It's in a lot of different market spaces, and so generalizations are tough. Large cap equities and institutional U.S. continues to face tremendous competition and the trend to barbelling of portfolios. Intech's portfolios tend to be well-controlled on the risk front. People who believe that what the right investment strategy is to either take a lot of risk or to index, that can be a challenging trend for Intech to be held out in the middle. They've done an awful lot of product innovation, process improvement and other things, and we believe over the long term they'll come through that and start growing again, even in the U.S. It's a long road from where they are to there.

Right now, as Roger mentioned, their sales pipeline doesn't look terrific, and they continue to face some challenges. The recent volatility of the last three years has put them a little bit on the back foot, and that continues.

Ed Henning
Equity Analyst, CLSA

Thank you. Just the second one. You've touched on last period, you talked about strategic pillars and one of those being some new growth initiatives. Today you've talked a little bit about some good growth in fixed income and multi-asset. Can you just touch a little bit more on some of the growth initiatives you've got going on with some new products?

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

Sure. The growth initiatives that we identified internally were that we wanted to strengthen our efforts in Asia ex Japan. We wanted to further invest and build out in our ETF franchise. We're making progress on both of those, but both of those are sort of longer-term initiatives. In Asia ex Japan, we have retooled the team and brought in a lot of new talent. Most of that is distribution sales talent, and it takes a while for folks to acclimate to a new firm and then drive sales. We're confident that the investments we've made in some people and talent will move us forward in that region. Frankly, that's one of the really important sources of growth for asset management in the industry, and that's available to the industry. We've just got to be more successful in that space.

We think we're on the right track, but it's too early to talk about big results. The third area was multi-asset. We had mentioned previously that we'd hired Michael Ho to lead the effort and that we were trying to push forward there. We've seen some encouraging signs with some new wins and substantial client interest. There's a lot more to do there. A lot of what we're doing there tends to be using alternatives tools to enhance some basic indices, and we need to get also moving forward with some higher discretion, higher fee part of the product lineup as well if we're going to achieve our aspirations. There's plenty to do there, but we are seeing progress and particularly the team in London is seeing some real substantial institutional interest that we hope will bear fruit.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Ken Worthington with JPMorgan.

Ken Worthington
Analyst, JPMorgan

Hi, good morning. Maybe first, U.S. performance fees are about at breakeven. I think that's the best result since 2011. Given that fulcrum fees are back to that almost breakeven level, is there an appetite to restructure the performance fees? Is this something you think might be feasible to either correct the flaws in the structure, or maybe outright work with the fund boards to eliminate them?

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

Hi, Ken. It's Dick. Thanks for the question. I have said previously that I am not the largest fan of this particular fee structure. The real reason is because it's a three-year lagging analysis. It looks over the last three years and then sets the fee based on performance. The trouble is, folks in a retail mutual fund who may have a three-year time horizon in terms of the length of their duration of their investment, are generally always paying for somebody else's investment returns. That lack of alignment I find really inappropriate and troubling. Coupled with that, a lot of the distributors find the variability of the fee a bit hard to deal with because they have trouble explaining what the fee is going to be on an ongoing basis.

Our key partners in distribution in this business, the big networks, don't particularly love that fee structure. If you could press a button and amend the fee structure to something more stable, we would probably do that. The fact remains there's an awful lot of hurdles set out to change that fee structure. There are very expensive and complicated investor votes. There's a big, complicated SEC approval process. We're not on the cusp of sort of pushing down that road. The cost and challenge and disruption of the transition of a fee structure is in our view, substantial. In a frictionless world, the answer to your question would be no. In the practical world in which we live, given the hurdles, the answer is we're going to stick with this for a while longer.

We continue to talk to the trustees who are really in charge of this. They're aware of our thoughts about the fee structure, and if it becomes appropriate to amend it, we would be a willing partner in that discussion. That's not imminent.

Ken Worthington
Analyst, JPMorgan

Thank you. On EM with, I think you said the new PM, does a track record need to be built from scratch here? Does it take a year, multiple years to sort of rebuild the track record so that you're in a better position for sales? I think last quarter you received notifications on $800 million of redemptions that you thought would hit in 3Q. It looks like $200 million max hit. Did those notifications get canceled or maybe just postponed to this coming quarter?

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

Taking your second question first, they're postponed, and we still expect them to come in the third quarter, and obviously there could, as we mentioned in Roger's comments, we're cautious about it because we think there's a high risk that you could get substantially more notifications. There's one big concentrated client in the remaining mix that is, Roger.

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

$1.3 billion.

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

$1.3 billion. That's certainly at high risk also. We don't see, and we're trying to be clear in our communications. We see that remaining emerging market asset base as substantially challenged in the short term as we've gone through the transition. Turning back to your question about the new team. It's a hard question to answer. It's a good question. We ask ourselves that question. They're obviously a well-known team with a strong track record from their prior employ. How much credit the client base gives to that and how quickly they're willing to sort of, on an institutional basis, take a consistent view of their track record over time is something that we don't know for sure yet. We're optimistic that because a substantial part of that team came over, including analysts, that that continuity makes the case very strong.

Therefore shrinks the sort of the waiting period. We don't yet have enough evidence to know how well that's going to play going forward. The thing we really know is they're a very good team. They're already contributing to research and understanding on a broader basis. They're integrating well in the firm, which is kind of an amazing thing to say when they're based in Boston and they've only been here such a short period of time. They've made it their business and gone far out of their way to start the process of connecting and integrating. They're great people, great professionals. We're thrilled to have them, and I can't give you a precise read on how the clients, how fast they'll adopt it, but we're confident that in the medium term, there'll be a lot of adoption of what they do.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Michael Carrier with Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

Michael Carrier
Research Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Great. Thanks for taking the question. First, you're seeing good improvement in the performance, even on the redemption side. That's heading lower. It seems like on the sales side, still a bit muted, and realize some of this stuff is industry challenges. With the improved performance, can you give us some color on how you're working with the distribution teams to try to drive sales going forward?

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

Yeah, sure. This is Dick again. First and foremost on the distribution team, the biggest news is that we recently hired Suzanne Cain to be the Global Head of Distribution. She is a terrific new talent and addition to our team. She's doing a good job of trying to review the existing distribution and marketing resources and making sure that we're facing off against the opportunities in the right way. We're excited for the leadership that she's providing. We're optimistic that we'll get more bang for our assets in distribution and marketing going forward. The second point I would make is that flows generally lag investment performance. When you have improvement and good investment performance, I think the first thing that you see is the redemptions slow down.

Probably the second thing you see is as that continues for a long period of time, you then pick up on the sales. Obviously we have a lot of different products we're talking about, so we're being inaccurately general. That's sort of the path we see. We see that we are gaining momentum in our strong product areas, and we think we can continue to do so and drive more sales. That said, there are parts of the industry that are really challenged. The U.K. is obviously still going through Brexit chaos, and it's really tough to make a huge amount of progress in that market environment. You put that together with some of our performance challenges in the European equities. That's made that one tough.

Again, we are gaining market share in the intermediary business with positive flows in the U.S., Europe, and Latin America. That's a good lead indicator for us that we're on the right track.

Michael Carrier
Research Analyst, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

All right. That's helpful. Maybe as a follow-up, Roger, just with the performance improving, can you provide, I guess, just a general update on the performance fees? Meaning, what is the average or max potential that you can actually see in a year versus maybe the more muted recent trends? Just to have an idea of what the potential is over time.

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

Well, let's just say there's two pieces. We've talked about the U.S. mutual funds. We're obviously in a much better place there than we were. Would like to see that becoming a positive number. We have about $62 billion, ex the U.S. mutual funds, with performance fee capabilities. That's stayed about the same. We've grown some things. Some other things have shrunk. About $62 billion has performance fees, and it's very broad. Dick mentioned there's a bit of a risk generalizing on things, but we've got a portfolio of assets with performance fees. They are spread through the year. Q4 and Q2 are the two biggest quarters for those, as we've talked about before. We didn't expect, and you shouldn't have expected much in Q3. You should expect a bit more in Q4.

Most of those are 3-year institutional accounts with 3-year performance fees on them. We've got 33 months in the bank. You don't count anything until it's done. There will be some performance fees in Q4. We're not talking about the levels that the combined firms had in 2014, 2015. The capability is still there. We need to continue to build that performance in the areas which have got the performance fees on them. There will be some performance fees in Q4.

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

You mentioned U.K. absolute return.

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

UK absolute return, I guess, is the other swing factor. That sizable fund, which you can track, which pays quarterly performance fees quarterly. It's been a very strong long-term performer for the clients in it and has generated significant performance fees in the past. It's had a tougher last 18 months, and as I talked about the last 12 months, it's got back above its benchmark. It's still slightly behind its high-water mark, so there's a little bit more work to go before that starts to generate P fees again, but hopefully it will.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Craig Siegenthaler with Credit Suisse AG.

Craig Siegenthaler
Analyst, Credit Suisse AG

Thank you. Just wanted to start on the macro actually, on Brexit, given your large European operations. What is your view of investor cash on the sidelines in Europe and pent-up demand for risky assets with the resolution? Also, how does a hard versus soft Brexit scenario change your view?

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

Hi, this is Dick. I'll start and then hand it over to Roger. Roger has led our Brexit preparations across the firm, so he's exactly the right guy to address this. Let me just say, regarding the uninvested assets. I think Europe, with negative rates, is driving assets out of the banking system. Ideally, a lot of those would come to us. We don't see that really happening yet. The banks themselves are getting products sort of in the middle. Insurance companies are getting products in the middle. Some of the fear that the Brexit process is generating probably stands in the way of a big wall of uninvested cash coming forward into the active asset management industry. We're not yet really reaping major benefits from that possibility. We still see it hanging out there in the future, and frankly, not just in Europe.

There's tons of uninvested cash in a lot of other markets as well, and that's one of the reasons that we're sort of strategically optimistic about our opportunities in this business. Particularly in Europe with negative rates, over time, that will drive a whole lot of the money out of the traditional bank deposits, and it's going to have to find somewhere to go. If we do a great job, we're optimistic that once sort of the Brexit noise calms down, which hopefully it will do post U.K. election, et cetera, that'll represent a real opportunity for us.

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

Craig, technically hard versus soft. Technically, we are built for a hard Brexit. We've enhanced our structure. We've got 17 people in Luxembourg now. We used to have five. We've done the work to move our branches to be branches of the Luxembourg company rather than the U.K. company. We've launched some products or some funds that weren't in our SICAV range where some Europeans were buying the OEICs and potentially might not be able to. We've technically Brexit-proofed our business. The issue isn't the technical side, as you say, it's much more the macro side. The flows in the U.K. have slightly improved. That's outflows are slightly less, but nothing to write home about. We got time to wait yet. The U.K. is a tough market to be doing business in. Teams are doing a great job.

It's a pretty ugly market out there.

Craig Siegenthaler
Analyst, Credit Suisse AG

Thanks, Roger. Just a follow-up here on expenses. What would it take for Janus to take a more proactive stance on reducing expenses? Really, do you have this lever available after the significant cost you took out of the business post the merger?

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

Craig, you've always got that lever available. I think the most important thing is what are we trying to do? Again, I hope we've been pretty consistent with this, but we put together this combination to grow this business. We've invested in it to grow this business. We continue to do that. We will try and do that as efficiently as possible. There are natural levers in the business. Our variable comp at the total company level is just about fully formulaic, so that will flex up and down with earnings. We continue to look for efficiencies in the business. There's things we're doing to take costs out. There are also things we're doing to invest in the business. We're running a business to grow. That's because we believe we can grow this business and we expect to grow this business.

Should that not be the case, you'd run a different expense base.

Operator

We'll take our final question from Alex Blostein with Goldman Sachs.

Ryan Bailey
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Good morning. This is actually Ryan Bailey on for Alex. I was wondering if we could spend a moment on the fee rate, specifically the management fee rate. It looked like it declined another 0.6 basis points this quarter. As you kind of think through the puts and takes of the key areas of risk that you highlighted, can you give us some sort of near-term guidance of what that sort of pressure would ultimately result in for the fee rate?

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

Yeah, sure. Hi, Ryan. I don't think anything's changed from what we've said consistently. There is fee pressure in the business. We see fee pressure the same as others. We do have high-quality product, and that probably protects us a little bit more in some areas. The biggest impact is flow mix. You've got an average move in rates. You got to look at what happened in both Q2 and Q3 in terms of the assets we lost. We've lost some higher fee product in equity, in emerging market equity, some of the alts capabilities. We've also lost some low fee product in Intech. Going forward, it will depend on the mix of product, I guess, is the answer. We've told you that we continue to see risk with Intech that's at the lower end.

We got risk in emerging markets that's at the higher end. Should we see continued growth in intermediary? That's obviously good news for the fee rate. It will be driven by the mix of business. There's no fundamental change in that fee pressure that the industry sees and we see. That comes back to Craig's prior question around expenses. We need to continue to be efficient in how we run our business because we're running a business with the expectation that fee rates will do what they've done for the last decade, which is drift down. It's not a fundamental change that we're seeing or expect to see.

Ryan Bailey
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Got it. Maybe just one more on Intech. You gave us some really helpful color on the EM concentration. Do you mind giving us an update or a reminder on concentration at Intech in terms of key clients?

Roger Thompson
CFO, Janus Henderson Group

That's a pretty concentrated business. We've got a number of multi-billion dollar accounts at Intech, that's why we say that it is the most difficult to predict. There are opportunities. There is a little bit of pipeline. It could be something that comes in, where we are at the moment is with a challenging performance period running through 2018. 2019 pleasingly has been much better. We sit with three years of too much volatility, therefore there is risk in that business. Our clients, we've talked before, we have very good relationships with those clients. That team is excellent at explaining its performance and working with the clients, they've been very patient. You will notice it if on the asset side, you will notice it if we lose some of those assets. There are some large concentrations.

Dick Weil
CEO, Janus Henderson Group

Yes, this is Dick. That's right. I think the five largest strategies at Intech make up 57% of its AUM. It's a smart question. There is a high degree of concentration and therefore substantial risk that you could see big pieces move. The corresponding truth is those tend not to be the highest revenue pieces. It's a good question you've asked.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's conference. We appreciate your participation. You may now disconnect.