Velocity Financial, Inc. (VEL)
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Earnings Call: Q1 2026

May 6, 2026

Operator

,Good day, and welcome to the Velocity Financial first quarter of 2026 results conference call. Please note that today's event is being recorded and all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need any assistance during the call, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw a question, please press star then two. I would now like to turn the call over to the treasurer, Chris Oltmann. Please go ahead.

Chris Oltmann
Treasurer and Director of Investor Relations, Velocity Financial

Thanks, Joe. Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for the discussion of Velocity's fourth quarter 2026 results. Joining me today are Chris Farrar, Velocity's President and Chief Executive Officer, and Mark Szczepaniak, Velocity's Chief Financial Officer. Earlier this afternoon, we released a press release with our first quarter results, and you can find the press release and accompanying presentation that we will refer to during this call on our investor relations website at www.velfinance.com. I'd like to remind everybody that today's call may include forward-looking statements which are uncertain and outside of the company's control, and actual results may differ materially. For discussion of some of the risks and other factors that could affect results, please see the risk factors and other cautionary statements made in our communications with shareholders, including the risk factors disclosed in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Please also note that the content of this conference call contains time-sensitive information that is accurate only as of today, and we do not undertake any duty to update forward-looking statements. We may also refer to certain non-GAAP measures on this call. For reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures, you should refer to the earnings materials on our investor relations website. Finally, today's call is being recorded and will be available on the company's website later today. With that, I will now turn the call over to Chris Farrar.

Chris Farrar
President and CEO, Velocity Financial

Thank you, Chris. Good evening, everyone. We appreciate you taking the time to join us today. First off, I want to apologize to everyone. On our last call, we had technical difficulties. We've been assured that by our vendor that won't happen again. Hopefully things go well here for us. I'll start off with a few words on the environment. Walk through our Q1 performance. Mark will take you through the rest of the financials in detail before we open up for questions. The first quarter of 2026 was obviously volatile from a macro perspective, quite steady in our corner of the world. Our end real estate markets are functioning well, our pipeline is growing, o ur fixed income markets are well bid.

In our view, making low LTV loans secured by real estate is a smart way to generate healthy risk-adjusted returns, and our Q1 results speak to the durability of what we've built at Velocity. In the first quarter, we delivered results that were in line with our expectations and importantly, consistent with the trajectory we laid out at the start of the year. Portfolio growth was measured and deliberate, NPL recoveries remained strong, and we continued to generate reliable net interest income from a well-seasoned book. Our story is about consistently compounding our capital, and in this environment, I believe consistency is exactly what our investors, our borrowers, and our originator partners need to see from us. Credit is always a top priority, and this quarter reinforced that discipline. Our non-performing loan resolutions were very consistent with positive gains and significant interest income recognition.

Our dedicated special servicing team continues to resolve assets efficiently while maximizing recovery rates. I've said before that we optimize for asset valuation and that disciplined approach to valuation has served us well through several cycles now. Q1 was no exception, as evidenced by the weighted average LTV on new loan originations of 64.9%. On the origination side, we were intentional. We did not chase volume for its own sake. We originated loans that met our return threshold in markets where we have depth of knowledge through originator relationships we trust. The result was a portfolio that grew nicely quarter-over-quarter with yields that remain attractive relative to our cost of funds. The most significant activity in the quarter was our first-ever issuance of $500 million of unsecured corporate debt rated by Moody's and Fitch.

The investor demand was broad and the deal was oversubscribed and comprised of high quality, sophisticated investors that we are proud to call partners. This capital positions us well for future growth and strengthens our financial flexibility as we dramatically reduced our reliance on shorter-term warehouse debt. As we look to the rest of 2026, we feel well positioned. Our balance sheet is clean, our funding is stable, and we see a pipeline of origination opportunity that should translate into meaningful volume growth in the second half of the year. We remain confident in our ability to deliver on the objectives that we set at the beginning of the year. With that, I'll turn to the earnings presentations materials starting on page three. As I mentioned in my remarks, a pretty stable, straightforward quarter. Very simple. Core net income up 30% over the prior year's quarter.

NIM was very healthy and on target at just over 3.5%. Mentioned that the portfolio grew nicely, up 25% year-over-year. Continue to see positive gains on the NPL resolutions, again, 102.3. Expanded our disclosures here to show the other recovered revenue on those NPLs of $4.6 million. In financing and capital, as I mentioned, the securitization markets are very healthy and we've got another deal out in the market that'll price this week. Those markets are very supportive. In terms of capital and liquidity, we've never been in a stronger position with, for us, a, you know, a much larger amount of liquidity coming off that unsecured corporate debt issuance.

Really gives us, as I mentioned, the strength and the flexibility to navigate whatever market comes our way. With that, I'll turn it over to Mark.

Mark Szczepaniak
CFO, Velocity Financial

Thanks, Chris, and good evening, everyone. As Chris mentioned, the first quarter of 2026 can kind of continue the consistent production that we saw all during 2025. On page four of the presentation, our Q1 loan production was just a little over $639 million in UPB. That's consistent with just under $635 million for Q4 of 2025. In Q1 of 2026, there were over 1,600 loans funded. The production during Q1 included the weighted average coupon on new held for investment originations continuing to come in strong at 10.1%. The w eighted average coupon on our held for investment originations for the last five-quarter average trend has been at 10.3%.

This growth in originations in Q1 also continued at tight credit levels, with the weighted average loan-to-value for the quarter at 62.5%, and on a five-quarter average trend basis of 62.7%. Consistently tight credit levels. Strong Q1 production growth, the healthy WAC, and the low LTV demonstrates consistent trends, as Chris mentioned, of borrower demand for our product, even through these recent challenging economic markets. If we go to page five. As a result of the strong Q1 production, page five shows the growth in our overall loan portfolio at the end of Q1. The total loan portfolio as of March 31st was $6.8 billion in UPB, and that's a 5.3% increase from Q4 and a 25.6% increase in the portfolio year-over-year compared to the Q1 of 2025.

The weighted average coupon on our loan portfolio as of March 31st was 9.75%, which is almost flat to Q4 2025 and a 16 basis point year-over-year increase compared to Q1 of 2025. The total portfolio weighted average loan-to-value decreased to just under 65% as of March 31st, and the loan portfolio continues to provide a healthy yield at these tight credit levels. Moving to page six. Our first quarter net interest margin was 3.56%. That's consistent with Q4's net interest margin of 3.59%. Kind of looking at the individual components over to the right of our net interest margin, our portfolio yield increased by 12 basis points year-over-year due to continued loan production at those healthy WACs.

The higher portfolio yield in Q4 2025 was due to more cash being received during that period on our non-performing loans. As we said, some of that cash on non-performing loans kind of comes in lumpy time over time. It was a little bit elevated in Q4. Our portfolio cost of funds decreased by 14 basis points, both quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year compared to Q1 2026. That's mainly due to paying down the portfolio warehouse lines in Q1 with proceeds from the unsecured corporate debt issuance that Chris had mentioned. On page seven. Our non-performing loan rate at the end of Q1 in this left table was 10.1%, t hat's a 70 basis point year-over-year decrease compared to Q1 of 2025.

We continue to see strong collection efforts by our special servicing department that have resulted in favorable gain resolutions of our non-performing assets, which are comprised of both the non-performing loans as well as the REOs. The table to the right shows our loans held for investment portfolio, including both our amortized cost loans and our fair value loans. It shows the total year-over-year non-performing loan valuation allowance we have for our non-performing loans. As of March 31st, 2026, the amortized cost loan portfolio had a $4.9 million CECL loss reserve, and the fair value loan portfolio had a $52.2 million valuation adjustment loss allowance for a combined valuation loss allowance of 83 basis points on the entire HFI portfolio. Both these valuation adjustments are required under U.S. GAAP.

The unrealized loss valuation adjustment on our non-performing fair value loans represents what could be achieved for those loans transacted between a willing buyer and a willing seller in the secondary market. However, we do not plan on selling these NPL loans since our in-house special servicing department has a history of producing net gains on the resolutions of these non-performing assets. Again, that 83 basis points of total loss allowance on our entire HFI portfolio, our actual historical trends on losses has been nowhere near that 83 basis points. It's been fractions of that. On page eight. Page eight just shows the CECL loan loss reserve activity. The CECL reserve, remember, is only applicable on the amortized cost loan portfolio, which is continuing to pay down as all our new loans are fair value. It does not include the fair value portfolio.

Again, that CECL reserve at the end of the quarter was $4.9 million or 25 basis points of our outstanding amortized cost portfolio. It's been very consistent. Moving to page 10 on the real estate owned. Page nine. Moving to page nine. Get my pages straight here. Page nine shows the real estate-owned activity. The left-hand side just shows the percentage of our real estate assets to the total HFI portfolio. You can see year-over-year, it's been very, very consistent. You're talking about, you know, basis point movement from 1.5%- 1.9%. On the right-hand side is an expanded disclosure that we have on total gain or loss on REO activity.

What we've done on this page is we've actually broken out the gain or loss activity on new REOs compared to the gain or loss on existing REOs. The top half of the table shows the gain or loss for recording new REOs in that period, and it segregates that REO activity between being sourced from either the amortized cost or the fair value loan portfolios. You can see in Q1 of 2026, there was a total $6.8 million gain on transfers of non-performing loans to new REOs in the quarter, compared to $4.4 million gain year-over-year in Q1 2025.

The second half of that table shows the gain or loss on activities on existing REOs subsequent to the initial recording of the REO in future periods or subsequent periods reflecting on the lower of cost or market accounting. For Q1 of 2026, there was a $3.3 million loss on REO activities compared to $1.8 in Q1. If you take those two sections combined, that presents a holistic picture of our overall REO, P&L activity for the periods, which for Q1 of 2026 was a net gain of $3.5 million, compared to a net gain of $2.7 million for Q1 of 2025. The thing to keep in mind there is the REOs in that bottom half are not the same REOs.

The REOs in the top half are new REOs that have come on. The bottom half is activities of REOs that we've had on the books for a while are now making adjustments to based on the requirements of GAAP under lower of cost or market accounting. That kind of gives you the full picture of all the REO activity. On page 10. Page 10 shows our non-performing loan resolutions. Chris mentioned continued very strong resolutions of our non-performing assets. In Q1 of 2026, we resolved a little over $70 million in UPB of non-performing loans and had total resolution dollars recovered, including the past due net contractual interest of $4.6 million or 6.5% over the UPB principal of the loans.

That's compared to $68 million in UPB of loans resolved in Q1 of 2025 with $5.2 million in total recovered revenue or 7.6% over. If you wanted to know just the gain based on the default interest and prepayment fees, that's still there. That would just be in the column that just says gains. For the first quarter of 2026, the total gains on just on default interest and prepayment would be $1.6 of that $4.6 million, with the difference being all the collection of that past due accrued interest. Turning to page 11 on the durable funding and liquidity. A position at the end of the first quarter, total liquidity as of March 31st was $329 million.

That's comprised of $87 million in cash and cash equivalents and almost another $242 million in available liquidity on unfinanced collateral. The available warehouse line capacity at the end of the quarter was $835.6 million, with the maximum line capacity of $935 million. During Q1, as Chris mentioned, we issued our first publicly rated unsecured debt deal, a $500 million deal. We used the proceeds to pay off our 2022 corporate secured note of $215 million. We paid off the secured note of $215 million that was issued in 2022. We also paid down a number of our warehouse lines with those proceeds. Also in Q1, we issued the first regular securitization of the year, 2026-1.

That had a little over $335 million in securities issued. We issued another private security, 2026-P1, and that had about $178 million in securities issued. Looking at the bottom table, our recourse debt-to-equity ratio at the end of Q1 remained very low at 1.0x . Our total debt-to-equity ratio, which includes all the non-recourse securitizations that we do, was at a 9.6x as of the end of the quarter. That kind of wraps up my Q1 2026 financial recap. With that, I'll turn the presentation back over to Chris for an overview of Velocity's outlook on key business drivers this year. Chris.

Chris Farrar
President and CEO, Velocity Financial

Thanks, Mark. On page 12, we think the markets are healthy and continue to see strong demand. Credit remains very stable for us and where we expect it to be. In terms of capital, mentioned that all capital markets are healthy and functioning well, so we're in really good shape there. From an earnings perspective, we continue to expect a 3.5% NIM and the portfolio to continue to grow this year as we see origination volumes pick up in the latter half of the year. That concludes our prepared remarks, and we can open it up for questions.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. Again, to ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw a question, you may press star then two. At this time, we will pause just momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question here will come from Chris Muller with Citizens. Please go ahead.

Chris Muller
Analyst, Citizens

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. Originations feel like they've been on a pretty steady pace here for, I guess, the last year and a half or so. Do you guys expect origination volumes in 2026 to continue on a similar path to what we saw last year with a pickup later in the year?

Chris Farrar
President and CEO, Velocity Financial

Yeah. Yeah, we do. I think we felt a little bit of a slowdown kind of the end of the year and the beginning of this year. I think that was more seasonal in nature. Maybe it was the market, I'm not sure. We've already seen kind of new origination volumes starting to tick up a little bit. We think similar to last year, kind of Q2, Q3, the those volumes will accelerate.

Chris Muller
Analyst, Citizens

Got it. You guys are generating some really impressive ROEs. Do you think that that can hold in the high teens? It seems like a bunch of the inputs are suggesting that it can hold there, at least in the near term. How are you guys thinking about ROEs going forward?

Chris Farrar
President and CEO, Velocity Financial

Yeah, we expect them to hold in there. As I mentioned, we're, you know, we're very disciplined on margin. The margin's probably the most important thing to us. You know, we treat our capital as precious, and we need to make sure we earn those returns. We don't have to chase volume because we have this in-place portfolio. We're far more focused on maintaining margin, which obviously translates into ROE. Yes is the short answer.

Chris Muller
Analyst, Citizens

Got it. Appreciate you guys taking the questions and congrats on a really strong quarter.

Chris Farrar
President and CEO, Velocity Financial

Thank you.

Chris Muller
Analyst, Citizens

Thanks.

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Chris Farrar for any closing remarks.

Chris Farrar
President and CEO, Velocity Financial

Great. Thanks, everyone who joined us today. We appreciate your continued interest in Velocity. As always, the investor relations team is available for follow-up conversations, and we look forward to speaking with many of you over the coming weeks. Have a great evening. Thank you, everybody. Have a nice evening.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines.

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