Sunoco LP (SUN)
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Earnings Call: Q2 2018

Aug 9, 2018

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to Sunoco second quarter 2018 earnings call. At this time, all participants are in listen only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during today's conference, please press star zero from your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to Scott Grischow, Senior Director of Investor Relations and Treasury. Please go ahead.

Scott Grischow
Senior Director of Investor Relations and Treasury, Sunoco LP

Thank you. Before we begin our prepared remarks, I have a few of the usual items to cover. A reminder that today's call will contain forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management's beliefs, expectations, and assumptions. They may include comments regarding the company's objectives, targets, plans, strategies, costs, and anticipated capital expenditures. They are subject to the risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially, as described more fully in the company's filings with the SEC. During today's call, we will also discuss the non-GAAP financial measures, including Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow as adjusted. Please refer to this quarter's news release for a reconciliation of each financial measure. Please note that SUN has moved the operating results, assets, and liabilities of our operations that are part of our retail divestitures into discontinued operations.

As such, the results presented on today's call are based on continuing operations unless otherwise noted. Also, a reminder that the information reported on this call speaks only to the company's view as of today, August ninth, 2018. The time sense of information may no longer be accurate at the time of any replay. You will find information on the replay in this quarter's earnings release. Last night, we posted an updated investor presentation to our website. Certain slides in that presentation will be referenced on today's call. On the call with me this morning are Joe Kim, Sunoco LP's President and Chief Executive Officer, Tom Miller, Chief Financial Officer, Karl Fails, Chief Commercial Officer, and other members of the management team. Before I turn the call over to Tom, I would like to first review some of the partnership's accomplishments and activities since the end of the first quarter.

On April first, we completed the conversion of our 207 fuel outlets located in West Texas to commission agent sites. Later in April, as part of the FTC resolution, we converted an additional 59 retail sites to the commission agent channel. 26 of which were acquired from 7-Eleven, with the remainder being former Sunoco company-operated locations. Turning to our 7-Eleven fuel supply agreement, the 15-year take-or-pay agreement began on April first, and the commitment included the first step-up for the guaranteed growth volume component of 100 million gallons. Remaining annual growth components will phase in each April, with growth of 200 million gallons in April of 2019 and 100 million gallons in each of 2020 and 2021. We are pleased with the 7-Eleven supply agreement and the stable source of income the agreement provides.

That said, I do want to note that while committed volumes are an essential metric under the supply agreement, the timing and quantity of fuel deliveries are a product of a number of factors, which include 7-Eleven's fuel strategy for optimizing gross profit through pricing and volume decisions. As a result, it is important to keep in mind that the de facto guarantee under the supply agreement is one of an annual minimum dollar margin, not a volume commitment. in the second quarter, SUN made a total of $260 million in tax payments related to the 7-Eleven sale, and we anticipate two additional payments, one payment occurring in each of the third and fourth quarters. We believe the total 2018 tax impact will be approximately $480 million.

Next, in late July, we closed on an amended and restated credit facility. The maturity date was extended out five years to July 2023. The credit facility size remains at $1.5 billion and includes an accordion feature that provides flexibility to increase the credit facility by up to $750 million, subject to additional lender commitments. We were also able to improve our margin pricing in the new agreement, which will help reduce interest expense moving forward. Turning now to our acquisition activity. We completed the Superior Plus acquisition in late April and closed on the Sandford Oil acquisition last week. As a reminder, the Superior acquisition included a 200 million gallon a year fuel distribution business and three terminals with operations concentrated in the upstate New York market.

The Sandford acquisition is another example of the bolt-on opportunities that we continue to see in the marketplace and includes a 115 million gallon a year fuel distribution business to exploration, drilling, and oil field service customers. The acquisitions also bring material commercial and G&A synergies, resulting in post-synergy multiples of between 5 to 6 times for the Superior acquisition and below 5 times for the Sandford acquisition. We funded both of these acquisitions with cash on hand and amounts available on our credit facility. We expect both acquisitions to be accretive to our unit holders in the first year. Before I turn the call over to Tom, I want to highlight the changes we made to the reportable segments in our financials. We renamed the former Wholesale segment to Fuel Distribution and Marketing and renamed the former Retail segment to All Other.

The Fuel Distribution and Marketing segment includes all fuel sales previously reflected in our Wholesale segment. The majority of rental income from the properties that we lease or sublease will also be included in this segment. The All Other segment includes retail fuel and merchandising sales from our remaining 76 retail locations, which includes our Hawaii business. Consistent with the former Retail segment, the All Other segment also includes results from the partnership's ethanol facility, credit card services, and franchise royalties. I will now turn the call over to Tom.

Thomas R. Miller
CFO, Sunoco LP

Thanks, Scott, and good morning, everyone. Before I cover the financial results for the quarter, I want to reemphasize what Scott said regarding our recent acquisitions. Superior Plus and Sandford Oil demonstrate our willingness to make bolt-on acquisitions in a financially prudent manner. Both acquisitions support our growth strategy outlined on slide 10. In addition to the growth of our fuel distribution, the Superior acquisition provides the opportunity to buy terminals at an attractive multiple, while the Sandford acquisition expands our business in the attractive oil field channels. We manage our business as a portfolio of cash flows from our various channels. We see other M&A opportunities that fit within that approach. We will pursue those opportunities that deliver on our operational and financial parameters. Turning to the second quarter results, the partnership recorded net income of $68 million compared to a net loss of $222 million a year ago.

Adjusted EBITDA was $140 million, which includes $7 million of transaction-related expenses. Our quarter-end leverage, as defined by the credit agreement, was 4.5 times. Last year's second quarter leverage was six times. Distributable Cash Flow as adjusted was $106 million. DCF coverage for the second quarter was 1.24 times and 1.14 times on a trailing 12-month basis. Last year at this time, our trailing 12-month coverage ratio was 1.03. On July 27, we declared an $0.8255 per unit distribution, the same as last quarter. Both coverage and leverage are materially stronger than last year as a result of the balance sheet restructuring afforded by the 7-Eleven transaction. As we look forward, we will manage leverage within a target ratio of 4.5 to 4.75 times and a distribution coverage ratio of at least 1.1 times. Our liquidity remains strong with $1.2 billion available on our revolver.

Our weighted average cost of debt is 5.1%. Looking at our operational performance, total fuel volume in the second quarter was approximately two billion gallons, a 6.5% increase over the first quarter. We anticipate that volume will trend higher throughout the second half of the year, driven by growth in our organic fuel business, our recently acquired businesses, and typical seasonality. For the second quarter, fuel margin was $0.099 per gallon and $0.098 on a trailing 12-month basis. It is important to think about margin and volume together. We manage the business for long-term gross profit, not margin and volume separately. We have seen quarters where volume was down while gross profit was up, and vice versa. We expect to see that in the future. That said, slide eight shows how annual fuel margins tend to be stable, muting any short-term volatility.

Last December, we provided guidance for various expense items. We continue to focus on controlling those expenses. If you look at slide five, we have provided updates for 2018. During the second quarter, G&A expense from continuing operations was $34 million, in line with guidance. When you remove transaction costs associated with closing out retail operations, we feel comfortable with $140 million in 2018 in continuing operations. Rent expense totaled $19 million. Our 2018 run rate guidance remains at $75 million. Second quarter other operating expense was $86 million. Although this implies a higher than guidance run rate, the first half of the year had non-recurring expenses associated with the move of retail sites, both West Texas and FTC sites, to commission agent sites. Excluding Q1 and Q2 operating costs to run these sites, 2018 other operating expense run rate guidance remained unchanged at $325 million.

We feel good with these estimates, even considering the additional cost associated with Superior Plus and Sandford Oil. As we continue to make acquisitions, our G&A and other operating expenses will increase accordingly. In the first half of this year, we revamped our capital allocation and approval process. Because of this process review, our capital spending was atypically low for the first half of the year. In the second quarter, we invested $13 million, $11 million of growth capital, and $2 million of maintenance capital. For the remainder of the year, we will spend on a more normalized basis, which leads us to lower our 2018 estimate for more maintenance capital by $10 million to $30 million and growth capital by $25 million to $65 million. I will now turn the call over to Joe for closing thoughts.

Joe Kim
President and CEO, Sunoco LP

Good morning, everyone. As Tom stated, we had a solid second quarter. The underlying business is strong, and we expect it to continue. Looking forward, the third quarter is off to a good start. In July, our margins were strong, and our volumes continue to grow. Last December, we laid out a plan, and this year we executed on this plan. We fixed our balance sheet and will continue to show financial discipline. We expect to be within our guided leverage range. As for G&A, rent expense, and OpEx, we expect to deliver on the guidance we gave back in December. We also stated a targeted coverage to be over 1.1. We're well-positioned to meet this target. The acquisition of Superior Plus and Sandford Oil are two solid examples of delivering on our stated growth plan. We're positioned for more.

These immediately accretive acquisitions are the type of opportunities we'll continue to pursue in a fragmented marketplace. I'd like to close by referencing a statement I made a couple of quarters ago. I stated that Sunoco LP is a show-me story. As our plan continues to be proven out quarter by quarter, we'll evolve into a proven execution story. I remain confident in our ability to grow and deliver on our stated financial goals. Operator, that concludes our prepared remarks. You may open the line for questions.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press *1 from your telephone keypad, and a confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press *2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please while we poll for questions. Thank you. First question today will be coming from the line of Theresa Chen with Barclays. Please proceed with your question.

Theresa Chen
Analyst, Barclays

Hi. Thank you for taking my questions. First, can you give us an update on how the current quarter margins are trending? The wholesale gasoline price has seen some volatility quarter to date, I think historically, you've been able to achieve good margins in this kind of environment, given your scale and branding, just want to check that this is still consistent.

Karl R. Fails
Chief Commercial Officer, Sunoco LP

Theresa. Hi, this is Karl. Yes, it's consistent, as Joe mentioned in his prepared remarks. Far in the quarter, both volume and margins are looking strong.

Theresa Chen
Analyst, Barclays

Great. In terms of the new segments, how ratable is the gross profit in that all other segment?

Karl R. Fails
Chief Commercial Officer, Sunoco LP

If you look at our margins. We restated them on the slide where we've shown them, the margin itself on a trailing 12-month basis, it's rather flat. We may see some volatility quarter to quarter, we believe over a long period of time, the margin itself, the CPG, and therefore gross profit as volumes move rather slightly upward, we think that margins will remain stable.

Joe Kim
President and CEO, Sunoco LP

Hey, Theresa. It's Joe. Let me just add a little commentary on that one. I think you're referencing the area that's not fuel distribution, not rental income, but the other side. It is really made up of merchandise income, which is a moderate amount if you think about it. We only have our Hawaii operation and our Turnpike operation up in New Jersey. That's a moderate amount. You don't see big fluctuations in that area. You have credit card income, which is a fee on top of a number. That's a very fixed type of number. We have our franchise revenue where we're the franchisor for stores, which is a royalty on top of that. Again, that's pretty stable. There's some miscellaneous other items out there.

I think I feel comfortable telling you that is a pretty stable other income.

Theresa Chen
Analyst, Barclays

Great. Thank you. Regarding the comment about keeping distributions flat in the slides, I'm guessing that excess coverage will be used to partly fund deals instead of coming to the equity market. Just curious on how much do you think you can do on the acquisition front before needing equity?

Thomas R. Miller
CFO, Sunoco LP

We feel very comfortable with where we are right now in terms of as we look forward with the Superior and Sandford, that we don't need to issue equity this year. I would be speculating if you said how far out we can go. It would depend on size and cash flow. We don't see any of that right now.

Theresa Chen
Analyst, Barclays

Got it. Lastly, in terms of your leverage, can you provide some color on what kind of adjustments can be made to EBITDA in the denominator, just to give us a sense of how you plan to achieve your leverage guidance while still increasing borrowings to make that last two payments associated with the taxes with the 7-Eleven transaction?

Thomas R. Miller
CFO, Sunoco LP

That's a real fair question. For the rest of the year, we're going to have adjustments associated with 7-Eleven and as Superior and Sandford get added on a pro forma basis.

We see that covering the $200 and I guess it's $20 million, going forward this year and staying within our leverage target.

Scott Grischow
Senior Director of Investor Relations and Treasury, Sunoco LP

Yeah, Theresa, this is Scott. Moving forward, additional and future acquisitions we're able to, per our credit agreement, able to add in on a pro forma basis, the full year EBITDA contribution. As Tom said, we'll get the benefits for the 7-Eleven fuel supply agreement as well as Superior, then, moving forward, the Sandford acquisition will also be an adjustment that we'll make to that EBITDA.

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Our next question is coming from the line of Jeremy Tonet with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your questions.

Speaker 11

Good morning. This is actually Charlie in for Jeremy. I was just curious if you could touch on comments from Kelcy last week on the merger call. They had mentioned that they'd like to see you as more of a pipeline and refined products business. I was just curious how you think about those comments and how that would make sense for Sun?

Joe Kim
President and CEO, Sunoco LP

This is Joe. I think you have to start first of all, talking about what our overall goal is. Our overall goal is to be a larger and more stable income MLP. With that means that we're going to have to do some smart growth. As we look for opportunities, we're going to use financial discipline, and an obvious area that we would want to go into is anything to do with refined products. We're one of the biggest markers of refined products out there, and that gives us insight and capabilities. With insight and capabilities, there's potential synergies. Yes, we want to become a more stable, more diversified MLP, and looking at some of the assets that Kelcy mentioned last week makes sense for us.

That all has to be done with being smart growth and finding the right opportunity at the right price and making sure that we bring capabilities and synergies to the table.

Speaker 11

That's great. Thanks. Apologies if you touched on this. I got on here a little late. Just looking at volumes year to date and looking at the guidance of $8 billion, I'm just kind of curious, thoughts on the second half there and expectations.

Karl R. Fails
Chief Commercial Officer, Sunoco LP

Sure. This is Karl. I'll add a few comments to what Tom made on his prepared remarks. First, our Q2 volumes rose seasonally from Q1 in line with our expectations. The other biggest point to remember is that margin and volume are not independent variables. As we look at our business and we manage it, we're managing it for both short-term and long-term gross profit dollars. Over the last half a year or so, we've taken a fresh look at how we manage that margin volume relationship, and there are some times and places where we've traded off volume for margin, with overall positive results. Specifically for Q2, as you think about it, we could have easily sold more gallons, but then not put up the gross profit number that we did.

The last point I'll remind you of is that 25% of our gallons are sold to 7-Eleven, and as Scott mentioned in his remarks, our take-or-pay with 7-Eleven is based on gross profit dollars, not volume.

Speaker 11

Yeah. That makes sense. Great. Thanks. That's it for me.

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Ben Brownlow with Raymond James. Please proceed with your questions.

Ben Brownlow
Analyst, Raymond James

Thanks for taking the question. Just to be clear on your last answer, that raise $0.09 to $0.10 per gallon, that's really not indicative of the long-term expectation, just the first half of this year. As we think about 2019, you're still kind of thinking more that $0.08 to $0.095 per gallon range and kind of balancing that with volume?

Joe Kim
President and CEO, Sunoco LP

Ben, this is Joe. That $0.09 to $0.10, I would say obviously, if you look back to the first half of the year and you use our recast number, it comes out to $0.0975. I think we've achieved that for the first half. That is definitely looking out for the rest of 2018, and I foresee that continuing on. At a certain point, you always reevaluate the market, we feel good with that $0.09 to $0.10.

Ben Brownlow
Analyst, Raymond James

Clarify on the financials, on the $140 million in Adjusted EBITDA, that includes the $7 million transaction expense, but there's also some discontinued ops layered in there. Is the number closer to that $170 million mark when you exclude discontinued ops, or are there any other aspects of that I should be aware of?

Thomas R. Miller
CFO, Sunoco LP

No, I think last quarter, we had a presentation that took you from $109, our reported number, to $129. This time, we think you should just go from $140 to $147.

Ben Brownlow
Analyst, Raymond James

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Patrick Wang with Robert W. Baird. Please proceed with your questions.

Patrick C. Wang
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Hey, good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. Joe, moving back to your earlier comment, how would you characterize the refined products acquisition landscape compared to the consolidator role Sun has traditionally played in the more fragmented fuel distribution sector?

Joe Kim
President and CEO, Sunoco LP

If you broke the two on, both of them are attractive to us. Let me start off by talking about more of what we did for the first half of the year with the Superior and with the Sandford acquisition. What we talked about last year and what we're executing this year is that we think that there's a long runway of growth for these smaller type of acquisitions. If you take the example of the first half, we're talking about a little bit over $100 million for two acquisitions. One of the things we talked about is, as we bring in our scale and our buying power and our infrastructure, we think that we can do these at a synergized multiple in the mid-single digits, and both of those are achieved.

With that said, we think we have a robust pipeline, and we think there's more out there. The ideal situation would be is that we like to do this on a more ratable basis, and obviously, M&A and ratable don't necessarily go hand-in-hand, but we think our pipeline gives us a good possibility of continuing doing these smaller roll-ups where we think they're going to be highly accretive. On the other side of the refined product, that's what I think, Pat, you're referring to, the multiples typically trade at a higher number than the fuel distribution sector. This is where we're evaluating opportunities, and we have to find the right opportunity for us to take advantage of.

Patrick C. Wang
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

Okay. That's great. Thank you. Then turning to the strong fuel margin you built over this quarter, can you help us understand any of the puts and takes that were in that number and if there were any one-offs that we should be aware of? I'm just wondering if there was any outsized performance in Aloha or any of those other assets, or is this just reflecting the recurring wholesale business?

Karl R. Fails
Chief Commercial Officer, Sunoco LP

This is Karl. I can make a comment on that. I think if you look at our fuel distribution margin, one of the ways we talk about is that we have a portfolio of various channels. I think we list those on slide eight of our presentation. None of those channels are an outsized portion of our fuel gross profit. We typically don't break out the performance of any one sector. I don't have one necessarily in the quarter that we can highlight, but I think the graph we have on slide eight shows that even with some puts and takes that might happen in one of those channels in a quarter, that on that recast basis, we have a lot of stability in our margin.

Joe Kim
President and CEO, Sunoco LP

Hey, Pat, this is Joe. Let me add one other additional comment on top of Karl's. If you look at that slide that Karl's referencing, we take a multi-channel strategy in our fuel distribution business. If you break out the different channels that we have out there, no one income segment on a gross profit basis is greater than 15%. If you were to pick out the biggest one, it's actually our rental income, which is incredibly the most stable one out of our group. We've always said we take a multi-channel fuel distribution strategies because we don't want to be overweight in one particular channel. As we do organic growth and M&A growth, we're highly conscious of keeping this balanced so that we can keep stability on an ongoing basis.

Patrick C. Wang
Analyst, Robert W. Baird

All right. That's great to hear. Thank you very much.

Operator

As a reminder, to ask a question today, you may press star one from your telephone keypad. The next question is from the line of Barrett Blaschke with MUFG Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Barrett Blaschke
Analyst, MUFG Securities

Hey, guys. Just a quick question. As we're looking at sort of a longer-term picture, is it 4-4.75? Is that the goal for leverage over the longer term, or is that more of a near-term goal, given that we've sort of seen the whole group shifting their leverage targets lower?

Thomas R. Miller
CFO, Sunoco LP

Right now, I think you said 4. It's actually 4.5-4.75.

Barrett Blaschke
Analyst, MUFG Securities

I'm sorry, 4.5. Yeah.

Thomas R. Miller
CFO, Sunoco LP

Yeah, that's a long-term goal that we want, and we're going to try and stay in it quarter by quarter, but that could change based on strong margins, weak margins in any given quarter. When we look over the long period, we see that quite achievable.

Barrett Blaschke
Analyst, MUFG Securities

Okay. One follow-up, and that's just any immediate impact you see from the roll-up of ETP and ETE? They own a lot of your units and your IDRs. Is there anything we should be looking out for there?

Joe Kim
President and CEO, Sunoco LP

I think Kelcy Warren made his comments last week, and I think I made some comments earlier here, is that they're a stronger entity. We have a very supportive and a very financially stable parent. They own our GP. They also own about a third of our LP units. I think they have highly incentivized, and we're aligned that they want to grow GP value along with LP value. I think we're highly aligned. We get the benefit of having them, and we feel very good about our long-term future as a separate entity.

Barrett Blaschke
Analyst, MUFG Securities

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Jay Guyer with Janney. Please proceed with your question.

Jay Guyer
Analyst, Janney

Yeah, can you talk a bit longer term about some of the growth capital expectations? I think your guidance is for $65 million this year. How should we think about that going forward? You think that's kind of relatively the level with this new strategy, or do you think that number is going to increase significantly, and I guess, how are you looking at that?

Joe Kim
President and CEO, Sunoco LP

This is Joe. Let me kind of walk you through this year and then try and give you some better insight that I think will help you look at on an ongoing basis. Tom mentioned in his prepared comments that one of the things that we did at the beginning of the year is we took a hard look at all our maintenance capital and our growth capital, and put in, I would say, a far more rigid process to ensure that we're getting down on a maintenance capital basis. Do we have to do it? Is there a better way to do it? Is there a cheaper way to do it? That's what slowed down our program, and I think we're happy with the process that we have now. Same thing with the growth capital.

As a new transformed organization, we took a look at our growth capital and the projects we're doing and making sure that we have the type of returns that we're going to be satisfied with. With that said, our new guidance for both for the rest of the year is $30 million for maintenance and $65 for growth. On an ongoing basis, on the growth side, we think for the same reasons that we bring synergies to the table with Sandford Oil and with Superior, that same logic plays out with growth projects too, as far as signing up new customers.

Our intent is to have that number grow year after year, and we would like to get to the point, especially in the fuel distribution sector, where M&A might not be as ratable, but our growth capital from organic growth There's an inflection point where that inflection point passes up the M&A side, and we have that constant organic growth on a going-forward basis. As we get on the later half of this year, we can provide more clarity of what that number might look like in 2019 and beyond.

Jay Guyer
Analyst, Janney

Great. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we've reached the end of the question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call back to Scott Grischow for closing remarks.

Scott Grischow
Senior Director of Investor Relations and Treasury, Sunoco LP

Well, thanks everyone for joining us on this quarter's call. As always, please feel free to reach out to me with any follow-ups. This concludes today's call.

Operator

You may now disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.