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Earnings Call: Q1 2020

May 6, 2020

Operator

Welcome to the SolarEdge conference call for the first quarter ended March 31, 2020. This call is being webcast live on the company's website at www.solaredge.com in the Investors section on the Event Calendar page. This call is the sole property and copyright of SolarEdge, with all rights reserved and any recording, reproduction or transmission of this call without the express written consent of SolarEdge is prohibited. You may listen to a webcast replay of this call by visiting the Event Calendar page of the SolarEdge Investor website. I would now like to turn the call over to Erica Mannion at Sapphire Investor Relations, investor relations for SolarEdge.

Erica Mannion
Founder and Partner at Sapphire Investor Relations, SolarEdge

Good afternoon. Thank you for joining us to discuss SolarEdge's operating results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2020, as well as the company's outlook for the second quarter of 2020. With me today are Zvi Lando, Chief Executive Officer, and Ronen Faier, Chief Financial Officer. Zvi will begin with a brief review of the results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2020. Ronen will review the financial results for the first quarter, followed by the company's outlook for the second quarter of 2020. We will then open the call for questions. Please note that this call will include forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from management's current expectations. We encourage you to review the Safe Harbor statements contained in our press release and the slides published today for a more complete description.

All material contained in the webcast is the sole property and copyright of SolarEdge Technologies, with all rights reserved. Please note, this presentation describes certain non-GAAP measures, including non-GAAP net income and non-GAAP net diluted earnings per share, which are not measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. These non-GAAP measures are presented in the presentation as we believe that they provide Investors with a means of evaluating and understanding how the company's management evaluates the company's operating performance. These non-GAAP measures should not be considered in isolation from, as substitutes for, or superior to financial measures prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. Listeners who do not have a copy of the quarter ending March 31, 2020 press release or the presentation may obtain a copy by visiting the Investors section of the company's website. Now, I will turn the call over to Zvi.

Zvi Lando
CEO, SolarEdge

Thank you, Erica. Good afternoon, thank you all for joining us on our conference call. Given the unusual circumstances surrounding the COVID-19 pandemic, I will take the opportunity during this call to focus most of my discussion on the matters surrounding how we are managing business in light of the situation and provide insights into the coming quarter. Starting, however, with highlights of our first quarter results. We concluded the quarter with record revenues of approximately $430 million. These revenues include a record quarter in our solar business of approximately $408 million. Overall, this quarter, we shipped 5 million Power Optimizers and 202,000 inverters. This quarter was in line with our guidance and expectations for continued growth and included highlights such as a record quarter for revenues in Australia and North America, and record commercial shipments by megawatts, both globally and in North America.

Obviously, in the current environment, there are bigger question marks about the future, and I would like to focus on that rather than on the achievements of the quarter that has ended. At the time of our Q4 earnings call in early February, COVID-19 was an event concentrated in China, and the concerns and question marks raised were about the ability to supply. At the time, we communicated that thanks to early measures we had taken, we expect no significant supply issue. As our results show, we executed on this message. Since then, the pandemic has spread to various regions of the world in varying levels of severity.

Due to our global spread, in particular, our large operation in the early and significantly hit locations like Korea and Italy, events on the one hand challenged the company and management, on the other hand, these events gave us early familiarity with the dynamics which have now affected most of the world. We learned and implemented early on the tools and procedures needed to keep our workforce safe and efficient, such that by the time the virus impacted the United States and countries in Europe, we were able to adjust rapidly. In addition, we have been sharing this knowhow with customers, distributors, and installers. Through March and April, we conducted more than 340 webinars attended by more than 25,000 people, covering subject matters ranging from news about SolarEdge products to how to sell solar systems remotely and other topics of interest for solar installers.

In some webinars, we hosted third-party experts who shared information aimed to enrich the knowledge and capabilities of our customer base of approximately 30,000 global installation companies. On top of the customer engagement activities, early visibility of the COVID-19 impact enabled us to prepare all of our global service, manufacturing, and R&D centers such that work throughout the period continued with minimal impact other than challenges related to the inability to travel internationally. Moving on to the business environment. In order to assess market dynamics, we are closely tracking installation rates of our products through our monitoring portal globally and per country. While this is an important indicator, it provides only part of the picture, as it is not directly indicative of new solar systems sales by our installers. However, we do think it is a helpful tool to foresee market demand.

During the COVID-19 impacted months of March and April, installation rates of SolarEdge products outside of the U.S. increased by 15% compared to the same period last year. Starting from Europe on a per country basis, installations in Italy, historically a strong SolarEdge market, declined by 47%. In the last three weeks, however, the installations rates there have started to rise again. In the Netherlands, where we are the market leader, our product installations are flat when compared to March and April of last year. The most positive data comes from Germany, where our product installations during this period were up 42% compared to the same period in 2019. This is a result of the lower COVID-19 impact in Germany, coupled with market share gains related to our end of 2019 release of the three-phase residential storage inverter.

In the U.S., during the same period, the installation rate of our products declined by 16% compared to March and April of 2019. In the U.S., where the impact of COVID-19 hit later than in Europe, decline in installation rates in April alone were 33%, and the number of daily installations has now stabilized for the last two weeks. Additionally, we are in constant contact with distributors and installers to monitor their inventory levels, as well as their view on new solar system sales in their markets. Generally, the sentiment in Europe and Australia is more positive than that in the U.S. However, the data varies significantly from country to country and among our installers. Similarly, it is difficult at this point to identify a clear trend between residential and commercial.

We believe that our global presence and diverse revenue stream, both geographically and in multiple segments, positions us well to minimize the impact of the pandemic on our business. There will be an impact on business, and this is reflected in our second quarter guidance. While it is difficult to foresee how long this downturn will last, we are preparing for various scenarios, including the potentially slower third quarter. Preparations include careful scrutiny of our spending and management of operations. Already, we have made expenditure adjustments, including the review on all of our variable expenses. In addition, effective April 1, our Senior Executives voluntarily reduced their base salaries by 20%. The above measures, combined with our strong balance sheets, will be used to continue and push, and even accelerate, the strategic projects that we shared with you during and since our Analyst Day.

This month, we are beginning to ship to North America our new HD-Wave-based Energy Hub Inverter, which provides a storage and backup offering compatible with third-party batteries and is the basis for our complete solution, which will be coupled with our own battery scheduled for release toward the end of the year. Later in the quarter, we will start shipping our new commercial inverter with added safety features and higher energy density, followed by a ground mount dedicated power optimizer with higher power density and better economics. Our focus on long-term R&D projects continues as planned, with a broad pipeline of products and capabilities for residential, commercial, and utility applications. On the non-solar front, our lithium-ion business, head out of Kokam in Korea, is stable and continues to deliver revenues while utilizing our entire manufacturing capacity. Activities for the expansion of the 2-GW factory are underway as planned.

In the e-mobility business, qualification by a Tier 1 automotive manufacturer of our full electrical powertrain solution continues while we deliver increased numbers of units to accelerate the validation process. In summary, we are pleased with the results of the first quarter, and while we expect a challenging period in the near future, we are confident that the core strength of our company in technology and execution capability, combined with our extensive product roadmap, will enable us to come out of this period even stronger. With this, I hand it over to Ronen, who will review our financial results.

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

Thank you, Zvi, good afternoon everyone? As always, my review includes GAAP and non-GAAP discussions. Full reconciliation of the pro forma to GAAP results discussed on this call is available on our website and in the press release issued today. In addition to providing explanation and color around our Q1 numbers, I will provide as much as possible insight on the financial impact we're seeing that COVID-19 is having on our business. While we will make every effort to provide this insight, as you well know and as you all have seen over the past few months, circumstances surrounding COVID-19 can change rapidly and are outside of our control, my input on this call is, of course, based on what we are seeing at present.

As for the first quarter results, total revenues were $431.2 million, a 3% increase compared to $418.2 million last quarter, 59% increase compared to $271.9 million for the same quarter last year. Revenue from the sale of solar products were $407.6 million compared to $389 million last quarter and were driven by growth in the United States and rest of the world. U.S. solar revenues grew this quarter to $246 million, represented 60.3% of our solar revenues. These U.S. revenues included Safe Harbor revenues of $54.1 million, a slightly higher number than we originally planned, as we expedited some of these deliveries over non-Safe Harbor shipments to avoid delays related to possible border closures. Solar revenues from Europe were $122.3 million, or 30% of our revenues.

Q1 revenues generated from outside the United States and Europe were $39.7 million, a record number representing 9.7% of our solar revenues this quarter, most significantly from Australia, in which we had a record quarter. On a megawatt basis, this quarter, we delivered 926 MW to the United States, 641 MW to Europe, and 283 MW to the rest of the world. Residential products represented 56% of our megawatt ships, and commercial systems were 44%. This quarter, our top 10 solar customers represented 62% of our quarterly solar revenues, a decrease from the last quarter, and one distributor accounted for more than 10% of revenues. Blended ASP per watt decreased this quarter by approximately 4.3% compared to the last quarter, due to a change in the customer mix and devaluation of the euro and Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar.

This quarter, revenues from our non-solar products were $23.6 million, mostly related to the sale of lithium-ion batteries. GAAP gross margin for the quarter was 32.5%, compared to 34.3% in the prior quarter and 31.7% in the same quarter last year. non-GAAP gross margin this quarter was 33.6%, compared to 35.5% in the prior quarter and 32.8% in the same quarter last year. non-GAAP gross margin for solar activities was 35%, compared to 37.8% in the last quarter. Last quarter, our solar margin benefited approximately 300 basis points due to a one-time effect related to the implementation of cost reduction measures to our warranty accrual. Excluding this one-time benefit, the solar business gross margin slightly increased as a result of lower-than-anticipated air shipments, which represented 215 basis points this quarter. These lower-than-anticipated air shipments are mostly attributed to the increased capacity we built in the last quarters.

The lower-than-expected air shipments were partially offset by a change in the product and customer mix and holiday labor rates paid to contract manufacturers who continued to work on our behalf during Chinese New Year and the subsequent lockdown in February and early March. We expect our air shipment expenses to be much lower in the second quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP gross margin for our non-solar activities was 9% compared to 4.9% in the previous quarter. The increase was a result of a strong margin from the sale of our lithium-ion batteries, offset by lower margin in the machinery and e-mobility groups. Moving to our operating expenses. In total, operating expenses for the first quarter were $72.2 million, or 16.8% of revenues, compared to $92.7 million, or 22.2% of revenues in the prior quarter, and to $58.1 million, or 21.4% of revenues for the same quarter last year.

On a non-GAAP basis, operating expenses for the first quarter were $66.3 million or 15.4% of revenues, compared to 63.1% or 15.1% of revenues in the prior quarter, and $48 million or 17.7% of revenues for the same quarter last year. Our non-GAAP solar operating expenses at percentage of solar revenues was 13.5%, compared to 13.8% last quarter. This quarter, GAAP operating expenses included a non-recurring income of $4.9 million that was collected from the major selling stakeholder of Kokam as indemnification for settlement of a pre-acquisition claim. As part of our reaction to the economic slowdown that we are already seeing from COVID-19, and as Zvi mentioned, we have reviewed carefully our business plan for 2020 and implemented certain cost-cutting measures, including a reduction in executive management base salary, general halt on recruitment, and freeze on salary increases, which were planned for April.

In addition, we're eliminating workforce redundancies and adjusting our headcount to the reduced level of activity in certain regions, as well as renegotiating other expenses such as rental agreements and consulting services. Some of these adjustments are still ongoing, and the effect will be seen in our operating expenses for Q2 and Q3. Our GAAP operating income for the quarter was $67.8 million compared to $50.5 million in the previous quarter and $28 million for the same period last year. Non-GAAP operating income for the quarter was $78.6 million compared to $85.3 million in the previous quarter and $41.2 million for the same period last year. This quarter, non-solar activities resulted in non-GAAP operating loss of $9.3 million compared to an operating loss of $8 million in the previous quarter, driven by operating losses in the UPS machinery and e-mobility division and offset by profitability of the lithium-ion business.

Financial expenses for the quarter were $16.6 million compared to financial income of $11.1 million in the previous quarter and a financial expense of $6.2 million for the same period last year. The decrease is a result of foreign currency changes, resulting mostly from unrealized exchanges fluctuation and the accounting treatment of intercompany balances and intercompany loans provided for the acquisitions in Korea and Italy. The impact of these unrealized intercompany exchange rate expenses on GAAP and non-GAAP net diluted EPS was $0.24. Tax expense was $8.9 million this quarter compared to $9.2 million in the prior quarter and $3.9 million for the same period last year. Our non-GAAP tax expense was $12.5 million compared to $10.4 million in the previous quarter and $4.9 million for the same period last year.

GAAP net income for the first quarter was $42.2 million compared to a GAAP net income of $52.8 million in the previous quarter and $19 million for the same quarter last year. Our non-GAAP net income was $50.7 million compared to a non-GAAP net income of $87.4 million in the previous quarter and $32.9 million for the same quarter last year. GAAP net diluted earnings per share was $0.81 for the first quarter, compared to $1.03 in the previous quarter, and $0.39 for the same quarter last year. Non-GAAP net diluted EPS was $0.95, compared to $1.65 in the previous quarter and $0.54 in the same quarter last year. Our non-solar business generated $0.23 non-GAAP diluted earnings per share loss. Turning now to the balance sheet.

As of March 31, 2020, cash, cash equivalents, bank deposits, restricted cash deposits, and investments were $558.7 million compared to $467.5 million in December 31, 2019. During the first quarter of 2020, we generated a record $107.7 million in cash from operations. We are happy to be in such a strong cash position with practically no debt during this time. AR net decreased this quarter, reaching $235.7 million compared to $298 million last quarter. DSO this quarter in the solar business was 62 days, a decrease from 65 days last quarter. Naturally, in light of the financial situation in the market and our global operations, AR and collections are a major point of focus for us. Over the last few weeks, we have closely reviewed our AR balances and the financial stability of our customers.

In some cases, we are selectively examining and providing longer credit terms to customers in order to support them in this period. We will continue to examine the creditworthiness and strength of our customers even more cautiously these days and will carefully consider to adjust credit allocations as needed. As of March 31st, 2020, our inventory level net of reserves was at $198.6 million compared to $170.8 million in the prior quarter. Most of this increase is related to raw materials of our factory accumulated in anticipation of component shortages and supply chain disruption from COVID-19. These raw materials will be used for manufacturing in the next quarters. Additionally, approximately $38.2 million of our inventory relates to non-solar inventory, the majority of which is raw materials held in Kokam.

As Zvi explained, we expect that the effect of COVID-19 will impact our business in the United States and to a lesser extent in Europe, and will result in reduced revenues in the coming two quarters. Given our size and scale of operation, adjusting our manufacturing and inventory level to the new level may take one to two quarters. Moving now to the guidance for the second quarter of 2020. Before outlining our guidance, I would like to remind you that the evolving impact of COVID-19 pandemic is unprecedented, and that makes it difficult to predict with confidence its impact on the company's business for the next quarter and for the rest of this year. Our guidance for the next quarter includes the anticipated impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our businesses as viewed today.

In our Q4 earnings call, we told you that approximately 70% of our Q2 2020 orders were already received. Since then, we have, of course, received additional orders. However, we have also received requests for rescheduling and/or cancellation of orders. Our current Q2 backlog is large enough to exceed the guidance we have provided, and our manufacturing capacity and inventory will facilitate the delivery of those orders. We expect revenues for the second quarter of 2020 to be within the range of $305 million-$335 million. Revenues from the sale of solar products are expected to be within the range of $285 million and $315 million. We expect gross margins to be within the range of 30%-32%. Gross margins from solar activity is expected to be within the range of 32%-34%, reflecting a higher percentage of revenues from Europe that are characterized with lower margins.

I will now turn the call to the Operator to open it up for questions. Operator, please.

Operator

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, you may do so by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. We also ask that you please limit yourselves to one question and one follow-up question. Again, star one at this time. First, we'll go to Mark Strouse with JPMorgan, y our line is open.

Mark Strouse
Analyst, JPMorgan

Sorry, had to get myself unmute. Thank you very much for taking our questions. Appreciate it. Ronen, if I could just start with the guidance. The revenue range is wider than usual. Not surprising, given everything that's going on. Can you just talk about what needs to happen to come in at the high end of that range versus what might happen at the low end?

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

In general, and as I mentioned, we are sitting today on a backlog that is sufficient to fulfill and basically cover the entire range that we have provided. However, during the last few weeks, we have seen requests for either rescheduling and cancellations. At the same time, we're also seeing from time to time customers that are either struggling, or we are afraid that they will struggle with payment terms. As such, even if we have orders that were already received, already booked, already in our orders book with a defined delivery date, we're looking at every order.

We talk to every customer. We make sure that not only we're providing whatever was already ordered, but actually, we make sure that we're not providing customers with goods that they either do not need or at the same time, that we're providing credit to customers that we are a little bit afraid that we will not be able to collect. Again, the orders are there. The situation is changing rapidly. I think that every day and almost every week, you see new restrictions or continued restrictions. In this case, we, almost as usual, decided to take the more, I would call it, cautious approach when guiding and giving the range that we feel that we can meet.

Mark Strouse
Analyst, JPMorgan

Okay. That's helpful. Then kind of related to that, just your sense, given your conversations with your customers, regarding channel inventory. Maybe if you can talk about what that looked like maybe in late February, early March, versus what that looks like today, and any kind of trends that you're seeing with sell-through for those distributors.

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

Of course, as Zvi mentioned, what we see around the world is very much different between country to country, continent to continent, and even customer to customer. I'm not sure that I can generalize my entire answer to all of the customers that we see and we talk to. I would say that in general, we usually see 60 days to 90 days of inventory levels within large distributors. Usually, smaller distributors are holding smaller amounts because of the working capital needed to do this. Usually, the way that they're measuring these 90 days or 60 days is based on the forecast that they see in front of them and what they expect to do.

I can tell you that all in all, when we deliver the product, I would say that maybe the inventory level on the absolute value may be very similar to what we usually see within the customer. They do not carry much more on the dollar volume. The time that they may consume this inventory may change. Again, it very much varies. I would say that in Europe, you will see almost regular days. While in the U.S., at least right now with some of the shelter-in-place restrictions, some of the distributors have much higher than the usual days of inventory than they usually carry.

Operator

Next we'll go to Colin Rusch from Oppenheimer, y our line is open.

Colin Rusch
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Thanks so much, guys. We've been getting some inconsistent checks on lead times and particular speeds. Can you give us an update in terms of where you're at, in terms of general lead times on products and if there are particular items that are extended a little bit versus the rest of your portfolio?

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

Sure. The lead times, first of all, in the last few quarters, we've seen lead times extending as naturally the business grew much faster than our ability to manufacture and ship, which is why we also had the substantial air shipment. For the beginning of the quarter, at least Q2, our lead times are almost similar as they were before, and in some cases, it was even close to 10 weeks. Mostly related to the fact that we decided to avoid air shipment and we're shipping most of our products using ocean freight. I would say that in general, what we're aiming to do is to be at around six weeks of lead time once we are able to replenish inventory at the desired level using ocean freight in all of the territories in which we operate.

Colin Rusch
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Okay, thanks so much. With the CapEx build out with the battery factory, can you speak to what level we should anticipate for this year, as a total number? Equipment availability, is there any delays or parts of that project that you're going to delay at this point, given availability of other supply that you cannot supply on the market?

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

Colin, since the line was not really good, your question is mostly related-

Colin Rusch
Analyst, Oppenheimer

No.

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

To the factory, you're saying?

Colin Rusch
Analyst, Oppenheimer

The Korean battery factory and your build out on capacity there. What the expected total CapEx is, any equipment procurement issues that you're looking at right now, and then if there are any plans to delay that project, given the difficulty to buy cells on the open market.

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

First of all, we're very happy that actually this is continuing as scheduled despite the fact that Korea was one of the first countries that was affected by COVID-19. This product is scheduled and continuing as usual. The plan is to have a 2-GW factory that will be able to start manufacturing at the beginning of 2022. The cost associated with this project is about $95 million. That is including the land that we actually just bought out, right after the quarter, we acquired the land, the building, and the machinery. All of these expenses and equipment will be bought and deployed over the next 18 months. We do believe that right now, based on the schedule, we do not see delays.

We do believe that, the continued work that we need to do when it comes to negotiating terms on machinery, and since some of the machinery is coming from outside of Korea, this will be, of course, dependent on the ability to travel, to ship, and to have technicians coming in. But at least at the point of where we are today, we do not see a delay to this 2-GW factory beginning to deliver in 2022.

Operator

Next, we'll go to Maheep Mandloi from Credit Suisse, y our line is open now.

Maheep Mandloi
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Hi, thanks for taking the question. Just on cost controls, which you announced in the quarter, can you talk about when we could see the benefit, the gross margins, either it's in Q2 or the second half of this year?

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

The cost control and the margin, let's first of all differentiate because a lot of the cost control is also related to the operating expenses and not just to the margins themselves. I'll start maybe with the operating expenses and then to the margin. Our aim is to be, by the end of Q2, at a run rate of operating expenses that was similar to what we saw in Q3 2019, and this is around $58 million-$59 million a quarter of operating expenses. Again, since we're implementing these, we're already in the beginning of May, of course, not all of it will be realized in Q2, some of it will come in Q3.

When it comes to the gross margin, the cost activities that we do there are a little bit harder to predict because not only they are dependent on what we achieve, but also dependent on the revenue, the mix, and the customer mix. The geographic mix story and the customer mix. For example, in the second quarter of 2020, a substantial part of our revenues will come from Europe, and gross margins in Europe are lower than gross margins in the United States. Despite the fact that we already cut costs in our cost of goods sold, in our operational department, and costs related to maybe manufacturing components and shipments, the fact that we're delivering substantially higher volumes into Europe that is characterized with lower margin will take away a little bit of this effect, and this is what you see actually in the guidance that we give.

All in all, on OpEx, we will go back to about Q3, and when it comes to gross margin, the magnitude of selling to each and every territory will determine what the numbers will be.

Maheep Mandloi
Analyst, Credit Suisse

Thank you for the clarification. I just want a small housekeeping and another question. On the Safe Harbor, could you clarify how much Safe Harbor do you expect in the Q2 revenues? I think previously you said you might have something in April for Safe Harbor. Last question then I'll jump back is just around the other product launches. You touched upon the battery product, but can you talk about the Smart Modules, utility scale, and the gen four optimizer? Thank you.

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

I'll talk, first of all, about the first part of the question, and Zvi will answer the second.

Zvi Lando
CEO, SolarEdge

Yes.

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

The Safe Harbor orders for the second quarter are approximately $17 million, which are important to say that these are not just, of course, residential Safe Harbor orders, but also commercial. All in all, it's around $17 million. With regards to products, Zvi maybe.

Zvi Lando
CEO, SolarEdge

Okay. In short, as I mentioned, the residential battery, as we said all along, it goes up to the second half, initial shipment. We are on schedule with that. We're approaching the phases of certification that takes place in multiple places around the world. There's still some question mark how much we will be able to ship people and batteries around the world. That's the only risk factor on meeting the schedule ability in the second half of the year. Smart Modules we already deliver today. It's not this huge part of the business, but we are delivering every quarter, embedded Smart Modules of SolarEdge optimizers already today, and we expect this to ramp while it's still a small portion of the business. Optimizers, I'm not sure in particular to what you are referring.

As I mentioned, we have a new ground mount dedicated power optimizer specifically for ground mount installations, especially focused on the community solar market in the U.S. That optimizer will begin to ship in the next few weeks or before the end of this quarter. On the standard residential and commercial optimizers, there are enhancements and improvements being introduced continuously. There's no specific new generation that is intended in the next three months.

Operator

Next, we'll go to Philip Shen from ROTH Capital Partners, y our line is open.

Philip Shen
Analyst, ROTH Capital Partners

Hi everyone? Thanks for the questions. Looking beyond Q2, I was wondering what kind of visibility you have into Q3. How much, for example, of Q3 may be booked? How do you expect potentially margins to trend? I know you're not providing official guidance, but if you can provide any color on that'd be great.

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

Naturally, again, since visibility is already problematic to Q2, Q3 of course, is much more. I would say that we have limited visibility. We talk to all of our customers constantly. We see the signs in every country, and we are following up very closely with all of our customers and their inventory levels. I think that, again, the question here is not just what they have, but actually what is going to happen to the installation rate itself during the second quarter. Therefore, although the visibility that we have or the level of transparency that we have with them is very open and good, the ability to predict Q3 is problematic right now because I think that neither us, nor do the customers know how much of their inventory will be consumed. This is why we talk about this limited visibility.

Now, when it comes to the margins themselves, again, this will come mostly due to the factor of what will be the mix between the geographical shipments that we will do. We continue to do cost reduction on the cost side on a continuous basis. Of course, as we mentioned before, Zvi mentioned we are working all the time to do it, and actually this time doing some cases we're even accelerating those. Of course, if you see different mix in different countries, this will affect the margins as well. I would say that I don't think that we can say anything substantial right now about the quarter itself and the levels. I can tell that we are following very closely, and we're in constant dialogue with our customers to understand where their business is.

Philip Shen
Analyst, ROTH Capital Partners

Great. Thanks. I believe you may have indicated for Q1 that the ASP may have been weak because of mix. I think the U.S. mix went up, and U.S. typically has a higher ASP and greater concentration in resi. Can you provide a little bit more color around why the ASP in Q1 was a bit weaker, and to what degree may have this been impacted by some competitive dynamics that you guys might be experiencing?

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

I think that it was not actually related too much to the competitive environment. It is mostly due to the fact that in Q1, Safe Harbor deliveries were made due to the fact that, again, and even expedited, that we were very much concerned about closures of borders by the end of the quarter, and therefore we decided that we expedite whatever we can in order to avoid this and actually to meet the very strict delivery times of the Safe Harbor. Naturally, that means that higher portion of our U.S. revenue came to the larger customers, and again, naturally, larger customers get larger discount rates that were pre-negotiated and known for a longer time. Here, it is really more of a mix issue rather than anything, the change in pricing or pricing environment during this quarter.

Operator

Next, we'll go to Jeff Osborne from Cowen and Company, y our line is open.

Jeff Osborne
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Yeah, good afternoon? Excuse me. Ronen, I was wondering if you could walk us through the gross margins. It's been asked a couple of times, more specifically, the guidance of solar going from 35% to, at the midpoint, 33%. I think you called out a 215 basis point headwind for air shipments. I would assume that that goes to zero. It looks like there's about, at the midpoint, a little over 400 basis points. Is it a safe assumption to say that Europe, generically speaking, is always 400 basis points lower margins, or is it mix, or are you using price in Europe to try to gain share? That magnitude was a little bit higher than I was thinking.

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

Yes. Here, again, the main effect is Europe, and I will give you even the specific numbers. As we mentioned several times in the past, when we started to actually price products in Europe and the United States, the prices were about the same, but the exchange rate of the euro to the U.S. dollar was approximately $120 per euro. Today, we're talking about a much lower rate. Actually, over the last 12 months alone, the euro devaluated by 2.8% against the U.S. dollar. I can tell you that as of today, in average, the difference between Europe and the U.S. in gross margin is about 450 basis points. This quarter, the main effect that you see is that there is a substantial shift into Europe.

Europe is traditionally much stronger in the second quarter and the third quarter, and this move into Europe is, of course, pushing this gross margin down. In addition to this, also in Europe, you see sometimes installations that are more heavier towards the commercial product. In the commercial product, and especially the larger product within the commercial portfolio that you have, also the gross margin is usually lower than the residential U.S. market, and this is why you see the effect. This is entirely coming from mix due to geographic, and I would call it segmental shift.

Jeff Osborne
Analyst, Cowen and Company

Just maybe to follow up on that, a like-for-like system, 10-kW residential system in California versus Germany, is that also 450 basis points difference?

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

Approximately, yes. Again, varying from customer to customer, because customers have a little bit of variations in their pricing, but in general, yes.

Operator

Next, we'll go to Brian Lee from Goldman Sachs, y our line is open.

Brian Lee
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. Hope everyone is staying safe and healthy. I guess, question on just the guidance, Ronen. You mentioned April was down 33% in the U.S., but then stabilizing at those levels. I also think you mentioned Q3 could be slower later in the call. I might have misheard or misinterpreted, but are you actually expecting Q3 to be worse than Q2? If not, what sort of data are you looking at to consider Q2 the bottom here?

Zvi Lando
CEO, SolarEdge

Maybe I'll clarify exactly what the data we're looking at. We are looking at the rate of installations of new systems pretty much every day, new SolarEdge systems every day in every country, and actually even in every state. We compare that to the rate of installation of new systems a year ago. What I mentioned is that while in Europe and across the world, during March and April, actually more SolarEdge systems were installed this year than were installed last year during the same period. In the United States, during April, there were 33% less installations of the new SolarEdge systems compared to April of 2019. By the way, this varies significantly by state. Actually, Texas was more than a year ago, and California is down by a bit more compared to a year ago, and you look at this at every single state.

That is giving us an indication on the general level of business and when we think inventories at the distributors will run down and they will begin to either bring in new orders or, as Ronen mentioned, reduce risk of requesting to push out or cancel orders. That is what we're basing our Q2 guidance on. Visibility for Q3, as Ronen mentioned, is very limited, especially in what relates to the United States. Generally, in several big markets around the world, there's a sentiment of business as usual, and we just have to wait and see if that carries out through Q3 as well in the U.S. Things are very volatile. The business, as I mentioned, is down significantly compared to a year ago, and it's, in our minds, very early to predict what will happen in Q3.

Brian Lee
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, fair enough. Shifting gears a little bit here, I think on the Safe Harbor split here, just a question around the $75 million you guys had originally guided for, I think, last quarter, Ronen, and you had said evenly split between Q1 and Q2, roughly speaking. I know you pulled some forward into Q1 here, but it seems like if you hadn't pulled that $17 million or so from Q2, you would've come in about $10 million below the revenue guidance range for the quarter. Just wondering what drove that dynamic. Was it all production issues at the end of the quarter, or were there other issues? I would assume that, given you gave the guidance in late February, you had volume demand pretty much locked up for the quarter.

Just wondering where that slippage might have occurred and if you're recapturing that volume in Q2 or if that's some of the rescheduling/cancellations you're seeing?

Ronen Faier
CFO, SolarEdge

Well, actually, it's neither. The situation was, again, we need to understand now how the end of March looked in China. At the end of March, it was almost impossible to ship anything outside of China. Ports were not yet there. Airlines almost entirely stopped flying into China and bringing in. In one case, I can even tell you that we chartered an entire plane to fly products from China into the United States. In this case, we did not actually decide that we want to pull in order to meet the revenue guidance. Actually, it was the fact that we decided to prioritize Safe Harbor shipments over non-Safe Harbor shipments in order to make sure that we are meeting the delivery times of those Safe Harbor shipments that needed to be around no later than April 15.

In this case, revenues will be approximately the same. We simply took all of the capacity that we could have, and we could send outside of China before the end of March. In this limited and capped capacity, we have decided to prioritize Safe Harbor shipments.

Operator

Again, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Next, we'll go to Mike Cikos from Needham & Company, y our line is open.

Mike Cikos
Analyst, Needham & Company

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the questions here. I apologize if I missed this. I'm juggling between a couple of different calls tonight. I just wanted to come back to some of the supply chain constraints that you guys saw, and I was trying to figure out, can you give us some more color with respect to how those constraints are as we stand today, and whether or not the constraints, if once those bottlenecks are past you, are you looking to help your distributors build up the appropriate level of inventory in the current demand environment to help reduce your expenses on the air freight shipments?

Zvi Lando
CEO, SolarEdge

Just to clarify, so we today manufacture in several sites. We manufacture in China, in Vietnam, and in Hungary. We don't see any supply constraints right now, and we are able to deliver on all orders that we receive. What we are doing is instead of air shipping, we are ocean shipping products and building inventory gradually. We are currently able to supply all demand, and we're looking at the inventory levels of distributors very closely and making sure that no one has any shortage of parts to meet demand.

Mike Cikos
Analyst, Needham & Company

Okay. Thank you for helping me out with that. The follow-up I had for you, with respect to the cost-cutting measures that you guys are taking, can you help us better understand how much of this is temporary? Just because I have to imagine once things start to recover, you guys will be going back into growth mode from your current run rate. Just trying to get a gauge of how quickly these expenses may come back on as demand starts to recover.

Zvi Lando
CEO, SolarEdge

Being veterans of a cyclical business coming out of the semiconductor industry, looking at this type of event as a short-term down and with not being sure for how long this will go, what we look at are the items that are indeed temporary and easy to recover when the business recovers. It's typically activities that are directly related to the level of the operation and typically not any type of critical capability or skill that will be difficult to supplement. We examine the operation entirely, identify those type of opportunities, and those are the cost-cutting measures that we implemented. When the business recovers, we will be able to recover that activity quickly.

Operator

At this time, I'll turn the call back to Zvi Lando for closing remarks.

Zvi Lando
CEO, SolarEdge

Thank you. In summary, I think it is appropriate to point out that we have entered this pandemic not only as a strong company, but in a strong industry. Smart energy and solar, in particular, has proven an excellent investment for home and business owners, and I believe that the demand for solar in a climate and world where backup and grid independence is growing in importance will continue to evolve. Recent events have proven not only for SolarEdge, but for our competitors and colleagues, that this industry is mature and can service the market even in an extremely challenging period. Thank you for joining us on the call today.

Operator

That does conclude our call for today. Thank you for your participation, y ou may now disconnect.