Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC)
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Earnings Call: Q4 2023

Apr 3, 2023

Operator

Good morning. My name is Rob, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the SAIC fourth quarter fiscal year 2023 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, press the star one. Thank you.

Joe DeNardi
SVP of Investor Relations & Treasurer, Science Applications International Corp

Good morning, and thank you for joining SAIC's fourth quarter fiscal year 2023 earnings call. My name is Joe DeNardi, Vice President of Investor Relations and Strategic Ventures. Joining me today to discuss our business and financial results are Nazzic Keene, our Chief Executive Officer, and Prabu Natarajan, our Chief Financial Officer. Today, we will discuss our results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2023 that ended February 3rd, 2023. Earlier this morning, we issued our earnings release, which can be found at investors.saic.com, where you will also find supplemental financial presentation slides to be utilized in conjunction with today's call and a copy of management's prepared remarks. These documents, in addition to our Form 10-K to be filed later today, should be utilized in evaluating our results and outlook along with information provided on today's call.

Please note that we may make forward-looking statements on today's call that are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from statements made on this call. I refer you to our SEC filings for a discussion of these risks, including the Risk Factors section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. The statements represent our views as of today, and subsequent events may cause our views to change. We may elect to update the forward-looking statements at some point in the future, but we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so. We will discuss non-GAAP financial measures and other metrics which we believe provide useful information for investors, and both our press release and supplemental financial presentation slides include reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP measures.

The non-GAAP measures should be considered in addition to, and not a substitute for, financial measures in accordance with GAAP. It is now my pleasure to introduce our CEO, Nazzic Keene.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Thank you, Joe. Good morning to those joining our call. Earlier today, we reported strong results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023. I am particularly proud of the 10% revenue growth we reported in the quarter, which exceeded our expectations due to the intensity and focus across the enterprise that is very encouraging to see. As I've done in recent quarters, I want to start by highlighting two SAIC colleagues for their contribution to our inclusive culture in the advancement of values which are the foundation to our success. As you know, March was Women's History Month, which we celebrate at SAIC through our Women's Employee Resource Group, led by April Wynn from our strategic planning team, and Sandra Dorsey, a cybersecurity specialist here at SAIC.

The theme for this year's Women's History Month was Celebrating Women Who Tell Our Stories, which we embraced at SAIC through several enterprise-wide initiatives. In one of these, the SAIC Women's Employee Resource Group partnered with Girls Inc. of Greater Washington, D.C., for a book donation drive and collaborative panels in which students and SAIC employees shared their stories about women and efforts that inspire them to be strong, smart, and bold. I want to personally thank April and Sandra for their inspiration, their leadership, and their related accomplishments. Now on to a review of our financial results and recent portfolio actions. As I mentioned, we reported revenues of $2 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 10%.

After adjusting for the benefit of five additional working days in the quarter, we delivered organic growth of roughly 2% while overcoming approximately four points of headwind from previously discussed contract transitions. Our strong close to the year, combined with recent business development momentum, both on new business and recompetes, gives me confidence that we can sustain and ultimately improve upon recent organic growth rates. It is important to note that our book-to-bill, backlog, and revenue results in fiscal year 2023 do not include any contribution from two strategically significant new program wins: DCSA, which was recently re-awarded, and T-Cloud, which remains in protest. Combined, we believe these two programs can ultimately contribute at least 3 points of growth for SAIC once both are fully ramped up.

Given the still uncertain timing of these program starts, our fiscal year 2024 revenue guidance for roughly 3% of pro forma organic growth does not include any material contribution from either program. We look forward to being able to deliver value to both customers once these programs clear the typical post-award process. While our margins in the fourth quarter were modestly impacted by dilutive material-related revenue, I am pleased with our program execution, and we have solid visibility into continued margin expansion over the next few years, which is reflected in our fiscal year 2024 margin guidance for 50 basis points of year-over-year improvement.

Contributing to this, as announced, we signed an agreement to sell our logistics and supply chain business to ASRC Federal for $350 million in cash, which we expect to close in the coming months. While the business was not a significant contributor to our financials, the transaction aligns with our strategy to focus our resources and investment dollars on areas of the market where we have a strong right to win and provide the most attractive long-term return for shareholders. The sale price represents roughly 11.5x prior year free cash flow, which we believe delivers an attractive return for our shareholders. Although we face a period of somewhat heightened political and budgetary noise over the next few quarters, we are bullish that our disciplined investment decisions and strategy position us well to best meet increasing customer demand amidst a very challenging threat environment.

It is only through the dedication and commitment from our employees that we are able to deliver excellence to our customers and value to our shareholders. I want to thank all of my SAIC colleagues for your contribution to our strong performance this past year. With that, I'll turn the call over to Prabu to discuss our financial results and improved outlook in a bit longer than usual discussion as there is much to cover.

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

Thank you, Nazzic, and good morning, everyone. We've reported strong fiscal fourth-quarter results with revenue of $2 billion, up 10% year-over-year or 2% when adjusting for the five extra working days. Again, benefiting from strong execution and a continued focus to drive on contract growth, which allowed us to overcome revenue pressure from contract transitions. While this introduced some modest margin pressure, which resulted in our fourth-quarter margin of 8.7% being slightly lower than expected, we see a multi-year opportunity to materially improve margins. We reported adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.04, which benefits from a lower tax rate and a roughly 4% year-over-year reduction in our diluted share count as a result of our continued return of capital to shareholders via our share repurchase program.

Our fourth-quarter free cash flow of $148 million resulted in full-year free cash flow of $457 million, which included a roughly $90 million impact related to Section 174 cash tax payments, partially offset by related cash tax benefits of approximately $20 million. As a reminder, this additional $70 million of cash tax payments was not included in our prior guidance for free cash flow of $500 million-$520 million. Adding back the Section 174 and other related cash tax payments, we achieved free cash flow of $525 million, $5 million ahead of the top end of our prior guidance and represents growth of 12% versus fiscal year 2022.

I am particularly proud of our cash flow performance in the quarter as we were able to overcome payment delays all year with an intensity and focus to deliver on our financial commitments. In the month of January, we achieved the highest level of monthly cash collections in SAIC's history. I want to thank all of our finance and business unit leaders who contributed to this and to our treasury team who led the effort. On business development, we had $1.3 billion of net bookings in the fourth quarter, which contributed to a trailing-twelve-month book-to-bill of approximately 1x. Included in this was a $350 million extension on our Department of State Vanguard program, which provides us visibility on that contract through our FY 2024 and partially into our FY 2025.

While our book-to-bill of approximately 1.0 is generally in line with our average over the prior year, our trailing 3-year book-to-bill is over 1.2x, we continue to be confident around our ability to generate stronger rates of organic growth for two reasons. 1, our win rates on new business pursuits is strong, highlighted by the two new wins which Nazzic mentioned. 2, our recompete win rates are returning to normalized levels in recent quarters as we annualize recompete loss headwinds in the quarters ahead, partially in our fiscal second quarter and fully in our fiscal third quarter. Although we have key recompetes to focus on in FY 2024 and beyond, we are heartened by the ability of our organization to bounce back from these temporary setbacks. Importantly, the Vanguard extension and the supply chain divestiture certainly improve the near-term risk profile of the company.

Prior to discussing our updated FY 2024 guidance, I want to quickly summarize the financial impact from our two recent portfolio actions, the divestitures of our logistics and supply chain management business, and the deconsolidation of our Forfeiture Support Associates joint venture. Our supply chain business consists of a portfolio of contracts which contributed roughly $645 million to revenue in FY 2023, approximately $35 million-$40 million of Adjusted EBITDA, and $30 million of free cash flow. The second item relates to the deconsolidation of our joint venture, Forfeiture Support Associates, which SAIC acquired as part of the Engility transaction. Effective February 4, 2023, we amended the operating agreement such that SAIC no longer controls the joint venture, and accordingly, we've begun accounting for the arrangement as an equity method investment.

The deconsolidation will reduce our FY 2024 revenue by approximately $150 million, our Adjusted EBITDA by roughly $3 million and our free cash flow by approximately $6 million. For clarity, the combined impact from these two transactions on our FY 2024 financials will be a $650 million reduction in revenue and $35 million reduction in Adjusted EBITDA, resulting in a roughly 30 basis point benefit to year-over-year margins. For FY 2025, we expect an additional 10 basis points of margin from our logistics and supply chain management divestiture. Our updated FY 2024 guidance assumes approximately one quarter of financial contribution from that business for the year. We will provide updated guidance if needed based on the actual closing date of the transaction.

I would now like to discuss our updated and improved outlook for fiscal year 2024 after adjusting for the two items just mentioned and the impact of Section 174 on cash taxes. Given the number of changes compared to our prior guidance, we have provided additional detail and disclosures in our slide presentation to assist with modeling and to clarify the underlying strong performance from the go-forward SAIC. Our FY 2024 revenue guidance for a range of $7.05 billion-$7.20 billion reflects organic growth of roughly 3% at the midpoint. After adjusting for the fewer working days in FY 2024, our supply chain sale and the deconsolidation of FSA.

On a reported basis, we expect roughly flat revenue in our fiscal first quarter with improving growth rates into F2Q and F3Q as we annualize contract transitions and benefit from new programs ramping up. Our fiscal fourth quarter will be impacted by an estimated $150 million headwind from fewer working days, which will result in flat or modest growth on a GAAP basis, but strong growth rates when adjusting for the working days. Our FY 2024 margin guidance of 9.2%-9.4% compares to our FY 2023 margin of 8.8% and includes 20 basis points from margin improvement initiatives and an estimated 30 basis points benefit from our portfolio actions. As Nazzic mentioned, we continue to see a multiyear opportunity to drive organic margin improvement.

Our FY 2024 EPS guidance for a range of $6.80-$7.00 compares to our FY 2023 EPS of $7.55. As illustrated on slide 12, the midpoint of our guidance reflects roughly $0.60 of operational improvement, offset by the divestiture of our supply chain business and below the line items, including a higher tax rate assumption and increased interest expense. Note that the dilution associated with our supply chain divestiture is expected to be minimal over time as we actively deploy the proceeds from the sale.

Our FY 2024 free cash flow guidance of $460 million-$480 million compares to our prior guidance of $560 million and includes a $100 million impact associated with the net effect of higher Section 174 and other cash tax payments and our supply chain divestiture. This is offset by an approximately $10 million benefit to free cash flow from expected operational improvements. Note that we've provided an updated multiyear free cash flow walk on slide 13 to reflect the effects of our supply chain sale and Section 174. We continue to see strong opportunities to increase free cash flow in the coming years despite the expected impact from higher cash taxes.

Based on our updated intention to repurchase approximately $350 million-$400 million of shares in FY 2024 with a continued bias towards repurchases in FY 2025 and FY 2026, we have good visibility to strong free cash flow per share for our shareholders. This outlook is supported by our recently announced $1 billion share repurchase program. Even with this plan for increased repurchases, we will maintain sufficient capacity for capability-focused M&A over the next few years. Importantly, our capital structure and debt maturity profile is in good shape with no meaningful maturities until October 2025. We intend to provide a detailed multi-year financial outlook at our Investor Day next Tuesday to include revenue, earnings, free cash flow and capital deployment. I very much look forward to seeing all of you there. With that, I will turn the call back to Nazzic.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

As Prabu mentioned, as you've seen, we will be hosting our Investor Day next week on April 11th. While I won't preview any of the specific financial targets we'll provide then, I do want to quickly highlight 3 things that we're looking to accomplish during our time with you. First, to provide you with an improved understanding of who we are, our key leaders, and the markets and capabilities we're investing in. Second, to provide multi-year financial targets and articulate a compelling investment case for SAIC shareholders. Third, to discuss our commitment to being an asset-light technology integrator with a shareholder-focused capital deployment strategy. We're very excited about seeing all of you next week, and thank you in advance for joining us. We'll now take your questions.

Operator

At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from the line of Jason Gursky from Citi. Your line is open.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Hey, good morning, everybody.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Good morning.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Yeah, Nazzic, one question for you and Prabu, one for you. I'm just curious on the outlook for bookings for the year, kind of what's in the pipeline and what you expect from a book-to-bill this year. Maybe some color on the cadence of that, kind of whether we're front-end loaded, back-end loaded, and kind of your expectations around, you know, the behavior of the customer as we head into what is likely another CR. Then Prabu, for you, it looks like on the margin guidance that you're kind of flat to up 20 basis points on a pro forma basis. I was wondering if you could just describe to us what you think will allow you to get to the top end of your range.

Thanks for, thanks for the time.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Great. Thanks, Jason. Let me tackle your first one in a couple of ways. You know, obviously all of us are closely watching what's happening in Washington, the budget impacts, and certainly we expect a CR this year, and could be even, you know, a bit longer than we've seen in the past. We continue to navigate that. The good news is we have experience and a lot of history in navigating a CR, and we work very closely with our customers to do exactly that. On-contract growth will be a key component of our sales strategy this year, as it has been the last couple of years, and we continue to see great success in being able to drive on-contract growth with our customers.

It's probably even more important this year as we help our customers ensure that they can deliver on their mission objectives in the event that there is an elongated CR. Working very closely on that particular part of our booking strategy and our sales strategy. As it relates to bookings in general, you know, we don't tend to give guidance in that arena, but we would, you know, continue to expect strong bookings, a good mix of recompetes as well as new business. As Prabu mentioned in his prepared remarks, we have seen our recompete win rates get back to our more normalized, very strong position, and we continue to see the opportunity to drive that.

On the new business side, as we continue to focus on our GTA areas of opportunity and building our pipeline in that arena and booking business in those areas, we continue to see good traction there. We don't tend to provide guidance, but I'm comfortable going into the year with a portfolio, a pipeline that will support the growth targets that we've outlined. Prabu?

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

Thanks, Nazzic. Thanks, Jason, for the question. Maybe before the margin question, book-to-bill, the bookings do not reflect DCSA One IT, which was recently re-awarded to us, nor does it obviously include T-Cloud, which is still kind of early days of the protest process. As we pointed over the course of FY 2023, you know, our new business win rate was trending very nicely, actually, higher than our historical averages for new business, and the trend has continued to start FY 2024. As Nazzic exactly pointed out, we don't offer kind of guidance on book-to-bill, but, you know, look for that number to be, you know, above 1.0, comfortably, and that's sort of, you know, how we're targeting kind of long-term trajectory for book-to-bill to ensure that we are consistently growing the business kind of big picture.

On the margin, rate guidance, I think you're exactly right. I think, sort of on a truly pro forma basis, you know, we are expecting the business to grind up about 20 basis points kind of year-over-year. I'm, I think, very proud of, you know, kind of what we delivered last year and obviously the portfolio actions plus the other things that we've got in the hopper here allow us to get comfortable on a 50 basis point increase to margin rate from 8.8% to 9.3% at the midpoint. you know, there are a couple of things that we've, you know, very actively looked at, you know, continued focus on efficiency-related improvements.

You know, we have actively talked about our real estate footprint as a potential tailwind here as we continue to cycle out of facilities that are minimally used inside the organization. We are very actively looking at labor curves across the portfolio. I'd say the short way of answering the question would be that we've got a few things that we are continuing to grind through inside the organization that gives us comfort that we will obviously, you know, continue to move margin up on a multi-year basis. The reality is, at Q1, you know, we wanna make sure we start the year appropriately placed on the risks and opportunities side, and hopefully we continue to execute and improve margins, as we, grind through the rest of the year.

Jason Gursky
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Citi

Okay. Great. Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from a line of Matt Akers from Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Matthew Akers
Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Yeah. Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks for the question. I wanted to ask kind of on the portfolio, you know, after this divestiture, the logistics business, I guess, are there other pieces that maybe don't fit? I guess on the flip side, are there maybe other assets that you might need to sort of enact this GTA kind of mixed strategy that you've talked about, and maybe could M&A be part of the cash flow story going forward?

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Yeah. Matt, it's Nazzic. Hi. A couple things. On the, you know, is there other aspects of the portfolio that we're looking at how our current portfolio supports our long-term objectives, and we continue to do that on a regular basis. As we sit here today, we don't see anything that bubbles up. As it relates to that divestiture, I wanted to highlight a couple of things. You know, we are very proud of what that portfolio has contributed to SAIC over the many years since it was acquired into the SAIC portfolio.

As we sat here today and as we've been communicating with you, as we focus on the GTA part of our strategy, it became, you know, not core to our long-term strategy. We looked for the right time at the right price that, you know, all the rights, for an opportunity to divest it. Very pleased with how the team has executed against that objective, and very proud and pleased with where it's going to end up inside of ASRC Federal, where I know they'll have a great ability to drive their business, drive growth, and be a great part of their long-term strategy. As we sit here today, we don't see anything else that falls into that category. On the flip side of your question, you know, do we see opportunities to acquire?

You know, we're very well-positioned at SAIC. We believe we've got the scale and the capacity to deliver and execute on the strategy that we've been communicating and the strategy in which we'll provide some, you know, some longer term financial guidance next week. There could be opportunities for us to do some technology-based tuck-ins as we did with the Koverse acquisition. We continue to look at the opportunity space to accelerate our GTA strategy today. That's where I would see potential acquisition. Again, we're very choosy, very particular, and very disciplined. As I look forward, if there is an opportunity similar to what we did with Koverse, where it accelerates the current part of our strategy, we would certainly take a hard look at that type of acquisition.

Matthew Akers
Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay. Great. Thanks. I guess if I could do one more. Just, if you could remind us on recompete, I know, you mentioned Vanguard got extended. You know, anything else, that we should watch for looking forward?

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Certainly, the Vanguard, you know, is one that's top of mind. It's everybody in the industry knows about it, and is a significant part of our portfolio. Very pleased with our team's focus as we continue to deliver to our, you know, our critical customer, the Department of State there. Very proud of their keeping the eye on the ball even through the, you know, the procurement process that is taking place. As we look forward, there's always, you know, some elements of recompete in a portfolio, and we keep a close eye on those.

We just, you know, we've become, over the course of the last couple of years, much more disciplined, much more focused on ensuring that we're delivering the right solution to the customer at the right price to protect those recompetes that are so critical to our success. You know, due to competitive reasons, we prefer not to touch or talk about too many of those in a public forum.

Matthew Akers
Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Yeah. Understood. Thank you.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Robert Connors from Stifel. Your line is open.

Robert Connors
Equity Research Analyst, Stifel

Prabu Natarajan, this is Rob in for Bert. Are you guys able to hear me?

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Yes. Good morning.

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

We can hear you. Good morning.

Robert Connors
Equity Research Analyst, Stifel

Okay. great. I was just wondering with regards to the margin expansion, I think before you guys had cited some metrics around GTA versus core. Just trying to get a sense of part of the margin expansion story going into 2024, how much is driven by GTA versus core versus sort of on-contract growth?

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

Sure. Hey, Rob. Prabu here. I'll take that one. We flagged, you know, over the last few quarters that we expect GTA margins to be about 200 basis points higher than our core margins. That was obviously before the divestiture of the supply chain business, as well as the deconsolidation of the FSA joint venture. We continue to see GTA margins trending at least 2% higher than the core margins, which are now actually higher than where they used to be. Core margins are sitting right about the high eights now. Therefore, you know, we are continuing to see that opportunity on a multi-year basis. We tend to think about what's inside of the pipeline and whether the pipeline is biased to higher levels of GTA. The answer is that's an important metric we track inside the company.

The pipeline is trending towards and biasing towards higher levels of GTA on a multi-year basis. Then we wanna make sure that we are differentiated in the things that we're going after. We're really truly focused on the quality of the things that we're chasing to ensure that we are not spraying the investment dollars across the portfolio. You know, both tuned into the depth of the pipeline, but also the quality of the things that we're going after. We continue to see, I'd say, encouraged by the potential for margin expansion as we inflect the business towards higher levels of GTA over the next several years. Hopefully, that was responsive.

Robert Connors
Equity Research Analyst, Stifel

Yeah, that was great. Thanks for that, Prabu. sort of as a follow-up, you know, recently you guys have announced some hires around the Navy and Army business units. Just sort of wondering what your guys' thinking is around that. What were, you know, some of the holes or capabilities that were brought to the table by some of the recent business unit hires? Thanks.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Nazzic here. Yes, thanks for noticing that. You know, one of the critical elements in our type of business, services business is the, you know, the caliber and the talent and what the people bring to the table. Very proud of over the course of the last few years, we've been looking across the organization to do a few things. Where, you know, where it makes sense, bring in some new talent with, you know, aligned to our priorities, aligned to the growth priorities, the margin priorities, and most importantly, our customer priorities. In many cases, look for the opportunity to develop the talent that we have in efforts like rotations to get additional skills in the company.

As you've commented in those two portfolios, we've been able to accomplish many things exactly on those fronts. We've got some great talent that has been able to do some rotations and build out their skill sets and become even more valuable leaders for SAIC. We've had the opportunity to also bring in some talent from the outside that strengthen our team and make us a better company, and also deliver, you know, stronger solutions to our customers. We take advantage of those opportunities when we can to ensure that we have the absolute best talent, the best leadership in the industry.

Matthew Akers
Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Okay, great. Thanks for taking my question.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Sure thing.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Seth Seifman from JP Morgan. Your line is open.

Speaker 12

Hi. Good morning. This is Rocco on for Seth.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Hi, there.

Speaker 12

Going back to the prior question, what sort of changes are driving the increased recompete win rate as well as the win rate on new businesses?

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

This has been an area we've shared some of this over the course of the last many quarters. You know, there's probably nothing that motivates a team more than losing. You know, we had some losses, you know, several quarters ago. You guys saw them, we felt them. Certainly we, you know, we try to take advantage of situations where we can do better. I would say that, you know, a couple losses really kind of accelerated some things that we were already doing. Of course, you know, we love to win. This is a team that loves to win.

Across the board, we have been doing, you know, some good soul searching on what we did well and what we didn't do so well and have corrected those areas. We've talked about briefly on my last question, the topic of talent, we've been able to bring in some great new talent to strengthen our sales and business development teams. We have been laser-focused on on-contract growth, helping our customers deliver on their missions. I think those are certainly some highlights, but I will tell you, this is something that gets my attention on a daily basis, Prabu's attention, and the entire ELT really looking at what are those must wins inside the company, ensuring that we're dedicating the resources, you know, to those areas of the opportunity or those areas of pipeline that we have to win.

As Prabu mentioned on the last question that he addressed, is also being, you know, pretty focused and disciplined on what we pursue because, you know, there's so much opportunity, there's so many RFPs, there's so many opportunities for us to make a difference. To those, to the extent that we can focus on our key accounts and the GTA areas and our core areas of focus, we've been a little bit more differentiated in how we focus our attention and our money. I would say there's many aspects that are going into that. It is, it's certainly not a one and done.

We intend to strengthen our abilities in this area to continue to drive great success in our recompete win rates as well as our new business, recognizing that we're not gonna win everything, and we're not gonna win every recompete. But to those that are must wins for us, we aspire and we put our money where our mouth is and our talent where our mouth is to ensure that we have the best solution for the customer. Prabu, anything you want to add to that?

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

No, that was fantastic, Nazzic. Nothing to add.

Speaker 12

Right. Touching on the talent portion, how has the hiring environment changed over the last few months?

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

A couple comments there. I would say on the, you know, turnover is obviously a part of that dynamic. We are seeing turnover return to, you know, much more closely aligned to the pre-pandemic levels. Very, very pleased to see, you know, what was, you know, probably heightened issue for us as well as other companies over the course of the last couple of years, get back to what a more normalized environment. It is an area we can, you know, continue to focus on. We wanna be best in class when it comes to turnover, as well as hiring. On the hiring side, you know, certainly we, there's some headwinds in, you know, in some areas, but I would say over the last few months, it has gotten what I would consider more normalized.

There's pockets of the business, if you think about, you know, looking for special security clearances that tend to take us a little bit longer as it does everybody in the industry. In general, the hiring teams are hiring what we need to, especially as we're looking to start up some of these new programs, that's top of mind for us. We've put again, tremendous focus on that as well as trying to mitigate the turnover risk where it makes sense. There's pockets of the business that are more critical than others. Appreciate the question. It is a dynamic we're all watching, especially the services business, but very pleased with how we sit today.

Speaker 12

Great. Thank you.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Cai von Rumohr from Cowen. Your line is open.

Cai von Rumohr
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Thank you very much.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Hi, Cai von.

Cai von Rumohr
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Vanguard. Hello, Prabu. Hello, Nazzic. Vanguard.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Good morning.

Cai von Rumohr
Analyst, Cowen and Company

You know, you've gotten the extension, where are we in the, you know, the recompete? My understanding was that it was gonna be split into five different sections, and you could only bid on two. Secondly, my understanding is this has been, you know, an above average margin program. Should the profitability should generally be sustained if you win it, and kind of when do those decisions come up that we should be looking for?

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Cai, Nazzic Keene here. A couple comments. Obviously, this is a very active procurement, and it's going through its cycle. You know, as far as timing, I don't know that I can predict, you know, when it's all gonna happen. There's. You know, with such a big program going through a very different procurement cycle than obviously they had many years ago, I think there's a lot of moving pieces. It is true it will be broken up into multiple pieces. Obviously, SAIC will, you know, will look to play a critical and important role in those aspects of the procurement where we believe we can bring differentiated solutions and.

You know, probably not gonna comment on exactly which ones that we're going to pursue or not pursue for all the reasons that I know you appreciate. As it relates to profitability, you know, I think that's something TBD. You know, it's not uncommon for recompetes to put some profitability headwinds when you do recompete, and it's certainly in the early days of execution. Again, we'll look to areas where we can differentiate, we can set ourselves apart, we can bring solutions to bear that best support the customer and best support our objectives as well.

That's probably all I'm gonna say on Vanguard at this point, but again, I just wanna reiterate and appreciate the team that's, you know, is delivering to this very critical mission because it's easy to get, you know, kind of get sidelined sometimes with all the recompete process that's happening, but our team is laser-focused on delivering and very, very proud of them.

Cai von Rumohr
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Terrific. The last one, you know, impressive takeaway wins in T-Cloud and One IT. As we look at kind of what you're bidding, do you have other significant takeaway bids in the outing? Because, you know, up until these two wins, we hadn't really seen this kind of aggressive takeaway effort on your part.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

On those two, we appreciate you, appreciate the comments. Very proud of how we sit today, but as Prabu mentioned, they're both still in their post-award process. Very pleased with our ability to get this far and very, very optimistic that we will clear those, the post-award process and have much more to share with you after that. I will say that both of these are positioned in our GTA areas of focus, so continues to, you know, really focus on that part of our strategy and complement and provide some proof points to that part of our strategy. I think it's, you know, All I will say is I believe the team has, you know, brought forward a very competitive and compelling solution for our customers.

As it relates to other things in our pipeline, we certainly do see opportunities to continue to, you know, create position in the market in these areas that we, you know, we choose to differentiate, and we look forward to sharing more of those types of wins with you in the quarters to come.

Cai von Rumohr
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Thank you.

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

Cai, if I can add to that, as Nazzic said, we've got a few other things in the pipeline on an annual basis for every one of the next three to four years that have the potential to deliver. The more important thing that we tend to focus on is, you know, why SAIC? How can we articulate the proposition that we bring to a customer on a takeaway opportunity? We all know takeaways are hard in this business because incumbent recompete win rates are pretty high, so therefore the why SAIC question is a really critical part of the questions we have for the team inside our gate review process, and making sure that we are tying the investment dollars to effectively and compellingly answering the question on a repeated basis. Looking at draft RFPs, what's changed from the last time?

Terms and conditions, are these the things that we want to be bidding at? What is the potential for a particular opportunity to be a game changer in terms of either that customer, that class of technology, or a way to build out other parts of the pipeline? Those are all really important ingredients that we look to the teams to answer for us. Again, at the end of the day, this is good old-fashioned habits and hygiene, getting the things positioned where the technologies that we're bringing truly get differentiated from our competitors. Not just that, they also get scored as a differentiator. To me, this is just good old-fashioned solid business development resulted in 2 big wins, and hopefully a few more in the future.

Cai von Rumohr
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Terrific. Thank you.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Thanks, Cai.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Greg Konrad from Jefferies. Your line is open.

Greg Konrad
SVP in Equity Research, Jefferies LLC

Good morning.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Morning.

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

Hey, Greg.

Greg Konrad
SVP in Equity Research, Jefferies LLC

Maybe just to start, I mean, you called out, you know, record collection in January and just thinking about the cash flow bridge, you know, working capital and earnings are the contributor over the next several years. Can you maybe just give some color around the opportunity to see in working capital, whether it's metrics or just how to think about that going forward?

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

Yeah. I appreciate the question, Greg, and let me try and take a stab at it. You know, we've got a chart in the earnings presentation that offers a multi-year view of cash flow. I think most importantly, you know, at about a 3-turn leverage for FY 2024, you know, we're sitting at, let's call it around $9 of free cash flow per share. Our previous estimate was about 10, and the difference is effectively 174 and the sale of our supply chain business and the deconsolidation of FSA. That's sort of the multi-year view. You know, we're a very strong believer that there is potential for working capital improvement.

If you just looked at the Q4 cash that this business generated, we reported free cash flow of $150 million, round numbers. That included $70 million on Section 174. We had a payroll deferral give back in Q4. When you add those two elements to the free cash flow we generated in Q4, that trends to a you know, free cash flow in Q4 of about $275 million, round numbers. Very strong, you know, cash flow generation in Q4. As we think about working capital on a multi-year basis, look, you know, we're not gonna take the foot off the gas pedal. We see opportunity to continue to improve DSO.

We continue to see opportunities to improve DPO, inventory management, supplier terms and conditions, our terms and conditions with our customer, all of those present, I believe, solid opportunities for us to improve cash on a multi-year basis. Obviously, with a growing business, free cash flow, you know, you know, working capital impacts are a little more of a pressure on a growing business than when you're roughly flat. There are enough things in the hopper here that will continue to allow us to offset the growth needs of a business and actually generate some improvement to working capital on a year-over-year basis. We're pretty committed to kind of the plans we've put out there, and, you'll see this team roll really hard.

finally, just as importantly, you know, cash flow from ops is an important incentive comp metric for this team. Therefore, you will continue to see us grind through operating cash so we can deliver better cash than most in our business. Most importantly, as Nazzic mentioned, you'll also see us make good choices with the capital deployment element of this. We continue to be a differentiated story in that space, I believe.

Greg Konrad
SVP in Equity Research, Jefferies LLC

Then just to follow up, you gave a lot of helpful commentary around GTA, you know, bidding strategy and just some of the opportunities out there with the caveat that, you know, there's some, you know, market volatility near term just given what's going on in D.C. Any way to quantify maybe how the pipeline overall has moved just given some of these opportunities and bidding strategy and how you're kind of thinking about that when you talked about book-to-bill before?

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

I appreciate the question. Look, I think, you know, Nazzic and I spend a fair amount of time looking at the quality of the pipeline, but also the depth of the pipeline. In order to consistently grow this business, let's call it 3% of the midpoint, what is the quality that we wanna see inside of the pipeline? Are we targeting the kinds of work that would be relevant to our future 3 to 5 years from now? To me, that's an important Venn diagram that we draw inside the company to make sure that we're committed to growing this business consistently, profitably over time. To me, that's the way we think about it. We have internal dashboards that, you know, we take a hard look at. We share those obviously, you know, as part of our governance with our board.

The reality is, you know, we're, you know, fixated almost on improving the quality of what we bid, quality of the pipeline, and making sure that this business, our business today, is chasing the kind of work that we wanna be in in three or five years' time. To me, that's a very important longer term perspective of this, and we're happy to do that because to us, that's what brings balance between growth rates, margin expansion, and cash generation, and we're truly trying to thread the needle there between those three metrics.

Greg Konrad
SVP in Equity Research, Jefferies LLC

Thank you.

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

Sure.

Operator

Your next question comes from a line of Tobey Sommer from Truist Securities. Your line's open.

Tobey Sommer
Analyst, Truist Securities

Thanks. Kind of building on some recent questions. If you reflect back in recent years on the changes in incentive comp, have those changes produced the desired results? Going forward in the new fiscal year and beyond, do you see an opportunity to refine those? If so, how to get sort of different outputs in the future?

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Yeah, Tobey Sommer, Nazzic Keene here. I would say the short answer is yes. If we think about the changes we've made, which is really to balance the incentive comp structure on the three components of the business that Tobey Sommer just highlighted, obviously revenue growth, margin expansion, and cash, you know, we believe that all three of those are necessary for us to achieve our, you know, our long-term strategy and to drive shareholder value creation. When we drive shareholder value creation, we drive value for our employees, our senior leaders as well. We believe it's the right mix, it's the right balance. You know, we don't want to drive revenue at the expense of profit and cash, and we certainly don't wanna drive profit at the expense of the other two.

I think it's very balanced. Our team understands it, and it also helps drive decision-making inside the company. I will highlight that, you know, as you've heard from our this year's guidance, and you'll hear next week, you know, we look to drive improvement in all three of those dimensions across the next several years. Having that backdrop reminds all of us of what's important to the company, what's going to ultimately drive shareholder value, I'm very pleased with, you know, it's kind of a simple model if you think about it, just the balance, but it does drive the right behavior, the right incentives, and we're seeing that.

We're seeing that in the results that we're talking about today, we're seeing it as you'll see next week when we share our future guidance. Tobey, I know you did a lot of work to help us get to this point, anything you wanna add?

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

Tobey, the only other thing I would add to Nazzic's commentary would be the underlying theme for every one of the changes we've made over the last two years is accountability and more skin in the game for the leadership team. To me, that's the permeating theme, and you've truly seen the team step up to the challenge and embrace having more risk into the inside the incentive comp system and continuing to drive better performance. We've made it uncomfortable to be comfortable, if that's the way to characterize it. I think that is likely not to change over the next couple of years.

You will continue to drive, you know, internally a little more of a view that, you know, performance matters. We have to operate the business as owners of the business. What is the mindset that it takes to actually drive performance. You'll continue to see us pull the thread on it. We're not gonna come in specifically on the changes that are upcoming. We don't wanna get ahead of our board here. Certainly you will see that as an animating theme in the changes we're making.

Tobey Sommer
Analyst, Truist Securities

Thank you. As a follow-up, could you discuss the space domain in what you're seeing in opportunities, maybe rank order, civil, military, and intel as attractive markets?

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Space continues to be an important part of our portfolio. As, you know, as we sit here today, we're certainly seeing, you know, some increased focus in the military aspect of space, with, you know, I think with the kind of the global unrest that exists. We continue to see opportunities there, but really not at the expense of civil or intel. In many cases, you know, they're interwoven and the learnings and the solutions that we deliver in one aspect can be replicated in the other. We look at it from a balance perspective, working, you know, obviously closely with our customers on where the budget's going to go, but very fortunate to have a position in all three of those domains.

Again, we do leverage the talent, we leverage the solutions where we can to drive differentiation as, you know, as the ecosystem and the RFPs and the, and the world stage demands it.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Louie DiPalma from William Blair. Your line is open.

Louie DiPalma
Analyst, William Blair

Nazzic, Prabu, and Joe, good morning and happy cherry blossom season to all in the D.C. area.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Good morning.

Prabu Natarajan
EVP and CFO, Science Applications International Corp

Good morning, Louie.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Hi, Louie.

Louie DiPalma
Analyst, William Blair

Hello. Good morning. For Nazzic, SAIC has multiple branded solutions. You have the CloudScend solution and the Tenjin solution that is part of your Koverse data platform. Nazzic, you just mentioned that Koverse has been an accelerant. Have these branded solutions gained traction in the market? Should we expect more partnerships like what you did with Dataiku for Tenjin?

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Yes. I'm thrilled that you've noticed and you've recognized the brand, so that makes me happy. The short answer is yes. Louis, we have, we've been very pleased with how we've been able to integrate those solutions, in some new bids. As we get a little more public on a couple of the recent ones, maybe you'll hear a little bit more about that. Also, being able to bring the solutions to existing customers, in many cases looking for the opportunity to strengthen the position that we have and evolve the position that we have. Very pleased with that. They are differentiators for us in the market.

If you think about CloudScend, you know, we talk about the GTA area of cloud migration, cloud management, and that's a integral part of that. Tenjin obviously, is a key part of our strategy as well. We do have, this is part of our strategy, whether it's, you know, in the, in most cases, it's partnering with best-in-class commercial technologies that exist and being able to bring the SAIC wrapper to bear, being able to deploy it to domains and customers that we know, and that combination is very powerful. As you know, we don't build a lot of our own solutions, but we can and we do, but we really rely on the integration of best-in-class technologies, and that's what you're seeing here.

Thanks for recognizing and, that means, a little bit of our work is going well, but we'll make sure that we highlight when we can some of these key new wins and the linkage to these types of solutions.

Louie DiPalma
Analyst, William Blair

Thanks, Nazzic Keene. And I have a follow-up on the takeaways questions from Cai von Rumohr and JP Morgan. Along with the $900 million One IT program and the $1.3 billion T-Cloud, SAIC also seems to have been part of the Verizon team that won the $2.4 billion FAA FENS contract. Is this FENS contract in the same category of materiality as the former two contracts?

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Yeah. Great, we are. We're very, very proud to be part of the Verizon team that won FENS. As I know you can appreciate, it's going through, you know, the normal process. I'm not going to say a great deal about it until we, you know, we kinda get the all clear and it goes through the process. I will say that we're proud of what the team brought to bear. We were, you know, we're able to bring some differentiation and strengthen the overall team. We are a sub, so you know, in general, as you know, a sub role tends to be, you know, probably less on top line than a prime role. We will play a critical role, an integral role in the delivery to the FAA.

Louie DiPalma
Analyst, William Blair

Great. Thanks, everyone.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

If that helps.

Louie DiPalma
Analyst, William Blair

See you, see you next week. Thanks.

Nazzic S. Keene
CEO, Science Applications International Corp

Sure. Thanks so much.

Operator

There are no further questions. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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