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Earnings Call: Q3 2021

Oct 28, 2021

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Kemper's Q3 2021 earnings conference call. My name is Charlie, and I will be coordinating your call today. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question and answer session, and instructions will follow at that time.

As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference call, Michael Marinaccio, Kemper's Vice President in Corporate Development and Investor Relations. Mr. Marinaccio, you may begin.

Michael Marinaccio
VP of Corporate Development, Kemper

Thank you, Charlie. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Kemper's discussion of our Q3 2021 results. This afternoon, you'll hear from Joseph P. Lacher, Kemper's President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman, James McKinney, Kemper's Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and Duane Sanders, Kemper's Executive Vice President and Property and Casualty Division President. We'll make a few opening remarks to provide context around our Q3 results and then open the call for a question and answer session.

During the interactive portion of the call, our presenters will be joined by John Boschelli, Kemper's Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer, and Eric Sternberg, Kemper's Executive Vice President and Life and Health Division President. After the markets closed this afternoon, we issued our earnings release and published our Q3 earnings presentation, financial supplement, and Form 10-Q.

You can find these documents on the investors section of our website, kemper.com. Our discussions today may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include, but are not limited to, the company's outlook and its future results of operations and financial condition. These statements may also include impacts related to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our actual future results and financial condition may differ materially from these statements.

For information on potential risks associated with relying on forward-looking statements, please refer to our 2020 Form 10-K as well as our Q3 earnings release. This afternoon's discussion also includes non-GAAP financial measures we believe are meaningful to investors. One such measure is as adjusted for acquisition. It is important to understand our reported results, including the impact the American Access acquisition has to Kemper overall.

However, investors have also expressed an interest in understanding the underlying organic performance of the combined businesses. Since our as-reported financials don't include American Access' historical information prior to closing of the acquisition and current results include the impact of purchase accounting, the underlying trends are not easily discernible. In an effort to provide insight into the underlying performance of the combined businesses, we also display our financials as adjusted for acquisition.

This view removes the impacts of purchase accounting and includes historical American Access information for periods prior to the acquisition to more readily provide a meaningful year-over-year comparison. In our financial supplement presentation and earnings release, we have defined and reconciled all the non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP where required in accordance with SEC rules. You can find each of these documents on the investor section of our website, kemper.com.

All comparative references will be to the corresponding 2020 period unless otherwise stated. I will now turn the call over to Joseph.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Thank you, Michael. Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. Earlier today, we reported results that continued to be impacted by the pandemic reopening. The earnings were below our long-term expectations and, as a result, disappointing. We previously discussed the anticipated challenges of the current environment, which is dynamic and changing rapidly. Against this backdrop, we're focusing on minimizing these impacts and optimizing the business.

There are two groupings of items impacting our results this quarter. One, the pandemic and the integrated impact of restarting an economy post-lockdown. Two, a group of items which are expected through cycles but unpredictable on a quarterly basis. I'll make a few broad comments on the first grouping before we dive into details. We'll cover the second grouping throughout the call. When we look at the impact of the pandemic, these are unprecedented times for the industry.

Historically, in P&C, there's been a rough balance between loss cost inflation and rate inflation. The dramatic frequency reductions at the start of the pandemic led to an extended period with effectively no rate increases. While accident volume was historically low, Kemper, along with most major companies, delivered premium rebates to auto customers. The reopening led to rapid increases in auto frequency.

It also saw global disruptions in supply chains, together leading to severity and combined loss cost inflation at levels we haven't seen in the industry for over thirty years. Across the industry, there's currently no significant rate in the system to offset this loss inflation. The system is out of equilibrium. In some ways, it's like turning off the water supply to your house during a remodeling project.

It's fine while you're working, but when you turn the water supply back on, water doesn't immediately flow from each tap. You hear some clanking, you get some air, some spray, some gurgling, and a few surges of water before normal flow is reestablished. You have to turn on all the taps in the house to clear the pipes running to each faucet. It requires some work, some time, and a little spray to restore the equilibrium.

That's where we are right now. We're all asking a few big questions. What's the overall level of loss cost inflation or severity increase? When will it stabilize to a new normal? How quickly will rate increases be approved and be earned into results? I know that last quarter there was a broad view that inflation was hopefully transitory.

Like most, we revised our view in the last 90 days and see it as something we will be dealing with for a more extended period of time. In our life business, the Delta variant increased mortality to levels last seen near the height of the pandemic. Our results remain in line with national experience. With increased vaccination rates, advancements in medical care, and strengthened natural immunity, we anticipate moving from a pandemic to an endemic, resulting in a return to more normalized mortality rates.

We'll offer some additional thoughts on these macro issues later in the call. Moving to a few specifics on the quarter, please turn to page 4. We generated a net loss of $75 million or $1.18 per share as reported, and $69 million or $1.08 per share as adjusted.

We also produced an adjusted consolidating net operating loss of $76 million or $1.19 per diluted share as reported, and $69 million or $1.08 per share as adjusted. Return on tangible equity excluding unrealized gains was 3%. This is below our target return. As highlighted earlier, the impact of the reopening and other environmental challenges continue to negatively impact these. We are actively deploying corrective actions to restore target margins and returns.

Our balance sheet and business model remain well positioned to navigate through these challenges. Turning to segment results. As discussed, given the environmental headwinds impacting our P&C segments, our focus is on restoring them to target profitability. In our Life and Health segment, we are seeing higher demand for our products and strong policy retention.

Although we experienced a reduction in COVID-related mortality last quarter, we saw a spike this quarter as a result of the Delta variant. Overall, the business remains positioned for long-term profitable growth. In summary, we are taking the actions necessary to combat the environmental challenges the P&C industry and our business. We, along with the rest of the industry, are re-priming the pipes and restoring equilibrium in the system.

The benefits of these actions will take time to fully work their way into our book. On the life side, the Delta variant has caused another spike in COVID-related mortality. Our strong balance sheet and business model enable us to continue to navigate the current environment and position the business for growth in 2023. I'll now turn the call over to James to discuss our Q3 operating results in more detail.

James McKinney
CFO, Kemper

Thank you, Joseph. Turning to page 5. Environmental headwinds led to challenged financial results. We reported a net loss of $75 million and as-adjusted loss of $69 million, a reported consolidated net operating loss of $76 million, and an as-adjusted net loss of $69 million. The corrective actions we have taken and are taking in response to higher frequency and severity will over time return our auto business to target profitability.

In addition, as the health impacts of COVID subside, life mortality and benefit costs will revert to normalized levels. Turning now to tangible book value per share. Excluding unrealized gains, tangible book value per share declined $3.27 compared to last September. $3.11 of the changes related to AAC and the corresponding goodwill the transaction created. We continue to believe this transaction is accretive to franchise value.

On page six, we highlight our view of operating income, which continued to be negatively impacted by environmental challenges. As mentioned earlier, this quarter experienced higher frequency and severity, leading to our Specialty P&C segment reporting an as adjusted underlying combined ratio of 108%, a further strengthening of reserves due to an atypical second surge in Florida PIP-related litigation and elevated life costs due to excess Delta variant-related mortality, higher new business sales and persistency gains.

On the bottom half of the table, we indicate sources of volatility. Except for prior-year reserve development, the remaining items are relatively consistent with past periods. On page seven, we review some of the key capital metrics we use to track our performance, including growth in tangible book value per share and tangible return on equity.

Over the past 12 months, return on tangible equity, excluding unrealized gains, was 2%. This was a direct result of the environmental challenges impacting the industry. While this is disappointing and below our target, we've instituted and will continue to institute corrective measures to return the business to target profitability. Continuing on page 8, we highlight the strength of our balance sheet. We continue to produce strong cash flow, generating over $500 million over the past 12 months.

Our insurance entities are well capitalized, liquidity remains strong, and our debt-to-capital ratio of 21.3% remains within our stated target range of 17%-22%. This business profile provides us with financial flexibility to navigate this environment. Turning to page 9. Net investment income for the quarter was $102 million.

Our portfolio construction is designed to match liabilities and provide stable income through various cycles. This quarter, we generated a pre-tax equivalent yield of 4.4%. In closing, the company's quarterly financial performance continues to be pressured by various environmental factors. We are confident that the corrective actions we have taken and are taking will over time return us to our financial targets. I'd now like to turn the call over to Duane to discuss the results of our P&C segments.

Duane Sanders
President, Property & Casualty Division, Kemper

Thank you, James, and good afternoon, everyone. To start, I will make a few comments about the current environmental challenges impacting our businesses.

As well as the relationship between earned rate and loss trend. Let's turn to page 10. There continues to be several environmental challenges impacting auto loss costs. On the frequency side, miles driven continue to increase, leading to an 18%-20% increase in claim activity. At the same time, severity increased 8%-10% due to supply chain challenges, labor shortages, and social inflation. We are taking actions to address these challenges.

Last quarter, we discussed the impact of some recent Florida PIP-related court rulings and the related increase to our prior year reserves. Typically, significant Florida PIP-related court decisions result in a single surge of litigation. This time, we witnessed an atypical second surge. Therefore, we are further strengthening reserves by $25 million. Let's turn to page 11.

Based on some questions we received over the quarter and discussions taking place within the industry, we thought we'd take a moment to review the interaction between earned rate and loss trends for various periods in and around the pandemic. This is an illustrative display intended to bring context to those discussions. Pre-pandemic, the relationship between loss cost and earned rate had maintained a long, steady equilibrium. There have been times of modest divergence, creating either increased profitability or margin compression.

Over the long term, they were largely balanced. During the pandemic-related lockdowns, there was a dramatic drop in frequency, resulting in a significant reduction in loss trend and noticeable improvement in profitability. This eliminated the need and ability to raise rates. When the economy reopened, frequency increased as miles driven surged. In addition, challenges to an already stressed supply chains were exacerbated, increasing severity.

Together, these items drove a surge in loss trends that escalated at unprecedented levels. Since there is little to no rate running through the system, margins were immediately and adversely impacted. Given that rate changes are subject to a regulatory approval process, it will take at least several quarters for their earned impact to be seen in results.

Moving to page 12, I'll start with Specialty P&C. Against this backdrop, the segment experienced an underlying combined ratio year-over-year increase of 22 points, a sequential quarter increase of 2 points, and an underwriting loss of approximately $80 million. Despite this recent performance, we remain comfortable with the profile of the business. The frequency change versus 2019 is about 1%. This quarter's loss and temporary rate loss cost imbalance doesn't impact our view of the long-term profitability of the business.

Over time, we anticipate a favorable outcome from our ability to address recent challenges through pricing and other profit improvement actions. Given the environment, we are prioritizing profit restoration over growth. The chart on the upper right should help you see how rate actions will migrate through our book of business. As an example, during the Q3 , we filed an approximately 3% rate increase on roughly 34% of our business, and it is already effective.

We're in the process of filing for an additional 6% rate on 38% of our business in the Q4 . Understandably, it takes time for filed and effective rate to be written and earned into our results. Over multiple quarters, rate and non-rate actions will return the business to target profitability. Turning to the Preferred segment on page 13.

The Preferred P&C segment continues to face similar environmental challenges and was further impacted by Hurricane Ida. Similar to Specialty, we are prioritizing profit restoration over growth. Looking at the chart on the upper right, during the Q3 , we filed for an approximately 4% rate increase on roughly 39% of our business, and 31% is already effective.

We are in the process of filing for an additional 13 points of rate on 57% of our business in the Q4 . Overall, for the Preferred segment, we continue to expect ongoing profit improvement actions to bring us closer to our desired level of performance. I'll now turn the call back to Joseph.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Thanks, Duane. Turning to our Life & Health segment on page 14. Overall, this business was negatively impacted by increased mortality related to the Delta variant and Hurricane Ida. For the quarter, segment net income was $3 million. Our mortality results continue to remain in line with countrywide trends. We continue to see and are encouraged by strong consumer demand for our products. This is evidenced through high new issuance rates and policy retention that remain above pre-pandemic levels.

Overall, the outlook for the Life & Health segment remains positive. In summary, this quarter's financial results were disappointing. As we stated earlier, it's going to take time for corrective actions to earn into our book and return us to target profitability. We believe our actions will position us for growth in 2023. Our balance sheet provides appropriate financial stability for these types of challenges.

Our strong capital and liquidity positions enable us to navigate and optimize the current environment. Despite the continued challenges, we remain financially strong. Our team will continue to deliver on our promises to our customers and provide attractive long-term results and value for our shareholders. I'll now turn the call over to the operator for questions.

Operator

If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad now. If you change your mind, it is star followed by two. Our first question comes from Greg Peters of Raymond James. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Alex Bolton
Equity Research Associate, Raymond James

Hi, this is Alex Bolton calling in on behalf of Greg. Could you take some time and I guess dive into how labor shortages, materials, and I guess time of repair affecting severity?

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Sure, Alex. Happy to. What ends up happening when you're repairing a vehicle is anything. You know, if you get in an accident and do $2,000 worth of damage to the bumper, that's the minimum that's gonna get paid. From that point, effectively, leakage starts.

We've got to repair that vehicle. If you've got a labor shortage, and it takes longer at the body shop, that might cause another day or two of rental car expense. If the rental car companies don't have all the inventory they had pre-pandemic, they might have their rates up. Now in addition to a day or, it is actually at a higher cost.

If you're finding out there's labor shortages in supply chain, so trucks aren't moving from ports in California, you might find that the headlight you needed that was manufactured overseas isn't there, and it's taking a little extra time, and that car is sitting in the body shop and there might be storage charges because it's waiting for the parts to come in.

All of these things add up to incremental increased costs in the process. It might be that those parts cost more, you know, because they had to pay the truck driver higher wages to get them there, or they're running, you know, 24/7, so there's over-time run through the process.

Alex Bolton
Equity Research Associate, Raymond James

Yeah, I guess I was just asking, you know, from a portion standpoint, I guess, is it more labor cost? Is it more material costs?

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

It really is across them. At this point, we don't have our feelers out with enough sensitivity to really try to get each of the different components of them. There's something in all of them that's running through. My sense is that the issues, these are, you know, high single digit, low double digits overall. It may vary a little bit by local geography. So the precision of that is, I'm not sure the biggest driver. You know, I'd probably point you, Alex, because I assume what you're trying to do is project a turn or a trend shift.

I'd point you back to maybe page eleven, the illustrative example Duane was using, where what you see is there are these changes in loss trends, whether it's labor, or supply chain or social inflation, you know, whether it's technology issues in the car and the fact that there's chip shortage. Those changes in loss inflation occur immediately, and they're immediately earned across the entire book.

Rate changes, whether it's loss inflation going down or loss inflation going up, our rate changes have to be filed and approved, and then they roll onto the book of business at renewal. They're earned over the policy term. Rate is always going to lag inflationary trends.

The gap between rate and inflationary trend, I think, is the story rather than the subtle differences between whether it's labor or steel or different geographic differences. Those are going to be small error bars of the fact that rate effectively got shut down for most of the auto industry. Everybody's got to see it. You know, you didn't see rate increases, you know, during the pandemic period, and you saw a rapid increase in inflation. That gap is gonna overshadow everything for a while.

Alex Bolton
Equity Research Associate, Raymond James

Okay. I appreciate that. Maybe can you touch on the regulatory environment? You know, it seems like you're getting some rate, but you know, I guess maybe what's your expectation of regulators losing sight of, you know, a profitable 2020?

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Yeah, it's a great question, and there's sort of two things underneath it, in the question. One is the regulatory environment, and the second one is the activity we're having. Regulators go through a normal process. They look at your historic results, and they look at the current loss trend that you're dealing in the current period of time.

Their responsibility is to have fair and appropriate rates for consumers, and to ensure companies are making a reasonable return to ensure their solvency. It's a little confusing for all of them when they look back and say, how do we account for 2020? How much do you weight that, in a process? Different states are looking at that, in different ways.

I think every month that we put out a new set of results as an industry, and it's becoming more and more apparent to those folks that 2020 was an anomaly, and really does in fact need to be discounted. I think you can see that to some degree with our activity. Duane pointed out that in the Q2 , we had rate activity on roughly a third of our book.

In the Q4, we had rate activity on nearly 40% of our book, you know, 6 points. I'm sorry. In the Q3 , we had a third. In the Q4 , we're anticipating roughly 40. I'll tell you, we may get closer to 100%. The big dog for us is California,

California has a unique set of rules and rating templates, and you have to go through their rules and rating templates. The second that those templates are showing that we have a need for a rate increase will be and then filing it. I'd expect that on some of the programs we have in California that may occur in the Q4 .

It almost certainly will in the Q1 That's roughly half of our book. If you assume it's roughly 50% of that specialty auto book, we're at roughly 90% of the activity. You should be walking away with the fact that we saw this issue early.

We're responding with rate briskly, and we're taking those rates, and we've been reasonably successful and expect to be more so. My guess is most of these states will require a second round on it. We'll get through the first round, and then we'll go back for two as quick as we can.

Alex Bolton
Equity Research Associate, Raymond James

Okay. I appreciate that. Maybe in Life and Health, you know, I noticed the expense ratio jumping up a little bit. Maybe you can touch on what's happening there?

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

You know, happy to. Actually, I think it's a little bit misleading. I'd point you to pages 38 and 39 of the supplement. If you look there, what you'll see in terms of what's driving that is the amortization of essentially the VOBA asset from the acquisition of AAC.

If you remove that, which is about 1 point for the quarter, I think you'll end up seeing that it's down a little bit on a quarter-over-quarter basis and on a year-over-year basis. Not really much to report. Happy to go deeper if you want, but that's effectively what you're seeing going through there is a little bit of amortization associated with VOBA.

Correct me if I'm wrong, James, but I think if you go back to right after the Infinity acquisition, you'd see the same thing running through our numbers. The VOBA gets put up after an acquisition and amortizes in as an expense, and works its way out. You saw the exact same pattern in the first couple quarters after the Infinity acquisition.

James McKinney
CFO, Kemper

Yeah. That's correct, Joseph. Again, that's just-

Alex Bolton
Equity Research Associate, Raymond James

I appreciate it.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Mechanics for folks to, you know, just 'cause I know it's an unusual item there that you get an asset, right, it's intangible basically, and this is how you essentially bring it cash as you receive it and translate it into a tangible asset.

It's not per se necessarily expense because you get the revenue at the top, you get the expense offsetting it for that transfer, and it's intended just to be the mechanics for how something on your balance sheet turns from an intangible to a tangible. So net results to us are nothing in the quarter. We outline it on 38 and 39 specifically so you can see this run rate of the businesses, because we think that's likely gonna give you the best comparable.

Alex Bolton
Equity Research Associate, Raymond James

Okay. I appreciate you pointing that out. I appreciate the answers as well.

Operator

The next question comes from Brian Meredith of UBS. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Yeah, thanks. Good evening. A couple questions here. First, I'm just curious, is there any way to kind of break down what loss trend looks like in your specialty auto versus 2019, right? I think that would probably be a better comparison than looking at some of the frequency and severity statistics you've got up there right now.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Sure, Brian. We'll do a little,

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Okay. I'm just curious, like frequency, is it well above? Okay.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Yeah. We'll take you through it. The reminder before the guy jumping in. That'll give you a directional item. The precision of it, you know, doesn't work exactly the same, but it'll give you a directional.

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Great. Great.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Yeah.

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Joseph, we're going through that. I guess my next question for,

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Do you want me to answer that one for you? Why don't we answer that one?

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Yeah, go ahead.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

And, and then...

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Yep.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Yeah, it's a big picture. If I were to take us back to 2019, and you think about frequency in our specialty auto business for where we're at, we're roughly within about 1 percentage point from where we were in 2019 at this stage. When you think about that from, you know, an ultimate perspective, obviously, that has some assumptions here in terms of how these things go out. You do see a little bit of difference in terms of the driving patterns in this period relative to 2019, but there's at this stage gonna probably be not a whole lot of movement in that, so we feel pretty good.

What that should tell you is our profile is basically kind of the same from that perspective, or similar, if not maybe even improving because there's some differences in the feature counts in terms of how we establish those. They're higher in terms of what it is today than maybe what they would've been historically.

That 1% is kind of a high number. When you think about the severity side, when I'm looking at that's really in that double-digit range that we've talked about, that you've both seen in that 10%-12% range. We've ended up seeing on some of those things that have a little bit longer tail. There's not a real long tail in this business.

Things like BI claims and others that would come through, you've seen the severity trends or that inflation trend that we're talking about now go back and impact some of those claims essentially that were open there, which we talked a little bit about last quarter and this quarter.

When you break that up, you are seeing basically kind of double digit type inflationary trends on a year-over-year basis over the last couple of years, both due to the mix differences, the driving changes that come through there in terms of their impact on the severity and cost of the same item, you know, last year versus this year and the year before, those costs are up in that, again, in that inflationary range that we talked about that is, you know, high single digits, low double digits.

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Great. That's helpful. Then next question, Joseph, I'm just curious. Last quarter, I know we were going through talking about this, it sounded like you were comfortable continuing to grow your business through this kind of loss cost situation right now. Now you're talking about returning to growth in 2023. Is that simply because you think that the inflation's not transitory anymore, or is there something else that's happened? Does that also mean that we won't see normalized profitability till 2023?

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Yeah. The couple of pieces underneath it, and I'll try to unbundle them, Brian. When we were sitting last quarter, we had growth in the business, and there was a view that the inflationary trend was lower, and it was going to be more transitory.

That would suggest a profit challenge, but one that would be corrected more rapidly. What's happened since then is I think I know we have changed our view on that. I believe broadly in the environment it's changed. I mean, every time I pick up a Wall Street Journal or turn on CNBC, the mood is certainly different in the last 90 days of the severity of the inflation and its duration.

That is going to put more pressure on profitability, which will take longer to unwind and match with a pricing perspective. That's really part of what we were trying to show on page 11, that gap.

Part of the reason on the right side of that, you help me. If you tell me those two red lines that are dotted, is the inflation gonna stay up and stay that way and you know, stabilize it at 8, 9 and persist there? Or is it gonna start tapering back into 4, 5, 6 range where it was before? There's a cone of potential there, and then there's gonna be a cone of what rates are and are they at the higher end or the lower end.

That presents a fair amount of uncertainty in sort of that circle on that right side of when does, you know, rates start exceeding loss cost and correct it. Given that uncertainty, we are tapping the brakes on growth initiatives.

We are intentionally slowing that down because of that imbalance, not because we're troubled by our long-term prospects, not because we're troubled by our underwriting, for no other reason than it's unclear how long that inflationary piece is gonna go, and the last signals we've gotten is. I would tell you that we're very diligent about how we're thinking about that when we're reserving and we're booking our results. I think you're gonna look at numbers.

You're gonna see our paid losses and our reserves, and you're gonna see that there's a strengthening bias there that's saying we're anticipating that problem. You're seeing a speed of response from us in terms of how fast we're attacking rate, and moving.

I think you've heard other folks talk about, you know, their intent to raise rates, but they're moving with a different level of speed. We believe we saw this early. We're moving on it early. What we believe is it's gonna have a temperature that anybody who's writing auto is gonna have.

We're tapping the brakes in a different way than we thought we needed to 90 days ago. What you should see if you look at what's going on in the Q3 from our activity is not only do we see it, not only do we tap the brakes, but we actually got rate filings moving quickly after that.

It's a nimble and responsive organization that when there's a nail up that needs to be hit, we hit it.

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Got you. Makes sense. Obviously you're probably taking other initiatives to kind of improve that profitability as well, aside from just rate.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Yes. Rate, non-rate. If there's a lever to pull, we're looking to pull it, and work it with the caveat that, you know, when it's cold outside, you don't burn the furniture in the house for heat. That's gonna cause long-term damage.

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Yeah.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

We're not doing anything that's causing long-term damage. We're being very thoughtful. If there are investments that we can make that are gonna enhance and strengthen our insurance and expense infrastructure that put us in a better position going forward, you know, we'll

We'll continue those. But, you know, we're not gonna be trying to figure out how to roll out new states for growth or how to do other things like that. We're tapping the brakes and closing the shutters and, you know, run through this storm.

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Great. Great. Then just one last question here. The Florida PIP charge. I kind of felt after last quarter that we were done with that, and then obviously it happened again, and it sounds like you had a resurgence of suits. Where are we with that? Is that behind us?

Duane Sanders
President, Property & Casualty Division, Kemper

Yeah. Hey, this is Duane. Good question. You know, I think it's always you know, there's a challenge to make sure that you're understanding completely that environment and the litigation, you know, that comes out of there, certainly around PIP.

But our comfort level has increased significantly from where we were. We're starting to see that trend, the direction that we're feeling comfortable with what's coming in. The other thing that we're doing is we're working what I'll call the mitigation process around that for any of the outstanding bills to get ahead of what could be potentially a problem in the future.

Duane, I Great. Let me add a clarification, and let me ask you to add some of the anecdote we were talking about earlier. We were highly comfortable we had the right number last quarter, given the normal pattern of surges in suits after a significant court ruling. We had a second surge. Can you talk a little bit, that second surge was out of pattern, it was atypical that caused us to have a different point of view. We believe we have it set now, but you got a little bit of local market anecdote in terms of what we-

Yeah, there's a couple dynamics that takes place, you know, in that process. There are things in, I'll say, the patterns that historically would come through to what we're speaking of, where you get a one-time hit.

There seems to be an arbitrary lull in this one where they had slowed down for some reason in some of the bulk billing that takes place that seemed to reoccur at a later date. There was also, I think, some angst around the potential repeal in the marketplace of PIP. You know, you've got, you know, you got people there that were anxious about, well, if I'm gonna do anything, do it.

They, you know, they sped up that process a little bit. You've also got, you know, we mentioned earlier about just staffing shortages across in many dimensions and that, you know, certainly the firms there know they're not. Their ability to try to push things through at a normal pace starts to wane.

They, you know, there's a breather in there, and then they reemerge. As I commented earlier, we've very proactively have been working, what I'll call the front end of that on our side to make sure that we're not, you know, we're trying to be able to position ourselves to avoid future litigation on that type of claim.

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Perfect. Thanks for the answer.

Alex Bolton
Equity Research Associate, Raymond James

I think Brian and Joseph gave some, you know, good commentary on that. The only other thing I might add, Brian, is, you know, there was a lot of commentary, obviously, last quarter, both on our call and on other calls, you know, specifically related to the limiting versus participating, some of the other challenges that

Budgets.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Duane mentioned some potential items. You know, there's a bunch of different hypotheses that are out there. This is a new pattern in terms of having two humps. That's not something that we've seen before. Don't really know if it was related and what effectively happened is we woke some folks up between the call and some of the press that it got, not just in our stuff, but also from an industry perspective, or if it's due to Duane's other points, potentially, you know, they're dealing with labor challenges or other stuff that potentially led to, you know, a different kind of reporting pattern or other.

Hard to tell, but either way, you know, we moved forward and thought it was prudent to try to put a bow on this. Well, I'm not anticipating anything else.

Can't give you 100% confidence in this, but again, we feel really good and confident about the numbers that we have put up and our ability to kinda recognize this.

Brian Meredith
Managing Director, UBS

Great. Thanks.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Thanks, Brian.

Operator

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad now. There are no further questions on the lines at this time, so I'll hand the call back over to the team.

Joseph P. Lacher
President and CEO, Kemper

Thank you, operator, and thank you everybody for joining the call today. We appreciate your interest. We're gonna continue banging away and working to reestablish and reignite the profitability inside the joint and get back to delivering on our results for our customers and our shareholders. Thanks for being with us.

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your line.

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