Churchill Downs logo
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)
NASDAQ: CHDN · Real-Time Price · USD
81.70
-0.45 (-0.55%)
At close: Oct 16, 2026, 4:00 PM EDT
81.70
0.00 (0.00%)
After-hours: Oct 16, 2026, 4:10 PM EDT

Churchill Downs Stock Forecast

Stock Price Forecast

According to 12 analysts polled by S&P Global, Churchill Downs stock has a consensus rating of "Strong Buy" and an average price target of $127.67. The average 1-year stock price forecast is 56.27% higher than the current stock price, while the lowest is $100 (+22.40%) and the highest is $153 (+87.27%).

Price Target: $127.67 (+56.27%)
Analyst Consensus: Strong Buy

Price Target

Chart
TargetLowAverageMedianHigh
Price$100$127.67$124.5$153
Change+22.40%+56.27%+52.39%+87.27%

Analyst Ratings

The average analyst rating for Churchill Downs stock is "Strong Buy". This means that analysts believe this stock is likely to perform very well in the near future and significantly outperform the market.

Recommendation Trends

Chart
RatingMay '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Strong Buy998899
Buy333333
Hold000000
Sell000000
Strong Sell000000
Total121211111212

Latest Forecasts

AnalystFirmRatingRatingActionPrice TargetUpsideDate
Citizens JMP
Citizens JMP
Buy
Maintains
$137 → $131
BuyMaintains$137 → $131+60.34%Oct 13, 2026
Barclays
Barclays
Buy
Maintains
$132
BuyMaintains$132+61.57%Oct 9, 2026
Mizuho Securities
Mizuho Securities
Buy
Maintains
$157 → $125
BuyMaintains$157 → $125+53.00%Oct 7, 2026
Wolfe Research
Wolfe Research
Buy
Initiates
$119
BuyInitiates$119+45.65%Sep 2, 2026
J.P. Morgan
J.P. Morgan
Buy
Maintains
$123
BuyMaintains$123+50.55%Aug 5, 2026
More Analyst Ratings

Financial Forecast

Revenue This Year
3.02B
from 2.93B
Increased by 3.17%
Revenue Next Year
3.11B
from 3.02B
Increased by 2.95%
EPS This Year
6.83
from 6.13
Increased by 11.48%
EPS Next Year
7.27
from 6.83
Increased by 6.44%
Fiscal YearFY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025FY 2026
Period EndingDec 31, 2021Dec 31, 2022Dec 31, 2023Dec 31, 2024Dec 31, 2025Dec 31, 2026
Revenue
1.60B1.81B2.46B2.73B2.93B3.02B
Revenue Growth
51.54%13.31%36.02%11.07%7.01%3.17%
Gross Profit
446.10M566.40M795.70M938.50M982.60M1.01B
Gross Margin
27.93%31.30%32.32%34.32%33.58%33.40%
Operating Income
307.60M402.20M593.40M700.80M736.40M780.13M
Net Income
249.10M439.40M417.30M426.80M383.00M492.30M
EPS
----6.136.83
EPS Growth
----3.72%11.48%
Forward PE
26.3916.9223.5119.5917.8611.95
Dividend / Share
0.330.360.380.410.440.47
Dividend Growth
7.40%6.89%7.00%7.07%7.09%7.21%
Free Cash Flow
----494.90M655.03M
No. Analysts
-----11
EPS and Forward PE are based on non-GAAP adjusted numbers.

Revenue Forecast

Revenue202620272028
High3.0B
Avg3.0B
Low3.0B

Revenue Growth

Revenue Growth202620272028
High
3.9%
Avg
3.2%
Low
2.6%

EPS Forecast

EPS202620272028
High7.16
Avg6.83
Low6.49

EPS Growth

EPS Growth202620272028
High
16.8%
Avg
11.5%
Low
5.9%