Smith Douglas Homes Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

According to 7 analysts polled by S&P Global, Smith Douglas Homes stock has a consensus rating of "Hold" and an average price target of $13.13. The average 1-year stock price forecast is 2.88% lower than the current stock price, while the lowest is $11.5 (-14.94%) and the highest is $15 (+10.95%).

Price Target: $13.13 (-2.88%)

Analyst Consensus: Hold

Target	Low	Average	Median	High
Price	$11.5	$13.13	$13	$15
Change	-14.94%	-2.88%	-3.85%	+10.95%

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for Smith Douglas Homes stock is "Hold". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to perform similarly to the overall market.

Recommendation Trends

Rating	Dec '25	Jan '26	Feb '26	Mar '26	Apr '26	May '26
Strong Buy	0	0	0	0	0	0
Buy	0	0	0	0	0	0
Hold	5	5	5	6	6	6
Sell	1	1	1	1	1	1
Strong Sell	0	0	0	0	0	0
Total	6	6	6	7	7	7

Latest Forecasts

Analyst	Firm	Rating	Rating	Action	Price Target	Upside	Date
Sam Reid Wells Fargo	Wells Fargo	Hold Maintains $14	Hold	Maintains	$14	+3.55%	Jun 4, 2026
Michael Rehaut J.P. Morgan	J.P. Morgan	Hold Maintains $12	Hold	Maintains	$12	-11.24%	May 4, 2026
Michael Dahl RBC Capital	RBC Capital	Hold Maintains $15	Hold	Maintains	$15	+10.95%	Apr 30, 2026
Rafe Jadrosich Bank of America Securities	Bank of America Securities	Sell Reiterates $12	Sell	Reiterates	$12	-14.94%	Apr 20, 2026
Jay McCanless Citizens JMP	Citizens JMP	Hold Initiates n/a	Hold	Initiates	n/a	n/a	Mar 24, 2026

More Analyst Ratings

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year

1.04B

from 971.12M

7.47%

from 971.12M

Revenue Next Year

1.16B

from 1.04B

10.78%

from 1.04B

EPS This Year

0.51

from 5.80

-91.27%

from 5.80

EPS Next Year

0.62

from 0.51

22.37%

from 0.51

Fiscal Year	FY 2021	FY 2022	FY 2023	FY 2024	FY 2025	FY 2026
Period Ending	Dec 31, 2021	Dec 31, 2022	Dec 31, 2023	Dec 31, 2024	Dec 31, 2025	Dec 31, 2026
Revenue	518.86M	755.35M	764.63M	975.46M	971.12M	1.04B
Revenue Growth	-	45.58%	1.23%	27.57%	-0.45%	7.47%
Gross Profit	122.95M	222.75M	216.33M	255.44M	212.16M	185.95M
Gross Margin	23.70%	29.49%	28.29%	26.19%	21.85%	17.82%
Operating Income	58.72M	139.75M	123.89M	119.16M	72.39M	34.01M
Net Income	62.53M	140.44M	123.18M	16.07M	10.69M	4.63M
EPS	-	-	-	-	5.80	0.51
EPS Growth	-	-	-	-	-40.32%	-91.27%
Forward PE	-	-	-	14.71	26.50	26.68
Free Cash Flow	-	85.74M	6.45M	18.01M	-4.22M	95.50M
No. Analysts	-	-	-	-	-	7

EPS and Forward PE are based on non-GAAP adjusted numbers.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue	2026	2027	2028
High	1.1B
Avg	1.0B
Low	1.0B

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth	2026	2027	2028
High	8.8%
Avg	7.5%
Low	4.5%

EPS Forecast

EPS	2026	2027	2028
High	0.54
Avg	0.51
Low	0.45

EPS Growth

EPS Growth	2026	2027	2028
High	-90.7%
Avg	-91.3%
Low	-92.2%