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Earnings Call: Q2 2016

Jul 21, 2016

Operator

Good morning. My name is Jennifer, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the second quarter 2016 earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, you may simply press star and the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press the pound key. Thank you, and I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Tim McIntyre. Sir, you may begin.

Tim McIntyre
EVP of Communications, Investor Relations and Legislative Affairs, Domino's Pizza

Thank you, Jennifer. Good morning, everybody. Welcome to our second quarter 2016 earnings call, my first official one. This call is primarily for the investor audience, so we ask that all members of the media and others be in listen-only mode throughout the call. I also refer you to our safe harbor statement that is in the press release and the 10-K in the event that any forward-looking statements are made this morning. We will follow the usual procedure of prepared comments from our Chief Financial Officer, Jeff Lawrence, and CEO, Patrick Doyle, and then we'll open it up for your questions. With that, I'd like to kick off the call by introducing our Chief Financial Officer, Jeff Lawrence.

Jeffrey Lawrence
CFO, Domino's Pizza

Thanks, Tim, and good morning, everyone. In the second quarter, our brand continued to deliver positive results as we posted strong same-store sales in both our domestic and international businesses. U.S. comps grew by nearly 10%, and international comps grew by more than 7%. We are thrilled with these results, particularly when you consider that same-store sales a year ago were a robust 12.8% and 6.7%, respectively. We have now had 21 straight quarters of positive U.S. comps and 90 consecutive quarters of positive international comps. We also continued to increase our store count at a healthy pace and have now opened more than 1,000 net new stores over the trailing 12 months. All of this outstanding brand momentum helped us grow diluted EPS by 21% over the prior year quarter. With that broad overview, let's take a closer look at the financial results for Q2.

Global retail sales, which are the total retail sales at franchise and company-owned stores worldwide, grew 11.7% in the quarter. When we exclude the adverse impact of foreign currency, global retail sales grew by 14.3%. The drivers of this retail sales growth include strong domestic same-store sales, which grew by 9.7% in the quarter. Broken down, our U.S. franchise business was up 9.8%, while our company-owned stores in the U.S. were up 9.1%. Both of these comp increases were driven by traffic or order count growth as consumers continued to respond positively to the overall brand experience we offer them. Our recently launched loyalty program contributed significantly to our traffic gains. Ticket was relatively flat during the quarter. On the unit count front, we are very pleased to report that we opened 29 net domestic stores in the second quarter, consisting of 36 store openings and seven closures.

Moving to the international division, they had another very strong quarter as same-store sales grew 7.1% and also added 215 net stores during Q2, comprised of 228 store openings and 13 closures. Our growth continues to be strong and diversified across our international markets. Moving to revenues. Total revenues for the second quarter were up $58.7 million, or 12% from the prior year. This increase was primarily a result of three factors. First, higher supply chain center food volumes driven by strong U.S. comps and store growth. Second, higher domestic same-store sales and store count growth resulted in increased royalties from our franchise stores and higher revenues at our U.S. company-owned stores. Finally, higher international royalties, again from increased same-store sales and store count growth, which were partially offset by the negative impact of foreign currency exchange rates.

Currency exchange rates negatively impacted international royalty revenues this quarter by $1.8 million versus the prior year quarter due to the dollar strengthening against most of our foreign currencies. For the full fiscal year, we continue to estimate that foreign currency could have an $8 million-$12 million negative year-over-year impact on pre-tax earnings. Yes, this does include a more recent estimate for the British pound post-Brexit vote. As you know, there are many uncontrollable factors that drive the underlying exchange rates, which does make this a harder part of our business to predict. Moving on to operating margin. As a percentage of revenues, consolidated operating margin for the quarter increased to 31.4% from 31.2% in the prior year quarter. Our franchise business as a greater percentage of our revenues this quarter came from both international and domestic royalties.

As a reminder, our royalty income streams have no associated cost of sales. The supply chain operating margin increased to 11.1% for the quarter as higher volumes and lower fuel costs were partially offset by higher labor and insurance expenses. Commodity costs were relatively flat during the quarter, and food costs as a percentage of supply chain revenues decreased in the quarter. We still expect that commodities we use domestically will be largely consistent with our previous estimate of flat to up 2% in 2016 from 2015 levels. Company-owned store operating margin decreased to 24.6% from 25.6%, driven primarily by higher food and insurance expenses, as well as higher transaction-related costs. These margin pressures were partially offset by the leveraging of certain expenses from increased sales and lower delivery costs during the quarter. Let's shift to G&A.

G&A increased by $7.7 million in the second quarter versus the prior year quarter, due primarily to three factors. First, our planned investments in technology, primarily in e-commerce and other technological initiatives, and the teams that support them. Please note that these investments are partially offset by fees that we receive for digital and credit card transactions from our franchisees that are not included in this G&A number. Second, we continue to make planned investments to support the very strong growth of our international business. Third, our strong results led to higher performance-based compensation expense. Based on our continued positive performance and our outlook for the rest of the year, we now expect that our G&A could be in the range of $305 million-$310 million for the full fiscal year, driven primarily by performance-based expenses and continued strategic investments.

Keep in mind too, that our G&A expense for the year can, and does, vary up or down by, among other things, our performance versus our plan, as that affects variable performance-based compensation expense. Moving down the income statement. Interest expense increased by $6.2 million in the second quarter, primarily as a result of increased net debt from our 2015 recapitalization. Our weighted average borrowing rate was 4.6% during the quarter, which is 70 basis points better than a year ago. Our reported effective tax rate was 37.4% for the quarter. We expect that 37%-38% will be our effective tax rate for the full fiscal year 2016. When you add it all up, our second quarter net income was up $3.4 million, or 7.3%. Our second quarter diluted EPS was $0.98 versus $0.81 a year ago, which was a 21% increase. Here's how that $0.17 increase breaks down.

Lower diluted share counts, primarily as a result of the accelerated share repurchase program completed in Q1, and our additional share repurchases in Q2, benefited us by $0.11. Higher interest expense, primarily as a result of our higher debt balance, negatively impacted us by $0.07. FX negatively impacted us by $0.02. Most importantly, our improved operating results benefited us by $0.15. Now turning to the balance sheet. During the second quarter, we repurchased and retired approximately 1.8 million shares for $224 million, or an average purchase price of approximately $121 per share. Subsequent to quarter end, we repurchased an additional 85,000 shares for $11 million, or an average purchase price of approximately $126 per share. As previously disclosed, our board of directors approved an increase to the company's share repurchase program. As of July 14th, we had $214.5 million available under that most recent authorization for future share repurchases.

During the quarter, we also returned nearly $19 million to our shareholders in the form of our quarterly dividend and made $12.4 million of acquired principal payments on our long-term debt. As always, we will continue to evaluate the most effective means for deploying our excess cash to the benefit of our shareholders. Overall, our positive momentum continued, and we are very pleased with our results this quarter. We do not take these results for granted, and we are committed to driving the brand forward and providing value to our shareholders. Thanks for your time today. Now I'll turn it over to Patrick.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Thanks, Jeff. Good morning, everyone. There's really no shortage of adjectives I could use to describe our second quarter. I will sum it up as best I can. Our top-line performance and proven model once again drove remarkable results. I mentioned last quarter that the culture of our system is one that faces the challenge of sustained success head-on and with passion and great energy. I am very proud of the way our second quarter performance clearly put this on display. It was a tremendous quarter for our domestic business, and our international segment continues to do what it does best: perform and grow at a high level as the best international model in QSR. We have now reached 90 consecutive quarters of positive same-store sales growth, a streak that continues to amaze me.

For the first time on a trailing 12-month store growth basis, we surpassed 1,000 net global stores. This milestone took the efforts of both the international growth machine and our resurgent domestic growth to accomplish. I want to give a sincere thanks to our franchisees, who just keep getting it done each and every day in the pursuit of, from New York to New Delhi and Istanbul to Brisbane, being number one in their neighborhoods. At our recent worldwide rally event in Las Vegas, we brought together all-time record attendance of over 8,000 franchisees, managers, and team members from across the globe, and their energy was a reminder that the excitement and morale within our system has never been higher. The strength of the Domino's business is evident, and I couldn't be more pleased with the top and bottom line results during the quarter.

Our fundamentals and investments in the business have produced a continued sound, steady strategy that puts us in an ideal position to execute and deliver a high-quality, reliable, and innovative experience to our customers worldwide, all at a very reasonable price. Nothing demonstrated this idea of sustaining success better than our domestic business. I am especially proud of this, our 21st consecutive quarter of positive same-store sales, and the efforts of our U.S. franchisees and corporate team members in putting these phenomenal results on the board. Domestic store growth continues to progress in the right direction. Our 29 net domestic store openings was evidence of our solid efforts and is the strongest second quarter we have had in the past decade. Our franchise base has never been more efficient, more profitable, and has never felt stronger that the time to grow within Domino's is now.

With record-setting store-level EBITDA and unprecedented brand momentum, we clearly share this belief, and I am pleased with the progress we continue to make. Our store reimage initiative is coming along nicely. With nearly 60% of total U.S. stores now in the Pizza Theater image. Our stores are looking better, our food and pizza making is on full display, and our people are now at the forefront of the experience. The digital loyalty program had a meaningful positive impact in the second quarter. Our early objectives around simplicity and frequency are being met, and while we may be keeping many program metrics close to the vest due to heavy competition within this space, I can say with certainty that the program is meeting the high expectations we had upon its launch. Continuing with digital, we announced something during Q2 that frankly, I didn't even think was possible: Zero-Click Ordering.

I admittedly thought five clicks or less was pretty impressive as it was, our forward-thinking digital team, as it does so well, took things a step further. After linking the Zero-Click app to your pizza profile, simply open the app. As long as there is no change of heart before the 10-second timer ends, your easy order is placed without a single tap, swipe, or click. It is yet another creative and inventive ordering platform and an example of the unmatched innovation that continues to shape our brand. Our worldwide digital participation continues to ramp up with 22 international markets now utilizing our global online ordering platform and just over 60% of stores outside of the U.S. using Domino's PULSE, our proprietary point-of-sale system.

We continue to share best practices with our master franchisees worldwide and remain committed to technology growth as a true worldwide initiative, developing and maintaining digital leadership globally. On the note of maintaining a global lead, our international business once again performed at a very high level. It was yet another impressive quarter of same-store sales, and we turned in our best ever Q2 to date for international store growth with 215 net store openings. We are making great headway on the conversions in South Africa, France, and Germany, and while it will take some time to see direct revenue impact from these markets, the progress in getting them opened and in a strong position to operate successfully is on track. Our public master franchisees continue to get it done. Alsea and Domino's Pizza Group both recently reported double-digit same-store sales increases.

Jubilant FoodWorks recently surpassed 1,000 Domino's stores, and DPG isn't too far behind in the U.K. We expect the best international model in QSR, coupled with the high level of talent within our master franchise base, to continue to be a winning combination. I am very pleased that once again, it produced outstanding results. To summarize, I am extremely pleased with our second quarter. While our results speak for themselves, I am most proud of the passion and energy demonstrated by our entire system. We continue to deliver results, not with the help of catalysts or short-term burst concepts, but truly relying on a model that is proven, fundamentals that have never been stronger, and a team that has never been more aligned. Thanks. With that, I'll open it up to questions.

Operator

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star and the number one on your telephone keypad. Our first question comes from the line of Karen Holthouse with Goldman Sachs.

Karen Holthouse
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, thank you for taking the question. Given the positive metrics around loyalty in the U.S., you have a great track record of exporting digital initiatives from the U.S. international. Is there interest from international franchisees to adapt that program or just copy it for their markets? Are there reasons either technologically or socially that wouldn't work as well? Just thinking about the transferability of that platform.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Karen, it's a good question. The answer is absolutely, there is interest. Market conditions differ around the world, and so the design of a program might be different in other places around the world based on relative market share and what you're trying to accomplish. As we've talked about before, we designed our program to be about frequency, to drive order counts. Clearly we're feeling very good about that. One of the things we've talked about before, and I think are particularly proud of and believe has been a big part of our success, is that we do a lot of things in a lot of different parts of the world. We have big master franchisees who are all working on the same issues that we are in the U.S.

When somebody figures something out somewhere, there is very quick best practice sharing around the world. Clearly we're happy with loyalty. Clearly we're sharing results. Markets will make decisions on whether they're going to launch it, and if they do, when they're going to launch it based on the priorities and the list of new initiatives that they want to take in their market and how they're going to prioritize those. Absolutely, the success that we're having has been well noted within our system, and it's certainly something that international markets are going to look at.

Karen Holthouse
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Great. Thank you.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Thanks, Karen.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Brian Bittner with Oppenheimer.

Brian Bittner
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Thanks. Good morning, Patrick and Jeff. I just want to better understand what changed within your domestic business in 2Q versus 1Q, because obviously the two-year trend actually accelerated at a time when the industry did the opposite. As you see it internally, was loyalty really, at the end of the day, the primary difference maker here? If there's anything else you can add outside of loyalty, what you're seeing impact the business, I appreciate it.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Yeah, Brian, I think first, we're not going to break out the components of growth specifically. You know we don't do that. What I would say has changed on loyalty in the second quarter versus the first quarter is simply the amount of time that we've been able to watch the results, analyze the data coming in. We already talked about in the first quarter that we were seeing good results from loyalty, and we're ready to say that, yeah, it's a success. A quarter later, we're just that much more confident that it is absolutely doing what we expected that it was going to do. I wouldn't necessarily say that it was a driver of the difference in results between second quarter and first quarter. I guess the other thing I would say is we were pretty happy with first quarter results also.

We obviously like our second quarter very well. We just feel like the overall momentum in the business is very strong. Lots of good things happen when you've got this much momentum. We're seeing franchisees getting more and more excited about what's happening here. You're seeing that play through into increasing store growth. It means as we grow that we've got more advertising dollars to spend as a brand overall. The momentum feeds upon itself, and I think that's really the broadest explanation for the second quarter and the overall results we've had, is that it just continues to build. The energy in the system continues to be terrific. We had 8,000 people get in a room in Las Vegas last month from all over the world, virtually every market represented, which was by far the largest turnout that we've ever had.

that energy and momentum is contagious.

Brian Bittner
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Makes sense. I guess we're six years into that momentum, and it's still going.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Yeah, exactly. There's nothing to believe.

Brian Bittner
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Second and last question, just Jeff on the G&A. It's about $15 million higher than the last guidance you gave, I think. How much of this is just simply additional performance-driven incentives, and how much of it is incremental actual investments versus last time you talked to us?

Jeffrey Lawrence
CFO, Domino's Pizza

Great question. I think the most important thing is that we also incorporated in this new guidance of 305-310, not only our performance, but also our outlook for the rest of the year. It does express some confidence in the momentum we have. We think some of that's baked in. It's more performance-based than it is strategic investments, but it's really both, Brian Bittner. As Patrick's talked about, we are investing to win. If we see good ideas in IT or digital, if our international team has some investment they want to make to continue that train going down the tracks, we're saying yes to really good investments that have a good ROI, and it's not really a short-term focus for us on what the G&A number is if we believe it's going to create long-term value.

G&A as a percentage of revenues versus last year, this quarter, about the same. Yes, it's a bigger number. Specifically to your original question, more performance-based than it is strategic investments, but it's a little bit of both.

Brian Bittner
Analyst, Oppenheimer

Thanks, guys.

Operator

Your next question comes from John Glass with Morgan Stanley.

John Glass
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thanks very much. Patrick, if I look at the unit growth internationally over the last 6 months, first half this year versus first half last year, then I look at it versus the back half of last year versus prior, in other words, kind of comparing the two 6-month periods, there seems to be a pretty significant step up in unit growth. Like the pace has almost doubled, and that's maybe there's some timing, but where is that coming from? I guess maybe some more detail about where you think that's coming from. You're over 8% unit growth now. Are we in a path now to 10%, for example? Is there an upper boundary to what's reasonable, or is some of this just maybe timing in the quarters?

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

No, we've got an awful lot of momentum in store growth. We do have the conversions that are happening in the three countries, in Germany, France, and South Africa. That's not a really big part of it yet. That certainly is contributing, and that's something that is a little bit unusual. I wouldn't expect that there just simply isn't the opportunity, frankly, for that many other conversions out there. The vast majority is coming from just faster organic growth in a lot of countries around the world. Our unit economics are very strong when you get 90 straight quarters of positive same-store sales growth in your international business. With the pace of that same-store sales growth, unit economics on the whole continue to get stronger and stronger.

Confidence in reinvesting into the brands and growing stores and believing that they're going to generate a terrific return for the master franchisees continues to go up. That's really what is going on out there. Feeling very good about it, feeling very good, again, about kind of the momentum in that area. There is a little bit of boost from the conversions. It is mostly about unit economics driving a belief in the strength of investing into our brands. I would add, I remember there were some questions a couple of years ago about reimaging and relocating stores and whether or not that was going to have any effect on unit growth. I think I expressed some confidence that it wouldn't. I think we're seeing that play out. They're seeing nice returns.

We're seeing momentum in the brand based on those reimages. Despite the fact that there's been pretty heavy investment into those reimages, which is now about 60% done, they're also accelerating investment into new stores.

John Glass
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

That's great. That's helpful. Jeff, just a quick question. The buyback was relatively large, I guess, versus our expectations, maybe took advantage of the decline in the share price in the first quarter. How do you think about that going forward? Your cash balance, at least that's unrestricted, is low, and I don't think you've got a lot left on the revolver. Is that just a function of maybe upping that, or are you thinking this more in the context of an earlier recapitalization of the company, so you don't mind running those things down right now?

Jeffrey Lawrence
CFO, Domino's Pizza

Yeah. As far as the future recapitalization, we're not going to tip our hand on that, obviously. You do know that our 2012 notes are callable at par about a year from now. As far as buybacks, we have about $215 million left under the most recent authorization. With the last recap, obviously, principal and interest is a little bit more than it used to be. We obviously have a pretty robust dividend, ongoing dividend program going on. We viewed it as just a really good use of the last $200 million we kind of had left over from the recap, plus some organic cash that was sitting around. We're happy with the buybacks. Going forward to the extent that we think that's the best return of value to shareholders, we'll continue to do that. We have the board support. We have the board authorization.

If the opportunity is there, we'll consider it and act accordingly.

John Glass
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Alton Stump with Longbow Research.

Alton Stump
Analyst, Longbow Research

Hey, thank you, and good morning, and great job once again on the quarter, guys.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Thanks, Alton.

Alton Stump
Analyst, Longbow Research

It is pretty impressive. Quarter in, quarter out, you guys continue to beat on the comp front in particular. I guess just looking at the U.S. comps and sort of the environment, I've heard from some others that we are starting to see competitive pressure ease a little bit in the QSR pizza category in 2Q versus the first quarter in particular. Have you seen any of that on your end?

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Honestly, we haven't seen a big difference in the competitive activity overall. As you've heard me say before, just given the fairly fragmented market shares within pizza, the individual actions of really any player, including us, in the category just don't have that much effect in the near term on the other players. I think what I would say is that the overall trends have kind of continued to be the same, which is you continue to see the large players taking share from the independents. Happily, we've taken more than our fair share of that. Overall, it still continues to be really about the national players taking share from the smaller players and some growth in the category, but certainly not robust.

Alton Stump
Analyst, Longbow Research

That's helpful. Thanks, Patrick. One quick follow-up just on the cheese cost front. Cheese costs, obviously, on spot market anyway, have come back up recently. Is there any chance you think as you kind of crystal ball to the back half of the year, that we'll see some of these smaller mom-and-pops, which are probably buying predominantly, if not entirely, on spot, get a bit more rational, because the cheese moving up higher?

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

I think you're right. It certainly puts some pressure on them. We're looking at cheese that today is trading in kind of the normal range of cheese. I guess maybe the only thing I would say is extending that forward a little bit. In markets where there is more wage pressure, they may have seen that offset a bit by lower cheese costs.

With cheese costs moving back into kind of the more normalized range, they may feel that a bit more. Clearly for us, we made more money in the second quarter in our corporate stores than we did a year ago, so we're feeling good about our performance. I think they certainly will feel the pressure a little bit more. We obviously do some more forward buying than they're able to do, which takes a little bit of the volatility out of it for us.

Alton Stump
Analyst, Longbow Research

Great. Thanks again.

Operator

Your next question comes from Peter Saleh with BTIG.

Peter Saleh
Analyst, BTIG

Great. Thanks. Congrats on the quarter. I just wanted to ask about, I know first quarter there was some issues on the labor side. Did you guys do anything different in terms of labor scheduling in 2Q versus 1Q or anything you guys can comment on the labor front that may have changed in the second quarter?

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Yeah. I think we got a little bit more efficient. You saw some of that in supply chain and some in our corporate stores as well. Honestly, we have a high quality problem of keeping up with volume. As strength continued in the second quarter, I think the teams did a nice job of doing it a little bit more efficiently than we did in the first quarter. I think that's really it.

Peter Saleh
Analyst, BTIG

I know you guys don't want to give too much detail on the loyalty program, but how significant, or how important is the pizza profiles in terms of getting your sign-ups for this loyalty program?

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Very important. Yeah. The pizza profile has been fundamental for us on a lot of things. It has allowed a lot of the extensions that we have done on digital ordering because we already have all of the information there. For people to join our loyalty program, all they've got to do is click a box. The ease with which people can sign up for our loyalty program has clearly been part of the strength, and our ability to drive penetration in that program has been part of the strength of the results. It's very much within the range of what our team predicted it to be. That number was predicted to be pretty high based on what we thought was a very attractive program, also importantly, the fact that it is very easy for them to join the program.

I think your question is dead on, and it certainly has played into it.

Peter Saleh
Analyst, BTIG

Great. Thank you very much, and congrats on the quarter.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Jeffrey Bernstein with Barclays.

Jeffrey Bernstein
Analyst, Barclays

Great. Thank you very much. Couple of questions. One, just on the delivery side, maybe just bigger picture on delivery. I'm just wondering how you think about a couple of things. One, whether there's any potential for you to maybe provide some of your delivery service for others within retail or whatnot. Two, the potential on the flip side that maybe you could see some pressure as all these third-party services deliver more, whether they're delivering for traditional QSR or casual diners, whether that could work against you. Just wondering how you think about those two things.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Yeah. We are the most efficient delivery system out there for food. We've got scale. We've been approached by virtually every one of the players at some point. We like our competitive position. So I would not expect that you will see us doing that. We are very good at this. We've got critical mass of volume in our delivery business. We've been perfecting efficiencies around it for 56 years. That is certainly not something that we are going to lend to other parties. Overall I think what you're seeing is a lot of people who are trying different things within the space, taking different approaches, some around food, some around packages, obviously people moving people around, and they're still getting, I think, their arms around the variable economics of doing that for each of those three categories, moving people, moving food and moving items.

Some of them are learning that it is far more about people and logistics and managing a very large distributed group of people making those deliveries than it is about the technology behind it. We love our position in delivery. We do it awfully well, and we're going to continue to do it ourselves.

Jeffrey Bernstein
Analyst, Barclays

Got it. Just one other thing on the outlook as we look to the back half. I'm wondering if you've looked over time in terms of election years and Olympics and whatnot. Just wondering whether you've seen any correlation in terms of benefit to sales as consumers are glued to the television or maybe on the flip side, whether your advertising spend spikes because spot prices are elevated. Just wondering how either of those events could impact you both on sales and the cost of advertising.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Yeah. There are really two questions in there. One is, within the overall of a quarter, it won't make that much difference and really never has. There will be some days or some nights that might be particularly busy, but within the overall context of a quarter, I wouldn't be looking at a material move one way or the other. We're a national advertiser. Your second part of the question, that has been an issue in the past. In election years, they are doing local buys, and back when we were buying locally, it used to be a real issue in election years because costs do go up, availability gets pretty constrained. We used to have to spend a fair amount of time working around election years as a local buyer.

Well, the answer is we are almost entirely a national ad buyer now, and the advertising buys for campaigns are not national, typically. The vast majority of spend goes into swing states. For us, it won't be an effect. For those who are buying locally, they are probably spending time trying to figure out how to work around the political buys.

Jeffrey Bernstein
Analyst, Barclays

Understood. Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from Matthew McGinley with Evercore ISI.

Matthew McGinley
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Good morning. I guess I have a quick follow-up on the advertising as well. It primarily relates to the advertising fund asset you have on the balance sheet. That's up quite a bit year-over-year. It's up relative to revenue. It's up relative to stores. Can you give me some context of why that would be so high? Did the sales surge later in the quarter, or is it just a function of you have a bigger plan queued up for the back half?

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

The short answer is high sales. Remember, a decent amount of that is actually against advertising that has already been spent and the bills haven't come through yet. There's a little bit of an asset that gets carried there, but it is higher than average right now. We make our commitments for the majority of our spend in the upfront. That is generally the most efficient place to be buying advertising. When sales and store growth are particularly strong, you may see that number build. We'll make higher commitments in an upfront based on both that asset building up and then expectations of sales going forward. That's really primarily why that has built up at this point.

Matthew McGinley
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Got it. A quick one on insurance. Your casualty insurance rates have been pretty lumpy on a quarter-to-quarter basis, and I guess that's more of a comment to what happened last year in the third quarter. For the past two quarters, it's been higher relative to the trend. Should we assume that the insurance line item on that company-owned store is just structurally higher on a go-forward basis?

Jeffrey Lawrence
CFO, Domino's Pizza

Yeah, Matt, it's Jeff. Good question. As we talked about last year, third quarter, when we had the unexpectedly large actuarial adjustment, we committed to start doing it twice a year, which is what you're seeing in this quarter. A little bit higher in Team USA, a little bit higher in supply chain, probably within a reasonable band plus or minus of what you can expect when you have a $43 million liability sitting on the balance sheet, and certainly materially less than what we did Q3 last year. Every Q2 and Q4, you're going to see that adjustment being flowed through, whether it's good, bad, or sideways. To answer your question, it could be a little lumpy in those quarters, good or bad. I think the important thing for us is Safety teams in place, working hard every day, making sure our team members are safer.

Yes, I think that will help drive the number and hopefully manage the number better over time, but feel good about where the safety teams are. As you know, actuarial studies have a tail on them. They have long memories, and you have to prove to them you are materially better before they give you credit for it. That's what we're working on right now, and we think long term, it won't be as big of an issue, certainly as it was Q3 last year.

Matthew McGinley
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Okay. Thank you.

Jeffrey Lawrence
CFO, Domino's Pizza

Thanks, Matt.

Operator

Your next question comes from Christopher O'Cull with KeyBanc .

Christopher O'Cull
Analyst, KeyBanc

Thanks. Good morning. Congratulations on a great quarter.

Jeffrey Lawrence
CFO, Domino's Pizza

Thanks, Chris.

Christopher O'Cull
Analyst, KeyBanc

I had a follow-up on the global unit development. I think, Jeff, you mentioned, or Patrick, you mentioned that the conversions do not have a meaningful impact on unit openings in the second quarter, but when do you think they will have a more meaningful impact on the rate of growth? Do you think it could add a point or two to the 8% to 9% rate you just showed this quarter?

Jeffrey Lawrence
CFO, Domino's Pizza

Well, the number on the conversions in total is you're looking at about 200 stores in Germany. You're kind of in the 75-ish range in France and kind of a similar number in South Africa. Most of the stores are already converted in South Africa, and that's been happening over the last year or 18 months. It's still relatively early, it's still quite early in Germany. We're kind of midway through or so in France. In terms of it adding a point over time, the answer is it's going to add a total of kind of call it 300 stores over the starting 18 months ago until kind of a year or two from now. Then those are done, and then we've got a base to grow off of in those markets. We were already in France and big in France.

This was really more an entry strategy in South Africa. Our first store there was a conversion of actually, the first one was a new build, but they've basically been a conversion of those stores there. In Germany, we had a very small presence, and this conversion of Joey's is really what's getting us scale. That's kind of more in the one-time event sort of a category, I guess, on doing those conversions. Over the long term, as we give long-term guidance on store growth, it won't have any real effect over a three, five, 10-year basis. It's going to be a nice one-time bump up, but it doesn't necessarily accelerate on kind of a percentage basis, the store growth level over long term.

Christopher O'Cull
Analyst, KeyBanc

That's helpful. Just as a follow-up to that, what's the unit potential in Germany and South Africa compared to where you are today?

Jeffrey Lawrence
CFO, Domino's Pizza

Well, certainly the potential in Germany is very big. You're looking at a market of, what, 80, 85 million people. By the time this conversion is done, we'll be the leader in the market. You're looking at a market that's kind of the same size and scale of, call it the U.K., maybe even a bit bigger. Certainly the potential there is very, very large. We've got to get our arms around this conversion and make it work, and we've got a lot of learning to do there. The team who built Joey's that we're converting is still the team running this business. I spent some time with them together within the last month, and will be over there, I'm sure, within the next year or so, and our team's over there on the ground.

We feel very good about it, but it's going to take some time to kind of get it where we want to be. Early signs are all positive. France is a little different because we've already got a scale business there, and this is really an acceleration of our path towards kind of full potential. Germany absolutely could be a big market. It has typically been a tougher market. It's taken us some time to make progress there and we love the team that's there now. We love DPE and DPG having joint ownership. DPE has brought a team in to work with them. Over time, I think it's going to be terrific, but it's certainly going to take some time.

Christopher O'Cull
Analyst, KeyBanc

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from John Ivankoe with JP Morgan.

John Ivankoe
Analyst, JPMorgan

Hey. Two, I think, pretty short questions, if I may. First, on the Pizza Theater in the United States, I think you mentioned 60% were on the new format, obviously 40% to go. How much has the experience shown to lift sales in the units that have been converted, maybe on a one and two year basis? And is that a potential substantial driver of forward year comps as well?

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Yeah, John, I think it's really more a driver of the comps you're seeing, and that gives us some confidence going forward. The numbers have continued to stay in the range we've talked about before, which is an initial conversion or an initial re-image of a store gets you a fairly minimal bump in the short term, call it a point or two, maybe three. But really more in the point or two range. But what we see is kind of the catalytic effect, which is as more and more stores are re-imaged for a brand that has aspirations to do everything well, and a growing carryout business, we've got to have a great experience for people in stores we didn't before.

And what we always talked about is that we think this conversion is not going to be really compelling on a short-term basis store by store, but that it's going to be part of what builds the momentum around the brand overall. For once, I think we got it right. I think that's exactly what we're seeing play out, which is the overall momentum playing into the brand as it was an area of weakness. Our stores just didn't look great. It wasn't a great experience when people came in for a carryout pizza. With this, it is a terrific experience.

John Ivankoe
Analyst, JPMorgan

Agreed. Thank you. secondly, you've mentioned in a couple of different conversations, cost of labor. I wanted to talk about availability of labor. not just your labor going to other types of third-party delivery, but other careers that they may have, what have you. are there any kind of issues as you've been through a few different economic cycles in your career, are there any markets that are kind of bubbling up where you say, it's not that the stores can't handle the capacity, it's just you're having a hard time finding the quality people that you need to execute your brand?

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Yeah. I've been at Domino's now 19 years, and when I talk to the system, we are always talking fundamentally about one of two things. It is either top-line sales or it's staffing. clearly, top-line sales are terrific, so we're all spending a lot of time talking about staffing in our stores. it is the better of the two things to be talking about. our franchisees are doing what they do best, which is adapting to their individual market conditions. There are certainly markets where labor is tighter than others, but in general, you are clearly seeing a healthy demand for labor out there, for people in the stores. Our growth gives us an ability to, and profitability in our stores gives us an ability to compete effectively for those people.

yeah, as the unemployment rate in the U.S. is down to 4.7, it has gotten tougher to hire people into the stores. Our re-imaging program, frankly, plays to that. The fact that it's a better environment for people to work in makes it easier for us to hire great people into those stores. When the stores were, frankly, uglier, it was harder to hire them into those stores. a great, bright, fun winning environment makes it easier for us to hire people and the right people, and keep the stores staffed and give great service to our customers. the re-image program absolutely plays into that as well.

John Ivankoe
Analyst, JPMorgan

Thanks, Patrick.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Yep. Thanks, John.

Operator

Your next question comes from Stephen Anderson with Maxim Group.

Stephen Anderson
Analyst, Maxim Group

You had answered just all my questions I had on the call, but thank you.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

All right. Thanks, Stephen.

Operator

Your next question is from Joseph Buckley with Bank of America.

Gregory Trojan
Member of the Board of Directors, Domino's Pizza

Hey, guys, this is Greg. Just two questions. First is on average ticket. I know you talked about it being relatively flat year-over-year during the quarter. How does the average ticket today stack up to where it was five years ago? It doesn't seem to me like you've taken a lot of pricing on your base pizza, and there might be an opportunity to raise prices going forward, that you may have gotten into a better value position. Can you just address that as my first question, and I have one other.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Yeah. I'm not going to get into the specifics on ticket, but ticket is higher, clearly, than it was five years ago. Not a lot higher, but it is certainly higher. The interesting thing is there are kind of four things, I guess, that broadly that play into ticket. One is digital ordering. ticket is higher on digital orders than phone orders, a little bit. It depends on kind of the service method, but it is a little bit higher. that plays into it. Ticket is higher on delivery than it is on carryout by quite a bit, and carryout has become a bigger and bigger part of our business over the course of the last decade.

you almost need to pull it apart and look at When we're looking at it, we're looking at what is ticket doing in carryout versus what is ticket doing in delivery, and the fact that carryout has been growing a little faster over the past decade. that as an overall percentage of sales, it means our overall ticket growth winds up looking a little bit more muted. there is ticket based on how much you are selling, so how much food people are taking in the basket. some of that plays back to digital ordering because people have the full menu in front of them. They're going to wind up buying some things that they might not have bought if they were just doing it over the phone. really the fourth part is pricing, and what's happening within specific pricing and pricing moves.

all four of those things kind of factor into that overall ticket number. there's been a reasonable amount of move in all of those, so that often I think price kind of gets translated directly as what's happening with ticket. there are some other big components that kind of play into what's happening within ticket other than simply the price part of it. the answer overall is ticket movement has been there. It's been relatively modest, but there are an awful lot of different things that kind of play into it.

Gregory Trojan
Member of the Board of Directors, Domino's Pizza

Got it. That's really helpful. Maybe just as a follow-up is, do you think the pizza industry or category has underpriced maybe other segments of QSR?

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

I think the pizza category gives great value based on kind of a per-eater basis versus other parts of the category. I think there was a time 10 years ago when, frankly, the pizza category had gotten too aggressive on price and it was hurting order counts in the industry. I think we've done a much better job overall of giving great value to consumers, and that's clearly part of why the pizza category has probably been a little bit better on overall growth versus the overall QSR category. I think it's a question of discipline around pricing, and making sure that we're doing right by the consumer. You watch what's happening with our overall level of store profitability. We're making that work in a way that's also very compelling for our franchisees.

Gregory Trojan
Member of the Board of Directors, Domino's Pizza

That's really helpful perspective. just my second question, on G&A, and not looking for necessarily a next year target, but as we look at how you think about the variability of the sales, is this a line that you can leverage, or maybe how much leverage can you get on there as sales increase over the next few years?

Jeffrey Lawrence
CFO, Domino's Pizza

Yeah. Jeff, as you look at G&A gross versus revenues, you kind of get a bellwether as to how that bounces around, call it 12, 13% over time. Even that metric is a little goofy because our revenues based on FX and supply chain pricing can sway that, and it really doesn't give you a true sense of how it's benchmarking. I think the more important thing is a couple things. The G&A that we show you and the increase there is stuff that's really driving the business. It's an inseparable part of putting up these kind of comps, these kind of retail sales growth, and these kind of economics for our franchisees. The other thing is we don't show a net G&A. The regulators don't let us show you that.

There's a not immaterial amount of franchise contributions sharing the critical investments with us, particularly around digital. They've always done it on advertising, of course, but it's a new world, so they're contributing on digital as well. We're not able to really net those two together to show you kind of the true economic picture of how the investments net roll through our P&L, but they're all in there when you look at EPS, and it's just one of the things that gets us comfortable with the investments we're making. It's in digital, it's in technology, it's in international. We're going to continue to make the investments. I can tell you it's not back office stuff. It's stuff that's really driving the results you are seeing. We're not going to shy away from being aggressive on these investments.

Gregory Trojan
Member of the Board of Directors, Domino's Pizza

Got it. Thank you very much.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Oh, go ahead.

Gregory Trojan
Member of the Board of Directors, Domino's Pizza

Sorry. No, I cut you off.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

No, I was just going to say, the other thing is, just kind of thinking about some of the dynamics within G&A, and as you think about it and kind of the performance of the business, advertising for our corporate stores is in G&A. When sales go up a lot because they are contributing to our national ad fund, G&A goes up because sales have gone up. strong performance top line, and in total our corporate stores are kind of with a little bit of store growth plus comp. Second quarter, you're kind of looking at 10%-ish overall growth in sales on a $400 million-ish business at a 6% ad spend. It's actually a pretty significant increase in G&A year-over-year. there are a lot of different things that are in there, some of which actually get tied directly to volume.

Gregory Trojan
Member of the Board of Directors, Domino's Pizza

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from Mark Smith with Stifel.

Mark Smith
Analyst, Stifel

Hi, guys. Real quick, can you just talk about the profitability of a carryout order versus a delivery order and if this has been a contributor to the higher margins that you've seen as you talked to Patrick over this growing the last decade?

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

lower ticket, but also lower cost because you're not performing the delivery for them. overall, while I'm not going to give the specifics, in terms of dollar profitability, I wouldn't think about them as being dramatically different. The components of it will look a little different. Food costs will be a little bit higher, labor costs will be lower, ticket will be lower. at the end of the day, what we worry about are the dollars that you take to the bank, and all of that nets out reasonably at the end of the day.

Mark Smith
Analyst, Stifel

Okay. Thank you.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

Yep.

Operator

we have no other questions in queue at this time, and I would like to turn the conference back over to our presenters.

Patrick Doyle
CEO, Domino's Pizza

All right. Well, listen, thank you all for joining us today, and we look forward to discussing our third quarter earnings with you on October 18th. Thanks, everyone.

Operator

Thank you for your participation. This does conclude today's conference.