Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL)

MSDL Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

According to 7 analysts polled by S&P Global, MSDL stock has a consensus rating of "Hold" and an average price target of $15.61. The average 1-year stock price forecast is 2.36% higher than the current stock price, while the lowest is $14 (-8.20%) and the highest is $17 (+11.48%).

Price Target: $15.61 (+2.36%)

Analyst Consensus: Hold

Target	Low	Average	Median	High
Price	$14	$15.61	$16	$17
Change	-8.20%	+2.36%	+4.92%	+11.48%

* Price targets were last updated on Apr 20, 2026.

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for MSDL stock is "Hold". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to perform similarly to the overall market.

Recommendation Trends

Rating	Nov '25	Jan '26	Feb '26	Mar '26	Apr '26	May '26
Strong Buy	2	1	1	1	1	1
Buy	1	1	1	1	1	1
Hold	4	5	5	5	5	5
Sell	0	0	0	0	0	0
Strong Sell	0	0	0	0	0	0
Total	7	7	7	7	7	7

Latest Forecasts

Analyst	Firm	Rating	Rating	Action	Price Target	Upside	Date
Douglas Harter UBS	UBS	Hold Maintains $16 → $16	Hold	Maintains	$16 → $16	+6.56%	Apr 20, 2026
Paul Johnson KBW	KBW	Hold Reiterates $17 → $16	Hold	Reiterates	$17 → $16	+4.92%	Apr 16, 2026
Richard Shane J.P. Morgan	J.P. Morgan	Hold Maintains $17 → $14	Hold	Maintains	$17 → $14	-8.20%	Mar 13, 2026
Kenneth Lee RBC Capital	RBC Capital	Hold Maintains $18 → $16	Hold	Maintains	$18 → $16	+4.92%	Mar 5, 2026
Finian O'Shea Wells Fargo	Wells Fargo	Hold Maintains $16 → $14	Hold	Maintains	$16 → $14	-8.20%	Mar 2, 2026

More Analyst Ratings

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year

365.37M

Decreased by -8.03%

from 397.29M

Revenue Next Year

365.72M

Increased by 0.10%

from 365.37M

EPS This Year

1.89

Increased by 35.06%

from 1.40

EPS Next Year

1.81

Decreased by -4.32%

from 1.89

Fiscal Year	FY 2021	FY 2022	FY 2023	FY 2024	FY 2025	FY 2026	FY 2027
Period Ending	Dec 31, 2021	Dec 31, 2022	Dec 31, 2023	Dec 31, 2024	Dec 31, 2025	Dec 31, 2026	Dec 31, 2027
Revenue	119.82M	230.59M	367.74M	416.08M	397.29M	365.37M	365.72M
Revenue Growth	447.03%	92.46%	59.48%	13.14%	-4.52%	-8.03%	0.10%
EPS	2.67	0.79	3.11	2.43	1.40	1.89	1.81
EPS Growth	10.39%	-70.54%	295.37%	-21.86%	-42.47%	35.06%	-4.32%
Forward PE	-	-	-	-	-	8.07	8.43
No. Analysts	-	-	-	-	-	9	9

Historical EPS numbers are GAAP, while forecasted numbers may be non-GAAP.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue	2026	2027	2028
High	379.1M	382.2M
Avg	365.4M	365.7M
Low	348.3M	346.0M

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth	2026	2027	2028
High	-4.6%	4.6%
Avg	-8.0%	0.1%
Low	-12.3%	-5.3%

EPS Forecast

EPS	2026	2027	2028
High	1.98	1.93
Avg	1.89	1.81
Low	1.76	1.70

EPS Growth

EPS Growth	2026	2027	2028
High	41.8%	2.2%
Avg	35.1%	-4.3%
Low	26.1%	-10.3%

Sources: Price targets and consensus ratings provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. Historical ratings and analyst data provided by TipRanks. Revenue and EPS forecast data provided by Finnhub. The data is sourced from Wall Street analysts. Data sources.