Exasol AG (ETR:EXL)
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May 11, 2026, 4:24 PM CET
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Earnings Call: Q1 2026

May 7, 2026

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, a warm welcome to today's earnings call of Exasol AG regarding the financial year figures 2025 and the first quarter results of 2026. Therefore, I'm delighted to welcome CEO Jörg Tewes and CFO Jan-Dirk Henrich. The gentlemen will guide us through the presentation and the results shortly, followed by a Q&A session. Having said this, Mr. Tewes, the stage is yours.

Jörg Tewes
CEO, Exasol

Yeah. Thank you, Sarah, very much. Good afternoon, everybody. Thanks for joining and finding time to dial into our quarterly investor call, where we are going to speak and comment on our audited financials for the fiscal year 2025, and the results of the first quarter of 2026. Today, as usual, you have our CFO, Jan-Dirk Henrich, and myself, Jörg Tewes, in the call. We'll walk you through the presentation, and then at the end of the call, we're also happy to take any questions that you might have. Again, thanks for joining us. We will start with a business update. I will share the high-level numbers as well as some key business development in the first quarter of this year.

JD is going to take you through the detailed financials before we then get to the Q&A at the end of the call. As usual, our disclaimer, please read it and also in the aftermath, please take a look on what's written in here. Without further ado, let's get to the business update for Q1 2026. Let's start with the key numbers that we have. As most of you know, we're predominantly looking at ARR, but we also have revenue as a key metric. Let's start with our ARR. Our ARR slightly declined year-over-year to EUR 37.8 million. That's a decline of -3.5% year-over-year.

Comparing Q1 2025 to 2020 to this quarter in this year. We do have an improvement over the decline that we saw in Q4 2025, so previous quarter, so that's good. It basically, I think we have two effects that to a certain degree net itself also. First of all, we had a significantly better than expected reduction in our overall churn. This goes back into the territory where we think a software company like ours usually sits around in the 10% range. This is substantially lower than what we had in 2025, where we showed some major churn and down sales, so that's good. We're also above our expectation.

We were able actually to maintain a few larger customers. That's, I think, very positive news. Our new biz performance, the actuals that we brought in Q1, are still lagging behind our expectation. We're gonna comment on the pipeline and our pipeline development in a second. Overall, we think we're on the right track with our ARR plan for this year. As you see on the bottom of the slide here, we're confirming the guidance for this year for all our financial metrics. As I think specifically on the ARR side, we're actually seeing traction on our pipeline development. On the revenue side, you see a larger decline in Q1 twenty-twenty f- versus 2025.

What we shared in the past, we had a 1-time effect last year in Q1, where we had a very large 1-time deal with one of our banking customers where we sold in an appliance product for EUR 3 million. This basically is the delta. The revenue that's generated by recurring business is stable, but we didn't have that 1-time effect this year in Q1 that we had last year. That was expected, anticipated, and we had also already shared that in our previous investor conversation. EBITDA is on track towards our guidance. Remember, we guided in the range of EUR 3 million-EUR 4 million for the full year.

It is less than it was last year, but that roughly EUR 1 million or EUR 900K that you see here is due to two effects that are just temporary or seasonal. It's partially that one-time deal that I just mentioned that we didn't have, which had some ARR EBITDA contribution, as well as some higher marketing spends compared year-over-year. We had our customer event in Berlin, the Exasol Xperience. Last year, we actually had that in Q2. This year we had it earlier in March. It basically impacted our EBITDA. That's just a temporary effect and you are going to see in our Q2 EBITDA numbers that we're basically going to compensate for that. Very positive development on the liquid funds.

We're at EUR 24.7 million at the end of the quarter versus the EUR 18.7 million year-over-year. That's a significant increase in cash that we've been building up over the last 12 months, and Jan-Dirk's also going to cover that in a bit more detail. Overall, we're in line with what we were planning to do in Q1. Let me go to some key business development activities that we went through this quarter. First of all, pipeline, I think we have actually done a really robust, good job on getting pipeline coverage robust. We're currently working on several larger deals.

We have a Fortune 500 pharmaceutical and life science company in the U.S. that is doing a large AI use case on Exasol. We were able to sign or get a signed POC, proof of concept, with that customer. That's currently undergoing, and we're also expecting that we get a license deal signed this quarter, in the quarter that we're actually in. This is part of our pipeline, and we're also talking to a large German industrial player where we think we have a good chance on building a significant deal replacing a legacy data warehouse technology. Beyond that, as I said, we had our customer event in Berlin, the Exasol Xperience with high-profile attendees.

Our key partners were there, as you see at the bottom. The CEOs of all the 3 companies listed there, adesso, MariaDB, and STACKIT, were there. They were presenting keynotes and talking about the partnership that we have with those companies, so adesso, MariaDB and STACKIT. We got over 250 attendees, existing customers. We had a lot of prospects there. Our commercial team actually gets a really good momentum coming out of this event. We focused the communication on basically 2 key topics, data sovereignty and AI, and where and how Exasol matters in that space. I'm gonna talk about this a bit more on my next slide.

That's really the sweet spot that we're currently in and where we also get a lot of inbound interest. The upsell pipeline is a bit slower than in previous years. Remember last year, we had some significant upsell with one of our largest customer. I think we're seeing some investment restraints. However, I think the good news for us and for the company and our investors is that our new logo pipeline is actually shaping up really nicely. We're seeing a bit of a shift from upsell into new logo momentum that we have.

We hope that in Q2, Q3, this new logo momentum that we see will also then translate into actually signed deals that we're gonna be able to also share with our investor community. Few words on the partnerships. Adesso, we are working with and intensifying our partnership. We have now the first joint opportunities that we're speaking to. Working on finding new customers, helping each other and getting new business going. MariaDB, as shared in several calls, we have that partnership where MariaDB basically uses our product to gain analytic capabilities in their overall offering. They are basically driving the go-to-market motion for that joint offering.

They've been starting the first POCs with their existing customers. We're ramping up the collaboration, so it's going in the direction, but it's slightly delayed versus what we originally planned. While we have POCs, we haven't really gotten to a signed customer yet that is actively deploying the joint solution. With STACKIT, for those of you who don't know STACKIT, it's a very large, I think it's the largest regional cloud provider here in Germany, in Central Europe. We have established the commercial partnership, and deepened that, and we're now also listed on their marketplace. Where do we go? What are we doing in terms of our product and where do we see traction?

AI is, I think the area where most customers are currently thinking on how they are evolving, what they're doing, how they're combining data analytics with AI. I already shared in last quarter's call that we have between 10 to 15 active customers using Exasol for a whole variety of AI use cases. We now have the first larger significant new logo opportunities as well on key AI use cases. We believe that this is the way to go for us forward to really become an AI platform where end users, customers will run their AI use cases, their agents on a truly scalable enterprise database solution.

Lakehouse Turbo that we've shared with the audience, we now have two large German customers in pilot customer trials with our solution. There's also a larger German bank, where we are basically providing the acceleration layer for their existing data lakehouse. I think specifically now here also in Central Europe, we probably have seen or heard about the intended acquisition that SAP announced of Dremio. Dremio is also a lakehouse company. I think this validates our investment in lakehouses, Apache Iceberg as the key interface.

We're actually excited about that development, and we see a further potential for our Lakehouse Turbo, the way how we complement lakehouses like a Databricks or Snowflake, but also potentially in the future, Dremio. This next slide, we shared on our last call as well. Let me maybe start on the right. We decided that we will do a much deeper dive for our investors on our overall strategy in a capital market day. We're planning to have that day in October. In our calendar, you're gonna see that we, I think we have a date already. We'd be delighted to have all investors come to that day, where we're gonna go through the details of our strategy.

We will have customers on that capital market date, and of course, we will speak about where we are, where the market is, and how we're gonna develop on a going-forward basis. In the on the left side, in these, let's say, ecosystem or where we're playing, we're actually seeing the sovereign AI part as the next logical evaluation of our product. Helping customers, helping data analysts to actually build agentic systems, agents that are being created to perform data analytics task in a sovereign environment. That's, I would say, in a nutshell, is what we're driving, and that's the where we're also gonna put more emphasis in terms of our product development, but also our marketing and go-to-market activities.

We continue, of course, to pursue growth with core offering to our customers in focus industries. We are seeing the demand, as explained, that customers want performant and cost-effective solutions to replace existing legacy data warehouses. As I just shared, the Lakehouse Turbo is a use case we're also continuing to drive with selected key customers. With that, I'll hand over to JD, who's going to walk you through the detailed financials. Then at the end, I'm happy to take more questions. Thank you.

Jan-Dirk Henrich
CFO and COO, Exasol

Thank you very much, Jörg. Before I go into the more detailed numbers for the past quarter, I'd like to do a brief recap on the full year 2025 numbers. Obviously, we've completed our audit. Just wanted to very briefly share the results with you, and I say very briefly because there's been no changes. I'm happy to confirm the P&L numbers that we communicated as part of our webcast in February as preliminary numbers now as final numbers. We left the year with EUR 4.1 million in EBITDA and EUR 3 million of net income, unchanged to what we communicated in February.

Also I'd like to briefly recap just for everybody's reference, to make sure we all look at the ARR numbers of this year in the correct fashion. This was our ARR performance in 2025, as usual, we report ARR during the year on a constant FX basis. Now all of you know that last year was a very moved year with respect to particularly US dollar FX rates.

We, as in previous years, adjust our ARR reporting to the beginning of year FX rates, which in this case means the EUR 39.1 million that we finished last year with on a like-for-like basis are equivalent to a beginning of year value of EUR 38.4 million, and this is kind of what we build our growth guidance on and also our ARR reporting this year. That doesn't change anything with respect to the upsell and churn and growth dynamics that we're reporting since it's all like-for-like. Moving on to the first quarter, and as usual, dipping into ARR territory.

As Jörg has already mentioned, in terms of net ARR development, we had another slight decline in the first quarter this year, which was basically what we expected. What came about structurally a little bit different than we planned. We had a significantly lower than expected churn, which is good, and I'll talk about the development of the rolling 12-month churn dynamic in a moment. We also had a little bit of a sluggish new development in new business on the upsell side, although we made good progress on the new logo side, as I will show you in a moment. These two effects largely canceled each other out, ending leading to a quarter that kind of evolved as expected in our planning.

The first quarter is typically our weakest quarter. Also in previous years, last year, we had a decline of EUR 2.5 million because typically a lot of the churn is happening at the beginning of the year. Overall, it was in line with what we expected. Diving a little bit deeper into this quarterly performance, this is the kind of ARR bridge from year-end to end of quarter for this year on the left side and for last year on the right side. It illustrates a little bit on what's going on.

You can see actually in terms of total new business ARR generated, it was pretty much exactly the same as last year. We had a little bit of a slower upsell dynamic, and we were expecting or hoping for more. On the new logo side, we had actually 0 new logos gained last year. This quarter, we won 6 new customers, although at lower value. Still we're, it's important to generate new customers as a platform for future upsells. 4 of those were in focus verticals. Yeah. If you look at the upsell that has taken place, it was also dominantly in the focus verticals.

What you can also see is that the lost business has gone down significantly, and this illustrates what I said earlier. We had a decline of EUR 1.1 million in lost business. Last year, it was more than EUR 3 million, and that is also what materially affects the churn rates that I'm gonna be talking about in a moment. Yeah? If we look then at the twelve-month development, as Jörg has already pointed out, we've seen an improvement in the year-over-year growth dynamic. We ended last year with a year-over-year growth dynamic of minus 8.5%. Now in Q1, we're at minus 3.5%. We are progressing in terms of developing back into positive growth territory on a twelve-month basis.

What you can also see at the underlying fundamental statistics here is that recovery has been driven by a significant improvement in the churn rate. A plus new logo growth that we didn't have much last year in Q1. The churn rate has gone down. If you look at over the last 12 months, new customer performance in total over the last 12 months, we've gained 15 new customers, 9 of which were in the focus verticals. If you remember from the previous page, actually of those 15 customers, 6 were gained in Q1, which is good.

This is kind of shows you the early indications of what Jörg was referring earlier, that we see good progression of building a new logo pipeline and then hopefully also converting larger deals in the rest of the year that Jörg was starting to refer to. Looking at, this is gonna be my final comment on overall ARR development. We talked about churn a lot. Just wanted to put that a little bit into a broader perspective for you. What you see here is the development of the 12-month rolling churn rate in ARR. That always measures the lost business of the past 12 months related, in relation to the total ARR at the beginning of those 12 months.

What you can see here is that we saw a steady increase in churn dynamic over the past 2 years, which peaked out in the second quarter last year. What we've seen since the second quarter is kind of a gradual recovery. Now taking the 1st bigger step in Q1. Actually, in next quarter, we expect a further significant drop into the 10%-15% region, and then for the rest of the year, a further normalization towards what Jörg indicated, kind of what we are aiming for as a software company, around 10% or lower. Yeah. But we're on good track there, so that's gonna obviously help us to further recover the 12-month year-over-year growth dynamic. How does that translate into the status with all focus and non-focus verticals?

That has remained largely unchanged compared to last quarter. We're still roughly at 70%. That's mostly just driven by 2 factors. Again, there was an upsell or upsell dynamic, which we were hoping to convert, which did not yet convert, which would have helped us on the further shifting to focus verticals. There was a prevented churn, which obviously helped preserve some of the business in the non-focus verticals as well. Still, it's kind of the shift that we're expecting. Going into the P&L, several things that are to be pointed out, Jörg had already started hinting at. First of all, obviously, you can see revenue declining by EUR 3 million.

If you look at the breakdown, you can see clearly that is driven 100 out of non-recurring revenue items that were exceptionally high in Q1 last year. Recurring revenues are actually pretty much on the same level, or exactly on the same level, as compared to last year. That also translates into a pretty solid gross margin, although that obviously was also impacted by the one-time effects. On the other operating income side, we're slightly better. That is related to our ongoing or continuing efforts to get research grants for our R&D activities. That's slightly higher compared to last year and partly compensating the gross margin impact.

On the cost side, if you look at the marketing line, you can see notably higher marketing expenses compared to same quarter last year. This is the phasing effect that Jörg had already talked about. This year we've conducted our Exasol Xperience event in Q1. Last year, we did it in Q2. This year our marketing efforts are a bit more front-loaded in the year also to generate pipeline for conversion later in the year. You will see this delta in marketing costs somewhat normalizing in the next quarter on a year-to-date basis. On the personnel side, we are slightly leaner than last year, but otherwise there's no notable differences in the cost base.

If you would like to if you were to look at the marketing cost on a like for like phasing basis to last year, our EBITDA this quarter would have come in rather at a, let's say, EUR 700K level, rather than the EUR 400K. Overall, though, both on EBITDA, net income, and also revenue side, this is pretty much exactly on our planning for this year and what we saw in terms of quarterly dynamic for the year. As you will see later, that's also why we maintain our guidance and remain confident in the guidance. If we look at liquid funds, you can see that on a quarter-to-quarter basis, we are at EUR 1.5 million higher compared to Q1 last year.

You might wonder why the year-on-year dynamic from 2024 to 2025 was in the EUR 3 million region. Why has this gone down to a EUR 1.5 dynamic? One of the big factors here, aside from, you know, typical end-of-month volatilities is that, with the major upsell of our largest customer last year, which basically doubled our business with them, but part of that agreement was that we moved from annual upfront to quarterly installments. The payments that we're now getting from customers, particularly from our biggest customers, are slightly more, well, evenly distributed across the year. That's a structural change in cash flow seasonality, which loses us a little bit on the interest rate side, but it also smoothens out our cash curve over the year quite a bit.

We're gonna see a bit more steadiness there compared to last year where we had a very big front-loading effect in Q1. That's what I wanted to share with you on the numbers in Q1. Again, overall, what we expected structurally slightly different, in terms of better than expected churn dynamic, slightly worse than expected, upsell dynamic on the established customers, although those deals remain in play. In sum, that leads me to confirm the guidance that we issued. We continue to aim for a return to single-digit growth in the mid-single digit range on the ARR side. The revenue growth will remain negative for the full year, quite simply because we do not expect to close such a large mega one-off deal again this year.

On the recurring revenue side, you will see more stability there. On EBITDA, we continue to aim for EUR 3 to 4 million on a full year basis. As Jörg pointed out, we've made some additions to our corporate calendar. One important thing is that we have decided to organize a capital market day for interested investors. Invitations and details will follow soon. The target date is the 15th of October. The goal here is to do that as a hybrid meeting, where you have the opportunity to participate in person in Frankfurt or via a dial-in. In addition, we've also decided to add the Baader Investment Conference to our annual agenda. We're happy to talk to you there.

The next opportunity to talk to us, obviously, is next week, during the spring conference in Frankfurt, where I will be present and look forward to meet as many of you as possible. Finally, key takeaways, I think I kind of said that already. Q1, pretty much overall on spot with what we planned for the year. Structurally slightly different. The materially improving churn rate compensating for the more kind of sluggish than expected upsell performance. Overall, the year-on-year growth dynamic starting to recover after the 8.5% year end.

We're very happy with how the new logo pipeline is progressing, which is very important to us, given that this has been kind of our weak spot in the last couple of years, and something we really wanted to improve on, and I think we're seeing early signs and good progress there that this is working. This kind of compensates for the kind of sluggish, more sluggish than compared to previous years pipeline that we're currently seeing on the upsell side. In total, remain on track and obviously, the liquidity level that we've achieved gives us a lot of operational flexibility and continuing on pursuing the opportunities on growth fields in AI and otherwise that Jörg has talked to you about.

That concludes what we wanted to share with you. Thank you very much for listening so far, and we look forward to your questions.

Operator

Thank you so much for the presentation, Mr. Henrich and Mr. Tewes. Ladies and gentlemen, we're now happy to take your questions, and if you would like to speak directly to the gentlemen, just raise your virtual hand and I will give you the permission to unmute yourself. Of course, you also have the opportunity to post the question in our chat, and then I will read them out for you. Let's have a look. I think we have the first virtual hand from Kai Kinkel, so you should be able to speak now.

Speaker 4

Hello. Good afternoon, everybody. In the last earnings call, you mentioned the specific upsell opportunities you expect to materialize in Q1 and Q2. Do you still expect them to be in the first half of the year, or will they be delayed to the second half?

Jan-Dirk Henrich
CFO and COO, Exasol

Should I?

Jörg Tewes
CEO, Exasol

Yeah, go ahead.

Jan-Dirk Henrich
CFO and COO, Exasol

Obviously, we're pushing to close them as fast as possible, yeah? I think the discussions with the customers are continuously ongoing, and our aim is to try to close them in the first half of the year. It's not ultimately in our hands, yeah? Again, I think what we're seeing on the upsell side, a lot of the upsell opportunities that we're discussing with customers are also then typically connected to investments in hardware on their side. I don't know if you followed the market a little bit, but if you look at server prices and chip prices since the beginning of the year, prices have essentially doubled in the space of four months.

Which is related to the fact that all the major AI infrastructure players are basically buying the market empty on the chip side. That leads to more rigorous investment discussions and internal CapEx discussions, and this is in many instances what is causing these delays. We stay very close to customers, and obviously our aim is to close them as soon as possible.

Speaker 4

Understandable. You see any risk that these price increases and the, like, drop in the hardware price will persist also in the second year? That probably, there's a risk that it can push these years into 2027 also or?

Jan-Dirk Henrich
CFO and COO, Exasol

I mean, ultimately, you can't change the fact that data volumes are growing. Many of those upsell opportunities are related to volume expansions. Ultimately, I think what we're seeing is that customers are trying to kind of dampen the data volume growth, but it's very hard, especially if simultaneously you start getting into AI applications. My answer is twofold. First of all, I do not see the increased price levels in the hardware market go away anytime soon. If you look at the projections, they're basically projecting this situation or this chip tightness in the market to persist until 2027. Is that gonna push all the upsell opportunities into 2027? I don't think so. It leads to tougher discussions on customer side.

For the new logo opportunities, it is a little bit of a different story because typically we replace existing use cases, or we go into use cases that have already been approved, yeah.

Speaker 4

Thanks. On the Lakehouse Turbo, we mentioned you have now 2 customers in the pilot phase. Maybe you can share some light how these pilots are developing and also if there's a specific timeline when the pilot is gonna end.

Jörg Tewes
CEO, Exasol

Yeah, maybe I can comment on that. The U.S. customer, actually as I said, has signed the paid POC with us, so we are expecting to get at least an initial license deal in the books in Q2. We think that has a good probability that this happens in Q2. The other large deal that I talked about is in earlier stages, so that's developing. That would not have a direct impact in Q2. That would probably come more towards the end of the year.

Speaker 4

Okay. Thank you. That's it from my side.

Operator

Thank you so much for the questions. Now we have no further questions. If you would like to ask anything or if there's an open topic you would like to discuss, just let us know. It seems so far there are no further questions. With that, we would come to the end of today's investors call. Thank you everyone for joining and to shown interest in Exasol, and also a big thank you to you, Mr. Henrich and Mr. Tewes. Should further questions arise maybe at a later time, please feel free to contact investor relations, or as Mr. Henrich mentioned, you can meet him next week on the Spring Conference. With this, I say thank you and hand back again to Mr. Henrich for some final remarks.

Jan-Dirk Henrich
CFO and COO, Exasol

I can't find nicer and kinder words than you to close this. Thank you very much for listening. As said, if you are next week in Frankfurt, feel free to approach me. I look forward to our exchanges. If you're not in Frankfurt and have further questions, don't hesitate to get in touch with Susan and her team or myself.

Jörg Tewes
CEO, Exasol

Okay. Thank you. Have a nice afternoon. Bye-bye.

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