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Earnings Call: Q1 2016

Jul 1, 2015

Speaker 1

And gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Constellation Brands First Quarter Fiscal Year 2016 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Thank you. I will now turn the call over to Patty Jan Urlob, Vice President of Investor Relations.

Please go ahead.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Lori. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Constellation's Q1 fiscal 2016 conference call. I'm here this morning with Rob Sands, our President and Chief Executive Officer and David Klein, our new Chief Financial Officer. This call complements our news release, which has also been furnished to the SEC. During this call, we may discuss financial information on a GAAP, comparable, organic and constant currency basis.

However, discussions will generally focus on comparable financial results. Reconciliations between the most directly comparable GAAP measure and these and other non GAAP financial measures are included in the news release or otherwise available on the company's website at www.cbrands.com. Please also be aware that we may make forward looking statements during this call. While those statements represent our best estimates and expectations, actual results could differ materially from our estimates and expectations. For a detailed list of risk factors that may impact the company's estimates, please refer to the news releases and Constellation's SEC filings.

Before turning the call over to Rob, I would like to ask that we limit the number of questions asked during today's Q and A session to 2 questions. We received investor feedback last quarter indicating that the call ran long because we allow questioners to ask unlimited questions. So I would appreciate your cooperation. Thanks in advance. And now here's Rob.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Patty, and good morning and welcome to our discussion of Constellation's Q1 2016 sales and earnings results. As Patty mentioned earlier, I'm joined today by David Klein, Constellation's newly appointed Chief Financial Officer. Following the recent departure of Bob Ryder, who served as our CFO for the past 8 years. Bob has been a significant contributor to our organization during his time here. His accomplishments at Constellation are numerous and I wish him success in his future endeavors.

We have an incredibly talented finance David as he assumes his new role. David brings a wealth of experience to this critical leadership position, most recently serving as the CFO for Constellation's beer business where he was integral in orchestrating our glass sourcing strategy, implementing commodity management processes and instilling production cost management discipline at the brewery. David has also been very involved in the oversight of our Nava brewery build out, which includes managing capital expenditures at the facility. Now during the past year working with the beer team, David has divided his time between Rochester, Chicago, San Antonio and Mexico. I believe that many of you have had the opportunity to meet David and I would like to publicly congratulate him and welcome him to our executive management team.

You will be hearing more from David in just a few minutes. Before we get started with our quarterly review, I would also like to take a few moments to discuss this morning's exciting announcement of Constellation's planned purchase of the Meiomi wine brand. Meiomi is predominantly a California Pinot Noir and represents a synergistic high growth, high margin, accretive, complementary tuck in to our existing portfolio of wine brands. Launched in 2006, Meiomi sold about 60,000 cases in the U. S.

Marketplace in 2010 and has grown to become a nearly 6 100,000 case brand since then. It is currently the fastest growing major pinot noir in IRI channels at the $20 luxury price point and has experienced dollar sales growth of more than 50% over the last 52 weeks. In calendar 2014, Meiomi generated more than $65,000,000 in net sales with an operating profit margin profile significantly exceeds the margin rate of our overall wine and spirits business. The right brands with the right financial profile like Miomi can be efficiently integrated into our distribution platform to provide synergies, scale and route to market benefits and is very similar to our successful Mark West acquisition. As I have previously mentioned, tuck in acquisitions have been identified as one of our capital allocation priorities, especially those that are strategic, synergistic, good value and meet our strict financial criteria.

Miomi is one of these acquisitions. This acquisition does not signal a change in strategic goals for the business or impact our ability to achieve our targeted leverage range. Our top priorities remain unchanged and they include reducing our debt to less than 4 times leverage. This creates significant capital allocation flexibility and opportunity to increase returns to our shareholders through dividend growth and share buybacks. Capturing the organic growth opportunities we see across all of our product categories, completing the brewery and glass plant expansions as planned, while ensuring that we do not impact the tremendous commercial momentum we have within the U.

S. Bear market and complementing our organic growth efforts and shareholder cash return focus with complementary brand acquisitions that enhance our portfolio. These priorities are intact and will remain our core focus for delivering shareholder value over the long term. And now I'd like to shift the focus of our discussion to our quarterly results, which reflect brewery and glass plant expansions. During the Q1, the beer business generated results that exceeded our expectations posting double digit sales and depletion growth.

These results are some of the best in the industry. In fact, during the Q1, Constellation Beers delivered about 2 thirds, that's 2 thirds of the total U. S. Beer industry volume growth, leading volume gains among U. S.

Brewers for the 8th consecutive quarter in IRI channel. So what's driving this phenomenal level of growth and momentum? We continue to experience robust consumer demand for our iconic portfolio of Mexican beers with our top five brands experiencing solid growth across almost all channels and packaging sizes during the quarter. In addition, we are benefiting from strong sales execution and excellent ongoing support from our wholesalers. The introduction of creative new marketing programs that resonate with consumers, increased investment and enhanced media plans, continued distribution gains across the portfolio for our core brands and package types, and the expansion of product offerings like Corona Extra Cans, Modelo Especial Chelada and Corona Light Draft.

The beer business kicked up the 120 days of summer selling season by posting market share gains during the Cinco de Mayo holiday led by Corona Extra and Modelo Especial as the number 1 and number 2 share gainers respectively across all U. S. Beer brands. The new Corona Cans have been a hit with consumers. We dedicated significant media support behind the launch with English and Spanish language TV across the NBA, playoffs, Univision and Comedy Central.

We see great opportunity with the can launch as this format currently represents only a small portion of total Corona Extra volume. Modelo Especial continues to maintain strong momentum as the number 2 imported beer in the U. S. And delivered depletion growth of nearly 20% during the Q1. Modelo Especial launched its first ever national English language campaign with targeted programming, including 1st round NBA playoffs on ESPN and TNT.

This effort will continue into the summer. Corona Light Draft expanded its launch with 28 new wholesalers in existing markets. We also activated the Kenny Chesney sponsorship during the quarter, which will continue through September. And I am sure that many of you viewed our new dual branded Corona Extra Casa Noble Tequila TV spot leading up to the Cinco holiday, which was aired on a variety of high profile TV programs. This advertisement drove new distribution of Casa Noble in select on and off premise accounts.

Overall, the strong results that the beer business achieved in the Q1 are the primary driver of the upward revision to Constellation's EPS guidance for fiscal 2016. As such, we now expect beer volumes to increase mid to high single digits, which should drive net sales growth of approximately 10% and underlying operating income growth of 13% to 15%. Beer operations continue to run smoothly. The brewery and glass plant expansions are proceeding as planned. All key performance metrics and initiatives for the brewery are on or better than target, with the first incremental 5,000,000 hectoliters of capacity expected to become operational by the end of calendar 2015.

During the Q1, we achieved high levels of productivity and record capacity utilization at the NAVA brewery and construction of the 2nd furnace at the glass plant is underway. And we have begun site excavation and installation of utilities for the previously announced incremental brewery capacity expansion from 20,000,000 to 25,000,000 hectoliters. Overall, I am very pleased with the outstanding commercial and operational performance of the beer business. Given the continued strength of this business, we are currently evaluating plans for our next increment of capacity beyond 25,000,000 hectoliters. And now I would like to discuss the operational results for our Wine and Spirits business.

During the Q1, we experienced improving depletion and consumer takeaway trends for our U. S. Wine business, posted better than expected results in Canada and delivered excellent dollar sales and depletion growth trends for our portfolio of spirit brands. We are benefiting from positive mix trends across the business. We gained share of feature and display activity at retail and we are maintaining IRI volume share in the U.

S. Wine market. We successfully maintained margins for the wine and spirits business in the Q1 after delivering operating margin expansion of 130 basis points in fiscal 2015. And we remain on track this year to maintain the expanded margin achieved last year. As outlined last quarter, one of our key strategic objectives for this year is to focus our marketing efforts on a subset of our Focus brands in order to drive key brands that have scale, higher margin and the greatest growth potential.

Now let me give you a few examples of what we currently have underway. Black Box will be running 2 commercials championing the exceptional value of this premium box wine has to offer. The commercials air this summer and for the first time will run-in the fall season as well. Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi kicked off its Moments TV campaign in June and is expected to garner more than 1,000,000,000 LDA media impressions through year end. You can see the spot on channels like HGTV, Lifetime, Travel Channel, Food Network, TLC, Bravo, TBS and E.

We've created a new fully integrated digital advertising campaign for Clodoblot, which is running now through the end of summer to engage consumers with this French inspired California wine. The quality of our wine brands has also attracted some terrific media attention this spring with mentions of brands such as Black Box, Kim Crawford, Mark West, Robert Mondavi Winery, Ruffino, The Dreaming Tree and our newest brand Tom Gore Vineyards in such recognizable publications as fortune.com, wineenthusiasts, bloomberg.com and eonline. Recent ratings further attest to our portfolio strength with 90 plus scores coming from the Wine Enthusiast and Wine Spectator for luxury tiers of our Ruffino, Kim Crawford and Ravenswood brands. You may have noticed that beginning with the Q1, we changed the composition of our reported focus brands in order to better align this disclosure with our current brand priorities and the sales and resource focus for the wine and spirits business. We now have 15 brands that comprise our Focus brands versus 20 brands previously.

Notable additions include 2 of our innovation brands, the Dreaming Tree and Ultra Premium Multi Varietal Wine, which was introduced about 3 years ago in collaboration with singer songwriter Dave Matthews and Saved, a luxury brand inspired by contemporary artist Scott Campbell, who is perhaps known best as the tattoo artist to the Hollywood stars. And we experienced overall depletion growth of 3.5% for the Q1, with our focus brands growing nearly twice that rate. These results were driven by a number of our fastest growing brands, including Kim Crawford, Ruffino, Simi, Black Box, Estancia, Clot De Bois, The Dreaming Tree and Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi. For our spirits portfolio, we experienced excellent net sales growth of 8% and solid depletion trends in the Q1, driven by Casa Noble Tequila, Palmasson Grand Amber Brandy and Svetka Vodka. Within IRI channels, our dollar sales growth in spirits continued to outperform the market during the quarter.

Now before I turn the call over to David, I would like to provide some context for the cost effectiveness plan we have initiated as many of you as you may have seen mentioned in this morning's press release. As we transform our business, it's becoming increasingly important to evolve our organizational structure for sustainable long term growth in a way that can bring out the best in the business today and at the same time position us to adapt quickly and effectively in responding to future business needs. As such, we have shifted resources and investments to long term growth opportunities across the business, as well as improved efficiency by consolidating and streamlining resources in areas where it makes the most sense. The position changes associated with this initiative will be minimal, but the majority will occur within our Wine and Spirits business. The objective of this effort is to build the best organization that will enable us to be more agile and effective while in unlocking growth potential.

David will provide a financial overview of the program in a few minutes. In closing, I would like to reiterate that everything we do at Constellation Brands is guided by one of our most important strategic imperatives to apply rigorous financial discipline. And our financial discipline involves maintaining our commitment to our capital allocation priorities, which include ongoing debt reduction to less than 4 times leverage, potential share repurchases and dividend increases and tuck in acquisitions like Meiomi, Mark West and Casa Noble. I would also like to remind everyone that during my tenure as CEO for the last 8 years, our team has created significant value by transforming and simplifying our product portfolio through the rationalization and divestiture of business assets in an effort to premiumize and grow the business. And my plan for the future is to continue to deliver value and generate growth.

With that, I would now like to turn the call over to David Klein for a financial discussion of our Q1 results.

Speaker 4

Thank you, Rob, and good morning, everyone. I first want to say I'm excited about my new role at Constellation. This is a stellar company with tremendous prospects in a dynamic industry. I believe Constellation offers one of the best combinations of top line growth and profitability in the beverage alcohol space. I look forward to partnering with Rob and the rest of the executive management team as we remain focused I've had the pleasure of meeting members of the investment community at investor events in my previous roles as Treasurer or as CFO of our beer business.

I look forward to spending more time and building relationships with you going forward in my new role. With that, let me provide some Q1 highlights. Comparable basis diluted EPS was up 18%. We paid out a quarterly common stock dividend for the first time in our history. And the continued robust marketplace momentum for our beer business, along with our agreement to acquire the Meiomi wine brand, are driving our full year comparable basis diluted EPS projection up $0.10 to a range of $4.80 to $5 for fiscal 2016.

Let's take a closer look at our Q1 results where my comments will generally focus on comparable basis financial results. Consolidated net sales on a constant currency basis grew 8% for the quarter. We continue to see robust marketplace momentum our beer business with depletion growth of 10%. Beer net sales increased 11% on volume growth of 10%. Wine and Spirits net sales on a constant currency basis increased 4%.

This primarily reflects higher shipment volume and favorable mix. Net sales benefited from the overlap of a U. S. Distributor inventory destocking, net of a related distributor destocking payment, which occurred during Q1 fiscal 2015. For the quarter, consolidated gross profit increased $68,000,000 up 10% with gross margin increasing 130 basis points.

Beer gross profit increased $65,000,000 primarily due to volume growth and favorable pricing. Beer gross profit margin increased nearly 2 percentage points to 49.2%. This was driven primarily by pricing and COGS favorability. Hawaiian Spirits gross profit was up slightly as volume and mix benefits were effectively offset by the overlap of the distributor destocking payment. Gross margin held steady at 40.7% as the benefit from mix and favorable COGS were offset by the overlap of the distributor destocking payments.

Consolidated SG and A for the quarter increased $18,000,000 Beer SG and A was up $16,000,000 primarily due to the higher marketing spend. Due to the factors just mentioned, consolidated operating income increased $50,000,000 and consolidated operating margin improved 130 basis points. Beer operating margin increased 170 basis points, while Wine and Spirits operating margin held fairly steady. Interest expense for the quarter was $78,000,000 down 10%. The decrease was primarily due to lower average interest rates.

At the end of March, our total debt was $7,300,000,000 When factoring in cash on hand, our net debt totaled $7,200,000,000 a decrease of $51,000,000 since the end of fiscal 2015. I'd like to take a moment here to note that we are currently in the process of revising our credit agreement to take advantage of the favorable market conditions to extend tenure and ensure our facility is appropriately sized and flexible given the recent growth of our business. Our effective tax rate for the quarter came in at 31.8% and compares to a 32.5% rate last year. Decrease was primarily driven by various favorable tax items. We still anticipate our full year tax rate to approximate 30.5%.

Now let's review free cash flow, which we define as net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures. For the Q1, we generated $76,000,000 of free cash flow compared to $101,000,000 for Q1 of last year. Operating cash flow totaled $206,000,000 versus $232,000,000 for the prior year quarter. The decrease was primarily due to the timing of interest payments and overlap of a tax refund in Q1 FY 2015, partially offset by our earnings growth. CapEx for the quarter totaled $130,000,000 which was essentially even with Q1 last year.

For fiscal 2016, we still expect free cash flow to be in the range of $100,000,000 to $200,000,000 Our projection reflects operating cash flow of $1,150,000,000 to $1,350,000,000 and CapEx of 1.05 dollars to $1,150,000,000 for fiscal 2016, which includes $950,000,000 to $1,050,000,000 for beer. Before reviewing our fiscal 2016 P and L outlook, let me provide a few financial comments related to the Meiomi transaction. We expect to finance the $315,000,000 purchase price with borrowings under our credit agreement. We expect the transaction to close around the beginning of August and to be 0 point 2016. We are only buying the brand, inventory and some great supply contracts.

So we expect integration of the brand into our Wine and Spirits business to be seamless. Now let's move to our full year fiscal 2016 P and L outlook. As mentioned earlier, as a result of the continued strong marketplace performance for our beer business and the expected accretion benefit from Meiomi, we are increasing our comparable basis diluted EPS projection to $4.80 to $5 versus our previous $4.70 to $4.90 range. The beer business is now targeting mid to high single digit volume growth. Net sales growth of approximately 10% and 13% to 15% operating income growth.

As a reminder, fiscal 2015 beer shipments ran ahead of depletions as distributors brought inventories back to more historical levels. As a result, we expect our fiscal 2016 depletion growth rate to be above the shipment growth rate and therefore in the high single digit range. We continue to project beer operating margin to expand and be in the 33% range for fiscal 2016. This is expected to be driven primarily by gross margin improvement as we plan to continue to make investments in marketing and our SG and A structure. We expect our beer operating margin to fluctuate throughout the remainder of the year as we start to bring additional brewery capacity online.

During Q2, there will be an annual inflation increase under our interim supply agreement with ABI for the finished beer that they are currently supplying us. For the Wine and Spirits business, we continue to expect net sales and operating income growth to be in the lowtomidsingledigit range before any benefit from the Meiomi acquisition. Our fiscal 2016 comparable basis guidance excludes comparable adjustments, which are detailed in the release. These adjustments include approximately $20,000,000 of anticipated costs associated with the cost effectiveness plan outlined by Rob earlier. Cost savings from this initiative are expected to be reinvested in areas of the company that drive growth.

We ended Q1 fiscal 2016 with a net debt to comparable basis EBITDA leverage ratio of 3.9 times. Even with our projected higher level of CapEx spend, dividend payments and the funding of the Meiomi acquisition, our strong projected earnings and operating cash flow growth have positioned us to be below the 4 times leverage range at the end of fiscal 2016. Operating below the 4 times range combined with our strong free cash flow generation capabilities provides us significant financial flexibility, especially as beer CapEx spend normalizes. This flexibility combined with our continued focus on our significant organic growth opportunities and strong free cash flow generation capabilities should provide us ample opportunity to increase future returns to shareholders through dividend growth and share buybacks. With that, we're happy to take your questions.

Speaker 1

Your first question comes from the line of Nik Modi of RBC Capital Markets.

Speaker 5

Yes, thanks. Good morning, everyone. So, Rob, just real Good morning, and congratulations, David.

Speaker 3

Thank you.

Speaker 5

Real question strategically on the wine portfolio. Constellation still has a lot of exposure to the low end of the wine segment despite focusing internal and M and A resources on becoming bigger at the higher end. So I'm just curious, have you guys ever thought about becoming a lot more aggressive on shedding the low end of the portfolio and then taking those proceeds to on shedding the low end of the portfolio and then taking those proceeds to innovate more at the high end and complement it with more bolt ons like the one we saw today?

Speaker 3

Yes, Nick. That's something that we have done over the years. We really shed the bulk of the low end portfolio, I think around, I don't know, 2,008, when I became CEO and we disposed of the Almaden and Inglenug brands, which were primarily by that time 5 liter bag in the box, which really represents the vast majority of the sub premium market. Now that said, we do desire to continue to offer a full portfolio of wines to both our wholesale and retail customers because even elements of the sub premium part of the business remain important. And for us to remain a relevant supplier, we feel that it's strategically important to remain in that business.

Now that said, we really do not focus any of our advertising or marketing dollars against those brands and have really shifted almost virtually 100% of those resources against our higher margin or I should say high margin focused brands and to drive a positive mix in the business. So that's currently where we stand. We don't have any plans to divest any more of the tail part of the portfolio.

Speaker 5

Great. And then just one real quick one on capital allocation. I know you guys referenced dividends and buybacks. And if you can just provide a little bit more on buybacks. I mean, can we expect something once the beer CapEx is kind of past its peak?

Speaker 3

Or is that something that could happen sooner? Go ahead,

Speaker 4

David. Yes. So as you probably know, we still have about $700,000,000 remaining under our previously authorized share repurchase program. I would say, as Rob outlined our capital allocation priorities, we do have the brewery build out underway. We have just recently instituted the dividend.

And so I think we need to work our way through those. But yes, we are open to share repurchases once again when the time is right.

Speaker 3

Great. Thanks, guys.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from the line of Brian Spillane of Bank of America.

Speaker 6

Hey, good morning, Rob and welcome David. Just a question about the beer business. You increased your outlook or raised your outlook for the year. And just simplistically, is that because you tracked better in the Q1 than what you were expecting in the balance of the year? Your plans haven't really changed much?

Or is it a function of your even your outlook for the balance of the year has improved?

Speaker 3

Yes. I think that it's both, Brian. I mean, the beer business volume and dollar growth is tracking well ahead of our expectations. We don't really see a chink in that armor in the rest of the year. So we really don't have any reason to believe at this stage that there will be a significant slowdown.

So yes, that has caused us to realistically raise our guidance on beer growth for the year to 10% net sales.

Speaker 6

Okay. And just as a follow-up, in terms of the production turning on in Nava, the additional production turning on by the end of the calendar year, Just in terms of milestones, have we started like test batch brewing yet? If you could just kind of update us where we stand now in terms of the milestones on hitting that target? Thank you.

Speaker 4

Yes, Ryan. So there's a lot of activity going on at NAVA as you would expect, right? And so the first thing is that we're going to see that really begin to come online are packaging lines. We don't expect the actual Brewhouse to be in a functioning state until closer to the end of the calendar year. But I can't say that at this point everything is going according to plan in the build out at NAVA.

Speaker 6

Okay. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from the line of Judy Hong of Goldman Sachs.

Speaker 7

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Hi. Good morning. So first just Rob, regarding the CFO transition announcement and understand that Bob is obviously not on the call to answer this question, but I guess the timing was somewhat unexpected for many people.

So anything you can share with us in terms of what led to that decision, particularly on the timing issue?

Speaker 3

No. I mean, there's really nothing to share. I mean, obviously, the timing was related to when we had these discussions internally and when therefore it was appropriate to make the announcement relative to Bob's departure. So there's really nothing more or less to it than that. Obviously, when the decision was made that Bob was leaving, we had to make an announcement.

And I don't really care when that announcement would have been made. It would have seemed as it did at whatever time it was. So that's pretty much it, Judy.

Speaker 7

Okay. Sorry, David?

Speaker 3

All right.

Speaker 7

Okay. So, the second question, David, just in terms of the gross margin on the beer side, I mean, certainly Q1, I think came in a little bit higher than what we would have anticipated. And I think you commented on some of the fluctuations that you expect throughout the year. But can you give us a little bit more color just in terms of the bridge for Q1 and how that sort of evolves as we get into the balance of the year?

Speaker 4

Yes. So what you would see year over year Q1 to Q1 is margin expansion driven by pricing as well as COGS improvement as our procurement team has taken over the procurement activities at the brewery. For the rest of the year and by the way, the brewery also was operating effectively at capacity in the Q1, which gives us a better number as well. For the rest of the year, we're going to bring on several packaging lines. We're going to bring on part of a new warehouse and we're going to bring on the first 5,000,000 hectoliters of brewing capacity.

And once we put them in service, meaning we've run beer down the line or beer through the brewhouse for commercial sale, we then put those assets into service, which means we begin depreciation. However, at that point, there's still a lot of work as you might imagine brewhouse and the warehouse. And any of that expense that happens after we put the assets into service falls right to the bottom line as an expense, right? So we expect that that's going to create some of the choppiness for the rest of the year. And then additionally, as I mentioned in my initial comments, we have an inflation adjustment on the finished goods that we're buying from ABI that actually took effect the 1st week of June.

So I think that really kind of bridges us out from the 34.8% really to the 33% range, which we've called out.

Speaker 7

Okay. And just clarification, that also includes some of the packaging procurement savings that you would have seen already or expected to see as you get into the balance of the year?

Speaker 4

Yes. We've built in the again, our procurement guys have done an outstanding job of really getting us some great benefits. We've built that into the guidance that we've provided for the year.

Speaker 7

Okay. Got it. All right. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from the line of Mark Swartzberg of Stifel Financial.

Speaker 8

Yes, thanks. Good morning, everyone. And congratulations, David. Two questions. 1 on the beer side, we saw price mix just shy of 1%, which was a similar number to the last quarter.

Could you just speak to not only your view of that number going forward for you, but also to what which I presume is largely a mix issue. But why isn't that number stronger? And then how are you how does that relate to what you're seeing out there in the marketplace from competition? So just some comments on the pricing environment and how you see it playing out for you? And then totally unrelated question is on this cost cutting you've announced, which is good to see.

Could you give us a little bit of detail on where you expect those savings to come from? And to what extent this is sort of a moment in time thing you're doing? And to what extent you think you'll be engaging in this sort of thing going forward?

Speaker 3

Yes. Mark, first of all, on your question on pricemix, basically our plan has I should say our plan or our view has not changed at all from the year for the year. We really haven't moved into the season where beer pricing is usually taken, which is in the fall. We will, of course, be looking at the market as we normally do on a market by market, case by case basis. But we still fully expect that we'll be within our guidance range of 1% to 2% on price mix.

So we don't see anything at the moment that would cause us to believe any differently than that. And then your second question?

Speaker 8

Well, the second question was

Speaker 3

Cost savings from restructuring. Cost savings and to what extent it's uncertain when you need

Speaker 8

to do

Speaker 3

it? Yes. We don't expect any material cost savings from the restructuring really because that was more of a streamlining in some areas and a reallocation in other areas. So really what we've done here is we've taken a look at the business. We said, okay, what areas could use greater efficiency, streamlining, areas that aren't, I'll say commercially oriented, aren't directly related to revenue, and that we thought could function better, as if it was if they were streamlined and made more efficient.

At the same time, we're reallocating resources to what we think are critical revenue and growth driving areas for the future, Bill Newlands, innovation and growth organization, we're building a big organization or a reasonably large organization under Bill to continue to drive effective growth and innovation. We're also redirecting dollars to the commercial side of the business in the form of brand building activities, again, that we think will continue to drive organic growth. So we're just being prudent around making sure that we're investing in the right areas of the business for the future.

Speaker 8

And innovation in Chicago specifically are getting a lot of those that redirection so to speak as well.

Speaker 3

Well, innovation is yes, and it's not Chicago per se. I mean, it's really San Francisco, it's Chicago where it's both places where our beer, wine and spirits innovation people are located. And then the commercial side of the business, as I said, we're we continue to increase our spends in advertising and marketing, because we think that it's critical to continue to drive the kind of success that we've had. So in particular, the commercial side of beer is a very important part of the business for us to continue to invest in because we can't just take our current growth and be penny wise and dollar foolish for the future. We have to make sure that we're taking all the right steps to ensure that we're able to maintain this of hit it out of the ballpark growth that we've been enjoying.

Speaker 8

Great, great. Okay, great. That's very helpful. Thank you, Rob.

Speaker 4

Sure.

Speaker 1

Our next question comes from the line of Tim Ramey of Pivotal Research Group.

Speaker 3

Hi, Tim.

Speaker 9

Hey, good morning. Thanks. It looked

Speaker 3

to me and you sort

Speaker 9

of alluded to this that the Meiomi acquisition is a lot like the Mark West deal asset light, no assets, bulk line sourced. Am I correct in that? Or is that a fair characterization of the business?

Speaker 3

Totally fair characterization of the business. Okay. It also enables us to reallocate internally some of our resources against higher end Pinot Noir.

Speaker 9

Yes, absolutely. I mean, this means higher capacity utilization for your 1Q.

Speaker 3

Yes. A lot of synergies is the bottom line because as you said, it's there are no assets other than some existing inventory and the intellectual property. So we're fully capable of continuing to produce the wine in the style that it and this is important, the style that is have you had the wine?

Speaker 9

I have not. I have to give it a try.

Speaker 3

It's an interesting Pinot Noir. I mean, it did become as successful as it is because it's a sort of a run of the mill product. It's a somewhat unique product for a Pinot Noir and that it's a little heavier and fuller body than I would say your typical California Pinot Noir in that price point. Got it. And You've done something about that Tim.

Okay.

Speaker 9

I will do more research. And I'm guessing the relevant EBITDA for the $65,000,000 in sales may not be that big. Do you feel like you can disclose that? Are you basically valuing this off the pro form a EBITDA?

Speaker 3

Yes. No, we really haven't disclosed it, but the purchase price pre synergies was about 10 times the transferred margin. So post synergies, it's going to be significantly better than that. So it's a real good deal, especially given the growth rate, which was I think 50% in IRI over 500,000 cases in the last 12 months. So I mean, it's a tremendous deal.

Speaker 9

If it's anything like Mark West, you'll have a great success.

Speaker 3

Thanks a lot. Better than Mark West, Tim.

Speaker 4

Cool.

Speaker 3

Not that that wasn't a great one too.

Speaker 9

Thanks.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from the line of Vivien Azer of Cowen.

Speaker 10

My first question has to do with your beer outlook, clearly quite good. I was hoping you could offer a little bit of incremental color in terms of the positive guidance revision, corona relative to Modelo, please?

Speaker 4

Yes. I would say in the kind of breakout between Corona and Medelo Especial, I think the interesting thing that we've seen in our portfolio over the recent history has been the growth and acceleration of growth for Corona Extra. A lot of about 40% of that growth has been driven by the can introduction, which we're very pleased. But again, it's such a large brand that the Corona brand growing is very good for Constellation. And I would say that we still expect to continue to see the growth rates that we've been experiencing recently for Modelo Especial.

There's no indication that that brand is slowing down at this time.

Speaker 10

Terrific. That's helpful. Thank you. My second question, switching to the wine side of the business. Rob, you outlined a number of commercial initiatives and marketing that's launching around a number of wine brands.

So as we think about total company A and P as a percentage of sales, certainly that stepped up in 2015. How should we think about that for fiscal 2016 please?

Speaker 3

For this year? Yes, please. Yes. I think that we will continue to see 2 things, okay. Increased marketing and the concentration of that marketing against a smaller subset of brands.

As I mentioned, we have initiated TV marketing at fairly significant rates against Black Box, Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi, for example. And with the way that we can measure very directly now through household type surveys and pantry studies, the impact of our advertising. We believe quite strongly that some of these campaigns in particular the Black Box and the Mondavi Woodbridge that we have previously tested is actually not only good for longer term brand building, but we think that it pays back in the short run with the incremental increase in purchases and consumption that we've seen in the test markets where we run these ads. So we are expanding that. And I think that what you're seeing basically is our depletion growth, which was in the 3.5% range, which is an acceleration is indicative that what we're doing is working.

And then also from a depletion point of view, which is a little hard to see through our financial results, which are shipment based, we're seeing a pretty significant increase in mix as well against the business. So pretty much I'd say that what we're doing here is working pretty well. In fact, I think very well. So we're pretty optimistic about the wine and spirits business for the remainder of the year.

Speaker 7

Thank you.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from the line of Caroline Levy of CLSA.

Speaker 7

Thank you so much. My congratulations hi, hi and congratulations David. We look forward to spending more time with you. My question is about the regional performance of the beer business, because it seems like certainly Big Bear had a very difficult May from what I understand and there was quite a bit of out of date inventory on the shelves towards the end of May early June. And maybe that is simply in certain regions, but any detail you could give us on what you saw in your brands and whether you think big brands will hold pricing as you move through the summer?

Speaker 3

Yes. So, May was tough for some of our competitors. It was not particularly tough for ourselves. We saw a slight deacceleration, but it was probably a result of there being one less selling day in the month, which has about a 1 20th or a 5% anticipated impact. June, very strong IRI dollars for our beer business in the 4 week period ending sixtwenty 1, up 14% for Constellation Spirit Business in dollars.

So we see no negative impact or unusual occurrence relative to May on our business. But as I said, yes, some of our competitors have found that period to be difficult. And regionally, the answer continues to be no as well. There's nothing going on regionally for us, in terms of a shift of geographic mix or we're not seeing an acceleration in some parts of the country and a slowdown in others. Everything is pretty much steady as it goes.

So nothing for us. Hence, we increased our guidance now for the year to the 10% sales growth range on the beer business because as I said in my in the answer to some of the earlier questions, it's just evident to us that our previous guidance was understated relative to current and expected trends for the remainder of the year.

Speaker 7

That's excellent. Just a quick follow on. On the cans, there are markets where you've tested them where cans are 6% of mix. Overall, can you give us an idea of where they are now and where you think they could go?

Speaker 4

Yes. So just kind of to look at quarter over quarter and I'll focus on Corona because remember Modelo Especial is a big can brand, right? But the new launch is really focused on Corona Extra. And for Corona Extra, say Q1 last year about 3 percent of our depletions were in cans and this year it was about 5%. We clearly believe that we'll continue to see the can momentum build.

And we also know however that we won't end up with a can mix like the domestic players, but we think we can someday line up maybe more in line with some of the other import players in terms of their can mix.

Speaker 2

Great. Thank you.

Speaker 1

Your next question comes from the line of Rob Ottenstein of Evercore.

Speaker 11

Great. Vedek, terrific quarter guys. Just back on the cans while we're on that, can you give us any sort of sense of and I know it's a guess, what sort of cannibalization rate you're getting with cans?

Speaker 3

We think the cannibalization rate is fairly low, actually probably below everybody's expectation. So I don't think we can really know what the cannibalization rate is by the way, right? Because you'd have to say, well, okay, glass would have grown at X percent, but for the cans, we can't answer that question necessarily. And so we think the cans are representing, let's put it this way, primarily incremental business. So probably at this like 3% to 5% that we're talking about right now, cans are being used on occasions, where glass could not heretofore have been used.

And therefore, we think pretty low cannibalization and pretty much incremental growth.

Speaker 11

Okay. And then thank you. And as my follow-up, it's my understanding that California and particularly Southern California represents something like 25% of the business and Texas 10%. And I was just very surprised that you didn't apparently see any impact from kind of historically bad weather and rainfalls in those areas. And it's obviously a tribute to the strength and momentum of the business.

But I'm just wondering would results have been even better with kind of normal weather in Southern California and Texas?

Speaker 3

Yes, maybe. I would say yes, I would say we did see a little bit of impact of weather towards the end of May, but everything just kind of bounced right back in June. So it's kind of hard to say whether there was really any impact from that. Probably as I said, the Cell Day impact was the greatest impact that we had in May, even though the weather had to have had some kind of effect on a temporary basis on the sales buzz, but we don't think that it was anything material and it certainly hasn't driven any trend change into the extent that I don't know in Texas people couldn't get out and buy beer they restocked.

Speaker 8

Got

Speaker 11

it. Thank you very much.

Speaker 1

Your final question comes from the line of Bill Chappell of SunTrust.

Speaker 12

Good morning. Thanks for the question and welcome David. Two quick ones. One just on back on Miami, should we still kind of expect the kind of one deal a year tuck in or is the market change where you're seeing more opportunities out there in the wine space?

Speaker 3

I think that one deal a year is an overstatement. Let's see, since I've been CEO for the last 8 years, I think we've done 3 deals of that nature, Mark West, Casa Noble and now, Miomi. Our strategy hasn't changed. No, we don't I don't think that there's any more significant I wouldn't suggest anything different will occur from a number or timing perspective. We keep our eye open for these things.

They come around every once in a while. They're very advantageous. If it's the right thing at the right time, we try to stay away from some of the, I'm going to say trendier stuff that has a tendency to kind of go up and down. You take Meiomi, you take Mark West. These were classic brands in a category, in this case, Pinot Noir, which is not trendy, but fast growing and will continue, we believe to be a fast growing varietal as people continue to discover Pinot Noir and we think taste preferences are on a long term basis changing towards Pinot Noir.

So Mark West covers sort of the $10 to $12 Pinot Noir range and Meiomi covers sort of the $20 plus Pinot Noir range. So that puts us in a really strong position in one of the fastest growing and most stable segments of wine, which is the Pinot Noir varietal in particular. So no change in sort of the frequency

Speaker 12

tax rate. Tax is higher this quarter. Should it just be closer to 30.3% for the rest of the year? Or is there any given quarter where there's kind of a catch up to get you that 30.5

Speaker 4

Yes. I think as you know, our tax rates, our ETR in a given quarter is really driven by the geography of the earnings and our resolution of our various tax issues. So I would say that for us, we're confident in the 30.5% rate and we don't really have a view on the quarters where the delta will land.

Speaker 12

Okay. Thanks so much.

Speaker 1

Thank you. I will now return the call to Rob Sands for any additional or closing remarks.

Speaker 3

Okay. Well, thank you everyone for joining our call today. We've covered a lot of ground. But before we go, I want to reiterate how pleased we are with the excellent performance of our business this quarter. Now the team plans to continue to capitalize on the tremendous momentum we have underway to drive growth and enhance financial performance.

From a wine and spirits perspective, we are gaining traction and we are on track to achieve our goals for the year. I'm also excited about the acquisition of Miomi Wine Business, which is an excellent addition to our portfolio. Our fiscal 2016 is off to a great start and we are eager to continue this momentum into our summer selling season. As we head into the 4th July holiday weekend, I hope you remember to bring some of our fine wine products to your celebrations and to please enjoy them responsibly. We will be on the road next week as we begin to introduce David Klein to those of you he has not already met.

So I look forward to seeing you.

Speaker 1

Thank you

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