Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. (LOB)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2022

Jul 28, 2022

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Live Oak Bancshares Q2 2022 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Greg Seward, Chief Risk Officer and General Counsel, Live Oak Bancshares. Please go ahead.

Greg Seward
Chief Risk Officer and General Counsel, Live Oak Bancshares

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Live Oak's Q2 2022 earnings conference call. We are webcasting live over the internet, and this call is being recorded. To access the call over the internet and review the presentation material that we will reference on the call, please visit our website at investor.liveoakbank.com and go to today's call on our event calendar for supporting materials. Our Q2 earnings release is also available on our website. Before we get started, I would like to caution you that we may make forward-looking statements during today's call that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations are detailed in the materials accompanying this call and in our SEC filings. We do not undertake to update the forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that may arise after the date of today's call. Information about any non-GAAP financial measures referenced, including reconciliation of those measures to GAAP measures, can also be found in our SEC filings and in the presentation materials. I will now turn the call over to Chip Mahan, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer.

Chip Mahan
Chairman and CEO, Live Oak Bancshares

Thanks, Greg, and good morning to all. Let's move to Slide 4 to kick things off. For today's agenda, I'm going to kick things off with a few overarching comments before repeating our normal quarterly cadence of B.J. reviewing our financial performance and Huntley highlighting our operational priorities. Let's move to Slide 5. Over the next few slides, we will discuss our mission to extend our nationwide government-guaranteed lending platform and how that effort has led to an all-time high pipeline. As always, we will discuss the quality of our loans and will reflect on this volatile rate environment and its effect on SBA loan premiums. Clearly, the most recent correction in the capital markets has led to deterioration in the valuation of nascent fintech companies.

I am proud to report that Live Oak Ventures investments have continued to thrive and grow and seem to have dodged the downturn, at least for now. Huntley and B.J. will have much to say about the Finxact sale to Fiserv. I am happy to learn from the Fiserv earnings call on Tuesday that the company, for the second straight call, puts Finxact's next-gen core processing system at the center of their future strategic plans. Let's move to Slide 6. This slide highlights the organic growth in our lending business over the past five and a half years. The bottom of this slide shows the growth in our vertical SBA lending units. In 2018, we added 7 new industries, and so far this year, we've added 3, bringing us to 17 in total.

On the lending side, we have added 10 new lenders this year that gives us a total of 30 generalists in 27 cities. This is a new point of emphasis for us. Recently, we sent 700 emails to SBA lenders at 85 banks. We will approach SBA lenders at an additional 25 banks in the next two weeks. If you are an SBA lender, there is a 100% chance you've heard of us. There is a reasonable chance you've heard good things. In the 700 we contacted, we currently have a pipeline in various phases of 168 folks. Many are happy at their existing bank, and we wanna stay in touch.

The point is we have built a culture and a technology platform that is scalable in an industry that views SBA lending somewhere in between the portlet of the banking business to just a sidecar to their other small business initiatives. This is what we do. We want the best lenders to know that we are coming to a town near you. Lastly, our pipeline for proposal to close has increased roughly, what? From $1.5 billion in May of 2020 to a little over $3.1 billion today. Again, an all-time high. Slide 7. Now for some fun facts as we consistently and forever concentrate on soundness, profitability, and growth, in that order. In the late 1980s, one of our banks and another company I started made their first SBA loan.

We had to get 5 declination letters from other banks before we could qualify the loan. We had to prove we were the lender of last resort. Even today, the SBA has you cannot find credit elsewhere tests. As interest rates rise and beating drums of pending recession get louder, we often have to answer the question: Are you at the tip of the spear at Live Oak Bank? Your customers have no capital. Are you worried? Let me answer that. No. Here are the facts. On roughly $7 billion in loans, we had $3.4 million of over 30-day past dues or just 9 BPS. Moving on to worse loans on non-accrual were $16.6 million or 43 BPS. That said, of the $16.6 million, $8.6 million or 53% of the total were paying as agreed.

I am overwhelmingly proud of our lenders and credit folks who have chosen the right operators and entrepreneurs. Back to Slide 7. In the past 10 years, we have averaged 30 BPS of charge-offs while all other SBA lenders report more than 10 times that at 4%. Almost half our loan portfolio is guaranteed at 44%, while the rest of the industry holds tight at a rounding error of 3%. The pricing of our loans were considerably better with a net interest margin of just shy of 4%, as you can see, while the rest of the industry was nearly 100 bps lower at just under 3%. Since inception in 2008, we have originated $19 billion in loans, two-thirds of which were in the SBA 7(a) program.

As you can see, $14 billion or 74% of our $19 billion in originations were loans to small businesses. Let's go to Slide 8. As mentioned a minute ago, the last 6 months in the capital markets has not been much fun. We often say around here that capital is king, and B.J. will cover that shortly. He also likes to talk about optionality. I like to talk about different arrows in our quiver. This is the same slide we showed on our IPO roadshow exactly 7 years ago this week. Many investors were unaware of the tiny SBA loan sales market. As you can see, the pricing has been incredibly stable the last 22 years, save the Great Recession, the pandemic, and now.

How fortuitous for us that at precisely this point in time, my friend Frank Sanchez decides to sell Finxact to Fiserv and become their vice chairman. We have said to you many times, the 280 billion lines of code the industry runs on is gonna get swapped out in the future to a next-gen, cloud-native, API-first solutions like Finxact. The fact that he, and ostensibly we, will be partnering with a $67 billion market cap brand name is good for Live Oak Bank. Frank's subsidiary will operate separately and be supplied the necessary capital to attack the broader market. Slide 9. How wonderful for us that the Finxact $120 million pre-tax gain mirrors the disruption of the 7(a) premiums decline.

The Finxact gain is 1.5 times what we raised in our IPO and also exceeds our secondary offering in 2017. The Finxact profit equals all of our 7(a) loan sales for the last 14 quarters and exceeds all of our 7(a) and USDA loan sales over the last 8 quarters. What did we do or didn't do? We did not sell in what historically seems to be a down market. Bottom left of Slide 9 shows what we did in Q1. We sold $211 million in paper at a 110 handle, generating $20 million gain on sale dollars. This quarter, we could not cherry-pick enough to get to 110, but we did sell $50 million at 108, generating $4 million in pre-tax earnings.

Had we chosen to sell 2 million and 211 million in paper, the best we could have done would've been a 105 handle, generating only $12 million in earnings. Let's keep the loans at roughly a 4% spread and generate $7 million in recurring net interest income. We have a long runway to continue to do just this as we wait for the usually predictable 7(a) market to come back to historic norms. I can't stand it. Just before I turn it over to B.J. and Huntley, I wanna briefly mention my 14-year torturous relationship with the income statement line item servicing asset revaluation. I often wonder who I love less, lawyers or accountants. Let me see if I got this right.

The accountants tell you that your cost of service alone is 40 bps, then they tell you the average life of the loan is 7 years, and you need to take the remaining 60 bps of servicing over the next 7 years, and the net present value of that, and take that into income. We already got paid in cash for the loan yesterday. Huh. We go to the black box once a quarter and value the accumulation of all our loans added together. After we took the company public, this servicing asset reval number over three consecutive quarters was one quarter up $5 million, the next quarter flat, down $9 million the next quarter. We decided to sell less loans and reduce the volatility of reported earnings per share. This quarter's negative $9 million bucks or 16 cents a share is in the appendix on Slide 40. Rest assured, we think the $7 million in servicing revenue we receive annually is worth far more than the $28.5 million the beloved's accountants say it's worth. B.J., over to you.

B.J. Losch III
CFO and Chief Banking Officer, Live Oak Bancshares

All right. Thanks, Chip. That was a good setup. I don't know if I'm gonna be able to deliver the financials nearly as well as Chip just did, but good morning, everybody. We'll start with some highlights on Slide 11. Our earnings per share, as you saw, were $2.16, driven by both the previously announced Finxact gain and strong net interest income and loan growth, both linked quarter and year-over-year. Our net interest margin of 3.89% held up really well in Q2 during the beginning of the Fed's rate increase cycle. Loan production was solid at $960 million, and as Chip mentioned, pipelines are at all-time highs. We continue to be a talent magnet, adding 13 net new lenders in the quarter.

Our core business performance, along with continued success with our ventures investing, continues to add significant tangible book value per share, resulting in 19% increase from the Q2 of last year. As Chip mentioned, though, the current environment's not without its challenges, particularly as it relates to our secondary markets for guaranteed SBA sales, which shows up in two primary ways on our income statement. First impact is on our guaranteed sales and gain on sale income. As we discussed during the Q1 call, we saw secondary market dynamics shifting rapidly. Therefore, we telegraphed that we would moderate sales in Q2, and we did. Our guaranteed sales in the quarter were 70% lower than Q1, with the resulting gain on sale income of around $5 million versus $20 million in the Q1 .

As Chip mentioned, it's important to understand that this income is not permanently lost. We are simply gonna earn it over time in the form of net interest income, as Chip highlighted on Slide 9. Because of the flexibility we have from both the fintech gain and the ability to hold and fund high-quality assets, we will continue to remain patient with secondary market activities until premiums start to normalize. Also related to secondary market dynamics, as Chip talked about, our servicing asset reval was very high this quarter at $8 million write down versus $1.6 million in Q1, primarily due to the rapid decline in market premiums. As though our servicing asset is a non-cash item, and it's insignificant from a balance sheet perspective at less than 4% of capital, fair value changes do flow through our income statement.

From here, we expect more modest changes in that fair value for the servicing asset as premiums eventually normalize towards long-term averages. Turning to Slide 12, you'll see adjusted PPNR was down 2% to that intentional reduction of guaranteed sales, despite robust net interest income growth of 7% linked quarter and lower expense growth of 4% linked quarter. Credit remains very healthy, with provision up $3 million off a low base. Breaking down the components of revenue on Slide 13, you'll see total revenue growth still up 13% year-over-year, despite this quarter's lower gain on sale income, driven by strong loan growth and resulting net interest income, which was up 34% year-over-year. Balance sheet trends look good on Slide 14 and 15, with 5% loan growth linked quarter and 7% before loan sales.

As you can see on Slide 16, net interest margin held strong in Q2 at 3.89%, with the decline from Q1 largely due to higher liquidity levels. We still expect some compression as the Fed continues to raise rates rapidly and funding costs move more quickly than loan pricing, but we are very encouraged by the resiliency of our margin. Turning to expenses on Slide 17, we had another strong hiring quarter, adding 49 net new Live Oakers, majority of which were in our lending groups to support revenue growth. In addition, we continued to attract technology talent, which made up the majority of our hiring outside the lending groups. Huntley will talk a little bit more about both of those in a few minutes. Credit trends on Slide 18 and 19 look great.

As Chip discussed at the beginning of the call, having 45% of your total loan portfolio government guaranteed is both a great comfort and a great responsibility that we take very seriously. Non-accruals and past dues remain at historic lows, as do net charge-offs. On Slide 19, you see just how strong our credit performance is over time with cumulative, not annual, cumulative charge-off rates of 29 basis points on small business loans originated since 2008, 18 basis points and 48 basis points on our specialty finance and E&I loans since 2016. On Slide 20, you'll see in the upper right, our capital ratios are very strong, particularly with the addition of the fintech proceeds. Note the green 23% bubble we call out on the graph, which is the capital plus the reserve coverage of the unguaranteed portion of our loan portfolio, far higher than other banks.

This plus the $3 billion of highly liquid guaranteed loans on our books give us both balance sheet strength and flexibility few banks can match. To recap, pipelines are strong, we continue to attract talent, credit quality is excellent, the balance sheet's profitable and growing, expense growth continues but at a more moderate pace, secondary markets remain in flux and gain on sales premiums are depressed, and our ventures investments continue to provide us with organic capital and optionality. With that, I'll turn it over to Huntley to give more color on where we are growing and investing. H.G.?

Huntley Garriott
President, Live Oak Bank

Thanks, B.J. I'll pick up with some highlights on page 22 and try not to be repetitive. Again, really solid quarter, especially in light of everything going on in the markets and the macro environment. The quarter highlighted with nearly $1 billion of diversified loan origination. You know, we just continue to find great opportunities to provide capital to small businesses. You know, 5% linked-quarter loan growth, 25% year-over-year. Equally as exciting on the deposit side, we saw really strong growth in our business savings product with 18% linked-quarter growth over $1.3 billion of business savings accounts now. That product continues to resonate with our small business customers. We also launched our first deposit vertical serving the 1031 exchange market and already have $30 million of deposits there.

Excited about where that can take us and the ability to expand into other verticals as well. We've been really cautious in launching our small business checking product. As you know, as Chip mentioned, this journey with Finxact, we wanna make sure that this platform is hardened and ready to take on scale. We've got 500 customers on there now, and we're ready to step on the gas. Looking forward, we're excited to, you know, continue to enhance and grow that small business deposit product, launch our working capital product here in August, expand our embedded banking offering, where we recently went live with our first customer, and upgrade our loan origination platform. As always, a lot going on around the bank. On page 23, you can see an overview of our loan origination platform. Again, great quarter of origination.

As Chip and B.J. mentioned, even more encouraging is that our pipelines have returned to all-time highs after a bit of a slowdown in the first part of the year. From a mix perspective, on the right-hand side of the page, you'll notice a bit lower proportion of USDA lending in the quarter, which is a function of reduced bioenergy production and some funding shortfalls at the USDA. Despite our overall pretty cautious outlook on the economy, we remain really optimistic about the second half of the year and beyond. As you've heard Chip and B.J. mention, we'll remain vigilant in maintaining our credit quality, but small businesses are proving themselves to be unbelievably resilient, and the overall themes we've highlighted of business transitions and the prudent expansion of great small business operators continues to prove themselves out.

Page 24 has some granularity of the loan portfolio, and really shows the power of our diversified platform. Highlights for the quarter include many of our flagship small business industry verticals like healthcare, veterinarians, and investment advisors, along with strength in our middle market lending in the conventional side and our general SBA lending team that Chip mentioned, which continue to source attractive opportunities across the nation and across a variety of industries. We also continue to find interesting new verticals and are excited about exploring with efforts underway in RV parks, managed service providers, law firms, and pest control, to name a few. As I mentioned, one area we saw muted activity was in our bioenergy group, where the combination of rising interest rates, supply chain delays, construction costs also met specific declines in carbon credit markets.

The tailwinds in renewable energy overall remain extraordinary, and we still see tremendous opportunity in that space for us. Flip to page 25, and a little more information, as Chip mentioned, on our SBA general lenders, where we hired nine folks in the first half of the year and a couple more in the pipeline, and that momentum seems to continue. What we see is that the platform that we've built is really paying dividends. From an investment perspective, even when we hold loans on balance sheet, you know, on the outside, this is about an 18-month payback for each of these new lenders, but typically much quicker than that. Flipping to 26, a few thoughts on the Finxact gain.

On the one hand, this gain was a culmination of a bunch of hard work of our teammates and our partners to build this company to where it was and got to. It also provided a non-dilutive capital raise for us that allows us to manage our balance sheet, invest in our team, our community, and our technology. On the other hand, we're just beginning to unlock the value this platform will provide for us, and we're as excited as ever about the future. Last quarter, we shared some plans for the proceeds, an employee bonus of $7.5 million, a charitable donation into a foundation of $5 million, and we said that our goal was to reinvest in the technology about $10-$15 million.

We're doing that primarily through hiring, where we've hired about 20 new folks in our technology team year to date, which accounted for almost half of our increase in the adjusted earnings quarter-over-quarter. We plan to hire about 25 more people to complete the build-out that we referenced of this technology team. When you include all these people and a little bit of professional services, that'll add about $7 million-$8 million annual run rate to our expense base. The way we look at this is this Finxact gain allowed us to pull forward this hiring by about 2 years to accelerate the delivery of our roadmap. All in all, our technology spend in the quarter was about 14% of our adjusted non-interest expense, which for a bank without branch distribution network feels pretty reasonable.

Importantly, what are we building with all this technology and the platform? On the lending side, we're enhancing our loan origination platform to better serve our customers, to increase our speed to close, and to allow us to make smaller balance loans more efficiently. The majority of our efforts remains focused on building primary operating relationships with small businesses to generate low-cost deposits. While our consumer and small business savings products continue to be well received, we know the importance of driving down our funding costs through non-interest-bearing deposits. After a long journey, our small business checking account is finally ready for the mass market. By the end of the year, we'll have an enhanced operating account with treasury management features for our larger clients, a working capital loan product, additional deposit verticals, and additional embedded banking partnerships.

For many of you, this will be unpopular that that's taken this long, and we've been talking about this, but we remain committed to building out this technology stack the right way, and to do that has been a journey, and it's taken time. We really believe that we're setting ourselves up for massive increase in velocity and to future-proof this company for the next decade of technology innovation. In addition to the Finxact gain, you can look at our ventures activities on page 27. We followed on investing in Apiture and DefenseStorm, along with two exciting new opportunities that we invested in, which are both great standalone investments but also provide us opportunities in the embedded banking space. As Chip mentioned, it's not lost on us that valuations have reset in the technology market broadly and in finfech.

We feel really comfortable with the strength of our portfolio. Likewise, the Canapi portfolio, which we included in the appendix on page 39, continues to perform well. With that second fund coming online, we're excited about the opportunity to invest there at more reasonable valuations. The flip side of the fintech market reset is that many of our challenger banks that we've been competing with lately have witnessed increase in the cost of capital, availability of capital, and need to demonstrate their profitability, which has forced them to adjust their business models. For us, with a rock-solid balance sheet, profitable core business, we can remain consistent in our mission and our technology roadmap.

Four years ago, we made the decision to begin to hold more loans on balance sheet, a move that insulated us from the capital market dislocations like we saw during the pandemic and that we're seeing now. We know that shift to hold more loans adjusts the trajectory of our reported EPS, but we feel it's absolutely the right decision for us and for our shareholders. We also know we have other elements of volatility in our earnings, as Chip mentioned, servicing assets and our technology investing. Those we accept as well in our effort to build this uniquely differentiated model and one that has and will continue to deliver exceptional returns for shareholders. The model and the fintech gain has allowed us to generate earnings and capital to grow our business in a non-dilutive way and sets us up for continued growth and profitability.

Despite these moving pieces in the quarter, our mission remains unchanged to be America's small business bank. To do that, we have to continue to assemble the best folks across banking and technology who are dedicated to treating every customer like the only customer. We'll leverage our next generation technology stack to create products and solutions that better serve these customers, which in turn helps drive and attract and retain and motivate our folks. At the end of the day, it all comes down to serving our small business customers and the dedication of our folks to do that. With that, Chip, any words, and we'll open up the questions.

Chip Mahan
Chairman and CEO, Live Oak Bancshares

Let's go to Q&A.

Operator

As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star one on your telephone. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Steven Alexopoulos from JPMorgan. Your line is now open.

Steven Alexopoulos
Equity Analyst of Mid and Small Cap Banks, JPMorgan

Hey, good morning, everyone.

B.J. Losch III
CFO and Chief Banking Officer, Live Oak Bancshares

Good morning, Steve.

Huntley Garriott
President, Live Oak Bank

Hey, Steve.

Steven Alexopoulos
Equity Analyst of Mid and Small Cap Banks, JPMorgan

I wanted to start. On the deposit side, I saw online you guys are offering pretty wide range in terms of rates, 1.5%-3% on CDs, 1.4% on business savings. What's the blended spot rate on new deposit dollars coming in today, and how quick could your current deposit costs reset to market rates?

Huntley Garriott
President, Live Oak Bank

Yeah, I'm happy to start. You know, the bulk of our activity is in savings and on the shorter end of the CD curve. There really is not a lot of activity, you know, the longer duration CDs that are more in that high 2%-3%. Really, there's just not a lot of activity. You should think of the bulk of our money coming in today in that 1-4 and then some of the CDs in the high 1% sorta rate. That's really where the bulk of our growth is coming from in terms of the market-based products that we're growing with.

B.J. Losch III
CFO and Chief Banking Officer, Live Oak Bancshares

Steve, that'll continue to increase, obviously, right?

Steven Alexopoulos
Equity Analyst of Mid and Small Cap Banks, JPMorgan

Yeah.

B.J. Losch III
CFO and Chief Banking Officer, Live Oak Bancshares

Our savings beta, you can assume, is more in the 70 range with each move. You know, we'll continue to be competitive from that perspective, and it'll continue to go up. On the flip side, you know, we've got 45% of our loans variable rate quarterly adjusting. As prime continues to go up, we will benefit from that as well. You know, there's a little bit of a timing issue as we manage our margin. You know, with the 3.89 this quarter, that held up pretty well, and we're pretty encouraged by that.

Steven Alexopoulos
Equity Analyst of Mid and Small Cap Banks, JPMorgan

Okay. B.J., if we follow that through, previously you talked about a NIM in the 3.50%-3.75% range. I think you pointed to the lower end. Is that guidance still intact? I think that was by the Q4 .

B.J. Losch III
CFO and Chief Banking Officer, Live Oak Bancshares

Yeah, I think I'll stick to that. I am more optimistic that we'll be towards the higher end than the lower end now that we've seen the Q2 .

Steven Alexopoulos
Equity Analyst of Mid and Small Cap Banks, JPMorgan

Got it. Okay. That's helpful. Shifting to the loan side. Over the last two quarters, average loans held for investment have increased about a mid-teens annualized pace. Is this what we should expect as reasonable for the next few quarters?

B.J. Losch III
CFO and Chief Banking Officer, Live Oak Bancshares

Yeah, at least in the near term, Steven, and it's related to us intentionally holding more on the balance sheet. Even though we're holding those guaranteed loan sales, we're gonna held them, hold them, excuse me, for sale in case the market does come back and we decide to sell into the secondary markets.

Steven Alexopoulos
Equity Analyst of Mid and Small Cap Banks, JPMorgan

Okay. Final question. In terms of the secondary market for SBA, what's the backdrop where the secondary market should resume more normal operations? Thanks.

B.J. Losch III
CFO and Chief Banking Officer, Live Oak Bancshares

Yeah. There's a couple different dynamics going on right now, right? One is obviously, there's very little fixed adjustable or fixed demand out in the marketplace for various reasons because of you know, how quickly funding costs are going up relative to yields. There are less buyers in the marketplace for fixed rate or fixed adjustable product. There are some other alternative investments that have similar terms that are more attractive right now because of secondary market dislocation, things like agencies or treasuries, et cetera, that normally don't compete very well from a yield perspective with SBA. You know, as that kind of washes through, we think that as Chip you know, highlighted at the beginning, you know, we've historically seen dislocations anywhere from two months to nine months. We've got the balance sheet and the liquidity to wait it out, so we'll just do that and resume our sales when appropriate and when we think we get paid for it.

Steven Alexopoulos
Equity Analyst of Mid and Small Cap Banks, JPMorgan

Got it. Okay. Thanks for taking all my questions.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Crispin Love from Piper Sandler. Your line is now open.

Crispin Love
Director of Equity Research, Piper Sandler

Thank you. Good morning. I actually have a follow-up on the loan sale, kind of similar to the previous question. The way that, kind of thinking about it for the Q3 , I guess if I'm looking at the Q2 loan sales, that guaranteed volume sold as a percent of total originations was around 7%. As you're looking at the Q3 , would you think that should be somewhere in the 7%-10% range compared to kind of recent levels, like kind of historically into kind of the mid- to- high teens? I'm just trying to get a little bit of a finer point of how you're thinking about loan sales in the Q3 .

B.J. Losch III
CFO and Chief Banking Officer, Live Oak Bancshares

Hey, Crispin, it's B.J. Short answer is, again, it's hard to say. You know, we've said a couple different ways that we're gonna be patient, that we're not gonna just sell into a poor market, and take a discount on paper that we think is much more valuable to carry. With that said, you know, we're hopeful that premiums are bouncing around the bottom here. You know, particularly on variable rate product. Fixed, you know, is a little bit more finicky for the reasons I just talked through. But we're optimistic that, you know, whether it's next quarter, whether it's Q4 , we start to see a little bit of normalization back towards acceptable premiums, in which case we'll again get more active.

Crispin Love
Director of Equity Research, Piper Sandler

All right. Thank you. That's helpful color there. Just one on the pipeline. It seems like the pipeline's very strong based on your commentary during the prepared remarks in the call. I'd appreciate if you could just provide a little bit more detail there. Like, where do you see the majority of the activity coming from to kind of drive those really strong pipelines? Relatedly, do you still feel confident in that $4 billion-plus origination target for the full year?

Huntley Garriott
President, Live Oak Bank

Sure, Crispin. It's Huntley, and I'll kick off. You know, it's pretty broad, I would say. The small business pipelines have been pretty consistent. Dipped a little in the beginning of the year. Starting to see more in the way of business acquisitions where, you know, I think when capital markets, you know, sort of earlier in the year really started to move, rates started to move, buyers and sellers had a hard time figuring out pricing, and so they took a pause, and we saw that through the first part of the year. We're starting to see a bit more, transactions finding the mark there. Really starting to see that.

Across our specialty finance, the middle market or the lower end of the middle market companies, $2 million-$8 million or $10 million of EBITDA, with some institutional capital behind them. Just some really interesting opportunities there, reasonably low leverage. Feels like a space that we've got a lot of opportunity. So those are probably the areas where the pipeline is most active, but it's pretty widespread. I mean, I think the business activity still, despite all the headlines, feels pretty good on our end. In terms of that $4 billion number, I think the back half of the year looks pretty solid. If we continue at this pace, we should be wrapped around that number, plus or minus a little bit, as for what we see right now.

Chip Mahan
Chairman and CEO, Live Oak Bancshares

I'd just add to that, you know, as I'm looking at whatever slide Mike has got up here, 24 different verticals that we're in. It's very flattering to us that when we publish things like this on a call, that it just seems that other banks show up at the verticals that we just attacked. That's all kind of fun. That said, last week we had an all hands meeting, so we had 700+ people here at Wilmington, and I had the glorious time to spend with what we call our generals, those 30 lenders in 27 cities. To say that, you know, maybe some of this going on has affected Silver Tsunami is probably accurate. Those guys and gals basically said the last couple months or the last six weeks or so, the phones seem to be ringing off the hook. Again, those are mainly business acquisitions and their referral sources. I agree with Huntley. I mean, I think that the second half ought to be pretty good. Remember, too, that relatively, you're comparing originations year over year, that we'd lost t he subsidies last September, right, B.J.?

B.J. Losch III
CFO and Chief Banking Officer, Live Oak Bancshares

September 30th.

Chip Mahan
Chairman and CEO, Live Oak Bancshares

A lot of that growth last year through September was due to the SBA subsidy. Trying to match that year-over-year has been somewhat difficult, but we're on a roll.

Steven Alexopoulos
Equity Analyst of Mid and Small Cap Banks, JPMorgan

Great. Thank you for answering my questions.

Operator

Again, to ask a question, you will need to press star one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Jennifer Demba with Truist. Your line is now open.

Jennifer Demba
Managing Director of Equity Research, Truist

Good morning.

Chip Mahan
Chairman and CEO, Live Oak Bancshares

Good morning, Jennifer.

Huntley Garriott
President, Live Oak Bank

Jennifer.

Jennifer Demba
Managing Director of Equity Research, Truist

I can't believe it's been 7 years since the IPO. Wow, time really flew.

Chip Mahan
Chairman and CEO, Live Oak Bancshares

Time flies.

Jennifer Demba
Managing Director of Equity Research, Truist

Question on expenses. Huntley, you said you're looking at $7 million-$8 million more in expenses from 25 more tech hires you're gonna make this year. Can you give us a little bit more detail on where you think expenses could go in the second half of the year when you incorporate whatever lending and support hires you might make?

Huntley Garriott
President, Live Oak Bank

Yeah. I'll say, Jennifer, just that number. There's about $600,000 in the quarter. Call it $2.5 million of run rate of that $7 million-$8 million is already in the number you see now. The incremental from there is more like, you know, $4.5 million or $5 million. Just to give you of the incremental technology that we're thinking. I don't know, B.J., you wanna talk about sort of the broader in terms of people. I mean, really we'll continue to add lenders and technology in the numbers we've talked about. I think the headcount growth will really start to flatten from here outside of that. Those are the two areas. If we find great lenders with a short payback, put them on the field, yes, there's support to that in terms of underwriting, closing, et cetera. The technology squad that are gonna be hands-on keyboards, delivering products and features that have real returns, you know, in the market. I think the overall headcount is gonna slow down the growth outside of that pretty dramatically from here.

B.J. Losch III
CFO and Chief Banking Officer, Live Oak Bancshares

Yeah. I would just add that, if you look at Slide 17, it really is helpful to look at the adjusted expenses linked quarter up 4%, but up 32% from last year. What does that mean? It means that our expense growth trajectory is moderating, and that is in line with what we've been talking about the last couple quarters. We said that the end of 2021, we were playing catch up, particularly as it related to lender and lender support, underwriters, closers, servicing, in our business analyst group, et cetera, to keep up with the big step up in our production. Then we shifted a little bit more of our focus this year towards, again, lender expansion as well as, pulling up that technology investment, that Huntley talked about.

We kind of went through a bubble in the second half of last year and the first half of this year. I do expect that our expense growth will moderate from what you've seen over the last year. Over time, you know, we're just investing in technology talent to invest in technology. Those investments are gonna have a significant return for us over time as we build out our digital operating account, our cash management and treasury management capabilities for the larger end of our customer set for our embedded banking and the multiple partnerships that are coming online towards the end of this year and into next. There's a lot more revenue coming behind that technology investment that we'll start to see in 2023 and beyond.

Jennifer Demba
Managing Director of Equity Research, Truist

Great. Question on the business checking. You said it's ready for prime time now. Can you talk about how you're marketing that product? How you incent the employees to sell it? Just give some color.

Huntley Garriott
President, Live Oak Bank

Sure. Now we've got Micah Davis, our Chief Marketing Officer here, who can jump in and start on that one.

Micah Davis
CMO, Live Oak Bancshares

Yeah, thanks for the question, Jennifer. We're right now just starting very small. We've been primarily focused in the Carolinas, and we're-

Huntley Garriott
President, Live Oak Bank

Now we've got Micah Davis, our Chief Marketing Officer here, who can jump in and start on that one.

Micah Davis
CMO, Live Oak Bancshares

Yeah, thanks for the question, Jennifer. We're right now just starting very small. We've been primarily focused in the Carolinas, and we're expanding across the country in various specific markets that coincide with where our generalist teams are and where we have strong presence in some of our verticals. Relative to our teams selling it or lenders talking about Business Checking, that will happen over the next, call it, six months. And then we will be significantly investing in the digital marketing side to expand our presence there.

Jennifer Demba
Managing Director of Equity Research, Truist

Thanks so much.

Operator

I see no further questions at this time. I will now return the conference back to Chip Mahan for closing remarks.

Chip Mahan
Chairman and CEO, Live Oak Bancshares

We thank everyone attending this quarterly call, and we look forward to seeing you in 90 days.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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