World Acceptance Corporation (WRLD)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2024

Jul 21, 2023

Operator

Good morning, welcome to the World Acceptance Corporation's first quarter 2024 earnings conference call. This call is being recorded. At this time, all participants have been placed on listen-only mode. Before we begin, the corporation has requested that I make the following announcement. The comments made during this conference call may contain certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, that represent the corporation's expectations and beliefs concerning future events. Such forward-looking statements are about matters that are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties. Statements other than those of historical facts, as well as those identified by the words anticipate, estimate, intend, plan, expect, believe, may, will, and should, or any variation of the foregoing and similar expressions, are forward-looking statements.

Additional information regarding forward-looking statements and any factors that could cause actual results or performance to differ from the expectations expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements are included in the paragraph discussing forward-looking statements in today's earning press release. In the Risk Factors section of the corporation's most recent Form 10-K for the fiscal year, ended March 31, 2023, and subsequent reports filed with or furnished to the SEC from time to time. The corporation does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements it makes. At this time, it is my pleasure to turn the floor over to your host, Chad Prashad, President and Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

Chad Prashad
President and Chief Executive Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Good morning. Thank you for joining our fiscal 2024 first quarter earnings call. Before we open it up to questions, there are a few areas that I'd like to highlight. Last year, we instituted a number of adjustments that we believe would have a significant impact on our business and have been quite pleased with the results. As we discussed during prior earnings calls, we tightened underwriting about a year and a half ago as economic uncertainty and inflation concerns were increasing. We have weathered a period of delinquency normalization after a period of extraordinary portfolio growth, as well as higher than expected delinquency and losses throughout most of our last fiscal year. Today, we continue to see lower and normalizing delinquency rates in our portfolio, as well as increasing yields, and expect this trend to continue for several more months.

This is primarily due to many operations adjustments, including a heightened focus on credit quality and yields, as we previously discussed. We're also very conscious, cautiously increasing approval rates to new customers as we still see the potential of this uncertain economic environment to impact our customers in the coming year. During the first quarter, our customer base grew more than the prior three years, both in nominal and relative terms. New loan originations by number increased dramatically over the prior quarter, excuse me, by 47%, and are returning to a normal rate as a percentage of the customer base. Return customer originations also increased dramatically, around 76% over the previous quarter, and exceeded the first quarter of last year as well, thanks to an increased focus by our marketing and operations teams.

All these outcomes are an especially great team accomplishment when we consider the reports of increasing delinquency rates across several credit industries during both the calendar year of 2022, as well as the first half of 2023. While economic uncertainty still exists, management continues to accrue for long-term incentive plan, with vesting tiers of $16.35, $20.45, and $25.30 per share, due to much improved credit quality, yields, and operating conditions. We anticipate the first-tier vesting as early as the end of this fiscal year, assuming credit quality and performance remains stable and unemployment remains low. We're pleased to begin our fiscal year 2024 from a position of portfolio and capital strength.

At this time, Johnny Calmes, our Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, and I would like to open up to any questions you have.

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. To ask a question, you may press Star, then one on your touch tone phone. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press Star then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question comes from John Rowan of Janney. Go ahead.

John Rowan
Director of Specialty Finance, Janney Montgomery Scott

Hey, guys. Just on the accrual, can you repeat the accrual numbers again that you just gave? Also, you know, you had been accruing, assuming that you get to the, you know, the full, the highest hurdle, but there was a reduction in incentive compensation in the quarter. Was there any type of accrual reversal, and are you still accruing that, assuming that you reached the highest, you know, the 2540 vesting hurdle?

Chad Prashad
President and Chief Executive Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Sure. Good morning, John. The tiers that we're accruing towards on an EPS basis are $16.35, $20.45, and $25.30. Those, we have been accruing for those over the last 4-plus fiscal years, and we have not reversed any of the accruals on any of those tiers.

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Right. Yes, we haven't reversed any expense. You know, over the, over the period, we have shifted, you know, our expectations on when we may hit those, which can have an impact of changing the quarterly expense on those. At the same time, it depends which period you're comparing it to. It's graded vesting. Over time, the compensation expense will decrease as some of those tranches become fully vested and we're no longer expensing.

John Rowan
Director of Specialty Finance, Janney Montgomery Scott

I was just trying to figure out, you know, there was a reduction in incentive compensation for the quarter. If that wasn't a reversal, is this level of compensation expense a correct run rate? I'm just trying to figure out if there was a reversal and it pops back up, or if this is the correct run rate.

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

I got you. Yeah, yeah. If you're comparing Q1 over Q1, a lot of the reasons for that decrease would be the graded vesting, right? That run rate will be appropriate, at least through the second quarter of this year, and then it'll decrease again because we have the time based vestings will happen in October, right? That'll be another tranche is fully vested, the run rate will decrease again for Q3 and Q4 of this year.

Chad Prashad
President and Chief Executive Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

John, I believe it's been a few years that we released the graded vesting schedule. We'll have to go back and look. It's been probably three or four years since we released that.

John Rowan
Director of Specialty Finance, Janney Montgomery Scott

Okay. Then just to switch gears a little bit, obviously, you renegotiated the credit facility. There was no change in rate on that facility, correct? It's still the same, I think?

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Yeah.

John Rowan
Director of Specialty Finance, Janney Montgomery Scott

Whatever the spread is over , that's still the same spread?

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

That's correct. Yep.

John Rowan
Director of Specialty Finance, Janney Montgomery Scott

Was there one lender taken out? There were some shifts in it. I saw that there was a lender put in. Did anyone fall out of the facility?

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Yeah, there were two banks, you know, that needed to come out for different reasons. Yes, we had, you know, two banks that came out and one bank that came in.

John Rowan
Director of Specialty Finance, Janney Montgomery Scott

Okay. I guess just maybe one last question. I probably should have done this before I went into the next question. You know, you've kind of given some numbers in the past. I mean, what is it? The 25-30 is effectively the number for fiscal 2025 based on the compensation plans. You know, we talked probably a couple of quarters ago about, you know, what kind of loss rate you needed to see to get there. Obviously, you know, you're at, like, 16% this quarter, or 16 and change. You still need to be materially lower than that. I think you were giving kind of a high single digit, low double digit type number. Is that still what you're targeting to get to these EPS hurdles?

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

That's right. Yeah, the charge-off rate has improved substantially, but we still see room for improvement going forward.

John Rowan
Director of Specialty Finance, Janney Montgomery Scott

Just to be clear, the 2530, that's the 2025 figure. You mentioned changing the time frame at some point. That's still 2025, right?

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

That's correct.

John Rowan
Director of Specialty Finance, Janney Montgomery Scott

Okay. All right, thank you. I'll hop back in the queue.

Operator

Again, if you have a question, please press star, then one. Our next question comes from Vincent Caintic of Stephens. Go ahead.

Vincent Caintic
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Just wanted to expand on John's line of questioning and maybe just pull up a little bit. The fiscal 2025 EPS target at $25.30. Just wondering if you could walk through the bigger drivers and how to get there since, you know, we're $1.62 this quarter, so it would be a material increase in run rate EPS. You spoke a little bit just now about the charge-offs, but any other kind of key components to get from, you know, here in Q1 2024 to get to that run rate for the full year, 2025? Thank you.

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Yeah, sure. Obviously, you know, the ... One of the most important components at this point will be the charge-off rate. We, that's, again, I've seen substantial improvement there and see room for continued improvement. We will need some growth, in the sort of the later quarters, to help drive revenue there. We are seeing some benefits of a shift in the portfolio to smaller loans, right? That shift is driving up our overall yields. You can see that the yields increased in Q1 versus Q4 of last year and Q1 of last year, right?

You know, the growth that we had in the first quarter was coming from the small loan portfolio. We actually had some, a little bit of shrinkage in the large loan portfolio and some growth in the small loan portfolio, which has, you know, created some tailwinds to yields. You know, we'll need to continue to do that, and that'll benefit revenue. Obviously, you know, continuing to control costs, right? We've done a really good job of controlling costs over the last couple of years, and we'll continue to do that with some, you know, some buybacks mixed in as well in the latter half of this year and next year.

Vincent Caintic
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Okay. Thank you. That's so, that's very helpful. Would it be possible, you know, I know the metrics that we're seeing in your results is the portfolio results, so of course, having originations that were, that were, you know, a little while ago. If you could maybe talk about sort of the economics of the loans that you're originating today. Are they already sort of that high yield, low loss, and, you know, low unit expenses where we would already get to that $25 EPS? Just trying to see that path from your current metrics versus kind of what you're putting on today. Thank you.

Chad Prashad
President and Chief Executive Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Yeah. Hey, Vincent, this is Chad. Great question. When we started tightening, about this time last year, a little before, during the first quarter of the last fiscal year, especially with new customers, you know, we began to experience, you know, much higher credit quality, much higher performance, a dramatic improvement, especially from, you know, mid-second quarter, last fiscal year and on, a dramatic improvement in the gross yields of those loans we originated. However, you know, as we've talked about, there was a much lower volume of those loans that we were originating. While those credit tranches are performing very well, they're, you know, very, very small and, you know, don't carry a lot of weight in the overall portfolio, or at least haven't for some period of time.

For what we're originating today, you know, the quality remains, you know, very similar to that. The expected performance and expected both gross and net yields, we believe, will also be similar to what we have been originating in the past fiscal year. We've been able to continue to grow those tranches, you know, on a subsequent basis. In terms of size and weighting the portfolio, that's on the new customer origination front. There's been, you know, a similar pattern for the former customers who are returning. In terms of refinancing, you know, we put a number of things in place, and that's where, you know, the majority of the portfolio really sits with, you know, customers that have a good bit more tenure.

We've had a number of things in place that, you know, we're beginning to see overall portfolio increases in yield as well as overall performance and decrease in delinquency. It does take time. This is a process we began over a year ago, but we're beginning to see it trickle through the overall portfolio. That's really where, you know, as it gets to the whole portfolio versus just new customers, we'll begin to see increased net yields, you know, as we anticipate hitting that $25.30 target by the end of next fiscal year.

Vincent Caintic
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Okay, that's very helpful. Thanks very much.

Operator

Our next question comes from John Rowan of Janney. Go ahead.

John Rowan
Director of Specialty Finance, Janney Montgomery Scott

Hey, guys. Sorry, just a couple of quick follow-ups. Just to be clear, you guys are no longer on waivers with the revolving credit facility, correct? I didn't, you know, I just want to make sure that we are now not in violation of debt covenants, because I only saw an adjustment to the fixed charge coverage ratio.

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Yeah. Yeah. No, yeah, we're in good shape, relative to all the covenants on the debt facility. Yeah, we did change the fixed charge coverage ratio. Obviously, you know, it looks like interest rates might be higher and for longer. You know, that was really just to make sure that we have plenty of room over the next three years, to, we don't need to amend again in the future. Yeah, that's kind of what was driving that.

John Rowan
Director of Specialty Finance, Janney Montgomery Scott

The collateral performance indicator, that's still part of the credit facility, correct?

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Sorry, yes, that is, and we're in really good shape there.

John Rowan
Director of Specialty Finance, Janney Montgomery Scott

Just last question for me. You know, obviously, you're more bullish on growing new customers now than I think you were, you know, 1 year or so ago when you really pulled back. It wasn't gonna be 1 year ago, you know, 3 quarters ago, when you really started to pull back on new customer volume. What's different today with the new customers than you saw back then when, you know, obviously, we had spiking, you know, losses that caused you to pull back on that cohort? What's different now? Is there a change in first payment defaults? What makes you so sure that growing new customers at this point is not gonna yield the same results? Thank you.

Chad Prashad
President and Chief Executive Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Yeah, that's an insightful question. There are a couple of things, and before I begin, I just want to caution a little bit. You know, I'd say we're more bullish, but we're not, you know, strongly bullish on growing new customers at this time, right?

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Right. We're still tighter today than we were much tighter today than we were a year ago. It we've just loosened from relative to Q3 of last year, where we were extremely tight.

Chad Prashad
President and Chief Executive Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

That's right. In terms of where we've been able to loosen and be slightly more bullish and grow the new customer loan volume, it really comes down to where we've seen great operational performance. Where we've seen the gross yields grow, we've seen, you know, delinquencies decline. As we've seen that, those operational results, you know, it gives us more confidence to begin loosening in certain areas. Actually, in many states, we're not loosening in terms of credit quality, but we are beginning to drive more of those higher quality customers in or make more attractive loans and increase the approve rates for those that, you know, we're desiring the most.

Again, you know, still seeking to grow the overall gross yield during that whole process, right? There's a little bit of a chicken, egg here, right? It's not like we're moving down the credit spectrum or anything like that, to lower the credit quality in order to juice application flow or approval rates or anything of that nature. It's as we're seeing the performance of those loans and also we're seeing the gross yields and customers accept those terms, you know, this is a very different origination environment today, this summer, than it was last summer, given the higher interest rates and the other creditors have pulled back. You know, it gives it a little more confidence and on the margin being slightly more bullish.

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Okay, thank you very much.

Chad Prashad
President and Chief Executive Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Yeah.

Operator

Our next question comes again from Vincent Caintic of Stephens. Go ahead.

Vincent Caintic
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Thank you. Just, one quick follow-up. You mentioned, share repurchases later this year. If you could remind, us if, what, if any, limitations, you have, just so we can kind of frame how much to, share repurchases to model in. Thank you.

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Sure. The big hurdle there is we need to get the fixed charge coverage ratio back over two. We may get there after the second quarter, but we fully expect to be there after the third quarter. We've, which would mean we could either start buying, repurchasing in Q3 or Q4. Then, you know, we still have the same sort of % of net income requirements that we've always had in there.

Vincent Caintic
Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, Stephens Inc.

Okay, great. That's all I had. Thanks very much for the clarification.

Johnny Calmes
Chief Financial and Strategy Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

Yep.

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Chad Prashad for any closing remarks.

Chad Prashad
President and Chief Executive Officer, World Acceptance Corporation

I just want to thank everyone for taking the time to join us today. This concludes our first quarter earnings call for World Acceptance Corporation. Thank you.

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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