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Earnings Call: Q3 2021

Nov 3, 2021

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Jean, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the HubSpot Q3 2021 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a Q&A session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, press star, then one. Thank you. Charles MacGlashing, Head of Investor Relations, you may begin your call.

Charles MacGlashing
VP of Treasury and Investor Relations, HubSpot

Thanks, operator. Good afternoon, and welcome to HubSpot's Third Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. Today, we'll be discussing the results announced in the press release that was issued after the market closed. With me on the call this afternoon is Yamini Rangan, our Chief Executive Officer, Dharmesh Shah, our Co-founder and CTO, and Kate Bueker, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we start, I'd like to draw your attention to the safe harbor statement included in today's press release. During this call, we'll make statements related to our business that may be considered forward-looking within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 as amended and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended.

All statements other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, including those regarding management's expectations of future financial and operational performance, operational expenditures, expected growth, the leadership transitions, and business outlook, including our financial guidance for the fourth fiscal quarter and full year 2021. Forward-looking statements reflect our views only as of today, except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements. Please refer to the cautionary language in today's press release and our Form 10-Q, which will be filed with the SEC this afternoon for a discussion of the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. During the course of today's call, we'll refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined by Regulation G.

The GAAP financial measure most directly comparable to each non-GAAP financial measure used or discussed and a reconciliation of the differences between such measures can be found within our third quarter 2021 earnings press release in the investor relations section of our website. Now, it's my pleasure to turn over the call to HubSpot's Chief Executive Officer, Yamini Rangan. Yamini?

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

Thanks, Chuck, and greetings, everyone. Thank you for joining us today as we review HubSpot's third quarter 2021 results. I hope you were all able to join us a few weeks ago for our annual Analyst Day at INBOUND. We covered a lot of ground as part of those sessions. Today, what I want to do is to focus on the great results in Q3 , as well as the strategic pillars guiding us on our path to becoming the number one CRM platform for scaling companies. Let's kick things off with a look at our Q3 results. We're continuing to see strong performance across the business with revenue growth of 47% in constant currency year -over- year and total customers growing 34% year -over- year to more than 128,000.

As we've seen over the past year, small and medium businesses continue to embrace our modern CRM to connect with their customers, drive insights from customer interactions, and transform their businesses for the digital age. Our strong results speak to the fact that HubSpot is providing the right foundation for these companies to scale. At our Analyst Day, I provided an overview of our long-term growth strategy and introduced the four strategic pillars guiding our investments. Today, I'd like to share how our recent product announcements at INBOUND are helping us make meaningful progress towards our long-term goals. Our first strategic pillar is to deliver a world-class front-office platform by investing in new and existing hubs, as well as driving the extensibility of our platform. We're always looking for ways to address the evolving needs of our customers and expand our addressable market.

We'll continue to explore the development of new hubs, invest in anchor hubs like Marketing and Sales, and accelerate innovation around emerging hubs like Operations Hub. Earlier this week, we officially launched Operations Hub Enterprise. This is a great example of how we are accelerating innovation in emerging hubs. As you all know, we first launched Operations Hub Starter and Professional earlier this year to help customers get all of their data into HubSpot and build more advanced automated workflows. Now, with Operations Hub Enterprise, our customers are able to report on that data in more connected and consistent ways to generate insights that drive growth. We also announced important improvements to Service Hub, including custom surveys and a new customer portal that's currently in public beta. We'll continue to invest so that our individual hubs are powerful and easy to use.

We also know that much of HubSpot's magic comes from how our hubs seamlessly work together. With more than half of our customers adopting multiple hubs, we know that more and more companies are realizing the unique advantage that comes from managing their entire front office in one platform. A great example of this multi-hub approach in action is Triage, a staffing agency that arranges assignments for traveling nurses across the U.S. After connecting its back office systems to our platform and implementing our Marketing, Sales, CMS, and Operations Hub, Triage has seen increased efficiency and performance across the company. Their email click-through rate doubled, their sales team's capacity grew by 60%, and they're now able to quickly mobilize for flu or COVID vaccinations. There is still plenty of runway left when it comes to going broad and deep with our hubs and platform.

I'm really excited to see where the needs of our customers will take us next. Our second strategic pillar is to strengthen our segmentation approach across product and go to market. This is driving product innovation at HubSpot in two- key ways. First, we're bringing high-end features that have traditionally only been available to large enterprises down to our small and mid-market customers. Second, we're bringing a human-friendly product and purchasing experience traditionally seen in small and mid-market businesses up to large enterprises. At INBOUND this year, we focused on the latter half of this strategy, announcing new, powerful, and easy-to-use features that add tremendous value to our enterprise tier. In addition to new platform-wide governance features like permission sets and audit logging, we also launched sandboxes, a feature that enables customers to test changes to their portal without impacting their primary account.

In Marketing Hub Enterprise, we introduced business units, a new feature that enables customers to manage multiple brands to ensure a more consistent and targeted experience for their audiences. New enterprise-level forecasting tools in Sales Hub and Service Hub help managers keep track of their team's progress towards their goals. All of these enhancements help our larger customers customize their usage of HubSpot without adding complexity as they continue to grow. We're seeing success in our segmentation approach. On the high end, we're consistently closing more large deals and have seen an 81% year-over-year increase in Q3 large deals. Our starter edition is also fueling customer acquisition. That segment has grown from a small percentage of our customer base a few years ago to more than 50% of our total customers as of Q3. Now let's turn to our third pillar, investing in commerce and payments.

As I discussed during our Analyst Day, commerce has traditionally been thought of as an extension of the back office. It was sold to finance leaders. It was about collecting revenue and driving cost efficiencies. Commerce as a part of CRM is fundamentally different and is about enabling growth, not saving money. We're excited about the long-term opportunity for an integrated payment solution. That said, we're still in very early stages of this opportunity, and there are years of runway for growth. For now, we're focused on reaching U.S.-based B2B companies with fewer than 100 employees so that we can deliver a strong product and market fit before expanding internationally. Having the product market fit in one geography ensures that we, when we go international, we're able to capture a significant portion of GMV of any country we enter.

While it's only been available for about a month, we've seen nice momentum with our open beta as customers tap into the ability to quickly and easily start taking payments. One early adopter is ZenPilot, an operations consulting business that needed to scale operations but was being held back by a labor-intensive payment system. ZenPilot's previous system could only process credit card transactions and required manual work to process payments via ACH. With HubSpot payments, ZenPilot is able to accept ACH payments with ease. The sales team is able to focus more on lead generation activities and therefore have increased leads by 30%. The early feedback from customers like ZenPilot is evidence that we are on the right path in enabling our B2B customers to deliver a consumer-grade buying experience. I'm very excited about what the future holds for HubSpot payments in the long term.

Our fourth and final pillar is to continue to scale HubSpot. As you've heard Brian and Dharmesh say before, we want to build a company that future generations can be proud of. As part of that vision, we're investing in hiring and growing diverse talent, working on our environmental initiatives, and doubling down on protecting our customers' data and scaling our systems to meet their needs. By investing in these four pillars, we're building a strong foundation that will serve both HubSpot and our customers as we chart our next phase of growth. I'm incredibly excited about our long-term opportunity, and I'm very confident that we have the right strategy, the right investments, and the right team in place to help us execute and win. With that, I'll turn it over to Kate to give an overview of our fantastic financial results. Kate?

Kate Bueker
CFO, HubSpot

Thanks, Yamini. Let's turn to our third quarter financial results and our guidance for the fourth quarter and full -year of 2021. Third quarter revenue grew 47% year-over-year in constant currency and 49% as reported. Q3 subscription revenue grew 49% year-over-year, while services and other revenue increased 39%, both on an as-reported basis. The momentum we've seen over the last year and a half continued into the third quarter with broad strength across the business. We saw continued strength in revenue retention in Q3, trending nicely above our new target level of 110%, with healthy customer dollar retention continuing to be a big driver of our overall strong retention performance. Net revenue retention also continues to benefit from multiple upgrade drivers, including strong cross-sell activity and seat expansions.

Domestic revenue grew 41% year-over-year in Q3, while international revenue growth was 54% in constant currency and 58% as reported. While our international and domestic revenue growth rates in constant currency remained flat quarter-over-quarter, international revenue as a percentage of total revenue increased three points year-over-year to 46%. We added 7,100 net customers in the quarter, growing our total customer count by 34% year-over-year to 128,000. Average subscription revenue per customer grew 9% year-over-year to $10,500 as we saw a continued positive mix shift towards our professional and enterprise tiers along with strong install-based selling.

As we've discussed over the last couple of quarters, we expect these trends to continue into Q4 with net customer additions of about 7,000 and high single-digit year-over-year growth in ASRPC. Deferred revenue as of the end of September was $376 million, a 45% increase year-over-year. Calculated billings was $353 million, growing 45% year-over-year in constant currency and 43% as reported. Billings growth in Q3 was impacted by the strong install-based selling mix in the quarter, slightly lower billing duration, and a more difficult comparison as a result of COVID-related customer plays in the year ago period. The remainder of my comments will refer to non-GAAP measures.

Third quarter gross margin was 80%, down 2 points year-over-year as a result of increased customer usage and the launch of our new EU data center. Subscription gross margin was 83%, while services gross margin was -9%. Third quarter operating margin was 10%, up 2 points compared to the same period a year ago. At the end of the third quarter, we had nearly 5,500 employees, up 38% year-over-year. Net income in the third quarter was $26 million, or $0.50 per fully diluted share. CapEx, including capitalized software development costs, was $16 million or 5% of revenue in Q3. Free cash flow in the quarter was $38 million, or 11% of revenue.

We continue to expect CapEx as a percentage of revenue to be about 5% in 2021 and now expect free cash flow to be about $180 million for the full- year. Finally, our cash and marketable securities totaled $1.3 billion at the end of September. With that, let's dive into guidance for the fourth quarter and full -year of 2021. For the fourth quarter, total revenue is expected to be in the range of $356 million-$358 million, up 42% year-over-year at the midpoint. Non-GAAP operating income is expected to be between $34 million and $36 million. Non-GAAP diluted net income per share is expected to be between $0.52 and $0.54. This assumes 50.9 million fully diluted shares outstanding.

For the full -year of 2021, total revenue is now expected to be in the range of $1.287 billion-$1.289 billion, up 46% year-over-year at the midpoint. Non-GAAP operating income is now expected to be between $113 million-$115 million. Non-GAAP diluted net income per share is now expected to be between $1.76 and $1.78. This assumes 50.7 million fully diluted shares outstanding. As you adjust your models, keep in mind the following. At current spot rates, we expect FX to be a slight headwind to as-reported revenue in Q4 and still expect a three-point tailwind for the full year. With that, I'll hand things back over to Yamini for her closing remarks.

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

Thanks a lot, Kate. Before we wrap up, I want to extend a huge thank you to our customers, partners, and employees for your support over the last quarter. It was such a joy to connect with you all during INBOUND, and I have felt so welcomed and energized as I transition into the CEO role. As you heard me talk about at INBOUND, we're now in the age of the customer. Customers want and expect a frictionless, connected, consumer-like buying experience at every step of their journey. Fortunately, we've been building for this new era at HubSpot and are uniquely suited to meet the moment as evidenced in this quarter's strong financial results.

Our most recent product announcements are designed to help companies create customer relationship magic, and our four strategic pillars will enable us to continue to deliver on our mission of helping millions of companies grow better in the future. With that, operator, please open up the call for some questions.

Operator

At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Alex Zukin with Wolfe Research. Mr. Zukin, your line is open.

Alex Zukin
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Hey, guys. Thanks so much, and congratulations on a great quarter. Yamini, maybe the first one for you, particularly on the demand environment. Can you talk about what you saw in the quarter, you know, did you see any seasonality, summer holiday, weakness, internationally? You know, obviously in the news we're hearing, you know, we see headlines of supply chain issues. You know, you hear the reports of the advertising companies, having a little bit of a consternation. Are you seeing any impact from that at all and any commentary on kind of the pipeline, for either new customer growth or existing customer expansion to Q4?

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

Hey, Alex. Thanks a lot for the question. We are seeing the same headlines that you mentioned in terms of supply chain challenges, macro environments. I'll say that they're not the set of factors that have outsized exposure to here at HubSpot. In terms of the demand environment and the demand patterns, it's really solid. If I step back and look at why we feel very good about the demand environment, it's two things. One, the world has changed. You know, since the start of the pandemic, customers have looked for digital solutions and the buyer expectations have changed pretty significantly, where they need consumer-like buying experiences, they wanna be able to connect to their customers digitally, and they wanna be able to grow and accelerate growth in this environment.

Two, we have the perfect solution for that. HubSpot has a very unique value proposition. We have crafted the solution, and we provide consumer-like user experience with enterprise-grade features, and that is resonating really well in terms of the market. I feel very good about the demand environment and what we're seeing in the pipeline. This reflects both across our North America business as well as international business, feeling pretty good.

Alex Zukin
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Got it. That's super helpful. Kate, for you, I mean, I think, look, one of the questions I know I'm gonna get tomorrow is for the last, I don't know, call it six quarters or so, billings has been ahead of revenue growth in the quarter, even on an adjusted basis, from a constant currency perspective. This quarter, you mentioned there were some headwinds on the billings that is important to take into account. Maybe can you just walk through them, particularly on the deferred side, what you're seeing and why it's not necessarily indicative of, you know?

I mean, it's usually not indicative, but in this case specifically, why it wouldn't be indicative of kind of the way to think about future revenue growth, because I think your guidance suggests again, also very strong growth for Q4 subscription revenue?

Kate Bueker
CFO, HubSpot

Yeah, sure thing. I would just start by saying that we actually feel really good about delivering constant currency billings growth in the mid-40s%, especially when you look at the sort of tougher comparison that we have here in Q3 relative to Q2. It's basically 12 or so points more difficult. That said, I did mention a few things that were headwinds to constant currency billings in the quarter. There's a little bit of a headwind from duration. You may recall in my prepared remarks that I noted that this was a very strong installed base billing quarter that also has a little bit of a headwind, as it relates to billings, particularly around deferred revenue.

FX on deferred is very tricky, and you may recall in particular that the euro weakened against the dollar pretty dramatically over the course of Q3, and so the impact on deferred revenue from FX was much more acute. There is about a four-point headwind to deferred revenue on a constant currency basis versus an as-reported basis.

Alex Zukin
Managing Director, Wolfe Research

Got it. That's super helpful. Thank you, guys. Congrats again.

Charles MacGlashing
VP of Treasury and Investor Relations, HubSpot

Operator?

Operator

Your line is open, Mark Murphy.

Charles MacGlashing
VP of Treasury and Investor Relations, HubSpot

Hey, Mark. Mark, are you there?

Mark Murphy
Managing Director, JPMorgan

Yes. Yes, I'm here. Sorry, I never heard my name called, so I don't know if I was-

Charles MacGlashing
VP of Treasury and Investor Relations, HubSpot

We did.

Mark Murphy
Managing Director, JPMorgan

I was disconnected for a moment. That's okay.

Charles MacGlashing
VP of Treasury and Investor Relations, HubSpot

We did mention it a lot. Mr. Mark Murphy.

Mark Murphy
Managing Director, JPMorgan

No worries. Yes, I'm flattered to be called Mark Murphy. Yamini, at the Analyst Day, you had mentioned the touchless sale and I think the fact that most B2B companies haven't started on it yet. I'm wondering, how is that vision of the touchless sale resonating with your customers who are in this open beta of HubSpot Payments and what is their feedback to you so far?

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

Yeah. Great question, Mark. So, you know, at the end of the day, what I said was that in terms of B2B, there are two ways that companies typically sell. One is the touchless sale, and then the other is the rep-assisted sale. Now, in terms of touchless sales, B2B companies haven't just gotten started in terms of online processing of services and software. Our hypothesis is that we can really help them and enable new revenue streams for our company. Now, in the prepared remarks, I mentioned an example of a company, ZenPilot. They are in the consulting business. They wanted to, you know, start processing, and that's an example of a touchless sale. In terms of the open beta, that's also where we are seeing interest, Mark.

We're seeing, you know, companies that are in services that are thinking about new online revenue streams but haven't done it before, and this is an easy and seamless way for them to grow. It's pretty early days. We've been in open beta just for a few weeks here now, but we're definitely seeing interest in terms of opening new revenue streams. We'll keep watching.

Mark Murphy
Managing Director, JPMorgan

Okay, understood. As a quick follow-up, Kate, you know, we're noticing the growth is superb. Sequentially, the revenue growth is actually stronger than pre-pandemic into Q3. It's interesting to see the growth is stronger without reliance upon a blowout number of customer adds. I'm just curious, where are you seeing the ASRPC increase most noticeably? You know, part of what I'm wondering is custom objects unlocking some of the larger accounts, you know, at the top of your target range with the enterprise hubs of sales and marketing, or is it more across the board or even more kinda down market?

Kate Bueker
CFO, HubSpot

Yeah, thanks for the question. I think, you know, the good news is that our KPIs of customer additions and ASRPC kind of came in exactly where we told you that they were going to. We did see that nice pickup in ASRPC, really in that high single-digit range. That positive momentum in ASRPC is a mix driven calculation. The customer mix is moving toward that pro and enterprise. We've, you know, again, I'll highlight the strong install base selling commentary for Q3, and both of those things are like key drivers of ASRPC growth.

Mark Murphy
Managing Director, JPMorgan

Excellent. Thank you very much, and congrats on a great result.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Samad Samana with Jefferies. Your line is open.

Samad Samana
Managing Director, Jefferies

Hi, good evening, and I'll echo the congrats on just a great quarter even as the comps get tougher. Maybe first, Yamini, for you, I have a follow-up on the payment side. You know, can you talk about the front office CRM approach HubSpot is taking to payments and the advantages that HubSpot has over other more entrenched back office-centric competitors that are more closely tied to accounting systems?

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

Thank you, Samad. That's really like my favorite question about payments because the way we think about payments, commerce as part of you know CRM is fundamentally different. It is about enabling revenue growth for our customers, and it's very, very different from commerce as part of back office, where you know traditionally it is about talking to the finance leader and focusing on collecting revenues and cost efficiencies. Over the past few quarters, as we have gone back to our customers and asked them how we can enable growth, it became really clear that we needed to embed commerce and payments as part of CRM, and there are three ways in which we can drive that growth. The first one is what I just talked about with Mark's question, which is enabling new revenue streams.

If you think about touchless, this is not where B2B companies have traditionally focused, and we wanna enable new revenue streams and provide opportunities for growth there. The second area for growth is really helping with the rep-assisted last-mile sales. What I mean by that is, you know, HubSpot historically, we have focused on rep-assisted sales, but the last mile, which is quote to cash, has been the hardest nut to crack, and we wanna focus on that. We wanna streamline, simplify it so that the reps can now focus on growth initiatives, on demand generation activities. If we do that right, we're gonna actually enable growth for our customers. The third thing which I'm super excited about is commerce brings context to every customer interaction.

If you can imagine having a commerce object deeply embedded within CRM, you now have more information when you run marketing campaigns. You can run marketing campaigns on abandoned carts. You have much more information in terms of sales interactions because you know where the invoice stands. You have much better service interactions because it's prioritized by the purchase history. Commerce deeply embedded in CRM is just really valuable in terms of enabling growth. I think we're taking a very different approach and enabling growth for our customers, so I'm excited about the longer-term opportunity here.

Samad Samana
Managing Director, Jefferies

Very helpful. Maybe a follow-up for Kate. Kate, the 47% growth on constant currency staying the same quarter-over-quarter despite a tougher comp was impressive. You know, I think one of the things related to that is the stat around an 81% increase in large deals in the third quarter. You know, I haven't really heard the company talk about large deals, more just which SKU is being adopted. I'm curious if you could maybe just help us understand how we should think about large deals and how you're defining it and then maybe just h ow should we think about that going forward from a contribution standpoint?

Kate Bueker
CFO, HubSpot

Yeah. I think I talked a little bit about this at the Analyst Day when we tried to highlight the strategic pillar around segmentation. Internally, we look at what we call large deals as anything that is greater than 3K MRR, and we've seen that the volume of those deals increased 81% year-over-year.

Samad Samana
Managing Director, Jefferies

Okay. Okay, great. Thanks again for taking my questions.

Charles MacGlashing
VP of Treasury and Investor Relations, HubSpot

Thanks.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ken Wong with Guggenheim Securities. Your line is open.

Ken Wong
Managing Director, Guggenheim Securities

Great. Thank you for taking my question. First question, I just wanted to get a sense for. You know, I think earlier it was mentioned, some of the advertising peers out there are running into kind of the occasional issues with IDFA. How do you see that potentially impacting HubSpot's business? Does that push customers more towards an INBOUND strategy? Would love to see if you guys are running into any tailwinds, headwinds on that front.

Dharmesh Shah
Co-Founder and CTO, HubSpot

Thanks for the question, Ken. Just taking a step back, you know, the reason we get into trouble sometimes in our personal lives and get sent to the doghouse is when we forget things like an anniversary or birthday. The reason we get sent into the doghouse in a kind of privacy-centric world is when we remember and know too much, and that's I think what's caused some of the recent developments here. Now, having said that, HubSpot's genesis from the beginning, as you noted, has been around this idea of inbound marketing, which is a very kind of consumer-friendly, privacy-forward approach, and we've kind of stuck to that for all 15 of our years.

As developments have happened in the industry that are kind of moving privacy forward, they've been neutral to positive to HubSpot, and some of the recent developments I don't think are any different. Specifically on some of the app tracking stuff that's happened recently, the companies most impacted are the ones that if you're running a massive advertiser network or you're running a massive mobile application for which tracking is super important, you're gonna feel the direct impact of some of these recent changes. HubSpot doesn't fall into either of those categories, so we don't really expect any meaningful impact on our business at all as a result of some of the interesting developments that are happening.

Ken Wong
Managing Director, Guggenheim Securities

Got it. Really appreciate that, Dharmesh. Then Kate, just thinking about the shape of the quarter, I think in the past you guys had mentioned that, I think in July, HubSpotters were given a break, also potentially saw higher than typical PTO. Any sense of how the linearity played out from July through September and to the extent that you can comment on October, November, how that demand life cycle looked?

Kate Bueker
CFO, HubSpot

Yeah, I mean, I think I'll stick to Q3, but you're exactly right and have a great memory. You know, we made a decision to give the organization a break at the very beginning of the quarter, and we had a global week of rest for all of our employees. That obviously creates a bit of a slow start to the quarter. We feel great about where we've landed for the full- quarter, but we definitely saw momentum in the second couple of months as a result of that, I would say well-deserved break on behalf of our employees.

Ken Wong
Managing Director, Guggenheim Securities

Got it. Perfect. Thank you so much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Stan Zlotsky with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Stan Zlotsky
Executive Director of Software Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Perfect. Thank you so much, guys. Wanted to touch on the payments business a little bit. I'm sure you're getting a lot of questions from investors on that one. How are you thinking as far as, like, disclosing the traction that you're seeing with in that business, as it starts to ramp? W hat are the milestones that we should be looking for and you'll be looking for as far as you really just broadening out the initial set of customers that are involved in the beta program?

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

Stan Zlotsky, thanks for the question. I'm gonna maybe address this from a broad strategic perspective, and then I'll have Kate Bueker address it in terms of how we'll be tracking it. You know, as you heard us talk about at the Analyst Day, this is a long-term opportunity that we are very, very excited about. Specifically, we have a targeted approach. The target market that we are going after is U.S. companies with 100 employees or less that are B2B, mostly focused on services and software. The reason we are focused on that market is first, it allows us to build a delightful product experience that customers can love. Even within that market, we see it as a pretty large market, $10s of billions in GMV within that segment.

We wanna start with that market, and we're gonna make sure that, in terms of both the payment features as well as commerce features, we are focused delivering and driving market adoption. I think, longer term, there is a significant opportunity for us to grow both up-market, domestically as well as international. I'll pass it to Kate so she can address your question on how we will track and, share the results.

Kate Bueker
CFO, HubSpot

Yeah. Thanks, Yamini. So if I just take a step back and look at the specific customer segment that Yamini is outlining, the U.S.-based customers with 100 or less employees in that sort of B2B software and services space, Yamini said we think that's tens of billions of dollars of GMV, market for us. That would translate into something that looks more like hundreds of millions of potential payment volume for us over the next couple of years. You know, as I covered at the Analyst Day, HubSpot's gonna earn a transaction fee on this payment volume. The amount of that transaction fee is gonna depend on the payment method, it's gonna depend on the transaction size, and we will recognize that fee as revenue to HubSpot.

There'll be an associated cost, with that transaction, most notably for credit card transaction, that interchange fee. The gross margin for the payments business is going to be a much different and lower gross margin than what we're used to on the software side. That said, the sales expense in growing the business is also gonna be very different than the core software business, and we feel really good about the overall margin for HubSpot, over time, with respect to payments. We will likely, in the near term, record any, revenue under that, what we call services and other, revenue stream. As we ramp up over time, we will have to evaluate, when it is the appropriate time to break that revenue out.

Stan Zlotsky
Executive Director of Software Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Got it. Kate, just why don't you go back to billings for a quick second. I mean, I think you did a great job of outlining the FX material FX headwind to billings at the end of the quarter versus the FX tailwind that we actually saw in revenue. But just on the duration component of billings, you know, if you were to kinda just put together the overall kinda headwinds that you saw in the quarter to billings between FX and duration, which one was the more material one? You know, kind of maybe give us a little bit of a magnitude of what the billings duration headwind may have been as well.

Kate Bueker
CFO, HubSpot

Yeah. So the FX headwind to billings overall was net 2% headwind, right? That's a combination, as you were indicating, of a tailwind to revenue with a more extreme headwind to the deferred revenue component of billings. In terms of the relative impact of duration versus FX, I think it's a combination of duration and the fact that we have a higher mix of installment-based selling that sort of make up the other part of the difference between constant currency revenue and constant currency billings.

Stan Zlotsky
Executive Director of Software Equity Research, Morgan Stanley

Got it. Got it. All right. Thank you so much, guys. Congratulations on a good quarter.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Brad Sills with Bank of America Securities. Your line is open.

Brad Sills
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Oh, great. Thanks, guys, for taking my question. Congratulations on a nice quarter. Maybe I'll ask the question on the ASP another way. With the kind of growth you're seeing there, net revenue retention has been accelerating now for several quarters. Are customers landing with multiple hubs more so than in the past? I think historically, we think of HubSpot where a customer will start with Marketing or Sales or CMS, those are great entry points, and then you'll see the cross-sell a year or two later. Now that you're kind of moving up market into these more enterprise editions, are you seeing customers commit to multi-hubs, kind of the initial land deal more so? What does that mean for kind of future expansion opportunity potentially?

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

Brad, thanks for the question. I'd say that we see three things that happen across our customer base. The first is what you said, which is more multi-hub. You can see that reflected in the numbers that Kate shared at the Analyst Day. We definitely see the multi-hub customers land. We're seeing still, you know, really good front doors with Marketing Hub, Sales Hub. Each of those hubs have gotten really good over the past 12-18 months, and they are very good front doors. We see that land and expand motion. As you know, we launched the CRM Suite both at the Starter level as well as the Pro level, and those are also really good front doors. Across the board, we are seeing all three motions.

Now, I will say in terms of multi-hub, when our customers adopt multi-hub, the value that they get, because it's a seamless user interface, because it's a single data model, because there is a single view of the customer, is just much higher. We see when customers adopt Sales Hub plus Marketing Hub, they get much more leads than when they just had Marketing Hub or Sales Hub alone. The same powerful combination with Marketing Hub and CMS Hub, or Sales Hub and Service Hub. I think what you're seeing is that there are great front doors into adoption. There is also a growing trend towards multi-hub as well as suite adoption. The combination of all three are kind of what you see as results in terms of ASRPC growth.

Brad Sills
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Great to hear. Thanks, Yamini, so much. Then one on the Service Hub, if I may. You know, there's kind of the view that service, customer service is more of an up-market type solution. Small business don't necessarily run a separate support desk. A lot of it can be done within sales. Well, one, do you agree with that view? Then two, as you guys are moving into this kind of up-market business, more enterprise focus, could we expect perhaps an acceleration. We've already seen good strong results out of Service Hub, but potentially even greater attach there. Thank you.

Dharmesh Shah
Co-Founder and CTO, HubSpot

Yeah. It's in terms of Service Hub adoption or interest on the lower end, we don't think it's relegated just to larger enterprises. We think an increasing number of customers want to provide online support, even if it's not a call center, it might be over email or over chat. That is definitely a need. In terms of Service Hub, the product is doing really well, and the path that we're kind of progressing is similar to what you saw with Sales Hub over the last several years, which there are some key features that folks were looking for in Sales Hub, for instance, custom objects was one of them. Once we start knocking those dominoes over, we see the adoption rate go up.

We see that hub becoming a on-ramp and front door to the HubSpot platform. We think something similar will happen with Service Hub. We just recently launched at the recent INBOUND, the feature of a customer portal where customers can log in and see their tickets and interact with their data and with their accounts. That was one of those big dominoes in our minds that customers have been kinda asking for repeatedly, and it puts us further down the path where we need to be. We think 2022 is gonna be an exciting year for Service Hub. The market opportunity is massive across our spectrum of 1-2,000 employee customers. We sort of know what the customer needs are and we're just looking to execute.

Brad Sills
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Bank of America Securities

Great to hear. Thanks, Dharmesh.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Brian Peterson with Raymond James. Your line is open.

Brian Peterson
Managing Director and Software Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Hi. Thanks for taking the question. I actually wanted to follow- up, Yamini, to your answer to Brad's question. I'd be curious to what extent customers are really kind of understanding of what this new frontier is gonna look like for digital engagement models. I say that because, are they still at the point or I guess are they at the point now where they're willing to kinda buy not even just one or two, but three or four hubs at once, right? Or are they seeing that digitally across all hubs or all channels? Or is it—do they have the vision or are they still gonna have to kinda pick one at a time just given maybe their limited ability to execute?

I'm curious what you're hearing from customers in regards to this new frontier in terms of digital engagement.

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

It's a good question, Brian. I think it's across the board, the levels of maturity within our customer base are quite different. You have some customers that are pretty early, and this, you know, they've realized in the past couple of years, you know, that they need to be digital first, digital ready, and they are kind of putting their toe and starting with one hub and then expanding. There are customers like the use case example that I gave in the prepared remarks of Triage, where they realized that they need a complete digital front office platform that is all- in- one in order for them to be able to accelerate their growth, given all of what they're seeing. It really depends on the maturity of the customers.

You know, the one thing that I would say is that our approach has been resonating really well with customers. We've taken a very, very different approach to building, handcrafting our solutions, and it's unique. Customers don't have to cobble together a bunch of different applications within their tech stack. They can start with one or multi-hub or go all in, but the crafted way in which we approach building products, and therefore the value that our customers see in our full -suite is really resonating within the market.

Brian Peterson
Managing Director and Software Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Great. No, that's good to hear. Maybe a quick follow-up for Kate. You know, one of the bullish takeaways for me in the Analyst Day was the net revenue retention, you know, above 110. I believe you indicated it. That would kinda be the new normal going forward. I think I have that right. You know, I'm curious, you know, how can we frame that in terms of the average revenue per customer trend? I know it's not the same cohort overall, but should we think about that maybe lagging the 110 figure by a couple points? I'm just curious if there's any read-through from the NRR that we should be looking at in terms of the revenue per customer growth? Thank you.

Kate Bueker
CFO, HubSpot

Yeah. No, thanks for the question. I think that you are right. At Analyst Day, we shared a new target level for net revenue retention at or above 110%. What we talked about was a couple of different drivers. The first of those drivers was really strong customer dollar retention. That's what we call it internally. You may refer to it as gross retention. What we said is about half of the impact on total net revenue retention was associated with improvements on customer dollar retention. The other piece of that is that our upgrades are improving, and we have a diverse set of upgrade drivers that are helping to increase net revenue retention, that sort of second half. Those drivers will also help drive ASRPC growth, right?

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

It's not that, you know, retention is driving. It's the same core adoption of a greater portion of the platform that is driving both the net revenue retention and higher ASRPC.

Brian Peterson
Managing Director and Software Equity Research Analyst, Raymond James

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Turits with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Michael Turits
Managing Director and Software Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Hey, guys. Thank you very much. Two questions. Yamini, for you, obviously, everyone's very excited about payments. Can you talk about how you're thinking longer term about e-commerce more broadly? I've got one for Kate.

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

You know, I think, like, yes, we are excited about payments, but we're equally excited about the core business, I will say that. In terms of the longer term payments opportunity, if we really step back, there is just a lot that we can do to help our customers grow. The way we are gonna focus on this, and we've said this in a couple different ways, is that first off, from a payments perspective, we're gonna just embed this in almost every way. Embedded payments, which as the name, you know, suggests, is embedding it in forms, in web pages, in meeting requests, and really that will help us drive adoption. From a roadmap, you will see us drive payments adoption.

I think the second part of what I'm excited about in the roadmap is building that commerce context into CRM and vice versa. That's where we see significant value that we can deliver to our customers by making sure that the commerce context is there in every interaction, whether it's marketing or sales or service. Both of those are going to open up a huge opportunity for us, but also it's going to enable growth for our customers. That's how we think about the roadmap and longer term opportunity in terms of payments. I will also point that, as we've talked about, the core business is really strong and the core business is growing really well. We're continuing to invest in terms of all of our strategic pillars and focused on driving a world-class CRM platform.

It's kind of balanced across new opportunities as well as core business.

Michael Turits
Managing Director and Software Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Thanks. Then Kate, you said that for 2022 not to expect a meaningful improvement in margins. Can you just talk about what some of the puts and takes are there and how they may or may not be shifting in terms of what's the headwind , and what's the tailwind to margins, how that balances out next year?

Kate Bueker
CFO, HubSpot

Yeah. I guess, you know, the way that I would think about it is, and we tried to talk a bit about this at the Analyst Day, was how we balance growth and profitability. You know, overall, if you just sort of at the highest level think about it, what we have been trying to do and what we continue to try to do is focus on building really durable long-term growth for the company. We will clearly look for ways on a regular basis to expand margins, and we leverage our long-term financial framework to try to do that. What we don't wanna do is forego really high conviction, really high return opportunities to drive future growth, so that we can deliver very specific leverage targets from one year to the next.

You know, you heard us talk about it at the Analyst Day, you hear Yamini talk about it now. We feel really good about the opportunity in front of us, and we wanna make sure that we continue to invest into that opportunity. The areas where you're gonna see us invest in 2022 are gonna be the same areas where you've been seeing us invest over the last couple of years. In particular, we wanna make sure that we are leaning into our R&D organization to drive innovation because we think that's the engine for strong and durable growth. I don't have specific puts and takes in 2022.

What I would tell you is we're gonna continue to invest in the places where we have been seeing strong ROI, and we can believe that we can continue to see strong ROI, and that's primarily in innovation of the product.

Michael Turits
Managing Director and Software Equity Research Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets

Thanks, Kate. Thanks, Yamini.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Turrin with Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Michael Turrin
Managing Director and Software Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo

Hi, this is Michael Berg for Michael Turrin. Congrats on a great quarter. I have a quick question and then a follow-up for Dharmesh. In this environment we're seeing right now, there appears to be a pretty strong or difficult hiring environment. With HubSpot being such a focus on culture and retention, can you kind of walk through what you're seeing in the hiring environment? Any trouble getting people on board? Any better or worse retention within your employee base? Thanks for your question. We're really pleased with the kind of long-term investments we've made in culture and employer brand. That has really paid off now in these tough times.

Dharmesh Shah
Co-Founder and CTO, HubSpot

We haven't seen direct impacts of the so-called kind of great resignation, but we know that there's some kind of activity going out there in the world at large. We continue to have a very strong employer brand. We leaned in even pre-pandemic into this notion of a hybrid and remote workforce, which we're even better at now. Personally, I feel we're coming from a position of strength even more so than we were before. I think the value of our culture, the value of the flexibility we have within our workforce is appreciated. W e've long said that we think of culture as the second product that we build, and that product, including our main product, is actually doing very well. Thanks for the question.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Parker Lane with Stifel. Your line is open.

Parker Lane
Equity Research Analyst, Stifel

Yeah. Hi, thanks for taking my question. At the Analyst Day you mentioned about 60% of the business is coming direct versus the remainder coming from solution partners. Wondering if you could break down what the composition of that looks like in the enterprise customer tier, particularly with some of the go-to-market investments you've made there over the past year?

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

Yeah, Parker, thanks a lot for the question. Broadly speaking, that's right. I think, but if you kind of break it down between our segments, partners focus much more on upmarket for all the obvious reasons.

More custom, more integrations, more CRM implementations, more customizations, and so it's weighted a little bit higher towards the up-market segment. You know, look, our strategy has been very, very clear in terms of working with our solution partner ecosystem. If you historically look at the solution partner ecosystem, it's about 4,000 strong. They were marketing agencies, but we've done a lot of investments to diversify that solution partner ecosystem, and we're very pleased with the level of expertise in helping our up-market customers. It's one of those competitive moats for us. They do a fantastic job of understanding our customers as well as our products. When partners get engaged, we see high customer dollar retention as well as revenue retention. We understand that.

We had an event right after INBOUND for our partners, where we talked about our strategy and doubling down in our strategy of selling and servicing with them, and we're making pretty hefty investments in enabling partners, matching partners with customers, and building expertise within the solution partner base. We're excited to see that ecosystem thrive.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Rishi Jaluria with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Rishi Jaluria
Managing Director and Software Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hey guys. Thanks so much for taking my question. Just one from my end. I wanted to drill back onto some of the up-market penetration. Yamini, I think that 81% increase in large deals year-over-year in Q3, really impressive and great to see that. Maybe you can help us understand with this up-market penetration, how you're kind of balancing the investments that you're making there with wanting to keep that same, e-commerce type approach and self-service approach that has worked for you historically? Maybe directionally, you can give us a sense for, with these larger customers, what sort of impact that tends to have on your net dollar retention? Thank you so much.

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

Rishi, thanks for the question. I think this really goes back to our strategic pillar, which is strengthening our segmentation approach. Both at the Analyst Day as well as prepared remarks, we talked about the investments we are making to make sure that every one of our segments are optimized. We have broadly three segments. You've heard us speak about this. 1-20 segment where we are investing in product-led growth, the 20-200 segment, which is our traditional sweet spot from both a product and go-to-market perspective, and the up-market segment, which is the 200-2,000 segment, where, you know, we're making a lot of investments. As we've mentioned before, we're being very thoughtful and deliberate in making product as well as go-to-market investments.

Our clear view is that both of these need to be in complete lockstep in terms of execution. The success that you're seeing within up-market is, one, because of the product. We have worked on the product extensively, and we've talked about wanting to maintain a consumer-grade look and feel while investing in powerful features, and that is beginning to work. In terms of go to market, we have invested in sales enablement, partner enablement, as well as brand marketing efforts. The result of our segmentation strategy is what is reflected both in terms of customer dollar retention as well as revenue retention. This is kind of what Kate mentioned earlier in her comments about revenue retention.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ryan MacDonald with Needham & Company. Your line is open.

Ryan MacDonald
Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst, Needham & Company

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. You know, Yamini, in the last, I guess, two questions, you've talked about sort of the up-market motion here, and I wanted to focus in on the partner channel, and how that's driving up-market deals. Y ou announced the launch of Operations Hub. It's only been a whole two days since it's officially launched, but just curious, since the announcement at INBOUND, you know, what sort of feedback you've gotten from the partner channel on that offering and how you think that can continue to maybe unlock the higher end or the upper market segment of your business over time.

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

Thank you so much, Ryan, for the question. Yes. The Operations Hub Enterprise was just launched, you know, this week, and as you all know, we launched Operations Hub Starter as well as Pro earlier this year in April. You know, that's actually an example of one of the hubs where we co-launched it with partners. You know, our partner community has been just incredibly involved in terms of the beta program. They were incredibly involved in terms of identifying early use cases, and we co-launched Operations Hub. In fact, that launch event was probably the highest NPS partner event that we have had all- year. The feedback from partners, you know, in terms of Operations Hub, has been very promising as well as positive.

Now, the broader point in terms of how we are enabling go-to-market with partners up market, as we optimize our product investments as well as go-to-market investments, we've been working hand in hand with partners, in driving expertise within the partner ecosystem to enable them to take more complex implementations, and that's beginning to work. I am very pleased with how our direct teams as well as the partner teams have been working collaboratively this year.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Arjun Bhatia with William Blair. Your line is open.

Arjun Bhatia
Partner, Co-Head Tech Equity Research, and Software Analyst, William Blair

Yes, thank you for taking my question. Kate, maybe one for you. It seems like a lot of the trends that we've been talking about with ACV expansion, including multi-hub adoption, upsell, suite adoption, those don't necessarily seem like temporary trends. When we look out maybe beyond Q4, should we think of the model as having structurally shifted where ACV growth can remain in that mid-high single digit range, not just in Q4, but in 2022 and beyond as well?

Kate Bueker
CFO, HubSpot

Yeah. Thanks for the question. I think what we have shared, Arjun, is that we feel like the trends that we saw in Q2 and in Q3 are gonna continue into Q4. In terms of longer term, these are not metrics that we manage the business against. You know, you heard Yamini talk about the segmentation strategy where we intend to innovate, both at that upmarket but also at the, you know, with the velocity segment that is more lower end. As we innovate at one end or another, you're gonna continue to see movement in both of those KPIs. I think it's fair to say that in the short- term, but over the longer -term, we're gonna continue to see a little bit more volatility.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Kirk Materne with Evercore. Your line is open.

Kirk Materne
Senior Managing Director, Evercore

Hi. Yeah, thanks very much. I was wondering if you could just talk about whether any of the trends that you're seeing in the upper part of your business—upper market part of your business are different if you looked at the U.S. versus maybe internationally. I'm just kinda curious if uptake of Service Hub, content management. Are those products being taken up internationally at the same rate in the U.S., or is it similar to what we've seen in other SaaS companies where, you know, international tends to follow the U.S.? I know you all are much more balanced, so I was just curious on that. Thanks.

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

We've been very, very balanced in terms of both international growth as well as North America growth. As you heard us talk about international is about 46% of our revenue and consistently growing really well. In terms of adoption trends, it's quite similar in a lot of you know the international markets. They are still a bit earlier in terms of digital transformation and adoption of digital products. But you know overall for example, Operations Hub has done really well there, and going multi-hub with CMS and Marketing has done quite well there. The trends are pretty consistent across both of the markets.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Siti Panigrahi with Mizuho. Your line is open.

Siti Panigrahi
Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst, Mizuho Americas

Hey, guys. This is actually Matt Diamond on Siti's behalf. One quick one. I'm curious about the magnitude of customer engagement that came after the INBOUND conference. If you could compare that to years past, that'd be super helpful.

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

That's a good question. You know, overall, INBOUND, the product announcements, very favorable, positive feedback from customers. We had really good engagement both in terms of the breakouts as well as the spotlight sessions, and the NPS for some of the sessions were better than even last year. Overall, INBOUND landed really well. The engagement of our customers has been really good, and the feedback in terms of the announcements there, Operations Hub Enterprise, sandbox, business units, the feedback for a lot of those features that we announced at INBOUND has been very positive. It's still early days. It's just been a couple of weeks since INBOUND, and we'll likely see more momentum in Q4 based on the announcements at INBOUND.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Terry Tillman with Truist. Your line is open.

Terry Tillman
Managing Director, Truist Securities

Hey, guys. This is actually Joe Meares on for Terry Tillman. You talked a lot about the product announcements, I think, on the call, but I'm just wondering from a very high level, of the three major announcements that you guys made, which have customers made the most noise about in the last three weeks since the announce day?

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

That's a good question. I think, you know, I broadly categorize our product announcements in three areas. The first one is Operations Hub Enterprise that we just launched in November. Really positive feedback. We've seen very good momentum, not just for the enterprise product, but also for the pro as well as starter releases earlier this year. We're seeing consistent, good feedback there. I think the second class is just a lot of the upmarket related big powerhouse features that we launched, right? You heard us talk about business units, which, again, is another domino feature, within Marketing Hub Enterprise. You heard us talk about sandboxes and forecasting, which is pretty big in terms of sales.

A lot of customers that have been looking or will need this in the future are excited about that category of features. Then payments. You know, payments is early days, but a lot of customers are engaged in conversations in terms of how they can create new revenue streams and as well as you know enable consumer-like buying experiences. Those three, I would say, are probably the big categories of attractions to customers.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. Yamini Rangan, I turn the call back over to you.

Yamini Rangan
CEO, HubSpot

Thank you so much. It was great seeing a lot of you at INBOUND. Be well, and do great.

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