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Earnings Call: Q3 2020

Nov 9, 2020

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to The RealReal Q3 2020 earnings results conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one on your telephone keypad. I would now like to turn the call over to Paul Bieber. Sir, you may begin.

Paul Bieber
Head of Investor Relations, The RealReal

Thank you, Kory. Good afternoon, and welcome to The RealReal's earnings call for the quarter ended September 30th, 2020. I'm Paul Bieber, Head of Investor Relations at The RealReal. Joining me today to discuss our results are Founder and CEO, Julie Wainwright, and Chief Financial Officer, Matt Gustke. Hopefully, you've had a chance to read our press release and stockholder letter that we distributed earlier today, both of which are available on our investor relations website. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that we will be making forward-looking statements during the course of this call. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, and our actual results could differ materially.

You can find more information about these risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could affect our operating results in our most recent periodic report, our Form 10-K, subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, and in our earnings release from earlier today. In addition, our presentation will include certain non-GAAP financial measures, for which we have provided reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures in our earnings press release. With that, I'll hand the call over to Julie for introductory remarks, and then we'll go straight to Q&A. Julie?

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Thanks, Paul, and welcome to our Q3 earnings call, everyone. When we provided our last update in August, we were seeing encouraging signs of recovery. In July, our supply had returned to growth, and GMV was on the cusp of growth. Improving trends in our L.A. and New York City markets, led by the influx of supply into our reopened Luxury Consignment Offices, known as LCOs, and retail stores, and an increase in requests for white glove service overall contributed to our improving GMV and our GMV quarter growth. Consequently, we started reinvesting in marketing sales, hiring, and expanding our retail footprint with the launch of TRR in Chicago. We are learning how to work safely in a COVID environment and feel comfortable making these investments for current and future growth. In fact, we're beginning to show results.

The 17% quarter-over-quarter improvement in Q3 GMV underscores our improving fundamentals. So far in Q4, retail and LCO supply increased 48% year-on-year in October, compared with down 20% year-on-year in Q3 and down 81% year-over-year in Q2. This retail recovery amplifies our overall supply recovery and gives us optimism that a return to positive year-on-year GMV growth could happen over the balance of Q4. While uncertainty remains, we are laser focused on making operational changes and strategic investments that will position us to emerge from COVID a stronger, more agile company and set us up for long-term sustainable growth going forward. Once again, we'd like to thank all of our employees for their dedication to continuing to move the company forward during these unprecedented times. With that, I'll turn it over to questions.

Operator

At this time, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. If your question has been answered and you wish to remove yourself from the queue, press the pound key. One moment for your first question. Your first question comes from the line of Justin Post with Bank of America. Sir, your line is open.

Justin Post
Analyst, Bank of America

Great. I guess a couple questions here. Obviously, vaccine news. When you look out nine months to 12 months, what could be different for your supply acquisition, and you think that could really get a lot easier for you next year? Do you think as people go virtual and curbside, you could really see some savings now that you have more experience with that? Second, the marketing spend ticked up and the new buyers were, I think, 5 million in the quarter. How do you feel about the efficiency of that marketing spend, and do you think it'll get more efficient as we move forward? Thank you.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

I'll start, and then I'll turn it over to Matt. Post-COVID, here's what you don't really know what it's going to look like, but we have a pretty good indication that virtual is here to stay, and we're pretty early in the phases of using that as a tactic, it's hard to project great efficiencies. It's a really good way for our LMs to work and for some of our gemologists to work, and our watch experts also. That will definitely be in the mix going forward. Stores are going to be in the mix. Since we've reopened the stores, we're seeing, as we noted, and our LCOs, an influx of product. People are really comfortable dropping off product, and that's starting again to, in October, a record number.

We're also going to test sort of a mini store LCO concept, similar to the one in our Madison store in New York City. Very small footprint, 2,000 - 3,000 sq ft with about 400 - 500 SKUs max in the front, and then luxury consignment offices in the back. We're going to be running that test in the next 120 -1 50 days. We should have three of them, with our one opening next week in Palo Alto. That, we believe, will be part of the mix because Madison, as a neighborhood store, a small footprint neighborhood store with a luxury consignment office, has really come back quickly. We also believe vendors are going to be a more important part of our mix and maybe a greater percentage. We've always used vendors strategically to offset or to go after certain product lines.

We believe for the next year to at least 18 months, we're going to have even better quality vendor products, and we're already seeing some of that mix change now. Vendor won't be a huge percent, but it'll be a more prominent part of our business, maybe 15% of the GMV, it may be as high as 20%. We will continue to see products mix shifts too. As noted in other businesses, apparel and footwear have been down for us, while fine jewelry, handbags, and men's have done really well, along with home and art. All of those things we expect to more normalize as people get out and about and go into offices again. We expect all of our categories to start growing again in healthy numbers. I'm going to make one comment about the marketing efficiency and then turn it over to Matt.

Look, we are really great at driving down our cost of acquisition. Now wasn't the time to really pull back on putting money into the marketplace, because what we're doing is not just generating demand, but future consignors. While our marketing efficiency isn't what it was prior to COVID, we do expect it to return to a nice number and then a declining number over time. It just makes sense because we still have an amazing flywheel effect where our buyers become consignors and our consignors become buyers. With that, I'll turn it over to Matt for more color.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yeah. Thanks. Thanks, Julie, and thanks for the question, Justin. A couple ways to think about marketing efficiency, and I think there's a little bit of danger in getting too focused on the very short term. If you would go back, like, the second quarter, for example, where our marketing investment was as close to zero as we've ever been, and the marketing efficiency in that period was off the charts. Right? Naturally, there's some sort of correlation between spend and efficiency. We saw signs of recovery in as early as early May, at which point we began to progressively reinvest. We have continued to progressively reinvest as we continued to see signs of recovery in both supply and GMV. Most recently, with retail starting to come back, we're feeling that it's the right decision for us to make. It's going to take time.

The typical path for people to turning into buyers is they first become members, and then they either become a buyer or they become a consignor. The investments that we're making for today are helping us today, but they're going to help us next month, next quarter, and beyond. We are laser-focused on setting ourselves up to come out of the year in a strong trajectory and set ourselves up for a strong post-COVID world.

Justin Post
Analyst, Bank of America

Hey, thanks, Julie. Thanks, Matt. I'll get back in the queue. Appreciate it.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Oliver Chen from Cowen. Sir, your line is open.

Oliver Chen
Analyst, Cowen

Thanks. Hi, Julie and Matt. Regarding the regions, you've seen improvement in supply at New York and L.A., but New York looks like it's improved faster than L.A., which is less negative. Could you help us understand how those markets are manifesting and any differences or similarities between them? Also, the inbound operation unit costs ahead look like an opportunity for automation. What would you generally highlight for efficiencies that you're seeing ahead as we look forward to that as well?

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Hey, Oliver. I'll start again, it's nice to hear your voice, and turn it over to Matt. New York, the schools are back. Just to be blunt, the schools are open, and people came back faster into the urban areas. When we reopened SoHo and then reopened Madison, the stores became vibrant. The LCOs got busy quickly. New York, while still not performing as phenomenally as well as it did last year, beginning of this year, it seems like last year, it is coming back faster. That's what we think is the prime reason. It's just people are back and engaged in New York and New York area.

I don't know, Matt, if you have another theory, because every other number shows that it's just, we can tell you when people started coming back, and when The Hamptons started shutting down, our business started ticking up in August.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yeah. I've seen the same basic thing. The only other thing to add to that is we do have an extra store and an extra consignment office in New York, so we have a little bit more of a retail presence there. That can certainly contribute at the very tail end of the quarter and certainly into October. We're obviously encouraged by the trends in both the markets, but recognize there's still a very long way to go to where we were.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Oh, and then-

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

The second question.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Yeah. Second question. I'm sorry.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yeah. On inbound automation and efficiencies. We're progressing very nicely, even during COVID. We've basically gotten to our stated goal of 75% automation in the big three projects that we've talked about repeatedly by the end of the third quarter. We think there's some more incremental room for us to go to automate a little bit more, but the gains that are going to come from that are not so much by further automation. It's driving increasing volume through the system because there's a tremendous amount of leverage. This comes from a steady amount of a lot of supply that helps us leverage the people that we have, and there are certain aspects of the cost that are fixed. Getting back to growth is when we're really going to start to see even more benefit than we have recently.

Oliver Chen
Analyst, Cowen

Okay. Finally, on the order count, Q3 orders being down 5% and your average order value being up.

Would you expect a similar dynamic? How does that interplay with the supply units and/or the changes you're witnessing in mix?

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yes, I'll start that one. Underneath AOV are selling prices and items per transaction. Selling prices have remained elevated throughout COVID, really, and that's really on the back of a mix shift toward more handbags, jewelry, and to some extent, men's products. That we'd expect to see continuing into the fourth quarter. That other part of units per transaction, it's more tightly correlated with the abundance of supply. The total available supply in the marketplace was still down a fair amount throughout the third quarter. As our supply builds back up, that's where we'd expect to see that start to come back up and get our AOV overall back to where it was pre-COVID.

Oliver Chen
Analyst, Cowen

Thanks. Congrats on Gucci. Best regards.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Thanks.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Thanks, Oliver.

Paul Bieber
Head of Investor Relations, The RealReal

Operator, we'll take the next question.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Binetti. Sir, your line is open.

Speaker 14

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking our questions here. I just want to ask a quick one on the short term here. I want to understand how you're getting back to flat GMV with positive November, December. We're starting off at, I think, negative five in October. Obviously, we're seeing the headlines of COVID spiking again, I'm sure you're more prepared than you were last time you saw these spikes. I would assume that that could hurt supply again until there's a vaccine available, which obviously we got nice news on today. Maybe walk us through how you're building to the quarter, getting back to positive, please.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

I'll answer a little bit, and then I'll turn it over to Matt. Look, COVID's out there. It's not going away, but I would say our consignors and our sales team is learning how to live with it and pick up product safely. Store drop-offs really are changing the dynamics in key markets for us right now, even though we only have a few stores open. Not just stores, LCO drop-offs also. We're not as worried about a big shutdown like we had before, where we couldn't operate at all. I think going, certainly COVID is rampant, but it's more under control in the urban areas than it was before. We feel like we will be able to We've already seen some improvement in supply, and we're going to be able to continue to grow supply.

As we said, we're also testing the mini store LCO, like the one on Madison, that's going to open in Palo Alto. We feel pretty good about where we are, what we've seen. The number we gave out on the LCO plus retail store drop-off, up 48% year-on-year in October, I think bodes well as we move into the winter. That's why we feel good. We do expect to see seasonality in gift giving during the holiday time. It's still uncertain times. We don't want to sound overly optimistic, but we have enough early indicators that we feel good.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Mm-hmm. Yeah, not to slice this too finely, I think just to add another level. What we saw throughout Q3 was relatively steady improvements in supply, and then GMV sort of followed. We had a little bit of a lapping thing in the middle of the quarter. Coming into October, that recovery kind of stalled out for a couple of weeks, then really started to pick up momentum in the back end of October. Retail was a big driver of that, and by retail, that's inclusive of the LCOs. General recovery amplified by retail in the tail end of October, that supply, as you know, Michael, that supply is not going to hit the site for two to three or maybe even four weeks from the end of October and is going to benefit us as we kind of get deeper into the holiday season.

Speaker 14

Okay. It's a fine-tooth question, Matt, but if we take out the supply coming in through retail and LCO, it looks like if that's only 18%, I think you said, of the supply in the shareholder letter, it means the rest of the channel would be over 80%. It looks like the supply coming in through other channels is probably up high single digits in the third quarter. It seems like it leaves quite a bit of room for that to decelerate in the fourth quarter.

Double-digit growth target. Are you seeing slower trends in other areas, or is that just conservatism would be a fair answer? I'm just curious what you're seeing in the other areas.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

No, that's certainly not how we're thinking about it.

Speaker 14

Okay.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

I won't answer all those parts because they're a little bit of apples and oranges as the supply value versus supply units. Here's how I characterize it. We are calling it like we see it. I think there's enough uncertainty in the world, so we don't want to add to that uncertainty by unnecessarily providing conservatism on top of our guidance. I don't think that serves anyone well. We are being as transparent as we can possibly be, given all of the uncertainty around us and telling you exactly what we think is going to happen. We're confident that we can see a return to growth over the balance of the quarter. The entire organization is laser-focused on getting us there, not just to deliver this quarter. We're certainly not thinking exclusively about the short term.

We are very focused on setting ourselves up to exit the year with strong momentum so that when COVID is behind us, then we can really be a significant part of the bounce back story.

Speaker 14

Okay. Thanks for all the help, guys.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Eric Sheridan from UBS. Sir, your line is open.

Eric Sheridan
Analyst, UBS

Thanks so much for taking the question. Maybe I'd come back to newer sales reps that are joining the organization now. How does that compare to some of the efficiency ramps?

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Oh, we lost him.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

We lost Eric.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

We lost Eric.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Did he leave to join with us? Operator? Are you still there?

Operator

Yes, sir. You're still in the call. I'm showing his line still connected and open, at least on our end.

Eric Sheridan
Analyst, UBS

Excellent. Can you guys hear me okay?

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Oh, now you're back.

Eric Sheridan
Analyst, UBS

Okay. Sorry about that. I was curious about sales reps joining the organization now, what you're seeing from an efficiency standpoint and a productivity ramp versus before pre-COVID period, how that might compare. I apologize if I missed it earlier in the call, but anything on COVID-related expenses of a permanent nature versus transient nature, whenever that happens, when we're on the other side of this thing, how to think about the impacts on the cost structure from those two variables. Thanks, guys.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

I would say we're still learning how to ramp our team and train our team, and we've had some wins, and we've had some opportunities for improvement. It is more challenging in COVID times. People used to shadow each other. I would say that it's been uneven, some really big wins, but it's been uneven. We have work to do in our training of bringing on new people. Efficiencies, virtual is still a new tool. We're learning how to work with that. That's more, I think, a long-term situation. We've only been doing virtual now for a few months. That we do expect efficiencies over time. Right now, we're more worried about getting in as much product as possible and taking advantage of some interesting trends that we've seen.

Most notably, again, a lot of people are dropping off at the LCOs and the stores. We're capitalizing on that and moving forward.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yeah, there's a couple other things amplifying that. It always takes our new salespeople a few months to ramp.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

That's right.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

natural trajectory since the beginning of the company. We've amplified that because of how intensely the change from one quarter to the next in terms of the number of salespeople. In the second quarter, we weren't hiring anybody. In fact, we had to let a number of salespeople go. From that low point to where we're heading in Q4, the sheer number of new people is higher than really any period that I can remember as a percentage of the base. There's a short-term productivity hit. I think as we kind of get into next year, that should normalize. The second question with respect to COVID expenses.

From memory, I think we're looking at about $6 million of COVID-specific expenses for 2020, and that's going to continue on realistically at least until next summer at about $2 million-$2.5 million a quarter, after which we think it should sort of trail off. Hopefully, by this time next year, COVID is in the past, and COVID expenses are as well.

Paul Bieber
Head of Investor Relations, The RealReal

Operator, we'll go to the next question.

Operator

Yes, sir. Your next question comes from the line of Ike Boruchow from Wells Fargo. Sir, your line is open.

Ike Boruchow
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Hey, everyone. Thanks so much for the question. Matt, I kind of wanted to dig into the direct business just to make sure I understand what's going on. Today, the last couple of quarters, the thoughts for Q4 and just high level into next year, how to think about it. I mean, the penetration has obviously gone up. I think you've explained what's going on. The gross margins have been down by decent amount year-over-year. Trying to understand how to think about that into the fourth quarter. Then how do you see this kind of normalizing into next year? Is this going to take some time until things start to improve? Just anything as we look out on the profitability and the drivers of what's going on there would be helpful.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Sure. For those of you who aren't as familiar, we have a component of our revenue that is booked on a gross basis, that's direct sales. That's really anything that originates from product that is on our balance sheet as inventory. Most of that product historically has come from kind of late customer returns that we've accepted back, and has yielded about 6%-7% of our total GMV coming from that channel. It's been a touch higher over the course of this year, and that's largely due to having a relative lack of supply, we've had to sell harder into the inventory that we had on hand. That's a temporary phenomenon, and as we build back supply, that component of direct should normalize out.

We are starting to ramp, though it's very small still, a buy-upfront program that we use selectively with both individual consignors and some of our business or vendor sellers, where we offer to buy products upfront. That yields a slightly better margin for us at the end of the day. We're highly selective in the products that we offer that to. That has a small impact now, and expected to be a relatively small impact going forward. That said, given the nature of that business, where the costs are essentially fixed upfront and the GMV that comes from that is subject to a little bit of ASP pressure, that's where you kind of get that margin variability.

It's a small part of our overall mix of GMV and doesn't really have any material impact by the time you get down to what really matters, which is our gross profit per order. Going forward, I think you're going to see percentage margin variability, anywhere from the low teens to, let's call it 20%, but it doesn't really have a weighted average material impact on gross margin.

Ike Boruchow
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Is there anything on the inventory on the balance sheet today, Matt, that makes you uncomfortable? Are you pretty clean with your inventory right now?

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Our inventory at the end of the quarter is, I think it's still sub $20 million. Yes, it's still a very small inventory balance in the grand scheme of things, and we're not looking at that and thinking about any significant inventory risk.

Ike Boruchow
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay. Thanks. Good luck.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Edward Yruma from KeyBanc Capital Markets. Sir, your line is open.

Edward Yruma
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hey, good evening, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. I guess first, Matt, just a quick modeling question. You said somewhere in the shareholder letter that you expect unit shipped to approach double-digit, and yet GMV is expected to be flat. Just wanted to square those two comments. I guess second, you pointed out some mix issues, favorable mix issues, but ultimately resulting in lower take rate, I think 190 bps decrease year-over-year. Do you expect this mix to kind of hold in the short to medium term? There have been some publicized large competitors that are seemingly incentivizing some of these categories. Are you seeing downward pressure on some of these hot items like sneakers and watches? Thank you.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Okay. I will start with the supply-demand, and maybe you want to talk about some of the category trends we're seeing, Julie. What we laid out in shareholder letter with supply outpacing demand, that's entirely consistent with what we anticipated and what we, in fact, knew needed to happen coming out of the year. Because the reality is we were in a supply imbalance and a deficit in available supply versus where we were a year ago. In order to get the marketplace back in true balance so that supply and demand can grow in lockstep going forward, we first needed to get back to kind of even water level. That is the simple math. If we're growing supply in the high single digits over the balance of the year, that'll enable us to kind of get back to seeing positive growth in the GMV side.

Then I'll start on the category piece. You're right, higher selling price products have an inverse correlation with take rate. Handbags, jewelry, watches, et cetera. In the very short term, I think that mix stays, because COVID or not, that is the typical holiday mix. Particularly as we get into the peak of the holiday season, I would expect to see elevated levels of those product categories, more or less consistent with what we saw in Q3, frankly, maybe a little bit higher. As we get into next year, we are seeing interesting signs of recovery across categories. It's not like no one's buying women's ready-to-wear. That is coming back nicely as well. Particularly as we get closer to the end of COVID, I think we'll start to see our product mix drift back to what its historical level was.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

When you're talking about increased competition, we have such a large TAM, we really don't feel, especially when peer-to-peer marketplaces start going down to maybe no commission or aggressive commissions, that's a way for them to compete. The self-posting world really isn't our consignor base, and so we don't see that as any competition for product at all. Yeah. I think that's probably the fairest way to say, but we do participate in a very large TAM, and for us, it's just getting the product back in again, but it's coming in nicely for us.

Edward Yruma
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Great. Thank you.

Paul Bieber
Head of Investor Relations, The RealReal

Operator, we'll go to the next question.

Operator

Okay. Your next question comes from the line of Aaron Kessler from Raymond James. Sir, your line is open.

Aaron Kessler
Analyst, Raymond James

Great. Thank you. Just a couple of questions. First, just on the supply acquisition, can you give me a rough sense for where that sits today by mix, and maybe potentially how you see that changing longer term? Should we expect some of these mini-stores to replace some of the historical kind of white glove service as well, how are you thinking about maybe the cutoff for white glove, is it going to be by price, or how are you looking at deciding when you send out a salesperson to a person's home going forward? Thank you.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Look, the mix hasn't changed that much. We've been pushing certain categories because we go into high seasonality. We always sell a lot of handbags, fine jewelry, and watches. If you go to our site and you see any kind of promotion, it's just our normal prep for high seasonality. On the mini-stores, I think first it's probably a good moment to take a step back. Before COVID, we saw a shift, where people were dropping off things at the LCOs and the stores when we got up to about 18% of supply value coming in through those channels. We changed the shift of the type of people that work in those stores, and our LMs did not facilitate that transaction with our consignor. We've already changed that. I would assume that if these mini-stores work, then we will have a different mix.

We have more associates, more sales associates, and consignor associates working to assist the consignors in those stores. They can be set up a more efficient model for us. I don't know if that answered the entire question.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Most of it. The other question is how we're thinking about the traditional white glove in-home service going forward?

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Well, we've always had a cutoff. We've sort of worked the way the consignor works. Our average, and this really has been fascinating to watch, even with our virtual appointments and curbside pickup, we've always gotten about two and a half times more value by going to someone's home than if they send it in to us. That's just the nature of having a close relationship with the consignor and qualifying them before we go into the home. We've always had that, and I don't expect that to change at all. What may change is the mix in a market, especially if these mini-stores start working. Instead of maybe hiring more people in a regional market, it would shift to a different type of sales associate in the store.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

What's clear is the virtual style of appointment is not just a COVID phenomenon. It's here to stay. It works very well for certain people. The exact mix of in-home versus virtual going forward, we don't know. We're certainly going to let our consignors largely lead us there, because at the end of the day, we're providing a service, and we want to make sure that our consignors are as satisfied as they can be. Interestingly, very recently, we've been starting to see an uptick in the interest for in-home appointments again. I think that's kind of another sign to us that people are kind of settling in to trying to think about a post-COVID life.

Aaron Kessler
Analyst, Raymond James

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Your next-

Paul Bieber
Head of Investor Relations, The RealReal

Operator, we'll go to the next question.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Rick Patel from Needham & Company. Sir, your line is open.

Rick Patel
Analyst, Needham & Company

Good afternoon. Hope everyone is well. I had a question on the vendor program. I believe you've mentioned this could reach 15%-20% of the business. Does this happen over the next year, or do you see this as a long-term target? Second, can you provide some additional color on the areas of investments that would be needed to support growth here? I'm just curious how it affects the margin trajectory as we think about the coming quarters.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

It's really more of a long-term. It's probably more of an 18-month plan to get the vendor at that level. We've already started staffing and changing our staff to have category expertise and bringing in more senior people in that category. We'll not quite change the entire team. We're more strengthening the team, but it's getting there. It's more within the next 12 - 18 months, we'd expect that shift to happen.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yeah, part of getting there is staffing up and creating a category expertise and focus. Technology is another key portion of the strategy, where we need to build out certain technology that can support selling multiple quantities of a similar item. That itself, that's a multi-quarter journey to get that launched and really streamlined. In terms of the impact on margins, it's hard to say because we don't know exactly what the vendor product is going to be. If it's similar to how it has been historically, it tends to be significantly higher than average value in terms of selling price per product. Of course, that means the take rate is lower, but when you translate that down to the actual number of dollars of GMV and gross profit dollars per unit, it tends to be significantly higher than average.

It should be additive to our contribution margin over time.

Rick Patel
Analyst, Needham & Company

Can you talk about the competitive backdrop as well, with holiday promotions starting earlier this year. Are you seeing any impact on your business in terms of average selling price or perhaps gross margin as you need to price competitively?

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yeah, I'll start that. No, it's a simple answer. I mean, our average selling price was up 9% in the quarter, continues to be up year-over-year. We're not seeing any particular impact that's connected to the retail environment. Now, part of that is given the mix of products that we have right now, which is skewed more toward handbags, jewelry, watches, which just inherently have much less promotional pressure potential. That's the good news, bad news, right? As the supply starts to come back, it's going to be coming back and demand is going to be coming back even more so in women's ready-to-wear, but that will be a nice problem for us to have going forward. Thank you. All the best this holiday.

Rick Patel
Analyst, Needham & Company

Thank you.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Thank you.

Paul Bieber
Head of Investor Relations, The RealReal

Operator, we'll go to the next question.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Susan Anderson from B. Riley. Ma'am, your line is open.

Alec Legg
Analyst, B. Riley

Hi, it's Alec Legg for Susan. Thanks for taking our question. Just to go back on those mini store formats, are you able to provide any details on the type of locations you've targeted?

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Sure.

Alec Legg
Analyst, B. Riley

Are they more city centers or suburbs? Have you looked into mall locations by chance?

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Yes. Again, the best test example we have is our Madison store in New York City, which is a very neighborhoody store. Certainly, it's still very urban, but it's very neighborhoody. We're looking at neighborhoods around key markets. Our first store that we're going to test this outside of New York City is in Palo Alto. We're looking in San Jose, we're looking outside the main center, but still important centers in both California and New York. Still very populous states. Texas. We'll see how it goes. Again, we're going to open three and see how that works. We have looked at malls. We continue to look at malls.

They still don't look like they're the answer for us for many different reasons, including they're still fairly aggressive in their cost structure where they want a percent of sales, when there's a lot of really nice retail space everywhere now in the two to three thousand square foot space in neighborhoods that we think are going to be better for us financially and perhaps better for us than we'll find out in terms of customer adoption.

Alec Legg
Analyst, B. Riley

Okay. Thank you. Very helpful. Then on the new Chicago store, congratulations on that. Are you able to provide how that's performed relative to the other four locations? I guess just the general reception of that store.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

All right. Yes, I am so glad you asked that question. I happened to be there on the opening weekend. It was the best opening weekend we've ever had for a store, and it was boarded up, as most stores still were, as a precaution going into the election. I'm happy to say it continues to do very well. The boards are coming off this week. We're just thrilled. It's a great location on Michigan Avenue. Our single biggest store under one roof. I think L.A. has similar square feet, but it's two different stores. You have to go outside to get into the other one. It looks like it's off to a very good start.

Alec Legg
Analyst, B. Riley

That's great to hear. Thank you.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Great. Operator, I think we'll take our last question now.

Operator

Okay. Sir, your last question comes from the line of Simeon Siegel from BMO Capital Markets. Sir, your line is open.

Simeon Siegel
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thanks, everyone. Good afternoon. Matt, just touching back on your supply demand comment, the high single digit delta between supply and demand, is that the normal lag you'd expect to run or is that a catch up? Any way to quantify how much of the ASP increase was mixed versus like for like? Thank you.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Sure. Yeah, it is entirely a catch up. Our available supply in the marketplace was down approximately 10% year-over-year throughout the duration of the third quarter. This just really allows us to get back to a normalized state. Now, it's not always the case that supply and demand go in lockstep in a given month or even quarter. There are periods of supply build and supply sell through. In a normalized state, we have to just play catch up so that we can, on an annual basis at least, get back into balance going forward. Remind me of the second question.

Simeon Siegel
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Sure. If you can quantify the ASP.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

ASP. Yeah. It's mixed. It's all mixed. It's all mixed toward handbags, watches, jewelry, and then to a smaller degree, men's, which is slightly higher than average. Like for like is.

Simeon Siegel
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Great, thanks. Do you have a view on which of these product category mix are pandemic focused versus might be, excuse me, longer lasting trends?

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

To be honest, I think it's all pandemic focused because apparel's slowly coming back, but apparel is and fine jewelry and watches are growing. Men's is growing. Apparel's still down, although it's significantly better than it was during Q2.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yeah. The one exception to that is men's.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Oh, shoes. Wait.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yeah.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Shoes are also down.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yeah.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Shoes are more down than apparel, so I think that's somewhat entertaining on a pure level. We expect some categories to return to a more normal rate when people go back to work and go out more often, go to occasions.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Right. With the exception that our men's business is still significantly under-penetrated relative to the rest of the business. We would expect to see that continue to grow at higher rates over the next few years than the overall business.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

It's growing now. Yes.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yeah.

Simeon Siegel
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Best luck for holiday. Thank you.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Thank you.

Matt Gustke
CFO, The RealReal

Yeah. Thank you.

Julie Wainwright
Founder and CEO, The RealReal

Thanks. That concludes our Q3. Next time we'll be talking to you, it'll be on the other side of the holiday. I want to wish you all a happy and safe holidays. I appreciate your time today. Thank you very much. Ladies and gentlemen.

Operator

Everyone else has left the call.

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.